Professional Documents
Culture Documents
April 2014
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2
Table of Contents
Financial Highlights 19
Financial Results 29
Appendix 47
3
Capital Strengthening Plan
Transaction Highlights
Address the capital needs as determined by the Bank of Greece (BoG) following the BlackRock Solutions
(BRS) diagnostic exercise on loan portfolios:
- capital needs estimated at €425 mn in the base-case scenario and €757 mn in the adverse scenario
Transaction Repayment of €750 mn Greek State preference shares
Rationale Strengthen the Basel III fully loaded(1) CET-1 ratio to nearly 12%
Facilitate access to funding markets at more favorable terms
Expand private investor shareholder base
Piraeus aims to proactively take advantage of the inflection point in the Greek economy to
strengthen its capital base and take another step towards private ownership
Address capital needs as determined by the BoG Facilitate access to funding markets
Meet the capital needs as determined by the BoG Accelerate tapping of wholesale funding markets at
following the BRS diagnostic exercise on loan favorable terms
portfolios (capital needs estimated at €425 mn in the Positive credit perspective from rating agencies
base-case scenario and €757 mn in the adverse Further improvement of Piraeus‟ perception among its
scenario) customer base
Strengthen the Basel III fully loaded capital position Move forward from a stronger market position
Basel III fully loaded pro-forma CET-1 ratio(2) at 11.8% Commercial leadership in the domestic market
Positions Piraeus in line with best capitalized Uniquely positioned to benefit from growth opportunities
European peers in a recovering Greek economy
Superior restructuring and synergy potential across the
recently acquired businesses
(1) Fixed yield of 10% with a 2% step-up per annum from May 2014 onwards
(2) Pro-forma December 2013 Capital Strengthening Plan. 6
Piraeus Becomes Strongly Capitalized Under Basel III
EBA CT-1 ratio Capital raise Pro forma EBA CET-1 Basel III impact Basel III impact Repayment Pro-forma Basel III fully
(incl. State prefs (€1.75 bn) ratio (fully loaded) (fully loaded) of State prefs loaded CET-1 ratio post
and full DTAs) (incl. State prefs, PSI-related DTAs Other DTAs capital increase
incl. full DTAs) post
capital increase
16.8%
18%
16% 11.7% average
14% for 14 Banks
12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
Bank 1 Bank 2 Bank 3 Bank 4 Bank 5 Bank 6 Bank 7 Bank 8 Bank 9 Bank 10 Bank 11 Bank 12 Bank 13 Bank 14 Piraeus
Euro STOXX Banks Basel III Fully Loaded CET-1 Ratios Dec. 2013
14% 11.8%
9.8% average
12%
for 14 Banks
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
Bank 1 Bank 2 Bank 3 Bank 10 Bank 13 Bank 11 Bank 7 Bank 5 Bank 9 Bank 4 Bank 8 Bank 6 Bank 12 Piraeus Bank 14
Note: Group of banks within the Euro STOXX Banks index that have reported their Q4 Basel II.5 CT-1 ratio and Basel III fully loaded CET-1 ratio at this date.
Sample consists of Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA, Banco de Sabadell SA, Banco Espirito Santo SA, Banco Popolare SC, Banco Popular Espanol
SA, Bank of Ireland, BNP Paribas SA, CaixaBank SA, Commerzbank AG, Credit Agricole SA, Deutsche Bank AG, Erste Group Bank AG, KBC Groep NV, Capital Strengthening Plan. 8
Societe Generale SA.
Capital Strengthening Consistent with Piraeus’ Key Strategic Priorities
Piraeus Bank to capitalize on its strong market position, focusing on the most rewarding segments,
for the benefit of its shareholders, customers and employees
Improving revenue generation through lower funding costs and higher fee income
Recovery of Significant restructuring of the operations has resulted in substantial cost savings
Profitability 2/3 of synergies from acquisitions already achieved, significantly ahead of original targets and timetable
Pre provision income (PPI) continues trending up
Further scope to increase revenues, as time deposit rates continue to converge to European levels and fee income
Further Potential to generation continues to recover
Optimize Financial Efficiency expected to improve as Piraeus will benefit from VES implemented in late 2013, synergies achieved to
Performance date (60% of total cost synergies announced) and further synergy and restructuring potential
Cost of risk is expected to normalize as the economy continues to recover
Level of NPL formation as a % of gross loans has declined drastically since Q4 2012 pointing to a peak of NPL stock
Additional Value in 2014
Extraction Through Potential for provision write-backs through the recovery cycle
NPLs Management New organizational structure for NPL management, i.e. Recovery Banking Unit and internal „Non Core‟ Bank (Task
Force)
On-going Funding Access to debt capital markets for the first time since the beginning of the Eurozone crisis
Sources
Reduced reliance on net Eurosystem funding at €11 bn (Dec.2013); zero ELA (end Feb.2014) from €31 bn in Dec.2012
Diversification
6 June 2012
€550 mn target fully-phased synergies p.a.
