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Statistics For Managers Using

Microsoft Excel 7th Edition Levine


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308 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

CHAPTER 9

9.1 Decision rule: Reject H0 if Z STAT < – 1.96 or Z STAT > + 1.96.
Decision: Since ZSTAT = − 0.76 is in between the two critical values, do not reject H0.

9.2 Decision rule: Reject H0 if Z STAT < – 1.96 or Z STAT > + 1.96.
Decision: Since ZSTAT = + 2.21 is greater than the upper critical value of + 1.96, reject H0.

9.3 Decision rule: Reject H0 if Z STAT < – 1.645 or Z STAT > + 1.645.

9.4 Decision rule: Reject H0 if Z STAT < – 2.58 or Z STAT > + 2.58.

9.5 Decision: Since Z STAT = – 2.61 is less than the lower critical value of – 2.58, reject H0.

9.6 p-value = 2(1 − .9772) = 0.0456

9.7 Since the p-value of 0.0456 is less than the 0.10 level of significance, the statistical decision is to
reject the null hypothesis.

9.8 p-value = 0.1676

9.9  is the probability of incorrectly convicting the defendant when he is innocent.  is the
probability of incorrectly failing to convict the defendant when he is guilty.

9.10 Under the French judicial system, unlike ours in the United States, the null hypothesis assumes
the defendant is guilty, the alternative hypothesis assumes the defendant is innocent. A Type I
error would be not convicting a guilty person and a Type II error would be convicting an innocent
person.

9.11 (a) A Type I error is the mistake of approving an unsafe drug. A Type II error is not
approving a safe drug.
(b) The consumer groups are trying to avoid a Type I error.
(c) The industry lobbyists are trying to avoid a Type II error.
(d) To lower both Type I and Type II errors, the FDA can require more information and
evidence in the form of more rigorous testing. This can easily translate into longer time
to approve a new drug.

9.12 H0:  = 20 minutes. 20 minutes is adequate travel time between classes.


H1:   20 minutes. 20 minutes is not adequate travel time between classes.

9.13 (a) H0:  = 12.1 hours


H1:   12.1 hours
(b) A Type I error is the mistake of concluding that the mean number of hours studied by
marketing majors at your school is different from the 12.1-hour-per-week benchmark
reported by The Washington Post when in fact it is not any different.

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 309

9.13 (c) A Type II error is the mistake of not concluding the mean number of hours studied by
cont. marketing majors at your school is different from the 12.1-hour-per-week benchmark
reported by The Washington Post when it is in fact different.

9.14 (a) PHStat output:


Data
Null Hypothesis = 375
Level of Significance 0.05
Population Standard Deviation 100
Sample Size 64
Sample Mean 350

Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 12.5
Z Test Statistic -2

Two-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -1.959963985
Upper Critical Value 1.959963985
p-Value 0.045500264
Reject the null hypothesis
H0:  = 375. The mean life of a large shipment of light bulbs is equal to 375 hours.
H1:   375. The mean life of a large shipment of light bulbs differs from 375 hours.
Decision rule: Reject H 0 if |ZSTAT| > 1.96
X −  350 − 375
Test statistic: Z STAT = = = -2
 / n 100/ 64
Decision: Since |ZSTAT| > 1.96, reject H 0 . There is enough evidence to conclude that the
mean life of a large shipment of light bulbs differs from 375 hours.
(b) p-value = 0.0455. If the population mean life of a large shipment of light bulbs is indeed
equal to 375 hours, the probability of obtaining a test statistic that is more than 2 standard
error units away from 0 is 0.0455.
(c) PHStat output:
Data
Population Standard Deviation 100
Sample Mean 350
Sample Size 64
Confidence Level 95%

Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 12.5
Z Value -1.95996398
Interval Half Width 24.49954981

Confidence Interval
Interval Lower Limit 325.5004502
Interval Upper Limit 374.4995498

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


310 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

 100
9.14 (c) X  Z a /2 = 350  1.96 325.5005    374.4995
n 64
cont. (d) You are 95% confident that the population mean life of a large shipment of light bulbs is
somewhere between 325.5005 and 374.4995 hours.
Since the 95% confidence interval does not contain the hypothesized value of 375, you will
reject H 0 . The conclusions are the same.

9.15 (a) (a) PHStat output:


Z Test of Hypothesis for the Mean
Data
Null Hypothesis = 375
Level of Significance 0.05
Population Standard Deviation 120
Sample Size 64
Sample Mean 350
Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 15
Z Test Statistic -1.666666667
Two-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -1.959963985
Upper Critical Value 1.959963985
p-Value 0.095580705
Do not reject the null hypothesis
H0:  = 375. The mean life of a large shipment of light bulbs is equal to 375 hours.
H1:   375. The mean life of a large shipment of light bulbs differs from 375 hours.
Decision rule: Reject H 0 if |ZSTAT| > 1.96
X −  350 − 375
Test statistic: Z STAT = = = -1.6667
 / n 120/ 64
Decision: Since |ZSTAT| < 1.96, do not reject H 0 . There is not enough evidence to
conclude that the mean life of a large shipment of light bulbs differs from 375
hours.
(b) p-value = 0.0956. If the population mean life of a large shipment of light bulbs is
indeed equal to 375 hours, the probability of obtaining a test statistic that is more
than 1.6667 standard error units away from 0 is 0.0956.

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 311

9.15 (a) (c) PHStat output:


cont.
Confidence Interval Estimate for the Mean
Data
Population Standard Deviation 120
Sample Mean 350
Sample Size 64
Confidence Level 95%
Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 15
Z Value -1.95996398
Interval Half Width 29.39945977
Confidence Interval
Interval Lower Limit 320.6005402
Interval Upper Limit 379.3994598

 120
(c) X  Z a /2 = 350  1.96 320.6005    379.3995
n 64
(d) You are 95% confident that the population mean life of a large shipment of light
bulbs is somewhere between 320.6005 and 379.3995 hours.
Since the 95% confidence interval contains the hypothesized value of 375, you will
not reject H 0 . The conclusions are the same.
(b) The larger population standard deviation results in a larger standard error of the Z test and,
hence, larger p-value. Instead of rejecting H 0 as in Problem 9.14, you end up not rejecting
H 0 in the problem.

9.16 (a) PHStat output:


Data
Null Hypothesis = 1
Level of Significance 0.01
Population Standard Deviation 0.02
Sample Size 50
Sample Mean 0.995

Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 0.002828427
Z Test Statistic -1.767766953

Two-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -2.575829304
Upper Critical Value 2.575829304
p-Value 0.077099872
Do not reject the null hypothesis
H0:  = 1. The mean amount of paint is 1 gallon.
H1:   1. The mean amount of paint differs from 1 gallon.
Decision rule: Reject H 0 if |ZSTAT| > 2.5758

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


312 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

X −  .995 − 1
9.16 (a) Test statistic: Z STAT = = = −1.7678
 / n .02/ 50
cont. Decision: Since |ZSTAT| < 2.5758, do not reject H 0 . There is not enough evidence to
conclude that the mean amount of paint contained in 1-gallon cans purchased from a
nationally known manufacturer is different from 1 gallon.
(b) p-value = 0.0771. If the population mean amount of paint contained in 1-gallon cans
purchased from a nationally known manufacturer is actually 1 gallon, the probability of
obtaining a test statistic that is more than 1.7678 standard error units away from 0 is
0.0771.
(c) PHStat output:
Data
Population Standard Deviation 0.02
Sample Mean 0.995
Sample Size 50
Confidence Level 99%

Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 0.002828427
Z Value -2.5758293
Interval Half Width 0.007285545

Confidence Interval
Interval Lower Limit 0.987714455
Interval Upper Limit 1.002285545
 .02
X  Z a /2 = .995  2.5758 0.9877    1.0023
n 50
You are 99% confident that population mean amount of paint contained in 1-gallon cans
purchased from a nationally known manufacturer is somewhere between 0.9877 and 1.0023
gallons.
(d) Since the 99% confidence interval does contain the hypothesized value of 1, you will not
reject H 0 . The conclusions are the same.

