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    Probability notes

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF or read online from Scribd
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    27 views46 pages

    PSP

    Uploaded by

    lakshaaysharma003
    Probability notes

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF or read online from Scribd
    Flag for inappropriate content
    of 46
    Palabll —_ Ad Stochastic /rowes Ghaustie Events: Total amber of paseble eutconnes Ln ot ual du known as echawstive tints |cao % Tossing a coin , exhauthie cues are head , tail Exclusive '~ Events ane said #2 be mute CLK or. incompatzble Bethe happens &: ene of them preclu das the _happunui ens. (6+ No two Or_more 4 dum an Boa cme in Some triad Rolling a clits | 26 cannot come -togctne - + oon maikaaty oclave “dunt ka ae AL posible outtomu have same probability ~ Indrpendent vents Evers = Ong evimt. eats not affeck the ux. - & Tossing acon Avo fits. dnd outwme is not Amdt _en_ outcome f fest ps. Denton Fy aE Is Clanae ane col dyfink ti a Ple)= fav » a dimitaxons'~ Not applicable Uy events as. not equally al ge y total su reach, %0 not applicable . | btatstical on Enpoutal_fiobaniliy Ple)= um m n nao . ee — _____||__ sais | a Fantam. Es — {i gol san PCE) Sip ais ee P (Sample Spat) i Se Ease mutually exclusire event) { _*s_pfeve)= Pleye pie) : Qu. Aaya Ss y a Chants o) sunday || Posible Combinations __ Lome Tee aks Tue - Wed : | - Sar 640 53 sundays a = 1 Sun = Mon — apg ae } Bag 3R 2 6W —|_= King Sus boave a 52, a — = C3 “4&4 cards Y same - Be xs cuir (ise tt Beg «Fey 13 ards aclided at romdom 52Cq 4 Members Linde ome piokat 2534 A A comdan,, PLmulhple of 30° 7) = = sae siaipey = mane ane es ea ——— Le. EG ULA ey aang ah ft teters bw REE | Ree xin |) plaus = 11X10 _ jays of —arcampery R eee oe a Too ow Se ! 859 0 n Se —+5 a ie 6 pouible arrangemue %2., Frfachang REE PCS. 12 & lo «85 e 12: MISS) SS/_PPL M- | —— ~ Fmt seogetrn3 eT} d = - i P-ll | Totat_wwoyps= ul Fay: (SS55) MLL PP 4rul 2 nar | oe Yio eseeeeeeae | PlE)= Bt Hee : H Ft eck eG : aT uklor ag 165 r are | Condivional Probability. Pg) 2 Pea) rrowanane Pla) tlre deeured) — ey PCBs PCB) ty are iene? Be taps Trem ee 7 oe = PG) = PCA) a = — Hg HE Guy 3 canebitat acteoiin rea 22:3, Probab, ear XZ heeree rico dtuee co- education js 0:3, 0.5 20.8, What us tee _prosabibry trot eee uses "er eancarin, A= to -raucahon i | Ke Xduuted Y= Y aelected ae 2 selected 3 pane a 0 8 itz)= 3 a : Toya a ig plays PL CAnm_v aio 4 = P(x)-P(8) + PO): th see fiw )2W wef — GUS Ing (8 L-Si3- eee eee Se ihe es Se Thy are “rtd LWA a | a0. TT what 4 probobili Hat 2/3] 0 we debeed] P(E) ae —PCAlp, j= 188 — OU —_— sts P(G/a)= PCE) .P(Ale,) PCE).t(a y+ PLEL)A(B )4 r(&)- tea) = Ip x U3 = 55) ld dutrlye ue | Biesmse sist I PES Ip) = a0 | eeu 3B fle 18 pitas Pep Guu tn amounting & MCA a shade a as Pel=p | Guus gusting comet a 5 bno.of MCA. options