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J of Property Inv & Finance 2012.30:115-144.
The current issue and full text archive of this journal is available at
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Sustainability
The value of sustainability in real in real estate
estate: a review from a valuation
perspective
115
Georgia Warren-Myers
Faculty of Business and Law, Deakin University, Melbourne, Australia
Abstract
Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to synthesise the plethora of research that has been
conducted into the relationship between sustainability and market value in real estate, by critically
analysing the research and the applicability of sustainability and value research in valuation practice.
Design/methodology/approach – The research on the relationship between sustainability and
market value in real estate is examined from the perspective of its usefulness to the valuation
profession in providing guidance, information and evidence to be used in valuation practice.
J of Property Inv & Finance 2012.30:115-144.
Findings – Existing research conducted into the relationship between sustainability and market
value has not provided the valuation profession with evidence which would allow the incorporation of
normative theories on the value of sustainability in valuation practice. This review highlights the lack
of evidence, and the applicability of current research into sustainability and value to the valuation
profession in providing guidance and information in valuing real estate incorporating sustainability.
Practical implications – This paper highlights the limited applicability of research to date in regard
to the relationship between sustainability and market value for the valuation profession. The lack of
historical evidence, data or information on the quantifiable effects on market value of this new trend
(sustainability), leaves the valuation profession uncertain as to the relationship between sustainability
and market value. There is a probable risk of valuers interpreting strategic research incorrectly, and
making inappropriate adjustments or comparisons because of their lack of knowledge and limited
sustainability assessment skills. Although there is an evolving body of knowledge, there is a need for
extensive analysis of unbiased, evidence-based research in individual and broader markets to provide
guidance, evidence and knowledge of the implications of sustainability in the valuation of real estate.
Originality/value – The examination of research investigating the relationship between
sustainability and value from a valuation perspective provides an alternative insight into the
applicability of current research in valuation practice. The increasing profile and role of sustainability
in the real estate sector needs to be addressed in valuation practice; however, the variety of research to
date needs to be interpreted by valuers in the correct context. This paper brings to light the
applicability of sustainability and value research for the broader valuation profession, and the
potential implications of misuse or misunderstanding of that research.
Keywords Real estate, Market value, Valuation, Sustainability, Research work
Paper type Literature review
Introduction
The importance of increasing the level of sustainability in the commercial real estate
stock is paramount for reducing the negative impact of the built environment on our
planet. However, without financial justification and viability of the required investment
it is likely that the advancement of sustainability in commercial real estate will be Journal of Property Investment
limited. Investors are in the business to maximise their return on capital outlay based on & Finance
Vol. 30 No. 2, 2012
economic theory. Valuers, in their pivotal role within real estate markets, as the pp. 115-144
assessors and advisors of market value, are being consulted as to their opinions, q Emerald Group Publishing Limited
1463-578X
judgement, and assumptions about the effect of sustainability on market value. DOI 10.1108/14635781211206887
JPIF Currently, however, the lack of empirical evidence, appropriate knowledge, applicable
30,2 and unbiased research, and assessment tools for sustainability, jeopardise the ability of
valuers to provide an informed opinion of market value for both existing and sustainable
assets.
The lack of evidence for a relationship between sustainability and market value is
seen as a barrier to broader investment (Sayce and Sundberg, 2009). Valuers have been
116 criticised in recent research for being laggards and are being blamed for failing to
produce financial justifications for investing in sustainability in commercial real estate
(Armitage, 2009). Valuers have a pivotal role in the commercial real estate market, not
only as critics of the real estate market but also as the third-party, arbitrary assessors
of the market value of assets (Levy and Schuck, 2005). Consequently, their treatment of
sustainability in valuation practice has ramifications for the real estate industry, and
for broader financial markets with interests in real estate.
A plethora of research has been conducted into the relationship between
sustainability and market value, however, the interpretation and implementation of
this research in valuation has been limited. This paper provides a critical analysis of
the research and highlights the inappropriateness of the research and its applicability,
J of Property Inv & Finance 2012.30:115-144.
