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Supermarket Channel
Dannon 33%
Yoplait 24%
Others 23%
Private Label 15%
Columbo 5%
100%
Option Action
1 Expand 6 SKUs of the 8-oz. size into eastern and western supermarket regions
2 Expand 4 SKUs of the 32-oz. size nationally into supermarket channel
3 Introduce 2 children’s multipacks into natural foods channel
Anticipated Incremental Retail Unit Sales
35,000,000
5,500,000
1,800,000
Exhibit TN-2: Margin Chain for Manufacturere Selling Price (Natureview Yogurt)
Exhibit 3
Text - Supermarkets Page 4 - Last Para
SRP x (1-SRM)
Text - Supermarkets Page 4 - Last Para
SRPP x (1-SDM)
SRPP x (1-SDM) (Rounded to 3 decimal places)
Exhibit 3
SMSP - SC (Rounded to 3 decimal places)
SCPU / SMSP (Rounded to 2 decimal places)
Multipack
$3.35 Exhibit 3
35.0% Text - Nat Foods Page 5 - 3rd Para
FRP x (1-FRM) $2.18
9.0% Text - Nat Foods Page 5 - 3rd Para
FRPP x (1-FDM) $1.98
7.0% Text - Nat Foods Page 5 - 3rd Para
FDPP x (1-FWM) $1.843
FDPP x (1-FWM) 1.843 (Rounded to 3 decimal places)
1.15 Exhibit 3
FMSP - FC 0.693 (Rounded to 3 decimal places)
FCPU / FMSP 37.60% (Rounded to 2 decimal places)
Exhibit TN-3 Market Share Analysis of Yogurt Market
Option 3 (Multipack) 2
Ad Plan ($250,000)
Sales (Q3) 1,800,000 units per annum
Free Cases (slotting) fee ($82,927)
Gross Profit $1,247,073
Less Ad Costs ($250,000)
Less Free Cases ($82,927)
Less Broker's Commissions ($132,683) 4% of sales
Profit Contribution $781,463
Sales Growth Year 1 $3,317,073
text, Option 1
text, Option 1
text, Supermarket
formula = units sold * $ contribution per unit
text, Option 1
Market Share
1.5%
2.0%
text, Option 2
text, Option 2
text, Supermarket
formula = units sold * $ contribution per unit
text, Option 2
Market Share
10.3%
text, Option 3
text, Option 3
2.5% of Manufacturer Sales (net of broker fees)
r unit (Ex TN 2)
er unit (Ex TN 2)
re * $1.8bn
r unit (Ex TN 2)
Q1 x SCPU
GP x 2
SMSP x Q1 x 0.04
GP - Sum of Costs
Q2 x SCPU
SMSP x Q2 x 0.04
GP - Sum of Costs
Q3 x FMSP x 0.025
Q3 x WPP
Q3 x FMSP x 0.025
Q3 x FMSP x 0.04
GP - Sum of Costs
sales growth = FMSP * Q3
of natural foods channel (last year) (Q3 x FRP) / ( 0.03 x 1.8 Billion)
220000
Option 1 Option 2 Option 3
$'000 (8 oz.) (32 oz.) (Multipack)
One Year Revenue 16,071 9,214 3,317
One Year Profit (212) (823) 781
Revenue after 2 Years 19,285 11,057 3,815
NPV of Profit over 2 Years 1,436 1,310 1,608
Revenue after 5 Years 33,325 19,107 5,802
NPV of Profit over 5 Years 11,013 10,640 4,798
Number of SKU 6
Regions 2
Predicted Growth 20% per annum - after first year
Marketing Support $1,200,000 per region per year
SG&A Uplift $320,000 per annum
Incremental Sales 35,000,000 additional units
# Chains 11 in Northeast
# Chains 9 in West
Number of SKU 4
Regions 4
Predicted Growth 20% per annum - after first year
Marketing Support $120,000 per region per year
SG&A Uplift $160,000 per annum
Incremental Sales 5,500,000 additional units
# Chains 64 Nationally
$'000 Year 1 2
Incremental Sales (million units) 5.50 6.60
Incremental Sales 9,214 11,057
Less Manufacturing Costs (5,445) (6,534)
Incremental Gross Margin 3,769 4,523
Less Broker Fees (369) (442)