9.17 (a) (a) PHStat output:


Z Test of Hypothesis for the Mean
Data
Null Hypothesis m= 1
Level of Significance 0.01
Population Standard Deviation 0.012
Sample Size 50
Sample Mean 0.995
Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 0.001697056
Z Test Statistic -2.946278255
Two-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -2.575829304
Upper Critical Value 2.575829304
p-Value 0.003216229
Reject the null hypothesis

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 313

9.17 (a) (a) H0:  = 1. The mean amount of paint is 1 gallon.


cont. H1:   1. The mean amount of paint differs from 1 gallon.
Decision rule: Reject H 0 if |ZSTAT| > 2.5758
X − .995 − 1
Test statistic: Z STAT = = = −2.9463
 / n .012/ 50
Decision: Since |ZSTAT| > 2.5758, reject H 0 . There is enough evidence to
conclude that the mean amount of paint contained in 1-gallon cans purchased
from a nationally known manufacturer is different from 1 gallon.
(b) p-value = 0.0032. If the population mean amount of paint contained in 1-gallon
cans purchased from a nationally known manufacturer is actually 1 gallon, the
probability of obtaining a test statistic that is more than 2.9463 standard error
units away from 0 is 0.0032.
(c) PHStat output:
Confidence Interval Estimate for the Mean

Data
Population Standard Deviation 0.012
Sample Mean 0.995
Sample Size 50
Confidence Level 99%

Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 0.001697056
Z Value -2.5758293
Interval Half Width 0.004371327

Confidence Interval
Interval Lower Limit 0.990628673
Interval Upper Limit 0.999371327
 .012
X  Z a /2 = .995  2.5758 0.9906    0.9994
n 50
You are 99% confident that population mean amount of paint contained in 1-gallon
cans purchased from a nationally known manufacturer is somewhere between
0.9906 and 0.9994 gallon.
(d) Since the 99% confidence interval does not contain the hypothesized value of 1
gallon, you will reject H 0 . The conclusions are the same.
(b) The smaller population standard deviation results in a smaller standard error of the Z test
and, hence, smaller p-value. Instead of not rejecting H 0 as in Problem 9.16, you end up
rejecting H 0 in this problem.

X –  56 – 50
9.18 t STAT = = = 2.00
S 12
n 16

9.19 d.f. = n – 1 = 16 – 1 = 15

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314 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

9.20 For a two-tailed test with a 0.05 level of confidence, the critical values are  2.1315.

9.21 Since t STAT = 2.00 is between the critical bounds of  2.1315, do not reject H0.

9.22 No, you should not use the t test to test the null hypothesis that  = 60 on a population that is left-
skewed because the sample size (n = 16) is less than 30. The t test assumes that, if the underlying
population is not normally distributed, the sample size is sufficiently large to enable the test to be
valid. If sample sizes are small (n < 30), the t test should not be used because the sampling
distribution does not meet the requirements of the Central Limit Theorem.

9.23 Yes, you may use the t test to test the null hypothesis that  = 60 even though the population is
left-skewed because the sample size is sufficiently large (n = 160). The t test assumes that, if the
underlying population is not normally distributed, the sample size is sufficiently large to enable
the test statistic t to be influenced by the Central Limit Theorem.

9.24 PHStat output:


t Test for Hypothesis of the Mean
Data
Null Hypothesis = 3.7
Level of Significance 0.05
Sample Size 64
Sample Mean 3.57
Sample Standard Deviation 0.8
Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 0.1
Degrees of Freedom 63
t Test Statistic -1.3
Two-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -1.9983405
Upper Critical Value 1.9983405
p-Value 0.1983372
Do not reject the null hypothesis
(a) H 0 :  = 3 .7 H 1 :   3 .7
Decision rule: Reject H 0 if |tSTAT| > 1.9983 d.f. = 63
X − 3.57 - 3.7
Test statistic: t STAT = = = -1.3
S/ n 0.8/ 64
Decision: Since |tSTAT| < 1.9983, do not reject H 0 . There is not enough evidence to
conclude that the population mean waiting time is different from 3.7 minutes at the
0.05 level of significance.
(b) The sample size of 64 is large enough to apply the Central Limit Theorem and, hence,
you do not need to be concerned about the shape of the population distribution
when conducting the t-test in (a). In general, the t test is appropriate for this
sample size except for the case where the population is extremely skewed or
bimodal.

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 315

9.25 (a) H 0 :  = 8.17 H1 :   8.17


Decision rule: Reject H 0 if |tSTAT| > 2.0096 or p-value < 0.05 d.f. = 49
X − 8.159 - 8.17
Test statistic: t STAT = = = −1.5251
S/ n 0.051/ 50
p-value = 0.1337
Decision: Since |tSTAT| < 2.0096 and the p-value of 0.1337 > 0.05, do not reject H 0 . There
is not enough evidence to conclude that the mean amount is different from 8.17 ounces.
(b) The p-value is 0.1337. If the population mean is indeed 8.17 ounces, the probability of
obtaining a sample mean that is more than 0.011 ounces away from 8.17 ounces is
0.1337.

9.26 PHStat output:


t Test for Hypothesis of the Mean

Data
Null Hypothesis = 2.5
Level of Significance 0.05
Sample Size 100
Sample Mean 2.55
Sample Standard Deviation 0.44

Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 0.044
Degrees of Freedom 99
t Test Statistic 1.136363636

Two-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -1.9842169
Upper Critical Value 1.9842169
p-Value 0.258547677
Do not reject the null hypothesis
(a) H 0 :  = $2.5 H1 :   $2.5
Decision rule: Reject H 0 if |tSTAT| > 1.9842 or p-value < 0.05
X −  2.55 − 2.5
Test statistic: tSTAT = = = 1.1364
S / n .44 / 100
p-value = 0.2585
Decision: Since |tSTAT| < 1.9842 and the p-value of 0.2585 > 0.05, do not reject H 0 . There
is not enough evidence to conclude that the population mean retail value of the greeting
cards is different from $2.50.
(b) The p-value is 0.2585. If the population mean is indeed $2.5, the probability of obtaining
a test statistic that is more than 1.1364 standard error units away from 0 in either
direction is 0.2585.

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


316 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

9.27 PHStat output:


t Test for Hypothesis of the Mean

Data
Null Hypothesis = 200
Level of Significance 0.05
Sample Size 18
Sample Mean 195.3
Sample Standard Deviation 21.4

Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 5.044028372
Degrees of Freedom 17
t Test Statistic -0.931794917

Two-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -2.109815559
Upper Critical Value 2.109815559
p-Value 0.364487846
Do not reject the null hypothesis
(a) H 0 :  = 200 H1 :   200
Decision rule: Reject H 0 if |tSTAT| > 2.1098 or p-value < 0.05
X −  195.3 − 200
Test statistic: tSTAT = = = −0.9318
S / n 21.4 / 18
p-value = 0.3645
Decision: Since |tSTAT| < 2.1098 and the p-value of 0.3645 > 0.05, do not reject H 0 . There
is not enough evidence to conclude that the population mean tread wear index is different
from 200.
(b) The p-value is 0.3645. If the population mean is indeed 200, the probability of obtaining
a test statistic that is more than 0.9318 standard error units away from 0 in either
direction is 0.3645.

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 317

9.28 PHStat output:


t Test for Hypothesis of the Mean

Data
Null Hypothesis = 6.5
Level of Significance 0.05
Sample Size 15
Sample Mean 7.09
Sample Standard Deviation 1.406031226

Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 0.3630
Degrees of Freedom 14
t Test Statistic 1.6344

Two-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -2.1448
Upper Critical Value 2.1448
p -Value 0.1245
Do not reject the null hypothesis
(a) H 0 :  = $6.50 H1 :   $6.50
Decision rule: Reject H 0 if |tSTAT| > 2.1448 or p-value < 0.05
X −
Test statistic: tSTAT = = 1.6344
S/ n
Decision: Since |tSTAT| < 2.1448, do not reject H 0 . There is not enough evidence to
conclude that the mean amount spent for lunch is different from $6.50.
(b) The p-value is 0.1245. If the population mean is indeed $6.50, the probability of
obtaining a test statistic that is more than 1.6344 standard error units away from 0 in
either direction is 0.4069.
(c) That the distribution of the amount spent on lunch is normally distributed.
(d) With a sample size of 15, it is difficult to evaluate the assumption of normality. However,
the distribution may be fairly symmetric because the mean and the median are close in
value. Also, the boxplot appears only slightly skewed so the normality assumption does
not appear to be seriously violated.

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


318 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

9.29 (a) H 0 :  = 45 H1 :   45
Decision rule: Reject H 0 if |tSTAT| > 2.0555 d.f. = 26
X − 43.8889 - 45
Test statistic: t STAT = = = −0.2284
S/ n
25.2835/ 27
Decision: Since |tSTAT| < 2.0555, do not reject H 0 . There is not enough evidence to
conclude that the mean processing time has changed from 45 days.
(b) The population distribution needs to be normal.
(c)
Normal Probability Plot

100
90
80
70
60
Time

50
40
30
20
10
0
-2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2
Z Value
.
(d) The normal probability plot indicates that the distribution is not normal and is skewed to
the right. The assumption in (b) has been violated.

