Robert C. Allen
GLOBAL
ECONOMIC
HISTORY
A Very Short IntroductionChapter 1
The great divergence
fasco da Gama sailed to India and Columbus
discovered the Americas.
‘We can divide the last 500 years into three pericds, The first,
hich lasted from 1500 to about 1800, was the mereanti
began with the voyages of Columbus and da Gama, which led toan integrated global economy, and ended with th
Revolution. The Americas were settled and exported silver, sugar
1d tobacco; Africans were shipped as slaves to the Americas to
ice these gods; and Asia sent spices, textiles, and porcelain
1e expense ofthe colonies, but
3, was not the objective
By the time Napoleon was defeated at Waterloo
lead in industry andl was out-comy
Europe and the USA made economic
ty and tried to achieve it with a standard
creation of a unified national market by
ency andl finance ind
‘These policies were suocessfal in Western Europe and North,
America, and the countries in these regions joined Britain to form
ly and without great success
ompetition de-industrialized most of Asia, and Afriea
tne policies that had worked in Western
in Germany, and the USA proved less effective
‘mote nel more capit
‘more expensive labour, Much ofthis new technology is not
cost-effective in low-wage countries, but it is what they need in|
2
order to catch up to the West, Most countries have adopted
modern
ig and investment coordination to jump
Before we can learn how some counties becane rh, we must
establish mher they became rich. Between 1500 and 1800,
rich countries forged a
‘of GDP (gross dom
Europe was already the richest
been under way for two generations, and Great Britain was
‘the second richest economy, with an income of $1,706 in 1820.
‘Western Europe and Britains offshoots (Canads, Australia, New
Zealand, and the USA) had incomes of between 31100 and
$1,200. The rest ofthe world lagied behind, wih per capita
Incomes between $500 and $700. Affiea was the poorest
continent at $115,
soap saat
‘Between 1820 and the present, the income gapshave expanded
‘ith only afew exceptions. The countries that were richest in
1620 have grown the most. ‘Today's rich countries have average
incomes of $25,000-$50,000,
,987. The phenomenon of
hieb the regions plotted towards the right with
higher incomes in 1820 had the greatest income growth factors,
‘and the regions on the eft with lower initial incomes had smaller‘Iuble 1, GDP per person around the world, 1820-2008,
1820 1918 1940 1989 2008
(Great Britain 106 som xs 6a ara
Weterlands ssa 4039 x90 1895 605 e
Other Western nor 608 $997 16880 an90
Europe =
Mediteranean 985 1928 2018 29 ss2i8
Europe ee
[Norther Europe __898 3996 ast vee a
USA,Canada, NZ, 1202 saa 638 sass sons
Astalia
Easter Europe can at = ==
ssh 6s as mn 1908
Argentine, Uruguay, 712 asa noe asa sa
‘ite E
ee) 1940 1989 2008
ger tain 8 nga ass 3965 om
Jaan xy ver ase ota ans
Thivan&SKorea sass a0. 20036
hina 600 asa se. aa ora
‘eee ‘93 92 2698
OthereastAsia 562 ang a1
Middle Bt Noth 64 29% 1800 sso mo
SubSaharmatrin 45 68a 166 a
World 686 12s 1958 suo a
Sera ee nein omy lithe lime ged Ii ODF cdo aur
‘Nis Gia tin nls Soy al Ee eh i|
GuK
DW. Europe
MN America
Corina
East Asia
Indian subcontinent
Rest of Wors
Growth lat, 1820 to 2008
ar ar er a eT)
{GOP por hoad in 1620,
002
964
est
S61
61
eet
the Middle ast, and much of sub-Saharan Aftica were less
1820 and achioving
jen even farther behind the West
eet
oot
con
con
i
con #
on F
out
sieeccgecaaed SenREEREbE? 4
incomes (Figure 2). In 1750, most of the BSSRBEReRRSS Z
1290) pom yo aBewenieg
anufacturing took place n China (35% of the wo
and the Indian subeontinent (25%). Produetion per person was
6tl ecommichtory
Jower'in Asia than i the richer countrias of Western Europe, but the
dlierentials were comparatively small. By
‘transformed. The Chinese and Indian shares of world
‘manufaeturing had dropped to 4% and 1% respetively The UK, the
USA, and Europe accounted for three-quarters of the total
per head in the UK was.98 times that in
China and 58 times that in India. Not only ad British output grovm
and metallurgical industries were
wehanized producers in the Wost. nth
sformed from the world’s manufacturing
reveled counties specialized inthe
In this period, Britain's share of world
‘manufacturing inereased from 2% to 23%, and it was British
competition that destroyed traditional manufacturing in Asi. The
period from 1880 to the Second Woeld War was marked by the
alization of the USA and continental Europe including
particular, Their shares reached 3% and 24%,
Germany,
respectively
its share dropped to 19%.
