t dt dt' e=dt-dt' MAD

1 120 127 -7 7
2 122 127 -5 5
3 122 127 -5 5
4 128 127 1 1
5 127 127 0 0
6 128 127 1 1
7 129 127 2 2
8 127 127 0 0
9 131 127 4 4
10 130 127 3 3
11 130 127 3 3
12 129 127 2 2
∑ 1523 1523 0 33.50
3
 t dt MA 4 Bulan Error MAD
1 120 -
2 122 -
3 122 -
4 128 -
5 127 396 -269 269
6 128 404 -276 276
7 129 409 -280 280
8 127 415 -288 288
9 131 416 -285 285
10 130 417 -287 287
11 130 420 -290 290
12 129 421 -292 292
∑ 1523 2267
283.4
 t dt dt' e=dt-dt' MAD
1 120 120 0 0
2 122 120 2 2
3 122 121 1 1
4 128 121.02 7 7
5 127 123.11 4 4
6 128 124.3 4 4
7 129 125.40 4 4
8 127 126.5 1 1
9 131 127 4 4
10 130 128 2 2
11 130 129 1 1
12 129 129 0 0
∑ 1523 1493.018 30 30
2
 x y xy x^2
1 120 120 1
2 122 244 4 b 114152.8
3 122 366 9 a -741866
4 128 512 16
5 127 635 25
6 128 768 36
7 129 903 49
8 127 1016 64
9 131 1179 81
10 130 1300 100
11 130 1430 121
12 129 1548 144
78 1523 10021 650

t dt dt' e = dt - dt' MAD

1 120 12956466.31 -12956346.31 12956346.312
2 122 13184771.85 -13184649.85 13184649.852
3 122 13184771.85 -13184649.85 13184649.852
4 128 13869688.47 -13869560.47 13869560.472
5 127 13755535.7 -13755408.7 13755408.702
6 128 13869688.47 -13869560.47 13869560.472
7 129 13983841.24 -13983712.24 13983712.242
8 127 13755535.7 -13755408.7 13755408.702
9 131 14212146.78 -14212015.78 14212015.782
10 130 14097994.01 -14097864.01 14097864.012
11 130 14097994.01 -14097864.01 14097864.012
12 129 13983841.24 -13983712.24 13983712.242
∑ 1523 164952275.7 -164950752.7 164950752.65
20618844.08
 KONSTAN MA 4 Bulan SES Regresi Liner
MAD 3 283.4 2 20618844.08125