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ZIMBABWE SCHOOL EXAMINATIONS COUNCIL

General Certificate of Education Advanced Level

STATISTICS 6046/1
PAPER 1
SPECIMEN PAPER 3 hours
Additional materials:
Answer paper
Graph paper
List of Formulae
Electronic calculator

TIME 3 hours

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
Write your name, centre number and candidate number in the spaces provided on the answer
paper/ answer booklet.

Answer all questions.

If a numerical answer cannot be given exactly, and the accuracy required is not specified in
the question, then in the case of an angle it should be given to the nearest degree, and in other
cases it should be given correct to 2 significant figures.

INFORMATION FOR CANDIDATES


The number of marks is given in brackets [ ] at the end of each question or part question.

The total number of marks for this paper is 120.

The use of an electronic calculator is expected, where appropriate.

You are reminded of the need for clear presentation in your answers.

________________________________________________________________________________
This specimen paper consists of 6 printed pages and 2 blank pages.

Copyright: Zimbabwe School Examinations Council, Specimen paper.

©ZIMSEC Specimen paper [Turn over


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1 In a group of 40 students all of whom are studying Statistics or Pure Mathematics
or both, 20 are studying Statistics and 30 are studying Pure Mathematics.

(a) Illustrate the information on a Venn diagram. [1]

(b) Find the probability that a student chosen at random is

(i) studying Statistics and Pure Mathematics,

(ii) studying Pure Mathematics but not Statistics.


[4]

2 Four letters are chosen at random the word DARLING. Find the probability
that

(a) exactly 2 consonants are chosen. [2]

(b) at least 3 consonants are chosen. [3]

3 The life span, in years of a randomly chosen car battery is normally


distributed with mean 2 and standard deviation 0.4.

(a) Show that a randomly chosen car battery has a life span less than
a year is 0.0062. Correct to 4 decimal places. [2]

(b) A car battery dealer, buys 500 randomly chosen car batteries.

Using a suitable approximation. Find the probability that at most


three batteries have a life span less than a year. [4]

4 Cars arrive at a service station at an average rate of 2 per 5 minutes interval.

Assuming that the cars follow a Poisson distribution find the probability that

(i) no cars arrive during a 5 minutes interval,

(ii) at least 3 cars arrive in the next 15 minutes.


[6]

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5 (a) Give 2 examples of situations that can be modelled by an
exponential distribution. [2]

(b) A dart player aims at the bull’s eye. The distance X cm from the
bull’s eye at which the arrow strikes the dart board has a
probability density function defined by
𝑥
1
𝑒 −10 , 𝑥 > 0
𝑓(𝑥) = { 10
0, 𝑂𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑤𝑖𝑠𝑒

An arrow scores 8 points if X ≤ 2, 5 points if 2 < X ≤5 and 1 point


if 5 < X ≤ 15 and no points otherwise

(i) Construct the probability distribution table for the scores.

(ii) Find the expected score when one arrow is shot at the
bull’s eye.
[6]

6 A shop’s quarterly electricity bill, $, over a period of 3 years were as


follows:

Year Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
1 112 137 161 154
2 133 147 188 161
3 163 184 209 201

(i) Plot these data on a time series graph. [3]

(ii) Calculate 5 point moving averages for the data. [3]

(iii) Plot the 5 point moving averages on the graph in (i). [2]

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7 (a) Define Type 1 and Type II errors in testing hypotheses. [2]

(b) A random observation is taken from a binomial distribution


X∽ Bin (12, p), and used to test the null hypothesis p = 0,7
against the alternative p > 0,7.

The critical region is chosen to be x ≥ 11.

Find the (i) significance of the test.

(ii) probability of making a Type I error

(iii) probability of making a Type II error if


p = 0,75.
[6]
8 Of the 300 graduands from a college, 120 failed to get employment.

(a) Calculate:

(i) The percentage of graduands who failed to get


employment.

(ii) A 97% confidence interval for the proportion of


graduands who failed to get employment. [4]

(b) Find the sample size that would have been taken in order to
estimate the percentage to within ±3% with 97% confidence. [4]

9 The table below shows the weekly wages ($x) of 100 employees.

Wages $x 45-55 55-65 65-75 75-85 85-95 95-105 105-115 115-125 125-135
Frequency 1 1 2 6 21 29 24 12 4

(a) (i) Construct a cumulative frequency table.

(ii) Draw a cumulative frequency curve.


[6]

(b) Use your graph to estimate:

(i) The number of workers who earn a wage greater than $80.