Less Slotting Fees (2,560) 0
Trade Promotions (1,024) (1,024)
Marketing Support (480) (480)
Incremental SG&A (160) (160)
Incremental Profit (823) 2,417
Number of SKU 2
Size 32 Oz
Predicted Growth 15% per annum - after first year
Marketing Support $250,000 per annum
SG&A Uplift $0 per annum
Incremental Sales 1,800,000 additional units
$'000 Year 1 2
Incremental Sales (million units) 1.80 2.07
Incremental Sales 3,317 3,815
Less Manufacturing Costs (2,070) (2,380)
Incremental Gross Margin 1,247 1,434
Less Broker Fees (133) (153)
Less Free Cases (83) 0
Trade Promotions 0 0
Marketing Support (250) (250)
Incremental SG&A 0 0
Incremental Profit 781 1,032
From Exhibit 6
From Exhibit 6
Option 1 Comment 4
Option 1
Option 1
Option 1
Option 1
Option 1
PP x (1-SDM)
PP x (1-SDM)
3 4 5
50.40 60.48 72.58 35 Million Units growing at 20% pa Q
23,142 27,771 33,325 Units * $0.46 per unit R = Q x SMSP
(15,624) (18,749) (22,499) Units * $0.31 per unit Q x SC
7,518 9,022 10,826
(926) (1,111) (1,333) Sales * 4% R x 0.04
0 0 0 20 Chains * 6 SKU
(870) (870) (870) Price * # Retailers Per Region * 4 times p.a.
(2,400) (2,400) (2,400) $1.2mm per Region Per Annum
(320) (320) (320) Fixed Annual Amount
3,002 4,321 5,903
Reference
Case Text - Supermarket Channel
Option 2
Case Text - Supermarket Channel
Case Text - Supermarket Channel
Case Text - Supermarket Channel
From Exhibit 3
From Exhibit 6
Option 2 (Nationally)
Option 1 Comment 4
Option 2 (Nationally)
Option 2 (Nationally)
Option 2 (Nationally)
Option 2 (Nationally)
PP x (1-SDM)
PP x (1-SDM)
3 4 5
7.92 9.50 11.40 5.5 Million Units growing at 20% pa Q
13,269 15,923 19,107 Units * $1.68 per unit R = Q x SMSP
(7,841) (9,409) (11,291) Units * $0.99 per unit Q x SC
5,428 6,514 7,816
(531) (637) (764) Sales * 4%
0 0 0 64 Chains, 4 SKU
(1,024) (1,024) (1,024) Price * # Retailers * 2 times p.a.
(480) (480) (480) $120,000 per Region Per Annum
(160) (160) (160) Fixed Annual Amount
3,233 4,213 5,388
Reference
Case Text - Supermarket Channel
Option 3
Option 2
Case Text - Supermarket Channel
Case Text - Supermarket Channel
Case Text - Supermarket Channel
From Exhibit 3
From Exhibit 6
From Exhibit 6
Yogurt Through Nat.Foods Stores
Option 3
Option 3
Option 3
PP x (1-FDM)
P * (1-FWM)
PP * (1-FWM)
3 4 5
2.38 2.74 3.15 1.8 Million Units growing at 15%pa Q
4,387 5,045 5,802 Units * $1.84 per unit R = Q x FMSP
(2,738) (3,148) (3,620) Units * $1.15 per unit Q x FC
1,649 1,897 2,181
(175) (202) (232) 4% of sales
0 0 0 2.5% of sales in first year
0 0 0 Not Required for Nat. Food Channel
(250) (250) (250) $120,000 per Region Per Annum
0 0 0
1,224 1,445 1,699
R = Q x SMSP
R = Q x SMSP
R = Q x FMSP
Channel Margins Tool
To See Marginal Effects for Unit Cost, Adjust Manufacturer Price by Desired Amount
To See Marginal Effects for % Margin, Adjust % Margin by Desired Amount--A .01 Increase (Decrease) Equals a 1%
Increase (Decrease(
To See Marginal Effects for Unit Cost, Adjust Customer Price by the Desired Amount
To See Marginal Effects for % Margin, Adjust % Margin for a Channel Participant by the Desired Amount--A .01 Increase
(Decrease) Equals a 1% Increase (Decrease)
(Decrease) Equals a 1%