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Reduced purchasing power: Inflation erodes the real value of money and reduces the
purchasing power of households, especially the poor who spend a large share of their
income on food and other necessities. This can lower their living standards and increase
poverty.
Distorted relative prices: Inflation can distort the relative prices of goods and services,
leading to inefficient allocation of resources and misinformed decisions by consumers
and producers. For example, inflation can make some goods appear more expensive than
others, even if their real prices have not changed.
Increased uncertainty: Inflation can increase uncertainty and risk in the economy,
making it harder for people to plan and invest in productive activities. For example,
inflation can reduce the real returns on savings and financial assets, discouraging saving
and investment. Inflation can also affect the credibility and stability of the monetary
policy and exchange rate regime, creating macroeconomic instability.
In the face of a soaring cost of living, many low and middle-income people in Bangladesh have
either ditched branded products or switched to smaller packs, causing consumer goods producers
and marketers to record a slowdown in sales in 2022.
Senior executives of several fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) companies told The Daily
Star that the sales volume of non-essential products either fell or posted a very minimal growth
last year compared to 2021.
FMCGs, also known as consumer-packaged goods, are products that sell quickly at relatively
lower costs. And the top officials say people have become more sensitive to the prices while
sensitivity to the brands fell, meaning they are giving up their preferred brands in order to access
low-priced alternatives.
This is because their purchasing power has eroded as inflation has persistently remained at an
elevated level since March while incomes have stagnated. We can see, even though demand has
Assignment 1
Md. Rabib Al Rafayed
2023-1-88-005
decreased, prices might go down slowly because companies don't want to be the first to make big
pricing changes.
The Eastern Bank Ltd has never been robbed. Statistical analysis using high-level, aggregated
data would therefore indicate that the probability of a robbery is independent of the resources
spent on guards. The policy implication from such analysis would be to eliminate the guards and
save those resources. This analysis would, however, be subject to the Lucas Critique, and the
conclusion would be misleading. To properly analyze the trade-off between the probability of a
robbery and resources spent on guards, the "deep parameters" (preferences, technology, and
resource constraints) that govern individual behavior must be taken explicitly into account.
Criminals’ incentives to attempt to rob EBL depends on the presence of the guards. In other
words, with the heavy security that exists at the fort today, criminals are unlikely to attempt a
robbery because they know they are unlikely to succeed. However, a change in security policy,
such as eliminating the guards, would lead criminals to reappraise the costs and benefits of
robbing the fort. So just because there are no robberies under the current policy does not mean
this should be expected to continue under all possible policies.