9.30 (a) H0 :  = 2 H1 :   2 d.f. = 49


Decision rule: Reject H 0 if |tSTAT| > 2.0096
X − 2.0007 - 2
Test statistic: t STAT = = = 0.1143
S/ n 0.0446/ 50
Decision: Since |tSTAT| < 2.0096, do not reject H 0 . There is not enough evidence to
conclude that the mean amount of soft drink filled is different from 2.0 liters.
(b) p-value = 0.9095. If the population mean amount of soft drink filled is indeed 2.0 liters,
the probability of observing a sample of 50 soft drinks that will result in a sample mean
amount of fill more different from 2.0 liters is 0.9095.

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 319

9.30 (c)
cont.
Normal Probability Plot

2.15

2.1

2.05
Amount

1.95

1.9

1.85
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Z Value

(d) The normal probability plot suggests that the data are rather normally distributed. Hence,
the results in (a) are valid in terms of the normality assumption.
(e)
Time Series Plot

2.15
2.1
2.05
2
Amount

1.95
1.9
1.85
1.8
1.75
1
4
7
10
13
16
19
22
25
28
31
34
37
40
43
46
49

The time series plot of the data reveals that there is a downward trend in the amount of
soft drink filled. This violates the assumption that data are drawn independently from a
normal population distribution because the amount of fill in consecutive bottles appears
to be closely related. As a result, the t test in (a) becomes invalid.

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320 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

9.31 (a) PHStat output:


Data
Null Hypothesis = 20
Level of Significance 0.05
Sample Size 50
Sample Mean 43.04
Sample Standard Deviation 41.92605736

Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 5.929239893
Degrees of Freedom 49
t Test Statistic 3.885826921

Two-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -2.009575199
Upper Critical Value 2.009575199
p-Value 0.000306263
Reject the null hypothesis
H 0 :  = 20 H 1 :   20
Decision rule: Reject H 0 if tSTAT > 2.0096 d.f. = 49
X − 43.04 - 20
Test statistic: t STAT = = = 3.8858
S/ n 41.9261/ 50
Decision: Since tSTAT > 2.0096, reject H 0 . There is enough evidence to conclude that the
mean number of days is different from 20.
(b) The population distribution needs to be normal.
(c)
Normal Probability Plot
180
160
140
120
Days

100
80
60
40
20
0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Z Value

The normal probability plot indicates that the distribution is skewed to the right.
(d) Even though the population distribution is probably not normally distributed, the result
obtained in (a) should still be valid due to the Central Limit Theorem as a result of the
relatively large sample size of 50.

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 321

9.32 (a) H 0 :  = 8.46 H 1 :   8.46


Decision rule: Reject H 0 if |tSTAT| > 2.0106 d.f. = 48
X − 8.4209 - 8.46
Test statistic: t STAT = = = -5.9355
S/ n
0.0461/ 49
Decision: Since |tSTAT| > 2.0106, reject H 0 . There is enough evidence to conclude that
mean widths of the troughs is different from 8.46 inches.
(b) The population distribution needs to be normal.
(c)
Normal Probability Plot

8.55

8.5

8.45
Width

8.4

8.35

8.3
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Z Value

(c)
Box-and-whisker Plot

Width

8.3 8.35 8.4 8.45 8.5

(d) The normal probability plot and the boxplot indicate that the distribution is skewed to the
left. Even though the population distribution is not normally distributed, the result
obtained in (a) should still be valid due to the Central Limit Theorem as a result of the
relatively large sample size of 49.

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322 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

9.33 (a) H0 :  = 0 H1 :   0
Decision rule: Reject H 0 if |tSTAT| > 1.9842 d.f. = 99
X − - 0.00023
Test statistic: t STAT = = = −1.3563
S/ n
0.00170/ 100
Decision: Since |tSTAT| < 1.9842, do not reject H 0 . There is not enough evidence to
conclude that the mean difference is different from 0.0 inches.
S  0.001696 
(b) X t = -0.00023  1.9842  -0.0005665    0.0001065
n  100 
You are 95% confident that the mean difference is somewhere between -0.0005665 and
0.0001065 inches.
(c) Since the 95% confidence interval does not contain 0, you do not reject the null
hypothesis in part (a). Hence, you will make the same decision and arrive at the same
conclusion as in (a).
(d) In order for the t test to be valid, the data are assumed to be independently drawn from a
population that is normally distributed. Since the sample size is 100, which is considered
quite large, the t distribution will provide a good approximation to the sampling
distribution of the mean as long as the population distribution is not very skewed.

Box-and-whisker Plot

Error

-0.006 -0.004 -0.002 0 0.002 0.004 0.006

The boxplot suggests that the data has a distribution that is skewed slightly to the right.
Given the relatively large sample size of 100 observations, the t distribution should still
provide a good approximation to the sampling distribution of the mean.

9.34 (a) H 0 :  = 5.5 H1 :   5.5


Decision rule: Reject H 0 if |tSTAT| > 2.680 d.f. = 49
X − 5.5014 - 5.5
Test statistic: t STAT = = = 0.0935
S/ n
0.1058/ 50
Decision: Since |tSTAT| < 2.680, do not reject H 0 . There is not enough evidence to
conclude that the mean amount of tea per bag is different from 5.5 grams.
s 0.1058
(b) X t = 5.5014  2.6800  5.46<  5.54
n 50
With 99% confidence, you can conclude that the population mean amount of tea per bag
is somewhere between 5.46 and 5.54 grams.
(c) The conclusions are the same.

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 323

9.35 (a) PHStat output:


t Test for Hypothesis of the Mean

Data
Null Hypothesis = 60
Level of Significance 0.05
Sample Size 30
Sample Mean 79
Sample Standard Deviation 57.78079862

Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 10.5493
Degrees of Freedom 29
t Test Statistic 1.8011

Two-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -2.0452
Upper Critical Value 2.0452
p -Value 0.0821
Do not reject the null hypothesis
H 0 :  = 60 H 1 :   60
Decision rule: Reject H 0 if p-value < 0.05.
X −
Test statistic: t STAT = = 1.8011
S
n
Decision: Since p-value = 0.0821 > 0.05, do not reject H 0 . There is not enough evidence
to conclude that population mean time Facebook time is different from 60 minutes.
(b) The population distribution needs to be normal.
(c) You could construct charts and observe their appearance. For small- or moderate-sized
data sets, construct a stem-and-leaf display or a boxplot. For large data sets, plot a
histogram or polygon. You could also compute descriptive numerical measures and
compare the characteristics of the data with the theoretical properties of the normal
distribution. Compare the mean and median and see if the interquartile range is
approximately 1.33 times the standard deviation and if the range is approximately 6 times
the standard deviation. Evaluate how the values in the data are distributed. Determine
whether approximately two-thirds of the values lie between the mean and 1 standard
deviation. Determine whether approximately four-fifths of the values lie between the
mean and 1.28 standard deviations. Determine whether approximately 19 out of every
20 values lie between the mean 2 standard deviations.

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324 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

9.35 (d)
cont.
Boxplot

Minutes

0 50 100 150 200 250

Normal Probability Plot


300

250

200
Minutes

150

100

50

0
-3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3
Z Value
Both the boxplot and the normal probability plot indicate that the distribution is right-
skewed. Hence, the t-test in (a) might not be valid.

9.36 p-value = 1 − 0.9772 = 0.0228

9.37 Since the p-value = 0.0228 is less than  = 0.05, reject H0.

9.38 p-value = 0.0838

9.39 Since the p-value = 0.0838 is greater than  = 0.01, do not reject H0.

9.40 p-value = P (Z  1.38 ) = 0.9162

9.41 Since the p-value = 0.9162 > 0.01, do not reject the null hypothesis.

9.42 t = 2.7638

9.43 Since tSTAT = 2.39 < 2.7638, do not reject H0.

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Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 325

9.44 t = -2.5280

9.45 Since tSTAT = -1.15 > -2.5280, do not reject H0.

9.46 (a) H 0 :   36.5 H1 :   36.5


Decision rule: Reject H 0 if tSTAT < -1.6604 or p-value < 0.05 d.f. = 99
X −  34.5 − 36.5
Test statistic: tSTAT = = = −1.7094
S / n 11.7 / 100
p-value = 0.0453
Decision: Since tSTAT < -1.6604 and the p-value of 0.0453 < 0.05, reject H 0 . There is
enough evidence to conclude that the population mean amount is different from 36.5
hours.
(b) The p-value is 0.0453. If the population mean is indeed at least 36.5 hours, the
probability of obtaining a test statistic that is less than -1.7094 is 0.0453.