Background
The limited number of sustainable properties in the commercial real estate market may
be a result of the inadequate information identifying a relationship between
sustainability and market value. To date, research seems limited to normative
proposals of how sustainability “should” affect market value, demonstrated primarily
through case studies and statistical models which have been used in an attempt to
identify a positive relationship between sustainability and market value. Research on
sustainability and market value has received considerable attention in research in recent
years, which has led to a rapidly evolving body of research. However, the positivist focus
and limited critical assessment of the relationship between sustainability and market
value has left the valuation profession uncertain of the clarity, reliability and validity of
the information presented. Existing research has endeavoured to provide a rationale
and, in some cases, to provide evidence of the relationship between sustainability and
market value. However, the valuation profession, as a whole, seems to have remained
relatively unaware of the research proposing a relationship between sustainability and
market value and the implications for valuation practice.
The evolving body of research has a large proportion focused on the normative
effects of sustainability, indicating how sustainability “should” affect market value, for
example, Paumgartten (2003), Kats (2003) and Bartlett and Nigel (2000). Alternatively,
compelling business cases were developed by industry and government to provide
financial justification for sustainability to real estate owners, managers, developers,
architects and designers of real estate, for example, US Green Building Council (2003),
Frej (2003), Paumgartten (2003), Madew (2006), Lucuik (2005), RICS (2005), New Zealand
Ministry for the Environment (2006, 2007) and Bartlett and Nigel (2000). These studies
concentrate on reduced operating costs and increased occupant productivity, employee
retention, pay-back periods and net present value. However, the conversion from
“should be” to “what” is has been limited, particularly in the production of evidence to
demonstrate the relationship between sustainability and value. From a valuation
perspective, until evidence is available that justifies a relationship through particular Sustainability
parameters required in valuation, there is no motivation to implement normative theory in real estate
regarding sustainability within valuation practice.
Initially, research focused on the relationship between cost and value in addressing
the value of sustainability in commercial real estate (Davis Langdon Consultancy,
2004; Aye et al., 2002; Case, 2005; Matthiessen and Morris, 2004; Suttell, 2006).
However, in established markets such as the commercial office market, the cost 117
approach is not an appropriate method for determining “market” value (Whipple, 1995)
and, consequently, the ability of valuers to use this information and incorporate it into
valuation practice is limited.
Normative theories suggesting how sustainability “should” affect value, have been
interpreted into scenario (case) studies and cost studies, which are not applicable to
valuation practice and the assessment of market value. Consequently, this has led to
more-focused research examining valuation methods to ascertain market value of
sustainable properties. Valuation-based analyses, for example, Bowman and Wills
(2008) and other quantitative studies, such as, Miller et al. (2008b), Fuerst and Mcallister
(2008a) and Pivo and Fisher (2009), have been undertaken in an attempt to provide more
J of Property Inv & Finance 2012.30:115-144.
certainty and evidence around the relationship between sustainability and market value.
However, due to the nature of these studies, their applicability in valuation practice is
limited, as case studies and quantitative studies can be used to inform valuation but not
to actually determine market value.
Suggestions have been made to modify valuation theory and methodologies, or to use
more advanced valuation methodologies in this research area. Research into incorporating
sustainability in valuation has been primarily developed by Sayce and Ellison (2003a, b),
Sayce et al. (2004a, b), Lorenz and Lutzkendorf (2008), Lorenz et al. (2006), Guidry (2004),
Mcnamara (2002, 2005), Boyd and Kimmet (2005) and Kimmet (2006). However, the
applicability of these studies in valuation practice is not appropriate based on either the
ability of valuers to conduct this type of assessment in practice, particularly in regard to
the reliance on large data sets, or on experience with these methods. In addition, the
reliance of global markets on the standardised reporting and assessment measures in
established markets, like the commercial real estate market, means changes to the process
will have profound effects. It has been suggested traditional techniques will provide the
solution, the identification of the value of sustainability, when the market evidence
demonstrates a differential on valuation elements in the assessment process (Boyd, 2006).
However, there has been recent development of research using advanced valuation
methods to ascertain the added value of sustainability, for example, Miller et al. (2007,
2008a, b), Pivo and Fisher (2009), Eichholtz et al. (2008, 2009) and Fuerst and McAllister
(2008a, b). The variability in the results from these studies has not clearly provided a
defined relationship between sustainability and market value, and the reliance on and use
of the information from these studies needs to be considered carefully and cautiously
(Muldavin, 2008a). The studies are mathematical and tend to generalise a market, meaning
that the methods are not generally justifiable in valuation practice, as particular market
nuances are not incorporated and are likely to be ignored or lost in the amount of data and
variables available, and which, if utilised for valuation practice, may lead to incorrect
reporting of values.