(1) Source: solo financials including adjustments for volumes booked in branches abroad, BoG for market
(2) Annualized net interest income over average assets, excluding EFSF bonds and seasonal OPEKEPE funding facility
(3) Excluding one-off items in FY 2013
(4) Net Eurosystem refers to end February 2014 data
(5) Excluding EFSF bonds and seasonal OPEKEPE funding facility
n.m.: non-meaningful
Determined so as to
maintain 8% of baseline
scenario RWAs at any
point in time throughout
the forecast period
8.3
-11.0
0.4 5.3
2.7
-4.7
-0.4
-2.3
Reference Loan loss Greek risk Greek risk Greek risk Non Greek risk Capital generation Capital needs Target
Basel 2.5 CT1 reserves 3½ years buffer to cover additional buffer 3½ years (PPI) Basel 2.5 CT1
June 2013 June 2013 BlackRock CLPs 100% of >100% of lifetime CLPs over 3½ years December 2016
lifetime losses
BlackRock CLPs
Note: Bank of Greece assessment does not assume repayment of State preference shares. DTAs have not been adjusted to reflect withdrawal of the supervisory filter
Bank of Greece Stress Test. 13
Τhe 2nd BlackRock Diagnostic Assessment & BoG Stress Test
Note: Bank of Greece assessment does not assume repayment of State preference shares. DTAs have not been adjusted to reflect withdrawal of the supervisory filter
Bank of Greece Stress Test. 14
Key Assumptions of the 2nd BlackRock Diagnostic Exercise & BoG Stress Test
Key Assumptions
Loan growth Aligned to GDP growth Asset linked F&C cap at YE‟2013 level (% of loans)
Loan interest rates Cap at market average Fees and
Over net loans, floor at 1H commissions Other F&C growth between 2013 and 2016 cap at 20% in Baseline
Credit RWAs
2013 level and 10% in Adverse scenarios
Market RWAs Floor at 1H 2013
RWA adjustments Trading Trading revenue not included if positive, except recurring trading
Over Net Banking Income
Operational RWAs revenue income (client related)
(3-year average)
All RWAs Net of additional provisions
Costs As per restructuring plan commitments in the base case
Aligned to GDP growth
Potential funding deficit, refinanced through:
Deposit growth (i) debt securities
(ii) secured interbank funding
(iii) Eurosystem funding
Deposit interest rates Floor at market average
Cap on debt securities issuance as % of liabilities; P&L
Debt securities
impact depending on funding cost
Note: Bank of Greece assessment does not assume repayment of State preference shares. DTAs have not been adjusted to reflect withdrawal of the supervisory filter
Bank of Greece Stress Test. 15
BlackRock Lifetime Loss Rates
BlackRock‟s estimated lifetime losses in the Greek portfolio for Piraeus are 23.2% in the base case and 29.1% in the adverse case,
compared to 21.7% and 27.6% respectively on average for the system
Capital Buffer Above BlackRock Estimated Lifetime Losses(1) Capital Buffer Above BlackRock Estimated Lifetime Losses(1)
in the Base Scenario (€ bn) in the Adverse Scenario (€ bn)
18.0 4.9
3.5
13.7 13.7
Loan loss Dec 2013 Normalized Total capital Base case Adverse case Loan loss Dec 2013 Normalized Total capital Adverse case
reserves capital buffer 3 year buffer lifetime lifetime reserves capital buffer 3 year buffer lifetime
stock over 8% cumulative losses losses (4) stock over 5.5% cumulative losses (4)
(Dec 2013) minimum PPI (Dec 2013) minimum PPI
(3) (3)
capital requirement capital requirement
67% of total synergies‟ target crystallized to-date 13.9% EBA CT-1 (12.6% excluding State prefs)
(€368 mn p.a.) LLR / loans 18.5%
€155 mn funding synergies secured (97%) Coverage including collateral c.130%
€209 mn cost synergies secured (60%) LDR 111%
€277 mn integration costs booked to-date (66%) Net Eurosystem funding / assets 12% (10% Febr.‟14)
NPLs formation further decelerated NPL management under best practice approach
Formation declines for 4th consecutive quarter, down Specialized Recovery and „Non Core‟ Bank (Task
22% q-o-q to €982 mn Force) Units, with dedicated management resources
Greek NPLs formation down 17%, international 53% Streamlined NPL management process applying