9.47 (a) PHStat output:


Data
Null Hypothesis = 25.3
Level of Significance 0.05
Sample Size 100
Sample Mean 22.3
Sample Standard Deviation 8.3

Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 0.83
Degrees of Freedom 99
t Test Statistic -3.614457831

Lower-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -1.660391157
p-Value 0.000237649
Reject the null hypothesis
H 0 :   25.3 H1 :   25.3
Decision rule: Reject H 0 if tSTAT < -1.6604 or p-value < 0.05 d.f. = 99
X −  22.3 − 25.3
Test statistic: tSTAT = = = −3.6145
S / n 8.3 / 100
p-value = 0.0002
Decision: Since tSTAT < -1.6604 and the p-value of 0.0002 < 0.05, reject H 0 . There is
enough evidence to conclude that the population mean amount is less than 25.3 hours.
(b) The p-value is 0.0002. If the population mean is indeed 25.3 hours, the probability of
obtaining a test statistic that is more than 3.6145 standard error units below 0 is 0.0002.

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326 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

9.48 PHStat output:


t Test for Hypothesis of the Mean

Data
Null Hypothesis = 68
Level of Significance 0.01
Sample Size 50
Sample Mean 32
Sample Standard Deviation 9

Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 1.272792206
Degrees of Freedom 49
t Test Statistic -28.28427125

Lower-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -2.40489175
p-Value 2.61548E-32
Reject the null hypothesis
(a) H0:   68 H1:  < 68
Decision rule: If tSTAT < – 2.4049 or p-value < 0.01, reject H0.
X –  32 – 68
Test statistic: tSTAT = = = – 28.2843
S 9
n 50
Decision: Since tSTAT = – 28.2843 is less than – 2.4049, reject H0. There is enough
evidence to conclude the new process has reduced turnaround time.
(b) The probability of obtaining a sample whose mean is 32 hours or less when the null
hypothesis is true is essentially zero.

9.49 H0:   25 min. The mean delivery time is not less than 25 minutes.
H1:  < 25 min. The mean delivery time is less than 25 minutes.
(a) Decision rule: If tSTAT < – 1.6896, reject H0.
X –  22 .4 – 25
Test statistic: t STAT = = = – 2.6
S 6
n 36
Decision: Since tSTAT = – 2.6 is less than –1.6896, reject H0. There is enough evidence to
conclude the population mean delivery time has been reduced below the previous value
of 25 minutes.
(b) Decision rule: If p value < 0.05, reject H0.
p value = 0.0068
Decision: Since p value = 0.0068 is less than  = 0.05, reject H0. There is enough evidence
to conclude the populationmean delivery time has been reduced below the previous value of
25 minutes.
(c) The probability of obtaining a sample whose mean is 22.4 minutes or less when the null
hypothesis is true is 0.0068.
(d) The conclusions are the same.

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Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 327

9.50 PHStat output:


t Test for Hypothesis of the Mean

Data
Null Hypothesis = 60
Level of Significance 0.01
Sample Size 50
Sample Mean 62
Sample Standard Deviation 9

Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 1.2728
Degrees of Freedom 49
t Test Statistic 1.5713

Upper-Tail Test Calculations Area


Upper Critical Value 2.4049
p -Value 0.0613
Do not reject the null hypothesis
(a) H0:   $60
H1:  > $60
Decision rule: If tSTAT > 2.4049 or when the p-value < 0.01, reject H0.
X –
Test statistic: t STAT = = 1.5713
S
n
p-value = 0.0613
Decision: Since tSTAT = 1.5713 is less than 2.4049 or the p-value is greater than 0.01, do
not reject H0. There is not enough evidence to that the mean one-time gift donation is
greater than $60.
(b) When the null hypothesis is true, the probability of obtaining a sample whose test statistic
is 1.5713 or more is 0.0613.

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328 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

9.51 (a) H0:   10.73 min. The mean waiting time is not less than 10.73 minutes.
H1:  < 10.73 min. The mean waiting time is less than 10.73 minutes.
Decision rule: If tSTAT < – 1.6604, reject H0.
X –  9.52 – 10 .73
Test statistic: t STAT = = = – 2.0862
S 5 .8
n 100
Decision: Since tSTAT = – 2.0862 is less than –1.6604, reject H0. There is enough evidence
to conclude the population mean waiting time is less than 10.73 minutes.
(b) Decision rule: If p value < 0.05, reject H0.
p value = 0.0198
Decision: Since p value = 0.0198 is less than  = 0.05, reject H0. There is enough evidence
to conclude the population mean waiting time is less than 10.73 minutes.
(c) The probability of obtaining a sample whose mean is 9.52 minutes or less when the null
hypothesis is true is 0.0198.
(d) The conclusions are the same.

X 88
9.52 p= = = 0.22
n 400

p − 0.22 − 0.20
9.53 Z STAT = = = 1.00
 (1 −  ) 0.20(0.8)
n 400
X − n 88 − 400(0.20)
or Z STAT = = = 1.00
n (1 −  ) 400(0.20)(0.80)

9.54 H0:  = 0.20


H1:   0.20
Decision rule: If Z < – 1.96 or Z > 1.96, reject H0.
p − 0.22 − 0.20
Test statistic: Z STAT = = = 1.00
 (1 −  ) 0.20(0.8)
n 400
Decision: Since Z = 1.00 is between the critical bounds of  1.96, do not reject H0.

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Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 329

9.55 (a) PHStat output:


Z Test of Hypothesis for the Proportion

Data
Null Hypothesis = 0.4000
Level of Significance 0.05
Number of Items of Interest 25
Sample Size 60

Intermediate Calculations
Sample Proportion 0.416666667
Standard Error 0.0632
Z Test Statistic 0.2635

Two-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -1.9600
Upper Critical Value 1.9600
p -Value 0.7921
Do not reject the null hypothesis
H0:  = 0.4
H1:   0.4
Decision rule: p-value < 0.05, reject H0.
p −
Test statistic: Z STAT = = 0.2635 p-value = 0.7921
 (1 −  )
n
Decision: Since p-value = 0.7921 > 0.05, do not reject H0. There is not enough evidence that
the proportion of full-time students at the university who are employed is different from the
national norm of 0.40.

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330 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

9.55 (b) PHStat output:


cont.
Z Test of Hypothesis for the Proportion

Data
Null Hypothesis = 0.4000
Level of Significance 0.05
Number of Items of Interest 32
Sample Size 60

Intermediate Calculations
Sample Proportion 0.533333333
Standard Error 0.0632
Z Test Statistic 2.1082

Two-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -1.9600
Upper Critical Value 1.9600
p -Value 0.0350
Reject the null hypothesis
H0:  = 0.4
H1:   0.4
Decision rule: p-value < 0.05, reject H0.
p −
Test statistic: Z STAT = = 2.1082 p-value = 0.0350
 (1 −  )
n
Decision: Since p-value = 0.0350 < 0.05, reject H0. There is enough evidence that the
proportion of full-time students at the university who are employed is different from the
national norm of 0.40.

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Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 331

9.56 (a) PHStat output:


Z Test of Hypothesis for the Proportion

Data
Null Hypothesis = 0.1835
Level of Significance 0.05
Number of Items of Interest 24
Sample Size 100

Intermediate Calculations
Sample Proportion 0.24
Standard Error 0.0387
Z Test Statistic 1.4597

Upper-Tail Test
Upper Critical Value 1.6449
p -Value 0.0722
Do not reject the null hypothesis
H0:   0.1835 H1:  > 0.1835
Decision rule: If p-value < 0.05, reject H0.
p −
Test statistic: Z STAT = = 1.4597 p-value = 0.0722
 (1 −  )
n
Decision: Since p-value > 0.05, do not reject H0. There is not enough evidence that the
market share for the Mozilla Firefox web browser at your university is greater than the
worldwide market share of 18.35%.
(b) PHStat output:
Z Test of Hypothesis for the Proportion

Data
Null Hypothesis = 0.1835
Level of Significance 0.05
Number of Items of Interest 96
Sample Size 400

Intermediate Calculations
Sample Proportion 0.24
Standard Error 0.0194
Z Test Statistic 2.9193

Upper-Tail Test
Upper Critical Value 1.6449
p -Value 0.0018
Reject the null hypothesis

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332 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

9.56 (b) H0:   0.1835 H1:  > 0.1835


cont. Decision rule: If p-value < 0.05, reject H0.
p −
Test statistic: Z STAT = = 2.9193 p-value = 0.0018.
 (1 −  )
n
Decision: Since p-value < 0.05, reject H0. There is enough evidence that the market share
for the Mozilla Firefox web browser at your university is greater than the worldwide
market share of 18.35%.
(c) A larger sample size reduces the standard error (variation) of the sample proportion and,
hence, reduces the p-value and makes it easier to reject H0 holding everything else
constant.
(d) You would be very unlikely to reject the null hypothesis with a sample of 20.