PL cheatit foo? te ove Guts be amstucud corredty) all C= Aucune Kuuwo — E, = guuated As worm _ PLE}=p pPleje Ip ra)ed ee correck ams Whin =. é Atuclint brew ans. PUL) zucP te) Pl Ale) _z=__px)___2 3 hCG) ee (2) oe a ‘pr | \SveR Atm chive parts prom “moh, use ie te out probability Ww ‘olpechive der tee ee ae wth” yuachurt, FOS X (Mo. of baad) aa ee “plx) ices : nae pio yuan # te ° a ia peuett value a We ODE: | an Random Van Non aniable | Probabitity eon ela) = 2x.7 ram “= (x)= fa puen— - Teanaes yodruioble i a seal valuad. Jaman “white assign 0 __|| _ taal rayne an ae point iq tesample gba U- | Ene com Le sharce FO grok _nesnabert _ Diuerete ‘Rando Vatacble'* A-tandsin viable whieh take - || Seer | pedi ea mes ou ui gf value Rega rn Rael ere Tae Mad. orange ged = Find re i ~ Bain fae d abe DAV atu ite os rth. ola wi bukion pumlf oor — x “ee — tes yeep = Plas ps PCAs 5) J H 7 rae ee : i Bla ema “Wie FET Senne fe XE Q ee s (Sanrio ees a anes Raiane. has i ae aa 5on 3) py siddiehoy sheng eS 4 ime i CSRS on: 4S Gm 5 ee | ae a a ce ce = A O1On1 OU OD 0.3 0.01 0.02 0-14 3. L “Bind ok Gy Olas6).. Paes) -Plogx<5) | ____Ui)._ pint pation ynwimiins p dt ee Jai Guy, Wo P(e SOP oop nd Kina Wy Bn #2 I ind Pf us 2)) ase | 270 BL PCK> 2) : : = PCacasus) = pC3)4 ely) pi Sy P(A), = 1 AT PCO) PO) -P(2) SESE || ERC Ht = 6.2+0-3 zs — A joo Ors 0n2 fy be Bia yee EO See i y 0-3 cs | _— — Continue "Random Vase as ee rude Wanna tar —tnfenite mung Vs i one teal a cand CONUS sacl outa | TE = a —— —| — brobabittty, ee H = 7 — Ne . a ——t RQ in ae __|| nd Wx a wo PraxIg ff €ex-29 dane = | ~ —__ sor eas Cees itis acuitnamreerristtp .. C= Callao Biol Kk, PCS % 52 ee ere as Ree Fale p(xea) sf fade = a a th'ow CO olw dupribuhbn Fino ES) tam tabie a En xn [ Con) a p pears) [@aqae =(xa2)* by is 2 / es = (W-a-S+ 220 SRR ar ee ee dosti) | b= Up ve x<0 xs a p(x sa)= 1 Ff O)-dy 202 7G ; Se — _ x I= Pinot) 7 Box T for D SR 2R a 2B BB = rar hea —> Rex | cheosn tall —> Box chore Rath i Araun fem _chotdin hoe. ______—— oe 2 co Box) selected Pla) = Os) +P(D). (£) = ae =& ee al S eu. c uppoe we aenot Know shih Rox ws eootin ___ rol ball. Whar Ju tu probability of git whoring Rox 12 Pix) | p= z a pia\e 3 PCR\= 2 e 7 eG mn) To Pi)= eé@) PUT) P/p) RK zt PEs AR) + Hm) B) eer —$$— —$ #86) ££ — ~Brveoxtate—Kanebmt orteble — aa lars Pan somple foes oviociont. wlth varndem —Oyeximunt det x(t) ruplt) be £ud_ 7an — —Cach_assrgrin a valli et st —___||_+€S | Gow da cald _ o_o ———.—__&=D_ramdom variable __— ae “| estat discrete RV! Ha porate of Cy) abe forty ———_t_couatanly nfs ap atid 9-0 —___ ducer vv. ‘i — — comvinsous' ay (oy) con alk vals in %); 4 yey — ~ Thon _P( xe ai YY) = =F altel Pat — eset triple Ori yp Pg) 2h ated Taunt ty ss ae y pp oe —_ P(xzu1)_ = ij Py = Pur Po — __ _ The cottctng pais On: ae 5 cated ao | marginal P; el a Sto ie _________ oe : __ Massnal PME oy = Oy; PNEA= BA) = B+ Rye~ AZY ase independent ‘- Y Poy Cy) = Pb) Ply) Quy Q balk aye selec ot ramdem qpoma box _combatniny — Smad A gun Yorkie ball 9} % 2S dus he mumber of 40 balls & geen balls fap pncluded dhe two ball dlrauon groom the wigiad D Togre_ Probability. 