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19 Introduction to the William Gann theory Need to ask the author a question?
Nov. Please, use the Comments section
A brief historical overview. Algorithm of construction and below .
2018
practical application. Identification of entry points on a
16:24
timescale.
Dear friends,
Start Trading (https://my.litefinance.org/?category=for-beginners&slug=
Today, I’d like to start a new educational block that will be fully devoted
to study of the writings of a really distinguished person among traders
- William Delbert Gann, who was called the Nostradamus among the
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participants of financial markets. You can learn more about this in
article William Gann – the Finance Nostradamus
popular posts to your email.
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finance-nostradamus/). Peter Smith Johnson
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(https://cdn.litemarkets.com/cache/uploads/blog_post/cryptocyrrency/hyipov/2018.11.18/hyipi_btcusd_1.jpg? (https://my.litefinance.org/?openPm=2)
q=75&s=2886c1038f8f8efe25602c7a711d70af)
Gann, like all geniuses, was an extraordinary person. In his books, he
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combined such sciences as geometry, astronomy, astrology, ancient
math techniques and religious studies.
Being a deeply religious person (the Bible plays an especially important
part in his books), Gann was convinced in scientific value of this book.
Gann was also a 33rd degree Freemason, to which some attribute his
sacred knowledge of ancient mathematics.
One of the best-known and historically proven Gann’s forecasts was
published in Wall Street Journal in 1909. There, Gann wrote that cotton
price would be down below 99 cents before the end of the year, and it
would be up at 1.45 USD the following spring. Finally, it was fulfilled
accurately within a cent.
Only this way, each reader will be able to see the new, unknown side of
Gann and exploit his writings with most efficiently.
Cardinal Square
Geometrical angles
In this series of articles, devoted to Gann’s methods, I’ll describe in
detail all the three of these elements from the point of view of theory
and practice. I’ll also describe different variations of combining Gann’s (https://my.litefinance.org/?openPm=2)
tools with other popular indicators and trading systems.
The first and the most important element of Gann’s trading system is (https://www.litefinance.org/company/reviews/add/)
Cardinal Square. So, I recommend everybody, who wants to apply
Gann’s trading methods, to start with studying this element.
I recommend reading The Definitive Guide to Forecasting Using W.D.
Gann's Square of Nine by Patrick Mikula to learn more about the
theory.
I won’t go too deep into theory in this article; rather, I’ll start with the
practical application of this tool.
For short-term trading – since the previous day till the following
one;
For middle-term - since the previous week till the following one ;
Middle-term - М30;
Long-term - D1.
2. Configure Gannzilla settings.
3.Select the points where the price reversed during the chosen period
of time.
4. Select the figure and modify its rotation angle so that its diagonals
would cross or be as close as possible to the marked points.
5. Identify the pivot points in the studied period in future.
6. Identify the price “Favourite angle”, based on the circle around.
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7. Calculate the price unit and set the key levels.
8. Identify the date and the time of the price reversal.
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9. Mark everything on the chart.
So, let’s start with step 1. To exploit the trading instrument most
efficiently, you need to analyze all periods. If the instrument hasn’t
been analyzed in the long-term period, you always start with it. Then,
you go on to shorter timeframes.
In this post, I’ll dwell upon long-term analysis. In my next article, I’ll
perform a similar analysis in the middle-term and short-term periods,
draw final conclusions and suggest trading scenario.
Layout
Visible – enable
Clockwise – enable
Size – 10
View – Square of 9
Date
Today – disable
Value – default
Find - default
Show trading days – for cryptocurrency market – disable, for
others - enable
Format - dd.mm.yy
Protractor
Visible – enable
Clockwise – enable
Angle - 1800
Chronometer
Visible – enable
Clockwise – enable
Angle - 1800
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Range – Annual (for long-term analysis)
Cosmogram
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Visible – disable
The rest parameters that haven’t been outlined should have default
values.