This paper investigates the evolving body of research and information focused on
the relationship between sustainability and market value, by analysing and discussing
JPIF the hesitation and lack of incorporation in valuation practice. The majority of research
30,2 to date investigating the relationship between sustainability and value has been
categorised into the following themes to allow critical analysis and examine the
applicability of the theory or study for valuation practice:
.
discussion and analysis of stakeholders’ perceptions and sentiments;
.
normative studies that suggest the relationship “should” be present;
118 .
case studies used to demonstrate normative theory; and
.
quantitative studies to quantify the effect of sustainability.
This paper aims to provide a critical analysis of the research on sustainability and value
from the perspective of a valuer, in order to highlight the type of research available on
this topic and its applicability and implication for the valuation profession.
properties’ market values has been deemed necessary in order to gain market-wide
adoption of sustainability practices. However, the normative research, indicating how
sustainability “should” affect market value, has been a focus in the literature for more
than a decade, without a conclusive answer. The blame has pointed to many
stakeholders in the industry (Cadman, 2000). However, recently, the focus on valuers has
increased and they have been identified as a primary barrier preventing the
identification of the relationship between sustainability and market value.
The drivers for sustainability in commercial real estate have been discussed
vigorously in academia and industry over the past decade and more. Market-focused
drivers (Table I) have been identified by various government bodies, industry and
not-for-profit groups to encourage the uptake and adoption of sustainability practices
in the commercial real estate industry. Although these general market drivers are
considerations, the real estate market needs to be aware that stakeholders are usually
Owners Occupiers
Occupiers
“We would like to have
sustainable buildings
but there are very few available.”
Investors Constructors
“We would fund sustainable The vicious “We can build sustainable buildings,
buildings, but there is but the developers
circle of blame don't ask for them.”
no demand for them.”
Developers
“We would ask for sustainable buildings,
but the investors Figure 1.
won't pay for them.” The vicious circle
of blame
Source: Cadman (2000)
JPIF sustainability adoption was a result of each of the stakeholders blaming another as to
30,2 why they could not act on their desire for sustainability.
There was, however, a missing factor in the original circle of blame developed by
Cadman (2000), that being the role of valuers as advisors to the different sectors of the
market. Thus, the valuation profession has a crucial role in the adoption of sustainability
in the commercial real estate market, because decisions made by real estate investors,
120 financiers, and other stakeholders are based on opinions and advice from valuers. The
importance of financial justification and verification of the effect of sustainability on
asset values by the financial sector, is paramount (RICS, 2005), otherwise there will only
be limited, or no, investment in sustainability. This concept represents a free market
where regulation for sustainability has not been mandated and has meant limited
evolution of sustainability within the market. However, it would be anticipated that any
form of regulation or compliance would have a consequential impact on asset values.
Lorenz (2008) further developed these theories taking a positive perspective on the
elements in the circle of blame theory, and identifying the normative perceptions of the
stakeholders, as shown in Figure 1. Normative research in real estate has been
produced to encourage sustainability in commercial practice. For example, Lorenz has
J of Property Inv & Finance 2012.30:115-144.
Owner Associations
`We represent the interests of our
members but we also encourage Assessors/Certifiers
them to improve sustainability `We assess and communicate the
performance.' Owner/End Users sustainability performance of buildings
`We demand and occupy because that's the basis for improved
sustainable buildings because decision-making.'
Insurers they are cheaper to run,
`We grant better insurance
increase our well-being and
conditions for sustainable
improve our image.'
buildings because they offer
many loss prevention
benefits.'
Educators
Developers `We spread the knowledge on
`We develop sustainable sustainable buildings because that's
Banks buildings because they are critical for the implementation of
`We grant better easier to sell, achieve higher sustainable development principles
financing conditions for prices and are much more within the profession.'
resistant to obsolescence.'
Figure 2. sustainable buildings
because they are less
A contradiction: the risky.'
Policy Makers
virtuous circle of blame `We create a supportive legal framework for the benefit of all.'
and feedback loops
Source: Lorenz (2008)
and occupiers, and encouraging stakeholders, namely, investors and occupiers, to buy Sustainability
into sustainability based on the value, either through investment or occupation. As in real estate
aforementioned, many stakeholders are awaiting financial justification which they are
expecting from the valuation profession. However, limited acknowledgement of any
relationship between sustainability and market value by valuers means limited
investment. It is the same circle of blame, where valuers require evidence to report the
change, but change will not occur if valuers do not present a positive relationship 121
between sustainability and market value. Therefore, research investigating the
perceptions and actions of investors and occupiers is required.