Business NPLs formation down 19%, retail 27% targeted policies & treatments; specialist analytics to
Q4 cost of risk 363 bps, increasing coverage by 201 support decision making and treatment choice
bps q-o-q to 51%
(1) Normalized for one off items as per slide 25
(2) Over interest earning assets excluding EFSF and seasonal OPEKEPE funding facility Highlights. 20
(3) Except for Geniki Bank
All PPI Drivers are Progressing
Tightening of Greek Time Deposit Rates Synergy Potential Being Realized (€ mn)
1,218
16,570
1,097 16,558
1,037
VES conclusion
Dec 2012 Mar 2013 Jun 2013 Sep 2013 Nov 2013 Dec 2013 Dec 2012 Mar 2013 Jun 2013 Sep 2013 Nov 2013 Dec 2013
Note: All graphs pro forma for all acquisitions except for the one with Greek time deposit rates (all apart from Geniki Bank)
Highlights. 21
Top Line Recovery Driven by NII and NFI Bolsters PPI
Net Interest Income Composition (€ mn) Net Fee Income Composition (€ mn)
+5% 475 91
454 +24% 5
Other 109 93 74 5
Asset 4
3
Interest
Management
income
Loans
834 823
Investment
Banking +21% 81
67
Commercial
Deposits -358 -312 Banking
expense
Interest
-131 -129
Other
Highlights. 22
Cost Cutting Initiatives Well on Track
Q4 2013 FY 2013
Second wave of VES program concluded in February
2014 (138 FTEs exit the Bank, €7 mn one-off cost, €6
mn benefit p.a.)
Full Realization of Synergies Leads to C/I Ratio of 45% One-off extraordinary contribution to the Greek Deposit
Guarantee Scheme of €44 mn to cover the build-up of
62%
the required funds for the resolution mechanism
-4% -2% 45%
-2% -6% (€ mn) Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013
-3%
One-off OPEX items
VES - 24 102
Integration 17 16 29
C/I 2013 VES Branches Other Remaining Remaning C/I 2013 DGS one-off contribution 44
adjusted for closure synergies cost revenue normalized
one-off items actioned synergies synergies for total One-off costs 17 40 176
synergistic
pool
Highlights. 23
Synergies: 2/3 Already Secured
Highlights. 24
Normalized PPI Up 12% q-o-q on the Back of Recovering Core Revenues
(1) Piraeus Group PPI for Q4 2013: reported €2 mn, adding back one-off items (€269 mn in total)
(2) One-off extraordinary contribution to the Greek Deposit Guarantee Scheme to cover the build-up of the required funds for the resolution mechanism Highlights. 25
Significant PPI Re-rating Potential
Annualized synergies
Further PPI Annualized Q4 PPI close to €1.1 bn
improvement
implemented & time deposit
repricing at current level Q4 PPI does not incorporate further
market stabilization and the forthcoming
reversal of the economic cycle
+€139
+€98 €1,411 Significant PPI potential to be derived
+€140
from:
+€89
€1,084 (1) further declining of time deposit
costs, converging towards EMU
Unrealized cost & averages
revenue synergies
fee income increase from current
depressed levels
benefit from core deposits as market
rates increase overtime
(1) Piraeus Group normalized PPI for Q4 2013 (€271 mn) multiplied by 4
Note: Data on this slide refer to financial targets Highlights. 26
Rate of NPL Generation More Than Halved Post Peak in Q4 2012
Piraeus Group NPLs Formation1 NPLs Ratio - 90dpd for All Segments (%)
Q4 cost of risk
Group NPLs Composition - Q4 2013 Coverage of NPLs by LLRs (%) 363 bps
Q4 2013
(1) Pre write-off quarterly NPL formation (amount and bps over end-quarter loan balance)
Highlights. 27
EBA CT-1 Ratio Evolution in Q4
+1.5%
15.0% +0.5%
13.5% 13.9%
-0.5%
-1.1%
~30% related
to coverage
increase
Sep-13 EBA CT-1 ratio Full regulatory Sep-13 EBA CT-1 ratio Q4 Q4 Q4 Dec-13 EBA CT-1 ratio
(incl. State prefs) recognition (incl. State prefs, Normalized PPI One-off Items Loan Loss Charges (incl. State prefs)
of DTA (1) incl. full DTAs)
Synergies’ contribution
c.€26 mn of additional cost synergies recognized in Q4 2013; c.€40 mn in FY 2013
c.€30 mn of funding synergies recognized in Q4 2013; c.€108 mn in FY 2013
Financial Results. 31
Balance Sheet Highlights
Business
Net Loans
62.4 Mortgages
Consumer
Time 13%
Deposits 32.1
Business
