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opportunities in Pakistan
Abstract
High demand of energy for increasing economic growth, inadequate resources, pollution from
power generation, inconsistent oil prices, and fickle supplies have triggered governments to
develop long-term and secure energy sources. Alternative and renewable energy sources are
an anticipation of securing long term, clean, and sustainable future of energy. This paper presents
the current energy scenario of Pakistan, the share of renewables, analysis of alternative and
renewable energy governance, barriers and opportunities for Pakistan in adopting alternative
and renewable energy. It highlights development potential for alternative and renewable energy
and issues related to energy governance to achieve the target of 5% share in the energy mix by
2030. The results indicated substantial gaps in alternative and renewable energy policy which is
likely to freak the benefits of opportunities and government targets. The findings of this article
identified the lack of mechanism to cooperate, poor integration of alternative and renewable
energy technologies, underprivileged domestic manufacturing, no portfolio standards for
bioenergy, and the dearth of research and development. Additionally, the study had furnished
the barriers and opportunities in detail for endowment of alternative and renewable energy
resources to assure sustainable energy security of Pakistan.
Keywords
Alternatives, renewables, energy, governance, opportunities, Pakistan
1
Department of Environmental Science, International Islamic University, Islamabad, Pakistan
2
Department of Politics and International Relations, International Islamic University, Islamabad, Pakistan
Corresponding author:
Mabroor Hassan, Department of Environmental Science, International Islamic University, Sector H-10, Islamabad 44000,
Pakistan.
Email: mabroor18@gmail.com
2 Energy & Environment 0(0)
Introduction
The current century is considered to face substantial energy challenges worldwide.
Economic development and population growth expanded the demand for energy. Energy
security, adaptation, and mitigation of climate change and social objectives of poverty
reduction have complex critical trade-offs and decision in implementing effective
energy policies.1 Finite fossil fuels, energy security, increasing pollution from thermal
power generation, and climate change have stepped up concerns and serious paradox
among economic growth, energy supply, and sustainability of the environment.2–4
The emissions from fossil energy, global warming, and climate change have threatened
environmental security, energy security, and discourse of interaction of energy systems
with environment. The issue of climate change has agitated the global community to develop
clean energy for sustainable development, environmental and energy security.5,6 As, energy
security acquires safe supply through the ability of a country to optimize its energy resources
portfolio and maintaining a desired level of supply to sustain economic development and
poverty reduction. It also contends to cover issues associated with energy, economic growth,
geopolitics, and protection of the environment.7 Additionally, the Goal 7 (Affordable and
clean energy for all) and Goal 13 (Urgent actions to combat climate change) in the
Sustainable Development Goals have also stressed the nations to develop clean energy.8
Furthermore, inadequate resources, fluctuation of oil prices, increasing energy demand,
indeterminate supplies, and economic growth have realized the governments to consider
that fossil fuel cannot secure a safe supply and sustainability in the future.9 Hence, the
endowment of alternative and renewable energy (ARE) is a hope to combat climate
change and ensure energy security through diversification of energy mix.6 The renewable
energy growth is an effective, affordable, diversified, and practical choice due to clean and
renewable nature to secure the future development, energy security, and environmental
sustainability of the world.2,10,11,12 According to statistics, about 16% of the global
energy mix is met from renewable energy resources in 2010.13 Additionally, hydroelectricity
and traditional biomass for heating contribute to around 21 and 60%, respectively, in the
world energy consumption.14 They are reducing energy imports, the environmental impact
of energy generation, and the trade deficit.15 The governments have formulated and
implemented ARE policies and set objectives to utilize renewable sources. Hence, aims to
promote ARE, accelerate market penetration and production quotas. It reduces cost, feed-
in tariff; enhances the share of renewables; optimizes taxes; balances energy supply; ponders
environmental protection; reflects political visions and economic development.16,17
These policies ponder innovation in renewable energy as well as effectiveness to rationalize
the energy demand. The quest of policy measures for renewable is becoming an interesting
context in recent research.18 This study aims to highlight the current energy scenario of
Pakistan and share of renewables, analysis of ARE governance, purpose, barriers, and
opportunities for Pakistan. Many previous studies19–24 had mainly focused identification
of ARE potential, energy scenario since 2010, and barriers in Pakistan. Amer and Diam
(2011) meditated the selection of renewable energy technologies for Pakistan. Hence, ARE
governance is least contemplated in previous studies. This article aims to unfold knowledge
gap in the areas of ARE governance and conceptualizes the ARE governance, policy anal-
ysis, recent energy scenario since 2017, contribution of ARE in energy mix, barriers and
opportunities more precisely. The relevance of this study lies in the domain of ARE plan-
ning, policy, endowment of ARE resources, achievement of clean as well as affordable
Hassan et al. 3
energy, abatement of climate change, energy, and environmental security. The data were
collected from various sources including the economic surveys of Pakistan, government
databases, national agencies, relevant ministries, and departments. Additionally, interna-
tional agencies, nongovernment organizations, and International Energy Agency were con-
sulted to conduct empirical analysis of Pakistan’s initiatives and policies for ARE.