9.57 PHStat output:


Z Test of Hypothesis for the
Proportion

Data
Null Hypothesis = 0.55
Level of Significance 0.05
Number of Successes 9
Sample Size 17

Intermediate Calculations
Sample Proportion 0.529411765
Standard Error 0.12065995
Z Test Statistic -0.170630232

Two-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -1.959963985
Upper Critical Value 1.959963985
p-Value 0.864514525
Do not reject the null hypothesis
H0:  = 0.55 H1:   0.55
Decision rule: If ZSTAT < – 1.96 or ZSTAT > 1.96, reject H0.
p − 0.5294 − 0.55
Test statistic: Z STAT = = = −0.1706
 (1 −  ) 0.55 (1 − 0.55 )
n 17
Decision: Since ZSTAT = −0.1706 is between the two critical bounds, do not reject H0. There is not
enough evidence that the proportion of females in this position at this medical center is different
from what would be expected in the general workforce.

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Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 333

9.58 PHStat output:


Z Test of Hypothesis for the Proportion

Data
Null Hypothesis = 0.3500
Level of Significance 0.05
Number of Items of Interest 328
Sample Size 801

Intermediate Calculations
Sample Proportion 0.40948814
Standard Error 0.0169
Z Test Statistic 3.5298

Two-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -1.9600
Upper Critical Value 1.9600
p -Value 0.0004
Reject the null hypothesis
H0:  = 0.35
H1:   0.35
Decision rule: If ZSTAT < – 1.96 or ZSTAT > 1.96 or if p-value < 0.05, reject H0.
p −
Test statistic: Z STAT = = 3.5298
 (1 −  )
n
Decision: Since ZSTAT = 3.5298 is greater than the upper critical bound of 1.96, reject H0.
You conclude that there is enough evidence the proportion of all LinkedIn members who
plan to spend at least $1,000 on consumer electronics in the coming year is different from
35%.

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334 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

9.59 PHStat output:


Z Test of Hypothesis for the Proportion

Data
Null Hypothesis = 0.2000
Level of Significance 0.05
Number of Items of Interest 135
Sample Size 500

Intermediate Calculations
Sample Proportion 0.27
Standard Error 0.0179
Z Test Statistic 3.9131

Upper-Tail Test
Upper Critical Value 1.6449
p -Value 0.0000
Reject the null hypothesis
(a) H0:   0.2 H1:  > 0.2
Decision rule: If ZSTAT > 1.6449 or p-value < 0.05, reject H0.
p −
Test statistic: Z STAT = = 3.9131
 (1 −  )
n
Decision: Since ZSTAT = 3.9131 is larger than the critical bound of 1.6449, reject H0. There
is enough evidence to conclude that more than 20% of the customers would upgrade to a
new cellphone.
(b) The manager in charge of promotional programs concerning residential customers can
use the results in (a) to try to convince potential customers to upgrade to a new cellphone
since more than 20% of all potential customers will do so based on the conclusion in (a).

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Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 335

9.60 (a)
Z Test of Hypothesis for the Proportion

Data
Null Hypothesis = 0.3100
Level of Significance 0.05
Number of Items of Interest 28
Sample Size 100

Intermediate Calculations
Sample Proportion 0.28
Standard Error 0.0462
Z Test Statistic -0.6487

Lower-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -1.6449
p -Value 0.2583
Do not reject the null hypothesis
H0:   0.31
H1:  < 0.31
(b) Decision rule: If p-value < 0.05, reject H0.
p −
Test statistic: Z STAT = = -0.6487, p-value = 0.2583
 (1 −  )
n
Decision: Since p-value = 0.2583 > 0.05, do not reject H0. There is not enough evidence
to show that the percentage is less than 31%.

9.61 The null hypothesis represents the status quo or the hypothesis that is to be disproved. The null
hypothesis includes an equal sign in its definition of a parameter of interest. The alternative
hypothesis is the opposite of the null hypothesis and usually represents taking an action. The
alternative hypothesis includes either a less than sign, a not equal to sign, or a greater than sign in
its definition of a parameter of interest.

9.62 A Type I error represents rejecting a true null hypothesis, while a Type II error represents not
rejecting a false null hypothesis.

9.63 The power of a test is the probability that the null hypothesis will be rejected when the null
hypothesis is false.

9.64 In a one-tailed test for a mean or proportion, the entire rejection region is contained in one tail of
the distribution. In a two-tailed test, the rejection region is split into two equal parts, one in the
lower tail of the distribution, and the other in the upper tail.

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336 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

9.65 The p-value is the probability of obtaining a test statistic equal to or more extreme than the result
obtained from the sample data, given that the null hypothesis is true.

9.66 Assuming a two-tailed test is used, if the hypothesized value for the parameter does not fall into
the confidence interval, then the null hypothesis can be rejected.

9.67 The following are the 6-step critical value approach to hypothesis testing: (1) State the null
hypothesis H0. State the alternative hypothesis H1. (2) Choose the level of significance  .
Choose the sample size n. (3) Determine the appropriate statistical technique and corresponding
test statistic to use. (4) Set up the critical values that divide the rejection and nonrejection regions.
(5) Collect the data and compute the sample value of the appropriate test statistic. (6) Determine
whether the test statistic has fallen into the rejection or the nonrejection region. The computed
value of the test statistic is compared with the critical values for the appropriate sampling
distribution to determine whether it falls into the rejection or nonrejection region. Make the
statistical decision. If the test statistic falls into the nonrejection region, the null hypothesis H0
cannot be rejected. If the test statistic falls into the rejection region, the null hypothesis is
rejected. Express the statistical decision in terms of a particular situation.

9.68 The following are the 5-step p-value approach to hypothesis testing: (1) State the null hypothesis,
H0, and the alternative hypothesis, H1. (2) Choose the level of significance, α, and the sample
size, n. (3) Determine the appropriate test statistic and the sampling distribution. (4) Collect the
sample data, compute the value of the test statistic, and compute the p-value. (5) Make the
statistical decision and state the managerial conclusion. If the p-value is greater than or equal to α,
you do not reject the null hypothesis, H0. If the p-value is less than α, you reject the null
hypothesis.

9.69 (a) H 0 :  = 0.5 H1 :   0.5


(b) The level of significance is the probability of committing a Type I error, which is the
probability of concluding that the population proportion of web page visitors preferring the
new design is not 0.50 when in fact 50% of the population proportion of web page visitors
prefer the new design. The risk associated with Type II error is the probability of not
rejecting the claim that 50% of the population proportion of web page visitors prefer the
new design when it should be rejected.
(c) If you reject the null hypothesis for a p-value of 0.20, there is a 20% probability that you
may have incorrectly concluded that the population proportion of web page visitors
preferring the new design is not 0.50 when in fact 50% of the population proportion of web
page visitors prefer the new design.
(d) The argument for raising the level of significance might be that the consequences of
incorrectly concluding the proportion is not 50% are deemed not very severe.
(e) Before raising the level of significance of a test, you have to genuinely evaluate whether
the cost of committing a Type I error is really not as bad as you have thought.
(f) If the p-value is actually 0.12, you will be more confident about rejecting the null
hypothesis. If the p-value is 0.06, you will be even more confident that a Type I error is
much less likely to occur.

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Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 337

9.70 (a) A Type I error occurs when a firm is predicted to be a bankrupt firm when it will not.
(b) A Type II error occurs when a firm is predicted to be a non-bankrupt firm when it will go
bankrupt.
(c) The executives are trying to avoid a Type I error by adopting a very stringent decision
criterion. Only firms that show significant evidence of being in financial stress will be
predicted to go bankrupt within the next two years at the chosen level of the possibility of
making a Type I error.
(d) If the revised model results in more moderate or large Z scores, the probability of
committing a Type I error will increase. Many more of the firms will be predicted to go
bankrupt than will go bankrupt. On the other hand, the revised model that results in more
moderate or large Z scores will lower the probability of committing a Type II error because
few firms will be predicted to go bankrupt than will actually go bankrupt.