Greek 55%
Market
Mortgages
Equity, T1, LT2, 32%
2.4 PPE State prefs 8.8
Other Other 3.3 Notes:
6.8
1. For Greek deposit market, State deposits are included in time deposits since
Liabilities & Equity Mix their split per deposit category is not available
Asset Mix 2. For loans, balances of government and private sector are included, excluding
OPEKEPE seasonal loan of €1.9 bn both from Piraeus and market
Financial Results. 33
Low Reliance on Eurosystem Funding, Regained Access to Debt Markets
ECB Collateral (cash value mtm, € bn) On 18 March 2014, Piraeus successfully placed
in the international debt capital markets a €500
mn 3-year senior unsecured benchmark note
ECB Collateral Breakdown Dec.2013 with an annual fixed rate coupon of 5.00%
Financial Results. 34
Deposit Repricing Continues
Customer Rates (quarterly average)(1) Cost of time Greek Time Deposit Rates (%)
deposits significantly (quarterly averages)
5.0%
improved bringing
Q1 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 down the cost of 4.39% -115 bps
(average) (average) (average) (average) total deposits 4.5%
4.22%
Loan interest
income affected by
Loans 5.03% 5.09% 5.02% 4.80%
both deleveraging
Mortgages 2.88% 2.95% 2.99% 2.85% as well as NPLs
formation; however,
Consumer 9.55% 9.70% 9.97% 9.57% this is more than
offset by deposit
Business 5.45% 5.53% 5.36% 5.13%
costs improvement
Financial Results. 35
Time Deposits Costs Reach New Lows
Piraeus Greek Time Deposit Cost (%) Significant improvement of time deposits
interest rates due to stabilization of market
5.0%
4.58% and concentration of banking sector
4.41% Stock
4.5% 4.13% New
4.40%
4.0% 4.23%
3.42%
3.5% 3.64% 3.05% Market Deposits in Greece (€ mn)
(Bank of Greece)
3.0%
2.5% 2.82% 2.71% 270,000
250,000
2.0%
Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13 230,000
210,000
190,000
150,000
0.5%
Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13 Dec-13
Note: Rates refer to monthly average data, source for market data: ECB and Bank of Greece time Mar.'13 Jun.'13 Sep.13 Dec.'13
deposit rates for duration up to 2 years from households and firms
Financial Results. 36
Increased NPL Coverage in All Segments
Piraeus Group KPIs Total NPL Coverage per Segment - Dec.2013 (%)
5.66% Tangible
LLR
Cost of risk over loans 90dpd collateral Total
December 2013 coverage
Ratio coverage Coverage
3.63% of NPLs
of NPLs
2.81% 2.90%
2.62% Business 40% 53% 54% 108%
3.21% c.2.5%
related to Tangible collateral
2.43% formation Mortgages 23% 17% 83% 100% i.e. excluding
1.78% 1.68% guarantees; adding
NPL formation (% loans) 1.32% guarantees, coverage
Consumer 48% 74% 13% 87%
reaches 126%
Q4.12 Q1.13 Q2.13 Q3.13 Q4.13
Total 37% 51% 53% 104%
Dec.2013
Note: Pre write-off quarterly NPL formation (amount and bps over end-quarter loan balance)
Financial Results. 37
Piraeus’ New Organizational Structure with Dedicated NPL Management Units
Piraeus Bank has a new organisational NPL management is Piraeus’ top priority
structure, with dedicated NPL management units for 2014
Mission
Piraeus Bank BoD
• Dedicated, fair and consistent management of all borrowers in
financial difficulties
Executive Committee • Value creation for Piraeus Bank through a streamlined NPL
management process, in line with international best practice
• Addressing the systemic importance of Piraeus Bank for the
CEO Greek economy, being the largest bank in the country
Approach
• New dedicated organization and management structure
• Dedicated policies and customer solutions and treatments based
Recovery ‘Non Core’ Retail Banking
on detailed customer segmentation
Banking Bank / Task
Unit (RBU) Force Corporate Banking • Best in class processes to enable customer needs identification
and customer solution selection
Commercial Banking • Appropriate staffing of the units, professional training and new
performance management systems
Financial Markets & Treasury • Development of suite of analytical tools and “test and learn”
capabilities
International Banking • New, detailed MIS and reporting capabilities across all levels