Normative research has attempted to convince the industry of the benefits of
sustainability using a variety of techniques, from cost-benefit analysis, net present value
calculations, and even different valuation techniques. There is still limited empirical
evidence justifying normative statements and theories regarding the relationship
between sustainability and market value. The removal of normative studies and
anecdotal evidence from the field of research significantly reduces the amount of
research on the topic of sustainability and market value (Sayce and Sundberg, 2009).
In order to provide justification of some of the normative theories on the relationship
J of Property Inv & Finance 2012.30:115-144.
between sustainability and market value, research has investigated the perceptions
and willingness-to-pay of investors and occupiers who play key roles in the real estate
market (noted in the circle of blame). However, diverse findings in perception studies
indicate prevalent uncertainty in the industry. Positive perspectives for investors and
occupiers have been promoted, some rationalising the position of the stakeholders and
others actually surveying participants for their opinions on the subject, for example,
Goodman (1994), Lockwood and Deloitte (2008) and Mays (2003). Longitudinal studies
on real estate stakeholders’ perceptions in the UK over ten years, found ambitious
positive perceptions and responses from respondents. However, there was little
indication these stakeholders were seeing any impact on the rents or values in the real
estate market (Parnell and Sayce, 2007). The anticipation of stakeholders of when
sustainability would grow in importance and effect yields was always in the future, by
a couple of years. However, repetition of the study found that this observation moved
further and further out. This has been mirrored in other studies; see, for example,
surveys conducted by Jones Lang LaSalle between 2006 and 2010. These sentiments
were reflected in surveys of the occupiers in the commercial real estate market, with
strong occupier sentiments of sustainability being a prevalent issue then and
increasing occupiers’ willingness-to-pay over the period between 2005 and 2007 ( JLL,
2007b). However, recent survey results indicate a reduction in occupiers’
willingness-to-pay (JLL, 2008). The conversion of willingness-to-pay has not been
evident within the market, which has tactical implications for investors as the cash
flows are yet to be derived and uncertainty remains, and the underlying rationale of
rents and prices remains unanswered (Pfrang and Wittig, 2008). It may be because
stakeholders, occupiers, or investors in the real estate market are not willing to
sacrifice profit for the environment (Merrill Lynch, 2005). The impact sustainability
has on value remains elusive and time does not seem to have provided answers to the
question (Parnell and Sayce, 2007). This may have a relationship with the
characterisation of stakeholders within the real estate market.
In classifying stakeholders’ adoption of sustainability, there are different
classification typologies. Four key categories are applicable when analysing the
JPIF commercial real estate market, and may explain why surveys like JLL and CoreNet
30,2 ( JLL, 2007b) indicate such strong occupier sentiments for willingness-to-pay for
sustainability, but show limited evidence of these inclinations in the market.
Stakeholders can be classified based on their actions and activeness in sustainability in
the market place, using this classification system enables a greater understanding of the
incorporation and investment in sustainability and consequently the evolution of the
122 market towards a more sustainable built environment. These classifications include:
.
regulatory greening;
.
ceremonial greening;
.
competitive greening; and
.
holistic greening ( Jermier and Forbes, 2003).
implications for valuation practice are apparent. Evidence is not forthcoming from
stakeholders within the sector, leaving valuers with no evidence to justify any of the
normative theories of the relationship between sustainability and market value which
they can incorporate into valuation practice.
As a result of inconclusive market evidence, there has also been considerable focus on
case studies, which provide hypothetical reasoning for the normative theories of the
relationship between sustainability and market value. The rationalisation of the benefits
has been developed in a variety of media to encourage and demonstrate sustainability in
commercial real estate. Industry, academia, and government have all developed and
published normative theories of the relationship between sustainability and value using
varying case study analysis with, for example, some using case studies and different
approaches to value justification.
Industry bodies have undertaken considerable research in investigating the
relationship between sustainability and value through a variety of media. Although
using a range of analysis methods, industry bodies have developed research to compel
the positive relationship between sustainability and market value. A representative
example of industry-led research publications examining the relationship between
sustainability and market value and drivers for the real estate market includes JLL (2004,
2007a, b, 2008), Colliers International (2007), CB Richard Ellis (2007), Merrill Lynch
(2005), Davis Langdon Consultancy (2004), Davis Langdon (2007), Investa (2007a, b) and
JP Morgan (2008), Colonial First State (Radanovic and De Francesco, 2008). In addition,
there are many other groups contributing to the growing body of knowledge on the
subject of sustainability and market value. However, the applicability of the information
in these studies to valuation practice is limited. It does, however, demonstrate the
evolution of the market and identification of trends in the commercial real estate market,
which does help to inform valuers of changing elements and perceptions within the
commercial real estate market.