4 RLY __ ai sedi frobabiuity canst —— = Why Cronad dat 9 ¥ given YE | oe plO,o)= Dred O geen ea ey 6 ; oO LTotas a “ther Should OD Mayenne PE x eR 4D 5: aaah 2 (7 | 1 The 1 tulse e220 Geno eS F WD) Conditional PME 9% given yo! te P/e 3) ht H : ee 4 apelin | a 7S 19 Series etetaa peoerra eer ao Qu The Taint PME of mp fant Ve NR Q ee oma int t ie es ee : UN cohdenmal ema x % given yeh 8 ely erin wy eg en es) Prob. csshribution > Ae Jaye hs ; w _ AY Cean have value 2/3, Sir zjofi fa Js] x x 4) nat faa classmate. | Guy Are _*8Y _inctepenolont? » o ~ Marginal > margoraly - Xs P(x) (A 1 ls) SO Liste phe 2 Ago. pan a SR of Indspunaumu | = Penh: earn Fyly) i LHS Py (o.1) 23K = 2 Di= FORD PHS Rawo)=e 1 Pyly)aIs' £ fa a oe a | & elas - Rena me Pey Col) 4 Pel) Poly) Hon qut_hot trdkipendink | “My a : ~ Casstint (PDE, pm, (oF ) - " : Plab) j b I ia Teli de= af x(l-de = i = _ a Joe]? pee eye y L[eef-[P] i beep (fy yr 3 ; rns poe i 3) 42 aps [1-3 +ab4) ___Hh3 + eo*41>0 : (b= 1) Crp 24) 20 _ a yz _| . ma a E _ =a : a ___g _ Pde PDE =3x7 - Sag) os — : a = eo pissa} =P>xpa] — uw complete ae yo ede . diecas =| a eit “Gy Sul Tome POF ¢ remaon vawiable (ny) a goven by eho pee cay benea bey cat cob Pe - —_f pen eee! Le — pos lL —f feapeey= fal a = . — ss Oe a A — - Marginal a POE for conden. 1 eit, _ —- = fl (x) Wyong —ly a - yl fhe Bent = Seln ~ —— | es Pry Cay) = Ti — fe way? R eo ee OP ie a pops fi oy, — —i|___ pale 2/6 (cee - ! fa) Abe j = 2 (iaws= rr) 2 ! mer 4 res [- ae By ~ cama aoaly pm fy) 4 Lex — —0<7xe2 |= 1 Fggs 4 | Guy int PC iain yd one be ee = 09700 po __ First Momunt about onigen A neem. of, Bacr oe oO _— i 8) ale) a Sefo) = a ot (= %T'= Uy +a — ene ae Sian a a Eee : i ecu E (x-A) a2 ElKAy Afuurraae naan lack syrimsieg — oo _Kusttosis The extent to whith a lis pribection peakuk ih Cale Rucepaig OF est oo OOF z ! ee ee G 64 ase 2 G = 2) rule te 486 S i ee 2 B SQ ca —loY 209 | ee a ar ea) ee 2: Sanne LE Sore s 30 0 © ° ° oo er a i 2 6 iz g § 3 IS 4c ais So SSS SS CS? a (nee (ommSs: tt Pia anette ks ay" = E (a= 4) { Mi"= E(a-5) = Z (a-5)¢ = clo = 0.0888 Zp u by" E (a-s)= Sbesyt = 2are Guat =f 2a wy €(x-5)?= 24-5 Sg ao me | Te Ug dys E(a-s)'= Fe 5 goss = 18-al2 - EF 7 _ a My=d [ce seen ag = ty aunty! + aa? “ cans My = SMe = vag a Pea (u,!) a ay ae ed chy eee oo = (244) = (0.088)” "= gue ee Hg> (0.018) ~ 3(2-446)(-0.086) + 2(-0, 086)? _ BOCISE get igsT2— 4 (0.018) 69.096) + 6 (2.446) (-0.at)—8(-2080)" = 18.32413 = —— ‘ Sram ssa i co B= ah = 0.6155) we 9.03 Aymauetnic _ = a gr Bye My 2 18-34 29g “Hupleustre og mR eae cee § E[asuy eis wha et eee ae, EX)- EWS EDO) = QE) + El) TF = SOQ USES EF PEG TET El= a EMIS 14. 