‘TRIBHUVAN UNIVERSITY [Exa INSTITUTE OF ENGINEERING | Le gxamination Control Division ! Programme al 2080 Shrawan Year/Part V7 ‘ull Marks 40 - Engineering Professional Practice (CE 752) “Subject Y Candidates are required to give their answers in their own words as far as practicable. Y Attempt any All questions. Y The figures in the margin indicate Full Marks, Y Assume'suitable data if necessary. 1. a) What is the impact and influence of technology on society? Deseribe social change and factors governing the social change. (4) »b) If you are appointed as an engineer in a private consultancy, what should be your : liabilities in project design, construction and implementation? [4] 2. a) Read the case carefully and discuss the situation. Inferior quality and low capacity power transformers are causing irregular power supply to a rural district headquarters and other areas. The transformers were installed by the ABC power distribution centre. Although the ABC Hydropower Project produces only 300 kW of its 400 kW capacity, staff claims that the irregular power supply was caused by the customers using high-power electric equipment during the winter. The staff added that they have been trying to persuade the Nepal Electrical ‘Authority to approve high-power transformers but have not been successful yet. The usage of inferior quality power transformers causes fluctuation of the power supply Which is harmful to all sorts of electric equipment in the households. Due to fluctuation power supply several sensitive medical equipment of health centers were damaged and have severely affected the treatment process of many patients. (4) b) Explain globalization and cross cultural issues, (4) 3. a) Describe about the tender. List the essential information to be enclosed in the tender [1+3] notice while publishing for public purpose. 1) State the need of contract documents and explain the essential elements of contract. [43] labour act. Discuss provision of health and safety in Labour act. [4] (43) [2x4] 4. a) Write the feature of | 'b) Define intellectual property. Explain patent right in briefly. 5. Write short notes on: (Any Two) ) Conflict theory of social change. b) Rolé of engineers in the transformation of society. ©) Role of Nepal engineering council (NEC), its duties andl respons oon ies.ANAS Ve UDEV EN | Pee INSTITUTE OF F3 . Maris | NGINEERING Level BE 7a amination r BA — n Control Division Programme [BAM Lhe 2079 Chaitra rar /Part | IV7IL Subject: ~ Astomobile Maintenance and f Repair (AM 751) Candidates are required Attempt All questions The figures in the margin indicate Full Marks, Assume suitable data if necessary, 10 Bive their answers in their own words as far as practicable. he three essential component of fire? How Preventive is done? List the different personal safety equipment used [2414342] What are the objectives of Cai mance in automobile? List the different types of maintenance and explain about maintenance cost, (3+243] Why measurement is necessary in Suvomobile repair and maintenance work? Write short Hotes on feeler gauge, hydrometer and tachometer [24243] Explain about the testing and Giagnostic procedure followed by Automobile engineer/senior technician in an automobile Service station. List the types of air compressor, (6+2] neeExamination Control TRIBHOVAN UnIvERsmry an is INSTITUTE OF ENGINEERING [Level | BE Full Ma ws [io | Division Programme | BAM Pass Marl Te| Year/Part_ [IV/II Time 2078 Chaitra A488 Subject: - Automobile Maintenance and Repair (AM 751) Attempt AUl questions, All questions carry equal marks Assume suitable data if necessary, a) DD) ‘lain briefly health hazards and prevention, Explain electrical accidents and prevention, 4) Explain preventive maintenance, b) Write the advantages and limitations of predictive maintenance, 8) Explain briefly metal spray, ¥) Write about job cards, a) Define (@ Vernier caliper Gii) Hydrometer b) Write the functions of (ii) Peeler gauge (iv)Compression gauge (Fuel injection pump testing equipment ii) Battery tester Gii)Engine scanner Giv)Engine timing light a) Explain briefly medium service st n. b) Design workshop layout for small service station. ! i }Y Candidates are v As TRIBHUVAN UNIVERSITY INSTITUTE OF ENGINEE FallMarks 80] ~~ Pass Marks | 32 Project Engineering and Management (CE 757) 2079 Chaitra Subject: - quired to give their answers in their own words as far as practicable. Y Attempt AUl questions The figures in the margin indicate Full Marks, Issume suitable data if necessary, + 8) Define project. Explain the characteristics of b) Explain the concept of project Finance Which consists of Rs. 4,00,000 preferen Project with appropriate examples. (1+7] A project has total capital of Rs. 10,00,000 ice share @ 12%, 2,50,000 debt @ 10% and 3500 ordinary share @ Rs. 100. Ifthe earnings before interest ot tax is Rs. 8,00,000, Determine EPS and Book Value of share, value of share if tax rate applicable is 15%. [2+6] - a) Explain the ‘Feasibility analysis is one of the techniques of project formulation’. Write the points to be included in feasibility report, ») Explain the features of good proposal. Discuss the Procedure for proposal development with example. 8) Draw network diagram and compute EST, EFT, LST, LET, TE, FF, IF and interfering float of each activities of a project with following information Compute total project duration and indicate critical activities, Activity AIBI]CTD/ETF G Predecessor -|-|- TATBIBCTBD Duration days) [3 [5 4 fs [5s ]6 14 5 b) Define resource leveling and smoothing. In which situations we have to use Bar Chart, CPM and PERT for scheduling of the project? } 8) Explain briefly Work Breakdown Structure (WBS) with example. Explain project control cycle in detail with figure. b) ABC engineering company has bagged a fixed cost contract for the supply, installation, testing and commissioning of 200 Lathe machine of same specification at 8 cost of Rs.600 Lakhs. The company had estimated that it could supply, install, est and commission 10 Lathe machine per day so that the entire work would. be Completed in 20 days time. The project status was reviewed after the completion of 16 days. It was noted at the time of review that only 120 lathe machine have been installed and the cost incurred was Rs, 380 Lakhs. Perform EVA and comment on the in performance. (6+2] [2+6] [12] I »F | GH rola} 043] (444) » a) Define risk and explain different types of risk. Discuss briefly on risk associated soe investment in hydropower development in Nepal. t 8) ») Explain steps on effective risk management. 