9.71 PHStat output:


Z Test of Hypothesis for the Proportion

Data
Null Hypothesis = 0.5000
Level of Significance 0.05
Number of Items of Interest 1016
Sample Size 1954

Intermediate Calculations
Sample Proportion 0.519959058
Standard Error 0.0113
Z Test Statistic 1.7645

Upper-Tail Test
Upper Critical Value 1.6449
p -Value 0.0388
Reject the null hypothesis
(a) H0:   0.5 H1:  > 0.5
. Decision rule: If p-value < 0.05, reject H0.
p −
Test statistic: Z STAT = = 1.7645, p-value = 0.0388
 (1 −  )
n
Decision: Since p-value = 0.0388 < 0.05, reject H0. There is enough evidence to show
that more than half of all adult cellphone users use their phone while watching TV.
(b) The claim by the authors is valid.

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338 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

9.71 (c) PHStat output:


cont.
Z Test of Hypothesis for the Proportion

Data
Null Hypothesis = 0.5000
Level of Significance 0.05
Number of Items of Interest 1000
Sample Size 1954

Intermediate Calculations
Sample Proportion 0.511770727
Standard Error 0.0113
Z Test Statistic 1.0406

Upper-Tail Test
Upper Critical Value 1.6449
p -Value 0.1490
Do not reject the null hypothesis
(a) H0:   0.5 H1:  > 0.5
Decision rule: If p-value < 0.05, reject H0.
p −
Test statistic: Z STAT = = 1.0406, p-value = 0.1490
 (1 −  )
n
Decision: Since p-value = 0.1490 > 0.05, do not reject H0. There is not enough
evidence to show that more than half of all adult cellphone users use their phone
while watching TV.
(b) The claim by the authors is invalid.
(d) With the same level of significance, 51.9959% is considered as far enough above 50% to
reject the null hypothesis of no more than half of all adult cellphone users use their phone
while watching TV while 51.1770% is not considered as far enough above 0.5.

9.72 (a) H0:  = 10.0 gallons. The mean gasoline purchase is equal to 10 gallons.
H1:   10.0 gallons. The mean gasoline purchase differs from 10 gallons.
Decision rule: d.f. = 59. If tSTAT < – 2.0010 or tSTAT > 2.0010, reject H0.
X –  11 .3 – 10 .0
Test statistic: t STAT = = = 3.2483
S 3.1
n 60
Decision: Since tSTAT = 3.2483 is greater than the upper critical value of 2.0010, reject H0.
There is enough evidence to conclude that the mean gasoline purchase differs from 10
gallons.
(b) p-value = 0.0019.
Note: The-p value was found using Excel.

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Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 339

9.72 (c) H0:   0.20. At least 20% of the motorists purchase premium-grade gasoline.
cont. H1:  < 0.20. Less than 20% of the motorists purchase premium-grade gasoline.
Decision rule: If ZSTAT < –1.645, reject H0.
p − 0.1833 - 0.20
Test statistic: Z STAT = = = – 0.32
 (1 −  ) 0.20(1 − 0.20)
n 60
Decision: Since ZSTAT = – 0.32 is greater than the critical bound of – 1.645, do not reject
H0. There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that less than 20% of the motorists
purchase premium-grade gasoline.
(d) H0:  = 10.0 gallons. The mean gasoline purchase is equal to 10 gallons.
H1:   10.0 gallons. The mean gasoline purchase differs from 10 gallons.
Decision rule: d.f. = 59. If tSTAT < – 2.0010 or tSTAT > 2.0010, reject H0.
X –  10.3 –10.0
Test statistic: t = = = 0.7496
S 3.1
n 60
Decision: Since the test statistic of tSTAT = 0.7496 is between the critical bounds of
 2.0010, do not reject H0. There is not enough evidence to conclude that the mean
gasoline purchase differs from 10 gallons.
(e) H0:   0.20. At least 20% of the motorists purchase premium-grade gasoline.
H1:  < 0.20. Less than 20% of the motorists purchase premium-grade gasoline.
Decision rule: If ZSTAT < – 1.645, reject H0.
p − 0.1167 - 0.20
Test statistic: Z STAT = = = – 1.61
 (1 −  ) 0.20(1 − 0.20)
n 60
Decision: Since ZSTAT = – 1.61 is greater than the critical bound of – 1.645, do not reject
H0. There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that less than 20% of the motorists
purchase premium-grade gasoline.

9.73 (a) H0:   $100 H1:  < $100


Decision rule: d.f. = 74. If tSTAT < – 1.6657, reject H0.
X –  $93 .70 – $100
Test statistic: t STAT = = = – 1.5791
S $34 .55
n 75
Decision: Since the test statistic of tSTAT = – 1.5791 is greater than the critical bound of
–1.6657, do not reject H0. There is not enough evidence to conclude that the mean
reimbursement for office visits to doctors paid by Medicare is less than $100.

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


340 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

9.73 (b) H0:   0.10. At most 10% of all reimbursements for office visits to doctors paid by
cont. Medicare are incorrect.
H1:  > 0.10. More than 10% of all reimbursements for office visits to doctors paid by
Medicare are incorrect.
Decision rule: If ZSTAT > 1.645, reject H0.
p − 0.16 - 0.10
Test statistic: Z STAT = = = 1.73
 (1 −  ) 0.10(1 − 0.10)
n 75
Decision: Since ZSTAT = 1.73 is greater than the critical bound of 1.645, reject H0. There is
sufficient evidence to conclude that more than 10% of all reimbursements for office visits
to doctors paid by Medicare are incorrect.
(c) To perform the t-test on the population mean, you must assume that the observed
sequence in which the data were collected is random and that the data are approximately
normally distributed.
(d) H0:   $100. The mean reimbursement for office visits to doctors paid by Medicare is at
least $100.
H1:  < $100. The mean reimbursement for office visits to doctors paid by Medicare is less
than $100.
Decision rule: d.f. = 74. If tSTAT < – 1.6657, reject H0.
X –  $90 – $100
Test statistic: t STAT = = = – 2.5066
S $34 .55
n 75
Decision: Since tSTAT = – 2.5066 is less than the critical bound of – 1.6657, reject H0.
There is enough evidence to conclude that the mean reimbursement for office visits to
doctors paid by Medicare is less than $100.
(e) H0:   0.10. At most 10% of all reimbursements for office visits to
doctors paid by Medicare are incorrect.
H1:  > 0.10. More than 10% of all reimbursements for office visits to doctors paid by
Medicare are incorrect.
Decision rule: If ZSTAT > 1.645, reject H0.
p − 0.20 - 0.10
Test statistic: Z STAT = = = 2.89
 (1 −  ) 0.10(1 − 0.10)
n 75
Decision: Since ZSTAT = 2.89 is greater than the critical bound of 1.645, reject H0. There is
sufficient evidence to conclude that more than 10% of all reimbursements for office visits
to doctors paid by Medicare are incorrect.

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 341

9.74 (a) H0:   5 minutes. The mean waiting time at a bank branch in a commercial district of the
city is at least 5 minutes during the 12:00 p.m. to 1 p.m. peak lunch period.
H1:  < 5 minutes. The mean waiting time at a bank branch in a commercial district of the
city is less than 5 minutes during the 12:00 p.m. to 1 p.m. peak lunch period.
Decision rule: d.f. = 14. If tSTAT < – 1.7613, reject H0.
X – 4.286 6 – 5.0
Test statistic: t STAT = = = – 1.6867
S 1.637985
n 15
Decision: Since tSTAT = – 1.6867 is greater than the critical bound of – 1.7613, do not
reject H0. There is not enough evidence to conclude that the mean waiting time at a bank
branch in a commercial district of the city is less than 5 minutes during the 12:00 p.m. to
1 p.m. peak lunch period.
(b) To perform the t-test on the population mean, you must assume that the observed
sequence in which the data were collected is random and that the data are approximately
normally distributed.
(c) Normal probability plot:

Normal Probability Plot

5
Waiting Time

0
-2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2
Z Value

(d) With the exception of one extreme point, the data are approximately normally
distributed.
(e) Based on the results of (a), the manager does not have enough evidence to make that
statement.

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


342 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

9.75 (a) H 0 :   1500 H1 :   1500


Decision rule: Reject H 0 if tSTAT > 1.6991 d.f. = 29
X –  1723 .4 – 1500
Test statistic: t STAT = = = 13 .664
S 89 .55
n 30
Decision: Since tSTAT = 13.664 > 1.6991, reject H 0 . There is enough evidence to
conclude that the mean force is greater than 1500 pounds.
(b) In order for the t test to be valid, the data are assumed to be independently drawn from
a population that is normally distributed.
(c)
Box-and-whisker Plot

Force

1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900

The boxplot suggests that the distribution of the data is skewed only slightly to the left.
With a sample size of 30, the t distribution will provide a good approximation to the
sampling distribution of the sample mean.
(d) Based on (a), you can conclude that the mean force is greater than 1500 pounds,
especially in light of p-value = 0.0.