within the organization
• Appropriate IT infrastructure in place to facilitate new structures
and processes
Financial Results. 38
RBU and ‘Non Core’ Bank / Task Force Have Distinct Roles & Responsibilities
RBU is offering end-to-end customer solutions to ‘Non Core’ Bank / Task Force Unit’s mission is to
borrowers facing financial difficulties across all manage critical exposures in entire sectors of the
portfolios Greek economy, as well as all participations
Financial Results. 39
RBU: €22 bn Balances or 425 th Loans Are Being Internally Transferred
Note: Figures are based on latest estimates (work in progress), balances of Piraeus Bank SA banking operations in Greece
Financial Results. 40
Macro & Banking Market Update
Greek Macro & Banking Market Update
Eurosystem financing
down to €73 bn in Dec.2013, -46% vs. Jun.2012 peak (€136 bn)
Travel surplus up 18.1% in 2013 vs. 2012;
increase in tourist receipts by 14.9% y-o-y and tourists arrivals by
15.5% y-o-y respectively Currency in circulation
down to €35 bn in Dec.2013, -22% vs. €45 bn peak in Jun.2012
(€20 bn level pre crisis)
PMI shaped at 51.3 in Feb.2014, entering expansion area
LLRs over gross loans ratio
after 4.5 years increased to14.5% in Dec.2013 vs. 2.8% in Dec.2008
(1) IMF/ECB/European Commission. Other sources for this slide: EL.STAT., Eurostat, BoG, Markit. Note: PMI>50 level indicates growth
(2) Deposits from households with agreed maturity up to 1 year
Macro & Banking Update. 42
Greek Banking Market Key Figures
Market Volumes Nearly at Trough Level (€ mn) Loan to Deposit Ratio at Healthy Level (%)
290,000 140%
Deposit market has stabilized;
270,000 130% +2% y-o-y in December 2013
250,000
120%
Loan deleveraging continues;
110%
230,000 -4% y-o-y in December 2013
100%
210,000
90% NPLs ratio remains elevated
190,000
Loans 80% (c.33%, est. Dec.2013) post 6
170,000 Deposits 70% years of recession; yet, LLRs
150,000 60% over gross loans have climbed
Jun-08
Jun-09
Jun-10
Jun-11
Jun-12
Jun-13
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-12
Mar-13
Dec-07
Sep-08
Dec-08
Sep-09
Dec-09
Sep-10
Dec-10
Sep-11
Dec-11
Sep-12
Dec-12
Sep-13
Dec-13
Jun-08
Jun-09
Jun-10
Jun-11
Jun-12
Jun-13
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-12
Mar-13
Dec-07
Sep-08
Dec-08
Sep-09
Dec-09
Sep-10
Dec-10
Sep-11
Dec-11
Sep-12
Dec-12
Sep-13
Dec-13
to 14.5%
Banking market consolidation
High Level of LLRs and NPLs (% over Loans) Household Time Deposit Rates Decrease (%) and deposit conditions
normalization have
5.0%
35.0%
LLRs/Loans contributed to the significant
NPLs/Loans 4.5%
30.0%
Unemployment
reduction of time deposit
4.0%
25.0% rates, providing upward
3.23%
3.5%
20.0% potential for net interest
3.0%
15.0% income
New - GR 2.83%
2.5%
10.0%
Outstanding - GR 1.94%
2.0%
5.0% Outstanding - Euroarea
1.5%
0.0%
Jun-10
Sep-10
Jun-11
Sep-11
Jun-12
Sep-12
Jun-13
Sep-13
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-12
Mar-13
Dec-09
Dec-10
Dec-11
Dec-12
Dec-13
Jun-08
Jun-09
Jun-10
Jun-11
Jun-12
Jun-13
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-12
Mar-13
Dec-07
Sep-08
Dec-08
Sep-09
Dec-09
Sep-10
Dec-10
Sep-11
Dec-11
Sep-12
Dec-12
Sep-13
Dec-13
90.0 According to Piraeus estimates for seasonally adjusted data, in Q4 2013 real GDP
decreased by only 0.4% q-o-q
80.0
70.0
The unemployment rate remains above 27% of the labor force, hence it constitutes one of
the major challenges for the Greek economy. Nonetheless, employment decreases at a
60.0
decelerated pace
Oct-06
Oct-07
Oct-08
Oct-09
Oct-10
Oct-11
Oct-12
Oct-13
Feb-06
Jun-06
Feb-07
Jun-07
Feb-08
Jun-08
Feb-09
Jun-09
Feb-10
Jun-10
Feb-11
Jun-11
Feb-12
Jun-12
Feb-13
Jun-13
Feb-14
Despite recent fluctuations, the economic climate indicator remained above its 2010-2012
ESI, Greece ESI, EU-27 Average Level, Greece (2001-2013) average level. In February 2014 it reached 94.8 pts, the highest since September 2008
On the fiscal front, challenges do remain however fiscal consolidation is progressing.
