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Journal of Economic Literature 2017, 55(2), 371–440

https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.20141195

Liquidity: A New Monetarist


Perspective†
Ricardo Lagos, Guillaume Rocheteau, and Randall Wright*

This essay surveys the new monetarist approach to liquidity. Work in this litera-
ture strives for empirical and policy relevance, plus rigorous foundations. Questions
include: What is liquidity? Is money essential in achieving desirable outcomes? Which
objects can or should serve in this capacity? When can asset prices differ from fun-
damentals? What are the functions of commitment and collateral in credit markets?
How does money interact with credit and intermediation? What can and should
monetary policy do? The research summarized emphasizes the micro structure of
frictional transactions, and studies how institutions like monetary exchange, credit
arrangements, or intermediation facilitate the exchange process. ( JEL E24, E31, E42,
E44, E52, G10, G21)

This, as I see it, is really the did not seem to them a promising
central issue in the pure theory of field for economic analysis. This is
money. Either we have to give an where I disagree. I think we have to
explanation of the fact that people look frictions in the face, and see if
do hold money when rates of interest they are really so refractory after all.
are positive, or we have to evade —Hicks (1935)
the difficulty somehow … The great
evaders … would have put it down Progress can be made in monetary
to “frictions,” and since there was theory and policy analysis only by
no adequate place for frictions in modeling monetary arrangements
the rest of their economic theory, a explicitly.
theory of money based on frictions —Kareken and Wallace (1980)

* Lagos: New York University. Rocheteau: University delivered by Wright as the 2011 Toulouse Lectures over a
of California, Irvine. Wright: University of Wisconsin– week at the Toulouse School of Economics, and he thanks
Madison, FRB Minneapolis, FRB Chicago, and NBER. them for their generous hospitality. Wright also acknowl-
A previous version of this essay circulated as “The Art edges the NSF and the Ray Zemon Chair in Liquid
of Monetary Theory: A New Monetarist Perspective” Assets at the Wisconsin School of Business for research
(to pay homage to Clarida, Gali, and Gertler 1999). support. Lagos acknowledges the C.V. Starr Center for
For comments we thank the editor and four referees. Applied Economics at NYU as well as the hospitality of
Particularly useful input was also provided by David the Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics at
Andolfatto, Ed Green, Ricardo Cavalcanti, Mei Dong, Yale University, the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapo-
John Duffy, Pedro Gomis-Porqueras, Ian King, Yiting lis, and the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. The usual
Li, Narayana Kocherlakota, Andy Postlewaite, Daniella disclaimers apply.

Puzzello, Mario Silva, Alberto Trejos, Neil Wallace, Go to https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.20141195 to visit the
Steve Williamson, and Sylvia Xiao. Parts of the essay were article page and view author disclosure statement(s).

371
372 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

1. Introduction ued, or, more generally, why do asset prices


differ from their fundamental values? How

O ver the past 25 years, a new approach


has been developed to study mone-
tary theory and policy, and, more broadly,
does credit work absent commitment?
What is the role of collateral? Under what
conditions can money and credit coexist?
to study liquidity. This approach sometimes What are the functions of intermediation?
goes by the name new monetarist econom- What are the effects of inflation? What can
ics. Research in the area lies at an interface monetary policy achieve and how should
between macro and micro—it is meant to be it be conducted? As will become clear,
empirically and policy relevant, but it also the research concerns much more than
strives for theoretical rigor and logical con- just pricing currency. It concerns trying to
sistency. Of course most economic research understand the process of exchange in the
tries to be rigorous and consistent, but it presence of explicit frictions, and how this
seems accurate to say the body of work we process might be facilitated by institutions
call new monetarism is particularly con- including money, credit, collateral, and
cerned with microfoundations. Recently, intermediation.
however, the field has become increasingly A characteristic of the literature discussed
policy oriented as the theories have matured, below is that it models the transactions pro-
and as recent events have put monetary mat- cess explicitly, in the sense that agents trade
ters front and center, including those related with each other. That is not true in general
to interest rates, banking, credit conditions, equilibrium (GE) theory, where they merely
financial markets, and liquidity.1 slide along budget lines. In Arrow–Debreu,
Papers in the area are diverse, yet share agents are endowed with a vector ​​ x ​​̅, and
a set of principles and methods. Common choose another ​x​ subject only to p ​ x ≤ p​ x ​​̅,
themes include: What exactly is liquidity? with ​p​ taken as given; how they get from ​​ x ​​̅
What is the role of money and is it essential to ​x​ is not discussed.2 The models below
for improving the allocation of resources? incorporate frictions that hinder interac-
Which objects will or should play this role tions between agents and then analyze how
in equilibrium or optimal arrangements? institutions ameliorate these frictions. Since
Why is intrinsically worthless currency val- money is one such institution, maybe the
most elemental, it is natural to start there but
1
the work does not stop there. We are inter-
Williamson and Wright (2010a) discuss the new mon-
etarist label and compare the approach to old monetarist ested in any institution whose raison d’être is
and new or old Keynesian economics. Briefly, at least some the facilitation of transactions, and for this,
people contributing to the literature surveyed here find one needs relatively explicit descriptions of
attractive many (not all) ideas in old monetarism, repre-
sented by Friedman (1960, 1968, 1969) and his followers. the trading process.3
There is also opposition to the new Keynesians (see fn. 6
for citations) due to disagreements over what constitutes
solid microfoundations. While there is a broad consensus 2 Earlier research surveyed by Ostroy and Starr (1990)
on the attractiveness of microfounded dynamic models, in asked some of the right questions, but did not resolve all
general, there are differences about which frictions matter the issues. Also related is work trying to use Shapley and
most. We tend to focus on limited commitment, imper- Shubik’s (1969) market games as a foundation for monetary
fect monitoring, private information, and difficulties in economics, e.g., Hayashi and Matsui (1996).
coordinating trade (search frictions). Keynesians focus on 3 This is a venerable concern. On “the old conundrum”
nominal price rigidity as the critical, if not the exclusive, of fiat money, Hahn (1987) says: “At a common-sense level
distortion relevant for macroeconomic analysis. We hope almost everyone has an answer to this, and old-fashioned
that explaining the areas of disagreement is constructive, textbooks used to embroider on some of the banalities at
the way it was healthy for old monetarists and Keynesians great length. But common sense is, of course, no substi-
to debate the issues. tute for thought and certainly not for theory. In ­particular,
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 373

Research discussed below borrows from arise from having agents set prices in dollars
GE, and some models adopt the abstraction and making it difficult or costly to change.
of competitive markets, when convenient, If money were really such a hindrance, how
but others rely heavily on search theory, did it survive all these centuries? The work
which is all about agents trading with each reviewed here tries to get the relevant phe-
other. They also use game theory, since the nomena, like monetary or credit arrange-
issues are inherently strategic, e.g., what ments, to arise endogenously, as beneficial
one accepts as a medium of exchange or col- institutions. This can give different answers
lateral might depend on what others accept. than reduced-form models, and allows
At the intersection of search and game the- additional questions. How can one purport
ory, the papers often use bargaining, which to understand financial crises or banking
leads to insights one might miss if exclu- problems using theories with no essential
sively wed to a Walrasian auctioneer. Other role for payment or settlement systems in
ways to determine the terms of trade are the first place? How can one hope to assess
studied, too, including price taking, post- the effects of inflation—a tax on the use of
ing, and more abstract mechanisms. Key money—using theories that do not incor-
frictions include spatial and temporal sepa- porate the frictions that money is meant to
ration, limited commitment, and imperfect remedy? We do not claim the papers dis-
information. These can make arrangements cussed below have definitive answers to all
involving money socially beneficial, which is these questions, but contend that they pro-
not the case in models with c­ ash-in-advance vide useful ways to think about them.
(CIA) or money-in-utility-function (MUF) To hint at where we are going, consider
assumptions. Such reduced-form devices these well-known examples of work that
presumably stand in for the idea that mon- shares our stance on avoiding shortcuts
etary exchange helps overcome some diffi- to model monetary phenomena. There is
culties—but then, one might ask, why not a large body of work using overlapping-
model that? generations (OLG) economies, with major
In CIA models, having to use cash hurts; in contributions by Samuelson (1958), Lucas
sticky-price models, nothing but ­problems (1972), and Wallace (1980). Since Kiyotaki
and Wright (1989), more monetary econ-
omists employ search theory (Jones 1976,
most of the models of an economy which we have, and Oh 1989, and Iwai 1996 are other early
I am thinking here of many besides those of Arrow and
Debreu, have no formal account for the exchange pro- attempts at search-based models of money).
cess.” Clower (1970) similarly says: “conventional value However, as discussed below, spatial sep-
theory is essentially a device for logical analysis of virtual aration per se is not crucial, as clarified
trades in a world where individual economic activities are
costlessly coordinated by a central market authority. It by Kocherlakota (1998), in line with ear-
has nothing whatever to say about delivery and payment lier work by Ostroy (1973) and Townsend
arrangements, about the timing or frequency of market (1989). On banking, we discuss research
transactions, about search, bargaining, information and
other trading costs, or about countless other commonplace drawing on Diamond and Dybvig (1983),
features of real-world trading processes.” On middlemen, Diamond (1984), and Williamson (1986,
Rubinstein and Wolinsky (1987) say: “Despite the import- 1987). On intermediation, related contri-
ant role played by intermediation in most markets, it is
largely ignored by the standard theoretical literature. This butions include Rubinstein and Wolinsky
is because a study of intermediation requires a basic model (1987) and Duffie, Garleanu, and Pedersen
that describes explicitly the trade frictions that give rise to (2005). On secured credit, the models share
the function of intermediation. But this is missing from the
standard market models, where the actual process of trad- themes with Kiyotaki and Moore (1997,
ing is left unmodeled.” 2005), while on unsecured credit, they
374 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

make use of Kehoe and Levine (1993), and we show how Lagos and Rocheteau (2009)
Alvarez and Jermann (2000).4 relax it in models of over-the-counter (OTC)
By way of preview, we start with the asset markets along the lines of Duffie,
first-generation search models of money by Garleanu, and Pedersen (2005). We also dis-
Kiyotaki and Wright (1989, 1993), Aiyagari cuss ­information-based models.
and Wallace (1991, 1992), and others, to Before getting into theory, let us clarify
illustrate trade-offs between asset returns a few terms and put them in historical per-
and acceptability, and to show how econo- spective. It is commonly understood that
mies where liquidity plays a role are prone double-coincidence problems plague direct
to multiplicity and volatility. We also present barter: in a bilateral meeting between indi-
elementary versions of Kocherlakota’s (1998) viduals ​i​and ​j​, it would be a coincidence if​
results on the essentiality of money, and i​liked ​j​  ’s good, and a double coincidence
Cavalcanti and Wallace’s (1999b) analysis of if ​j​also liked i​​  ’s good.5 Reference is often
inside and outside money. We then move to made to a medium of exchange, and on this
the second-generation models by Shi (1995), it is hard to improve on Wicksell (1911): “an
Trejos and Wright (1995), and others, with object which is taken in exchange, not for
divisible goods. This permits further explo- its own account, i.e., not to be consumed by
ration of the efficiency of monetary exchange the receiver or to be employed in technical
and the idea that liquidity considerations lead production, but to be exchanged for some-
to multiplicity and volatility. We also develop thing else within a longer or shorter period
a connection with the ­ above-mentioned of time.” A medium of exchange that is also
models of intermediation. a consumption or production good is com-
We then move to divisible assets, as in com- modity money. By contrast, Wallace (1980)
putational work by Molico (2006) and others, defines fiat money as a medium of exchange
or the more analytically tractable approaches that is intrinsically useless (neither a con-
in Shi (1997a) and Lagos and Wright (2005). sumption good nor a productive input) and
These models are easier to integrate with inconvertible (not a claim on consumption
mainstream macro and allow us to examine or production goods). This usefully delin-
many standard issues in a new light. We also eates a pure case, although assets other than
discuss the effects of monetary policy on labor currency can convey moneyness—i.e., can be
markets, the interaction between money and more or less easy to use in transactions.
other assets in facilitating exchange, and the A challenge in monetary economics is to
theme that observations that seem anoma- describe environments where an institution
lous from the perspective of standard finan- like money is essential. As introduced by
cial economics can emerge naturally when Hahn (1973), essentiality means welfare is
there are trading frictions. Also, just as some higher, or the set of incentive-feasible allo-
papers relax the assumption of indivisible cations is larger, with money than without
assets in early search-based monetary theory, it. In some applications, it is fairly evident
that one should want to use models where
4 Further on method, our preference for modeling
monetary, credit, and other such arrangements explicitly 5 Jevons (1875) often gets credit, but other discussions
is related to the Lucas (1976) critique, ideas espoused in of this idea, in reverse historical order, include von Mises
Townsend (1987, 1988), and the Wallace (1998) dictum (1912), Wicksell (1911), Menger (1892), and Smith (1776).
that says: “Money should not be a primitive in monetary Sargent and Velde (2003) argue that the first to see how
theory—in the same way that firm should not be a prim- money helps with a double-coincidence problem was
itive in industrial organization theory or bond a primitive the Roman jurist Paulus in the second century, despite
in finance theory.” Schumpeter’s (1954) claim for Aristotle.
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 375

money is essential—e.g., again, to under- and early example of the methods used in
stand the cost of the inflation tax, one might the literature.7
want to first understand the benefits of mon- Time is discrete and continues forever.
etary exchange, and the fact that money is There is a [​​ 0, 1]​​continuum of infinitely lived
so prevalent over time suggests that as an agents that meet bilaterally at random. To
institution, it must be welfare improving. introduce gains from trade, assume they
That this is nontrivial is evidenced by the have specialized tastes and technologies:
fact that money is not essential in standard there are ​N​types of agents and ​N​ goods,
theories. As Debreu (1959) says about his, where type ​ j​agents consume good ​ j​ but
an “important and difficult question … not produce good ​j + 1​modulo ​N​(i.e., type ​N​
answered by the approach taken here: the agents produce good ​N + 1 = 1​). For now,
integration of money in the theory of value.” the fraction of type ​j​ is ​​n​ j​​  = 1​/​N​, and we set​
An objective here is to clarify what ingredi- N = 3​. Although we usually call the agents
ents are relevant for getting liquidity consid- consumers, obviously similar considerations
erations into rigorous theory, and to show are relevant for producers. Instead of say-
how economics gets more interesting when ing individual ​ i​produces good ​ i + 1​ but
they are there.6 wants to consume ​i​, it is a relabeling to say
firm ​i​uses ​i​to produce ​i + 1​, generating the
same motives for and difficulties with trade.
2. Commodities as Money
However, although these difficulties hinder
We begin with Kiyotaki and Wright barter, the double-coincidence problem per
(1989). The goal is to derive equilibrium se does nothing to rule out credit. For that
transactions patterns endogenously and see we need a lack of enforcement/commitment
if they resemble trading arrangements in plus imperfect information, as assumed here
actual economies, in a stylized sense, such and discussed in detail in section 3.
as certain commodities acting as media of Goods are indivisible. They are stor-
exchange, or certain agents playing the role able only one unit at a time. Let ​​ρ​  j​​​ be the
of middlemen. While abstract relative to return on good ​j​—i.e., the flow utility agents
much of what follows, this goal still seems get from a unit of it in inventory. One can
relevant, and a discussion seems appropriate, interpret ​​ρ​  j​​  > 0​as a dividend, or fruit from
because this setting provides a ­rudimentary a Lucas (1978) tree, and ​​ρ​  j​​  < 0​as a storage
cost. As discussed in Nosal and Rocheteau
(2011, chapter 5), it is a venerable idea that
the intrinsic properties of objects influ-
6 Related surveys or discussions include Wallace (2001,
ence which can or should serve as media
2010), Wright (2005), Shi (2006), Lagos (2008), Williamson
and Wright (2010a, 2010b), Nosal and Rocheteau (2011), of exchange, and storability is the property
and Waller (2015). By way of comparison, in this essay we: in focus here. Type j​​agents also get utility​
(1) discuss liquidity generally with money a special case; u > 0​by consuming good j​​, and then pro-
(2) connect more to finance and labor; (3) provide sim-
plified versions of difficult material not found elsewhere; duce a new unit of good j​ + 1​at cost ​c = 0​.
(4) highlight a few quantitative results; and (5) cover work Type ​j​agents always accept good ​j​in trade,
over the past five years. Surveys of the very different new
Keynesian approach include Clarida, Gali, and Gertler
(1999) and Woodford (2003). To be clear, while there
are disagreements, it is certainly desirable that different
practices are allowed to flourish. Also, it is hard not to be 7 Without much loss of continuity, it is possible to skip
impressed by Keynesian success with policy makers and in to section 6 in order to reach the frontier more quickly, or
the media; the more modest goal here is to communicate to skip to section 3 for a model that came later but is easier
to scholars that there is an alternative. than this one.
376 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

and immediately consume, given |​​​ρ​  j​​|​​ is not are: ​​τ​  1​​  = 1​ if ​​V13
​  ​​  > ​V12
​  ​​​; ​​τ​  1​​  = 0​ if ​​V13
​  ​​  < ​V12
​  ​​​;
too big (more on this below). and ​​τ​  1​​  = [ 0, 1 ]​ if ​​V13 ​  ​​  = ​V12 ​  ​​​. Calculation
The following aspect of strategies is to be implies ​​V1​  3​​  − ​V12 ​  ​​ ​takes the same sign as
determined: Will type ​j​agents trade good​
j + 1​for good ​j + 2​in an attempt to facilitate (4) ​​Δ​  1​​  ≡ ​ρ​  3​​  − ​ρ​  2​​  + α​[​n​ 3​​ ​m​ 3​​​(1 − ​τ​  3​​)​ 
acquisition of good ​j​? Or will they hold onto
good ​j + 1​until trading directly for good j​​? − ​n​ 2​​​(1 − ​m​ 2​​)​]​  u.​
If ​​τ​  j​​​is the probability type j​​agents trade
good ​ j + 1​for good j​+ 2​ , a symmet- ​​ 3​​  − ​ρ​  2​​​ is the return differential
In (4), ρ​ 
ric, stationary, strategy profile is a vector from holding good ​3​rather than good ​2​. If
​τ = (​τ​  1​​, ​τ​  2​​, ​τ​  3​​)​. If ​​τ​  j​​  > 0​, type j​​agents use returns were all agents valued, this would be
good ​j + 2​as a medium of exchange. Also to the sole factor determining τ​ ​​ 1​​​. But the other
be determined is the distribution of inven- term is the difference in the probability of
tories. Since type j​​agents consume good j​​, acquiring ​1​’s desired good when holding good​
they always have either good j​ + 1​or j​ + 2​. 3​rather than 2​ ​, or the liquidity differential.
Hence, m ​ = (​m​ 1​​, ​m​ 2​​, ​m​ 3​​  )​ gives the dis- Whether type ​1​agents should opt for indi-
tribution, where m​  ​​ j​​​is the proportion of rect exchange, swapping good 2​ ​for 3​ ​when-
type ​j​agents with good j​ + 1​. The proba­bility ever they can, involves comparing return and
type ​i​agents meet type j​​agents with good​ liquidity differentials. This reduces the BR
j + 1​each period is ​α ​n​ j​​ ​m​ j​​​, where ​α​ is the condition for ​​τ​  1​​​to a check on the sign of ​​Δ​  1​​​.
probability of meeting anyone and ​​n​ j​​  = 1 / N​. Indeed, for any ​j​:
The appendix derives the steady state (SS)
condition for each ​j​, ⎧1 if  ​Δ​  j​​  > 0

(5) ​​τ​  j​​  = ​⎨​[  
​  1]​​  if  ​Δ​  j​​  = 0​​​​.​
0,
(1) ​​m​ j​​ ​n​ j+1​​ ​m​ j+1​​ ​τ​  j​​  = (1 − ​m​ j​​  ) ​n​ j+2​​ ​m​ j+2​​  .​ ⎪
⎩0 if  ​Δ​  j​​  < 0
To describe payoffs, let ​r​be the rate of
time preference and ​V = ​(​Vij​  ​​)​​, where ​​Vij​  ​​​ the A stationary, symmetric equilibrium is a list​​
value function of type ​i​holding good ​j​. For ⟨V, m, τ⟩​​satisfying the DP, SS, and BR con-
notational convenience, let the utility from ditions. There are eight candidate equilibria
dividends be realized next period. Then, for in pure strategies, and for each such ​τ​, one
type ​1​, can solve for ​m​, and use (5) to determine the
parameters for which ​τ​ is a BR to itself (see
r ​V1​  2​​  =  ​ρ​  2​​  + α ​n​ 2​​​(1 − ​m​ 2​​)​  u
(2) ​ the appendix).
To present the results, assume ​​ρ​1​​, ​ρ​  2​​  > 0
+ α ​n​ 3​​ ​m​ 3​​ ​τ​  3​​  u = ​ρ​  3​​​
, so we can display outcomes in the
positive quadrant of ​​(​ρ​  1​​, ​ρ​  2)​​ ​​ space. Figure 1
+ α ​n​ 2​​ ​m​ 2​​ ​τ​  1​​  ( ​V13
​  ​​  − ​V12
​  ​​), shows different regions labeled by ​τ​ to
indicate which equilibria exist. There are
two cases, model A or B, distinguished by
(3) ​  ​​  = ​ρ​  3​​  + α ​n​ 3​​ ​m​ 3​​  (u + ​V12
r ​V13 ​  ​​  − ​V13
​  ​​), ​ ​​ρ​1​​  > ​ρ​  2​​​ or ​​ρ​  2​​  > ​ρ​  1​​​.8 In figure 1, model A

which are standard dynamic programming


8 In Kiyotaki and Wright (1989), models A and B both
(DP) equations; the appendix provides more
have ​​ρ​  1​​  > ​ρ​  2​​​, but in model B type j​​produces good j​ − 1​
details for readers less familiar with the instead of ​j + 1​. Here we keep production fixed and dis-
methods. The best response (BR) conditions tinguish A or B by ​​ρ​  1​​  > ​ρ​  2​​​ or ​​ρ​  2​​  > ​ρ​  1​​​, which is equivalent
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 377

ρ2

(0, 1, 1)
(0, 1, 0)

ρ2
(τ *, 1, 0)
ρ2
(1, 1, 0)
ρ2
(0, 1, 1) (1, 1, 0)

ρ1

Figure 1. Equilibria with Commodities as Money

corresponds to the region below the 45​​  ​​ o​​ wants. In contrast, type ​ 2​agents always
line, where there are two possibilities: if accept good 2​ ​but only have good ​1​with
​​ρ​  2​​  ≥ ​​ρ̂ ​​  2​​​the unique outcome is ​τ = (0, 1, 0)​; probability ​​m​ 2​​  = 1/2​. Hence, good 3​ ​allows
and if ​​ρ​  2​​  ≤ ​​ ρ ​​ ̅ 2​​​ it is ​τ = (1, 1, 0)​. To under- type ​1​agents to consume sooner. If ​​ρ​  2​​  > ​​ρ̂ ​​  2​​​
stand this, note that for type ​1​, good ​3​is more this liquidity factor does not compensate for
liquid than good 2​ ​. It is more liquid since a lower return; if ρ​  ​​ 2​​  < ​​ρ̂ ​​  2​​​it does. The rea-
type ​3​agents accept good 3​ ​but not good 2​ ​, son type ​1​is pivotal is this: for type ​2​agents,
and type 3​ ​agents always have what type 1​ ​ trading good 3​​for good 1​​enhances both
liquidity and return, as does holding onto
good 1​ ​for type ​3​. Hence, only type ​1​agents
but easier. To see how they differ, consider model A with​​ have a trade-off.
ρ​  1​​  > ​ρ​  2​​​. Then at least myopically it looks like a bad idea for
type ​1​to set ​​τ​  1​​  = 1​, because trading good 2​ ​for ​3​lowers In model A, ​τ = (0, 1, 0)​is called the fun-
his return. Similarly, it looks like a bad idea for type 3​ ​to damental equilibrium. It features good 1​​
set ​​τ​  3​​  = 1​, and a good idea for type 2​ ​to set ​​τ​  2​​  = 1​. Hence, as the universally accepted commodity
exactly one type is predisposed to use indirect trade based
on fundamentals. In model B, types 2​ ​and 3​ ​are both so money, and has type ​ 2​agents acting as
predisposed. middlemen by acquiring good ​ 1​from its
378 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

­ roducers and delivering it to its consumers.


