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Pearson Edexcel Centre Number Candidate Number

Level 3 GCE
Mathematics Model
Advanced
Paper 3: Statistics and Mechanics
Answers
Friday 15 June 2018 – Afternoon Paper Reference

Time: 2 hours 9MA0/03


You must have: Total Marks
Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables, calculator

Candidates may use any calculator allowed by the regulations of the


Joint Council for Qualifications. Calculators must not have the facility
for symbolic algebra manipulation, differentiation and integration, or
have retrievable mathematical formulae stored in them.
Instructions
•• Use black ink or ball-point pen.
If pencil is used for diagrams/sketches/graphs it must be dark (HB or B).
• centre
Fill in the boxes at the top of this page with your name,
number and candidate number.
• clearly labelled.
Answer all questions and ensure that your answers to parts of questions are

• Answer the questions in the spaces provided


– there may be more space than you need.
• You should show sufficient working to make your methods clear.
Answers without working may not gain full credit.
• Answers should be given to three significant figures unless otherwise stated.
Information
•• AThere
booklet ‘Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables’ is provided.
are 10 questions in this question paper. The total mark for this paper is 100.
• – use this asfora guide
The marks each question are shown in brackets
as to how much time to spend on each question.
Advice
•• Read each question carefully before you start to answer it.
Try to answer every question.
• Check your answers if you have time at the end.
Turn over

P58350A
©2018 Pearson Education Ltd.

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SECTION A: STATISTICS

Answer ALL questions. Write your answers in the spaces provided.

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1. Helen believes that the random variable C, representing cloud cover from the large data
set, can be modelled by a discrete uniform distribution.
(a) Write down the probability distribution for C.
(2)
(b) Using this model, find the probability that cloud cover is less than 50%
(1)
Helen used all the data from the large data set for Hurn in 2015 and found that the
proportion of days with cloud cover of less than 50% was 0.315
(c) Comment on the suitability of Helen’s model in the light of this information.
(1)
(d) Suggest an appropriate refinement to Helen’s model.
(1)
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Htt Halil Ht
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pic Ha
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b P C 4
Ig
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O 444
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It can bearguedthat Helen's modelisn't suitable


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c
as 0315 is lower than our calculated probability of
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0.444
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d Cloud cover by mouth location soHelen


and
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may vary
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coulduse a non uniform distributionto account forthis


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2. Tessa owns a small clothes shop in a seaside town. She records the weekly sales figures, £ w,
and the average weekly temperature, t °C, for 8 weeks during the summer.

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(a) Stating your hypotheses clearly and using a 5% level of significance, test whether or
not the correlation between sales figures and average weekly temperature is negative.
(3)
(b) Suggest a possible reason for this correlation.
(1)
Tessa suggests that a linear regression model could be used to model these data.
(c) State, giving a reason, whether or not the correlation coefficient is consistent with
Tessa’s suggestion.
(1)
(d) State, giving a reason, which variable would be the explanatory variable.
(1)
Tessa calculated the linear regression equation as w = 10 755 – 171t

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(e) Give an interpretation of the gradient of this regression equation.
(1)

a Ho O
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p
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H i c0
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p
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5 criticalvalue O 6215
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i
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O 915 c O 6215
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i Result is significant
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is evidence of correlationbetween
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There a negative
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sales figures and


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anyweeklytemperature
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b Withhotter temperatures peoplemaynot liketo
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go
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shopping as much which to


leads lower numbers shoppers
of
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in such weeks and therefore lowersalesfigures


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Question 2 continued
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c Yes as here exists a stronglinear correlation


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between T and W as r is close to I


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d the explanatory variable is theaverage weekly


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t since thesales are likely to depend on


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temperature w
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the
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temperature
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in 1 C in theweekly temperature
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For increase
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e an
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the sales for theweekwill by 171


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decrease
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(Total for Question 2 is 7 marks)

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3. In an experiment a group of children each repeatedly throw a dart at a target.


For each child, the random variable H represents the number of times the dart hits the
target in the first 10 throws.

