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Probablity Maths Investigatory Project Class 12
Probablity Maths Investigatory Project Class 12
MATHS INVESTIGATORY
PROJECT
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PROBABILITY
Probability Concepts
Theoretical Probability vs Relative
Frequency
Calculating Probabilities
Venn Diagrams
Intersection of Sets
Union of Sets
Mutually Exclusive Events
Inclusive Events
Complementary Events
Probability Games in Life 2
PROBABILITY CONCEPTS
Example: Tossing a coin twice The Coin Toss
Probability
The likelihood or chance of an event happening
E.g. Heads (50%) or Tails (50%)
Outcomes
The possible results of an experiment
E.g. Heads; Tails / Heads; Heads /
Tails ; Heads / Tails; Tails
Sample Space
The set of all possible outcomes: S={HH,HT,TH,TT}
The number of outcomes: (S) = 4
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Types of Events
a) Certain events
These events will always happen.
E.g. If you toss a coin twice and the event is
E = {getting a head or a tail}
then you are certain to get a head or tail on each toss.
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c) Equally likely events
Each event has an equally likely chance of happening.
Events are unbiased
E.g. If you toss a coin, there is 50% change of getting
a Head and 50% change of a Tail
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The probability scale
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THEORETICAL PROBABILITY VS
RELATIVE FREQUENCY
Theoretical Probability
When all outcomes of an activity are equally likely,
you can calculate the probability of an event
happening by using the following definition:
P(E) = number of favorable outcomes = n (E)
total number of possible outcomes = n (S)
Probability of throwing a dice and getting a 4 is
P(4) = 1
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n( E ) 12
P( E ) 1
n( S ) 12
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Example 3
Consider the word MATHEMATICS. A letter is chosen
from this word.
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3. A bag contains 6 blue marbles, 5 red marbles,
8 green marbles and 9 white marbles. What is the
probability of:
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4. A card is drawn from a pack of 52 cards.
Determine the probability of drawing:
(a) a heart.
(b) a jack of clubs
(c) an ace.
(d) a king or queen
(e) neither a heart or a spade.
C and D ={1,3}
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UNION OF SETS
The union of A and B is an event consisting of all outcomes
that are in A or B.
Example
Determine the union of C and D.
C D ={l,2,3,6,9}
C or D ={1,2,3,6,9}
Here the numbers 4,5,7,8,10,11,12 are excluded from the
union of C and D. The number 1 and 3 appear in both set
C and D and are written only once in the union set.
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MUTUALLY EXCLUSIVE EVENTS
Events with no elements in common. Event A and B
exclude each other. If A happens, then B cannot happen.
Both cannot happen at the same time.
Example
a) Find the intersection of A and B:
A B={}
A or B = {1;2;3;4;5;6;7;8;9;10;11;12}
P(A B) = P(A) + P(B) – P( A B)
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INCLUSIVE EVENTS
Events with elements in common.
Example
a) Find the intersection of C and D:
C D = {1;3}
C and D = {1;3 }
C or D = {1;2;3;6;9}
P(C D) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A B)
Practicing Venn
Diagrams
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COMPLEMENTARY EVENTS
If Event A and Event B is mutually exclusive, then Event A
and Event B are complementary.
Example
a) Find the complement of A.
A = {1;2;3;4;5;6}
Complement of A = Not A (A’)
= B = {7;8;9;10;11;12}
P(A) + P(A')= 1
b) Find the complement of B.
B = {7;8;9;10;11;12} Complex Venn Diagrams
Complement of B = Not B (B’)
= A = {1;2;3;4;5;6} Playing Cards &
P(B) + P(B')= 1 …. P (not B) = 1 - P(B) Venn Diagrams
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EXERCISE
Cards numbered from 1 to 12 are put into a box
and shaken. Cards are then drawn and replaced.
The following events are given:
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