p types and N ​ ​goods, and prove existence of an
While this is a natural outcome, if ρ​  ​​ 2​​  < ​​ ρ ​​ ̅ 2​​​ equilibrium where the highest-return good is
we instead get ​τ = (1, 1, 0)​, called a specu- universally accepted (but there can also exist
lative e­ quilibrium. This outcome has type ​1​ equilibria where this good is not universally
agents trading good ​2​for the lower-return accepted). This is nontrivial because stan-
good 3​ ​to improve their liquidity position, dard fixed-point theorems do not guarantee
and both goods 1​ ​and ​3​are used for indirect equilibrium with a particular exchange pat-
exchange. Theory delivers cutoffs for type ​1​ tern (one of Hahn’s 1965 problems; see also
to sacrifice return for liquidity, but there is Zhu 2003, 2005). An extension by Kiyotaki
a gap: for ρ ​​​ ̂ ​​  2​​  > ​ρ​  2​​  > ​​ ρ ​​ ̅ 2​​​there is no station- and Wright (1989) and Aiyagari and Wallace
ary, symmetric equilibrium in p ­ ure strate- (1992) is to add fiat currency. We postpone
gies. Kehoe, Kiyotaki, and Wright (1993) discussion of this, but mention that it pro-
show there is one in ­mixed strategies, where vides one way to see that equilibria are not
type 1​ ​agents accept good 3​ ​with probabil- generally efficient: for some parameters,
ity ​​τ​​  ∗​  ∈ (​ 0, 1)​​. They also show there can be equilibria with valued fiat money exist and
multiple stationary mixed-strategy equilib- dominate other equilibria. In terms of com-
ria, but the set of such equilibria is finite. paring ­ commodity-money equilibria when
Whenever ​​​ρ̂ ​​  2​​  > ​ρ​  2​​  > ​​ ρ ​​ ̅ 2​​​ they also construct they coexist, it may seem better to use the
nonstationary equilibria with τ​​ ​​ ∗​​ cycling over highest-return object as money, but some
time—an early (perhaps the first?) exam- agents may prefer to have other objects so
ple of production and exchange fluctuating used, like those who produce these objects,
as a self-fulfilling prophecy due to liquidity reminiscent of the bimetalism debates (e.g.,
considerations.9 see Friedman 1992).
In model B, above the 45​​  ​​ o​​line, there is To study how we get to equilibrium, sev-
always an equilibrium with ​τ = ​(0, 1, 1)​​. This eral papers use evolutionary dynamics.10
is the fundamental equilibrium for model B, Wright (1995) has a general population
where type ​1​agents hang on to good 2​ ​, which ​n = ( ​n​ 1​​  , ​n​ 2​​  , ​n​ 3​​ 
)​, and in one application
now has the highest return, while types ​2​ agents can choose their type. This can be
and ​3​opt for indirect exchange, with goods​ interpreted as choosing preferences, or tech-
1​and 2​ ​serving as money. For some param- nologies, or as an evolutionary process where
eters, there coexists an equilibrium with types with higher payoffs increase in num-
​τ = ​(1, 1, 0)​​, the speculative equilibrium for bers due to reproduction or imitation. In
this specification, where good 2​ ​is not uni- model A, with n​  ​​ t​​​evolving according to stan-
versally accepted even though it now has dard Darwinian dynamics, for any initial n​  ​​ 0​​​,
the best return. The coexistence of equilib- and any initial equilibrium if n​  ​​ 0​​​ admits mul-
ria with different transactions patterns and tiplicity, ​​n​  t​​  → ​n​  ∞​​​ where at ​​n​  ∞​​​ the unique
liquidity properties shows that these are not
necessarily pinned down by fundamentals. 10 These include Matsuyama, Kiyotaki, and Matsui
This is the baseline model. In an exten- (1993), Wright (1995), Luo (1998), and Sethi (1999).
sion, Aiyagari and Wallace (1991) allow N ​​ Relatedly, Marimon, McGrattan, and Sargent (1990) and
Başçı (1999) ask if artificially intelligent agents can learn
to play equilibrium in the model. There are also studies
in the lab. In these experiments, Brown (1996) and Duffy
9 Oberfield and Trachter (2012) show that the set of and Ochs (1999) find subjects have little problem finding
dynamic equilibria shrinks as the length of the period gets the fundamental equilibrium, but can be reluctant to adopt
small in a version of the model. Still, a recurrent theme speculative strategies. Duffy (2001) shows they can learn
below is that economies where liquidity plays a role are to do so. Duffy and Ochs (2002) also experiment with ver-
generally prone to multiplicity and volatility. sions including fiat currency.
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 379

equilibrium is speculative. Intuitively, with r­andomize exist for many parameter val-
fundamental strategies type ​3​agents get the ues, and in such equilibria goods with lower​
highest payoff, since they produce a good ρ​have higher acceptability. Intuitively, to
with the best return and highest liquidity. make agents indifferent between lower- and
Ergo, ​​n​ 3​​​increases, and as type ​ 1​agents ­higher-return objects, the former must be
interact with type ​3​more often, they are more liquid. This outcome, which can be
more inclined to sacrifice return for liquidity. socially desirable, is related to Gresham’s
Motivated in part by criticism of random law, and more generally captures rigorously
matching (e.g., Howitt 2005 or Prescott a robust idea: Abstracting from risk, for the
2005), Corbae, Temzelides, and Wright sake of illustration, whenever agents are
(2003) redo the model with directed search. indifferent between two assets (e.g., savings
Generalizing Gale and Shapley (1962), at and checking deposits), as they must be if
each ​ t​the population partitions into sub- they are willing to hold both, the one with a
sets containing at most two agents such lower return must be more liquid.12
that there are no profitable deviations in
trade or trading partners for any individual
3. Assets as Money
or pair. For model A with n​  ​​ i​​  = 1 / 3​, with
directed search the fundamental outcome​ Adding other assets allows us to illustrate
τ = ​(0, 1, 0)​​is the unique equilibrium in additional results: (1) assets can facilitate
a certain class. On the equilibrium path, intertemporal exchange; (2) this may be true
starting at m ​ = ​(1, 1, 1)​​, type ​2​ trades with for fiat currency, an asset with a 0​ ​return, or
type ​3​while type ​1​sits out. Next period, even for those with negative returns; (3) for
at ​m = ​(1, 0, 1)​​, type ​2​ trades with type ​1​ money to be essential, necessary conditions
while type ​ 3​sits out, putting us back at include limited commitment and imperfect
​m = ​(1, 1, 1)​​. Different from random match- information; (4) the value of fiat money is
ing, there is a unique outcome and it features both tenuous and robust; and (5) whether
good ​1​as money. Heuristically, with random assets circulate as media of exchange may
search, in speculative equilibrium type ​ 1​ not be pinned down by primitives.13
cares about the chance of meeting type 3​ ​ Goods are nonstorable and produced on
with good 1​ ​; with directed search, chance is the spot for immediate consumption, at cost​
not a factor because the endogenous trans- c > 0​. Hence, they cannot be retraded (one
action pattern is deterministic. Indeed,
type 2​ ​agents cater to type ​1​agents’ needs by
acting as middlemen, delivering consump- 12 While this should suffice to illustrate how an early
tion every second period. Hence, one might formalization of the liquidity concept works, additional
results are available—e.g., Camera (2001) discusses inter-
say that some randomness is needed to make mediation in more detail, while Cuadras-Morató (1994)
operative type 1​ ​’s precautionary demand for and Yiting Li (1995) incorporate recognizability consider-
liquidity, as seems natural.11 ations in versions with private information. We return to
these topics in sections 5 and 10.
As a final application, Renero (1998,1999) 13 The setup here follows Kiyotaki and Wright (1991,
shows that equilibria where all agents 1993), simplified in various ways. In the original model,
as in Diamond (1982), agents go to one “island” to pro-
duce and another to trade; here they produce on the spot.
Also, in early versions, agents consume all goods, but
11 However, these results have only been established for like some more than others and have to choose which to
model A and ​​n​ i​​  = 1 / 3​fixed exogenously; it is not known accept; here that choice is made obvious. Also, in early for­
what happens in model B, for ​​n​ i​​  ≠ 1 / 3​or for ​n​ deter- mulations agents with assets could not produce, and so had
mined endogenously, so there is still work to be done on to use money even in double-coincidence meetings; that is
this model. relaxed in this presentation, following Siandra (1990).
380 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

might think of them as services). Agents matching process. However, if they cannot
still specialize, but now, when ​i​and ​j​ meet, commit, we must check that said promise is
the probability of a double coincidence is​ credible. This entails an incentive condition,
δ​ , the probability of a single coincidence IC, when an agent is supposed to produce
where ​i​likes ​j​’s output is ​σ​, and symmet- in a single-coincidence meeting, and of
rically the probability of a single coinci- course it depends on the consequences of
dence where j​​likes ​i​’s output is also ​σ​. So deviating. If ​​V​​  D​​is the deviation payoff, IC is
the ­ double-coincidence arrival rate is α ​ δ​,
with ​α​ and ​δ​ capturing search and matching, − c + ​V​​  C​  ≥ μ ​V​​  D​  + ​(1 − μ)​ ​V​​  C​  , ​
(6) ​
respectively, and the equations below hold-
ing in discrete time or continuous time with​ where ​ μ​is the probability deviators are
α​ interpreted as a Poisson parameter. Any caught and punished. Thus, μ ​ < 1​ captures
good that ​i​likes gives him the same utility​ imperfect monitoring, or record keeping,
u > c​; all others give him ​0​. There is a stor- so that deviations are only probabilistically
able asset that no one consumes but yields a detected and communicated to the popu-
flow utility ρ ​ ​. If ρ ​ = 0​it is fiat currency. For lation at large. The best punishment is the
now, assume that agents neither dispose of harshest, which is banishment to autarky,
nor hoard assets (we check this below). but that may not be feasible, depending on
Let ​A ∈ ​[0, 1]​​be the fixed asset supply, details, so we take the best punishment to be
and for now continue to assume assets are a loss of future credit (these are of course the
indivisible and agents can hold at most 1​​ same if ​δ = 0​). Then ​​V​​  D​  = ​V​​  B​​, in which case
unit, a​ ∈ ​{0, 1}​​. To begin, however, let A ​ = 0​, (6) holds if and only if
so that if credit is not incentive feasible,
barter is the only option. The flow barter r ≤ ​​r  ​​ Ĉ ​​  ≡ μασ​(u − c)​/ c.​
(7) ​
payoff is ​ r ​V​​  B​  = αδ​(u − c)​​. Given ​δ > 0​,
this beats autarky: V​​  ​​ B​  > ​V​​  A​  = 0​. But given​ As is standard, low ​r​is necessary for coop-
σ > 0​, it does not do all that well, because erative behavior. Or, one can alternatively
in some meetings ​i​wants to trade but ​j​ will say that μ ​ ​must not be too small, meaning
not oblige, which is bad for everyone ex ante. the monitoring/communication technol-
Suppose we try to institute a credit system, ogy must be sufficiently good. If credit is
where agent ​i​produces for ​j​whenever ​j​ likes​ not viable, consider monetizing exchange.
i​’s output. This is credit because agents pro- Let ​​Va​  ​​​be the value function for agents with
duce while receiving nothing by way of quid ​a ∈ ​{0, 1}​​, and call those with ​a = 1​ (​a = 0​)
pro quo, with the understanding—call it a buyers (sellers). Then
promise—that someone will do the same for
them in the future. The flow payoff to this r ​V0​  ​​  = αδ​(u − c)​ 
(8) ​
arrangement is
+ ασA ​τ​  0​​ ​τ​  1​​​(​V1​  ​​  − ​V0​  ​​  − c)​,
r ​V​​  ​  = αδ​(u − c)​  + ασu − ασc
​ C
(9) r ​V1​  ​​  = αδ​(u − c)​ 
= α​(δ + σ)​ ​(u − c)​.​ + ασ​(1 − A)​ ​τ​  0​​ ​τ​  1​​​(u + ​V0​  ​​  − ​V1​  ​​)​ 

If ​σ > 0​ then ​​V​​  C​  > ​V​​  B​​. If agents could + ρ, ​


commit, therefore, they would promise to
abide by this arrangement, and this max- where τ​​ ​  0​​​is the probability sellers are will-
imizes ex ante utility conditional on the ing to produce for assets while ​​ τ​  1​​​ is the
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 381

­robability buyers are willing to give up


p To summarize, fiat money is inessential
assets to consume, and we include ​ ρ​ so when μ ​ = 1​, and essential when ​μ < 1 − A​,
the equations also apply to real assets. If because then for some parameters money
​Δ = ​V1​  ​​  − ​V0​  ​​​, the BR conditions are: works while credit does not. To reiterate,
1 if Δ > c necessary ingredients for essentiality are:

{0
τ​  0​​  = ​   
(10.0)  ​​ ​  1]​ ​ if Δ = c​​​​ 
​[0, (1) not all gains from trade are exhausted
if Δ < c by barter; (2) lack of commitment; and (3)
imperfect monitoring. Note, however, that
and while it can be a useful institution, fiat money
is in a sense also tenuous: there is always an
1 if u > Δ

{0
equilibrium where it is not valued, plus sun-
τ​  1​​  = ​ ​[  
(10.1)  ​​ ​  1]​​  if u = Δ​​​​  .
0, spot equilibria where τ​ ​​ 0​​​ fluctuates (Wright
if u < Δ 1994). Yet in another sense, money is robust:
equilibria with ​​τ​  0​​  = 1​exist for ​ρ < 0​as long
Letting V ​ = (​V0​  ​​  , ​V1​  ​​)​ and ​τ = ​(​τ​  0​​  , ​τ​  1​​)​​, as ​​|ρ|​​is not too big. To see this, and to check
equilibrium is a list ⟨​​ V, τ⟩​​ satisfying (8)–(10). the BR condition for τ​ ​​ 1​​  = 1​, figure 2 shows
Taking ​​τ​  1​​  = 1​for granted for now (which, as the probability of trading, ​​τ​  0​​​ ​​τ​  1​​​, correspond-
shown below, is valid if ​ρ​is not too big), let ing to the equilibrium ​τ = ( ​τ​  0​​  , ​τ​  1​​  )​ for any ​ρ​:
us check the BR condition for τ​ ​​ 0​​  = 1​. This equilibrium τ ​ = (1, 1 )​exists if and only if​​
reduces to |ρ|​​is not too big; ​τ = (0, 1 )​exists if ​ρ < rc​,
in which case buyers are willing to trade
(11) ​ ̂ ​​  ≡ ασ(1 − A )​(u − c)​/ c.​
r ≤ ​​r  ​​ M assets for goods but sellers will not oblige;
and τ​ = (1, 0 )​exists if ρ ​ > ru​, in which case
If ​r ≤ ​​r  ​​ M
̂ ​​​monetary equilibrium exists, and sellers are willing to trade but buyers will not.
welfare is higher than barter but lower than As shown, these equilibria often coexist, and
credit. Importantly, notice r​​​ ​​ Ĉ ​​  > ​​r  ​​ M ̂ ​​​ if and when they do there is also a m ­ ixed-strategy
only if ​ μ > 1 − A​ , illustrating a result in equilibrium.15 A general message is this:
Kocherlakota (1998): if the monitoring and whether an asset circulates is not always
record-keeping technology—what he calls pinned down by primitives: for some ρ ​ ​ there
memory—is perfect in the sense of μ ​ = 1​, coexist equilibria where it does and where it
money cannot be essential. This is because​ does not.
μ = 1​ implies ​​​r  ​​ Ĉ ​​  > ​​r  ​​ M
̂ ​​​, so if money exchange
is viable, credit is, too, and the latter is bet-
ter. Credit is better because with money:
(1) potential sellers may have ​ a = 1​; and counter is that sellers do not care if buyers got assets by fair
(2) potential buyers may have ​a = 0​.14 means or foul—e.g., theft—in the past, and only care about
others accepting them in the future.
15 Intuitively, for an arbitrary ​​ τ̃ ​​used by others, your
​​ 0(​​​ ​τ̃ ​)​​ and ​​V1​  (​​​ ​τ̃ ​)​​, and (10) gives your BR cor-
payoffs are V​ 
14 While (1) depends on ​a ∈ ​{0, 1}​​, with random match- respondence, say τ ​ = ϒ​(​τ̃ ​)​​. Equilibrium is a fixed point.
ing (2) is robust. With directed matching, money can be This captures nicely the idea that your individually optimal
as good as credit but not better (Corbae, Temzelides, and trading strategy depends on the strategies of o­ thers: when
Wright 2002, 2003). An exception is when there is value a seller accepts a​ ​he is concerned about getting stuck with
to privacy that makes record keeping undesirable due to, it; when a buyer gives up a​ ​he is concerned about getting
e.g., identity theft (Kahn, McAndrews, and Roberds 2005; stuck without it; and these both depend on other agents’
Kahn and Roberds 2008). Also, note μ ​ ​does not appear in strategies. Note that while the mixed-strategy outcomes in
(11) because monetary exchange requires no record keep- this particular model may not be robust (see fn. 18), it is
ing. Now, one can argue that some record keeping is inher- hard to avoid multiple equilibria in these kinds of models,
ent in monetary exchange, as the fact that someone has in general. See Araujo and Guimaraes (2014) for a “global
currency currently suggests they produced in the past. The games” approach to dealing with this multiplicity.
382 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

τ1 = τ 0 = 1

0 < τ1 < 1, τ0 = 1
τ1 = 1, 0 < τ0 < 1

τ1 = 1, τ0 = 0 τ0 = 1, τ1 = 0

rc − ασ(1−A)(u−c) rc ru ru + ασA(u−c) ρ

Figure 2. Equilibria with Assets as Money

The above discussion concerns symmet- called bankers, are monitored in all meetings;
ric meetings in a large population. Jin and the rest, called nonbankers, are never mon-
Temzelides (2004) have some meetings itored. Agents can now issue notes, pieces
involving people who know each other and of paper with names on them, having no
others involving those who do not. Hence, coupon (​ρ = 0​) but potentially having value
credit works in some meetings but not o­ thers. in exchange. Notes issued by anonymous
With a finite set of agents, Araujo (2004) agents are never accepted for payment—
shows that even if deviations cannot be com- why produce to get a note when you can
municated to the population at large, some- print your own for free?—but notes issued
times social norms and contagion strategies by monitored agents may be accepted, which
can be used to enforce credit: if someone fails is why these agents might be interpreted as
to produce for you, stop producing for oth- banks. This setup can be used to compare an
ers, who stop . . . and eventually this gets back outside money regime (only fiat currency)
to the original deviant. This cannot dissuade to an inside money regime (only notes). The
deviations if the population is large, however, outside money regime is similar to our base-
consistent with the stylized fact that money line model, except we can now exploit the
is used in large or complicated societies but fact that some agents are monitored.
not in small primitive ones. Even with a large Let ​W​be average utility across monitored
population, we need imperfect monitoring, and unmonitored agents, and, for illustra-
and ​μ < 1​is just one way of modeling this.16 tion, suppose monitored agents never hold
In Cavalcanti and Wallace (1999a, 1999b), money (given A ​ ​this does not affect ​W​). Let
​​ m​​​of the population, sometimes
a fraction n​  us try to implement an outcome where mon-
itored agents produce for anyone that likes
their output. For simplicity, set ​δ = 0​to rule
16 This random monitoring formulation follows Gu out barter. Then a monitored agent’s flow
et al. (2013a, 2013b) and Araujo et al. (2015). Cavalcanti payoff is α​ σ​(​n​ m​​  u − c)​​, since he produces for
and Wallace (1999a, 1999b) have some agents monitored
and not others. Sanches and Williamson (2010) have some anyone but only consumes in a meeting with
meetings monitored and not others. Kocherlakota and probability ​​n​ m​​​, since anonymous agents do
Wallace (1998) and Mills (2008) assume information about not produce without quid pro quo. In some
deviations is detected with a lag. Amendola and Ferraris
(2013) assume information about deviations is sometimes applications, monitored agents can always
lost. See also Carmona (2015). become anonymous, but suppose here they
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 383

can be punished by autarky, making it easy These models are in some ways crude.18
to compute their IC. For anonymous agents, Yet they nicely illustrate how money can be
beneficial and clarify the requisite frictions.
r ​V0​  ​​  = ασ ​n​ m​​  u + ασ​(1 − ​n​ m​​)​ 
(12) ​ In applications, Kiyotaki and Wright (1993),
Camera, Reed, and Waller (2003), and Shi
× ​(1 − A)​ ​(u + ​V1​  ​​  − ​V0​  ​​)​, (1997b) endogenize specialization to show
how money enhances efficiency. Burdett et
(13) r ​V1​  ​​  = ασ ​n​ m​​  u al. (1995) analyze who searches, buyers or
sellers, and Victor E. Li (1994, 1995) con-
+ ασ​(1 − ​n​ m​​)​  A​(− c + ​V0​  ​​  − ​V1​  ​​)​, ​ siders taxing money to correct externalities
from endogenous search intensity. Ritter
which modifies (8)–(9) by recognizing that (1995), Green and Weber (1996), Lotz and
they can consume but do not have to pro- Rocheteau (2002), and Lotz (2004) con-
duce when they meet a monitored agent, sider introducing new currencies, while
and ​A​now denotes the asset supply per non- Matsuyama, Kiyotaki, and Matsui (1993) and
monitored agent. Generalizing (11), a moni- Zhou (1997) consider international curren-
tored agent’s IC is cies. Corbae and Ritter (2004) further ana-
lyze credit. Amendola (2008) discusses ways
r ≤ ασ(1 − ​n​ m​​  )(1 − A )​(u − c)​/ c.​
(14) ​ in which one might rule out the nonmone-
tary outcome, making monetary exchange
Notice ​W​is maximized at A​​  ​​ ∗​  = 1 / 2​ (as more robust. Araujo and Shevchenko (2006)
in the baseline model, this maximizes trade and Araujo and Camargo (2006, 2008) study
volume). In the other regime, with no out- learning, which is especially interesting
side money, monitored agents can issue because with bilateral matching, information
notes. This allows them to consume when diffuses through the population slowly due
they meet nonmonitored agents. Also, one to the same search frictions that are part of
can specify that with some probability, bank- what make money useful. There are several
ers require nonmonitored agents with notes models introducing private information (see
to turn them over to get goods, to adjust fn. 58). While simple, based on all this work,
the measure of notes in circulation. Again​ we contend that these models have many
A = 1 / 2​is optimal. It is easy to check that ​W​ features that undeniably ring true.
is higher with inside money, because it lets
monitored agents trade more often by issu-
ing notes as needed. While this is not too sur-
prising, the virtue of the method in general 18 In particular, everything is indivisible, and that does
is that it allows one to concretely discuss the drive some results. Shevchenko and Wright (2004) argue
relative merits of different arrangements.17 that any equilibrium with partial acceptability, ​​τ​  a​​  ∈ ​(0, 1)​​,
is an artifact of indivisibility, but then show how adding
heterogeneity yields a similar multiplicity and robust par-
tial acceptability. Note also that indivisibilities introduce a
complication that we ignore: as in many nonconvex envi-
ronments, agents may want to use lotteries, producing in
exchange for a probability of getting ​a​(Berentsen, Molico,
17 See Mills (2008), Wallace (2010, 2013, 2014b), and Wright 2002; Berentsen and Rocheteau 2002; Lotz,
Wallace and Zhu (2007), and Deviatov and Wallace (2014) Shevchenko, and Waller 2007). Of course, lotteries are not
for more applications. Related but different studies of at all the same as mixed strategies. In figure 2, e.g., if one
banking in this kind of model include Cavalcanti, Erosa, allows lotteries, what happens is this: for large ρ​ ​, the sellers
and Temzelides (1999, 2005), Cavalcanti (2004), He, gives his goods to the buyer for sure, and with some prob-
Huang, and Wright (2005), and Lester (2009). abily he gets the asset.
384 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

4. The Terms of Trade whether they trade). The applicable version


of Kocherlakota (1998) is that μ ​ = 1​ implies
Second-generation monetary search the- ​​​q ​​ ̂C​​  > ​​q ​​ ̂M​​​. So money is not essential if ​μ = 1​,
ory introduced by Shi (1995) and Trejos but is if μ ​ < 1 − A​, as then some levels of q ​​
and Wright (1995) uses divisible goods and can be supported with money and not with
lets agents negotiate terms of trade. The credit.
model further illustrates implications for For equilibrium, there are many alterna-
multiplicity, efficiency, and dynamics. Using tives for determining ​q​. Consider first Kalai’s
­continuous time, which makes dynamics eas- (1977) bargaining solution, which says that
ier, we have the DP equations when a buyer gives an asset to a seller for​
q​, the one who entered the meeting with ​a​
r ​V0​  ​​  = αδ​[u​(Q)​  − c​(Q)​]​ 
(15) ​ gets a share ​​θ​  a​​​of the total surplus.19 Since
the surpluses are ​​ S​ 1(​​​ q)​  = u(q) − Δ​ and
+ ασA ​τ​  0​​ ​τ​  1​​​[​V1​  ​​  − ​V0​  ​​  − c​(q)​]​  + ​​V̇ ​​  0​​, ​​S0​  (​​​ q)​  = Δ − c​(q)​​, the Kalai solution is ​​S​ 1(​​​ q)​ 
= ​θ​  1​​​[u​(q)​  − c​(q)​]​​, or
(16) r ​V1​  ​​  = αδ​[u​(Q)​  − c​(Q)​]​ 
Δ = v​(q)​  ≡ ​θ​  1​​  c​(q)​  + ​θ​  0​​  u​(q)​, ​
(17) ​
+ ασ​(1 − A)​ ​τ​  0​​ ​τ​  1​​​[u​(q)​  + ​V0​  ​​  − ​V1​  ​​]​ 
given the ICs S​  ​​1​​​(q)​  ≥ 0​ and ​​S0​  (​​​ q)​  ≥ 0​
+ ρ + ​​V̇ ​​  1​​  , ​ hold, as they must in equilibrium. Setting
​​τ​  0​​  = ​τ​  1​​  = 1​and subtracting (15)–(16),
where ​​​V̇ ​​  0​​​ and ​​​V̇ ​​  1​​​are derivatives with respect we get ​Δ​as a function of ​​Δ̇ ​​and then use
to time, t​ .​ These are like (8)–(9), with u ​ = u​(q)​​ (17) to get a simple differential equation
the utility from q ​ ​units of consumption and ​​q̇ ​  = e​(q)​​, where
​c = c​(q)​​the disutility of production. Assume​
u​(0)​ = c​(0)​ = 0​, ​​u′ ​​(q)​ > 0​, ​​c′ ​​(q)​ > 0​, ​​v′ ​​(q)​  e​(q)​  = ​[ασ( ​θ​  1​​  − A) + r ​θ​  1​​]​  c​(q)​ 
​​u″ ​​(q)​  < 0​, and ​​c″ ​​(q)​  ≥ 0​ ​∀ q > 0​. Also, ​∃  ​ q ​ ̅ > 0​
with ​u(​ ​ q ​̅ )​  = c​(​ q ​̅ )​​. There are two quantities to − ​[ασ( ​θ​  1​​  − A) − r(1 − ​θ​  1​​)]​  u​(q)​  − ρ.​
be determined in (15)–(16), ​q​in a monetary
trade, and ​Q​in barter. However, because Letting ​V = ​(​V0​  ​​  , ​V1​  ​​)​​, equilibrium is defined
they are independent, we focus only on the by bounded paths for ⟨​​ V, q⟩​​ satisfying these
former (or, we can simply set δ​ = 0​). conditions, with ​q ∈ [ 0, ​ q ​̅ ]​, since that is nec-
Before discussing equilibrium, let’s first essary and sufficient for the IC conditions.
ask what is incentive feasible. In section 3, Characterizing equilibria involves analyzing
with indivisible goods, credit is viable if this dynamical system.20
and only if ​r ≤ ​​r  ​​ Ĉ ​​​and money if and only if
​r ≤ ​​r  ​​ M
̂ ​​​, with ​​​r  ​​ Ĉ ​​​ given by (7), and ​​​r ​​  M
̂ ​​​ is given
by (11) except 1​ − A​replaces μ ​ ​. The analog is 19 Kalai bargaining is very tractable and satisfies the axi-
oms of individual rationality and Pareto efficiency, which
that we can now support credit where agents are obviously natural in this context. It also has a strategic
produce q ​ ​for anyone that likes their out- foundation (Dutta 2012), although that is not as simple as
put ​∀ q ≤ ​​q ​​ ̂C​​​and we can support exchange strategic foundations for Nash bargaining.
20 One can interpret ​ Δ = v​(q)​​as a BR condition to
where agents produce ​ q​for fiat money
​∀ q ≤ ​​q ​​ ̂M​​​, where ​c​(​​q ​​ ̂C)​​ ​ = μασu​(​​q ​​ ̂C)​​ ​/(​ r +
highlight the connection to models presented above. Solve
the DP equations for ​Δ​(​q̃ ​)​​for an arbitrary ​​q̃ ​​; then taking​​
μασ)​​ and ​​​q ​​ ̂M​​​ is similar except ​1 − A​ replaces​ q̃ ​​as given, use the bargaining solution v​ ​(q)​  = Δ​(​q̃ ​)​​ to get​
q = ϒ​(​q̃ ​)​​in a meeting. Equilibrium is a fixed point. One
μ​. Hence, IC now impinges on the inten- usually thinks of best responses by individuals, and here
sive margin (how much agents trade, not it is by pairs, but that seems a technicality relative to the
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 385

q· q· q·

qq qq q

0 q 0 q 0 q
0>ρ > ρ ρ=0 ρ>ρ > 0

Figure 3. Assets as Money with Divisible Goods and High θ​ ​​ 1​​​

Trejos and Wright (2016) characterize the and Trejos and Wright (2016) also construct
outcomes. Figure 3 shows the case of a rel- sunspot equilibria where q ​ ​fluctuates ran-
atively high ​​θ​  1​​​, with subcases depending on​ domly, while Coles and Wright (1998) con-
ρ​. Starting with ρ ​ = 0​(middle panel), there struct continuous-time cycles where q ​ ​ and​
are two steady states, ​q = 0​ and a unique​​ Δ​revolve around steady state. This formal-
q​​  e​  > 0​solving e​​(​q​​  e)​ ​  = 0​ . There are also ization of excess volatility in asset values is
dynamic equilibria starting from any ​​ q​ 0​​  ∈ different from results in ostensibly similar
(0, ​q​​  e​)​, where ​q → 0​ , due to self-fulfilling models without liquidity considerations
inflationary expectations. For an asset with a (Diamond and Fudenberg 1989; Boldrin,
moderate dividend (right panel), e​ (q)​ shifts Kiyotaki, and Wright 1993; Mortensen
down, leaving a unique steady state q​​  ​​ e​  ∈ ​ 1999), which require increasing returns.
(0, ​ q ​̅ )​​and a unique equilibrium, since any Here dynamics are due to the ­self-referential
other solution to ​​q̇ ​  = e​(q)​​ exits [​​ 0, ​ q ​̅ ]​​. If we nature of liquidity. Also note that to get an
_
increase the dividend further to ​ρ > ​ρ​​ (not asset, sellers incur a cost above the funda-
shown), ​e​(q)​​shifts further, the steady state mental value, ​ρ / r​. In standard usage this is
with trade vanishes, and assets get hoarded. a bubble: “if the reason that the price is high
For a moderate storage cost ​ρ ∈ (​_ ρ​, 0)​ (left today is only because investors believe that
panel), there are two steady states with trade, the selling price is high tomorrow—when
​​q​ He ​ ​  ∈ ​(0, ​ q ​̅ )​​ and ​​q​ Le ​ ​  ∈ (0, ​q​ He ​​ )​, plus equilibria ‘fundamental’ factors do not seem to justify
where q ​ → ​q​ Le ​​​  due to self-fulfilling expec- such a price—then a bubble exists” (Stiglitz
tations. For ​ρ < ​ρ _​​(not shown), there is no 1990). Now, one could argue that liquid-
equilibrium with trade and agents dispose ity services are fundamental (e.g., Tirole
of a​ ​. 1985), but rather than discuss semantics, we
Multiple steady states and dynamics emphasize the economics: liquidity consid-
arise because the value of liquidity is partly erations alone can generate deterministic or
self-fulfilling: if you think others give low ​​q​ L​​​ stochastic fluctuations.
for an asset then you only give a little to get In terms of efficiency, clearly ​ q = ​q​​  ∗​​ is
it; if you think they give high q​  ​​ H​​​ for it then desirable, where ​​u′ ​​(​q​​  )​ ​  = ​c′ ​​(​q​​  )​ ​​. Related to
∗ ∗

you give more. Shi (1995), Ennis (2001), Mortensen (1982) and Hosios (1990), with
fiat money and a fixed ​A​, one can construct​​
​ = ϒ​(q)​​ to ​τ = ϒ​(τ)​​ in
conceptual merit of connecting q θ​  ∗1​​​  such that ​q = ​q​​  ∗​​in equilibrium if and only
section 3. if ​​θ​  1​​  = ​θ​  ∗1​​,​  where ​​θ​  ∗1​  ≤ 1​if and only if ​r​is not
386 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