9.76 (a) H 0 :   0.35 H1 :   0.35


Decision rule: Reject H 0 if tSTAT < −1.690 d.f. = 35
X –  0.3167 – 0.35
Test statistic: t STAT = = = −1.4735
S 0.1357
n 36
Decision: Since tSTAT > −1.690, do not reject H 0 . There is not enough evidence to
conclude that the mean moisture content for Boston shingles is less than 0.35 pounds per
100 square feet.
(b) p-value = 0.0748. If the population mean moisture content is in fact no less than 0.35
pounds per 100 square feet, the probability of observing a sample of 36 shingles that will
result in a sample mean moisture content of 0.3167 pounds per 100 square feet or less is
.0748.

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 343

9.76 (c) H 0 :   0.35 H1 :   0.35


cont. Decision rule: Reject H 0 if tSTAT < -1.6973 d.f. = 30
X –  0.2735 – 0.35
Test statistic: t STAT = = = −3.1003
S 0.1373
n 31
Decision: Since tSTAT < -1.6973, reject H 0 . There is enough evidence to conclude that
the mean moisture content for Vermont shingles is less than 0.35 pounds per 100 square
feet.
(d) p-value = 0.0021. If the population mean moisture content is in fact no less than 0.35
pounds per 100 square feet, the probability of observing a sample of 31 shingles that will
result in a sample mean moisture content of 0.2735 pounds per 100 square feet or less is
.0021.
(e) In order for the t test to be valid, the data are assumed to be independently drawn
from a population that is normally distributed. Since the sample sizes are 36 and 31,
respectively, which are considered quite large, the t distribution will provide a good
approximation to the sampling distribution of the mean as long as the population
distribution is not very skewed.
(f)
Box-and-whisker Plot (Boston)

0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

Box-and-whisker Plot (Vermont)

0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

Both boxplots suggest that the data are skewed slightly to the right, more so for the
Boston shingles. However, the very large sample sizes mean that the results of the t test
are relatively insensitive to the departure from normality.

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


344 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

9.77 (a) H 0 :  = 3150 H1 :   3150


Decision rule: Reject H 0 if |tSTAT| > 1.9665 d.f. = 367
X –  3124 .2147 – 3150
Test statistic: t STAT = = = −14 .2497
S 34 .713
n 368
Decision: Since tSTAT < −1.9665, reject H 0 . There is enough evidence to conclude that
the mean weight for Boston shingles is different from 3150 pounds.
(b) p-value is virtually zero. If the population mean weight is in fact 3150 pounds, the
probability of observing a sample of 368 shingles that will yield a test statistic more
extreme than –14.2497 is virtually zero.
(c) H 0 :  = 3700 H1 :   3700
Decision rule: Reject H 0 if |tSTAT| > 1.967 d.f. = 329
X –  3704 .0424 – 3700
Test statistic: t STAT = = = 1.571
S 46 .7443
n 330
Decision: Since tSTAT < 1.967, do not reject H 0 . There is not enough evidence to
conclude that the mean weight for Vermont shingles is different from 3700 pounds.
(d) p-value = .1171. The probability of observing a sample of 330 shingles that will yield a
test statistic more extreme than 1.571 is 0.1171 if the population mean weight is in fact
3700 pounds.
(e) In order for the t test to be valid, the data are assumed to be independently drawn from a
population that is normally distributed. Since the sample sizes are 368 and 330,
respectively, which are considered large enough, the t distribution will provide a good
approximation to the sampling distribution of the mean even if the population is not
normally distributed.

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


Solutions to End-of-Section and Chapter Review Problems 345

9.78 (a) H 0 :  = 0.3 H1 :   0.3


t Test for Hypothesis of the Mean

Data
Null Hypothesis = 0.3
Level of Significance 0.05
Sample Size 170
Sample Mean 0.26
Sample Standard Deviation 0.142382504

Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 0.0109
Degrees of Freedom 169
t Test Statistic -3.2912

Two-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -1.9741
Upper Critical Value 1.9741
p -Value 0.0012
Reject the null hypothesis
Decision rule: Reject H 0 if |tSTAT| > 1.9741 d.f. = 169
X –
Test statistic: t STAT = = -3.2912, p-value = 0.0012
S
n
Decision: Since tSTAT < −1.9741, reject H 0 . There is enough evidence to conclude that
the mean granule loss for Boston shingles is different from 0.3 grams.
(b) p-value is virtually zero. If the population mean granule loss is in fact 0.3 grams, the
probability of observing a sample of 170 shingles that will yield a test statistic more
extreme than -3.2912 is 0.0012.

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


346 Chapter 9: Fundamentals of Hypothesis Testing: One-Sample Tests

9.78 (c) H 0 :  = 0.5 H1 :   0.5


cont.
t Test for Hypothesis of the Mean

Data
Null Hypothesis = 0.3
Level of Significance 0.05
Sample Size 140
Sample Mean 0.22
Sample Standard Deviation 0.122698672

Intermediate Calculations
Standard Error of the Mean 0.0104
Degrees of Freedom 139
t Test Statistic -7.9075

Two-Tail Test
Lower Critical Value -1.9772
Upper Critical Value 1.9772
p -Value 0.0000
Reject the null hypothesis
Decision rule: Reject H 0 if |tSTAT| > 1.9772 d.f. = 139
X –
Test statistic: t STAT = = -7.9075
S
n
Decision: Since tSTAT < −1.977, reject H 0 . There is enough evidence to conclude that the
mean granule loss for Vermont shingles is different from 0.3 grams.
(d) p-value is virtually zero. The probability of observing a sample of 140 shingles that
will yield a test statistic more extreme than -1.977 is virtually zero if the population
mean granule loss is in fact 0.3 grams.
(e) In order for the t test to be valid, the data are assumed to be independently drawn from a
population that is normally distributed. Both normal probability plots indicate that the
data are slightly right-skewed. Since the sample sizes are 170 and 140, respectively,
which are considered large enough, the t distribution will provide a good approximation
to the sampling distribution of the mean even if the population is not normally
distributed.

Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc.


Another random document with
no related content on Scribd:
[453]

Howard, Bull. Dep. Agric. Ent. N.S. No. 4, 1896.

[454]

Schimkewitsch, Zool. Anz. vii. 1884, p. 673.

[455]

P. Boston Soc. xxvi. 1894, pp. 312-355.

[456]

Monographie der Ordnung Thysanoptera, Königgrätz, 4to, 1895.

[457]

Bull. Essex Inst. xxii. 1890, p. 24; also Amer. Natural. xxx. 1896, p.
591.

[458]

Jordan in an interesting paper, Zeitschr. wiss. Zool. xlvii. 1888, p.


573, says that in the division "Terebrantia" there are only three
pairs of stigmata.

[459]

Insect Life, i. 1888, p. 138.

[460]

See Lindeman, Bull. Soc. Moscou, lxii. 1886, No. 2, p. 296, and
Uzel, Mon. 1895, pp. 397, 398.

[461]

Entomological Magazine, iii. 1836, p. 439, and iv. 1837, p. 144.

[462]

Zeitschr. wiss. Zool. xvi. 1866, p. 389.


[463]

Arb. Inst. Wien. iv. 1882, p. 415.

[464]

Tr. Amer. Phil. Soc. xix. 1896, p. 176.

[465]

P. ent. soc. Washington, iii. 1895, p. 241.

[466]

Ent. Nachr. xxii. 1896, p. 173.

[467]

Zool. Anz. 1897, No. 527, p. 73.

[468]

Arch. Anat. Physiol. 1874, p. 313, and 1875, p. 309.

[469]

For the structure and development of the Hemipterous trophi, see


Mayer, Arch. Anat. Physiol. 1874 and 1875; Mecznikow, Zeitschr.
wiss. Zool. xvi. 1866, p. 389; Geise, Arch. Naturgesch. xlix. 1,
1883, p. 315; Wedde, op. cit. li. 1, 1885, p. 113; Mark, Arch. mikr.
Anat. xiii. 1877, p. 31: Smith, Tr. Amer. Phil. Soc. xix. 1896, p. 176.

[470]

Ent. Nachr. xix. 1893, p. 369.

[471]

Naturhist. Tidskr. (3) vi. 1896; translated in Ann. N. Hist. (4), vi.
1870, p. 225.

[472]

Ent. Zeit. Stettin, xxvii. 1866, p. 321.


[473]

Ent. Nachr. xix. 1893, p. 375.

[474]

On this subject, see Reuter, Ann. Soc. ent. France (5) v. 1875, p.
225.

[475]

Ann. Soc. ent. France (4) vii. 1867, p. 45.