18)yy TRIBHUVAN UNIVERSITY INSTITUTE OF ENGINEERING Full Marks gyamination Control Division Pass Marks | 32 2077 Chaitra [Time Ths, Subject: - Project Engineering and Management (CE 757) ¥ Candidates are required to give their answers in their own words as far as practicable. ¥ Attempt All questions. ¥ The figures in the margin indicate Full Marks. ¥ Assume suitable data if necessary. 1. 9) What is project? What are its main attributes? (8) 4) Describe different activities indifferent phases of project life cycle, (8) ) 2. 8) Whatis the project appraisal? Explain the contents of project proposal in detail. [8] b) What are the techniques of project formulation? Explain in detail input analysis. [8] 3. a) Draw Network Diagram from both A-O-A and A-O-N method and Find all the component of CPM from the following data. (12) S.No | Activity | Duration (Days) | Predecessor | Successor 1 A 5 : E 2 B 6 = F 3 c 7 - G 4 D 8 - H S E 9 A LJ 6 F 7 B Ls 7 G 3 c iJ 8 H 3 D LJ 9 I 4 E,F,G,H : io [J 3 RARAG arama ) 4) Explain the various type of flat with suitable examples. 4) 4. 9) Describe the function, objectives and importance of PMIS in project and justify” the right information at the right time reduces the risk wrong decision”, 12) ») Discuss the limitation of simple bar chart and explain the link bar chart, [4] 5. 8) Define Project Risk and its types, How effective Risk Management can be achieved? Ilustrate the Risk Management model with block diagram. [8] 5) Define capital budgeting decision. Why is it important? Find AW and IRR of the following two projects to select the best. MARR = 11% (8) Project | Initial Tavestment | Net Annual Income [Life (years) | Salvage Value | A 20 Million 4 Million 20 years [5 Million B 30 Million 5 Million 25 years |~_10 Million eeTRIBHUVAN UNIVERSITY Exam. INSTITUTE OF ENGINEERING Level BE Full Marks | 80 gxamination Control Division | Programme | BME,BAM | Pass Marks | 32 2079 Jestha Year/Part_|1V/I Time hrs. Subject: - Project Engineering and Management (CE 754) ¥ Candidates are required to give their answers in their own words as far as practicable. ¥ Attempt All questions. ¥ The figures in the margin indicate Full Marks Assume suitable data if necessary. 1. 8) What is a project? What are its main attributes? Explain implementation and termination phase of project life cycle. [14245] b) Explain project schedule control. Discuss the significance of Eamed Value analysis in project control. [345] 2: a) What is the procedure to be followed during the formulation of any project? Explain in detail. [8] b) What do you understand by project proposal? Explain the steps in developing a Project proposal process. [8] 3. a) Describe the function, objectives and importance of PMIS (Project Management Information System) in project. [8] b) Describe capital structure planning. A project has total capital of Rs. 10,00,000 which consists of Rs. 4,00,000 preference share @ 12%, 2,50,000 debt @ 10% and 3500 ordinary share @ Rs. 100. If the earings before interest and tax is Rs. 8,00,000. Determine EPS and Book Value of share, value if tax rate applicable is 20%. [246] 4. a) From the table below: ‘S.No | Activity [ Duration (days) | Predecessors I A 2 - 2 B 5 = 3 c 3 = 4 D 4 AB 3 E 2 AB 6 F 4 D 7 G 1 DE 8 H 3 B.C 9 T 2 B.C 10 | J 3 E,GH 4), Draw the network diagram of activities involved in the project and indicate the critical path, (6) ii) What is the total duration of project completion? 2) iil) Calculate the total float, free float, independent float and interfering float for each activity, (4) 4 ©) Explain project planning process. Describe Work break down Structure (WBS). BH) : Define Project risk and its types. Explain various sourees of project risks. (444) ) Sea ansee risk in a project? Explain the process of risk management in 5 ee—— a ————— Examination Control Divi SS4A8 TRIBHUVAN UNIVERSITY (Exam. INSTITUTE OF ENGINEERING | Level BE | Full Marks | IE, BAM__| Pass Marks | n 2080 Shrawan iz and Management (CE 757) ~ Project Engines Candidates are required to give their answers in their own words as far as practicable. Attempt All questions. The figures in the margin indicate Full Marks. Assume suitable data if necessary. a) Discuss all iype and elements of each type of project environment that affects the schedule, Cost and Quality of the project with relevant examples. b) What are the significance of capital budgeting decision? Discuss on all the project evaluation techniques for investment. a) Explain in detail one of the techniques of project formulation. Discuss the necessity of an appraisal in a project. b) What do you understand by project proposal? What are the contents involved in Technical, Financial and Managerial part of any project proposal? 1) Define the term project planning. What are the features and importance of good project planning? b) Find all the components of CPM from the following information. S.No. | Activity | Duration (Days) | Successor 1 A 2 DE 2 B 5 DE, HT 3 Cc 2 HT 4 D 4 FG 5 E. 2 G 6 F 4 J 7 G 1 I 8 H 3 I 9 1 2 . 10 J 3 = a) In the present day situation, quick and correct information flow is essential for we ine Pat an organization discuss how you can achieve this by utilizing Project Management Information System (PMIS) in project rantation have to be done in 2 weeks period per unit cost of plantation is » emma 4 W250 of which progress monitoring was done 1 weck after the work cae Only 45% work was found completed and the account record showed that Be eas expancinue for plosiation pee wot wes R200 Find all the parameters of EVA and comment on its performanee- in di risk in project with suitable example isk and explain different sources 0 a) Define risk and exp! cu of considering a project in your own / ; b) Describe different qualitative and quantitative risk analysis technique. (8] [2+6] [4+4] [2+6) [244] (10) (8) (8] (2+6) [8]TRIBHUVAN UNIVERSITY Bx NSTITUTE OF ENGINEERING ‘Xamination Control Division 2080 Bhadra hs en a Subject: P05 vA Candidates are required to give their answers in the v4 Peemet All questions. in the margin indicate Full Marks, Assume suitable data ifnecessary, own words as far as practicable. [242] 1. Explain about the Project and describe in detail about the characteristics of the project. [143] 2. Define a project ‘manager. Explain how you can be an effective IT project manager. 