4 > c(q∗) 4 < c(q∗)


S0 S0
θ0
S0 = S1 θ0
θ1 S∗
S0 = S1
S∗ θ∗ θ1
S0 = 0∗ S1
θ1

First best

Second best

S0 = 0
S1 S1

S S∗
q<q ∗
q>q ∗
q<q ∗

Figure 4. Proportional Bargaining and Monetary Exchange

too big. Hence, if agents are patient ​​θ​  ∗1​  ≤ 1​ panel of figure 4, drawn assuming Δ ​ ≥ c( ​q​​  ∗​  )​,
achieves the first best; otherwise θ​ ​​1​​  = 1​ ​​q​​  ​​can be achieved for some ​​θ​  1​​​  at the tan-
∗ ∗

achieves the second best. One can also take​​ gency between the frontier and the ​​45​​ o​​ line,
θ​  1​​​as given and maximize W ​ ​with respect to and ​q​is too low (high) if ​​θ​  1​​​ is below (above)​ ​
​A​. With q ​ ​exogenous, as in section 3, the θ​  ∗1​​.​  In in the right panel, drawn assuming​
solution is A​​  ​​∗​  = 1/2​ . With ​ q​ endoge- Δ < c( ​q​​  ∗​)​, output is too low for all ​​θ​  1​​​, and
nous, if ​ q < ​q​​  ∗​​ then ​​A​​  ∗​  < 1/2​due to an the second best obtains at ​​θ​  1​​  = 1​.
­envelope-theorem argument. This captures, Many results do not rely on a particular
in a very stylized way, the notion that mone- bargaining solution, and various alternatives
tary policy should balance liquidity provision used in the literature can be nested by letting​
and control of the price level. Although it v​(q)​​be a generic mechanism describing how
depends here on the upper bound for a​ ​, it much value a buyer must transfer to a seller to
illustrates the robust idea that it is the distri- get ​q​, so the terms of trade solve ​Δ = v​(q)​​.21
bution of liquidity that really matters.
For a diagrammatic depiction of wel-
fare, let ​​S​ 1​​  = u(q )  − Δ​ and ​​S0​  ​​  = Δ − c(q )​ 21 In terms of the literature, Shi (1995) and Trejos and
denote the buyer’s and seller’s surplus. Any Wright (1995) use symmetric Nash bargaining; Rupert,
trade must satisfy the ICs, S​  ​​ 1​​  ≥ 0​ and ​​S0​  ​​  ≥ 0​. Schindler, and Wright (2001) use generalized Nash; they
all consider threat points given by continuation values and
The relationship between S​  ​​1​​​ and ​​S0​  ​​​ as ​q​ by ​0​, both of which can be easily derived from strategic
changes, the frontier of the bargaining set, is bargaining in nonstationary settings (Binmore, Rubinstein,
​​S0​  ​​  = − c​[​u​​  −1​ ( ​S1​  ​​  + Δ )]​  + Δ​in figure 4. and Wolinsky 1986). Coles and Wright (1998) use a strate-
gic solution for nonstationary equilibria. Trejos and Wright
Kalai’s solution selects the point on the fron- (2016) use Kalai bargaining. Others use mechanism design
tier intersecting the ray ​​S​ 0​​  = ( ​θ​  0​​  / ​θ​  1​​  ) ​S1​  ​​​. As​​ (Wallace and Zhu 2007; Zhu and Wallace 2007), price
θ​  1​​​increases, this ray rotates and changes ​​S​ 1​​​,​​ posting (Curtis and Wright 2004; Julien, Kennes, and
King 2008; Burdett, Trejos, and Wright 2016) or auctions
S​ 0​​​, and ​q​. Let ​​S​​  ∗​  = u( ​q​​  ∗​  ) − c( ​q​​  ∗​ )​. In the left (Julien, Kennes, and King 2008).
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 387

Consider, e.g., generalized Nash bargain- a­pplications include Curtis and Waller
ing with threat points given by continua- (2000), Waller and Curtis (2003), Wright and
tion values: ​​max​  ​ ​ ​​q​  [u​(q)​  − Δ]​​​  ​θ​  1​​​ ​​[Δ − c​(q)​]​​​  ​θ​  0​​​​. Trejos (2001), Camera, Craig, and Waller
The FOC can be written ​Δ = v​(q)​​ with (2004), and Craig and Waller (2004).

​θ​  1​​​u′ ​​(q)​  c​(q)​  + ​θ​  0​​ ​c′ ​​(q)​  u​(q)​


v​(q)​  = ​ ______________________
(18) ​         ​  .​ 5. Intermediation
​θ​  1​​​u′ ​​(q)​  + ​θ​  0​​ ​c′ ​​(q)​
Intermediaries, or middlemen, are also
Notice (18) and (17) are the same at ​q = ​q​​  ∗​​; institutions that facilitate trade. We now
otherwise, given ​​u″ ​  < 0​ or ​​c″ ​  > 0​, they are present two models built to study these
different except in special cases like θ​ ​​ a​​  = 1​. ­institutions, one by Rubinstein and Wolinsky
Nash bargaining allows us to show how (1987) and the other by Duffie, Garleanu,
efficiency depends on various forces. First and Pedersen (2005). In addition to inter-
there is bargaining power; to neutralize that, mediation being an important topic in its
set ​​θ​  1​​  = 1/2​. Second there is market power own right, a reason to discuss these models
coming from market tightness as reflected is that, once one gets past notation and inter-
in the threat points; to neutralize that, set​ pretation, they work much like the one in
A = 1/2​. Then one can show ​q < ​q​​  ∗​​, and section 4, and we want to make connections
​q → ​q​​  ∗​​ as ​r → 0​(Trejos and Wright 1995). The between different literatures.22
intuition is simple: In frictionless economies, The Rubinstein–Wolinsky model has
agents work to acquire purchasing power three types, P ​​, ​M​, and ​ C​ , for producers,
they can turn into immediate consumption, middlemen, and consumers. For simplicity,
and hence they work until ​​u′ ​​(​q​​  ∗)​ ​  = ​c′ ​​(​q​​  ∗)​ ​​. In all agents stay in the market forever (in the
contrast, in monetary economies, they work original setup, P ​ ​and C ​ ​exit after trade, to be
for assets that provide consumption only in replaced by clones). The measure of type i​ ​ is​​
the future, and hence settle for less than n​ i​​​. There is a divisible but nonstorable good​
​​q​​  ∗​​. This comes up with divisible assets, too, q​anyone can produce at cost c​ (​ q)​  = q​ and
but it is a point worth making even with consume for utility ​u(​ q)​  = q​(i.e., there is
​a ∈ ​{0, 1}​​. transferable utility). Unlike section 4, there
Other applications include Shi (1996), are no gains from trade in ​q​, but it can be
Aiyagari, Wallace, and Wright (1996), Wallace used as a payment instrument. There are
and Zhu (2007), and Zhu and Wallace (2007), gains from trade in a different good that is
who study interactions between money and indivisible and storable: type ​C​consumes it
credit or other assets. Wallace (1997) and for utility u ​ > 0​, while type P ​ ​produces it,
Katzman, Kennan, and Wallace (2003) study at cost ​0​, to reduce notation. While ​M​ does
money–output correlations. Johri (1999) fur- not produce or consume this good, he may
ther analyzes dynamics. Wallace and Zhou acquire it from ​P​to trade it to ​C​. It is not pos-
(1997) discuss currency shortages, Wallace sible to store more than one unit, ​a ∈ { 0, 1}​,
(2000) and Lee, Wallace, and Zhu (2005) but the total supply is not fixed, as type P ​​
discuss maturity and denomination struc- has an endogenous decision to produce.
tures, while Ales et al. (2008) and Redish Also, holding returns are specific to ​P​and ​M​,
and Weber (2011) discuss issues in eco- where ​​ρ​  P​​  ≤ 0​ and ​​ρ​  M​​  ≤ 0​, so that ​− ​ρ​  P​​​ and​
nomic history. Williamson (1999) adds inside − ​ρ​  M​​​can be interpreted as storage costs.
money. Several papers add private informa-
tion (see fn. 58). Burdett, Trejos, and Wright 22 However, it is again possible to skip to section 6 with-
(2016) study price ­dispersion. International out loss of continuity.
388 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

Let ​​α​  ij​​​be the rate at which i​ ​meets j​ ​ (there when he has a​ ∈ ​{0, 1}​​. In fact, from these
is always a population ​n​ consistent with this). DP equations, one might observe that this
In ​PC​matches, P ​ ​gives the indivisible good model looks a lot like the one in section 4,
to ​C​ for ​​q​ CP​​​. In ​MC​matches, if ​M​has ​a = 1​ where the indivisible good was money,
he gives it to ​C​ for ​​q​ CM​​​. In ​MP​matches, they except here u ​ ​(q)​  = c​(q)​  = q​.24
cannot trade if a​ = 1​, and may or may not The BR conditions are standard, e.g.,​
trade if ​a = 0​, but if they do, ​M​ transfers ​​q​ MP​​​ ε = 1​ if ​​VP​  ​​  > 0​ . So is the SS condition.
to P ​ ​. Let ​m​be the measure of type ​M ​ with​ Equilibrium satisfies the obvious condi-
a = 1​. The ​​q​ ij​​​ that ​i​gives j​​splits the surplus, tions, and implies payments in direct trade​​
where ​​θ​  ij​​​is the share or bargaining power q​ CP​​  = ​θ​  PC​​  u​ , wholesale trade ​​ q​ MP​​  = ​θ​  PM​​  Δ​,
of ​i​, with ​​θ​  ji​​  + ​θ​  ij​​  = 1​, consistent with Nash and retail trade ​​q​ CM​​  = ​θ​  MC​​  u + ​θ​  CM​​  Δ​. The
or Kalai bargaining, since ​u(​ q)​  = c​(q)​  = q​. spread, or markup, is ​​q​ CM​​  − ​q​ MP​​  = ​θ​  MC​​  u + ​
Similar to entry by firms in Pissarides (2000), (​θ​  MC​​  − ​θ​  MP)​​ ​  Δ​ . Equilibrium exists and is
we need to determine the fraction of P ​ ​ that generically unique, as shown in figure 5 in​​
produce, say ε​ ,​ and the fraction of M ​ ​ that (− ​ρ​  P​​  , − ​ρ​  M)​​ ​​space (remember that − ​ ρ​ is
actively trade, say τ​ .​ In stationary, pure-strat- the storage cost). When − ​  ​ρ​  P​​​ is high, ​ε = 0​
egy, asymmetric equilibria, a fraction ​ε​ of and the market closes. When ​ − ​ρ​  P​​​ is low
type ​P​and a fraction τ​ ​of type M ​ ​are always and ​− ​ρ​  M​​​ high, ​ε = 1​and τ​ = 0​, so there is
active while the rest sit out. In terms of eco- production but not intermediation. When
nomics, a key feature is that storage costs are both are low we get intermediation. For
sunk when agents meet, implying holdup some parameters, ​P​enters with probability​
problems.23 ε ∈ (0, 1)​, with m ​ ​adjusting endogenously to
To illustrate the method suppose that make ​​VP​  ​​  = 0​. Also, note that when ​P​has a
​τ = 0​, so ​C​can only trade directly with P ​ ​. poor storage technology, a low rate of finding​
Then ​r ​VC​  ​​  = ​α​  CP​​  ε​(u − ​q​ CP)​​ ​​, where ​u − ​q​ CP​​​ C​, or low bargaining power, intermediation
is ​C​’s surplus, since the continuation value​​ is essential: the market opens if and only if
V​ C​​​cancels with his outside option ​​VC​  ​​​. Notice​ middlemen are active.
ε​appears because we assume uniform ran- Rubinstein and Wolinsky (1987) use​​
dom matching, in the sense that C ​ ​can con- θ​  ij​​  = 1/2​ ​∀ ij​ and ​​ρ​  P​​  = ​ρ​  M​​  = 0​. In that case,​
tact P ​ ​even if the latter is not participating P​is always active, and ​M​is active if and only
(imagine contacts occurring by phone, with​​ if ​​α​  MC​​  > ​α​  PC​​​, as is socially efficient. More
α​  CP​​​the probability per unit time C ​ ​and P ​​ generally, again related to Mortensen (1982)
are connected, but ​P​only picks up if he is and Hosios (1990), Nosal, Wong, and Wright
on the market). Bargaining implies ​u − ​q​ CP​​  (2015a, 2015b) show that equilibrium is effi-
= ​θ​  CP​​  u​, where ​u​is total match surplus since cient if and only if the ​θ​ s take on particular
for ​P​the continuation value also cancels with values. Related work includes Li (1998),
his outside option. Then ​r ​VC​  ​​  = ​α​  CP​​  ε ​θ​  CP​​  u​. Shevchenko (2004), and Masters (2007,
Similar expressions hold for ​τ ≠ 0​, and for ​​V​ P​​​ 2008); see Wright and Wong (2014) for a
and ​​Va​  ​​​, where the latter is ​M​’s value function recent paper with more citations to related
papers on middlemen in similar settings.
23 Rubinstein–Wolinsky have ​​ρ​  ​​  = 0​, but there is still a
j
holdup problem as the transfer from M ​ ​to P
​ ​is sunk when​
M​meets ​C​. Given this, they discuss a consignment con- 24 Notice the indivisible good acts a lot like mon-
tract whereby ​M​transfers ​q​to ​P​ after trading with ​C​. This ey—a storable object ​M ​acquires to get ​q​from ​C​—but
is an example of trading arrangements responding endog- Rubinstein–Wolinksy actually call q ​ ​money, as a synonym
enously to frictions, but it may or may not be feasible, for transferable utility. See Wright and Wong (2014) for an
depending on the physical environment. extended discussion.
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 389

−ρm

(ε, τ) = (1, 0)

(ε, τ) = (0, 0)

ηmc u

(ε, τ) = (1, 1)

(ε, τ)
= (ε*, 1)

ηpc u −ρp

Figure 5. Equilibria with Middlemen

A model of intermediation in OTC finan- fixed supply A ​ ​of an indivisible asset, with
cial markets by Duffie, Garleanu, and ​a ∈ ​{0, 1}​​denoting the asset position of I​​.26
Pedersen (2005) provides a natural way to There is potential bilateral trade when ​ I​
study stan­ dard measures of liquidity, like meets either another I​ ​or ​D​. Also, ​D​has con-
bid–ask spreads, execution delays, and tinuous access to a competitive interdealer
trade volume.25 There are agents called ​I​ market. In contrast to ­Rubinstein–Wolinsky,
and ​D​, for investors and dealers. There is a gains from trade emerge not due to ex ante
different types (producers and consumers)
25 Their search-and-bargaining model can be considered
but due to I​ ​’s valuation of the dividend being
complementary to other approaches in finance, including hit with idiosyncratic shocks. The flow utility
information- or inventory-based models. It also has the for ​I​with ​a = 1​and valuation j​​ is ​​ρ​  j​​​, where​
virtue of realism: “Many assets, such as mortgage-backed
securities, corporate bonds, government bonds, US fed-
eral funds, emerging-market debt, bank loans, swaps and
many other derivatives, private equity, and real estate, are ­ rocess that reflects each investor’s alternatives to immedi-
p
traded in … [over-the-counter] markets. Traders in these ate trade.” (Duffie, Garleanu, and Pedersen 2007).
markets search for counterparties, incurring opportunity 26 In the simplest formulation, ​ D​does not hold the
or other costs. When counterparties meet, their bilateral asset, although he can in extensions by Weill (2007, 2008).
relationship is strategic; prices are set through a bargaining See also Gavazza (2011).
390 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

j ∈ ​{0, 1}​​ and ​​ρ​  1​​  > ​ρ​  0​​​, and they switch as fol- One can interpret q​  ​​A​​  − ​q​ D​​​as the fee ​ D​
lows: in any state ​j​, shocks ­implying ​​j′ ​  = 1​ charges when he gets an asset for ​ I​ in
and ​​j′ ​  = 0​arrive at Poisson rates ​​ω​  1​​​ and ​​ω​  0​​​. the interdealer market, and similarly for
Again, there is a divisible good anyone ​​q​ D​​  − ​q​ B​​​ . The round-trip spread, similar
can consume and produce, for u ​ (​ q)​  = q​ and to the markup in Rubinstein–Wolinsky, is
​c​(q)​  = q​(interpretable as transferable util- ​s = ​q​ A​​  − ​q​ B​​  = ​θ​  D(​​​ ​Δ​  1​​  − ​Δ​  0)​​ ​  > 0​.
ity, although some people say it loosely rep- Trading strategies are summarized by
resents a bank account that agents can use ​τ = ​(​τ​  A​​  , ​τ​  B)​​ ​​, where ​​τ​  A​​​is the probability that
to save and borrow). It is to be determined when ​D​meets ​I​with ​a = 0​and ​j = 1​ they
if ​I​trades with ​D​, but ​I​trades with another​ agree to exchange the asset for q​  ​​ A​​​, while ​​τ​  B​​​
I​if and only if one has a​ = 1​and j​ = 0​ while is the probability that when D ​ ​meets I​ ​ with​
the other has ​ a = 0​and j​= 1​ , a double a = 1​and ​j = 0​they agree to exchange the
coincidence. Let V​  ​​ aj​​​ be ​I​’s value function asset for q​  ​​ B​​​. The BR conditions are again
with asset position a​ ​and valuation ​j​, so that standard, e.g., ​​τ​  A​​  = 1​ if ​​Δ​  1​​  > ​q​ D​​​, etc. The
​​Δ​  j​​  = ​V1j ​  ​​  − ​V0j
​  ​​​is the value to ​I​of acquiring reason ​ I​with a​ = 0​and ​ j = 1​might not
the asset when he is in state ​j​. When ​I​ trades trade when he meets ​ D​is that ​​ q​ D​​  ≥ ​Δ​  1​​​
with I​ ​, the total surplus is S​  ​​ I​​  = ​Δ​  1​​  − ​Δ​  0​​​ and is possible. Similarly, ​ I​with ​ a = 1​ and​
the one that gives up the asset gets a trans- j = 0​might not trade when he meets ​D​ if
fer ​​q​ I​​​(the subscript indicates ​I​ trades with​ ​​q​ D​​  ≤ ​Δ​  0​​​. For market clearing, because the
I​). This yields the party that entered with asset is indivisible, it will be typically the
asset position ​a​a share ​​θ​  a​​​, with ​​θ​  0​​  + ​θ​  1​​  = 1​. case that q​  ​​ D​​  ∈ ​{​Δ​  0​​  , ​Δ​  1}​​ ​​, and the long side
The individual gains from trade are ​​q​ I​​  − ​Δ​  0​​  of the market will be indifferent to trade. If
= ​θ​  1​​ ​SI​  ​​​ and ​​Δ​  1​​  − ​q​ I​​  = ​θ​  0​​ ​SI​  ​​​, and therefore,​​ the measure of ​D​trying to acquire an asset
q​ I​​  = ​θ​  0​​ ​Δ​  0​​  + ​θ​  1​​ ​Δ​  1​​​. exceeds the measure trying to off-load one,
The rate at which ​I​meets ​I​ is ​​α​  I​​​, and the then ​​q​ A​​  = ​q​ D​​  = ​Δ​  1​​​ and ​​τ​  A​​  ∈ ​(0, 1)​​. In the
probability that I​ ​has asset position ​a​and val- opposite case, ​​q​ B​​  = ​q​ D​​  = ​Δ​  0​​​ and ​​τ​  B​​  ∈ ​(0, 1)​​.
uation j​​ is ​​m​ aj​​​. The rate at which I​ ​meets ​D​ Since the measure of I​​trying to acquire
is ​​α​  D​​​. When ​I ​meets D ​ ,​ if they trade, one assets is ​​m​ 10​​​and the measure trying to divest
can think of the latter as trading in the inter- themselves of assets is m​  ​​ 01​​​, the former is on
dealer market on behalf of the former for a the short side if and only if m​  ​​ 10​​  < ​m​ 01​​​ if and
fee. Obviously this is only relevant when D ​ ​ only if ​A < ​A ​ ̂ ≡ ​ω​  1​​ /​(​ω​  0​​  + ​ω​  1)​​ ​​.
meets ​I​with ​a = 0​and ​j = 1​or meets ​I ​ with​ The SS and DP equations are stan-
a = 1​and ​j = 0​, since these are the only type​ dard—e.g., the flow payoff for I​ ​with a​ = 1​
I​agents that currently want to trade. If I​ ​ gets and low valuation is the dividend, plus the
the asset, D ​ ​ gets ​​q​ A​​​(for ask); if I​ ​gives up an expected value of trading with ​I​or ​D​, plus
asset, ​D​ pays ​​q​ B​​​(for bid). Since the cost to D ​ ​ the capital gain from a preference shock:
of getting an asset on the interdealer market
is ​​q​ D​​​, when ​D​gives an asset to ​I​in exchange ​r ​V1​  0​​  = ​ρ​  0​​  + ​α​  I​​ ​m​ 01​​ ​θ​  1​​  S + ​α​  D​​ ​τ​  B​​​(​q​ B​​  − ​Δ​  0​​)​ 
for ​​q​ A​​​, the bilateral surplus is S​  ​​ A​​  = ​Δ​  1​​  − ​q​ D​​​.
And when ​D​gets an asset from I​​the sur-
plus is ​​S​ B​​  = ​q​ D​​  − ​Δ​  0​​​. If ​​θ​  D​​​ is ​D​’s bargaining ​  ​​  − ​V10
+ ​ω​  1​​​(​V11 ​  ​​)​.​
power when he deals with ​I​, then
An equilibrium is a list ⟨​​V, τ, m⟩​​ satisfying
(19) ​​q​ A​​  = ​θ​  D​​ ​Δ​  1​​  + ​(1 − ​θ​  D​​)​ ​q​ D​​  and the usual conditions, and it exists uniquely.
The terms of trade are easily recovered, as is
q​ B​​  = ​θ​  D​​ ​Δ​  0​​  + ​(1 − ​θ​  D​​)​ ​q​ D​​  .​
​ the bid–ask spread.
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 391

This stylized structure, with a core of  = [0, ∞)​, and studies the case of fiat cur-
dealers and a periphery of investors that rency, allowing the supply to evolve accord-
may trade with each other or with dealers, ing to ​​A​ +1​​  = ​(1 + π)​  A​, where the subscript
is a reasonable representation of many OTC indicates next period, and π ​ > 0​is the rate
markets. The proportion of intermediated of monetary expansion, generated by a lump-
trade is ​​α​  D​​  /​(​α​  D​​  + ​α​  I)​​ ​​. If ​​α​  D​​​ is small, most sum transfer ​T​.29
exchange occurs between investors, as in As above, agents can be buyers or sell-
markets for specialized derivatives or fed- ers depending on who they meet, but now
eral funds; small ​​ α​  I​​​ better approximates they are not constrained by ​ a ∈ ​{0, 1}​​.
NASDAQ. The case ​​α​  D​​  = 0​is interesting Maintaining the commitment and infor-
for making connections between money and mation assumptions precluding credit, and
finance: this model has gains from trading​ setting ​ δ = 0​to eliminate barter, we let
a​due to heterogeneous valuations, with ​q​ ​q​(​a​ B​​  , ​a​ S)​​ ​​be the quantity and d
​ (​ ​a​ B​​  , ​a​ S)​​ ​​ the
a payment instrument; the one in section 4 dollars traded when the buyer has a​ ​​ B​​​ and the
has gains from trading ​q​, with ​a​the pay- seller ​​a​ S​​​, assuming for simplicity ​​(​a​ B​​  , ​a​ S)​​ ​​ is
ment instrument. For intermediation theory,​​ observed by both. Then
α​  I​​  = 0​is nice since the V ​ ​s and ​q​s are inde-
pendent of ​m​. This makes it easy to see that ​  1​​​(a + T)​ 
(20) ​V(a) = (1 − 2ασ) β ​V+
spreads are decreasing in α​  ​​ D​​​ and increasing​​
+ ασ ​∫

θ​  D​​​, and as ​r → 0​, ​​q​ A​​​, ​​q​ B​​​, and ​​q​ D​​​ go to the ​  ​​​{u [ q​(a, ​a​ S​​)​]
same limit, which is ​​ρ​  0​​  / r​if ​A > ​A ​​̂ and ​​ρ​  1​​  / r​ if​ ​
A < ​A.̂ ​​ There are also implications for trade ​  1​​​[a − d​(a, ​a​ S​​)​ 
+ β​V+
volume, often associated with liquidity, but
these results are sensitive to ​a ∈ ​{0, 1}​​. The + T]​}​  dF( ​a​ S​​  )
time has come to relax this restriction, first in
+ ασ ​∫

monetary then financial economics.27 ​  ​​​{− c [ q​(​a​ B​​  , a)​]