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Peta models H as B(10, 0.1)
(a) State two assumptions Peta needs to make to use her model.
(2)
(b) Using Peta’s model, find P(H 4)
(1)
For each child the random variable F represents the number of the throw on which the
dart first hits the target.
Using Peta’s assumptions about this experiment,
(c) find P(F = 5)
(2)
Thomas assumes that in this experiment no child will need more than 10 throws for the
dart to hit the target for the first time. He models P(F = n) as

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P(F = n) = 0.01 + (n 1) ×

where is a constant.
(d) Find the value of
(4)
(e) Using Thomas’ model, find P(F = 5)
(1)
(f) Explain how Peta’s and Thomas’ models differ in describing the probability that a
dart hits the target in this experiment.
(1)
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a Dart throws an of
eachother
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independent
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the probability ofsuccess b constant


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o1
for all children and throws
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b PCH34 I PCH 3
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I O 9872
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0.0128
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Question 3 continued
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c P F 5 PCFirst 4 fail and5th one


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throws succeeds
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0.9 ol
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0.0656
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d Notice that PCF n I


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n
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0.01 t Nn l I
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i
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M
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o ol t a Cn
l I
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106.01 t Od t 12 1 92 I
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DI t 452 1
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452 9
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0
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I
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x
50
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e PLF 51 Thomas model O Ol t 4 fo


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0.09
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Question 3 continued
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f With Peta's model the model assumes that


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the probability of hitting the target a constant whereas


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Travers model assumes that this probabilityincreases


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each attempt later attempts have


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with a higher probability
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than earlier attempts


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4. Charlie is studying the time it takes members of his company to travel to the office.
He stands by the door to the office from 08 40 to 08 50 one morning and asks workers, as
they arrive, how long their journey was.

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(a) State the sampling method Charlie used.
(1)
(b) State and briefly describe an alternative method of non-random sampling Charlie
could have used to obtain a sample of 40 workers.
(2)
Taruni decided to ask every member of the company the time, x minutes, it takes them to
travel to the office.
(c) State the data selection process Taruni used.
(1)
Taruni’s results are summarised by the box plot and summary statistics below.

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10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 100 110 120 130 140

Journey time (minutes)

n x = 4133 x2

(d) Write down the interquartile range for these data.


(1)
(e) Calculate the mean and the standard deviation for these data.
(3)
(f) State, giving a reason, whether you would recommend using the mean and standard
deviation or the median and interquartile range to describe these data.
(2)
Rana and David both work for the company and have both moved house since Taruni
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collected her data.


Rana’s journey to work has changed from 75 minutes to 35 minutes and David’s journey
to work has changed from 60 minutes to 33 minutes.
Taruni drew her box plot again and only had to change two values.
(g) Explain which two values Taruni must have changed and whether each of these
values has increased or decreased.
(3)
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a Convenience Sampling
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Question 4 continued
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b Quota Sampling Charlie to
needs devisesuitable
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strata eg Tinieslots such astaking 3 people


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every
10 minutes
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Census
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c
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d Q z Q 58 26
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32 minutes
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Mean
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e
End
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4133
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95
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43.5 minutes
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f Extreme values Coutheis are present inthedata


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which mean that he medrin and IQR are more reliable


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of measuresincethey'renot as as much
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forms affected
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by the extreme values Outliers willgreatlyimpactthe


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and sd
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neon
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Question 4 continued
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The median and Q values havechanged both
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g
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have decreased because there are new more values


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below 40 than above 40
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5. The lifetime, L hours, of a battery has a normal distribution with mean 18 hours and
standard deviation 4 hours.

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Alice’s calculator requires 4 batteries and will stop working when any one battery reaches
the end of its lifetime.
(a) Find the probability that a randomly selected battery will last for longer than 16 hours.
(1)
At the start of her exams Alice put 4 new batteries in her calculator.
She has used her calculator for 16 hours, but has another 4 hours of exams to sit.
(b) Find the probability that her calculator will not stop working for Alice’s remaining exams.
(5)
Alice only has 2 new batteries so, after the first 16 hours of her exams, although her
calculator is still working, she randomly selects 2 of the batteries from her calculator and
replaces these with the 2 new batteries.
(c) Show that the probability that her calculator will not stop working for the remainder

(3)