Governments have played a key role in funding sustainability research, which has
been further supported by not-for-profit organisations like the Green Building Council
Australia, and the New Zealand Green Building Council, for example, the Department
JPIF of the Environment, Transport and the Region (DETR 1999, 2000), Egan (2004),
Mays (2003), Kats (2003), New Zealand Ministry for the Environment (2006, 2007) and
30,2 Gbcaus (2008).
Professional bodies have also made a steady commitment to sustainability and
developing research on the role of valuation and sustainability. In particular, the
Appraisal Institute (USA), RICS (worldwide), API (2007) (Australia) and PINZ
124 (New Zealand) have all been involved to varying extents in the education and research of
sustainability in real estate. The funding of major research projects by valuation-based
institutions includes projects, for example, by RICS (2005) and Australian Property
Institute (Bowman and Wills, 2008). Many of these studies have focused on case study
analysis, such as RICS (2005), Madew (2006) and Bowman and Wills (2008), providing
unique case-by-case analysis of the financial benefits of sustainability, and generalising
the findings to be applicable in practice and in global markets. However, most recently,
these bodies have produced some guidance notes, valuation information papers and
education programs for valuers identifying the increasing role of sustainability in
commercial real estate (RICS, 2009).
J of Property Inv & Finance 2012.30:115-144.
and increasing issues regarding risk and obsolescence and its relationship with
valuation issues.
.
Scott (2009) – review of green building valuation in the construction section and
the paradigm shift.
.
Sayce and Sundberg (2009) – examination of the body of research and the quest
to find the business case for sustainability.
. Reed (2009) – normative analysis of drivers of value in the valuation process and
sustainability.
.
RICS (2009) – statement of norms regarding the valuation of sustainability,
providing guidance, and caution in valuing sustainability.
The benefits of sustainability and the relationship with market value have been
discussed in detail by various researchers – academic, industry, government, and
not-for-profit organisations. Although benefits may exist, the ability to quantify and
assess a relationship between sustainability and market value is somewhat more
difficult. As shown in Table III, the majority of studies have focused on cost-benefit
analysis and the justification of expenditure on the return receivable, either through
occupier productivity, reduced operating costs or increased rents and prices. Although
some of these studies provided evidence to justify the claims made, the inferences made
regarding value did not demonstrate a comparison to market value, which is obtained
through valuation methods. They do, however, have variations in their methodology,
including cost-benefit analysis ratios, life-cycle analysis assessments, pay-back ratios
and calculations, all used as economic assessment tools which are typically used as
performance evaluation tools by stakeholders. These analyses demonstrate the effect on
a dollar value for stakeholders. However, they do not interpret the effects nor show a
relationship between sustainability and market value from a valuation perspective. Net
present value calculations were used in a number of studies to justify the financial
expenditure on sustainability in commercial real estate, for example, see New Zealand
Ministry for the Environment (2006, 2007). However, the incorporation of unproven
benefits relating to occupier health and well-being creates more normative assumptions
which are not identified in traditional valuation techniques. From a valuation
perspective, the evidence for added value would need to eventuate through traditional
elements related to market value, for example, an increase in rent as a result of occupiers
being willing to pay more for the perceived benefits of improved occupier health and
comfort. However, calculating the added value through employee health and
productivity does not have a direct relationship with the market value of the real
estate (Kimmet, 2006).
Other studies have concentrated on using valuation methodology to demonstrate the
relationship between sustainability and market value. Many of the studies focused on
the cost approach in particular, for example, Davis Langdon Consultancy (2004),
Matthiessen and Morris (2004), and English (2004). Although these studies provide
Life cycle Traditional Case Actual
Sustainability
and benefits valuation Quantitative Hypothetical study market in real estate
Research analysis analysis analysis analysis analysis analysis
sustainability and market value, for example, RICS (2005), JLL (2006) and Bowman and
Wills (2008). Many of these studies use normative theory as the basis for assumptions,
particularly regarding increased rents and reduced operating expenditure and, in some
cases, make adjustments to the capitalisation rates. Whether these studies are based on
real or hypothetical properties, the processes used in valuation practice are not
necessarily adhered to in the development of case studies, as it is a case study not a
market valuation. Consequently, the use of heuristics in ascertaining and judging the
correctness of the end value could be open to considerable interpretation and variation.