​  1​​​[a + d​(​a​ B​​  , a)​ 
+ β ​V+
6. The Next Generation
Here we generalize a​ ∈ ​{0, 1}​​ to ​a ∈ ​ + T]​}​  dF( ​a​ B​​  ), ​
for some less restrictive set , where one
has to somehow handle the endogenous dis- where ​V(a)​is the value function of an agent
tribution of assets across agents, F ​ (a )​. One with ​a​assets. The first term on the RHS is
option is to let  ​ = { 0, 1, … , ​ a ​̅}​, where ​​ a ​​̅
may be finite or infinite, and proceed with
Wallace (2009). There is also a body of related work
a combination of analytic and computa- spawned by Green and Zhou (1998), including Zhou (1999,
tional ­methods.28 Molico (2006) instead lets​ 2003), Green and Zhou (2002) Kamiya and Sato (2004),
Kamiya, Morishita, and Shimizu (2005) and Kamiya and
Shimizu (2006, 2007a, 2007b). Interestingly, Green–Zhou
27 Recent related work on intermediation includes models can have an indeterminacy of stationary monetary
Lester, Rocheteau, and Weill (2015), Babus and Hu (2015), equililibria (see Jean, Rabinovich, and Wright 2010 for a
Shen, Wei, and Yan (2014), and Uslu (2015). discussion).
28 Results for this case include the following: Under 29 Up until now we have not mentioned recurring
certain assumptions, ​F​is geometric if ​​ a̅ ​  = ∞​and trun- monetary injections, which are awkward when ​a ∈ ​{0, 1}​​.
cated geometric if ​​ a ​ ̅ < ∞​. One can also endogenize ​​ a ​​̅, However, in Victor E. Li (1994, 1995), Cuadras-Morato
and for ​​ a̅ ​  < ∞​and fiat money, one can show the optimum (1997), Deviatov (2006), and Deviatov and Wallace (2014),
quantity is A​​  ​​ ∗​  = ​ a̅ ​/ 2​, generalizing section 3 where ​​ a̅ ​  = 1​ lump-sum transfers combined with asset depreciation can
and ​​A​​  ∗​  = 1/2​. See Camera and Corbae (1999), Rocheteau ​ > 0​
proxy for inflation. Here they are more than a proxy: T
(2000), Berentsen (2002), Zhu (2003), Deviatov and translates directly into actual inflation.
392 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

the expected value of not trading; the second liquidity around. At the same time, inflation
is the value of buying from a random seller; detrimentally reduces real balances, and pol-
and the third is the value of selling to a ran- icy must balance these effects.30 Chiu and
dom buyer. Molico (2010, 2011) extend the analysis to let
To determine terms of trade, consider agents sometimes access a centralized mar-
generalized Nash bargaining, ket where they can adjust money balances
(more on this below); in one version, they
​  B​​ ​​(q, d, ​a​ B​​  , ​a​ S​​)​​​  θ​ ​SS​  ​​ ​​(q, d, ​a​ B​​  , ​a​ S​​)​​​  1−θ​  , ​

 ​ ​S​ 
(21) ​​max​ must pay a fixed cost for this access, resem-
q, d
bling Baumol’s (1952) inventory approach,
where ​​SB​  (​​​ ⋅)​  = u(q) + β ​V+1 ​  ​​  (​a​ B​​  + T − d ) − but using general equilibrium and not just
β  ​V+ ​  1​​(​a​ B​​  + T)​ and ​​SS​  ​​(⋅) = −c(q) + decision theory.
​  1​​( ​a​ S​​  + d + T )  − β ​V+1
β ​V+ ​  ​​  ( ​a​ S​​  + T )​are the Those papers focus on stationary equilib-
surpluses. The maximization is subject to ria. Chiu and Molico (2014) and Jin and Zhu
​d ≤ ​a​ B​​​. One sometimes hears that this looks (2014) extend the methods to study dynamic
like a CIA restriction, but in this context it transitions after various types of monetary
is simply a feasibility condition saying that injections, and show how the redistributional
agents cannot hand over more than they impact of policy on F ​ (​ a)​​can have rather
have in quid pro quo exchange. That does not interesting effects on output and prices. In
make this a CIA model, because the analysis Jin and Zhu’s formulation, for some param-
explicitly describes agents trading with each eters, output in a match ​q​(​a​ B​​  , ​a​ S)​​ ​​ is decreas-
other, and while it happens that barter and ing and convex in ​​a​ S​​​. This means a policy
credit are ruled out by the environment in that increases dispersion in real balances
this specification, it is not hard to let some increases average q ​ ​. Now, there are other
barter or credit back in. That is different effects, and this is a numerical result about
from tacking on a CIA restriction over and the net effect (explaining why the findings
above the usual budget constraint in classical differ from Molico or Chiu–Molico). The
competitive models (more on this below). important point is that there are cases where
There is a law of motion for ​F​(a)​​ with a a monetary injection increases dispersion in
standard stationarity condition. A stationary real balances and hence average q ​ ​, and that
equilibrium is a list ⟨ ​​ V, q, d, F⟩​​ satisfying leads to slow increases in prices after the
these conditions. Molico (2006) analyzes injection, where again ​p = d / q​. The reason
the model numerically. He studies the rela- is not that prices are sticky—indeed, ​q​and ​d​
tionship between inflation and dispersion in are determined endogenously by bargaining
prices, defined by ​p = d / q​, and asks what in every single trade—but the increase in ​q​
happens as frictions vanish. He also studies keeps ​p​from rising quickly during the tran-
the welfare effects of inflation. Increasing​ sition. This implies that nominal rigidities
A​by giving agents transfers proportional to are not needed to capture time-series obser-
their current a​ ​has no real effect—it is like vations that suggest money shocks affect
a change in units. But a lump-sum transfer​ mainly output in the short run and prices in
T > 0​compresses the distribution of real the longer run.
balances because it raises the price level, and
when the value of a dollar falls it hurts those
with high ​a​more than low ​a​. Since those with 30 Wallace (2014b) conjectures that in any economy
low ​a​don’t buy very much, and those with with this trade-off there generically exists an incentive-
compatible scheme, with transfers nondecreasing in wealth
high ​a​don’t sell very much, this compression and not necessarily lump sum, that is inflationary and raises
stimulates economic activity by spreading welfare relative to laissez-faire.
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 393

A different modeling approach when​ r­ ealism: much activity in our economic lives
 = [0, ∞)​tries to harness the distribu- is fairly centralized (it is easy to trade, prices
tion F​ (a)​somehow. A method due to Shi are taken parametrically, etc.), as might be
(1997a) assumes a continuum of households, approximated by classical GE theory, but
each with a continuum of members, to get there is also much that is decentralized (it is
a degen­erate distribution across households. not easy to find counterparties, to use credit,
The decision-making units are families, etc.), as in search theory. While one might
whose members search randomly, as above, imagine different ways to combine markets
but at the end of each trading round they with and without frictions, the Lagos–Wright
return home and share the proceeds. By setup divides each period into two subperi-
a law of large numbers, each family starts ods: in the first, agents interact in a decen-
the next trading round with the same a​​. tralized market, or DM; in the second, they
The approach is discussed at length by Shi interact in a frictionless centralized market,
(2006).31 Another method due to Menzio, or CM. Sometimes the subperiods are called
Shi, and Sun (2013) uses directed search and “day” and “night” as a mnemonic device, but
free entry, so that while there is a distribu- we avoid this, since other people seem to dis-
tion ​F(​ a)​​, the market segments into submar- like it. More substantively, we maintain the
kets in such a way that agents do not need frictions that make money essential.33
to know ​F​(a)​​. The useful feature is called We now go through the details of this
block recursivity. Unfortunately, analytical model, which has become a workhorse in the
tractability is lost if there is money growth literature. DM consumption is still q ​ ​, while
implemented with lump sum transfers, since CM consumption is a different good x​ ​.34 For
the real value of the transfer is proportional
to aggregate real balances, in which case
the model needs to be solved numerically. the rest of macroeconomics.” Or, as Kiyotaki and Moore
However, the version in Sun (2011) is tracta- (2001) put it, “The matching models are without doubt
ingenious and beautiful. But it is quite hard to integrate
ble even with money growth. them with the rest of macroeconomic theory—not least
Another method due to Lagos and Wright because they jettison the basic tool of our trade, competi-
(2005) delivers tractability by combining tive markets.” The Lagos–Wright setup brings some com-
petitive markets back on board, to continue the nautical
search-based models like those presented metaphor, but also maintains frictions from the search-
above with frictionless models. One advan- based approach—one doesn’t want to go too far, since, as
tage is that this reduces the gap between Hellwig (1993) put it, the “main obstacle” in developing a
framework for studying monetary systems is “our habit of
monetary theory with microfoundations thinking in terms of frictionless, organized, i.e. Walrasian
and mainstream macro.32 Another virtue is markets.”
33 Lagos and Wright (2007) argue that the presence of
the CM does not imply agents can communicate DM devi-
31 In addition to work cited below, see Head and Kumar ations to the population at large, even if one may get that
(2005), Head, Kumar, and Lapham (2010), Head and Shi impression from Aliprantis, Camera, and Puzzello (2006,
(2003), Kumar (2008), Peterson and Shi (2004) and Shi 2007b). To clarify, in their model, agents can communicate
(2001, 2005, 2008, 2014). Rauch (2000), Berentsen and DM behavior when they reconvene in the CM, which is
Rocheteau (2003b), and Zhu (2008) discuss technical legitimate, but so is the assumption that agents cannot do
issues in these models. so—i.e., spatial separation and limited communication are
32 That the gap was big is clear from Azariadis (1993): different frictions, as should be clear from the first- and
“Capturing the transactions motive for holding money ­second-generation models. Moreover, even in their setup,
balances in a compact and logically appealing manner has Aliprantis, Camera, and Puzzello (2007a) show how to
turned out to be an enormously complicated task. Logically ensure money is essential. For more on this see Araujo et
coherent models such as those proposed by Diamond al. (2012) and Wiseman (2015).
(1984) and Kiyotaki and Wright (1989) tend to be so 34 It is easy to make ​x​a vector without changing the
removed from neoclassical growth theory as to seriously results. Also, Julien et al. (2015) study the model where ​q​
hinder the job of integrating rigorous monetary ­theory with is indivisible, which delivers some interesting results.
394 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

now, ​x​is produced one-for-one using labor ​ℓ​, linear with slope ​ϕ + ρ​; and (3) ​​a ​​̂ is inde-
so the CM real wage is 1​ ​. In the DM, agents pendent of wealth. By (3) we get history inde-
can be buyers or sellers depending on who pendence (​​a ̂ ​​is orthogonal to a​ ​), and hence
they meet. In the former case period utility ​F​(​a ​)̂ ​​is degenerate when there is a unique
is  (​​ x, 1 − ℓ)​  + u​(q)​​, and in the latter case maximizer ​​a.̂ ​​ In most applications there is a
it is  ​​(x, 1 − ℓ)​  − c​(q)​​, where  ​( ⋅ )​is mono- unique such a​​ .̂ ​​ In some, like Galenianos and
tone and concave while ​u( ⋅ )​and ​c( ⋅ )​are as Kircher (2008) or Dutu, Julien, and King
in section 4. To ease the presentation, we (2012), ​F​is nondegenerate for endogenous
begin with  ​​(x, 1 − ℓ)​  = U ​(x)​  − ℓ​and dis- reasons, but the analysis is still tractable
cuss alternatives later. due to history independence. Similarly, with
The DM value function ​V( ⋅ )​is like (20) exogenous heterogeneity (see below), F ​ ​ is
with one change: wherever ​β ​V+ ​  1​​( ⋅ )​ appears only degenerate after conditioning on type,
on the RHS, replace it with ​ W( ⋅ )​, since but that is enough for tractability.
before going to the next DM agents now visit It is important to know these results actu-
the CM, where W ​ ( ⋅ )​is the value function. ally hold for a larger class of specifications.
It satisfies Instead of quasi-linear utility, we can assume​
 ​(x, 1 − ℓ)​​is homogeneous of degree 1​ ​, as a
 ​​​  {U(x )  − ℓ + β ​V+1
W(a) = ​max​ ​  ​​  (​a ​)̂ }​​ 

​ special case of Wong (2016), and hence we
x,ℓ, ​a ​̂
can use common preferences like ​​x​​  γ​ ​​(1 − ℓ)​​​  γ​​
subject to or [​​​ ​x​​  γ​  + ​​(1 − ℓ)​​​  γ]​ ​​​  1/γ​​. Alternatively, as shown
in Rocheteau et al. (2008), the main results
x = ϕ(a − ​a ​)̂ + ρa + ℓ + T​,
​ all go through with any monotone and con-
cave ​  ​(x, 1 − ℓ)​​if we assume indivisible
where a​ ​ and ​​a ̂ ​​are asset holdings when trad- labor, ​ℓ ∈ ​{0, 1}​​, and use employment lotter-
ing opens and closes, ϕ is the price of ​a​ in ies as in Hansen (1985) or Rogerson (1988).
terms of ​x​, ​ρ​is a dividend, and T ​ ​is a trans- Any of these assumptions,  quasi-linear
fer of new money. Note that we allow T ​ < 0​, or homogeneous of degree 1​ ​, or ​ℓ ∈ ​{0, 1}​​,
so lump-sum taxes can be used to contract imply ​​a ̂ ​​is independent of ​a​. There is one
the money supply. This was not possible in caveat: we need interior solutions at least in
Molico (2006), e.g., because an individual’s ​a​ some periods.
may be too low to pay the tax, but now they We now move to the DM, characterized
can use CM labor ​ℓ​. Also, nothing changes by search and bargaining. Here it makes a
except ​ℓ​ if, instead of taxes or transfers, gov- difference whether ​a​is real or fiat money.
ernment adjusts the money supply by trading One reason is that in a stationary equilib-
CM goods. rium the constraint d ​ ≤ ​a​ B​​​, which again
There are constraints ​ x ≥ 0​, ​​a ​ ̂ ≥ 0​, and says agents cannot turn over more than they
​ℓ ∈ ​[0, 1]​​that we ignore for now. Then, elim- have, binds with fiat money, but it need not
inating ​ℓ​, we have bind with real assets. For now, let ​ρ = 0​, so
that ​d = ​a​ B​​​. Then consider generalized Nash
​  {U(x )  − x}​ 
W(a) = ​(ϕ + ρ)​  a + T + ​max​

(22) ​  ​​ bargaining,
x

+ ​max​
​  {− ϕ ​a ​ ̂ + β ​V+1
​  ​​  (​a ​)̂ }​.​

​  [u(q)  − ϕ ​a​ B​​]​​​  θ​ ​​[ϕ ​a​ B​​  − c(q )]​​​  1−θ​  .​
 ​​ ​
(23) ​​max​
 ​ ​​
​a ​̂ q

Several results are immediate: (1) x​ = ​x​​  ∗​​ The simplicity of (23) is due to W ​​ ′ ​​(a)​  = ϕ​
is pinned down by ​​U′ ​( ​x​​  ∗​  ) = 1​; (2) ​W(a )​ is being independent of a​ ​​ B​​​ or ​​a​ S​​​ (which, by the
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 395

way, means agents do not need to observe Here we keep the mechanism v​​(q)​​
each other’s a​ ​to know their marginal val- g­eneral, imposing only monotonicity plus
uations). Indeed, (23) is the same as Nash this condition: ​ ϕ ​a​ B​​  ≥ v​(​q​​  ∗​)​​ implies a
bargaining in section 4, except the value buyer pays ​ d = v​(​q​​  ∗​)​/ ϕ​and gets ​​ q​​  ∗​​; and
of the monetary payment is ϕ ​ ​a​ B​​​ instead ​ϕ ​a​ B​​  < v​(​q​​  )​ ​​implies he pays d

​ = ​a​ B​​​ and gets
of ​ Δ​ . Hence, the outcome is ϕ ​  ​a​ B​​  = v​(q)​​ ​q = ​v​​  −1(​​ ϕ ​a​ B)​​ ​​. One can show this holds
instead of ​Δ = v​(q)​​, but ​v(​ q)​​is still given automatically for standard bargaining solu-
by (18). tions, competitive pricing, and many other
We can now easily accomodate a variety of ­mechanisms, and indeed it can be derived
alternative solution concepts. For Kalai bar- as an outcome, rather than an assumption,
gaining, simply use v​ ​(q)​​from (17) instead of given some simple axioms (Gu and Wright
(18). Aruoba, Rocheteau, and Waller (2007) 2016).
advocate the use of Kalai in this model, For any such ​v​(q)​​, the DM value function
while recognizing that it has some peculiari- satisfies
ties (e.g., interpersonal utility comparisons),
for the following reasons: (1) it makes buy- V(a )   = W(a )  + ασ​{u [ q(a )  ]   − ϕa}​ 
(24) ​
ers’ surplus increasing in a​ ​; (2) it does not
+ ασ ​∫

give an incentive to hide assets; (3) it makes ​  ​​  { ϕ​ã ​  − c [ q(​ã ​) ] } dF​(​ã ​)​, ​
​V(​ a)​​concave; and (4) it is easy. These results ​
are not always true with Nash bargaining, where a​ ​is money held by an individual while​​
although Lagos and Rocheteau (2008b) pro- ã ​​is held by others, which we allow to be ran-
vide a fix. In any case, it seems best to be dom at this stage, although in equilibrium​​
agnostic and allow different bargaining solu- ã ​  = A​. Then one can derive
tions for different applications. We can also
use Walrasian pricing by letting v​ (​ q)​  = Pq​, ​​V′ ​(a) = ϕ + ασ​{​u′ ​[q(a)]​q′ ​(a) − ϕ}​ 
where ​P​is the price of DM goods in terms

{ }
of ​x​that buyers take parametrically, even ​u′ ​​[q​(a)​]​
= ϕ​ 1 + ασ  ​ _______ ​  − ασ ​,​
though ​P = ​c′ ​​(q)​​in equilibrium. To motivate ​v′ ​​[q​(a)​]​
this, Rocheteau and Wright (2005) describe
DM meetings in terms of large goups, as using ​​q′ ​(a )   = ϕ /​v′ ​​(q)​​, which follows from​
opposed to bilateral trade—think about the ϕa = v​(q)​​. We now insert this into the FOC
Lucas–Prescott (1974) search model, as from the previous CM, ​​ϕ​  −1​​  = β  V′​(a)​​, where
opposed to Mortensen and Pissarides (1994). the ​− 1​subscript indicates last period. The
Or, following Silva (2015) (see also Laing, Li, result is the Euler equation
and Wang 2007, 2013), we can use monopo-
listic competition.35 (25) ​​ϕ​  −1​​  = βϕ​[1 + ασλ​(q)​]​, ​

35 One might say that using perfectly or monopolistically


where ​λ(​ q)​  ≡ ​u′ ​​(q)​/​v′ ​​(q)​  − 1​is the liquid-
competitive markets means giving up to some extent on ity premium, or equivalently, the Lagrange
microfoundations, compared to search-based models that multiplier on the constraint in the problem
go into more detail with respect to the meeting/trading ​max​{u​(q)​  − v​(q)​}​​subject to ​v(​ q)​  ≤ aϕ​.
process, but obviously it can still be prudent to use these
standard solution concepts in applications. Indeed, one can
make the DM look even more like a standard competitive
market by setting ​ασ = 1​, to avoid search and matching for unforeseen opportunities of advantage.” Also, α
​ σ < 1​
frictions. However, ​ασ < 1​nicely captures the precaution- avoids a problem in many models where velocity must be​
ary demand for liquidity, described by Keynes (1936) in 1​(Lagos and Rocheteau 2005; Telyukova and Visschers
terms of “contingencies requiring sudden expenditure and 2013).
396 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

Although we focus mainly on stationary of the quantity equation. Then, to com-


equilibrium, for the moment let’s proceed plete the description of equilibrium, in the
more generally. Using ​ϕa = v​(q)​​, ​a = A​, and​ CM ​​U′ ​​(x)​= 1​determines ​x​, and the indi-
A = ​(1 + π)​ ​A−1
​  ​​​, (25) becomes vidual budget equation determines labor as
a function of a​ ​, say ℓ​ (​ a)​​, where in aggregate
(26) ​​(1 + π)​  v​(​q​ −1​​)​  = βv​(q)​ ​[1 + ασλ​(q)​]​.​ ​​∫​ ​​​​  ℓ​(a)​  = x​. There is a unique such equilib-
rium if λ ​​′ ​​(q)​  < 0​
. For many mechanisms
Given any path for ​π​, one can study dynamics ​​λ′ ​​(q)​  < 0​is automatic (e.g., Kalai and Walras,
as in section 4. Various authors have shown but not generalized Nash). However, even
there can be cyclic, chaotic, and stochastic without ​​λ′ ​​(q)​  < 0​ , the method in Wright
equilibria, again due to the self-referential (2010) implies there is generically a unique
nature of liquidity (Lagos and Wright 2003; stationary monetary equilibrium, and it has
Ferraris and Watanabe 2011; Rocheteau and natural properties like ​∂ q/∂ ι < 0​.
Wright 2013; Lagos and Zhang 2013; He, As for efficiency, with generalized Nash
Wright, and Zhu 2015). bargaining, Lagos and Wright (2005) show
In a stationary equilibrium z​= ϕA​ is ​q = ​q​​  ∗​​under two conditions (see also
constant, so gross inflation ​ϕ / ​ϕ​  +1​​  = 1 + π​ Berentsen, Rocheteau, and Shi 2007). The
is pinned down by the rate of monetary first is the Friedman rule ​ι = 0​, which elim-
expansion—a version of the quantity equa- inates the intertemporal wedge in money
tion. Then use the Fisher equation ​ 1+ι demand. The second is θ​ = 1​, again related
= ​(1 + π)​(1 + r )​to define ​ι​, which will later to Mortensen (1982) and Hosios (1990).
serve to reduce notation. There are different Heuristically, when agents bring money to the
ways to think about ​ι​. One is to say that it is DM they are making an investment in liquid-
the nominal interest rate on a bond that is ity, and they underinvest if they do not get
illiquid (i.e., cannot be traded in the DM), the appropriate return. With Nash bargain-
just like saying r​ ​is the real interest rate on ing this means θ​ = 1​. If ​θ < 1​is immutable,
a bond that is illiquid. This is established it would seem desirable to set ​ι < 0​, but that
practice even when there are no such bonds is not feasible—i.e., there is no equilibrium
in the model, since we can always price with ​ι < 0​. This is the new monetarist ver-
hypothetical assets. Alternatively, a clean sion of the zero-lower-bound problem now in
interpretation is to say that ​ι​ is the out- vogue. While it has nothing to do with nom-
come of a thought experiment: ask agents inal rigidities here, it can still be ascribed to
what nominal payoff they require in the a poor pricing mechanism. Kalai bargaining
next CM to give up a dollar in this CM. We with any ​θ > 0​ delivers ​​q​​  ∗​​ at ι​ = 0​. We return
can do this for r​​, too, except using a unit to this in section 8, where the cost of inflation
of numeraire and not a dollar. Or, one can is considered in more detail.
simply interpret ​ι​ as convenient notation for One can also design a mechanism ​ v​(⋅)​​
​​(1 + π)​(1 + r )  − 1​. In any case, it is equiva- that sometimes delivers ​​ ι > 0​,
q​​  ∗​​even at ​
lent here to describe policy by ​ι​ instead of ​π​, as in Hu, Kennan, and Wallace (2009).36
and then, when ​​q​ −1​​  = q​, to write (26) as Their implementation approach character-
izes the set of stationary incentive-feasible­
ι = ασλ​(q)​.​
(27) ​

Given ​ι​, (27) determines ​q​. Real balances 36 One reason this is relevant is that ​ι = 0​ requires
π = β − 1 < 0​
are then given by ​ z = v​(q)​​and the price deflation, ​ , which means taxation, and as
Andolfatto (2013) argues, assumptions that make money
level is ​ 1 / ϕ = A / v​(q)​​—another version essential can make taxes hard to collect.
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 397

allocations obtained from any mecha- That’s the basic model. Many assump-
nism that is individually rational and pair- tions can be relaxed, but quasi-linearity, or
wise efficient. A mechanism is a mapping one of the other options mentioned above,
from the asset holdings in a buyer–seller is needed for history independence. The
DM meeting, ​( ​a​ B​​  , ​a​ S​​  )​, into a trade, ​(q, d )​. framework is of course well-posed without
Due to lack of monitoring or record keep- that, but then it requires numerical methods.
ing, the mechanism cannot use individ- By analogy, while heterogeneity and incom-
ual trading histories, and cannot induce plete markets are worth studying computa-
agents to truthfully reveal past defections tionally in mainstream macro, it is useful to
from proposed play except through money have standard growth theory as a ­benchmark
balances.37 With a constant money sup- to analyze existence, uniqueness versus
ply, one can show that ​(q, ϕ )​is incentive multiplicity, dynamics, and efficiency. The
feasible if ​ q ≤ ​q​​  ∗​​, ​c(q )   ≤ ϕA ≤ u(q )​ and framework just presented is our benchmark
​ασ​[u(q )  − c(q )]​  ≥ rϕA​ , where the last for monetary economics.
­condition says the expected DM surplus is
worth the cost of accumulating real balances.
7. Extending the Benchmark
It follows immediately that the efficient q​​  ​​ ∗​​
is implementable when Some versions of our baseline environment
have the CM and DM open simultaneously
r ≤ ασ​[u( ​q​​  ∗​  ) − c( ​q​​  ∗​  )]​/ c( ​q​​  ∗​  ).​
(28) ​ with agents transiting randomly between
them (Williamson 2006); others have multi-
Notice (28) is identical to (11) from the ple rounds of DM trade between CM meet-
second-generation model, except for the
­ ings or vice-versa (Berentsen, Camera, and
term ​1 − A​, since now the asset distribution Waller 2005; Telyukova and Wright 2008;
is degenerate. Hence, if agents are patient, Ennis 2009, Jiang and Shao 2014); and others
​​  q​​  ∗​​can be implemented without deflation. use continuous time (Craig and Rocheteau
Also, thanks to quasi-linearity, mechanism 2008b; Rocheteau and Rodriguez-Lopez
design is especially tractable. Thus, Gu and 2014). An extension in Lagos and Rocheteau
Wright (2016) show that we can restrict atten- (2005) and Rocheteau and Wright (2005), on
tion to a mechanism ​v​(q)​​that is very simple which we spend more time, has two distinct
(linear except when IC conditions in the DM types, called buyers and sellers because in
would otherwise bind). See Wong (2015) for every DM the former want to consume but
an analysis without quasi-linearity. In other cannot produce while the latter produce but
applications, Rocheteau (2012) studies the do not consume. This provides a natural set-
cost of inflation, Hu and Rocheteau (2013, ting to consider price posting and directed
2015) and Araujo and Hu (2015) analyze the search, sometimes called competitive search
coexistence of money and credit or other equilibrium.
assets, while Chiu and Wong (2015) investi- One version of this has market makers set
gate alternative payment systems. up submarkets in the DM to attract buyers
and sellers, and charge them entrance fees,
although due to free entry into market mak-
37 The CM is kept the same, as can be justified by ing the equilibrium fee is ​0​. In general, buy-
the equivalence between competitive and core alloca- ers and sellers meet in the DM according to
tions. More generally, for a discussion of subtleties in a standard matching technology, where ​α(​ n)​​
this approach, see Rocheteau (2012), and for additional
­motivation of the mechanism design approach, see Wallace is the probability a buyer meets a seller and
(2010). ​α​(n)​/ n​is the probability a seller meets a
398 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

buyer, with ​n​now denoting the seller/buyer surplus between buyers and sellers. In other
ratio. Notice σ ​ = 1​here, given that directed applications it is assumed that sellers have
search avoids matching problems (but see a cost ​κ​ to enter the DM. Then ​​​ S̅ ​​  S​​  = κ​,
Dong 2011). A submarket involves posting​​ and (30)–(31) determine q ​​and n​​ jointly.
(q, z, n)​​in the CM, describing the next DM In either case, ​ι = 0​implies q ​ = ​q​​  ∗​​, and
by the terms of trade—agents commit to given this, with endogenous entry, it implies
swapping ​q​units of output for ​z = ϕa​ real ​​α′ ​​(​n​​  ∗)​ ​ ​[u​(​q​​  ∗)​ ​  − c​(​q​​  ∗)​ ​]​  = κ​.39
balances if they meet—as well as ​n​, which Lagos and Rocheteau (2005) fix n ​​ but
they use to compute the probability of endogenize α ​ ​through buyers’ search inten-
meeting. Market makers design (​​q, z, n)​​ to sity. With random search and bargaining, the
­maximize buyers’ surplus subject to sellers time it takes buyers to spend their money
getting a minimal surplus of ​​​ S̅ ​​  S​​​.38 increases with ​π​, counter to the well-known
Algebra reduces the market maker prob- hot-potato effect of inflation (see, e.g.,
lem to Keynes 1924, p. 51). This is because ​π​, as a
tax on money, reduces the DM surplus and
 ​​​{α​(n)​ ​[u​(q)​  − z]​  − ιz}​​ 