(https://cdn.litemarkets.com/cache/uploads/blog_post/cryptocyrrency/hyipov/2018.11.18/hyipi_btcusd_2_new_1000x545.jpg?
q=75&s=00e79da11fc54117995fdc17f9e6d5eb)
As I’ve already mentioned, for long-term forecast, you use the range
between the previous period of equinox and solstice and the future
period.
To accurately identify the period, I suggest consulting Wikipedia.
(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solstice)
As I write this article, it is November, 2018; and so it is the period
between the equinox of September 23, 2018 and the solstice of
December, 2018 (I highlighted it with green in the table below).
Therefore, the previous period is from June 21, 2018 (start of solstice) (https://my.litefinance.org/?openPm=2)
and to the start of equinox on September 23, 2018 (highlighted with
red). I also marked the future period that starts on December 21, 2018
and finishes on March 20, 2019 (highlighted with blue). (https://www.litefinance.org/company/reviews/add/)
(https://cdn.litemarkets.com/cache/uploads/blog_post/cryptocyrrency/hyipov/2018.11.18/hyipi_btcusd_4.jpg?
q=75&s=7aa21d95600e3911ff60c2bf0b602a19)
You mark these time periods on the price chart for the trading
instrument, you analyze.
(https://cdn.litemarkets.com/cache/uploads/blog_post/cryptocyrrency/hyipov/2018.11.18/hyipi_btcusd_5_1000x545.jpg?
(https://my.litefinance.org/?openPm=2)
q=75&s=818295775ad7f344a6a964c9aa9be406)
Next, you open Gannzilla Pro that has been already modified, and in
the Data section, in the Value box you enter the first date, marked in (https://www.litefinance.org/company/reviews/add/)
(https://cdn.litemarkets.com/cache/uploads/blog_post/cryptocyrrency/hyipov/2018.11.18/hyipi_btcusd_7_1000x545.jpg?
q=75&s=d1cf02a7798fe3ada1faf190f120152b)
Step 4. Select the figure and correct its rotation angle.
To do it, you mark the points in the chart within the previous period on
the square of 9 in Gannzilla Pro with green highlight (see the result
below).
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(https://www.litefinance.org/company/reviews/add/)
(https://cdn.litemarkets.com/cache/uploads/blog_post/cryptocyrrency/hyipov/2018.11.18/hyipi_btcusd_8_1000x545.jpg?
q=75&s=011239f69ec486a66513c28629d7a453)
Next, you sort the figures, starting from triangle and finishing with
decagon (marked with the red arrow). Your objective is to select the
figure and the rotation angle so that the diagonals would cross the
maximum number of the highlighted green boxes. If there are a few of
such figures, you choose the one that has fewer angles.
In the given case it is decagon (see the picture below).
(https://cdn.litemarkets.com/cache/uploads/blog_post/cryptocyrrency/hyipov/2018.11.18/hyipi_btcusd_9.jpg?
q=75&s=eec41e8d57e6ad1482b21c8ac72b9117)
There are global control pivot points at the outer circle – chronograph.
In the given case, you pay attention only to those that correspond to
the analyzed period till March 20, 2019.
In the zoomed-in picture below, you see that the needed dates are
October 15, November 20, December 26, January 31 and March 8. (https://my.litefinance.org/?openPm=2)
(https://www.litefinance.org/company/reviews/add/)
(https://cdn.litemarkets.com/cache/uploads/blog_post/cryptocyrrency/hyipov/2018.11.18/hyipi_btcusd_10_1000x545.jpg?
q=75&s=741c8af8c9a92d4f8fcf3847601a136a)
You mark these dates with thick green lines in the analyzed periods
(see the green lines in the chart)
(https://cdn.litemarkets.com/cache/uploads/blog_post/cryptocyrrency/hyipov/2018.11.18/hyipi_btcusd_11_1000x545.jpg?
q=75&s=3735850446d36c5e249717fa1adf86e5)
Here, I must note that the first line of October 15 accurately fits the
momentum in the chart, it means high accuracy.
If you aren’t convinced with this coincidence, you can look at the
previous global points.