Some research has investigated the relationship from a theoretical perspective in
valuation practice using traditional valuation theory and theory relating to the benefits
from sustainability. There has also been research based on normative theory, which
relies on incorporating the triple bottom line approach and its integration and role within
valuation (Kimmet and Boyd, 2004; Boyd and Kimmet, 2005, 2006). Their theoretical
approach identified a relationship between sustainability and market value using triple
bottom line theory, rather than demonstrating the added value of sustainability, as
shown in Figure 3. The rationale used to construct the theory of triple bottom line
valuations was based primarily on sustainable criteria already established, in this case,
the Green Building Council of Australia and their environmental rating tool, Green Star
(Kimmet and Boyd, 2004). However, the focus on design and construction in the Green
Star tool, rather than the operational period, creates a disconnect between the perception
and interpretation of the framework by stakeholders in comparison to valuers (Boyd and
Kimmet, 2005).
Similar relationships between sustainability and market value in valuation were
identified by Pivo (2008) and Pivo and Fisher (2009), as shown in Table IV. Pivo and
Fisher’s (2009) theory focused on particular attributes noted to be key sustainability
parameters identified by Pivo (2008). Their research identified the relationship with
market value through valuation theory.
The use of valuation methods, either in a theoretical context or in case study analysis,
has not yet provided certainty within the commercial real estate market as to the
relationship between sustainability and market value. This has led to research focused
Environmentally Efficient Buildings Sustainability
in real estate
Improved working Reduced building Reduced facilities
Greater capital cost
environment operating cost maintenance costs
129
Greater demand for Lower operating Lower operating and/or Causes lower initial
space expenditure capital expenditure return on capital
Figure 3.
Positive impact on Positive impact on Positive impact on Negative impact on Key benefits of
value value value value sustainability and impact
on value
Source: Boyd (2006)
J of Property Inv & Finance 2012.30:115-144.
on the analysis of actual evidence from the markets. Empirical studies of note that
investigate the relationship between sustainability and market value began with
Lorenz et al. (2006, 2007), who investigated the relationship with sales prices and
sustainability using hedonic pricing approach in residential units in Germany. These
studies identified key considerations and issues in the use of hedonic pricing models and
regression models in the provision of discrete values, as follows:
. Results can be plausible and useful, however, they are reliant on the quality of
transaction data (Lorenz et al., 2006).
.
Better clarification of sustainability levels and real estate improvements in the
data sets would improve the results (Lorenz et al., 2006).
.
Location is still the predominant variable affecting price, outperforming all other
categories (Lorenz et al., 2006).
.
In valuation practice, the ability to categorise sustainable design features in the
model meant there were limited issues surrounding valuer knowledge,
judgement, and experience (Lutzkendorf and Lorenz, 2006).
JPIF More recently, the commercial real estate market has also used the hedonic regression
30,2 analysis technique to investigate the relationship between green (sustainable)
certification and rents, prices, and value for commercial real estate in the USA (Fuerst
and Mcallister, 2008a; Eichholtz et al., 2008, 2009; Miller et al., 2008a; Pivo and Fisher,
2009). The relevance of quantitative measures and analysis in being able to determine
and prove the value of sustainability in commercial real estate has been long awaited
130 by the commercial real estate market (Muldavin, 2008a). These quantitative studies
have utilised the upgrades to the CoStar and National Council of Real Estate
Investment Fiduciaries (NCREIF) databases, which have identified green or
sustainable properties in the USA. This has enabled quantitative research to be
undertaken in order to identify whether a relationship exists between sustainability
and market value in commercial properties – the parameters of the studies are
highlighted in Table V. Several releases of the same study were identified, and the
results varied with the revisions. All studies found a positive relationship between
sustainability, and rents and values.
The reporting of results from the different studies has yielded considerably varied
J of Property Inv & Finance 2012.30:115-144.