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After her exams, Alice believed that the lifetime of the batteries was more than 18 hours.
She took a random sample of 20 of these batteries and found that their mean lifetime was

(d) Stating your hypotheses clearly and using a 5% level of significance, test Alice’s belief.
(5)
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LnN 18,16
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a
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16
PCL 16 p Z
41
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p z
0.5
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Plz0.5
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0.691
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b 201L 16734
PCrequired PCL
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Question 5 continued
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flinging
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4
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423
7
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a
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I
4
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C
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l
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L
I l o6g
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0 691
0.0396
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PCL 201L 1675 x PLL 4 I


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c Ploequired
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knew
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bakeries
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t.gl xEo.qqq7 y2
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0.199
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Question 5 continued
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d Ho feel8
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i
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Hi fl 18
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20 Inn 18
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A so
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PLI 19.2 Pf z 19411yd


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P Z 1.3416
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OO 89856
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0.0899 0.05 evidence to support


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n Insufficient
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Alice'scki
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SECTION B: MECHANICS

Unless otherwise stated, whenever a numerical value of g is required, take g and give your

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answer to either 2 significant figures or 3 significant figures.

Answer ALL questions. Write your answers in the spaces provided.

6. At time t seconds, where t 0, a particle P moves in the x-y plane in such a way that its
velocity v m s is given by


1
v = t 2i tj

When t = 1, P is at the point A and when t = 4, P is at the point B.


Find the exact distance AB.
(6)
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Eti
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4tj
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IV dt
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X
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C
j
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x
ti
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x 2ft i 21J C
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At t 4 o
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x
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0 2i 2J TC
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C Zi 12J
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i
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X Ztt 2 it 2t2 j
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2
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Question 6 continued
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At 4 4
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212 2 it 2 21167J
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Xp
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XB Zi 30J
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AB
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10431
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J22t
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e 2V22T
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(Total for Question 6 is 6 marks)

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7.
40 N

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20 kg

Figure 1

A wooden crate of mass 20 kg is pulled in a straight line along a rough horizontal floor
using a handle attached to the crate.
3
The handle is inclined at an angle to the floor, as shown in Figure 1, where tan
4
The tension in the handle is 40 N.
The coefficient of friction between the crate and the floor is 0.14
The crate is modelled as a particle and the handle is modelled as a light rod.
Using the model,
(a) find the acceleration of the crate.

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(6)
The crate is now pushed along the same floor using the handle. The handle is again
inclined at the same angle to the floor, and the thrust in the handle is 40 N as shown in
Figure 2 below.

40 N
20 kg

Figure 2

(b) Explain briefly why the acceleration of the crate would now be less than the
acceleration of the crate found in part (a).
(2)
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A TO
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F tanney
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d
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20g 5
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4
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i Sind
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Cesare

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Question 7 continued
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R
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f Rt 405in
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a 20g
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R 20g 40 E
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172
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N2L
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R 40Cosa F 20 a
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F
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fer 144727 20 a
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401 o
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32 24,08
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A
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20
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2
0.396ms
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b Pushing will increasethe reactionforce because


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R 20g 24 instead of 12 2Og 24 Thisthen increases


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to frictional force since Fe R the resultant


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hence
µ
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force in te of motion
ofthe ante will
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direction decrease
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whichimplies the accelerator will decrease by N 2L EF


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ma
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8. [ i j
.]

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A particle P moves with constant acceleration.
At time t = 0, the particle is at and is moving with velocity (2i j) m s
At time t = 2 seconds, P is at the point A with position vector (7i j) m.
(a) Show that the magnitude of the acceleration of P is 2.5 m s
(4)
At the instant when P leaves the point A, the acceleration of P changes so that P now
moves with constant acceleration (4i + 8.8j) m s
At the instant when P reaches the point B, the direction of motion of P is north east.
(b) Find the time it takes for P to travel from A to B.
(4)
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Sent that
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a
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7 I 10J 21 312 t C4 Ice


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7 I 101 41 61 t Za
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31 41 2an
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I ZzI 21
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i
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al f 2tt2
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Z
2.5ms
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b Velocityvectorata v ut at
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Question 8 continued
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VA 21 31 t ZI E z
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51 71
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At B Ait mo
K
AI
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i From A B
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S
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51 7J
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4
41 8.81 AI 121 15 441 18.81 711
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all 11
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a
t t
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2 51 46 5t4t 8.8t
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A 8 y4.8t
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ge
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l2t
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2.5s
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9.