Apparently, this paper attempts to organize random data from many government reports
and literature into a meaningful structure.25
Resources Potential
2015–16 74.8 12
2013–14 66.8 3.6
2012–13 64.727 0.35
2011–12 64.522 0.32
2010–11 64.5 2.1
2009–10 63.1 0.85
2008–9 62.55 0.58
2007–8 62.92 3.78
2006–7 60.62 4.33
2005–6 58.06 4.18
MTOE: million tons of oil equivalent.
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Growth rate %
Primary energy supply (MTOE)
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
Year
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2015-16
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80
Primary energy supply (MTOE) and growth rate
Figure 1. Energy growth rate and primary supply during fiscal years (2005–16). MTOE: million tons of oil
equivalent.
every year with a variable growth rate due to change in oil prices and reliance on oil and gas
as a major source (Figure 1). The primary energy supply was 50.9 million tons of oil equiv-
alent (MTOE) during July–March 2015 with a growth rate (4.4%) as collated to this part of
last fiscal year.26,27 There was an increase in energy supply from 58.8 to 66.8 MTOE during
fiscal years 2005–6 to 2013–14, respectively.28–30 The economic surveys of Pakistan have
demonstrated a consistent increase in primary energy supply except 2008–9. A decrease in
energy supply and negative growth rate was observed during 2008–9 due to a lower level of
economic activities and high circular debt in the energy sector.31
The conventional energy sources (gas, oil, coal, and electricity) prevail more than 90% of
primary energy supply,22 whereas the contribution of alternate energy sources (solar, wind,
and bioenergy) is increasing gradually. As illustrated in Figure 2, the contribution of oil in
primary energy supply varies from 28% (2010) to 33% (2017) during 2008–17 due to fluc-
tuation in price in the global market. Natural gas is a leading contributor to meet primary
energy supply. The highest contribution (46%) was marked in 2016 and 2017, while lowest
contribution (40%) was recorded in 2008 during 2008–17 (Figure 2). The contribution to
primary energy supply of coal was 9% (lowest) in 2012 and 14% (highest) during 2008,
whereas electricity contributed 11% (lowest) in 2014 and 16% (highest) in 2011, 2016, as
well as 2017 (Figure 2 and Table 3). However, LPG contributed around 1–1.5% during
2008–17 to meet primary energy supply.26,27,30--37,39,40
Contribution of renewables
Pakistan is ambitious to shift on renewable energy gradually to meet primary energy supply.