GDP (y-o-y % change, nsa data) Central Budget Execution is on track. According to the latest data from the Ministry of
Finance, a primary surplus of €603 mn was achieved in 2013, while government officials
15.0 reiterated their certainty for a bigger than anticipated primary surplus for the General
10.0
Government as well
Improvement in the current account balance: a significant improvement has been recorded
5.0
in the current account balance, where a surplus of €1.2 bn was recorded in 2013 for the 1st
0.0 time since 1948 (in comparison with a €4.6 bn deficit in 2012)
-5.0
…and Outlook for 2014
-10.0
According to Piraeus forecasts, in 2014 the economic recession will come to an end (0%
-15.0 change in GDP). In general, the composition of economic activity will not change, but the
contraction rates of internal demand will be even more restricted. Consumption and
Q4/02
Q2/03
Q4/03
Q2/04
Q4/04
Q2/05
Q4/05
Q2/06
Q4/06
Q2/07
Q4/07
Q2/08
Q4/08
Q2/09
Q4/09
Q2/10
Q4/10
Q2/11
Q4/11
Q2/12
Q4/12
Q2/13
Q4/13
investments (Gross Fixed Capital Formation) will be reduced, but at a declining rate and
Constant prices Current prices
their reduction will be partially compensated for by the improvement in the external balance
5
Greece -20000 Economic sentiment improved by 2.2 pts
-25000 to 94.8 pts in February 2014 vs. 92.6 pts
Jan.-Mar.
Jan.
Jan.-Jul.
Jan.-Nov.
Jan.-Dec.
Jan.-Aug.
Jan.-Sep.
Jan.-Apr.
Jan.-Oct.
Jan.-Feb.
Jan.-May
Jan.-Jun.
0
in January 2014, highest since
-5 September 2008. Substantial
2010 2011 2012 2013 2010 2011 2012 2013
improvement is apparent in both
industrial and services confidence
Nominal Unit Labor Costs (2005 = 100) Employment (y-o-y %) indicators
Sep-08
Sep-09
Sep-10
Sep-11
Sep-12
Sep-13
Mar-07
Mar-08
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-12
Mar-13
Dec-06
Jun-07
Dec-07
Jun-08
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
Jun-13
Dec-13
primary balance c.20 ppts
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
improvement in 4 years
Sources: Bank of Greece, European Commission DG ECFIN, ELSTAT, AMECO, Piraeus Bank Economic Research
Dec-08
Jun-09
Dec-09
Jun-10
Dec-10
Jun-11
Dec-11
Jun-12
Dec-12
Jun-13
Dec-13
Mar-09
Mar-10
Mar-11
Mar-12
Mar-13
Sep-08
Sep-09
Sep-10
Sep-11
Sep-12
Sep-13
External imbalances persist but have significantly improved as activity and exports gain momentum
Countries with Piraeus Bank Presence, excl. Greece European Union
Country Specifics
Albania: strong ties to Greece and Italy keep economic activity subdued, but still outperforms its peers.
Unemployment Rate The newly established financial assistance from the IMF will help to define the country‟s structural
weaknesses
25 %
Bulgaria: economic activity has rebounded steadily due to strong services, as the country attempts to
20
change the export-driven economic model. Impressive correction of the fiscal and external imbalances
15 Cyprus: the country managed to over-perform the troika‟s expectations on a macro and fiscal level
10 providing visible green shoots, as economic contraction moderates
5 Egypt: growth remains at a standstill due to the ongoing political uncertainty, threatening
0 macroeconomic stability. The financial aid by the Arabic world however in the last months of 2013
re-established the much needed stability in the country
Bulgaria
Albania
Serbia
Egypt
Romania
Cyprus
Ukraine
Romania: economic activity has significantly improved in 2013, while a positive step for a further
2013 2012
improvement was the approval of the SBA by the IMF and from the European Commission (€2.0 bn
Table of Economic Forecasts each)
Real GDP
Inflation
Fiscal Balance Current Account Serbia: the exports growth due to the automotive industry within last year has led to a significant
(% y-o-y) (% GDP) Balance (% GDP)
improvement of the economic activity and the external sector, however domestic final consumption is
2013 2014f 2013 2014f 2013 2014f 2013 2014f expected to counterbalance the positive effects from imports in the current year