3. Explain about the Project Management Institute (PMI) and describe the area of ‘owledge for the project manager to sucessfully completion of the project. [2+3] 4. Explain project management context as per PMI, GI 5+ Construct the CPM Network fora project with following activities: [Activities A[BICTDTETF[G] A] Predecessor -|-[A[BIDIBICIERG] Durations (Days) | 11 | 5 9i7lél7teol 4 | Find: a) Draw CPM Network Diagram 6S) 5) EST, EFT, LST, LFT Total and free float time [5] ©) Critical path ay 4) Project completion time Oy 6. Discuss about project process ‘groups, [4] 7. Explain about the project risk management and describe different types of tools and techniques for risk identification and management. [3+3] 8. Differentiate project scope and product scope. Write about aspects of IT project estimation. [2+3] 9. Describe about the cost estimating in project management and explain about the tools and techniques used for cost estimating. 343) 10. Define EVM, Your project is scheduled for 2 years. Nine months into the project, while the total project budget is Rs. 42,00,000, you've already spent Rs. 16,50,000. CPT is 0.875. Calculate EV, EAC, ETC, VAC and share your conclusion, (414114141) 11, Explain needs of procurement. Discuss about contract types. 1242) 12, Diseuss about project communication management process. As a project manager, how do you write effective email? 1) [53] 13. Write short notes on: a) Decision Tree analysis b) Balance scorecard Expert judgements 9 Project management and General management e) S—eurve sa 7 LN rrr rsENGINE Full Marks TITUT —T pass Marks | 32 Examination Controt Division ea ae hrs. 2079 Chaitra nae ~ = : ~ Electric Vehicle Ill gaa ee Subject: - Electric Vehicle III (Elective 111) (AM 78505) ¥ Candidates are required th auver a ttounwoanecte acm Y, Attempt All questions, ° &° thet answers in thee own words as far as p v The figures in the (rargin indicate Full Marks Assume suitable data ifnecessary, ° MPONentS of a battery ‘management system (BMS), and how do they work together to optimize the Performance and lifespan of rechargeable battery? [10] Describe the types of BVg according to energy source, fio) Describe the working Principle of photovoltaic cell and Lead acid battery, (10) Calculate the following for the aiven vehi Vehicles assuming time for 5 P= 1.2 (ke/m?) and @ = go using the table below: zero to maximum Vehicle | GVWekay © | Areata} |e | Veeaigty] tas Gear | Transmission radius | Ratio | efficiency (m) = 1600/0325 —honis 60") 0.35 | at 90% wheeler a) Rolling resistance force ») Aerodynamic drag force ©) Gradient force @) Acceleration force ©) Traction force £) Wheel Torque 2) Wheel Power h) Wheel rpm i) Motor torque 3) Motor rpm 5. Write short notes on: a) Suspension design for wheel-electtic drives b) Regenerative Braking ¢) Supercapacitor energy storage : 4) EV Transmission Configurations ©) Function of CU [5x4] aeic TRI INSTITU: Examinati IBHUVAN UNIVERSITY TE OF ENGINEERING ion Control Division 2078 Chaitra anne, _ Subject: - Electric Vehicle IH (Blecive lil) (AMT8505) _ Subject: - Electric Vehicle I (tective Il) (AMT8505) I icable. Gandidates are required to give ther answers in thee own words as far as practical Attempt AU questions The figures in the margin indicate Full ‘Marks, Assume suitable data ifnecessary. S868 How do calculate rolling and grade resis For a vehicle with M, and an acceleration a the corresponding rotatio: is equivalent to that accel: ince forces in the design of EVs? 500 kg, ArCa = 0.7m’, e, = 0.012, a vehicle speed v = 120 km/h .027 g, calculate the traction torque required at the wheels and nal speed level (tires 195/65/15T). Calculate the road slope that leration. Assume p, = 1.20 kg/m’, g = 9.81 m/s’, Variation of tractive effort coefficient with longitudinal slip of ire under the action of driving torque. What is vehicle electrification? Compare electric vel 5. What are the different types of electtic Vehicles? Explain different architecture of hybrid electric vehicles in brief. What is tire slip? Explai the tire and behavior of ti hicle with solar electric vehicle. How does calculate power from RP! ’M and torque in the advantages and application of p an electric motor? Also discuss about ermanent synchronous magnet motors. ‘What are the basic element of electric drive system? Explain briefly, 8. What are Batteries, fuel cell and design and storage system. Super capacitors? Compare those in terms of operations, 9. Explain flywheel as an energy storage system. 10. What isthe key function of battery management system? Explain briefly 11. Discuss the optimization based control system in the design of BMS. 12. What is HMI and GUI? 13. What is electronic control unit, explain the control architecture of hybrid electic vehicle? 14, Explain EV transmission configuration and its components in details, 4) (4 [8] (244) [248] [4] [8] (4] (6] Q) Q] (6] (8]TRIBIUVAN University. Exam, INSIITUTE OF ENGINEERING Hay BE Full Marks | 80 mination Control Division Programme | BAM Pass Marks | 32 2079 Chaitra Year /Part_[IV/i [Time shes | __ Subject: - Operati Research Management Science (Blective I) (AM 76501) ¥ Candidates are hired to give their. intheir own words as far as practicable, % Attenpt At quesie 8 * 8¥e ther answers in their own J AM questions carry equal marks ¥ Assume stable data neces ery, 1 AIRE Chemical Corporation produces a ial chemical compound ~called CHEMIX. reas sed extensively in high ages chemistry cles. Ts compotnd mast contain at Ipast 20% sulfur, a least 30% ine” xlde, and at least 30% but no more 45% potassium. Tarmac’s mark. {epartmuent has estimated that it wll need at least 600 pounds of this fomPound to meet the en i i Compound sulfur T ome Iron Oxide __ Potassium 25% 55% 20% 2 35% 35% 30% respectively. Tarmac wants ine the east costly way of produch CHEMIX to ‘es the demand expected forthe coming year” "2? f Producing enough B Cotmulate an LP model for this problem: 2) Create a spreadsheet model fos hie Problem and solve it using Solver ©) Whats the optimal solution’ 2 An infomation systems consultant who ive in Ds Pet Of March onsite with a client in San Diego. allas must spend the majority of the follows: ‘Her travel schedule for the month is as Leave Dallas Leave San Diego j—Leeve San Diego | Monday, March 2 Friday, March 6 Thursday, March 12. | Friday, March 20 Monday, March 23 | Wednesday, March 25 The usual round ~ trip ticket price between Dallas and San Die; airline offers 28% discount ifthe dates o include a weekend. A 33% discount is nights, and a 40% discount is available 7 The consultant can purchase four round-trip tickets in any manner that allows her to leave, Dallas and San Diego on the days indicated. 