However, hydroelectric power is a main renewable energy source in electricity generation
Hassan et al. 5
LPG
Electricity
2017 Coal
Gas
2016 Oil
2015
2014
2013
Year
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
0 20 40
Percentage Share
2008 30 40 14 14 1.5
2009 30 43 10 15 1.5
2010 28 42 13 15 1.5
2011 30 42 10 16 1.5
2012 31 43 9 15 1
2013 31 42 10 15 1.3
2014 32 44 11 11 1
2015 29 44 10 15 1
2016 32 46 N/A 16 N/A
2017 33 46 N/A 16 N/A
along insignificant contribution from solar energy, biogas, and wind energy (480 MW).39
Unfortunately, the contribution of hydroelectric power has been decreased from 37.5%
(2005–6) to around 29.7% (2013–14) as shown in Figure 5 and Table 5.40 Meanwhile
Büyük€ozkan and Güleryüz41 had reported contribution of renewable energy (about 45.8%)
in Turkey through biogas (1.7%), geothermal (0.8%), hydro (35.4%), wind (6.2%), and
combined share of solar and biogas (1.7%) (Table 4). Globally, the share of renewables is
increasing in many developing countries like Turkey but there is consistent decrease in hydro-
power and insignificant increase in solar, wind, and bioenergy in Pakistan. This consistent
decrease is due to poor maintenance of turbines, lack of replacement of old turbines, insuf-
ficient maturity of new resources, and circular debt in the power sector.26–37,39,40,38
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Figure 4. Multiyear mean (2000–2012) of annual Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) for Pakistan in
kW h/m2.41,42
adhere a set target of at least 5% ARE share to total commercial energy supply by 2030.
The process of policy making must have rationalized cultural influences, values, beliefs, deeper
historical narratives, relative strengths of pressure groups, and participation into a clear vision
as well as objectives.47 The vision of policy is demonstrated by a clear setting of objectives and
targets. The objectives of ARE policy 201132 are depicted in Figure 8.
Strengths of ARE policy. The GoP has considered ARE as an important source to conciliate the
increasing energy demand. The policy mainly focuses on alternative and renewable energy
technologies (ARETs). It has identified the potential sources of renewables in Pakistan and
comprehend a target of 5% ARE share through endowment of these resources. The targets
look achievable by demonstrating commitment, strengthen institutional framework, and
providing the resources. Being a signatory of Kyoto Protocol, the policy covers the impor-
tance of emission reduction and requirements of Clean Development Mechanism under
Kyoto Protocol through carbon credits. The GoP recognized the finance availability as a
crucial concern for both small- and medium-scale ARE projects. For this purpose, the
government has introduced both general and specific incentives. The general incentives
include guaranteed market to buy all electricity and grid connection. The policy has
contemplated the categorical electricity purchase. The categories include purchase from
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38
36
Percentage Share
34
32
30
2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 2014-15 2015-16 2010-17
Year
ARE projects that are located within 70 km of power station at outgoing bus bar (220 kV),
132 kV transmission line within 50 km perimeter, 11 kV distribution feeders (within 5 km), or
1 km of 400 kV distribution feeders. ARE projects must supply minimum average power of
1250, 250, 100, and 20 kW/km, respectively, in each case.32 The specific incentives include
Hassan et al. 9
simplifying the licensing procedure for ARE projects up to 5 MW and assistance of prov-
inces in land acquisition. The government shall introduce an Energy Purchase Agreement
between the ARE-IPP and AEDB as a security package. The policy addresses the defined
tariffs (direct or through bidding) along feed-in tariff on alternative energy projects and
fixed rates with the reference rate of US dollars. The premium on ARE projects is also
included in this policy to ensure the fastest growth. Further, the policy covers all the
required procedures for approval of ARE project. The policy has introduced the concept
of energy services to meet the energy requirements in affordable cost and generate income.
Successful execution of ARE policy 2011 oblige to harness dissemination of accurate infor-
mation, unfold the benefits, and understand the impingement of ARE development. It will
meet the overall energy requirement, women empowerment, income, and poverty reduction.
In this scenario, policy mandated AEDB to undertake comprehensive awareness program
for application of ARETs to clinch success.
Gaps in ARE policy. ARE policy has mainly focused on the alternative technologies through
import and transfer of technology. The policy has an objective to develop the integrated
ARET-based solutions to optimize the impacts of ARE deployment in the underdeveloped
area along with its beneficial use for income generation but optimization is not appropri-
ately addressed. Although, the policy has addressed the ways to facilitate private sector.