2E00 =a Reta Gamma _Funtrim a amma _ Funct 5 I et fx Cae Nade ee fn nee a: Irae nti = ~Nkgadite B nore Diththetin~ See Ca fuer tpi alt _we Cotain gist wuterss se PUKE) = PC H-Laucces in fac) x-1tMAL AND a. ALL Tr) thy 1 preet) aol Hass ; — 1 2 2 5 Saag an fe i Bn -( SUL eae tala ath pecerens—— Pica ei a7 one SURI) Ol = ATA ara oP t a i — pg, eH Hd Heda O Ofhumtot Why aor _talbedd ‘ve? 4 a apc res eH TSE nar PE : i ma i ese eee = Cs gs ae e ees em A Auceen'e dims if the Abe binernilat exbamacer. Man He Vaniana = 40 Ee | Eee wires PO “athe “prokabilly # 04 that a child exh Pom =a thiggal! Lwtlh vmain it What is the probeodlity | that the tte Cdiitd gofork 0 tue dito well be tee Hind 4 cate Lt? [ peestoye? s { =(4e, pepo; & on eal” A lone’ lsihlion — : = 7100 Gre» fa ‘1000 bal ee = ta < 260 etl PC 8 grein, Yred) “0 —— a ' = Usttheut tee ruimnt resume os Te a (200 “Ae, 120 644 At anager >) (2) COMA m mem ts em Hy pu. fa sae a Tha fellows ny. mana “bao a bgp is Fribuch'on = The tele of tah drous (telungu ppltion ae, can_be_clavaiych. into _ ma ones or . == = = trey stag ak ago »_ustitnout daw dusiacs the population eee qeema. fait Marion. SS —-Poplation Sample nballe (1000) 7 bable (#) —_ Sees _M green (#60) _K green (2) __ N-m ved (300) nok ped (4) ee ew! pe __pcx=k) = (“Cy eh) yan rmennnie io w a A E(x)= = kple) = omaha oe oh ke | [E | Nel nv =s\5¢ M(m-1), NM My Deen eee : a (w=lyl “71 Ca-, (w-n)!, i ~ e(Q) — ele) ee ose =(E(x))” Se(ee)+ EO) -(Es) p+ mt) aan? . ee — a = = Ae ee k=0_ oan ae ee = mytn-1) min-1) ss { Rive) Ee : CA ne = gn cular thin f- cane Reuwru pmE EXO) = Cyr) (ayn) — a yw!) ee van = nM Crv-m (Men) _ _ = = AE ON Zl) ewes oe “B(egigs) io re pee Maltin noma ial x iptinnt _ Wiiiarencae a_i to find. re — Whee thin au mor thon tun eutumn . 9 Rotng a cliee 10 tern. frtiy — = TA gutromu i sath Prat may be Month in peg | muurdly e UcluAUre Cabegoniet G,_ te ee ree of 0 pute dep, whith reasinug a _constomt — os f The smcetsatve tials au old adspeactr = The —epeionse fy repeated pr'teck i» YM iy aeareav! Elsen alot Yep 9 Hl AlAs fo oe a eee Times Pi __ aaa pe — a = eee ee ce ea | Ben sample The pointe fie - comps OAL. ee file pati pa ha Aariple y 5 bules Fm a = = ae aaa — P24 Ken, X= rie 7 a po" py? — = as)” oy ree a? LeeueeCR “gst py — a elas Refs yb a : 1 =F ony ov! (a eps) WH (aI > Cel como ( | Py = aT aye Ti ae = ln =n = nh es - it Vosienve € Oglaay) + € (41) EC) i | Y : Ay AEA PE = (nyo) py? + np, = neg” : . = nptenpi — nipgt : oo BZ npiClapie *prgi : ae beta iat ltr — | conpusous nde nae 7% ie eal — fine ji Rae) o ott Mat ay a ba Lo pal eee ee ee _ El Lee eel > gt? fo cau : _ Formitka 7 & fami Ri fantin _ 7 aT — ee bas oe pl) = : _ ce 5 ple, DL : plovn) = Tele : ps iL Jury _ la oO cae Sinem Mg! 7 Lasd [uta ao - Ta [arte _ a as aac] oes byt ortar, Vs | Ee Ad ear ee ei -————— [waved Man = 4) = Ea] : Z a Le | : Hea ecm : Wnts [uav faea Tap? fat att [e Toevea Ge (utvel) (uty). Le L = Wel) | (4tvtl) (ev) Vawanu= 2 ment about man> 4, ‘oe | Le ne a i Eee) (ueveDiaey) (ur Sg ee eae feat