8) Use a network flow model for this problem b) Implement the problem in a spreadsheet and solve it, ©) What is the optimal solution? How much does this save for four fllcost round-tip tickets ?— I to place a large, medium , oF ‘on whether the area receives a heavy, normal, or light amount of snow during the ski ‘season. The following table sursmarizes the payoffs Brenda expects to receive under each, : Amount of Seve Sixecf Order Weawy Normal Ught La 10 7 3 Median - 8 6 ‘Small 4 4 4 Payyolts in $1000) Brenda estimates the probability of heavy, normal and light snowlls as 03,05 and 0.2 respectivel 4. ‘The given data is quarterly data on the num! sold by a local car dealer during the past 2 should be made according tothe maxima desi n should be made according to the maxim de ‘Year [Quarter 2003/4 2005 2006 2 3 4 1 z 3 4 2005 [1 2 3 4 1 2 3 Use Holt-Winter's multipl MSE for the data data. ) What are the foreeasts tive method to ereate a seasonal model that minimis the al values of a1? — i comping the predictions om his meted asst heen for each quarter in 2006 wsin 5. A factory is considering a $10 million expansion. The estimated life of the new facility will be 10 years. Estimation of key input factors are: TaputFactor | Minimum] Mostlikely | Maximum | — Probability value value value distribution Warket Size | 100,000 tons_| 250,000 tons | 350,000 tons | triangular Seling Price per | $375 $450 ‘S375 ‘rangular ton Market growihrate | 2% 3% Gh ‘angular Market Share 3 1% 17% ‘riangular ST milion | $10 million | $105 million | —twiangular Seas Toyears TS years | tang $35 milion | $4millin | $5million | triangular ‘$450 Gaean) | $100 Geandard Nomzal dev) Distribution $75,000 Tognornal (tandard dev) ble? and rin simulation for 2,000 iterations. Find the mean NPV, its and the probability distribution. What isthe certainty level tha! theTRIBHUVAN UNIVERSITY Ean INSTITUTE OF ENGINEERING [Level | Examination Control Division | Programme 2079 Bhadra Year /Part ‘Subject: - Operation Research / Management Science lective D(ME72504) Candidates are required to give their answers in their own words as far as practical Attempt All questions. le. The figures in the margin indicate Full Marks, Assume suitable data if necessary. Examination must be conducted in a computer lab. Each student has to be provided with a PC, which must have Microsoft Office and CRYSTAL BALL Pro. The Microsoft Office must have EXCEL with SOLVER and Analysis Tool Pack. Each student must be provided with a CD/Pen-drive to attempt the questions and save them or his answers to be copied in a pen drive. If the PC has some problem, the student should be provided with another usable PC and the time elapsed should be considered. Time series formula sheet should be allowed. AS64846 1. Implement the following LP problem in spreadsheet. Use solver to solve the problem and create a sensitivity report. Use this information to answer the following questions: ‘Max 4X1#2X2 Subject to 2X r+4X < 20 3Xi45X2 < 15 XiX220 a) What range of values can the objective function coefficient for variable X; assume without changing the optimal solution? 2] b) Is the problem to the solution unique or are there any alternate optimal solutions? GB] c) What is the optimal objective function value if Xo = 1? B) 4) What is the optimal objective functional value if second constraint changes to 25? B] €) Suppose if the coefficient of second constraint which is 5 changes to 1, is the solution still optimal? Explain. GB) 1) Which of the constraints are binding at optimal solution? 2] 2. Use Holt’s method to create a model that minimizes the MSE for the data set below. #) What are the optimal values of smoothing constants? >) Prepare a line graph comparing the predictions from Holt’s method versus the original data, ©) What are the forecasts for the next two years using this technique? (16) Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 etter pepe les | 193 | 264 | 293 [315 178 | 275 | 295 [286 | 191 | 264 | 319 | 305 | 232 | 286 | 291 | 281 3. Thebl , ee Pita 1O determine the least expensive way to transport available blood Norfol am Pitsburgh and Staunton to hospitals in Charleston, Roanoke, Richmond, along with the = Re supply and demand for donated blood is shown in figure below i 'st of shipping along each possi + [16 2) Whatis the optimal g cinta 1g each possible arc. [16] ) Suppose that no more th isthe optimal soln ooo units of blood can be transported over any one ae. lution to this revised problem?4. Consider a project with activities shown in the table 1 and activity time distribution in table 2. aa ‘Activity, Description Predecessors | A Excavate = B Lay Foundation A ce Rough Plumbin BD D Frame A E Finish Exterior D E Install HVAC CE Table | B D E Days|P_|Days [P| Days [P| Days [P| Days [P 4 0.4 8 |04| 2 [05 0.8 2 0.5 04! 10 [02| 4 [os 0.2[ 10 [os di 02] 12 [04 Note that activity F always takes 5 days. a) What is the critical path and the ex; equal to expected activity times? ‘b) Merate the simulation for 20 times and 1 Projects, probability that exceeds 25 da then calculate the expected duration of the ‘pected project completion time, if activity times are @ ys, probability that a path is critical, for each path. - A bank has Rs. 65,000,000 in assets to mortgages, car loans, and personal loans. Bonds mortgages 8.5%, car loans 9. not too risky, the bank want (i allocate among investments in bonds, aed are expected to produce a retum of io 5%, and personal loans 12.5%. To make sure the portfolio y ts to restrict personal loans to no more than the 25% of| oe total portfolio. The bank also wants to ensure that more money is invested in mortgas* than in personal loans. It also Formulate an LP model for this return on the portfolio to find an optimal solution, ee ‘ i pa Wants to invest more in bonds than personal aa Problem with the objective of maximizing the expe > |D TRIBHUVAN UNIVERSITY E INSTITUTE OF ENGINEERING xXamination Control Division 2078 Bhadra * Subject: ~ Operation Research / Management Science (Elective )(ME 72504) v i , eee kaa Y, Candidates are required to give their answers in their own words as far as practicable. Y Attempt AU questions. The figures in the margin indicate Full Marks, Assume suitable data if necessary. Exanination must be conducted in a computer (ab. Each student has to be provided with a PC whist eee crosift Office and CRYSTAL BALL Pro. The Microsoft Office mun have EXCEL with ss a Mermalysts Toot Pack Each student wnust be provided with a CDiPen drive te attempt ee ren ous andsave them or his answers to be copied in a pen drive. If the PO Yas sone problem, ioe eee should be provided with another usable PC and the time elapsed should be considered. Time series formula sheet should be allowed. 