(29) ​​max​ hence search effort. But with price posting,
although π
q, z, n
​​lowers the total surplus, they
subject to show it raises buyers’ share at low ​π​. Hence,
when π ​ ​increases buyers spend money faster
​α​(n)​ ​[z − c​(q)​]​  = n ​​  S̅ ​​  S​​​. by increasing search effort. Alternatively, in
Liu, Wang, and Wright (2011) buyers spend
Eliminating ​z​and taking the FOCs, we get their money faster at higher ​π​, even with
random search and bargaining, because they
α​(n)​ ​u′ ​​(q)​  = [ α​(n)​  + ι ]​c′ ​​(q)​,
(30) ​ (rather than sellers) have a DM entry deci-
sion, and higher π ​ ​increases ​n.​ Relatedly, in

[ α​(n)​ ]
ι​(1 − ϵ)​ Nosal (2011) buyers spend money faster at
(31) ​α′ ​​(n)​ ​[u​(q)​  − c​(q)​]​  =  ​​ S̅ ​​  S​​​ 1 + ​ _____  ​​, ​
higher π ​ ​with random search because higher​
π​reduces their reservation trade, endogeniz-
where ​ ϵ = n​α′ ​​(n)​/ α​(n)​​is the elasticity of ing ​σ​, as Kiyotaki and Wright (1991) did in
matching with respect to participation by a first-generation model. See also Victor E.
sellers. In some applications, it is assumed Li (1995), Shi (1997b), Jafarey and Masters
that all agents participate in the DM for free, (2003), Wang and Shi (2006), Faig and Jerez
so that ​n​is given. Then (30) determines ​q​, (2007), Ennis (2009), and Hu, Zhang, and
while (31) determines the split of the total Komai (2014). These exercises are germane
because they concern duration analysis, for
38 The market maker story comes from Moen (1997). which search theory is well suited, and con-
We can instead let sellers post the terms of trade to attract stitute models of velocity based on explicit
buyers, or vice-versa. Often these are equivalent, but not search, entry or trading decisions.
always—Faig and Huangfu (2007) provide an example
where they are not equivalent precisely because trade is
monetary. Other models with money and competitive
search include Faig and Jerez (2006), Huangfu (2009), 39 One can show ​ι = 0​achieves efficiency on both the
Dong (2011), Dutu, Huangfu, and Julien (2011), Bethune, intensive and extensive margins, ​​(​q​​  ∗​  , ​n​​  ∗​)​​. In contrast, Kalai
Choi, and Wright (2014), and Choi (2015). Also, note that bargaining with DM entry by sellers yields n​​  ​​ ∗​​if and only
while some directed search theory takes the matching if ​1 − θ = ​α′ ​​(​n​​  ∗)​ ​ ​n​​  ∗​  / α​(​n​​  ∗)​ ​​
, the Hosios condition saying
technology as a primitive, this is not always the case—e.g., that sellers’ shares should equal the elasticity of match-
see Lagos (2000) or Burdett, Shi, and Wright (2001) for ing with respect to their participation. Hence, one might
models where it is endogenous. Whether this is an issue say that competitive search delivers the Hosios condition
depends on the application. endogenously.
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 399

Rocheteau, Weill, and Wong (2015) ana- nonbuyers can earn interest on balances that
lyze a version of the model with a nondegen- would otherwise lay idle, with interest pay-
erate distribution of a​ ​that is still tractable. ments covered by borrowers. Hence, banks
Suppose the constraint on labor, ℓ​ ≤ 1​ binds. reallocate liquidity towards those that could
It then takes several periods for a buyer to use more, similar to Diamond and Dybvig
accumulate desired real balances. There (1983), although here bankers realistically
are some equilibria where, in a DM match take deposits and make loans in cash rather
with a seller, the buyer spends the money he than goods.
accumulated so far (there can also be equi- In some applications, bankers can abscond
libria with partial depletion that need to be with deposits or borrowers can renege on
analyzed numerically). In these equilibria, debt (Berentsen, Camera, and Waller 2007).
​F(​ a)​​is a truncated geometric distribution, Others study the role of banks in investment
and the value and policy functions can be and growth (Chiu and Meh 2011; Chiu, Meh,
solved in closed form. The model is trac- and Wright 2017). Related work includes
table thanks to ex ante distinct buyer and Li (2006, 2011), He, Huang, and Wright
seller types because, since sellers hold a​ = 0​ (2008), Bencivenga and Camera (2011), and
, there is only one-sided heterogeneity across Li and Li (2013). In some of these, money
matches. Still, equilibrium features a nonde- and banking are complements, since a bank
generate distribution of prices, as in Molico is where one goes to get cash; in others, they
(2006). Under some conditions, inflation can are substitutes, since currency and bank lia-
raise output and welfare. Moreover, one can bilities are alternative payment instruments,
use this model to analytically characterize allowing one to discuss not only currency but
transitional dynamics following a monetary checks or debit cards. Ferraris and Watanabe
injection, and show that price adjustments are (2008, 2011, 2012) have versions with invest-
­sluggish in the sense that aggregate real bal- ment in capital or housing used to secure cash
ances increase following the money injection. loans from banks; in these models investment
Rather than permanently distinct types, can be too high and endogenous dynamics
it is equivalent to have type realized each can emerge. Williamson (2012, 2014, 2016)
period if the realization occurs before the has models where banks design contracts like
CM closes—(27) still holds, with agents Diamond–Dybvig, incorporating multiple
­
conditioning on all the information they assets and private information. His banks hold
have when they choose a​​ .̂ ​​ Related to this, diversified portfolios that allow depositors to
Berentsen, Camera, and Waller (2007) share the benefits of long-term investments
introduce banking. After the CM closes, but with less exposure to liquidity shocks. Ennis
before the DM opens, agents realize if they (2014) extends that model and uses it to dis-
will be buyers or not, at which point banks cuss some other contemporary policy issues.40
are open where they can deposit or with-
draw money. Or, to make this look more 40 Gu et al. (2013a) propose a related theory of banking
like standard deposit banking, let everyone based on commitment. Agents have various combinations
put money in the bank in the CM and then, of attributes affecting the tightness of their ICs, and hence
when types are revealed, buyers will with- determining who should be bankers. Bankers accept and
invest deposits, and can be essential (see also Araujo and
draw while others leave their deposits alone. Minetti 2011). Monitoring can also be endogenized as in
A bank contract involves an option to con- Diamond (1984) (see Huang 2015). Moreover, as in some
vert on demand interest-bearing deposits of the settings discussed above, here bank liabilities, claims
on deposits, serve to facilitate transactions with third
into cash, or transfer claims on deposits to a parties—i.e., serve as inside money (see also Donaldson,
third party. This enhances e­ fficiency because Piacentino, and Thakor 2015 and Sanches 2015). This is
400 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

Returning to participation, as noted above, money to be valued. Suppose in every meet-


DM entry decisions can be made by sellers ing ​i​and ​j​like each other’s output, but it may
or buyers. We can also assume a fixed pop- be asymmetric, ​​ψ​  i​​  ≠ ​ψ​  j​​​. With pure barter,
ulation that chooses to be one or the other where ​i​ gets ​​q​ i​​​ from ​j​and ​j​ gets ​​q​ j​​​ from ​i​, it
(Faig 2008; Rocheteau and Wright 2009). is easy to verify that efficiency entails ​​q​ i​​  > ​q​ j​​​
These decisions can be inefficient, and in this whenever ​​ψ​ i​​  > ​ψ​  j​​​. But bargaining yields the
case ​ι > 0​might raise welfare (e.g., Aruoba, opposite, because ​j​drives a harder bargain
Rocheteau, and Waller 2007). This is import- when ​i​really likes his wares (to say it dif-
ant to the extent that there is a misperception ferently, ​​q​ i​​​is really expensive in terms of q​  ​​ j​​​
that ​ι = 0​is always optimal in these models; when j​​does not like i​​’s goods very much). In
that is false when there are trading frictions a monetary economy, i​ ​can pay in d ​ ​as well as​
and externalities. And we think this is not q​, and this improves his terms of trade. Here
trite, like saying that inflation is good because agents choose to use cash not because barter
it taxes cash goods, like cigarettes, and some- is impossible, but because it is coarse.41
one has decided that people smoke too much. We can also make the money supply ran-
That is trite because one can ask, why not tax dom. Suppose ​A = ​(1 + π)​ ​A−1 ​  ​​​, where ​π​ is
smoking directly? While this is delicate, the drawn at the start of the DM​.​The π ​ ​to be
frictions that make money essential can argu- implemented later that period generally
ably make DM taxation difficult. Also, impor- affects ​ϕ​, and hence ​q​, but agents do not know
tantly, in new Keynesian models deviations it when they choose ​​a. ​​̂ Thus, agents equate
from ​i = 0​can be desirable due to nominal the cost and expected benefit of liquidity. It
rigidities, but these distortions can alterna- is still optimal to have ι​ = 0​, but this is no
tively be fully neutralized by fiscal policy longer equivalent to a unique money supply
(Correia, Nicolini, and Teles 2008). Keynesian rule: a given ​ι​is consistent with any stochas-
policy prescriptions follow from their main- tic process for ​A​with the same E ​ ​[1/(1 + π )]​​.
tained hypotheses of sticky prices, just as ours Lagos (2010b) characterizes the general class
follow from congestion externalities, in both of monetary policies consistent with ​ ι = 0​.
cases only if fiscal policy is limited. If ​ d ≤ a​binds in every state, the results
We can add heterogenous DM meetings. look like those in Wilson (1979) or Cole
Consider a random variable ​ ψ​
, such that and Kocherlakota (1998) for deterministic
when a buyer meets a seller the former gets CIA models. See also Nosal and Rocheteau
utility ​ψu​(q)​​from the latter’s goods. This (2011), where buyers and sellers can be asym-
illustrates further differences between the metrically informed about inflation. See also
models here and ones with exogenous trad- Gu, Han, and Wright (2014), which analyzes
ing patterns, and how a strict lack of double- the effects of monetary policy (and other)
coincidence meetings is not needed for changes announced at t​ ​but not implemented
until ​​t′ ​  > t​, and shows that the deterministic
(perfect-foresight) transition path between ​t​
a commonly understood role of banking. Consider Selgin
(2007): “Genuine banks are distinguished from other kinds
of . . . financial intermediaries by the readily transferable or
‘spendable’ nature of their IOUs, which allows those IOUs 41 This point was made in second-generation models by
to serve as a means of exchange, that is, money. Commercial Engineer and Shi (1998, 2001), Berentsen and Rocheteau
bank money today consists mainly of deposit balances that (2002), and Jafarey and Masters (2003). Our presentation
can be transferred either by means of paper orders known is based on Berentsen and Rocheteau (2003a). Relatedly,
as checks or electronically using plastic ‘debit’ cards.” This in Jacquet and Tan (2011, 2012), money is more liquid
is a particularly natural feature to emphasize in new mone- than assets with state-dependent dividends, since those are
tarist models, given the focus on institutions that facilitate valued differently by agents with different hedging needs,
exchange. while cash is valued uniformly.
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 401

and ​​t′ ​​can involve complicated, nonmonotone, U′ ​(x )  


(34) ​
or cycal dynamics.
Another extension adds capital, as in = β​U′ ​( ​ x​ +1​​  )​{1 + ​[​    f1​  ​​  ( ​ℓ​  +1​​  , ​k+1
​  ​​  ) − ​δ​  k​​]​
Aruoba and Wright (2003), Shi (1997a,
1997b), Aruoba, Waller, and Wright (2011),   × ​(1 − ​t​ k​​)​}​ 
and others. This can raise questions about
competition between ​k​and ​a​, addressed in − K( ​q​ +1​​  , ​k+1
​  ​​  ),
section 9, but here we assume ​k​is not portable
(it cannot be taken to the DM), and claims to​ U′ ​(x )   = 1 /​(1 − ​t​ ℓ​​)​ ​f1​  ​​  (ℓ, ​kt​  ​​  )
(35) ​
k​are not recognizable (they can be costlessly
forged), so k​ ​cannot be a medium of exchange. (36) x + G = f (ℓ, k )  + (1 − ​δ​  k​​  )k − ​k+
​  1​​  , ​
The CM production function is f​(​ ℓ, k)​​,
and the DM cost function c​ ​(q, k)​​. Then where ​K( ⋅ ) ≡ ασβ​[​c​ 2​​  ( ⋅ ) − ​c​ 1​​( ⋅ ) ​v​ 2​​  ( ⋅ )/​v​ 1​​  ( ⋅ )]​​.
Given policy and ​​k​ 0​​​, equilibrium is a path for​​
(32) ​
W(a, k )   (q, k, x, ℓ)​​ satisfying (33)–(36).
The term K ​ ( ⋅ )​in (34) reflects a holdup
 ​​{ ​  ​​  (​a ​,̂  ​k ​)̂ }​​ 
​ U(x )  − ℓ + β ​V+1

     =  ​  max​ problem in the demand for capital, parallel
x,ℓ, ​a ​,̂  ​k ​̂
to the one in the demand for money (see also
subject to Kurmann 2014 and references therein). The
first holdup problem is avoided if and only
x + ​k ​̂ = ϕ(a − ​a ​)̂ + ​w​  ℓ​​​(1 − ​t​ ℓ​​)​ℓ
 ​ if ​θ = 0​and the second if and only if θ​ = 1​.
For intermediate ​ θ​there is underinvest-
+ ​[1 + ​(​w​  k​​  − ​δ​  k​​)​ ​(1 − ​t​ k​​)​]​  k + T​, ment both in money and in capital, which
can have important implications for welfare
where ​​w​  ℓ​​​ and ​​w​  k​​​ are factor prices, ​​t​ ℓ​​​ and ​​t​ k​​​ and the model’s empirical p ­ erformance. In
are tax rates, and δ​ ​​ k​​​ is depreciation. Now Aruoba, Waller, and Wright (2011), with
̂ ​ is independent of ​(a, k )​and W
​(​a ​,̂  ​k )​ ​ ​is lin- bargaining, ​π​affects investment by only a
ear, generalizing benchmark results. The little at calibrated parameters, because the
setup nests conventional real business cycle holdup problem makes k​ ​low and insensitive
theory: if U ​ ​(x)​  = log​(x)​​ and ​f ​(ℓ, k)​​ is ­Cobb– to policy. With price taking (or with directed
Douglas, nonmonetary equilibrium here is search and price posting), however, holdup
exactly the same as Hansen (1985). problems vanish, and in the calibrated model
At the start of the DM, it is randomly eliminating ​10 percent​inflation can increase
determined which agents want to buy or steady state ​k​by as much as ​5 percent​. This
sell. Then buyers search, while sellers sit is sizable, although welfare gains are less-
on their k​ ​and wait for buyers to show up. ened by the necessary transition. In any
The DM terms of trade satisfy v​(q, k ) case, while we cannot go into all the details,
= ϕ​a ​/̂  ​w​  ℓ(​​​ 1 − ​t​ ℓ)​​ ​​, where ​v(​ q, k)​​ comes from, this should allay fears that these models are
say, Nash bargaining. It is not hard to derive hard to integrate with mainstream macro or
the Euler equations for a​ ​and ​k​. Combining growth theory. They are not.42
these with the other equilibrium conditions,
we get
42 Aruoba (2011) is a dynamic-stochastic model that

(33) ​​(1 + π)​  v(q, k)


performs empirically at business-cycle frequencies about
as well as reduced-form models with flexible prices, match-
ing many facts but not, e.g., the cyclicality or persistence
= βc( ​q​ +1​​  , ​k+1
​  ​​  )​[1 + ασλ( ​q​ +1​​  , ​k+1
​  ​​  )]​, of inflation. Venkateswaran and Wright (2013) is a model
with money, capital, and other assets, designed more for
402 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

As regards labor markets and monetary convening between the CM and DM.43 Since
policy, theory is flexible. If c​ ​​k​​​(q, k)​  = 0​, labor is allocated in the LM, they make CM
the model just presented dichotomizes, with​ utility linear in ​x​, as in typical Mortensen–
q​solving (33), and ​​(k, x, ℓ)​​ solving (34)–(36). Pissarides models. Then
This means ∂ ​ q /  ∂ π < 0​, but ∂ ​ k /  ∂ π = ∂ x /  ∂ π
= ∂ ℓ/∂ π = 0​. The idea of putting ​k​in ​c(​ q, k)​​ ​​W​ e​​  (a) = ​max​
 ​​​  {x + β ​Le​  ​​​(​a ​)̂ ​}​​ 

x, ​a ​̂
was precisely to break the dichotomy. It
leads to ∂ ​ℓ /  ∂ π < 0​ . An alternative is to subject to
interact q​ ​with ​x​in utility, say U ​ (​ q, x)​  − ℓ​.
Rocheteau, Rupert, and Wright (2007) ​x = ϕ​(a − ​a ​)̂ ​  + e ​w​ 1​​  + (1 − e) ​w​ 0​​  + T​,
and Dong (2011) do this in models with
indivisible labor, where ​ 1 − ℓ​is genuine where ​​Le​  ​​  (a)​is the LM value function
unemployment. They still get ​ ∂ q /  ∂ π < 0​, indexed by employment status ​e ∈ { 0, 1}​, ​​w​ 1​​​
but now, ​​U​ 12​​  > 0 ⇒ ∂ x /  ∂ π < 0​, and given ​ℓ​ is employment income, and w​  ​​ 0​​​ is unemploy-
is used to make x​​, this implies ∂ ​ ℓ /  ∂ π < 0​; ment income. They assume ​​w​ 1​​​ is determined
symmetrically, ​​U1​  2​​  < 0 ⇒ ∂ ℓ /  ∂ π > 0​. So by bargaining in the LM (but paid in the
the Phillips curve can slope up or down, CM, with no loss in generality). Generalizing
depending on ​​ U​ 12​​​
. Notice this is a fully the benchmark results, ​​a ̂ ​​is now independent
exploitable long-run trade-off. Even without of ​a​and ​e​. Unemployed agents in the LM
nominal rigidities, this can rationalize tradi- find jobs at a rate determined by a matching
tional Keynesian prescriptions: if ​​ U​ 12​​  < 0​, function taking unemployment and vacan-
permanently reducing 1​ − ℓ​by increasing π ​​ cies as inputs, as is standard.
is feasible. But it is not desirable, as absent More novel is the assumption that
other distortions ​ι = 0​is still optimal. This ­worker–firm pairs generate output, but do
illustrates a key point. One reason it is worth not consume what they produce. Instead,
starting with fundamentals like preferences, all households and a measure ​n​of firms par-
rather than taking as a structural relationship ticipate in the DM, where ​n​is the employ-
the Phillips curve and adopting some loss ment rate and hence also the measure of
function over ​​(π, ℓ)​​, is that it allows us to use firms with workers. The DM arrival rate is
properties of ​U ​to evaluate the mechanics determined by a matching function, taking
and the merits of policy. While an exploitable as inputs the measures of buyers and sellers.
Phillips curve relationship may exist, exploit- This establishes one link between the LM
ing it might be a bad idea. and DM: higher ​n​allows buyers to trade
A different approach to inflation and more frequently, endogenizing the need for
employment is developed by Berentsen, liquidity and thus leading to higher q ​ ​. A sec-
Menzio, and Wright (2011), who add a ond link is that higher q ​ ​leads to higher real
Pissarides (2000) frictional labor market to revenue for firms, as long as they have some
our benchmark model, let’s call it the LM,
43 See also Liu (2010), Lehmann (2012), Gomis-
Porqueras, Julien, and Wang (2013), Petrosky-Nadeau
lower-frequency observations, where it does fairly well. and Rocheteau (2013), Rocheteau and Rodriguez-Lopez
Aruoba, Davis, and Wright (2016) and He, Wright, and (2013), Dong and Xiao (2013), Bethune, Rocheteau, and
Zhu (2015) are versions built to study housing, while Rupert (2015), and Gu, Mattesini, and Wright (2016).
Aruoba and Schorfheide (2011) is one with sticky prices. Independent of monetary applications (one can always
Quantitative work incorporating capital is also performed assume perfect credit), this application of our benchmark
in the model of Shi (1997a) by Shi (1999a, 1999b), Wang model provides a neat way to put Mortensen–Pissarides
and Shi (2006), and Menner (2006), and in the model of into general equilibrium. See Shi (1998) for an alternative
Molico (2006) by Molico and Zhang (2005). approach.
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 403

10

8
Data
7 Model

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000

Figure 6. Unemployment: Model and Data

DM bargaining power, which leads to more following Lucas (1980), but Haug and King
vacancies and hiring. By taxing real balances, (2014) use more advanced time-series meth-
inflation lowers ​q​, and this lowers ​n​. In other ods and deliver similar results. Because this
words, unemployment and inflation are posi- may not be well known, we extract figure 7
tively related in the model (although that can from their findings, showing filtered infla-
be altered by changes in assumptions). tion and unemployment with a phase shift
Unemployment is shown in figure 6 from of 13 quarters, as dictated by fit. We agree
US data, 1955 to 2005, and from the cali- with their conclusion that, in terms of the
bration in Berentsen, Menzio, and Wright old monetarist notion of “long and variable
(2011) generated by inputting actual values lags” between policies and outcomes, the lag
of ​ι​, and counterfactually assuming produc- between inflation and unemployment may
tivity, taxes, and demographics are constant. be long but it is in fact not that variable.44
While it cannot match the 60s, the theory
accounts for much of the broad movement
44 These findings are related to old monetarism in sev-
in unemployment over a half century with
eral ways. Friedman (1968) says there can be a trade-off
monetary policy as the only driving force. between inflation and unemployment in the short run, but
It is important to emphasize that in filtered in the longer run the latter gravitates to its natural rate.
data, unemployment comoves with both π ​​ Friedman (1977) says “This natural rate will tend to be
and ​ι​, with the latter probably more relevant, attained when expectations are on average realized … con-
sistent with any absolute level of prices or of price change,
since what matters is expected inflation and provided allowance is made for the effect of price change
for that ​ι​ may be a better proxy than con- on the real cost of holding money balances.” This is the
temporaneous π ​​. Berentsen, Menzio, and effect operative in the model. The data in Friedman (1977)
also suggested to him an upward-sloping Phillips curve, if
Wright (2011) argue this using scatter plots, not as strongly as figure 7.
404 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

−1

−2

−3
1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

Inflation component
Unemployment component shifted 13 quarters forwards

Figure 7. Shifted/Filtered Data, Unemployment and Inflation

The framework can also explain sticky- for all ​p ∈ ​, because low-​p​sellers earn less
price observations, defined as some firms per unit but make it up on the volume. This
leaving their nominal prices the same when is because buyers that see multiple prices
the aggregate price level increases. In Head choose the lowest ​p,​ obviously. Given infla-
et al. (2012), the DM uses price posting à tion, sellers that stick to ​p​are letting their
la Burdett and Judd (1983).45 Each seller real prices fall, but their profits do not fall
sets p ​​taking as given the distribution of because volume increases. Of course, in the
other sellers’ prices, say ​ G(p)​, and the longer run they must change, because with
­behavior of buyers. The law of one price fails persistent inflation ​p ∉ ​ eventually.
because some buyers see one but others see Although G ​ (​ p)​​is unique, theory does not
more than one ​p​at a time. As is standard pin down which seller sets which p ​ ​. Head et al.
in Burdett–Judd models, this delivers an (2012) introduce a tie-breaking rule: when
equilibrium distribution G ​ ​(p)​​on a nonde- indifferent to change, sellers stick to p ​ ​ with
_
generate interval ​  = [ ​ p_ ​, ​ p ​]​. Heuristically, some probability. One can choose this prob-
​G(​ p)​​is constructed so that profit is the same ability to match average duration between p ​​
changes in, e.g., Klenow and Kryvtsov (2008)
data (sellers end up sticking with probability​
45 See Wang (2016), Liu, Wang, and Wright (2014),
0.9​). Then there is a unique distribution of p ​​
Burdett, Trejos, and Wright (2016), and Burdett and
Menzio (2014) for related work. Earlier, Head and Kumar changes. With other parameters calibrated
(2005) and Head, Kumar, and Lapham (2010) put Burdett– to other moments, the results are shown for
Judd pricing in the Shi (1997b) model, but did not discuss the model and data in figure 8. From this it
nominal rigidities. The idea here is more closely related
to Caplin and Spulber (1987) and Eden (1994), but the is apparent there is no puzzle in the price
microfoundations are different. change data, since it is just what ­ simple
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 405

0.3

Model
0.25
Data
Fraction of price change

0.2

0.15

0.1

0.05

0
<−20 −20 to −10 −10 to −5 −5 to 0 0 to 5 5 to 10 10 to 15 15 to 20
Percentage price change

Figure 8. Price Change Distribution: Model and Data

monetary search models predict. There is A similar point concerns studies of opti-
also no definitive information about Calvo mal monetary and fiscal policy by Aruoba
arrival rates or Mankiw menu costs in these and Chugh (2010) and Gomis-Porqueras
data, since the model makes no use of such and Peralta-Alva (2010). Their results over-
devices. This finding should influence the turn conventional wisdom from the reduced-
way economists interpret price change data: form literature. One manifestation is that
even if prices look sticky, one cannot con- MUF models, e.g., imply ​ι = 0​is optimal
clude that central banks should follow policy even when other taxes are distortionary
recommendations based on an alleged cost or under the assumption that utility over goods
difficulty of changing prices. Again, explicitly and money is homothetic (Chari, Christiano,
modeling the exchange process, and in this and Kehoe 1991). But Aruoba and Chugh’s
case asking why prices are sticky, can matter (2010) analysis shows that ­ making utility
a lot.46 homothetic over goods does not imply the
value function is h­omothetic. Again, the
46 The model is simultaneously consistent with sev-
eral facts that are challenging for other approaches: real-
istic duration, large average price changes, many small
changes, many negative changes, a decreasing hazard, and o­ bservations on money demand and the micro observa-
behavior that varies with inflation. However, the version tions payment methods. Liu, Wang, and Wright (2014) fix
in Head et al. (2012) cannot match these plus the macro this by introducing costly credit.
406 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