Classifications Rent
and sample increases
Author Approach Database size (%) Values Result
samples are required in order to identify the true value differential. Another factor for
consideration, were findings from a concentrated market study of the Chicago office
market which found Energy Star properties did not transact as frequently as other
properties and the researchers observed this was likely a result of long-term investment
which may affect the price premiums observed in the market for those properties
(Dermisi and Mcdonald, 2009). The classifications of certifications are not examined on a
level of sustainability, and only refer to whether the real estate has received either a
LEED or Energy Star certification without reference to any level which limits the
comparability of the data. Miller et al. (2008b) observe the results received are from a
variety of properties, in different locations, of different attributes, and different
certifications which cannot be explained explicitly by the real estate data available.
There is evidence to suggest possible relationships; however, the large variance in the
data means the results cannot be considered statistically significant with confidence.
The studies by Miller et al. (2007, 2008a, b), Fuerst and McAllister (2008a, b) and
Eichholtz et al. (2008, 2009) all used data from transactions in the market from the
CoStar database. However, effective analysis was undertaken in some studies based on
real estate occupancy that demonstrated stronger statistical significance in the
findings (Miller et al., 2008a, b). The strongest data evidence is focused on California
where other factors may be influencing the market, like government policies. On the
other hand, Pivo and Fisher (2009) used the NCREIF database which allowed access to
market valuation of the properties. This meant there were no issues with appraisal
smoothing (Geltner, 1991; Fisher and Geltner, 2000) and the comparison and analysis of
these values in regression meant a closer “like-with-like” comparison (Pivo and Fisher,
2009) compared to the CoStar studies, which utilised sales and rent transaction data.
However, the experience and judgement of the valuers who valued these NCRIEF
properties are not examined. Nevertheless, location was identified as the major
contributor affecting value, but there is evidence to suggest there are relationships
between sustainability, and rents and values. However, this does not necessarily infer
that the real estate is going to automatically generate higher investment returns
(Pivo and Fisher, 2009), and the assessment of market value is highly dependent on
JPIF market dynamics (Fuerst and Mcallister, 2008a). The valuation models used in practice
30,2 and heuristics used by valuers based on their strategic knowledge of sustainability and
expert intuition will, consequently, play a role in the identification of a relationship
between sustainability and market value (Lorenz et al., 2006).
These quantitative studies provide a strategic and informative opinion based on
empirical analysis of current data. However, these studies do not provide the
132 framework from which valuers are able to utilise the information to accurately assess a
relationship between sustainability and market, as the reliability and communication
of the specific quantitative results of these studies are incomplete and inadequate for
use in practice (Muldavin, 2008a).
There are certainly indications from hypothetical analyses, case studies, and
quantitative assessments of a relationship between sustainability and market value.
This has provided sufficient drivers for stakeholders in the industry to take on the risks
of uncertainty and endeavour to implement and incorporate sustainability in
commercial real estate. However, from a valuation perspective, the use of
performance-based tools focused on cost-benefit analysis, residual analysis, and
economic assessment are not appropriate measures of market value from a valuation
J of Property Inv & Finance 2012.30:115-144.
practice perspective (Whipple, 1995). The approaches used to justify the effect of
sustainability on value have been undertaken using inappropriate methods of
calculation for valuers when addressing the relationship between sustainability and
market value.
the real estate (Robinson, 2005). Although a positive relationship was found, the
assumptions used were based on normative theory, and increases in rent based on
better productivity levels misdirected the concept of value in this study. Primarily, this
approach is used in feasibility analysis for development projects, residential and
englobo developments (Whipple, 1995). It is not an appropriate approach for
ascertaining the market value of sustainable commercial real estate.
There were a number of studies which endeavoured to use traditional commercial
valuation methods, primarily the capitalisation of income and DCF approaches in
analysing the relationship and effect of sustainability on market value, for example, see
JLL (2004, 2006) and Bowman and Wills (2008). However, the application of these studies
used these methods in a hypothetical sense, although often using actual case studies.
They are hypothetical because, for a true analysis of the market value, comparisons need
to be drawn from the market in order to assess and make assumptions around particular
parameters required in valuation practice. Although finding positive correlations
between sustainability and market value, the processes required in practice may not lead
to the same conclusions. In practice, assessment of market value requires a particular
level of heuristics and expert intuition to form appropriate assessments, judgements,
and assumptions in the application of valuation techniques to real estate which are
based on historic information and trends. There are limited evidence and mechanisms in
the market to help address and identify a relationship between sustainability and
market value. Consequently, the industry and “green wash” has further prevented a
clear relationship between sustainability and market value being drawn in valuation
practice (Lutzkendorf and Lorenz, 2006). Value has traditionally been judged in terms of
location, quality, function, and aesthetics. There is now a wider contingent of factors,
however, on how to identify the value in these factors which still remains a key barrier
for the industry (Bartlett and Nigel, 2000). There are those who believe for sustainability
to be assessed, and a relationship between sustainability and market value identified,
modified, and improved valuation tools and methodologies are required (Ellison et al.,
2007). However, valuers are challenged in identifying the “right” sustainability metrics
in which to examine and compare real estate attributes and characteristics. The range of
JPIF rating tools and systems available complicate matters further by having complex and
30,2 often arbitrary assessment methods, which lead to levels of certification being achieved,
albeit by completely different parameters (Warren-Myers and Reed, 2009).