Albania 1.7(e) 2.1 1.9 2.7 -4.6 -6.3 -9.3(e) -10.5
Bulgaria 0.6 1.6 0.9 1.5 -1.8 -1.7 2.1 0.3 Ukraine: the ongoing developments in Ukraine remain extremely volatile, as the country has split into 2
Cyprus -5.4 -3.9 -0.4 1.2 -5.2 -7.5 -2.0(e) -0.6 fronts - the 1st that is pro-European and is concentrated in Kiev and the 2nd that is pro-Russian and is
Egypt 1.8 2.8 6.9 10.3 -14.7 -13.2 -2.6 -0.8
concentrated in the Crimea region. In recent weeks, the 3 major rating agencies downgraded Ukraine‟s
Romania 3.3 2.1 4.0 2.8 -2.5 -2.0 -1.1 -2.5
Serbia 2.4 2.0 7.9 5.0 -4.8 -6.2 -7.5 -6.5 sovereign credit rating noting the increasing political uncertainty. A key challenge the country will have
Ukraine 0.0 n/a -0.3 n/a -4.5(e) n/a -7.3(e) n/a to face, apart from the socio-political turmoil is the debt service and the depreciation of the Ukrainian
Sources: Piraeus Bank Research, IMF World Economic Outlook, National Statistical Sources
currency against the dollar
Assets:
€92bn
• 2013 - Migration of 6 banks - Recap €8.4 bn - Acquisition of
2012-2013 Greek carve-out of Bank of Cyprus, Cyprus Popular
Consolidation, Piraeus Bank & HellenicBank, as well as Millennium Bank
Commercial Leadership • 2012 - Acquisition of “good” ATEbank and Geniki Bank
€49bn
2009-2011 • 2012 - OPEX containment FTE rationalization branches optimization,
Weathering participation in the PSI, sale of subsidiary Marathon Bank NY
the Economic Crisis • 2011 - Rights Issue of €0.8bn
€55bn
2004-2008 • 2008 - Establishment of Piraeus Bank Cyprus
• 2007 - Acquisition of ICB Ukraine
Strong Domestic and
International Expansion • 2005 - Acquisition of Eurobank in Bulgaria (Piraeus Bank Bulgaria), Atlas Banka in Serbia
(Piraeus Bank Beograd), Egyptian Commercial Bank in Egypt (Piraeus Bank Egypt)
Assets:
€15bn
• 2003 - ETBAbank
1992-2003 • 2000 - Xiosbank, Macedonia-Thrace (triple merger)
Critical Mass Attainment & • 1999 - NatWest Greece
Operational Overhaul • 1998 - Credit Lyonnais Greece
• 1997 - Chase Manhattan Greece
• 1996 - Establishment of Tirana Bank in Albania
• 1993 - 1st foreign branch in Bulgaria
Note: asset size refers to Dec.2003, Dec.2008, Dec.2011 and Dec.2013 respectively for each period illustrated
Appendix. 48
Record-Time Integration of Legacy Banks
Appendix. 49
Premiere Franchise in Greece by Loans, Deposits and Footprint
Gross Loans - Greece (%) Customer Deposits - Greece (%) Greek Branch Network (#)
1 1 1
4
2 2
3 2 3
4
3 4
2% 2% 80
Dec.2013 Piraeus & Alpha (Sept.2013 other peers). Source: solo financial statements including adjustments for volumes booked in branches abroad, BoG for market, HBA for branches
(1) Includes Geniki, good ATEbank, Greek operations of Cypriot banks and Millennium.
(2) Includes Emporiki Bank and the deposits of the 3 co-operative banks of West Macedonia, Dodecanese and Euboea
(3) Includes new Hellenic Postbank and new Proton Bank
(4) Includes new FBB and new Probank
Appendix. 50
Shareholder Structure - Piraeus Stock Data
Shareholder Structure - 31 December 2013 (%) Shareholder structure of Piraeus Bank presents great
diversity; total number of common shareholders 163 th
Private
Total
Sector The Hellenic Financial Stability Fund holds 81% of
Greek
institutions outstanding common shares
9%
The remaining 19% is held by the private sector and in
Foreign
HFSF 75% institutions
Individuals
16%
particular 16% by legal entities and 3% by individuals
(with 15%
warrants)
Individuals
Largest private sector participation in June 2013 rights issue
Greek
3% in absolute and relative terms (€1.4 bn or 20%); strong
institutions Foreign
institutions
international presence
1%
75%
HFSF
6% (no
Post equity offering, HFSF percentage will stand at 67.3%
warrants)
Appendix. 51
Loan Portfolio
Gross Loans Like-for-Like Evolution (€ mn) Piraeus Bank Greek Loan Market Shares
GREECE 71,286 69,220 68,472 67,660 69,063 Business Mortgages Consumer Total