ασ
1−θ

u' [q(z)]
Marginal private return of money: i = ασ −1
v' [q(z)]
i1 D
θ

Marginal social return of money:


ασθ
1−θ i = ασ u'[q(z)] − c'[q(z)]
θ v' [q(z)]
B
i1

A C
0 z
z1 z0

Figure 9. Welfare Triangles and the Cost of Inflation

conclusion from these findings is that micro- 8. The Cost of Inflation


foundations matter.47
We now go into more detail on the effects
of monetary expansion. Equilibrium in the
above models depends on policy, ι​​or π
47 We cannot go into detail on every application, but
we mention a few more. Boel and Camera (2006), Camera ​ ​, as
and Li (2008), Li (2001, 2007), Sanches and Williamson well as the frictions embodied in ​ασ​and the
(2010), and Berentsen and Waller (2011a) study inter- mechanism ​v​(⋅)​​, and these ingredients are
actions between money and bonds or credit. Berentsen
and Monnet (2008), Berentsen and Waller (2011b), and all important for understanding inflation.
Andolfatto (2010, 2013) discuss policy implementation. Consider the typical quantitative exercise
Guerrieri and Lorenzoni (2009) discuss liquidity and in reduced-form models, where one com-
cycles. Aruoba, Davis, and Wright (2016) study the effect
of inflation on the demand for houses; Burdett et al. (2016) putes the cost of fully anticipated inflation
study the effect on the demand for spouses. Silveira and by asking how much consumption agents
Wright (2010) study liquidity in the market for ideas, while would be willing to give up to reduce π ​ ​ from​
growth applications include Waller (2011) and Berentsen,
Rojas Breu, and Shi (2012). Duffy and Puzzello (2014) 10 percent​to the level consistent with the
experiment in the lab in versions where good outcomes Friedman rule. A consensus answer in the
can be supported by social norms, without money, yet literature is around 0​ .5 percent​(e.g., Cooley
find subjects tend to favor money, and interpret this as
money acting as a coordination device. See also Araujo and and Hansen 1989 or Lucas 2000; see Aruoba,
Guimaraes (2017). Waller, and Wright 2011 for a longer list of
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 407

references). By contrast, in models along the To quantify the effects, a typical strat-
lines of Lagos and Wright (2005), with Nash egy is this: Take U ​(x) = log (x)​, ​u(q)  
bargaining and θ​ ​calibrated to match retail = Γ ​q​​  1−γ​  / (1 − γ )​
, and c​(q) = q​. Set ​ β​ to
markups, eliminating 1​ 0 percent​inflation is match an average real interest rate. Since it
worth around 5​ .0 percent​of consumption— is not so easy to identify, set ​ασ = 1 / 2​ and
an order of magnitude higher. later check robustness (it does not matter
To explain this, as in Craig and much over a reasonable range). Then set ​θ​ to
Rocheteau (2008a), figure 9 generalizes the match a markup of 3​ 0 percent​.49 Finally, set
welfare-triangle analysis of Bailey (1956).
­ the parameters ​Γ​and ​γ​to match the empir-
With Kalai bargaining, write (27) as ical money demand curve, i.e., the relation-
ship between ι​​and real balances scaled by

{ ​υ′ ​​[q(z )]​ }
​u′ ​​[q(z )]​ income. A typical fit is shown in figure 10,
​ ​ 
ι(z) = ασ​ _______  ​  − 1 ​,​ drawn using US data on M ​ 1​(it might be bet-
ter to use M ​ 1S​from Cynamon, Dutkowsky,
and Jones 2006 or M ​ 1J​from Lucas and
which can be interpreted as money demand Nicolini 2013, but the goal here is mainly
with z​ = ϕa​denoting real balances. As ι​ → 0​, to discuss the method). This delivers results
​z → ​z​ 0​​  = θc( ​q​​  ∗​  ) + (1 − θ ) u( ​q​​  ∗​  )​, and there close to Lagos and Wright’s ​ 5.0 percent​ .
is an upper bound ​​ ı  ​ ̅ = ασθ / (1 − θ)​ above Note that the calibration does not imply the
which ​ z = 0​
. If ​ θ = 1​, then ​​z​ 0​​  = c( ​q​​  ∗​  )​ DM accounts for a large fraction of total
and ​​  ı  ​ ̅ = ∞​, and the welfare cost of going output—it is only about ​ 10 percent​ . Note
from ι​ = 0​ to ​​ι​  1​​  > 0​is the area under the also that as we change the frequency from
curve, A ​ BC​, because annual to quarterly or monthly, the relevant
values of ​ασ​and ​β​change, but as long as we
∫ are below the bound α ​ σ = 1​, the results are
​z​ 0​​
​​ ​z​  ​​​  ​​  ι(z) dz = ασ​{u​[q( ​z​ 0​​  )]​  − c​[q( ​z​ 0​​  )]​}​ 
1
approximately the same—a big advantage
of search-based models over those where
− ασ​{u​[q( ​z​ 1​​  )]​  − c​[q( ​z​ 1​​  )]​}​.​ agents spend all their cash each period.
In an extension with private informa-
But if θ​ < 1​, the cost of inflation no longer tion, Ennis (2008) finds even larger effects,
coincides with this area, as buyers receive between ​6 percent​ and ​7 percent​. Dong
only a fraction of the increase in surplus (2010) allows inflation to affect the vari-
coming from ​z​. The true cost of inflation ety of goods, and hence exchange on the
is the area ​ADC​, not ​ABC​, because ​ABC ​ extensive and intensive margins. She gets
ignores the surplus of the seller, related to numbers between ​5 percent​ and ​8 percent​
the holdup problems discussed above.48 with bargaining. Wang (2016) uses Burdett–
Judd pricing to get price dispersion, so that
inflation affects both the average and the
variability of prices. He gets ​3 percent​in a
48 Some mechanisms, including Kalai bargaining or
Walrasian pricing, deliver the first best at ι​ = 0​. Hence,
by the envelope theorem, a small ​ι > 0​has only a second- 49 Lagos and Wright (2005) targeted a markup of​
order effect. Nash bargaining with ​θ < 1​, however, does 10 percent​, but the results are similar, since ​10 percent​
not deliver the first best at ι​ = 0​, so the envelope theo- already makes ​θ​small enough to matter. Our preferred​
rem does not apply, and even a small ι​ > 0​has a first-order 30 percent​is based on the Annual Retail Trade Survey dis-
impact. This is an additional effect from Nash, but even cussed in Faig and Jerez (2005) (although Bethune, Choi,
with Kalai bargaining, the cost of inflation is greater than it and Wright 2014 say the data imply ​39 percent​, the differ-
is with Walrasian pricing because of the holdup problem. ence does not matter that much for our purposes).
408 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

16

14
Data
Model
12

10
Ι (percent)

0
0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5
M1/PY

Figure 10. Money Demand: Theory and Data

calibration trying to match dispersion, and​ Dutu (2006) and Boel and Camera (2011)
7 percent​when he matches a 3​0 percent​ consider other countries.
markup. In a model with capital, Aruoba, Faig and Jerez (2006), Rocheteau and
Waller, and Wright (2011) get around ​3 per- Wright (2009), and Dong (2010) use compet-
cent​across steady states, although some of itive search, and find costs closer to 1​  ­percent​
that is lost during transitions. Faig and Li or ​1.5 percent​, since this avoids holdup prob-
(2009) add a signal extraction problem and lems. Relatedly, with capital, in Aruoba,
decompose the cost into components due Waller, and Wright (2011) switching from bar-
to anticipated and unanticipated inflation; gaining to Walrasian pricing brings the cost
they find the former is far more important. down, even though the effect of ​π​on invest-
Aruoba, Davis, and Wright (2016) add home ment is much bigger with Walrasian pricing.
production, which increases the cost of infla- Although the choice of mechanisms matters
tion the same way it magnifies the effects of, for welfare results, models with bargain-
e.g., taxation in nonmonetary models. Boel ing, price taking, and posting can all match
and Camera (2009) consider the distribu- the money demand data. Rocheteau (2012)
tional impact in a model with heterogeneity. also shows a socially efficient ­ mechanism,
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 409

as in Hu, Kennan, and Wallace (2009), can effect, optimal ​π​is around 3​ .5 percent​(obvi-
match money demand, but it implies the ously a second-best result). Bethune, Choi,
welfare cost of a low inflation is nil. Bethune, and Wright (2014) can get ​ ι > 0​ optimal
Choi, and Wright (2014) have informed and because equilibrium tends to have too many
uninformed agents, as in Lester (2011), and sellers catering to the uninformed, and since
combine directed search with posting and such sellers use more cash, inflation reduces
random search with bargaining. They also their number. Molico (2006), with a non-
introduce the option to use costly credit and degenerate ​F​(a)​​, has examples of a positive
show how all of these ingredients matter redistributive effect, although in Chiu and
quantitatively. All of these results underscore Molico’s (2010, 2011) calibrated models, this
the importance of understanding the micro- effect reduces the cost of inflation but π ​ < 0​
foundations of information and price forma- is still optimal. The same is true of Dressler
tion in decentralized markets. (2011a, 2011b), although his majority-voting
A more radical extension is Aruoba and equilibrium has ​ι > 0​. Based on all this, while
Schorfheide (2011), who estimate a model understanding the effects of inflation is an
integrating new monetarist and Keynesian ongoing project, progress to date provides lit-
features. They compare the importance of tle support for the dogmatic position in some
sticky price distortions, which imply ​π = 0​ Keynesian research that monetary consider-
is optimal, and the effect emphasized here, ations of the type considered here are irrele-
which implies ι​ = 0​is optimal. They estimate vant and can be ignored in policy discussions.
the model under four scenarios, depending
on the DM mechanism and whether they
9. Liquidity in Finance
fit short- or long-run money demand. With
bargaining and short-run demand, despite Assets other than currency also con-
large sticky-price distortions, ι​ = 0​is opti- vey liquidity.50 To begin this discussion, we
mal. The other scenarios even with parame- emphasize that assets can facilitate trans-
ter uncertainty never imply ​π = 0​. Craig and actions in different ways. First, with per-
Rocheteau (2008b) reach similar conclu- fect credit, there is no such role for assets.
sions in a menu-cost version of our bench- Perfect credit means default is not an option.
mark model, as in Benabou (1988, 1992) But if sellers worry buyers will renege, they
and Diamond (1993), except in Diamond– may insist on getting something, like an
Benabou money is merely a unit of account.
It matters: Diamond (1993) argues that infla- 50 Early papers where real assets facilitate trade in
tion usefully erodes the market power of sell- our benchmark model include Geromichalos, Licari, and
ers; but Craig and Rocheteau show that that Suarez-Lledo (2007) and Lagos (2010a, 2010b, 2011), who
have equity ​a​in fixed supply, and Lagos and Rocheteau
is dwarfed by the inefficiency emphasized (2008b), who have capital k​​ . See also Shi (2005),
here for reasonable parameters, making Rocheteau (2011), Lester, Postlewaite, and Wright (2012),
deflation, not inflation, optimal. Li, Rocheteau, and Weill (2012), Branch, Rocheteau, and
Petrosky-Nadeau (2016), Nosal and Rocheteau (2013), Hu
However, as mentioned above, sometimes and Rocheteau (2013), and Venkateswaran and Wright
a little inflation can be good. In Craig and (2013). There are applications using such models to study
Rocheteau (2008b) or Rocheteau and Wright financial issues like the credit-card-debt puzzle (Telyukova
and Wright 2008), on-the-run phenomena (Vayanos and
(2009), with endogenous entry or search Weill 2008), the equity-premium and risk-free-rate puz-
intensity, optimal ​π​is around ​2 percent​. In zles (Lagos 2008, 2010a), home bias (Geromichalos and
Venkateswaran and Wright (2013), since cap- Simonovska 2014), repos (Monnet and Narajabad 2012),
the term structure (Geromichalos, Herrenbrueck, and
ital taxation makes k​ ​too low, and this is par- Salyer 2016; Williamson 2016), and housing bubbles (He,
tially offset by a version of the Mundell–Tobin Wright, and Zhu 2015).
410 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

asset, by way of quid pro quo. Or, instead, (2011), rather than using the assets to secure
as in Kiyotaki and Moore (1997), they may his promise, a buyer can hand them over
require assets to serve as collateral that can and finalize the transaction in the DM. It is
be seized to punish default. equivalent for assets to serve as a medium of
To pursue this, first consider our bench- exchange or as collateral. One can imagine
mark model with perfect credit. Then exceptions—e.g., if it is “inconvenient” to use
part of your house as a payment instrument,
 ​W​(a, D)​  = ​max​
​ {U​(x)​  − ℓ + βV​(​a ​)̂ ​}​

 ​​ you may prefer to get a home-equity loan—

but unless that is modeled explicitly, secured
subject to credit à la Kiyotaki–Moore is not distinct
from assets serving as media of exchange à la
​x = ϕ(a − ​a ​)̂ + ρa + ℓ + T − D​, Kiyotaki–Wright.52
An ostensible distinction is that with
where D ​ ​is debt from the last DM, denom- secured credit you can only pledge a frac-
inated in numeraire (one-period debt is tion ​χ​ of assets, but we can just as well say
imposed without loss of generality). Any​ you can only hand over a fraction ​χ​ of your
q​can be purchased in the DM if a buyer assets, and again we show how this can
promises to make a payment in the CM of​ arise endogenously in section 10. While one
D = v​(q)​​ . For any Pareto efficient mech- might tell different stories, the equations are
anism, ​ q = ​q​​  ∗​​ and ​V(a )   = W(a, 0) + the same. Another such distinction is that
ασ​[u​(​q​​  )​ ​  −c​(​q​​  ∗)​ ​]​​. Since ​a​does not affect

the Kiyotaki–Moore literature usually talks
DM trade, the Euler equation is ϕ​  ​​−1​​  about producer credit, not consumer credit,
= β​(ρ + ϕ)​​ , the only bounded solution to but in terms of theory, as we said earlier, that
which is the constant solution ​ϕ = ​ϕ​​  ∗​  ≡ ρ / r​, is merely a relabeling. A less delusory dis-
where ​​ϕ​​  ∗​​is the fundamental price. tinction may be this: In the models presented
Now let debtors default. Also, suppose we above, assets are useful for the acquisition of​
cannot take away defaulters’ future credit.51 q​. Suppose what you want is not ​q,​ but more
Then the only punishment is seizing assets of the same asset, like a producer increasing
pledged as collateral—assuming, say, that business capital or a homeowner increasing
they have been assigned to third parties with housing capital. It will not do to exchange old​
commitment. As in standard Kiyotaki–Moore k​for new k​ ​. But it might be useful to pledge
models, borrowers can pledge only a fraction​ the old ​k​to get new ​k​on credit if we assume
χ ≤ 1​of their assets, with ​χ​ exogenous (it is the former is pledgeable but the latter is not,
endogenized in section 10). The IC for hon- which is perhaps arbitrary but not crazy.
oring obligations is D ​ ≤ ​(ϕ + ρ)​  χa​, as for In any event, let us include the parame-
higher ​D​it is better to forfeit the c­ ollateral. ter ​χ​, and consider assets with ρ ​ > 0​. Now
Hence, the Kiyotaki–Moore debt limit we cannot be sure ​d ≤ χ​(ϕ + ρ)​  a​binds. If it
is ​​D̅ ​  = ​(ϕ + ρ)​  χa​ . But as noted in Lagos binds, the analog of (25) is

(37) ​​ϕ​  −1​​  = β​(ϕ + ρ)​ ​[1 + ασχλ​(q)​]​, ​


51 In the notation of sections 3 and 4, μ
​ = 0​. Perhaps
defaulters can move to new towns, e.g., where they are
anonymous. However, this is not meant to diminish the
importance of taking away defaulters’ future credit, in 52 One can also interpret it as a repo: the buyer gives
general. New monetarist models of credit based on Kehoe up assets for q ​ ​in the DM, then buys them back with
and Levine (1993) instead of Kiyotaki and Moore (1997) numeraire in the CM. The point is not that repos are
include Gu et al. (2013a, 2013b), Bethune, Rocheteau, and essential, only that there are different ways to decentralize
Rupert (2015), and Carpella and Williamson (2015). trade, or at least different ways to describe it.
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 411

φ
Liquid asset is scarce

Liquid asset is abundant

Demand for a
φ∗

A∗ a

Figure 11. Asset Demand and Supply

where λ ​​(q)​​is as before. Using ​ v(​ q)​  ϕ > ​ϕ​​  ∗​​for intermediate values of ​χ​, the
= χ​(ϕ + ρ)​  a​to eliminate ϕ ​ ​ and ​​ϕ​  −1​​​, we claim follows. Hence, as assets become more
get a difference equation in q ​ ​analogous to pledgeable, there can emerge an endoge-
(26). While ​ρ > 0​rules out equilibria where​ nous price boom and bust (He, Wright, and
ϕ = 0​or ​ϕ → 0​, there can still exist cyclic, Zhu 2015).
chaotic and stochastic equilibria (Lagos and To check if the liquidity constraint
Wright 2003; Zhou 2003; Rocheteau and binds, assume that it does, and use v​(​ q)​ 
Wright 2013). Thus, it is not the fiat nature = χ​(ϕ + ρ)​  a​to eliminate q ​ ​from (37). In
of money that generates dynamics, but an stationary equilibrium, the result can be
inherent feature of liquidity, which applies to interpreted as the long-run demand for a​​
assets serving as a means of payment or col- as a function of ​ϕ​. One can show demand is
lateral, whether they are nominal or real. We decreasing for ​q < ​q​ 0​​​, defined by ​λ​(​q​ 0)​​ ​  = 0​,
also claim that ϕ ​ ​is nonmonotone in ​χ​: first, even if ​λ(​ q)​​is not monotone (Wright 2010).
​ϕ = ​ϕ​​  ∗​​ when ​χ = 0​and when ​χ​ is so big that Then define ​​ A​​  ∗​​ by ​v​(​q​ 0)​​ ​  = χ​(​ϕ​​  ∗​  + ρ)​ ​A​​  ∗​​,
the liquidity constraint is slack; then, since​ where ​​ϕ​​  ​  = ρ / r​

, so that ​ a = ​A​​  ∗​​ satiates
412 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

a buyer in liquidity. The resulting asset budget equation, but as in the benchmark
demand curve is shown in figure 11, which model, ​T​adjusts to satisfy this after a pol-
truncates (37) at ​​ϕ​​  ∗​​. It is now immediate icy change. The nominal returns on illiquid
that ​A ≥ ​A​​  ∗​​implies liquidity is plentiful and real and nominal bonds are still 1​ + r = 1 / β​
​ϕ = ​ϕ​​  ∗​​, while ​A < ​A​​  ∗​​ implies liquidity and ​1 + ι = ​(1 + π)​/β​. The nominal return
is scarce and bears a premium ϕ ​ > ​ϕ​​  ∗​​. on the liquid real bond—i.e., the amount of
We also mention that some ­ applications cash accruing in the next CM from a dollar
use ­one-period assets instead of ­long-lived put into these bonds in the current CM—
assets. Then (37) changes to ​​ ϕ​  −1​​  is denoted ι​ ​​b​​​, and generally differs from ι​​.
= βρ​[1 + ασχλ​(q)​]​​where now ​v​(q)​  = χρa​, Suppose in the DM, with probability ​​α​  m​​​ a
since the asset pays a dividend ​ρ​but has no buyer meets a seller that accepts only a​ ​​ m​​​,
resale value in the next CM; otherwise the and they trade ​​q​ m​​​; with probability ​​α​  b​​​ he
results are similar. meets one that accepts only a​ ​​ b​​​, they trade ​​q​  b​​​;
The above analysis applies to assets in and with probability α​  ​​ 2​​​he meets one that
fixed supply. Neoclassical capital is simi- accepts both, they trade ​​q​ 2​​​. One can also say
lar except the supply curve is horizontal that conditional on being accepted, ​​χ​ m​​​ and​​
instead of vertical, so liquidity considerations χ​  b​​​are the fractions of the buyer’s ​​a​ m​​​ and ​​a​  b​​​
are manifest not by ​ϕ > ​ϕ​​  ∗​​but by ​k > ​k​​  ∗​​. that can be used in the transaction. While
Housing is similar when it conveys liquidity ​​χ​ m​​  = ​χ​  b​​  = 1​is a fine special case, again,
via ­home-equity lending, except supply need these are endogenized in section 10, and
not be horizontal or vertical. Recent research it is shown how ​​χ​ j​​  < 1​can emerge in
(see fn. 50) studies models with different private-information settings where sellers
combinations of these kinds of assets plus are worried about counterfeits.
currency. One application concerns open In any case, buyers always spend all the
market operations, or OMOs, in economies cash they can, but may or may not use all
with money plus a real, one-period, pure-dis- their bonds. Suppose they do use all their
count ­government bond issued in the CM bonds in type-​b​and type-​2​meetings, which
and paying a unit of numeraire in the next happens when liquidity is scarce. The Euler
CM. The following discussion encompasses equations are
features in Williamson (2012, 2014, 2016),
Rocheteau and Rodriguez-Lopez (2014), ι = ​α​  m​​ ​χ​  m​​  λ( ​q​ m​​  ) + ​α​  2​​ ​χ​  m​​  λ( ​q​ 2​​  ),
(38)  ​
and Rocheteau, Wright, and Xiao (2014).53
Suppose these bonds are partially liq-
uid—i.e., can be traded in some DM (39) s = ​α​  b​​ ​χ​  b​​  λ( ​q​  b​​  ) + ​α​  2​​ ​χ​  b​​  λ( ​q​ 2​​  ), ​
­meetings.54 Bonds affect the government
s ≡ ​(ι − ​ι​  b)​​ ​/(​ 1 + ​ι​  b)​​ ​​is the spread
where ​
between illiquid and liquid bond returns.55 As
53 See also Dong and Xiao (2013), Han (2014), and
Ennis (2014). Also, while these papers consider both real
and nominal bonds, we concentrate here solely on the for- Bech and Monnet (2016), and Chiu and Monnet (2015).
mer, but most of the results are similar. See also section 11.
54 While it may be unusual for households to use bonds 55 This is related to what Krishnamurthy and Vissing-
as payment instruments, it is common for financial firms Jorgensen (2012) call the “convenience yield” and measure
to use them as collateral, and just like we can reinterpret by the difference between government and corporate bond
agents as producers instead of consumers, many applica- yields (see also Nagel 2014). One might say the model here
tions interpret them as banks. See Berentsen and Monnet rationalizes their reduced-form specification with T-bills
(2008), Koeppl, Monnet, and Temzelides (2008, 2012), in the utility function, but it’s not clear if that’s desirable,
Martin and Monnet (2011), Chapman, Chiu, and Molico any more than saying the models presented above ratio-
(2011, 2013), Berentsen, Marchesiani, and Waller (2014), nalize money in the utility function. The sine qua non of
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 413

Rocheteau, Wright, and Xiao (2014) point out,​​ g­ enerate a liquidity trap, with low q ​ ​’s, and
ι​  b​​  < 0​is possible in this model, although we ineffectual OMOs, because changing ​​ A​ b​​​
still have ​ι ≥ 0​for illiquid bonds. When ι​​ ​  b​​  < 0​, crowds out real balances, with total liquidity
agents are willing to hold ​​ a​  b​​​ because its staying put, similar to Wallace (1981, 1983).
expected liquidity benefit exceeds that of At this juncture we offer some general
cash, or because it is more pledgeable, and comments on the coexistence of money and
note that this does not violate no-arbitrage riskless, perfectly recognizable bonds with
as long as bonds issued by private agents in positive returns. Papers trying to address
the CM do circulate in the DM. Whether this coexistence (or rate of return domi-
or not it is empirically relevant, this shows nance) puzzle generally impose some asym-
how ​​ι​  b​​  < 0​is a logical possibility (see also metry between money and bonds. Aiyagari,
He, Huang, and Wright 2008, Sanches and Wallace, and Wright (1996), e.g., study
Williamson 2010, or Lagos 2013b). a second-generation model with money
The effects of π ​ ​or ​ι​are still equivalent and two-period government bonds. As
since, again, ​1 + ι = ​(1 + π)​/ β​. As long as​​ in Victor E. Li (1994, 1995), Aiyagari and
α​  2​​  > 0​, higher ι​​ raises ​​ϕ​  b​​​ and ​s​as agents Wallace (1997), or Li and Wright (1998),
try to shift out of cash and into bonds. The there are government agents that act like
effect of ι​​ on ​​ι​  b​​​is nonmonotone: a Fisher anyone else except: in meetings with pri-
effect raises the nominal return for a given vate sellers, they may either pay with cash
real return, but a Mundell effect lowers the or issue a bond; they may refuse to accept
real return as demand for bonds rises, and not-yet-matured bonds from private buyers;
either can dominate. For OMOs, note that and in any meeting they can turn matured
buying bonds with cash is formally equiva- bonds into cash. Equilibria with valued
lent to buying them with general tax revenue: money and interest-bearing bonds exist
higher ​​Am ​  ​​​means higher prices but the same​​ because of asymmetry in the way govern-
ϕ​  m​​ ​Am​  ​​​. Hence, any real impact comes from ment treats the assets.56
changing ​​Ab​  ​​​ . One can show ​ ∂ z /  ∂ ​Ab​  ​​  < 0​ Such asymmetries are adopted because of a
and ​ ∂ ​q​ m​​  /  ∂ ​A​ b​​  < 0​ if ​​α​  2​​  > 0​. Intuitively, belief that, under laissez-faire, absent exoge-
higher ​​Ab​  ​​​makes liquidity less scarce in nous assumptions that favor money, there are
type-​2​­meetings, so agents try to economize no equilibria where it coexists with default-
on cash, but this comes back to haunt them in­ free, interest-paying, nominal bearer bonds.
type-​m​meetings. Since an OMO that raises​​ Yet arguably there are episodes where such
A​ m​​​results in higher ​z,​ prices go up by less securities and money both circulated, a strong
than ​​Am ​  ​​​. One could misinterpret this as slug- instance of the rate-of-return-dominance
gish prices. In fact, ​z​increases because ​​A​ b​​​ puz­zle. Lagos (2013b) addresses this in a ver-
falls. Similarly, this OMO leads to a reduc- sion of the benchmark model where currency
tion in ​​ι​  b​​​. One could misinterpret this by consists of notes that are heterogeneous in
thinking the increase in A​  ​​ m​​​ reduces nominal extraneous attributes—e.g., serial numbers—
returns, but again lower ι​ ​​ b​​​ actually happens called moneyspots, to make a connection with
because ​​A​ b​​​falls. Hence, it is not so easy to sunspots. These payoff-irrelevant characteris-
make inferences about monetary neutrality. tics are enough to get money coexisting with
For some parameterizations, as Williamson
(2012) emphasizes, the model can also
56 A different asymmetry is studied in Zhu and Wallace
(2007) and Nosal and Rocheteau (2013), where the trading
our approach is modeling exchange explicitly, not deriving protocol gives a larger share of the surplus to agents with
indirect utility functions from primitives. more money.
414 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

interest-bearing bonds. Heuristically, the ­ references this is violated by data, where​​