1, The Molokai Nut Company (MINC) makes four different products from macadamia nuts ne Mein the Hawaiian Islahds: chocolate-coated whole nuts (Whole), chocolate coated ert clusters (Cluster), chocolate-coated nut erunch bars (Crunch) and plain roasted nuts i gated). The company is barely able to keep up with the increasing demand for these oducts. However, increasing raw,material prices and foreign competition are forcing PINC-to watch its margins to ensure that it is operating in the most efficient manner reible, To meet marketing demands for the ‘coming week, MNC needs to produce at Past 1,000 pounds of the Whole product, between 400 and 500 pounds of the Cluster “yer; no more than 150 pounds of the Crunch product, and no more thari 200 pounds ve Roasted product. Each pound of the Whole, Cluster, Crunch and Roasted product cialis, reapectively, G03, 40%, 20% ‘and 100% macadamia nuts, with the remaining wweight made up of chocolate coating. ‘The company has 1,100 pounds of nuts and 800 unds of chocolate available for use in the next week. The various products are made King four different machines that hull the nu's, roast the nuts, coat the nuts in chocolate (if needed) and package the products. “The following table summarizes the time required ‘ch machine. Each machine has 60 hours of time available in the by each product on ea coming week. : - Minutes Required per Pound Machine [Whole Cluster Crunch __[__ Roasted Hulling 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 Roasting 2.00 1.50 1.00 1.75 Coating 1.00 0.70 0.20 0.00 Packaging 2.50 1.60 1.25 1.00 elite rice and variable cost associated with each pound of product is summarized Th Per Pound Revenue and Cost Sangha ole Cluster Crunch Roasted Ustecr | $5.00 $4.00 $3.20 $4.50 $3.15 $2.60 $2.16 * $3.10Formulate an LP Model of this problem. b) Create a spreadsheet model for this problem, solve it using solver and create a sensitivity and answer report. ¢) What is the optimal solution? 4) Which of the constraints are binding at the optimal solution? Give Reason. ¢) Is the optimal Solution Degenerate? f) Is the optimal Solution unique? The Brits & Straggon company manufactures small engines at three different plants, From the plants, the engines are transported to two different warehouse facilities before being distributed to three wholesale distributors. The per unit manufacturing cost at each plant is shown in the table below in addition to the minimum required and maximum, available daily production capacities. The unit cost of transporting engines from each plant to each warehouse and unit cost of shipping engines from.each warehouse to each distributor is also shown in the table below with the daily demand for each distributor. If each warchouse can process up to 500 engines per day: a) Implement a network flow model to solve this problem. b)_Whatis the optimal solution? Plant | Manuf. Cost | Minimum Required Production | Maximum Production Capacity 1 313 150 400 2 S15 150 300 3 S12 150 600 ‘Transportation Costs Plant Warehouse 1 Warehouse 2 1 $4 $5 2 $6 $4 3 3 $5 Warehouse | Dist. 1 Dist. 2 Dist. 3 1 $6 34 $3 2 33 $5 S2 Demand 300 600 100 ; Based on the following infomation, use Crystal Ball and run the Monte Carlo simulation Or 3,000 iterations.-Find the mean NPV, its descriptive static Gistibution. What is the certainty level tha the project will arte gcse Pree tion, the project will not be feasible’? * Project life = 10 years * Initial investment = $1,50,000; Uniform distribution (mini maximus 180,000} ,000; Uniform distribution (minimum = $1,00,000 and a Lia ; $45; Normal distibution (mean $45 and standard deviation $l) — me 000; Triangular distribution (minimum = ;200 and maximum = 2,400) aii cot © $20; Uniform distribution (minimum = $16 and maximum = S24) cost = $10,000; oe . saniaa tm Leznonna distribution (location = $8,000, mean = $10,000 ad + Depreciation = Straight line depreciation B) R] R) 8) B) B) [16] (14+ Salvage value = $30,000; Norm distribution (mean $30,000 and standard deviation 4,000) + Taxrate=40% Interest rate = 13% 4, Caveat Emptor, In. is a home inspection service that provides prospective home buyers with a thorough assessment of the major systems ina house prior tothe execution ofthe purchase contact. Prospective home buyers often company for an estimate of average monthly heating cost of the home durin " company wants to build a regression model to cost (Y) as a function of the average 01 furnace in the house (%:), and the si ‘these variables fora number of homes 8) Prepare scatter plots showing the 9) each of the potential independent suggest? b) If the company wanted to build a regression model us variable to predict the average heating cost of these hot variable should be used? ©) If the company wanted to bi ‘variables to predict the average heating cost of used? ) Suppose the company chooses to use the regression function the estimated regression function? ' 12 repression model using onl 1900. | .8 kilograms (kg) of coal dust. However, the "Bou the envionment and want to kaep these emission to @ minimum. The flowing ‘amounts of sulfur, coal dust and steam that result from bursing a table summarizes ton of each type ‘Coal ‘Coal Dust (in kg) | Pounds of Stream Produced 1 17 24,000 2 32 36,000. 