R version 4.1.

2 (2021-11-01) -- "Bird Hippie"

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Platform: aarch64-apple-darwin20 (64-bit)

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[R.app GUI 1.77 (8007) aarch64-apple-darwin20]

[Workspace restored from /Users/rajeshsinha/.RData]

[History restored from /Users/rajeshsinha/.Rapp.history]

> MH <- read.csv("/Users/rajeshsinha/Library/Mobile Documents/com~apple~CloudDocs/Marriott Hamilton csv.csv",

header = TRUE)
>
> head(MH)
CODE WEEK DOW.INDICATOR1 DEMAND TUESDAY.BOOKINGS PICKUP.RATIO DOW.INDEX
1 1 1 1 1470 1512 0.9722222 0.8647725
2 1 1 2 870 864 1.0069444 0.9105852
3 1 1 3 986 827 1.1922612 0.9728832
4 1 1 4 1247 952 1.3098740 1.0125249
5 1 1 5 1109 740 1.4986486 1.0678813
6 1 1 6 1197 908 1.3182819 1.1227265
>
> MHD <- MH[,4]
> MHDts <- ts(MHD, frequency = 7, start = c(1,1), end = c(11,7))
>
> MHDtsDC <- decompose(MHDts)
> plot(MHDtsDC)
>
> DHW <- HoltWinters(MHDts)
>
> summary(DHW)
Length Class Mode
fitted 280 mts numeric
x 77 ts numeric
alpha 1 -none- numeric
beta 1 -none- numeric
gamma 1 -none- numeric
coefficients 9 -none- numeric
seasonal 1 -none- character
SSE 1 -none- numeric
call 2 -none- call
>
> dhw
Error: object 'dhw' not found
> DHW
Holt-Winters exponential smoothing with trend and additive seasonal component.

Call:
HoltWinters(x = MHDts)

Smoothing parameters:
alpha: 0.9315758
beta : 0.02895253
gamma: 1

Coefficients:
[,1]
a 999.600280
b -7.109836
s1 199.980877
s2 -123.760567
s3 113.263263
s4 98.312912
s5 -90.088345
s6 -271.717989
s7 -110.600280
>
> plot(DHW)
>
> DHW.pred <- predict(DHW, 10, prediction.interval = TRUE, level=0.95)
>
>
> plot(DHW, xlim = c(1,14))
> lines(DHW.pred[,1], col="blue")
> lines(DHW.pred[,2], lty=2, col="orange")
> lines(DHW.pred[,3], lty=2, col="orange")
> MHDtsf <- ts(MHD, frequency = 7, start = c(1,1), end = c(13,3))
> lines(MHDtsf)
> abline(v=11)
>