p
extraneous attributes are priced, so that dif- ξ​  b​​  < 0​and ξ​ ​​ s​​  > 0​. By contrast, here
ferent notes are valued differently, supported
purely by beliefs (see Lagos 2013a, 2013b (44) ​​ξ​  b​​  =  −​α​  2​​  E​[Ωλ​(q)​ ​R​ b​​]​  ,
and Wallace 2013 for more discussion).
Moving from pure theory to more applied
issues, Lagos (2008, 2010a) shows how liquid- ξ​  s​​  =  ​α​  2​​  E​[Ωλ​(q)​( ​R​ b​​  − ​Rs​  ​​  )]​.​
(45) ​
ity helps us understand two of the best-known
issues in finance, the r­isk-free-rate and the From (44), ​​ξ​ b​​  < 0​as long as ​​α​  2​​  λ​(​q​ t+1​​)​ 
equity-premium puzzles. There are two real > 0​ , which says the bond has liquidity
assets, a one-period risk-free government value in some state of the world. Hence,
bond, and shares in a tree with random div- a liquidity-based model is always at least
idend ​ρ​, with prices ​​ϕ​  b​​​ and ​​ϕ​  s​​​. In a minor qualitatively consistent with the risk-free-
modification of the benchmark model, returns rate puzzle. Also, ​​ξ​  s​​​ is the weighted aver-
are in terms of a second CM consumption age return differential ​​R​ b​​  − ​Rs​  ​​​ across states.
good ​y​, which is numeraire, while ​​p​ x​​​ is the This is generally ambiguous in sign, but
price of x​ ​, and CM utility is U ​ (​ x, y)​​. For now suppose there is a high- and a low-growth
both assets can be used in all DM transactions, state, and ​​R​ b​​  − ​Rs​  ​​​is positive in the latter
​​α​  2​​  > 0 = ​α​  b​​  = ​α​  s​​​ (but see below). Since and negative in the ­former. If the weight
feasibility implies y​ = ρ​ , letting ​ x​(y)​​ solve ​Ωλ​(q)​​tends to be larger in the low state,
​​U1​  (​​​ x, y)​  = 1​, we have the Euler equations then ​​ξ​  s​​  > 0​ . Hence, even without giving
bonds a liquidity advantage over equity, the
(40) ​​U​ 2​​​[x​(​ρ​  −1​​)​, ​ρ​  −1​​]​ ​ϕ​  b,−1​​  model rationalizes the equity-premium puz-
zle. In a calibration with U ​ (​ x, y)​  = ​Û ​​(x)​  +
= βE​{​U2​  ​​​[x​(ρ)​, ρ]​ ​[1 + ​α​  2​​  λ​(q)​]​}​, ​y​​  ​  /​(1 − γ)​​
1−γ
, the model is quantitatively
consistent with both puzzles for ​ γ = 10​,
while standard calibrations of Mehra–
U2​  ​​​[x​(​ρ​  −1​​)​, ​ρ​  −1​​]​ ​ϕ​  s,−1​​ 
(41) ​ Prescott need γ ​ = 20​. Modest differences
in acceptability matter a lot. Suppose buy-
= βE​{​U2​  ​​​[x​(ρ)​, ρ]​ ​(​ϕ​  s​​  + ρ)​ ​[1 + ​α​  2​​  λ​(q)​]​}​.​ ers can only use bonds in ​2 percent​of DM
trades, and can use bonds or shares in​
Compared to our benchmark, now 98 percent​. Then ​γ = 4​generates an equity
expected marginal utility ​​U​ 2​​​(⋅)​​ at different premium of ​7 percent​, which is ​10​times
dates matters; compared to asset-pricing larger than Mehra–Prescott with γ ​ = 4​.
models following Mehra and Prescott (1985), These models have many other impli-
now liquidity matters. From (40)–(41) follow cations for financial economics and pol-
a pair of restrictions, icy analysis. In Lagos (2010b, 2011), e.g.,
­currency and claims to a random aggregate
E(Ω ​R​ b​​  − 1) = ​ξ​  b​​  ,
(42) ​ endowment can both be used in the DM,
and in some states, asset values are too low
(43) E[Ω(​Rs​  ​​  − ​R​ b​​)] = ​ξ​  s​​  ,​ to get ​​q​​  ∗​​. Then monetary policy can miti-
gate this by offsetting liquidity shortages.
involving the MRS, Ω
​ ≡ β ​U2​  (​​​ x, ρ)​/​ More ­generally, the message is that liquidity
U​ 2​​​(​x​ −1​​, ​ρ​  −1​​)​​
, and measured returns, R​  ​​ b​​  ≡ considerations have important implications
1/​ϕ​  b,−1​​​ and ​​Rs​  ​​  ≡ ​(​ϕ​  s​​  + ρ)​/​ϕ​  s,−1​​​. For ­Mehra– for the effects of monetary policy on asset
Prescott, ​​ξ​  b​​  = ​ξ​  s​​  = 0​ , and for standard markets. This is no surprise; we are simply
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 415

suggesting a tractable GE framework that A first-generation model by Williamson


makes this precise.57 and Wright (1994) has no double-
coincidence problem, but barter is hin-
dered by goods that are lemons—i.e., they
10. Information and Liquidity
are cheaper to produce but provide less util-
Going back to Law (1705), Jevons (1875), ity. Sometimes an agent recognizes quality
and others, one approach to understand- before accepting a good, and sometimes not
ing the moneyness of assets appeals to (it is match specific). Depending on param-
informational frictions.58 Alchian (1977) eters, it is often the case that in equilibrium
­iconoclastically goes so far as to say “It is agents accept goods they do not recog-
not the absence of a double coincidence of nize. Suppose otherwise; then since agents
wants, nor of the costs of searching out the who do recognize low-quality goods never
market of potential buyers and sellers of var- accept them, agents with lemons cannot
ious goods, nor of record keeping, but the trade; therefore no one produces lemons
costliness of information about the attributes and hence you can accept goods with impu-
of goods available for exchange that induces nity even if you cannot evaluate their quality
the use of money.” While all of the models before trading. In this situation, equilibrium
discussed above involve some information entails mixed strategies, where sellers pro-
frictions, to hinder credit, here we have in duce low quality and buyers accept unrecog-
mind private information about the quality nized goods, with positive probabilities. Fiat
of goods or assets. currency can improve welfare, because in
monetary equilibria the incentive to produce
high quality can be higher.
Moving to private information about
57 In related work, Lagos (2010b, 2011) shows that a asset quality, consider our benchmark econ-
large class of state-contingent policies implement ι​ = 0​ omy with one-period-lived assets in fixed
and make asset prices independent of monetary consider-
ations. But one can instead target a constant ι​ > 0​, imply- supply A ​ ​, with payoff ρ ​ ∈ { ​ρ​  L​​  , ​ρ​  H​​  }​, where
ing asset prices depend on policy and can persistently ​Pr (ρ = ​ρ​  H​​  ) = ζ​ and ​ Pr (ρ = ​ρ​  L​​  ) = 1 − ζ​.
deviate from fundamental values. To support a constant ​ι​ Assume ​ρ​is common to all units of the asset
the growth rate of ​​A​ m​​​is low in states where real asset val-
ues are low, introducing a negative relationship between ​ι​ held by an agent, so it cannot be diversified,
and returns. Even if variations in output are exogenous, a but it is independent across agents—e.g.,
positive correlation between inflation and output emerges.
58 Recent studies of adverse selection in decentral-
the payoff depends on local conditions spe-
ized asset markets include Guerrieri, Shimer, and Wright cific to the holder. The asset holder has
(2010), Chiu and Koeppl (2016), Chang (forthcoming), private information about ​ ρ​as in Plantin
Camargo and Lester (2014), and Hellwig and Zhang (2009). Suppose the holder in a meeting
(2013), but there assets play no role in facilitating exchange.
First-generation models with information frictions and makes a take-it-or-leave-it offer. Using Cho
assets playing this role include Cuadras-Morató (1994), and Kreps’ (1987) refinement, Rocheteau
Williamson and Wright (1994), Yiting Li (1995, 1998), (2011) shows the equilibrium is separating:
Kim (1996), Okumura (2006), and Lester, Postlewaite, and
Wright (2011). Second-generation models include Trejos holders of ​L​-type assets make the full-infor-
(1997, 1999), Velde, Weber, and Wright (1999), Burdett, mation offer, ​c( ​q​ L​​  ) = min​{​ρ​  L​​  a, c( ​q​​  ∗​  )}​​ and
Trejos, and Wright (2001), Nosal and Wallace (2007), ​​dL​  ​​  = c( ​q​ L​​  ) / ​ρ​  L​​​; and holders of ​H​-type assets
Choi (2013), and Bajaj (2015). Models with divisible assets
include Berentsen and Rocheteau (2004), Shao (2009), make an offer satisfying
Sanches and Williamson (2011), and Lester, Postlewaite,
and Wright (2012). Related papers with private informa- ​  ​​  ≥ c( ​q​ H​​  ),
(46) ​​ρ​  H​​ ​dH
tion about traders’ attributes (e.g., preferences) include
Faig and Jerez (2006), Ennis (2008), and Dong and Jiang
(2010, 2014). (47) u( ​q​ H​​  ) − ​ρ​  L​​ ​dH
​  ​​  ≤ u( ​q​ L​​  ) − c( ​q​ L​​  ).​
416 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

In particular, (47) says L ​ ​-type buyers have no applies: agents with L ​ ​-type assets make the
incentive to offer (​​ ​q​ H​​  , ​dH ​  ​​)​​. complete-information offer while those with
The least-cost separating offer satisfies ​H​-type assets make an offer that others do
(46)–(47) at equality, so ​​ d​ H​​  = c( ​q​ H​​  )/​ρ​  H​​  not want to imitate. When ​ι → 0​, agents hold
∈ ​(0, ​dL​  )​​ ​​, while ​​q​ H​​  ∈ [0, ​q​ L​​  )​ solves enough currency to buy ​​q​​  ∗​​, and no one uses
​u(​q​ H​​) − c(​q​ H​​)​ρ​  L​​/​ρ​  H​​  = u(​q​ L​​) − c( ​q​ L​​  )​. Thus, the asset in DM trade. For ​ι > 0​, they do not
​H​ -type buyers retain a fraction of their hold enough currency to buy ​​q​​  ∗​​and spend it
holdings as a way to signal quality, and
­ all plus a fraction of their risky assets. Asset
hence ​​q​ H​​  < ​q​ L​​​ (interpretable as over- liquidity as measured by this fraction clearly
collateralization, as in DeMarzo and Duffie depends on monetary policy.60
1999). When the ​L​-type asset is a pure lemon,​​ Asset quality can also depend on hidden
ρ​  L​​  = 0​, both ​​q​ L​​​ and ​​q​ H​​​ tend to ​0​.59 In con- actions. One rendition allows agents to pro-
trast to models with exogenous constraints, duce assets of low quality, or that are outright
agents here turn over all their assets in trade worthless, as when through history coins
with probability 1​ − ζ​, and a fraction ​​d​ H​​  / a​ were clipped or notes counterfeited (Sargent
with probability ζ​ ​, where ​​dH ​  ​​  / a​ depends on​​ and Velde 2003; Mihm 2007; Fung and
ρ​  L​​​ and ​​ρ​  H​​​. With a one-period-lived asset, Shao 2011). Li, Rocheteau, and Weill (2012)
while ​​ϕ​​  ∗​  = β​[ζ ​ρ​  H​​  + (1 − ζ ) ​ρ​  L]​​ ​​is the funda- have a fixed supply of one-period-lived
mental value, here we get assets yielding ρ​ ​. At some fixed cost κ ​ > 0​,
agents can produce counterfeits that yield ​0​.
ζ ​ρ​  H​​  λ( ​q​ H​​  ) ​ρ​  L​​  λ( ​q​ L​​  )
{ ​ρ​  H​​  λ( ​q​ H​​  ) + ​ρ​  H​​  − ​ρ​  L​​
Assume counterfeits are confiscated by the
ϕ = ​ϕ​​  ∗​  + βασθ ​   
 ​ ​    
_________________  ​  government after each round of DM trade,
so they do not circulate across periods, sim-

}
ilar to Nosal and Wallace (2007). Then with​
+ (1 − ζ ) ​ρ​  L​​  λ( ​q​ L​​  ) ​.​ θ = 1​, as above, the offer satisfies c​ (q )   ≤ ρd​
and the IC is
The liquidity premium ​ ϕ − ​ϕ​​  ∗​​ depends
on ​​ρ​  H​​  − ​ρ​  L​​​. As ​​ρ​  L​​  → ​ρ​  H​​​, the premium − (ϕ − ​ϕ​​  ∗​  )a + βασθ​[u(q )  − dρ]​ 
(48) ​
goes to ​ βασθλ(q )​. As ​​ρ​  L​​  → 0​ , the asset
becomes illiquid and ​ϕ → ​ϕ​​  ∗​​. If the asset ≥ − κ + βασθu(q), ​
is abundant, ​ A ​ρ​  L​​  ≥ c( ​q​​  ∗​  )​, the liquidity
premium is 0​​even though q​  ​​H​​  < ​q​ L​​  = ​q​​  ∗​​. where ​​ϕ​​  ∗​  = βρ​. The LHS of (48) is the payoff
Thus, ​​q​ H​​​can be i­nefficiently low even with to accumulating genuine assets, the h ­ olding
abundant assets when they are imperfectly cost plus the DM surplus, while the RHS is
recognizable, meaning other assets may
also play an essential role. In Rocheteau
(2008), the second asset is fiat money. If it 60 If an asset is risky but buyers and sellers have the
is perfectly recognizable then the same logic same information when they meet, it functions well as a
medium of exchange, with ​ρ​replaced by ​Eρ​in our bench-
mark model. But if agents see the realization of ​ρ​ before
DM trade, risk is reflected in the previous CM price, low-
59 This is the case in Nosal and Wallace (2007), Shao
ering the liquidity premium. Andolfatto and Martin (2013)
(2009), and Hu (2013). The equilibrium, however, would and Andolfatto, Berentsen, and Waller (2014) assume the
be defeated in the sense of Mailath, Okuno-Fujiwara, and asset is risky and information about ρ​ ​is available prior to
Postlewaite (1993). A perhaps more reasonable outcome is DM trading at no cost. Nondisclosure (keeping informa-
the best pooling equilibrium from the viewpoint of a buyer tion secret) is generally desirable, because trade based
with the ​H​-type asset, where q ​ ​solves max ​​{u(q )  − ​ρ​  H​​  d}​​ on expected ρ ​​better smooths consumption, obviously
subject to ζ​  ​ρ​  H​​  d = c(q )​; this still implies q
​ ​is inefficiently related to recent discussions of opacity and informational
low. insentivity.
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 417

the payoff to accumulating counterfeits, cost​ a cost to become informed. This endoge-
κ​plus DM utility. nizes the fraction of matches where an asset
Given ​ a = d​, in equilibrium, (48) can is accepted (Kim 1996 and Berentsen and
be rewritten as an upper bound on the Rocheteau 2004 similarly let agents pay a
amount of asset that can be transferred, as in cost to better recognize the quality of goods).
Kiyotaki–Moore models, To simplify the analysis, Lester, Postlewaite,
and Wright (2012) assume fraudulent assets
d ≤ ​ ______________
(49) ​    κ  ​ .​ are worthless and can be produced at no
ϕ − ​ϕ​​  ∗​  + βασθρ cost: ​​ρ​  L​​  = κ = 0​. This implies sellers only
accept assets if they recognize them, and so
This endogenous bound increases with the it is possible to use standard bargaining the-
cost of counterfeiting κ ​ ​, while it decreases ory—when sellers recognize assets there is
with the cost of holding assets ​ϕ − ​ϕ​​  ∗​​ and no private information; when they don’t the
the frequency of DM trading opportuni- assets are simply not on the bargaining table.
ties ​ασ​. If ​ασ = 1​, so there are no search or Interpret σ ​ ​as the probability of a single
matching frictions in the DM, (49) says the coincidence times the probability a seller
asset’s value ​ϕd​must be less than the cost can discern, and hence accept, a buyer’s
of fraud κ ​ ​. As ​κ → 0​the asset stops circulat- assets. At the beginning of the DM, sell-
ing. Notice an increase in the (endogenous) ers choose σ ​ ​at cost C ​ (σ)​
, satisfying the
price ​ϕ​tightens the constraint, with policy usual conditions. The decision of a seller
implications described in Li, Rocheteau, and to become informed, so that he can accept
Weill (2012). If (49) binds and d ​ < A​, then assets in the DM, is similar to a decision to
the asset is illiquid at the margin and ​ϕ = ​ϕ​​  ∗​​; enter market in the first place or the search
if (49) does not bind the asset is ­perfectly intensity decision discussed above. In order
liquid. There is an intermediate case where to give them some incentive to invest, sell-
the liquidity premium, ​ κ / A − βασθρ​, ers must have some bargaining power, so
increases with ​κ​ and decreases with ​βασθ​. consider Kalai’s solution with θ​ ∈ ​(0, 1)​​. The
Notice the threat of fraud can affect asset FOC is ​​C′ ​(σ )   = αθ​[u(q )  − c(q )]​​, where as
prices even if there is no fraud in equilib- always v​(q )   = min  { Aρ, v( ​q​​  ∗​  )}​, with ρ ​ ​ the
rium, and assets with identical yields can be dividend on genuine assets. This equates
priced differently.61 the marginal cost of becoming informed
Given that sellers may be uninformed to the expected benefit from being able
about the quality of buyers’ assets, Lester, to accept assets. As the marginal cost of
Postlewaite, and Wright (2012) let them pay information decreases, ​σ​and ​ϕ​ increase.
With long-lived asset, Lester, Postlewaite,
and Wright (2012) show there are strategic
61 If the asset subject to fraud is fiat money, as in Li and complementarities between buyers’ asset
Rocheteau (2009), then (49) becomes ​c(q) ≤ κ/β​(ι + ασθ)​​ demand and sellers’ information invest-
—another case where acceptability is not exogenous,
but depends on the policy variable ι​​. Other applications ment, and this can naturally generate mul-
include Li and Rocheteau (2011), Li, Rocheteau, and tiple equilibria.
Weill (2012), Shao (2014), Williamson (2014), and Gomis- Suppose there are two short-lived assets,
Porqueras, Kam, and Waller (forthcoming). The last paper
includes two currencies to study exchange rates. In gen- both yielding ​ρ​. Asset ​1​is perfectly recog-
eral, there can be many assets, each with cost of fraud κ​  ​​ j​​​ nizable at no cost in a fraction ​​ σ ​​̅ of all
and supply A​  ​​ j​​​, with aggregate liquidity a weighted average meetings while asset 2​ ​requires an ex ante
of ​​Aj​  ​​​with weights depending asset characteristics, consis-
tent with the notion of money suggested by, e.g., Friedman investment C ​ (​σ​  2​​ )​to be acceptable in a frac-
and Schwartz (1963). tion ​​σ​  2​​​of meetings. Thus, in an endogenous
418 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

fraction ​​σ​  2​​​of matches buyers can use both models to a more general yet still tractable
assets, while in fraction ​​σ​  1​​  = ​σ ​ ̅ − ​σ​  2​​​ they framework. The new model captures aspects
can use only asset 1​ .​ The investment deci- of illiquid markets, like p ­ articipants adjust-
sion satisfies ing positions to reduce trading needs. For
simplicity, suppose all trade goes through
(50) ​​C′ ​( ​ σ​  2​​  ) = α​θ​  0​​​{​[u(​q​ 2​​) − c(​q​ 2​​)]​  dealers, as in section 5 with α​  ​​ D​​  > 0 = ​α​  I​​​.
Let ​ a ∈ ​ℝ​  +​​​, and assume ​​u​ j(​​​ a)​​is the flow
− ​[u(​q​ 1​​) − c(​q​ 1​​)]​}​.​ utility of an agent with preference type​
j ∈ ​{0,  .  .  . , I}​​. Each ​I​draws a preference
The RHS of (50) is the seller’s benefit of type ​j ∈ ​{0,  .  .  . , I }​​at Poisson rate ​​ω​  j​​​, with
being informed, the extra surplus from hav- ​​∑i ​​ ​​  ω​  i​​  = ω​. When ​I ​with preference ​j​ con-
ing a payment capacity of (​​ ​A1​  ​​  + ​A2​  ​​)​  ρ​ instead tacts ​D​, they bargain over the ​​a​ j​​​ that ​I​ takes
of ​​A1​  ​​  ρ​. If there is an increase in the supply out of the meeting, and a payment that
of recognizable assets A​  ​​ 1​​​, agents invest less includes ​D​’s cost of the transaction q ​ (​ ​a​ j​​  − a)​​,
in information, asset 2​​becomes less liq- where ​q​is the real asset price in the inter-
uid, and ϕ​  ​​ 2​​​falls. If the recognizable asset dealer market, plus a fee ​​φ​  j​​  (a)​.
is fiat money, the acceptability of the other The choice of a​ ​​j​​​ solves ​​max​  ​ ​​​a′ ​​ {​​u ​​ ̅ j​​  (​a′ ​) −
asset is affected by policy. At ι​ = 0​, we get rq​a′ ​}​​, where
​​q​ 1​​  = ​q​ 2​​  = ​q​​  ∗​​and agents stop investing—
reflecting the old idea that the use of money ​(r + η)​ ​u​ j(​​​ a)​  + ​∑ k​ ​​ ​ω​  k​​ ​u​  k(​​​ a)​
​​​u ​​ ̅ j​​  (a) ≡ ​    
______________________
    ​ ​,
saves information costs. r+η+ω
There is more to be done on information,
but existing results help in understanding and ​ η = ​α​  D​​​(1 − ​θ​  D​​)​​is the arrival rate
phenomena related to acceptability and adjusted for bargaining power. Also,
pledgeability, as well as the coexistence of
assets with different returns, as discussed in ​θ​  D​​​[​​u̅ ​​  j​​​(​a​ j​​)​  − ​​u̅ ​​  j​​​(a)​  − rq​(​a​ j​​  − a)​]​
section 9 in the context of money and bonds. (51) ​​φ​  j​​  (a) = ​ ______________________
      
r+η
 ​ ​
Information theory is a natural and v­ enerable
notion to bring to bear on Hicks’ suggestion is the intermediation fee. Equilibrium is
with which we began this essay.62 given by desired asset positions (​​​a​ i​​ , .  .   . , ​a​ I​​)​​,
the fee ​​φ​  j​​  (a)​, the ​q​that clears the interdealer
market and the distribution (​​ ​n​ ij​​)​​ satisfying
11. Generalized OTC Markets the usual conditions. To focus on the implica-
Papers spurred by Duffie, Garleanu, and tions for asset prices and measures of liquid-
Pedersen (2005) maintain tractability by ity, consider u​  ​​i​​  (a )   = ​ψ​  i​​  log a​, where ​​ψ​  1​​  < ​
restricting a​ ∈ ​{0, 1}​​; Lagos and Rocheteau ψ​  2​​  < ⋯ < ​ψ​  I​​​, and let ​​ψ̅ ​  = ​∑ j​ ​​ ​ω​  j​​  ​ψ​  j​​ / ω​.
(2009) relax this. In spirit if not detail, the Then the post-trade position of type j​​ who
idea is to do what section 6 does for mon- just met a dealer is
etary theory: extend second-generation
​(r + η)​ ​a​ j∞
​  ​  + ω​ a ​̅
(52) ​​a​ j​​  = ​   
______________
    ​ , ​
62 Other applications include Nosal and Rocheteau
r+η+ω
(2011), Zhang (2014), Lotz and Zhang (2016), and Hu
and Rocheteau (2013). While this work focuses on infor- where ​​a​ j∞ ​  ​  = ​ψ​  j​​  / rq​would be the inves-
mation, other aproaches include Kocherlakota (2003), tor’s demand in a frictionless market, and
Zhu and Wallace (2007), Andolfatto (2011), Jacquet and
Tan (2012), Nosal and Rocheteau (2013), and Hu and ​​ a ​ ̅ = ​ψ̅ ​/ rq​is demand from I​​with average
Rocheteau (2013). valuation ​​ψ̅ ​​. In a frictional market, ​I​ chooses
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 419

holdings between ​​a​ j∞ ​  ​​ and ​​ a ​​̅, with the weight in illiquid markets, ​I​trades very little, so ​​a​ j∞
​  ​​
assigned to ​​a​ j∞ ​  ​​increasing in ​η​. is close to ​A​, and φ is small. The model also
Hence, frictions concentrate the asset predicts a distribution of transactions, with
distribution. As frictions decrease, a​ ​​ j​​  → ​a​ j∞ ​  ​​ spreads increasing in the size of a trade, as
and the distribution becomes more disperse, well as varying with ​I​’s valuation.64 The model
but aggregate demand is unchanged. A mes- can also be extended to allow heterogeneity
sage is that one should not expect to identify across ​I​in terms of arrival rates or bargaining
frictions by looking at prices alone. Trade power, and those with higher ​η​ trade larger
volume is ​​ α​  D​​ ​∑j ​​ ​​  n​ ij​​  | ​a​ j​​  − ​a​ i​​  |/ 2​
, lower than quantities at a lower cost per unit.
a frictionless economy. It increases with ​η​, Trading delays are an integral feature of
capturing the idea that large volume charac- the microstructure in OTC markets. The
terizes liquid markets, where I​ ​can switch in time it takes to execute a trade not only
and out of positions easily. With unrestricted influences volume and spreads, but is often
asset holdings, frictions affect volume used directly as a measure of liquidity.
through the extensive and intensive margins. Lagos and Rocheteau (2007, 2008a) endog-
If ​​α​  D​​​increases, the number of investors who enize ​​α​  D​​​ with entry by ​D​, and derive some
are able to trade rises, but the number who new predictions, including a change in the
are mismatched with their current portfolio equilibrium set due to the nonmonotonic-
falls. Also, higher α​  ​​ D​​​ shifts the distribution ity mentioned above. The model can gen-
across desired and actual holdings in a way erate multiple equilibria: it may be illiquid
that increases volume. This effect is shut because participation by D ​ ​is low given a
off if one restricts ​a ∈ { 0, 1}​, which has dif- belief that ​I​will only trade small quanti-
ferent predictions for trade volume after ties; and it is rational for ​I​to take conser-
changes in the microstructure of the market. vative positions given long trading delays.
In Duffie, Garleanu, and Pedersen (2005), Tight spreads are correlated with large vol-
with a​ ∈ { 0, 1}​ , trade volume is indepen- ume and short delays across equilibria, and
dent of dealers’ market power; here volume scarce liquidity can arise as a self-fulfilling
decreases with θ​ ​​ D​​​.63 prophecy. Subsidizing entry can eliminate
Another conventional measure of financial this multiplicity. Even when equilibrium is
liquidity is the bid–ask spread or intermedia- unique, the model has novel predictions,
tion fee. As long as a​ ∈ { 0, 1}​, an increase in​​ like lower market power for dealers promot-
α​  D​​​ raises ​I​’s value of search for alternative ing entry and reducing delays by increasing
traders, so spreads narrow. With unrestricted trade size. Similarly, a regulatory reform
asset holdings, spreads still depend on α​  ​​ D​​​, or a technological innovation that gives ​I​
but also on the extent of mismatch between more direct access to the market (e.g., elec-
asset positions and valuations. Hence, the tronic communication networks) implies an
relationship between the spread and ​η​ can increase in market liquidity and intermedi-
be nonmonotone: under reasonable condi- ated trade.
tions, one can show the spread vanishes as​ The model also provides insights on wel-
η → 0​or as ​η → ∞​. In liquid markets ​I​ has fare in illiquid markets. At least when c­ ontact
good outside options, and hence φ is small;