3 24 728,000 ‘can be mixed and bumed in any combination. The resulting ‘and the pounds of stream produced by any mixture ae ‘of the values shown in the table for each type of coal. For are mixed to produce a blei sulfur emission (in ppm) resulting from burning one ton of (0.35%1,100 + 0,40%3,500 + 0.25%1,300 = 2,100 is facility wants to select a blend of coal to burn while considering the problem and implement your model in a ne the best possible value for each objective in the problem,Examination Control Division Subject: - Operation R RS “TRIBHUVAN UNIVERSITY INSTITUTE OF ENGINEERING 2078 Chaitra - Operation Research Mi i501 Candidates are required to give their answers in their own words as far as practicable. Attempt All questions, All questions carry equal marks, Assume suitable data if necessary, Examination must be conducted in a computer lab. which must have Microsoft Office and CRYSTAL BALL Pro. The Microsoft Office must have EXCEL with SOLVER and Analysis Tool Pack. Each student must be provided with a CD/Pen- Give to attempt the questions and save them or his answers to be copied in a pen drive. If the PC ‘thas some problem, the student should be provided with another esable Pe and the time elapsed should be considered. Time series formula sheet should be allowed. Zippy motorcycle manufacturing produces two popular pocket bikes (miniature motoreycles with 49 cc engines): the Razor and the Zoomer. In the coming week, the manufacturer wants to produce a total of up to 700 bikes and wants to ensure that the number of Razors produced does not exceed the number of Zoomers by more than 300. Each Razor produced and sold results in a profit of $70, and each Zoomer results in a profit of $40. The bikes are identical mechanically and differ only in the appearance of the polymer-based trim around the fuel tank and seat. Each Razor's trim requires 2 pounds of polymer and 3 hours of production time, and each Zoomer requires 1 pound of polymer and 4 hours of production time. Assume that 900 pounds of polymer and 2400 labor hours are available for production of these items in the coming week. a) Formulate LP model and find the optimal solution for this problem. b) If the profit on Razors increases to $75, would the optimal solution change, if yes then what is the new optimal solution? Each student has to be provided with a PC, ©) If the profit on Zoomers decteases to $30, would the optimal solution change? 4) Interpret the shadow price for the supply of polymer. ©) Why is the shadow price $0 for the constraint limiting the production of pocket bikes to no more than 700 units? £) Suppose the company could obtain 175 additional labor hours in production, What would the new optimal level of profit be? Blue Ridge Hot Tubs manufactures and sells two models of hot tubs: the AquaSpa and the Hydro-Lux. Howie Jones, the owner and manager of the company, needs to decide how many of each type of hot tub to produce during his next production cycle. Howie buys prefabricated fiberglass hot tub shells from a local supplier and adds the pump and tubing to the shells to create his hot tubs. (This supplier has the capacity to deliver as many hot tub shells as Howie needs.) Howie installs the same type of pump into both hot tubs. He will have only 200 pumps available during his next production eycle. From a manufacturing standpoint, the main difference between the two models of hot tubs is the amount of tubing and labor required. Each Aqua-spa requires 9 hours of labor and 12 fect of tubing, Each Hydro-Lux requires 6 hours of labor and 16 feet of tubing. Howie expects to have 1,566 production labor hours and 2,880 feet of tubing available during the next production cycle. Howie earns a profit of $350 on each Aqua-Spa he sells and $300 on h Hydro-Lux he sells. He is confident that he can sell all the hot tubs he produces, The reduction of each Aqua-Spa generates 15 pounds of a toxic resin, whereas each Hydro. ae 10 pounds of toxic resin. Howie has identified two different objectives that a realy his problem. He ean maximize profit or he ean minimize the production of a ran, Suppose Howie considers the maximization of profit as half as important as the minimization of toxic resin.4) Formulate a Multi Objective Linear Programming model for Howie's decison problem, b)_ Implement your model in a spreadsheet and solve it. ©) Whatis the solution to Howie's MOLP problem? + One of Philip Mahn’s investments is going to mature, and he wants to determine how to invest the proceeds of $30,000. Philip is considering two new investments: a stock mutual fund and a one-year certificate of deposit (CD). The CD is guaranteed to pay an 8% return. Philip estimates the retum on the stock mutual fund as 16%, 9% of -2 depending on whether market conditions are good, average or poor respectively. Philip estimates the probability of a good, average and poor market to be 0.1, 0.85 and 0.05 respectively. a) Construct a payoff matrix for this problem. ») What decision should be made according to the maximax decision rule? ©) What decision should be made according to the maximin decision rule? 4) What decision should be made according to the minimax regret decision rule? ©) What decision should be made according to the EMV decision rule? 1) What decision should be made according to the EOL decision rule? 8) How much should Philip be willing to pay to obtain a market forecast that is 100% accurate? . Based on the following information, use Crystal Ball and run simulation for 4,000 iterations. Find the mean NPV, its descriptive statistics and the probability distribution. What is the certainty level that the project will be feasible? Initial investment = $1,50,000; Uniform distribution (minimum = $1,00,000 and maximum = $ 1,80,000) Unit price = $40; Normal distribution (mean $40 and standard deviation $1) Demand = 2,000; Triangular distribution (min, = 1,200 and max. = 2,400) Unit variable cost = $20; Uniform distribution (minimum = $16 and maximum = $24) Fixed cost = $10,000; Lognormal distribution (location = $8,000, mean = $10,000 and standard deviation = $1,000) Depreciation = Straight line depreciation Salvage value = $30,000; Normal distribution (mean $30,000 and Standard deviation $4,000) Project life = 10 years, Tax rate = 40%, Interest rate = 10% If the interest rate isto be changed to 12%, what will be the certainty level thatthe project will be feasible? Use Holtz winter's additive method method to forecast the sales for the first quarter of 1999 and also find the optimal values for at, and y using solver so that it minimizes the value of MAD (Mean Absolute Deviation). Year [_Qus. | Sales Year _[_Qus. | Sales 1 [1476 1 | 168.8 1993 [2 _| 2518 1996 |__2 [322.6 3. [273.1 3 [393.5 4 {249.1 4 [4043 1 [1393 1 | 259.7 1994 [2 | 221.2 1997 [2 _| 4011 3 | 260.2 3 | 464.6 4 | 2595 4 [4797 1 [1405 1 | 