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x
P
A B
2

Figure 3

A plank, AB, of mass M and length 2 , rests with its end A against a rough vertical wall.
The plank is held in a horizontal position by a rope. One end of the rope is attached to the plank
at B and the other end is attached to the wall at the point C, which is vertically above A.

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A small block of mass 3M is placed on the plank at the point P, where AP = x.
The plank is in equilibrium in a vertical plane which is perpendicular to the wall.
3
The angle between the rope and the plank is , where tan , as shown in Figure 3.
4
The plank is modelled as a uniform rod, the block is modelled as a particle and the rope
is modelled as a light inextensible string.
5Mg (3 + )
(a) Using the model, show that the tension in the rope is
6
(3)
The magnitude of the horizontal component of the force exerted on the plank at A by the
Mg.
(b) Find x in terms of .
(2)
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The force exerted on the plank at A by the wall acts in a direction which makes an
angle with the horizontal.
(c) Find the value of tan
(5)
The rope will break if the tension in it exceeds 5 Mg.
(d) Explain how this will restrict the possible positions of P. You must justify your
answer carefully.
(3)

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Question 9 continued
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a
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c
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T
r
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x
M al
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A B
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ti testing
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my
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faux 5
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Sina as a
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1
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I
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3g
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MCA TSinha
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MgCa t3MgCx
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1
EGa Mg Ea 13 3
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MgC3xta
T
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e
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Question 9 continued
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T 514g 3xta
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Tay
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b R t Tsina tv
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4mg
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Rts H Tosh
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H Took
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5mg
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2Mgg3axta 2mg
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3 I
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3a
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3outa 3
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x
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292
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Question 9 continued
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Tsim t v
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c 4mg
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5mgl t v
E
a
4mg
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v 4mg Mg 3 4
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4mg
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3m24
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5M
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2
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tap
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frigg
get Imma
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7 2mg
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2mg
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tap
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Ey
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d TE 5mg
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Beta E
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56M 5Mg
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3xtae 6 x E 51
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a
3
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Theblock cannot be placed furtherthan 531awayfromthe


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wall otherwise will break as the will


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the rope tension
5mg exceed
(Total for Question 9 is 13 marks)

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10.
U

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A
3m
2m
T

Figure 4

A boy throws a ball at a target. At the instant when the ball leaves the boy’s hand at the
point A, the ball is 2 m above horizontal ground and is moving with speed U at an angle
above the horizontal.
In the subsequent motion, the highest point reached by the ball is 3 m above the ground.
The target is modelled as being the point T, as shown in Figure 4.
The ball is modelled as a particle moving freely under gravity.

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Using the model,
2g
(a) show that U 2 = .
sin 2 α
(2)
The point T is at a horizontal distance of 20 m from A and is at a height of 0.75 m above
the ground. The ball reaches T without hitting the ground.
(b) Find the size of the angle
(9)
(c) State one limitation of the model that could affect your answer to part (b).
(1)
(d) Find the time taken for the ball to travel from A to T.
(3)
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as i
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na
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u2sink
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295in
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Question 10 continued
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b let it betheorigin expressdisplacementof A as a vector


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A
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Yugo IEY.a.ae EIEtEae
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att XA
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Yas nuts L a.ae
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204 t
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cosy
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1.25 49
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Sina
g
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I 25 2otana 1960
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toss
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1.25 20 faux tank


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1926g
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1.25 20tan x 100tank


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100tank 2otanx I 25 0
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Question 10 continued
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Quadonlic Formula
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By
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reject
tax L tarts to
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or
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t
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L 14.040
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asf
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c Model does not
account for airresistance
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d f 2e and 02 24 from a ardeb


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j2I
i
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sink
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2
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Stud
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at 20
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125 652
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Zotana
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Trg
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Question 10 continued
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t
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510
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14
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1
132
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