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Others
National Engineering and Science Commission Thery are working on design and production of
(NESCOM) and Solar Energy Center (SEC) . photovoltaic cells
But the domestic manufacturing of ARET is not addressed properly. The policy has dem-
onstrated the commitment to coordinate, harmonize efforts, and correspond the federal
government, provinces, Azad Jammu and Kashmir (AJK)/Gilgit-Baltistan (GB), and gov-
ernment bodies engaged in ARE projects to meet the declared goals. But the way of har-
monization is not addressed properly. The involvement of private sector is comprehensively
encouraged but the responsibility of the state to develop ARE is not clear. The policy
contains excessive detail of proposal approval and fee structure which is usually part of
Hassan et al. 11
Pakistan net metering policy 2015 In force Solar and wind power generators under
for solar PV and wind 1 MW capacity can sell back produced
projects electricity to national grid
Framework for Power 2013 In force Biomass/biogas-based cogeneration
Cogeneration 2013 projects
(biomass and biogas)
Alternative and Renewable 2011 In force Harness the ARE development in the
Energy Policy country
Alternative Energy 2010 In force The act mandated AEDB as an autono-
Development Board Act mous body for implementation of ARE
policy and execution of projects
Scheme for Financing 2009 (as In force Soft loans for projects less than 50 MW for
Renewable Projects amended 12 years
in 2016)
Policy recommendations for 2008 In force Promote the use of bioenergy in transport
use of biodiesel as an sector
alternative fuel
Alternative and Renewable 2006 Superseded Development of alternative and renewable
Energy Policy (short term) energy
Alternative Energy 2003 In force Formulation and implementation of
Development Board alternative energy policies and
execution of projects
AEDB: Alternative Energy Development Board; ARE: alternative and renewable energy; PV: photovoltaic.
regulations. The involvement of research and development is least focused in this policy to
establish domestic manufacturing and reduce cost. The hydropower is globally known as a
clean and renewable energy source but this policy did not consider it. Biofuels are identified
as potential sources of this policy but the use of biofuels as alternative energy requires
application and portfolio standards. ARE policy did not include any guidelines about appli-
cation and portfolio standards for bioenergy.
Capacity
Project Source (MW)
Moblize
finiancing,
incentives and
reduce cost to
encourage
private sector
Deploy ARET
Provide
in off-grid and
additional
general
power supply Reconcile efforts of households
the federal
government and
Provinces/ AJK/GB
for accessible,
systematic,
Establishment sustained Productive use
of domestic deployment and of ARE for
ARETs, growth of ARETs income
technical skills generation,
reduce cost and improve
create livelihood and
employment Institutional, alleviate poverty
technical and
operational
capacity
building
Figure 8. The targets and objectives of ARE policy.32 ARETs: alternative and renewable energy technologies.
Hassan et al. 13
AEDB Act
The AEDB Act of 2010 has been endorsed by MoWP. It has empowered AEDB as an
autonomous regulatory institution to implement and deliver ARE policy. AEDB Act covers
the establishment, structure, and function of AEDB to promote, develop, and certify the
ARE technologies. AEDB Act emphases on the establishment of Institute of Alternative
and Renewable Energy Technology under AEDB for commercial application of ARE.
Alternative Energy Fund has been established under this act to meet the expenses and
functions of the Alternative Energy Board, institute, and organizations. Further, their
accounts will be separated and audited. The AEDB shall follow the policy directives of
Federal Government. AEDB must submit its annual report to Federal Government under
this Act. Furthermore, this act considers all executive authorities in federation and provinces
as authority to assist Board. The dissolution conditions of AEDB are mentioned in this act.
AEDB Act is exempted from all taxes to promote ARE.44
attract borrowing, financing, and promoting ARE. The scheme is available for power gen-
eration from alternative and renewable sources. It has two categories: Category I covers the
prospective sponsors interested in ARE power projects of more than 1–50 MW capacity.
The project has met the prescribed requirements of all relevant government departments/
authorities and AEDB. The refinance of such project will be 100% at the rate of 2.00%,
bank DFIs spread at 4.00 and 6% end user rate. The maximum finance of six billion is
available for a tenure of up to 12 years. Category II covers the industrial, domestic, and
commercial consumers, willing to set alternative and renewable power projects with capacity
from 0.004 to 1 MW. The maximum finance of six billion is available for a tenure of up to 10
years for Category II. The refinance of Category II project will be 100% at the rate of
2.00%, bank DFIs spread at 4.00 and 6% end user rate.50
NEPRA
NEPRA was enacted under a NEPRA Act of Parliament (Regulation of Generation,
Transmission and Distribution of Electric Power Act, 1997) to decree as an authorized
regulator to develop commercially oriented, competitive energy market in Pakistan.29
NEPRA is responsible for ensuring quality, standards, the safety of alternative and renew-
able technologies, adjusting price, and tariff with ARE-Intended Power Producers.