264.4 199s [_2_| 2455 1998 |_2 | 402.6 3__| 298.8 30 a3 4 287.0 4 385.9 tee axamination Control Division S488 TRIBHUVAN UNIVERSt INSTITUTE OF ENGINEERING Level BE Full Candidates are requi required to gi Alem All question, in i figures in the margin indi s irgin indicate Full Assume suitable data if necessary heir answers in their own words as far as practicable. . The a 1¢ demand for electricity varies greatly during the day. Because large amounts of oad Seite jored economical, electric power companies cannot manufacture balance the produstion at ry until it is needed. Instead, power companies greatest uncertatnma eof Power with the demand for power in real time. One of the companies employ forecasting the demand for electricity is the weather. Most power oe panies employ meteorologists who constantly monitor weather patterns and update 5 mputer models that predict the demand for power over a rolling, seven-day planning ‘orizon. This forecasted seven-day window of demand is referred to as the company's load profile. Typically it is updated every hour. Every power company has a baseload demand that is relatively constant. To satisfy this baseload demand, a power company uses its most economical, low-cost power generating assets and keeps them running continuously. To meet additional demands for power above the baseload, a power company must dispatch (or tum on) other generators. These other generators are sometimes called “peakers,” as they help the power company meet the highest demands or peak loads. It costs differing amounts of money to bring different types of peakers online. And because different peakers use different types of fuel (e.g., diesel, petrol, LPG etc), their operating costs per megawatt (MW) generated also differ. Thus, dispatchers for a power company continually have to decide which generator to bring online or turn off to meet their load profile with the least cost. The Old Dominion Power (ODP) Company provides electrical power throughout Vir and the Carolinas. Suppose ODP’s peak-load profile (that is the estimated load above baseload) in MWs is currently estimated as follows: Daj TT27T3 747s ]7e6 ]7 Load (in MWs) | 4,300 | 3,700 [3,900] 4,000 | 4,700 | 4,800 | 3,600 ODP currently has three peaking generators offline that are available to help mect this load. The generators have the following operating characteristics: nia Generator Startup Maximum MW Location Cost CostperDay | Capacity per Da New River $500__| $2007 $3 per MW 2,100 Galax $1,000 | $300+ $4 per MW 7,900 James River $700 | $250+S7 per MW. 3,000 To get an offline generator up and running, a startup cost must be paid. Once a generator is running, it can continue to run indefinitely without having to pay this start-up cost again, However, ifthe generator is tured off at any point, the setup cost must be paid again to get it back up and running. Each day that a generator runs, there is both a fied and variable cost that must be paid. For example, any day that the New River generator ig online, it incurs a fixed cost of $200 plus $5 per MW generated. So even if this generates is not producing any MWs, it still costs $200 per day to keep it running (so as to avoid g restart). When they are running, each generator ean supply up to the maximum daily MWs listed in the final column of the table. Formulate a spreadsheet model for ahi, problem and solve it. BI Programme | BIE Pass Marks | 32 Operation Research (/E 701) [20]2. Nancy Grant is the owner of Coal Bank Hollow Recycling, a company that specializes in collecting and recycling paper products. Nuncy's company uses two different recyeling processes {0 convert newspaper, mixed paper, white office paper, and cardboard into paper pulp, The amount of paper pulp extracted from the recyclable materials and the cost of extracting the pulp differs depending on which recycling process is used. The following table summarizes the recycling processes: tis) Recycling Process 1 Recycling Process 2 Material Costperton Yield__Cost perton Yield Newspaper $13 90% $12 85% Mixed Paper sl 80% $13 85% White Office Paper $9 95% $10 90% Cardboard $13 15% sia 85% For instance, cvery ton of newspaper subjected to recycling process 1 costs $13 and yields 0.9 tons of paper pulp. The paper pulp produced by the two different re processes goes through other operations to be transformed into pulp for n packaging paper, or print stock quality paper. The yields associated with transfor cycling \ewsprint, ‘ ming the recycled pulp into pulp for the final products are summarized in the following table: Newsprint Pulp Packaging Paper Pulp Print Stock Pulg Pulp Source Cost PerTon Yield Cost Per Ton Yield Cost Per Ton Yield Recycling Process 1 $5 95% $6 88 90% Recycling Process 2 86 90% 88 87 95% For‘instance, a ton of pulp exiting recycling process 2 can be transformed into 0.95 tons of packaging paper at a cost of $8.Nancy currently has 70 tons of newspaper, 50 tons of mixed paper, 30 tons of white office paper, and 40 tons of cardboard. She wants to determine the most efficient way of converting these materials into 60 tons of newsprint pulp, 49 tons of packaging paper pulp, and 50 tons of print stock pulp. Find the optithal solution The IRS wants to develop a method for detecting whether or not individuals have overstated their deductions for charitable contributions on their tax returns. To assist in this effort, the IRS supplied data shown in table below listing the adjusted gross income (AGI) and charitable contributions for 11 taxpayers whose returns were audited and found to be correct. (0) AGL Gin 5 8 $1,0003) 55 |58]63|67 74} 78 |83 | 88 ]o2]98| S Charitable slelalisisisi§8/sisis| & Contributions | SP RIBIS/S/E/S/S/ElS| & S|S/8/8|5/8/a/alala| a 2) Prepare a scatter plot of the dai 5 '- Does there appear to be a linear relationship between these variables? b) Develop a simple linear regression model that can be used to predict the level of charitable contributions from a retumn’s AGI. What is the estimated regression equation? ¢) Interpret the value of R?, Data below shows the past six years insurance claims of accidents of samriddi insurance 15) company. 