Soal

Penjualan
Tahun
Y
2010 95
2011 115
2012 132
2013 141
2014 133
2015 145
2016 154
2017 171
2018 178
2019 189
2020 208

Jawaban
Trend Moment
Y = a + b(X)
∑Y = n.a + b.∑X rumus I
∑XY = a.∑X + b.∑X 2
rumus II

Penjualan Periode Gunakan rumus I dan II

Tahun XY X2
Y X 1661 = ax11 + bx55
2010 95 0 0 0 9385 = a.55 + bx385
2011 115 1 115 1
2012 132 2 264 4 8305 = ax55 + b275 5
2013 141 3 423 9 9385 = a55 + b385 1
2014 133 4 532 16
2015 145 5 725 25 8305 = a55 + b275
2016 154 6 924 36 9385 = a55 + b385
2017 171 7 1197 49 -1080 -110
2018 178 8 1424 64 b = 9.818182
2019 189 9 1701 81 cari nilai a gunakan persamaan I
2020 208 10 2080 100
1661 55 9385 385 1661 = ax11 + bx55
1661 = 11a + 55 (9,81 539.55
1661 = 11a + 539,550
1661 - 539,550 = 11a 1121.45
1121,45/11=a
a=101,95 102

Y=102 + 9,81X
jika x = 11
Y=102 + 9,81 (11)
Y=209,91 210
 Y=210 unit

Kwadrat terkecil

Y = a + b(X)
n∑XY - ∑X∑Y n∑XY - ∑X∑Y
b= b=
n∑X2 - (∑X)2 n∑X2 - (∑X)2
(11.9385) - (55.1661)
∑Y ∑X (11.385) - (55.385)
a= -b
n n 11880
1661 55 1210
-b
11 11 b = 9.818182

151 -9.818182 5
a= 101.9
a= 102