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(https://www.litefinance.org/company/reviews/add/)
(https://cdn.litemarkets.com/cache/uploads/blog_post/cryptocyrrency/hyipov/2018.11.18/hyipi_btcusd_12.jpg?
q=75&s=00dc9e95d101e0bd4693a2927b90200b)
They are 14.04, 20.05, 26.06, and 02.08.
(https://cdn.litemarkets.com/cache/uploads/blog_post/cryptocyrrency/hyipov/2018.11.18/hyipi_btcusd_13_1000x545.jpg?
q=75&s=488a779b5fafe12c571deeb096c25826)
Finally, you see in the chart above that all these global levels mark the
start of the strong wave with a deviation of just a few days. In general,
the deviation within 1 or 2 days is quite acceptable, but the movement
occurs much closer.
Step 5. You identify pivot points in the studied period in future. To do
it, you move along the diagonals of the selected figure. In the given
example, it is decagon. There, you mark the squares that fit in the
studied range and are crossed with the diagonal lines. As a decagon
has as many as five diagonals, you pay your attention to those, which
cross green squares (see the picture below). (https://my.litefinance.org/?openPm=2)
(https://www.litefinance.org/company/reviews/add/)
(https://cdn.litemarkets.com/cache/uploads/blog_post/cryptocyrrency/hyipov/2018.11.18/hyipi_btcusd_14_1000x545.jpg?
q=75&s=f938e0307574880a396c50112fc1ea88)
For clarity, I marked the squares that are in the future period with the
yellow highlight. Those, which have already occurred, are marked with
red (here, I primarily interested in the last month).
Next, you mark these key points on the chart (see the chart below).
(https://cdn.litemarkets.com/cache/uploads/blog_post/cryptocyrrency/hyipov/2018.11.18/hyipi_btcusd_15_1000x545.jpg?
q=75&s=8fd5e80b8ddbbcc941e37aad6f9af0d5)
As it is clear from the chart above, all the five thin red lines are
preceding or accurately coincide with the levels, where there were
strong momentums. It is the further evidence that the square rotation
angle on the chronograph circle is correct.
Next, you mark the points, included in the analyzed period, in future.
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These dates are:
01.12.18, 05.12.18, 16.12.18, 25.01.19, 30.01.19, 11.02.19, 25.02.19, (https://www.litefinance.org/company/reviews/add/)
03.03.19
(https://cdn.litemarkets.com/cache/uploads/blog_post/cryptocyrrency/hyipov/2018.11.18/hyipi_btcusd_16_1000x545.jpg?
q=75&s=8aca96843c360732dd5a7d990add11f1)
As you see from the chart above, there are several series of pivot
points that mark the periods of high volatility, and so, high probability
of the future strong movements. All these series are close to the global
key levels (green lines).
The first series starts on December 16 and finishes on December 24,
and so, we can expect a strong momentum within this period. The next
wave starts on January 25 and finishes on January 31. The last group of
lines is in the period between February 25 and March 8. You should
also pay attention to the single lines on December 01 and 05, and on
February 11; they can also indicate a potential strong momentum.
However, these lines are not sufficient to make forecasts. Though,
combined with trend indicators and other reversal signals, these levels
may serve to confirm the price reversal or a future strong momentum.
To complete this analysis, you need to identify the key levels in the
price chart. The needed point is at the meeting place of the price level
and the date. It will be the indicator and the target in the trading
system.
However, to make this analysis full-scale, so that we can see the
complete picture, we need to study the middle-term and the short-
term periods. Only then we can see the most accurate trajectory of the
future price moves. I’ll describe it next week.
Here, I am about to finish my first article, devoted to Delbert William
Gann and his studies, which I applied to the BTCUSD
(https://www.litefinance.org/trading/trading-
instruments/crypto/btcusd/) pair. I hope this information is interesting
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and useful for you.
PS. If you agree with my ideas, write “+” in the comments; if you don’t
agree, put “-”. If you liked the post, just write thank you, and don’t
forget to share the post. It is easy for you and I will be very pleased :)
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Price chart of BTCUSD in real time mode
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material published on this page is provided for informational
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