03 8) Create a model to forecast insurance claim for next four quarter of 2023 using Holt’s winter additive method that minimizes the MSE. b) Also find out the best method and compare the result using crystal ball predictor.Time , Year Month | Tite, | claims 1 1 _|_Si039 2 2 sins aly 3 3__|_s12310 4 4] sina rs 1 5_|_s13.213 2 6_|_st6aiz . a 3 T_|_s17.405 4 8 | s14233 i 9 | _s14,606 2 10 | S12,969 ee 3 1 _| $13,980 4 12 [$14,755 1 13_[ $12,300 2 14 [$13,224 pon 3 15 | $13,606 4 16 [$13,659 1 17_|_si64az 2 18 | 817,334 am 3 19 |_$19,605 4 [20 $18,997, 1 21 | siso71 2 [a2 |_815,10 ma, 3 [33 | _si6919 a2] 818 931 5. WVTU is a television station that has 20 thirty-second advertising slots during its regularly scheduled programming each evening. The station is now selling advertising for the first few days in November. It could sell all the slots immediately for $4,500 each, but because November 7 will be Election Day, the station manager knows she might be able to sell slots at the last minute to political candidates in tight races for $8,000 each. The demand for these last minute slots is estimated as follows: Demand $9 0 NW 3 4 i 6 7 8 19 Pabaniy 003 0050.1 O15 02 O15 0.1 005 005 00S 005 0.02 Slots not sold in advance and not sold to political candidates at the last minute can be sold to local advertisers for $2,000. a) If the station manager sells all the advertising slots in advance, how much revenue will the station receive? b) How many advertising slots should be sold in advance if the station manager wants to maximize expected revenue? ©) If the station manager sells in advance the number of slots identified in the previous question, what is the probability that the total revenue received will exceed the amount identified in part a where all slots are sold in advance? [20]Exam, INSTITUTE OF ENGINEERING Level BE Full Marks | 80 Examination Control Division Programme | BME Pass Marks | 32 2080 Bhadra Year/Part_[IV71 Time This, ‘TRIBHUVAN UNIVERSITY KS4888 Subject: - Operation Research/ Management Science (ME72504) (Elective 1) Candidates are required to give their answers in their own words as far as practicable, Attempt All questions. The figures in the margin indicate Full Marks, Assume suitable data if necessary. Examination must be conducted in a computer lab. Each student has to be provided with a PC, which must have Microsoft Office and CRYSTAL BALL Pro. The Microsoft Office must have EXCEL with SOLVER and Analysis Too! Pack. Each student must be provided with a CD/Pen-drive to attempt the questions and save them or his answers to be copied in a pen drive. If the PC has some problem, the student should be provided with another usable PC and the time elapsed should be considered, An analyst for phidelity investment wants to develop a regression model to predict the annual rate of return for a stock based on the price-carnings (PE) ratio of the stock and a ‘measure of the stock's risk. The given data were collected for a random sample of stocks j) Prepare a scatter plot for each independent variable versus the dependent variable. ‘What type of model do these scatter plots suggest might be appropriate for the data? ii) Let Y = retum, X; = PE ratio and X2 = Risk. Obtain the regression results for the following regression model: Interpret the value of R’ Y= bo + b)Xj; +b2X; - iiiy Obtain the regression results for the following regression model: where Xj =X? and X4j = X2;?. Interpret the value of Rr Y= bo +b, Hbr2X2; +bsXsj +baX4; iv) Which of the previous two model would you recommend that the analyst use? PE Ratio | Risk | Return 74 [10 | 76 Wt [13 [13.0 gifs) adel) 89, jae ea 2e [e309 m6 | 1.7 [12.1 122 [13 | 128 25 [12] 3 12.5 | 13 [14.1 13.0 [1.6 [14.8 13.4 | 14 [167 2. ‘The MNC company makes four different products: chocolate coated-whole nuts, chocolate coated-cluster nuts, chocolate coated-nut crunch bar, chocolate coated-roasted nuts. To meet marketing demands for the coming week, MNC needs to produce at least 1000 pounds of whole nuts, between 400-500 pounds of cluster nuts, no more than 150 pounds of Crunch bar and no more than 200 pounds of roasted nut products. Each pound of whole, cluster, crunch and roasted products contains respectively 60%, 40%, 20% and 100% nuts with the remaining weight made up of chocolate. The company has 1100 pounds of nuts and 800 pounds of chocolate available. The various products are made Using four different machines that hull the nuts, roast the muts, coat the nuts and package the products, The following table summarizes the time required by each product on each ‘machine. Each machine has 60 hous of time available in the coming week. G3) (3) 8) B) 16}‘Varible cost Aisles has several nonstop lights between Atlanta and Los Angeles every ay. Departs Adana 6:00:00 AM §:00:00 AM 10:00:00 AM ‘Omega wanis to determine the optimal ‘lights. Tue company wants to ensure that left each day. FAA regulations require flights. However, light crews become if they are foreed to wait long periods of time between flights, so Omega wants to find an assignment of ight schedules that minimizes these waiting periods. 4) Draw a network flow mode! for this problem. 4i) Implement the problem in a spreadsheet and solve it ii) Wat isthe optimal solution? What isthe longest perio of time that fight erew has to wait between flights, according to your solution? ju) are there alternate optimal solutions to this problem? If so, do any alternate opal Solutions result in a smaller maximum waiting period between fights? 1 The company is planning to expand its properties and is trying to decide between buifing seecaI, medium, or large development. The payofls received for each size. of evelopment will epend on the market demand which could be low, medium, or bch. ‘The payoff matrix for this decision problem is Market Demand. ‘Si of development | Low [ Medium | Hi ‘Simall “400 | 400 | 400 Bedium | 200-| ~ $00 |"300 Large =40o| 300 600, hance that market demand will be ow, ‘The owner of the company estimates a 21.5% Jose chance that it wil be medium and 42.75% chance that it wil be high, ‘What decision should be made according tothe EOL decison rule? ‘¥) How much should the company be willing o pay '@ 100% accurate? '5, Based onthe following information, wse Crystal Ball and run the Monte Caro si (000 iterations. Find the mean NPV, its descriptive statistics and the pro on. What isthe certainty level that the project will not be feasible? ml tion ain ad str in 1 angular ditibuion (winimam = 1,200, mean = ‘maximum = 2,800): : 7000, «Unt arble cost» $20, Uniform dsbstion (minimum = $ 16, msvimn = $ 24} {Fixed cost=$ 10,000; 1 Depreciton=etaigh fine deprecation: Y Saoge vai 30,00: a9) a6)