Business 45,945 44,474 43,759 43,278 44,916 Source: solo financial statements of banks incl. adjustments for
volumes booked in branches abroad, Bank of Greece for market
Mortgages 18,213 17,975 17,820 17,651 17,392
Group Loans Breakdown (%) Greek Portfolio Mix (%)
Consumer 7,127 6,771 6,893 6,732 6,756 (per sector, NACE II)
Education 0.1%
Water & Waste 0.2%
Entertainment 0.3% 26% Mortgage
INTERNATIONAL 7,338 7,315 7,207 7,127 7,050 Public 0.4%
Mining 0.5%
Admin. Services 0.8%
Business 5,380 5,407 5,358 5,304 5,252 Health 0.9% 10% Consumer
Technical 1.4% 6%
IT 1.5%
Mortgages 727 715 708 699 692 Agriculture 1.6% SBLs
Energy 2.5%
Other Service 4.0% 29%
Consumer 1,232 1,193 1,141 1,124 1,106 Tourism 4.8% SMEs
Fin. Service 4.9% Mortgages 24.4%
Note: December 2012 and 2013 included OPEKEPE seasonal loan of €2.1 bn and €1.9 bn respectively Real Estate 5.0% Consumer 10.6% 5%
Transport 6.1% Shipping
Construction 9.3%
Trade 9.9% 24%
Manufacturing 10.8% Large
Retail 35.0%
Group loans -3% y-o-y like for like and -1% q-o-q (excl. OPEKEPE seasonal facility)
Shipping at 4% (included in transport); data exclude OPEKEPE
Appendix. 52
Deposit Portfolio
Deposits Like-for-Like Evolution (€ mn) Piraeus Bank Greek Deposit Market Shares
Savings 12,650 12,145 11,838 12,036 12,550 Source: solo financial statements of banks incl. adjustments for
volumes booked in branches abroad, Bank of Greece for market
Sight 7,350 7,760 7,578 8,305 8,421
Time 30,293 31,722 30,828 29,831 28,679 Group deposit portfolio down 1% y-o-y on a
like-for-like basis; same change q-o-q
INTERNATIONAL 4,559 4,627 4,490 4,519 4,629
Same changes for Greek deposit portfolio;
Savings 273 266 275 310 320
excluding deposits from general
Sight 977 1,008 920 950 916 government, group deposits portfolio
Time 3,309 3,353 3,294 3,259 3,393 increased +2% q-o-q
Appendix. 53
Selective Presence in the Region
Loans Deposits
Romania Bulgaria Albania
Branches (#) 140 Branches (#) 83 Branches (#) 53
Albania 8.0% 8.3%
Employees (#) 1,690 Employees (#) 920 Employees (#) 474
Bulgaria 4.3% 2.9% Assets (€ mn) 1,851 Assets (€ mn) 1,773 Assets (€ mn) 732
Cyprus 1.3% 2.0%
Egypt 0.8% 0.5%
Romania 3.6% 2.0% Net funding €0.1 bn Ukraine Serbia
Capital €0.04 bn
Serbia 2.8% 2.0% Branches (#) 37 Branches (#) 42
Employees (#) 629 Employees (#) 577
Ukraine 0.2% 0.2%
Assets (€ mn) 231 Assets (€ mn) 519
London Frankfurt
Branch (#) 1 Branch (#) 1
Employees (#) 23 Employees (#) 15
Assets (€ mn) 1,814 Assets (€ mn) 122
Appendix. 54
Group P&L and Balance Sheet
* includes good ATEbank, Geniki, the Greek operations of Cypriot banks (as of 16 March 2013) and Millennium Bank Greece (as of 20 June 2013)
** including PPI from Cypriot carve-out 01.01.13-16.03.13, excluding Millennium and Geniki PPI loss Appendix. 55
*** discontinued operations refer to ATE Insurance and ATE Insurance Romania
Group Results: Domestic / International
FY 2013 FY 2013
Net interest income 1,338 Net interest income 324
Net fee income 237 Net fee income 50
Trading & other income 162 Trading & other income 25
Total net revenues 1,737 Total net revenues 399
Employee costs (781) Employee costs (104)
Administrative expenses (520) Administrative expenses (106)
Depreciation & other (94) Depreciation & other (33)
Total operating costs (1,394) Total operating costs (243)
Pre provision income 342 Pre provision income 156
Normalized pre provision income 789 Normalized pre provision income 156
Impairment charges on loans (1,912) Impairment charges on loans (305)
Impairment charges on other assets (218) Impairment charges on other assets (95)
Negative goodwill from acquisitions 3,810 Negative goodwill from acquisitions -
Profit/Loss before tax 1,992 Profit/Loss before tax (244)
Tax 758 Tax 11
Net profit attributable to SHs 2,758 Net profit attributable to SHs (226)
Discontinued operations* 30 Discontinued operations* 0
* discontinued operations refer to ATE Insurance * discontinued operations refer to ATE Insurance Romania
Appendix. 56
Communication
Communication. 57