[476]

The chief work on the internal anatomy of Hemiptera is still


Dufour's Recherches anatomiques et physiologiques sur les
Hémiptères, Mem. Savans Étrangers, Paris, iv. 1833, p. 129.

[477]

Künckel, Ann. Soc. ent. France (4) vii. 1867, p, 45, and C.R. Ac.
Paris, cxx. 1895, p. 1002.

[478]

In Slingerland's Cornell Univ. Bull. No. 58, 1893, p. 222.

[479]

SB. Ak. Wien. xci. 1 Abth., 1885, p. 275.

[480]

Les Insectes fossiles, etc., 1894, p. 452.

[481]

Ann. Nat. Hist. (4) vi. 1870, p. 225.

[482]

A table of the families is given by Ashmead, but does not work out
quite satisfactorily, Entom. Americana, iv. 1888, p. 65; a brief table
of the characters of the British families is given by Saunders,
Hemiptera-Heteroptera of the British Islands, 1892, p. 12.

[483]

Those who wish to see tables of the families are referred to


Ashmead, loc. cit.; to Pascoe, Ann. Nat. Hist. (5) ix. 1882, p. 424;
to Stål's Hemiptera Africana, vol. iv. 1866; and for the families
found in Britain to Edwards, Hemiptera-Homoptera of the British
Islands. For a discussion in Danish on the value of the characters
used, cf. Hansen, Ent. Tidskr. xi. 1890, pp. 19-76.

[484]

Ent. Mag. vii. 1870, p. 53.

[485]

Insect Life, i. 1889, p. 234.

[486]

C.R. Ac. Sci. Paris, cxviii. 1894, p. 1282.

[487]

Verh. Ges. Wien. iii. 1858, p. 157.

[488]

Ent. Mag. xxix. 1893, p. 227.

[489]

Wien. ent. Zeit. xi. 1892, p. 169.

[490]

Monograph of Phymatidae: Handlirsch, Ann. Hofmus. Wien, xii.


1897, p. 127.

[491]
Ent. Zeit. Stettin, li. 1890, p. 281.

[492]

Naturalist's Voyage, ed. 1884, p. 330; chap. xv.

[493]

Thesaurus ent. Oxoniensis, 1874, p. 197.

[494]

Ind. Mus. Notes, iii. No. 5, 1894, p. 53.

[495]

Ferrari, Monograph of Nepa, Ann. Hofmus. Wien, iii. 1888, p. 171.

[496]

Bull. Soc. Philomat. (8) v. 1893, p. 57. There is some diversity of


opinion as to the respiratory orifices, and some authorities say that
thoracic stigmata exist even in the imago.

[497]

Acta Ac. German. li. 1887, p. 224, and Zeitschr. wiss. Zool. xliii.
1886, p. 537.

[498]

Korschelt, Acta. t.c. p. 245. Compare the remarks we have made


on p. 559 as to the peculiarities of eggs of many other Hemiptera.

[499]

Bull. Mus. Paris, 1896, p. 238.

[500]

See Carpenter, Irish Naturalist, iv. 1895, p. 59.

[501]
See remarks on pp. 543, 544.

[502]

We must refer those who may wish for further information as to


this complex and difficult question to the writings of the late
Professor Riley, especially to Bulletin No. 8, 1885, U.S.
Department of Agriculture, division of entomology; and to the more
recent report by Marlatt, Bull. Dep. Agric. Ent., N.S. No. 14, 1898.

[503]

Some entomologists consider that this "railway-whistle" note is the


result of the combined efforts of several individuals. Cf. Mathew,
Ent. Mag. xi. 1875, p. 175.

[504]

It is unnecessary to say that the poet was not Sappho, but one of
the baser sex, named Xenarchus.

[505]

Swinton claims that one of the membranes in the vocal apparatus


is an auditory organ; if so, the male would be deafened by his own
noise, while the females, not possessing the organ, should not
hear the song.

[506]

P. ent. Soc. London, 1883, p. 20.

[507]

A considerable variety of these extraordinary creatures are figured


in Biol. Centr. Amer. Rhynch. Homopt. ii.

[508]

Riley, P. ent. Soc. Washington, iii. 1895, p. 88. For the younger
stages of Membracis foliata, see Tijdschr. Ent. (2) iv. 1869, pl. viii.
[509]

Tr. ent. Soc. London, 1886, p. 329.

[510]

Verh. z.-b. Ges. Wien, xxvi. 1876, p. 167.

[511]

Cornell Univ. Agric. exp. station Bulletin, 44, 1892, and Bull. 108,
1896.

[512]

Zeitschr. wiss. Zool. xlii. 1885, pp. 569-638.

[513]

Zeitschr. Naturw. (2) xii. 1875, p. 438.

[514]

Réaumur, Mém. iii. 1737, Dixiéme Mémoire.

[515]

P. ent. soc. Washington, iv. 1897, p. 66.

[516]

For list see Scott, Ent. Mag. xviii. 1882, p. 253.

[517]

There is some doubt on this point, as the earlier observers seem


to have supposed that a winged individual appearing in a
generation chiefly apterous was ipso facto, a male; it seems,
however, to be certain that perfect winged males appear in some
species in generations producing no perfect sexual females.
Speaking generally, the course of events seems to be that in
summer there exist only wingless and winged parthenogenetic
females, and that the sexually perfect forms appear for the first
time in autumn.

[518]

Mitt. Schweiz. ent. Ges. iv. 1876, p. 529.

[519]

The term pseudovum is applied, as a matter of convenience, to the


earlier condition of the viviparously-produced form, and the term
pseudovarium to the ovary producing it.

[520]

Balbiani, Ann. Sci. Nat. Zool. (5) xi. 1869, p. 29. For concise recent
remarks on the early embryonic states, see Lemoine, Bull. Soc.
ent. France, 1893, p. lxxxix.

[521]

Acta Ac. German. xxxiii. 1869, No. 2, p. 81.

[522]

Seventeenth Rep. Insects Illinois, 1891, p. 66.

[523]

Kessler, Acta Ac. German. li. 1887, pp. 152, 153.

[524]

In connection with this the absence of a functional mouth in the


imago state of numerous Lepidoptera, and of Oestrid Diptera,
should not be forgotten.

[525]

Horae Soc. ent. Ross. xxiv. 1890. p. 386.

[526]
Ent. Zeit. Stettin, xxxvi. 1875, p. 368.

[527]

Zool. Anz. xv. 1892, p. 220.

[528]

Arb. Inst. Wien, iv. 1882, Heft iii. p. 397; see on this organ also
Mordwilko, Zool. Anz. xviii. 1895, p. 357.

[529]

Biol. Centralbl. xi. 1891, p. 193.

[530]

See, inter alia, Webster, J. New York ent. Soc. i. 1893, p. 119.

[531]

J. New York Ent. Soc. i. 1893, p. 120. See also as to knowledge


on the part of ants, Forbes, Eighteenth Rep. Insects Illinois, 1894,
pp. 66, etc.

[532]

Monograph by Buckton, Ray Society, 4 vols. 1879-1883.

[533]

Tr. New Zealand Inst. xxviii. 1895.

[534]

A catalogue of Coccidae has recently been published by Mr. T. D.


A. Cockerell in Bull. Illinois Lab. iv. 1896, pp. 318-339.

[535]

Signoret's papers are to be found in eighteen parts in Ann. Soc.


ent. France, 1868 to 1876: the most considerable subsequent
systematic papers are those by Maskell in the Transactions of the
New Zealand Institute from 1878 to the present time.

[536]

Coccidae of Ceylon, pt. 1, 1896, p. 16.

[537]

C. R. Ac. Sci. Paris, civ. 1887, p. 449.

[538]

Arch. Naturgesch. li. i. 1885, p. 169.

[539]

Zeitschr. wiss. Zool. xliii. 1886, p. 156.

[540]

For summary as to our present knowledge of this curious condition


of Insect life, see Mayet, Ann. Soc. ent. France, 1896, p. 419.

[541]

For additional information as to useful Coccidae, see Blanchard,


Bull. Soc. Zool. France, viii. 1883, p. 217.

[542]

Rubsaamen's paper on these Insects gives references to most of


the previous literature, Berlin. ent. Zeitschr. xxxix. 1894, p. 199.

[543]

Ent. Meddel. iii. 1891, p. 82.

[544]

Cf. Graber, Zeitschr. wiss. Zool. xxii. 1872, p. 165, and Landois in
the same Journal, xiv. 1864, p. 24.
[545]

Ann. Nat. History (3), xvii. 1866, p. 213.

[546]

N. York Ent. Soc. vii. March 1899, p. 45.


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