A number of case study analyses have utilised traditional income approaches in
assessing the relationship between sustainability and market value; however,
incorporations of sustainability into the actual valuation methodology have been
134 attempted by Sayce and Ellison (2003a, b). The valuation process, namely, the income
approach adopted, required the defining of sustainability and its relationship with
different valuation variables. This was undertaken based on normative theories and
industry consultation. The sustainability attributes identified were then weighted as to
their relationship and level of effect on particular valuation variables. The application of
this adapted valuation model to a series of case studies identified a devaluing of the
properties when sustainability was incorporated in the assessment approach; although
this method certainly identified the effect of incorporating sustainability assessment
into valuation and the impact on real estate market values. The arbitrary assessment and
treatment of sustainability variables and the impact on market value was not developed
from market evidence and trends evident in the market place. Consequently, this model
J of Property Inv & Finance 2012.30:115-144.
Traditional Approaches
Data Application
Report of
Analysis of traditional
defined
(i.e. market valuation
Identification value and/or
analysis and approaches
range of
highest and best and value
use analysis) values
judgement
Quantification
Data Analysis of
(i.e. application relationships/
Identification of advanced Interpretation
value
valuation estimates/
approaches) visualisation Figure 4.
The valuation
Advanced Approaches
methodology: traditional
and advanced methods
Source: Lorenz and Lutzkendorf (2008) Figure 3
JPIF .
treatment of data, in particular, the assumptions and adjustments used in
30,2 analysis, for example, the use of effective rents based on real estate occupancy
levels (Miller et al., 2008a, b);
.
indefinite analysis of sustainability levels apart from certified versus
non-certified;
.
inadequate sampling, limited data, issues with significance testing and control of
136 variables (Salzmann et al., 2005);
.
interpretation and misinterpretation of results by the industry (Muldavin, 2008a);
and
.
the inappropriateness of these studies to be used in valuation practice for the
assessment of market value (Whipple, 1995).
Further to the issues with the comparability of the quantitative studies, the treatment of
comparable properties within the studies is questionable for valuation practice. For truly
comparable real estate, one would need both certified and non-certified real estate in an
almost identical location that appealed to the same type of market and of similar quality,
J of Property Inv & Finance 2012.30:115-144.
height, aspect, age, lease and tenant configuration, and so forth (Muldavin, 2008a). Some
of the quantitative studies developed to date had properties up to a quarter of a kilometre
away from the sustainable real estate, for instance, in Eichholtz et al. (2009). The use of
hedonic pricing models for heterogenic real estate cannot conclusively indicate a
relationship between sustainability and market value, or the effect of sustainability on
market value. Even with more universal concepts like funds or stocks, it has been
demonstrated there can be large variances in findings on the relationship between
sustainability and value (Stenstrom and Thorell, 2007).
solved through further market evolution and clear differentiation of the effects of
sustainability on market value through extensive analysis of unbiased evidence-based
research in individual and broader markets. Thus, the need for unbiased research is
clear. The global push for sustainability and the emotional and moral requirements
that sustainability necessitates make it difficult to develop research demonstrating
unbiased opinions and market observations. From a valuation perspective, it is
difficult to ascertain the level of bias in publications of the effects on prices, rents, and
market values; which only makes the valuers’ role more difficult and also confuses the
investors.
Valuers need to constantly address the many issues that may affect their liability
and responsibility to their clients. In particular, further research, strategic knowledge
development and market-specific investigation are all required to develop valuers’
heuristics. As the market changes and develops, valuers need to develop their opinions
and understanding concurrently with the market.
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Estate Valuation in Global Markets, Appraisal Institute, Chicago, IL.
Corresponding author
Georgia Warren-Myers can be contacted at: g.warrenmyers@deakin.edu.au
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