(ii) x, if 20% of the employees earn more than $x. [3]

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10 A continuous random variable X has a probability density function given by

−𝑘𝑥 − 2 ≤ 𝑥 ≤ 0
𝑓(𝑥) = { 𝑘𝑥 0 ≤ 𝑥 ≤ 2
0 𝑜𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑤𝑖𝑠𝑒

where k is a constant.

(a) Sketch the graph of f(x) and hence find the value of k. [4]

(b) Calculate Var(X) [2]

(c) A random sample of 200 observations of X is taken, find


the probability that the sample mean exceeds 0.2. [3]

11 A school has two photocopiers X and Y. the number of times per


week that X breaks down has a Poisson distribution with mean
0.3, while independently the number of times that Y breaks down
in a week follows a Poisson distribution with mean 0.2.

Find the probability that in the next 4 weeks.

(i) X will not breakdown at all. [4]

(ii) There will be a total of 3 breaks down. [3]

(iii) Each photocopier will breakdown exactly twice. [3]

12 Ten boys compete in throwing a cricket ball, and the table shows
the height of each boy (x cm) measured to the nearest centimetre
and the distance (Y m) to which he can throw the ball.

Boys A B C D E F G H I J
x 122 124 133 138 144 156 158 161 164 168
y 41 38 52 56 29 54 59 61 63 67

∑ 𝑥 = 1 468; ∑ 𝑥 2 = 218 070; ∑ 𝑦 = 520

∑ 𝑦 2 = 28 382; ∑ 𝑥𝑦 = 77 689

Calculate

(i) The regressions line y on x and x on y.

(ii) Coefficient of determination and comment on its significance.


[12]
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13 A college claims that the performance in Mathematics for their non formal learners
depends on the time of day during which they had their lessons. A group of 160
learners gave the following results.

Time of day Performance


Pass Fail
Morning 40 30
Afternoon 44 10
Evening 20 16

Test the claim at the 5% level of significance. [13]

14 The data below were collected about the diameters (cm) of 80 plebbles.

Diameter Number of pebbles


< 1.8 3
1.8 – 2.2 17
2.2 – 2.6 33
2.6 – 3 22
≥3 5

Test at 1% of significance whether the diameters follow a normal


distribution with  = 2.44 and  = 0.4. [13]

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ZIMBABWE SCHOOL EXAMINATIONS COUNCIL
General Certificate of Education Advanced Level

STATISTICS 6046/2
PAPER 2
SPECIMEN PAPER 3 hours
Additional materials:
Answer paper
Graph paper
List of Formulae
Electronic calculator

TIME 3 hours

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES

Write your name, Centre number and candidate number in the spaces provided on the answer
paper/answer booklet.

Answer all questions in Section A and any five from Section B.

If a numerical answer cannot be given exactly, and the accuracy required is not specified in the
question, then in the case of an angle it should be given to the nearest degree, and in other cases it
should be given correct to 2 significant figures.

INFORMATION FOR CANDIDATES

The number of marks is given in brackets [ ] at the end of each question or part question.

The total number of marks for this paper is 120.

The use of an electronic calculator is expected, where appropriate.

You are reminded of the need for clear presentation in your answers.

________________________________________________________________________________

This question paper consists of 7 printed pages and 1 blank page.

Copyright: Zimbabwe School Examinations Council, Specimen paper.

ZIMSEC Specimen paper [Turn over


2
Section A (40)

Answer all questions in this section.

1 A continuous random variable, X, has a probability density function defined as


ì0.1x + k, 4£x£6
ï
f ( x) = í0.3, 6£ x £8
ï0.
î otherwise.

Find
(a) the value of constant k, [3]

(b) P ( 5 £ X £ 7) . [3]

2 The marks obtained by candidates in a mathematics examination were displayed


as follows:

1 3
2 6
3 1
4 1 3
5 0 2 6 8
6 1 2 2 2 7
7 0 3 4 5 5 8 9
8 0 3 4 4 8
9 2 7 7 8
key 4 1 means 41 %

(a) (i) State the name given to this display. [1]


(ii) Calculate the range of the marks. [3]

(b) Comment on the skewness of the distribution. [2]


(c) State any two advantage of this type of display of information. [2]

3 The distribution table shows prizes corresponding to six values on a fair spinner
used in a game. The spinner lands on only one of the six values.

value 1 2 3 4 5 6
prize in $ 2 2 6 4 10 6

(a) Find the probability of the spinner landing on a

(i) prime value, [2]


(ii) value that gives a prize of not less than $4. [3]

(b) Calculate the expected prize for a single game. [3]

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4 The masses of letters posted by a certain school are normally distributed with
mean 15 g. It is found that the masses of 92 % of the letters are within 10 g of
the mean.