64 The relationship between spread and trade size gen-


63 Branzoli (2013) estimates a variant of this model erally depends on details. Lester, Rocheteau, and Weill
using data from the municipal bond market. He finds θ​ ​​ D​​​ (2015) find with competitive search and a Leontief match-
is sufficiently high to reduce trade volume by 6​ 5 percent​ ing technology, costs decrease with the size of the trade, in
to ​70 percent​. accordance with evidence from corporate bond markets.
420 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

rates are exogenous, welfare is unaffected by​​ but learn their valuations infrequently. They
θ​  D​​​, which only affects transfers from ​I​to ​D​. also provide a class of utility functions nest-
When ​a​is not restricted to {​​0, 1}​​, equilib- ing Duffie, Garleanu, and Pedersen (2005)
rium is inefficient unless ​​ θ​  D​​  = 0​. Indeed, and Lagos and Rocheteau (2009). Lagos and
if ​D​captures any of the gains that ​I​ gets Rocheteau (2008a) allow investors to have
from adjusting his portfolio, I​​ economizes both infrequent access to the market, where
on intermediation fees by choosing ​​a​ j​​​ closer they are price takers, and to dealers, where
to ​​ a ​​̅, thus increasing mismatch. When α​  ​​ D​​​ is they bargain. Pagnotta and Philippon (2011)
endogenous, the equilibrium is generically study marketplaces competing on speed,
inefficient, again related to Hosios (1990). endogenizing the efficiency of the trading
Efficient entry requires that ​​α​  D​​​ equal the technology, and entry/investment decisions
contribution of dealers to the matching pro- from an industrial organization perspective.
cess, but efficiency along the intensive mar- Melin (2012) has two types of assets traded
gin requires that α​  ​​ D​​  = 0​
. As in monetary in different ­ markets, one with search and
models, those two requirements are incom- one frictionless. Mattesini and Nosal (2016),
patible and the market is inefficient, although Geromichalos and Herrenbrueck (2016),
as in many other models, a competitive Lagos and Zhang (2013), and Han (2014)
search version can deliver efficiency (Lester, integrate generalized models of OTC ­markets
Rocheteau, and Weill 2015). Branzoli (2013) with the monetary models in section 6, which
finds that the most effective way to promote would seem an important step in the program.
trading activity is the ­introduction of weekly One reason it is important is the following:
auctions where investors trade bilaterally. Duffie, Garleanu, and Pedersen (2005) and
When ​​α​  I​​  = 0 < ​α​  D​​​, investors trade only many subsequent papers have something
with dealers who continuously manage posi- called a liquidity shock, which is presumably
tions in a frictionless market. As mentioned meant to capture a need to offload financial
earlier, some markets are well approximated assets in favor of more liquid payment instru-
by this, while others are better represented ments, but is more rigorously interpreted
by ​​α​  I​​  > 0 = ​α​  D​​​, such as the federal funds as a change in the utility of consuming the
market, where overnight loans are traded, fruit of a Lucas tree. The papers that inte-
typically without intermediation. Afonso and grate models of money and generalized OTC
Lagos (2015b) model the fed funds mar- markets take this a level deeper by having a
ket explicitly, providing another case where shock to the utility of a good that is acquired
the traders in the model are interpreted as in the DM, where liquid assets are required
banks. They have a​ ∈ ​ℝ​  +​​​ and trade bilater- for exchange, as in many of the specifications
ally, so the state variable is a time-varying presented above. Then the reason for trying
distribution of asset holdings ​​F​ t​​  (a )​. Afonso to sell off assets is not that you have gone
and Lagos show existence and uniqueness, off fruit, but that you want something that is
characterize the terms of trade, and address easier to get using a more liquid asset. This
various positive and normative questions, seems more realistic, and more elegant, and
including quantitative questions facing cen- moreover it allows one to study many other
tral banks. Afonso and Lagos (2015a) con- issues in a rigorous way—e.g., the effects of
sider the special case ​a ∈ { 0, 1, 2}​, similar to monetary policy on OTC markets.
some monetary models. In particular, in Lagos and Zhang (2013)
In other applications, Biais, Hombert, and an asset ​a​called equity with dividend ​ρ​ is
Weill (2014) give a reinterpretation where held by ​ I​with time-varying idiosyncratic
agents have continuous access to the market, valuations. There are gains from trade in a​ ​
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 421

from heterogeneous valuations, and ​I​ partic- This is again driven by the ­self-referential
ipates in an OTC market like the DM in our nature of liquidity.
benchmark monetary model, but intermedi- Another area where new monetarist mod-
ated by ​D​, who again has access to a friction- els can provide useful and practical advice,
less interdealer market. In this market, fiat somewhat related to the above-mentioned
money is essential as a medium of exchange, work on fed funds, concerns payment and
and as usual some mechanism like bargain- settlement systems in general. Central banks
ing determines the terms of trade between​ around the world oversee such systems, e.g.,
I​and ​D​. The DM alternates with a friction- the Division of Reserve Bank Operations
less CM where agents rebalance portfolios. and Payment Systems oversees the Federal
Equilibrium entails a cutoff preference type Reserve Banks as providers of financial ser-
such that I​  ​below this who meets D ​ ​ trades vices to depository institutions and fiscal
all his equity for cash and I​  ​above this trades agency services to the government. A cash-
all his cash for equity. When I​ ​has all the bar- less new Keynesian framework, standard GE
gaining power, he trades equity for cash at theory, or reduced-form monetary models
the price in the interdealer market. If D ​ ​ has cannot provide much guidance to the regu-
all the bargaining power, ​I ​trades at a price lators of these systems, where trade is bet-
higher (lower) than the interdealer market if​ ter characterized as bilateral. See Freeman
I​wants to buy (sell) assets. (1996) for an early effort at modeling this
This implies a bid–ask spread determined activity carefully. See Williamson and Wright
by monetary policy, and details of the mar- (2010b, Sec. 5), Nosal and Rocheteau (2011,
ket structure, such as the speed at which ​I​ Ch. 9), and the papers cited in fn. 54 for
contacts D ​ ​or bargaining power. A nonmone- models designed to address the issues, and
tary equilibrium always exists, and when ​π​ is McAndrews, Nosal, and Rocheteau (2011)
large it is the only equilibrium. In nonmon- for a survey of related work.
etary equilibrium only ​I​holds equity, since
there is no trade in the OTC market, and
12. Conclusion
the equity price is the expected discounted
value of the dividend stream for the average​ The literature summarized above covers
I​. Monetary equilibrium exists for lower π ​ ​. much territory, including rudimentary the-
For ​π​not much larger than β ​ − 1​, there is ories of commodity money, variations on
a unique stationary monetary equilibrium and contributions to the general search-and-
where D ​ ​holds all the equity overnight, bargaining literature, fully articulated quan-
while ​I​holds it intraday. The asset price is titative macro systems, and micro depictions
higher than in nonmonetary equilibrium, of financial institutions trading in OTC mar-
because OTC exchange props up the resale kets, like the market for fed funds. The mod-
value of assets. As usual, the Friedman rule els differ in various ways, but share some
implements the efficient allocation, and real basic features, including an attempt to take
asset prices decrease with π ​ ​because money the microfoundations of exchange seriously.
is complementary with (used to purchase) ​a​. Is it worth the effort? Lucas (2000) says
With entry by ​D​, Lagos and Zhang (2013) “Successful applied science is done at many
generate sunspot equilibria with recurrent levels, sometimes close to its foundations,
episodes that resemble financial crises— sometimes far away from them or without
when a sunspot shock hits, spreads spike, them altogether.” This sounds reasonable,
while volume, trading frequency, market- especially when there are important issues
making activity, and asset prices collapse. that we think we need to address for which
422 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

the foundations are poorly developed. But not justify impositions on behavior rather
that is not the case in monetary economics, than on the environment. Is having agents
where work on the microfoundations is rich unable to adjust portfolios (e.g., increase
and fertile, as we hope to have demonstrated. money balances) after they meet, or unable
When embarking on research we all have to find the right counterparty in the first
to decide what distance from foundations place, on par with assuming sticky prices
makes us comfortable, and here we offer or CIA constraints? We think not, because
some opinions on this. We do not endorse in models with sticky prices or CIA con-
models that impose on agents behavior that straints agents trade inefficiently after they
they do not like. An example is the imposition meet, leaving gains from trade sitting right
of a CIA constraint in the model of bilateral there on the table. It seems different to have
trade in Diamond (1984). If two agents meet inefficient decisions made before meetings,
and want to barter, who are we to preclude like underinvestment in liquidity or search,
that? The situation is worse in CIA mod- than to have agents ignore gains from trade
els that otherwise adhere to GE methods, conditional on a meeting. Still, one can think
where agents trade only along their budget about ways to reallocate liquidity after meet-
lines, because when they are not trading with ings, say through banks, or to encourage effi-
each other one cannot even ask how they cient search and investments, say through
might like to trade. At least in Diamond’s competitive search or creatively designed
example, this can be addressed by specifica- mechanisms, as discussed above.
tions for specialization precluding barter, as We do not endorse the use of models where
in Kiyotaki and Wright’s (1991) version of his fiat currency—or bonds or bank deposits—
model, but one has to also preclude credit, enter utility or production functions directly.
which has something to do with commitment From a theoretical perspective, deriving
and memory issues, as Kocherlakota (1998) the value of assets endogenously may mean
makes clear. A related example of imposi- having to work harder to tackle some issues,
tions on agents is assuming that they trade but from a policy perspective, anything that
taking prices as given in situations where the deviates from this discipline is obviously sub-
prices are all wrong due to nominal or other ject to the Lucas critique. The appropriate-
rigidities. It is natural to take prices as given ness of assumptions depends on the issue at
in Arrow–Debreu, where they efficiently hand, of course, but it is hard to imagine why
allocate resources. If prices are all wrong, anyone would prefer reduced-form models,
due to rigidities, however, wouldn’t the unless the alternatives were too hard. But
economy evolve to other ways of allocating there is nothing especially hard about the
resources? If not, in our opinion, this needs material presented above. To be clear, real
to be explained, not assumed. assets may generally appear in production or
One sometimes hears that devices like utility functions—e.g., capital, housing, and
CIA constraints or nominal contracts are “no wine all belong there. But if they somehow
different” than limiting what agents can do serve to facilitate transactions, that is worth
by specifying the environment in particular modeling explicitly.65
ways. We disagree. Frictions like spatial or
temporal separation, limited commitment, 65 The distinction can be subtle. The OTC model of
and imperfect information are features Duffie, Garleanu, and Pedersen (2005) and Lagos and
best made explicit, so one can work out all Rocheteau (2009) has agents getting flow utility from
assets. This can be taken at face value for some assets, like
of their implications. With such frictions, it housing or fruit-bearing trees. Or, it can be interpreted as a
is atypical to get the first best, but this does reduced-form for various liquidity and hedging services in
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 423

Our position is not, and cannot be, based around participation, search intensity and
on models that strive for deeper microfoun- reservation trade decisions inteact with the
dations empirically outperforming relatively effect of inflation, and for some parameter-
reduced-form models. Whatever primitives izations they imply that some inflation can
one adopts, including frictions and mech- be desirable; and (5) distributional consid-
anisms, the same results (for a given set of erations can also imply that some inflation
observables) obtain if one starts with the may be desirable. While (1) is clear from
value function having assets as arguments. standard reduced-form models, (2)–(5) are
In our benchmark model, ​ V(​ a)​  = W​(a)​  + not.66 Also, while a nondegenerate ​F(​ a)​​ may
ασ [ u​(q)​  − v​(q)​]​, where ​q​depends on ​a​, and be important for some issues, because it can
one can take this ​V(a )​as a primitive to get be a natural outcome of decentralized trade,
an observationally equivalent reduced-form and captures a fundamental tension between
model. It is not so easy, however, to come two roles of monetary policy—providing
up with a good guess for ​V​(a)​​, or even for favorable returns on liquidity and addressing
its properties, out of thin air. Recall that liquidity-sharing considerations (see Wallace
Aruoba and Chugh (2010), e.g., show homo- 2014b)—for some purposes it is appropriate
thetic utility over goods does not imply ​V(a)​ to work with models with degenerate distri-
is homothetic, and this has implications for butions (as in Shi 1997b or Lagos and Wright
optimal policy. Also, key ingredients in ​V(​ a)​​ 2005). Again, this depends on the question
are ​α​and ​σ,​ capturing search and matching, at hand.
and ​ v​(q)​​, nesting various mechanisms. In Other issues discussed include the wis-
some models the distribution ​F(​ a)​​is also an dom of trying to reduce unemployment
important element, as are pledgeability and using inflation, and the interpretation of
acceptability, as functions of private informa- sticky prices. Search and bargaining are not
tion. How does one know how these features critical for making the first point qualita-
figure into the reduced-form without deriv- tively, and bargaining is replaced by posting
ing it? for the second. Still, Berentsen, Menzio,
Moreover, these features provide new and Wright (2011) argue that both search
avenues of exploration for policy issues. On and bargaining are quantitatively important
inflation, in particular, the models presented in accounting for unemployment and infla-
incorporate several effects: (1) inflation is a tion, and search is obviously the key to sticky
tax on real balances; (2) bargaining can com- prices in Head et al. (2012). Both search
pound this wedge; (3) so can search-and- and bargaining are relevant for the quan-
matching frictions; (4) distortions revolving titative effects of inflation. Lagos (2010a)
shows how frictions help us understand
issues in financial economics quantitatively,
the case of financial securities, like municipal or corporate
bonds (Duffie, Garleanu, and Pedersen 2007). We view
the latter interpretation as acceptable when the focus is 66 We reiterate that while the constraints in some of our
not on why people trade assets, but on the consequences models “look like” CIA restrictions, they are in fact feasibil-
of trading in frictional markets. However, in our baseline ity conditions. It is clear that in Kiyotaki and Wright (1989),
alternating-market model this is less of a problem: assets e.g., traders cannot turn over something they do not have,
can give off coupons or dividends in CM numeraire or, but this cannot be called a CIA constraint because the
realistically, dollars. To further emphasize the point, assets baseline model does not even have cash. Moreover, the
in the baseline Kiyotaki–Wright model also directly gen- transactions pattern is endogenous and may not be unique.
erate utility. But rather than saying money enters utility We reject the idea that the approach is “the same as” CIA
functions, it seems more accurate to say that some goods or MUF models, despite the obvious result that one can
in the utility function end up endogenously playing a role always reverse engineer a reduced form to “look like” a
commonly ascribed to money. microfounded model (e.g., as in Camera and Chien 2013).
424 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

while Rocheteau and Wright (2013) argue work is needed on the theories that combine
that these kinds of models are consistent money and credit.67
with outcomes that appear anomalous from We close by highlighting a few issues
the perspective of standard asset-pricing where the methods covered above are espe-
theory. The approach also sheds new light cially useful or provide novel insights. First,
on inside versus outside money (Cavalcanti they deliver endogenous exchange pat-
and Wallace 1999a, 1999b), banking terns that illustrate the interplay between
(Berentsen et al. 2007; Gu et al. 2013a), intrinsic characteristics (e.g., storability or
investment (Shi 1999a, 1999b; Aruoba, recognizability) and beliefs in determin-
Waller, and Wright 2011), OTC financial ing which objects will or should be used to
markets (Duffie, Garleanu, and Pedersen facilitate transactions. They determine the
2005; Lagos and Rocheteau 2009), and both effective supply of liquidity, depending on
conventional and unconventional mone- the e­ nvironment and policy. They allow us
tary policy (Williamson 2012; Rocheteau, to study monetary, credit, and intermediary
Wright, and Xiao 2014), to mention a few arrangements, and allow us to clarify the
additional examples. essential frictions. Importantly, the approach
At the frontier, research is trying to fur- is amenable to implementation theory and
ther develop models with multiple assets mechanism design, mapping frictions like
having different returns, without ad hoc commitment or information problems into
restrictions on their use in transactions. This incentive-feasible allocations, and identify-
“modified Hahn problem” (Hellwig 1993) is ing institutions with good welfare properties.
challenging, but there are currently expla- This is problematic in reduced-form mod-
nations under discussion: (1) certain pair- els, where the frictions are not well speci-
wise trading mechanisms can deliver this as fied. Also, the framework is flexible enough
an outcome (Zhu and Wallace 2007); (2) so to accommodate a variety of market struc-
can private information about asset ­quality tures. This is relevant for understanding
(Li, Rocheteau, and Weill 2012; Lester, how, e.g., the impact of inflation depends on
Postlewaite, and Wright 2012); (3) so can whether the terms of trade are determined
assumptions about safety, e.g., from theft by bargaining, price posting or price taking,
(He, Huang, and Wright 2008; Sanches and whether search is random or directed, etc.
Williamson 2010); (4) it can also be a self-ful- Future work should continue to explore dif-
filling prophecy (Lagos 2013b); and (5) it is ferent micro market structures.
sometimes socially efficient (Kocherlakota The framework also illustrates how econ-
2003; Hu and Rocheteau 2013). Are these omies where liquidity considerations matter
explanations satisfactory? Which are most can be prone to multiplicity and interesting
relevant? While progress has been made, dynamics, where endogenous transaction
these are still important open questions.
Another direction is to pursue qualitative 67 They prove that in many natural environments,
and quantitative models combining New improvements in credit conditions are irrelevant in mon-
Monetarist and Keynesian features, as in etary equilibrium, because such improvements simply
examples by Aruoba and Schorfheide (2011) crowd out real balances one for one. This is very much
like other irrelevance results (e.g., Modigliani–Miller or
and Williamson (2015). More quantita- Ricardian equivalence), in that there may well be excep-
tive work on all this would be welcome. So tions to the baseline results, as Gu, Mattesini, and Wright
would further research on banks and other (2016) discuss, but in many standard models the results
hold, and more generally, the results of changes in credit
intermediaries as providers of liquidity. Gu, conditions can be very different in monetary and nonmon-
Mattesini, and Wright (2016) suggest more etary economies.
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 425

patterns are not unique nor stationary. This curve and sticky nominal prices, both of
is true of simple first- and second-generation which are commonly assumed in macro,
models, as well as the more sophisticated ver- but usually with different implications. The
sions designed to study the macro economy theory can be used not only to make con-
and financial markets. We mentioned how ceptual points about these issues, but also to
elements like α ​ ​, ​σ​, ​v​, ​F​, and ​χ​ open up new organize and interpret micro data, e.g., as in
avenues of exploration, e.g., in discussion of the studies of sticky prices discussed above.
the hot-potato effect, where velocity depends It can also deliver time series observations
on explicit search, entry, and trading deci- where after a monetary injection, quanti-
sions, or in the discussion of pledgeability and ties first rise, then later prices rise, without
acceptability based on information theory. sticky-price assumptions, but with prices and
The models are also set up to analyze credit quantities determined bilaterally efficiently.
in the context of bilateral r­elationships, or The m ­ odels generate a demand for liquidity
pairwise meetings, where private information that helps understand correlations between
is naturally accommodated. Sometimes the money holdings and nominal rates or bond
models generate novel perspectives on topi- holdings and spreads, without sticking assets
cal issues, as with the zero lower bound prob- in utility. Finally, we mention how the mod-
lem in models with Nash bargaining, where​ els allow one to analyze many dimensions
ι < 0​would be desirable but is not feasible. of liquidity in a unified framework, includ-
The models can also contribute to discus- ing acceptability, pledgeability, moneyness,
sions of informational sensitivity, liquidity velocity, trade volume, bid–ask spreads, and
traps, and price bubbles. The theory can liquidity premia. We hope our presentation
be used to better understand the impact of of this approach will be useful, especially
OMOs and less conventional policies. It can given current interest in liquidity in econom-
be used to deliver a fully exploitable Phillips ics and finance.
426 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

Appendix on Notation
​α​, ​r​, ​β​ = arrival rate, discount rate, discount factor
​ρ​ = (utility of) dividend if ρ ​ > 0​or storage cost if ​ρ < 0​
​a, A​ = individual, aggregate asset holdings
​σ​, ​δ​ = single- and double-coincidence probability
​κ​, ​ε​ = cost and probability of entry a la Pissarides
​​n​ j​​​ = measure of type ​j​, ​​m​ i​​​ = measure inventory ​i​
​μ​ = monitoring probability
​n​ = fraction of monitored agents in CW
​τ​ = trading strategy
​τ = ϒ​(​τ ​)̃ ​​ = best response correspondence
​u​, ​c​ = utility, cost of DM good
​q​, ​Q​ = quantity in monetary, barter trades
​​V​​  A​​, ​​V​​  B​​, ​​V​​  C​​, ​​V​​  D​​ = value functions for autarky, barter, credit, and deviation
​​Va​  ​​​ = value function for a​ ∈ ​{0, 1}​​
​​θ​  a​​​ = bargaining power of agent with ​a ∈ ​{0, 1}​​
​v(q )​ = cost of q​ ​—i.e., a general mechanism
​η = αθ​ = arrive rate times bargaining power
​P​, ​M​, ​C​ = producer, middleman, and consumer in RW
​I​, ​D​ = investor and dealer in DGP
​​SI​  ​​​ = surplus in DGP
​​ω​ j​​​ = probability of preference shock ​j​in DGP
​F(a )​ = asset distribution
​V​(a)​​, ​W(​ a)​​ = value function for a​ ∈ ​ℝ​  +​​​ in DM, CM
​ϕ​, ​z = ​(ϕ + ρ)​  a​ = price and value of a​ ​
​U(x )  − ℓ​ = CM utility
​S​(q)​  = u​(q)​  − c​(q)​​ = DM surplus
​d​, ​p = d / q​ = DM dollars and price
​π​, ​ι​ = money growth (or inflation) and nominal interest rate
​G​, ​T​ = gov’t consumption and transfers
​λ​ = liquidity premium or Lagrange multiplier
​​w​  ℓ​​​, ​​w​  k​​​ = factor prices for labor and capital
​​t​ ℓ​​​, ​​t​ k​​​ = tax rates on labor and capital income
​​δ​  k​​​ = depreciation rate on ​k​
​γ​, ​Γ​ = DM utility function, Γ ​  ​q​​  1−γ​  /​(1 − γ)​​
​D​, ​χ​ = KM debt and haircut parameter
​​ξ​  b​​​, ​​ξ​  b​​​ = wedges on shares and bonds in Lagos
​R = 1 + ι​ = gross returns
​ψ​ = DM preference shock, ​ψu​(q)​​
​ζ​, ​1 − ζ​ = probability that ρ ​ = ​ρ​  H​​​, ​ρ = ​ρ​  L​​​
Lagos, Rocheteau, and Wright: Liquidity: A New Monetarist Perspective 427

Appendix on Commodity Money


Table 1.
Candidate Equilibria in the Commodity
​​ 12​​​from section 2. Given
We first derive V​  Money Model
dividends are realized next period, it should
be simple to understand case ​τ​ ​m​ ​existence?​
1 (​​ 1, 1, 1)​​ (​​ __1 / 2, 1__/ 2, 1 / 2)​​ ​never​
​​(1 + r)​ ​V1​  2​​  =  ​ρ​  2​​  + α ​n​ 1​​ ​V1​  2​​  2 ​​(1, 1, 0)​​ ​​(​√ ​ 2 / 2, ​ √ ​ 2 − 1, 1)​​ ​maybe​
__ __
3 (​​ 1, 0, 1)​​ ​​(√
​  ​ 2 − 1, 1, ​√ ​ 2 / 2)​​ ​never​
+ α ​n​ 2​​ ​m​ 2​​​[​τ​  1​​ ​V1​  3​​  + ​(1 − ​τ​  1​​)​ ​V1​  2​​]​  4 (​​ 1, 0, 0)​​ ​​(1 / 2, 1, 1)​​ ​never​
__ __
5 (​​ 0, 1, 1)​​ ​​(1, ​√ ​ 2 / 2, ​ √ ​ 2 − 1)​​ ​maybe​
+ α ​n​ 2​​​(1 − ​m​ 2​​)​ ​(u + ​V1​  2​​)​
6 (​​ 0, 1, 0)​​ ​​(1, 1 / 2, 1)​​ ​maybe​

+ α​n​ 3​​ ​m​ 3​​​[​τ​  3​​​(u + ​V1​  2​​)​ 


7 (​​ 0, 0, 1)​​ ​​(1, 1, 1 / 2)​​ ​never​
8 (​​ 0, 0, 0)​​ ​(1, 1, 1 )​ ​never​
+ ​(1 − ​τ​  3​​)​ ​V1​  2​​]​

+ α ​n​ 3​​​(1 − ​m​ 3​​)​ ​V1​  2​​  .​

The RHS is type 1’s payoff next period × ​(1 − ​τ​  2)​​ ​​
, but we can ignore that since
from the dividend, plus the expected value either ​​τ​  2​​  = 1​ or ​​m​ 2​​  = 1​. Equating the mea-
of: meeting his own type with probability sure of type ​1​that switch from good ​2​to
​​n​ 1​​​, which implies no trade; meeting type ​2​ good ​3​and the measure that switch back, we
with their production good with probability​​ get (1).
n​ 2​​ ​m​ 2​​​
, which implies trade with probabil- Table 1 lists candidate equilibria, with exis-
ity ​​τ​  1​​​; meeting type ​2​ with good ​1​, which tence results for the case ​​n​ j​​  = 1 / 3​. Consider
implies trade for sure; meeting type ​3​with case 1. After inserting ​m​, the BR conditions
good ​1​, which implies trade with probability​​ reduce to
τ​  3​​​; and meeting type ​3​with good 2​ ​, which
implies no trade. Algebra leads to (2). ​​Δ​  1​​  ≥ 0, or  ​ρ​  3​​  − ​ρ​  2​​  ≥ u / 6;
Now to explain the SS condition, consider
type ​1​and pure strategies. If ​1​has good ​2​, Δ​  2​​  ≥ 0, or  ​ρ​  1​​  − ​ρ​  3​​  ≥ u / 6;

he can switch to good 3​ ​only by trading with a​
2​that has good 3​ ​(since 3​ ​never has good 3​ ​). Δ​  3​​  ≥ 0, or  ​ρ​  2​​  − ​ρ​  1​​  ≥ u / 6.​

For this, ​1​has to meet 2​ ​with good ​3​,which
occurs with probability n​  ​​ 2​​ ​m​ 2​​​, then trade, Since these cannot all hold, this is never an
which occurs with probability ​​ τ​  1​​​ (since ​2​ equilibrium. In contrast, for case 2, the BR
always wants good ​2​). And if ​1​has good ​3​, he conditions reduce to
switches to good 2​ ​only by acquiring good 1​ ​, __
consuming and producing a new good 2​ ​(he ​​Δ​  1​​  ≥ 0, or  ​ρ​  3​​  − ​ρ​  2​​  ≥ (1 − ​√2 ​  )u / 3;
never switches from good 3​ ​to ​2​directly, since
if he preferred good 2​ ​he would not trade it ​Δ​  2​​  ≥ 0, or  ​ρ​  1​​  − ​ρ​  3​​  ≥ 0;
for good 3​ ​in the first place). He trades good​ __
3​for good 1​ ​either by trading with 3​ ​that has ​Δ​  3​​  ≤ 0, or  ​ρ​  2​​  − ​ρ​  1​​  ≤ (1 − ​√2 ​ / 2 ) u / 3.​
good 1​ ​, which occurs with probability n​  ​​ 3​​ ​m​ 3​​​,
or with 2​ ​that has good 1​ ​but prefers good​ For some parameters, these all hold and this
3​, which occurs with probability n​  ​​ 2(​​​ 1 − ​m​ 2)​​ ​  is an equilibrium. The rest are similar. ​∎​
428 Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. LV (June 2017)

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