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1special CH A
1special CH A
.. SLIDES BY
..
.. John Loucks
..
.. St. Edward’s University
Modified by
Danny Cho
Sampling Distributions
and
Interval Estimation (Confidence Interval)
Selecting a Sample
Point Estimation
Introduction to Sampling Distributions
Sampling Distribution ofx
Sampling Distribution ofp
s
i
(x x )2
163,996
75.2
29 29
p as Point Estimator of
p p 20 30 .67
Note: Different random numbers would have
identified a different sample which would have
resulted in different point estimates.
© 2023 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Slide
11
Point Estimation
i
(x )2
80
900
Population Proportion Wanting On-Campus
Housing 648
p .72
900
© 2023 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Slide
12
Summary of Point Estimates
Obtained from a Simple Random Sample
Population Point
Parameter Estimator
∑ 𝑥𝑖 ∑ 𝑥𝑖
m = Population mean =
𝑁
x= Sample mean = 𝑛
¿ √ ∑ ¿¿¿¿ ¿ √ ∑ ¿¿¿¿
s = Population s = Sample
SD SD
p = Population =∑ h𝑖 p= Sample =∑ h𝑖
proportion 𝑁 proportion 𝑛
E( x) =
N n
x ( ) x
N1 n n
• A finite population is treated as being
infinite if n/N < .05.
• ( N n ) / ( N 1) is the finite population
correction factor.
• x is referred to as the standard
error of the
sample mean.
© 2023 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Slide
18
Sampling Distribution ofx
Sampling
Distribution 80
of x x 14.6
n 30
for SAT
Scores Note: We use this because
n/N = 30/900 = 0.033 < .05
x
E(x) 1090
Sampling x 14.6
Distribution
of x
for SAT Probability
Scores of this Area = ?
x
1080 1090 1100
Sampling
Distribution x 14.6
of x
for SAT
Scores
Area = .7517
x
1090 1100
Sampling
Distribution x 14.6
of x
for SAT
Scores
Area = .2483
x
1080 1090
Sampling x 14.6
Distribution
of x
for SAT Probability of
Scores this Area
= .5034
x
1080 1090 1100
With n = 100,
x 7.55
With n = 30,
x 14.6
x
E(x) 1090
© 2023 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Slide
33
Relationship Between the Sample Size
x of
and the Sampling Distribution
Example: St. Andrew’s College
Sampling x 7.55
Distribution
of x
for SAT
Scores
Area = .8147
x
108010901100
© 2023 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Slide
34
Relationship Between the Sample Size
x of
and the Sampling Distribution
Example: St. Andrew’s College
• Recall that when n = 30, P(1080 < x < 1100) = .5034
• We follow the same steps to solve for P(1080 x<
< 1100) when n = 100 as we showed earlier when
n = 30.
• Now, with n = 100, P(1080 < x < 1100) = .8147.
• Because the sampling distribution with n = 100 has a
smaller standard error, the values ofx have less
variability and tend to be closer to the population
mean than the values of x with n = 30.
E ( p) p
where:
p = the population proportion
N n p(1 p) p (1 p )
p p
N1 n n
Sampling
Distribution
of p
Probability
of this Area = ?
p
.67 .72 .77
p
E(p) .72
Sampling p .082
Distribution
of p
Area = .7291
p
.72 .77
Sampling p .082
Distribution
of p
Area = .2709
p
.67 .72
Sampling p .082
Distribution
of p
Probability of
this Area = .4582
p
.67 .72 .77
x Margin of Error
Sampling
distribution
of x
x
z /2 x z /2 x
© 2023 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Slide
56
Interval Estimate of a Population Mean: s
Known
Sampling
distribution
of x
1 - of all
/2 /2
x values
interval
does x
not z /2 x interval
z /2 x
include includes
m [------------------------- x -------------------------] m
[------------------------- x -------------------------]
[------------------------- x -------------------------]
interval
© 2023 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
includes Slide
57
Interval Estimate of a Population Mean: s
Known
Values of za/2 for the Most Commonly
Used Confidence Levels
Confidence Table
Level a a/2 Look-up Area
za/2
90% .10 .05 .9500
1.645
95% .05 .025 .9750
1.960
99% .01 .005 .9950
2.576
x Margin of Error
$41,100 + $1,470
or
$39,630 to $42,570
t
Standard distribution
normal (20 degrees
distribution of freedom)
t
distribution
(10 degrees
of
freedom)
z, t
0
Standard
normal
z values
© 2023 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Slide
70
Interval Estimate of a Population Mean:
s Unknown
Interval Estimate
s
x t/2/2
n
55
750 2.131 750 29.30
16
Use Use
s
x z / 2 x t / 2
n n
© 2023 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved.
Slide
76
Sample Size for an Interval Estimate
of a Population Mean
( z / 2 ) 2 2
n
E2
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