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MUN ECON 1010 Lectures CH 02 2020 21f
MUN ECON 1010 Lectures CH 02 2020 21f
1
Deriving Theories
Theoretical economics: The process of deriving and applying economic
theories and principles (i.e., statements about economic behavior that enable
prediction of the probable effects of certain actions.)
Economic Theory:
An economic theory is a statement or set of related statements about cause
and effect, action and reaction.
Economic Model:
An economic model is a formal statement of an economic theory. Usually a
mathematical representation of a presumed relationship between two or
more variables.
Ockham’s Razor:
It states that in specifying economic theories irrelevant detail should be cut
away.
Inductive Reasoning:
The process of observing regular patterns from raw data and drawing
generalizations from them.
2
Pitfalls in economic theories:
Example:
It always rains about an hour after you finish washing your car. Concluding that
washing your car caused it to rain is an example of
A) fallacy of composition
B) post hoc fallacy
C) fallacy of inductive reasoning
D) ceteris paribus conditions
Answer: B
Fallacy of Composition:
The fallacy of composition implies that what is true for a part is necessarily
true for the whole.
Example:
You see better if you stand up at a football game. But if everyone stands up, your
ability to see the game is no better than it was when you sat down to watch the
game. This is an example of the
A) fallacy of division
B) post hoc fallacy
C) ceteris paribus fallacy
D) fallacy of composition
Answer: D
Causation indicates a change in one variable will cause a change in the value
of another variable. In other words, one variable makes another variable to
happen. For example, lack of sufficient RAM in a mobile phone causes the
mobile phone to be frozen.
3
Index Numbers
Purpose: Index numbers are used to compare changes in some variable
relative to a base period.
Example:
Suppose we want to create a price index for the price of a pasta dish across
several restaurants in a metropolitan area on the 1st day of September 2020.
The data are shown as follows:
A $ 8.25
B 7.99
C 10.12
D 8.75
E 9.85
F 11.40
G 9.14
H 12.60
i) Using Restaurant C as the “base restaurant,” construct the restaurant pasta price index
in the metropolitan area.
ii) At which restaurant is pasta the least expensive, and by what percentage is the price
lower than in Restaurant C?
iii) At which restaurant is pasta the most expensive, and by what percentage is the price
higher than in Restaurant C?
4
ANSWERS:
i)
Restaurant Price per pasta Price Index
A $ 8.25 81.52
B 7.99 78.95
C 10.12 100.00
D 8.75 86.46
E 9.85 97.33
F 11.40 112.65
G 9.14 90.32
H 12.60 124.51