vcs dav (ave a eC) Vaaanus 2A _ z = fiw Rela Bis siribadton. Hoe ki AE : daa = Bla aa i. ee an ae MH memumt ait or gin 2 oo _ Lure f pian afi i Be ae —_ ee aan AGO {ag —— MTA an. oF | ahas¥ = ae a [io a re ee put rel “i= tert [tN a Fant: VI fare TA, — | | Man = i vol LV v-l a eile Put r= 2 i | ue late [va = (ur uni [ya TT Fa (y-ANv-8) DR | St (a) | eee UZ) Waa ‘ | _ Vauanus 34 merrut about mean eee) i ea) EUR L Iie (uv twa) DP _ Ee eee = db (yheurv =I phoned vl ava Via, Veal (Y-anly-1) Winton Car v-1)) Cv-ayly-1)* Gam 4 Dchibution — ' i apie family Gams ditn nocd to IWOAAC a funthion rat HoH, an inig aD in many bramchis ee Gamma. fascin eee —— fiat Kr, thc gamnoe fant. fe fran io ll toad SO a a te integy [ai = n=) ______ al ee =o re all ed ce “hk uentinuo Tender vauiobl Xs said tobe fobld — _ Gomme aon — Ayia a = B x aa “20 ao ng Coe y_zo EE p20 l _O. ow a a a | ee ey pasdnks « oe . { Gamma_ me Exponent ae : disbrievrin p=) | Fld = p(usa) x = { JOddz J =o a fip= | fT ee oe Y (loo 00)” [x d pst) $$» 2a nets) > eg ee (0006 GP Bs cl (0000 Eee Ee eesad ee Cz) - (2), i = 2 e 4 pind ro a Sa Meam = _& VOA = ot ; Pp Vor =o. i — Bt : -— cy fx alee 1 feeds 2 [x aa os — oo |. = fat. KI aX, ae eT dn =. ae — ——— = Xe = = “« B ae ae Mea = —*— Vauwanu= £1 Lee fea ae _ [ea = ia fonas te abn jean = = 2. van = Eb") ee xt a Vawana= E(x)" — = a Bg ae —— fo) = EC) =f ae : rez a = Je Ie pe v= WH )— 4 2 8 Mean F a —_ = a = For sma df, clinbripad'm 4 ee Ae stanaara. normal vodLOih 2= 7-H ws §H0(,) oe “> (es, “catia = fx-siP ——__> eS ist Cert | — Ps Mes 4 4p 22 ae as a eee Hee a . Gye a soometia aae a= ss =e ae Ni Pd bey fy > seen see san =. Jotul ana vet — 4 aoe ot pam rs yan = = is S x <0 Speers ie nee ee ie 2 I UMMAH. noun tusb'c gran. _% dy dunnted by Dx (2 Gul= €le**) | pe FH} X50 | fore] | i Zine leone oe ft ae Ch a RSI = E u ra Na 0 ee F ex =a Tel Ea = fet yay. ot = feats ot 00 = 09 ° 0. = fettr tract a en eee I : umila by olyting —> AL Chaat’ nen ig 97 —— Melt Toga cae ieee wee ki te See ee a te nega a qu wa ro — dion the man 8 : be 4 read number a eLXea) S a) 7 ZA PLX2.a) Ula a Fro} :- kit & be G Adyek fandom vari able welt pom. PO) tO= xp ~ a HEME, Zope + SE xpoo b Ae an: > x ae 4) “ ee 2 ap) BUC Wy d = Ela > a 2p ; i Wo. seeaSaaaE mee | oe [olen enae - Shaded Moo a Fot_centinusus dt X be a tre continues radon vomable wot Pape Fld) ne_com _irite. il © E(x= Fe jors = Su dan + Joyous a ese 6 Decqun x 4 ve a 0 a anaes = { =fooe + fyorae : oe D = seat = aa ass ee ae Bee eet / a (xd % aa peeegieey aoa —— Se fedex Emne a (poe eee i | SE merce — — suenpemnnanan| hia Beep epee i us E09|_ Bec einit a hla) vs nen ef am a ( h(X) >a < le og CAL) Sa us due X~ op (2. wiry Moston’ inequality pind on uw = __pppe bod Jor PU) uchut 030 TN | eee 37 Lipper keotnsh arti Hoe x>a POG a) £6) jor expenennad ditt z SE Aa we a PG pas Sete Wee The actral value ¥ “plea)= t ied ~ plx

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