Hassan et al. 15
• Implement policies and ARE projects proposed by both private sector and relevant gov-
ernment entities.
• Abet and support the development of ARE to attain economic growth.
• Establish indigenous manufacturing base along with assure transfer of ARETs.
• Transform the energy services to renewable resources.
• Commence the commercial-scale ARE projects except hydropower projects more than
50 MW, contemporary less than 50 MW require prior consultation with provinces.44
Furthermore, AEDB has been mandated as a regulatory body for the implementation
of AEDB Act. AEDB is working under remote village electrification program to supply
electricity to 7874 detached villages of Baluchistan and Sindh through alternative and
renewable technologies.42,43
There are the high line and power loss. The interconnection cost overburdens the investors
in many countries.54 There are low subsidies at ARETs along with a lack of awareness,
communication, skill, and technical knowledge. The public participation, awareness, and
general information about new technologies, implementation, maintenance, understanding
of practical problems for procumbent of renewable energy in developing countries.55 The
policies are still focusing on transfer of technology from developed countries. But the
manufacturing of alternative and renewable technologies at the domestic level is least
focused on policies of Pakistan. The market of Pakistan is still unreliable for biomass.
The solar energy could be an effective solution for remote and desert areas of Sindh and
Baluchistan but there is the problem of lack of infrastructures such as roads and inade-
quate building codes. The bioenergy required the portfolio standards to improve the effi-
ciency. Renewable portfolio standards have gained exceptional significance for promotion
and generation of renewable energy from the regulatory perspective and are being imple-
mented in most countries at a global level.56,57 Pakistan has no portfolio standards for
bioenergy.
greenhouse gas emissions, and mitigate climate change. This paradigm shift has reshaped
the interests and priorities of developing nations about renewable energy and environ-
mental protections. These global accedes are offering not only financial opportunity but
also a cornerstone to global environmental protection and sustainability.60
Conclusions
• Pakistan is facing energy crises, which threatened the economic development,
social security, and environmental protection. Pakistan is meeting the major share of
increasing supply from high-cost nonrenewable fuels (gas, oil, and coal). However,
Pakistan has a massive potential of identified ARE from hydro, solar, wind, and
biomasses.
• By viewing the scenario, the government has implemented ARE policies equipped with
different regulations to promote and generate the ARE. AEDB Act and institutional
mechanism are present to strengthen governance. Apart from regulations, the govern-
ment has introduced financial schemes and encourage private investment to achieve the
target of 5% ARE share by 2030. But the substantial gaps in ARE policy including
no clear mechanism for integration of ARE technologies and cooperation; less attention
to domestic manufacturing; no portfolio standards for biofuels; scant contemplation
of hydropower, research, and development intimidated the exploration and deployment
of ARE.
• However, there are many barriers such as AC-based system, high line loss, high capital
cost, lack of research and development, less skill and knowledge, low subsidies, low
payback value, high interconnection cost, wide gaps in policies, no portfolio standards,
and poor infrastructure, which are candidates for substantial attention.
• There are enormous opportunities including a solution to energy crises, employment
opportunities, rural development, cleaner energy, technology transfer, environmental
diplomacy, and mitigation to climate change. Therefore, AREs are expected to contribute
in sufficient share to meet the sustainable future of energy in Pakistan as well as the future
development of the world.
• In sum, there is an urgent necessity of vibrant ARE policy based on multicriteria model
(technical, economic, environmental, social, and political criteria). The United Nations
and International Atomic Energy Agency recommended to ponder technical (efficiency,
reliability, right energy mix and demand), economic (investment cost, subsidies, fuel,
operation, and maintenance cost), environmental (emissions, noise, land use, climate
change, and water security), social (social acceptance, employment, and participation),
and political (will, constraints, human resource capacity, etc.).13 Hence, this study
recommends multi-criteria-based approach for future ARE policy.
Funding
The author(s) received no financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this
article.
18 Energy & Environment 0(0)
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