Find the

(a) standard deviation of the masses of the letters, [4]

(b) probability that at least 2 out of a random sample of 8 letters have


masses which are within 10 g of the mean. [5]

5 (a) Define the term random sample and state any two methods of obtaining
such a sample. [3]

(b) A school was asked to send 10 students for an exchange programme


with a sister school in another country. The head of the school was
asked to supply the names of the 10 students within 3 days. The head
then went on to choose 10 students from those who already had valid
passports.

(i) Name, giving reasons, the sampling method used by the


head of the school. [3]

(ii) State, giving reasons, whether the method used would give rise to
a random sample.
[3]

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Section B (80)

Answer any five questions from this section.

Each question carries 16 marks.

6 An insurance company receives on average 3 claims on any given week.

Find the probability that the company receives

(a) at least 2 claims in any given week, [4]

(b) one claim in a day, assuming that the company works for 5 days in a
week, [4]

(c) a total of 2 claims during 3 consecutive weeks, [4]

(d) at least 2 claims in exactly one of the 3 consecutive weeks. [4]

7 The amount of fuel used to cover 100 km on 10 occasions travelling at different


average speeds using the same car was recorded as follows:

speed (km/hr) amount of fuel used ( l )


X Y
80 8
100 10
130 15
110 12
90 9
60 8
70 8
80 9
140 17
95 10

(a) Find the equation of the regression line of the amount of fuel used (Y)
on the speed (X). [6]

(b) Use your equation, in (a), to estimate where possible, the amount of fuel
likely to be used when travelling at

(i) 105 km/hr, [3]

(ii) 50 km/hr. [3]

(c) Find the product moment correlation coefficient and comment on the
relationship between the speed and the amount of fuel used. [4]
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8 The number of passengers being ferried in each bus is known to follow a
normal distribution. A random sample of 50 such buses gave a mean of
70 passengers with a standard deviation of 4.

(a) (i) Define the term confidence interval. [3]

(ii) Calculate a 95 % confidence interval for the mean number of


passengers in each bus. [4]

(iii) Calculate the probability that a randomly chosen bus had less
than 65 passengers. [4]

(b) Calculate the sample size, n, that should be taken so that one is 90 %
confident that the sample mean will be within 0.8 of the true mean. [5]

9 (a) Distinguish between a 1 tailed test and a 2 tailed test. [4]

(b) A survey on newspaper readership was carried out in 3 provinces.

The results are shown in the table below

type of newspaper read


Province

today current News

Northern 55 65 30

Central 80 48 62

Southern 75 47 98

Test at 5 % level of significance whether there is an association between


the province and newspaper preference. [12]

10 The mass, M g, of a randomly chosen key-holder is known to follow a normal


distribution with mean 20 g and a standard deviation of 4 g. The mass,
m grammes of a randomly chosen key is also known to follow a normal
distribution with a mean of 12 g and variance of 9 grammes.

(a) Find the probability that the combined mass of

(i) 2 randomly chosen key-holders and 3 randomly chosen keys is


greater than 78 g, [5]

(ii) 3 key-holders is greater than the combined mass of 6 keys. [5]

(b) Determine the probability that a randomly chosen key-holder is more


than twice the mass of a randomly chosen key. [6]

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11 76 motorists were asked to record, for the month of December 2009, the
amount of money they spent on petrol. The data is summarised in the table.

petrol purchases ($) number of motorists

0  x < 50 4

50  x < 100 11

100  x < 150 8

150  x < 200 16

200  x < 250 22

250  x < 300 15

(a) State the mid-points of the six classes of petrol purchases. [2]

(b) Calculate, correct to 2 decimal places the

(i) mean amount, [2]

(ii) median, [3]

(iii) standard deviation of money spent on petrol. [3]

(c) Draw on graph paper, a histogram, using a scale of 2 cm to represent


$ 50 on the horizontal axis and 5 units on the vertical axis. [4]

(d) Use your diagram to estimate the mode of the given data. [2]

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12 (a) Explain the concept

(i) seasonal variation, [2]

(ii) trend as used in time series analysis. [2]

(b) The following quarterly data represent the number of customers a


certain pharmacy handled between 2007 and 2009.

year quarter number of


customers

2007 1 1 700
2 3 450
3 2 800
4 2 300

2008 1 2 100
2 3 500
3 2 000
4 2 000

2009 1 2 600
2 4 600
3 3 850
4 3 800

(i) Plot a time series graph using a scale of 2 cm to represent 500


customers on the vertical axis and 2 quarters on the horizontal
axis. [5]

(ii) Calculate the 4 - point moving averages of the data. [2]

(iii) Calculate the centred moving averages and plot them.

Hence draw the trend line. [3]

(iv) Comment on the trend. [2]

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