Real wages
GDP is not an adequate measure of wellbeing I leaves out many
factors such as health life expectaney, and eduestional
attainment. In addition, absence of data often makes GDP hard to
1 be bought with one’s ear
much about the standard of living of the
che origins and spread of mode
[focus on labourers, To measure their standatdof living, their
‘wages must be compared tothe pres of consuner goods, and
those prices
‘vegetable oil provides a litle ft. This was pi
1500. Franciseo Polsaert, a Dutch merchant who vs
oon 16 gh
with ree. ten with butter inthe eveniag, in the day time
they munch a litle parched pulse or athergrain"The workmen
‘The Fundamental standard of living question is whether afi
‘empleyed labourer earned enough to support a femilyat ar
°Table 2, Bare-bones subsistence basket of goods
‘quantity protein
perman calories (grams)
er year per day perday
food
rin Teri 1657 2
eas 2oks 7 *
she Es 3
akg 60 °
1938 9
non-food
sap
Ainea/eotion
lamp oil
fel
bones subsistence, Figure 2 shows the ratio of fall-time earnings
ils cst of subsistence, Today, living standards are
ad, butby the 1th
Middle Ages, Florentine workers ate
w
[== London
+ Amstercam
Doh!
+ Valencia
= Florence
+ Being
Income relative to cost of subsistence
ol
1825 1425 1525 16251725. 1625,
8, Subsistence ratio for labourers
‘entury they could afford only polenta made fram maize, newly
Introduced from the Americas,
southem England also had the income to purchase:
the 18th century such as the odd book, «mirror,
Real wages have diverged as dramatically as GD? per head. Figure
“shoves the real wage of ll
bap esau50
: fi
10
sew sac}
300 140071600 1600" 71700 10001500" 2000
44, Subsistence ratio, Landon and Bejing
Income relative tacos of subsistence
2
the average incomes were only $500-$700. Me
subsistence, and the surplus was extracted
aristocracy, and the rch merchants. Northwestern Europe and the
‘USA had incomes four to sx times subsistence. Only in these
societies did workers live above bare-bones subsistence, as Figure
shows. These ies were suficently productive to also
support aristocracies and merehan
‘Bare-bones subsistence has further
wellbeing and economie progress.
bare-bones diet are
‘enlisted inthe Habsban
«let shifted from bread to penta In contrast, English soldiers in
the 1th century averaged 172 em due
a London gardener who spent 6 pence per week sending two of his
children to school. The family bought wheat bread, meat, ber,
75 per year) were about four
igh wages contributed to economic growth by
good health and supporting widespread education.
and most paradoxically, bare-bones subeistence removes
the economie motivation fora country to develon economically
‘Theneed for more outpy
mons eanChapter 2
The rise of the West
‘Why has the world become ineeasingly unequal? Bat
‘Geography is important. Malaria holds back the tropics, and
Britains coal depos
‘Geography is rarely the whole explanation, however, for its
significance depends on technology and economic
indeed, one ofthe aims of technology is to reduce
of ad geography: Inthe 18th century, for instance,
and Weber’ theory is no longer tenable. Another cultural
argument claims that peasant farmers in the Third World are poor
because they cling to traditional methods and fall to
‘economic incentives. The contrary, however, is true: farmers in
dw
seeds when they are cost-ffetive, and
response to price changes
feaansare pores slo oe ie
and because a
ck appropriate technology ~ not because they
universal strategy for economic development.
‘The importance of political and legal
on, and rent-seeking.
~all of which reduce the incentive to produce. These views are
legality and levied forced I
without Parliament failed,King was convieted of treason and executed. After the
Restoration, disputes between Crown and Parliament eontinued,
however, finally culminating in the Glorious Revolution of 1688
‘when James I fled the eountry and Parliament gave the Crown
‘to William and Mary. With Parliament supreme, absolutism was
ced, and the economy boomed. So goes the economists?
expropriation or intervention by the emperor.
tal conocer
The first globalization
utions, culture, and geography always Turk i the
background, technological change, globalization, and economic
Invented fl-rigged ships had three masts ~ the front and middle
were square-rigged and the aft as latcen-rigged. Starder hulls
and the use of rudders instead ofstering oars made ships that
could navigate the globe,
In 1495, Vasco da Gama reached Cochin in India, and
ship with pepper. The price in Cochin was about 4% of
Europe (Figure 5). The other 96% of the
‘transport costs BY 1760, the gap between the Irdian and English
une 5 had dropped by 85
increased by only a sal
from the Asian trade were reapel by European8
8
8
GGrems of ever per kilogram
8
iso ve00 1550 1000 165017001780
— Engard — ra]
45, Price of pepper adjusted to price level of1600
early winners,
Portuguese defeated
where nutmeg, loves, and mace
also accidentally discovered
lowed by the discovery of large silver deposits in
olivia and Mexico. The silver flooding into Spain paid for the
fighting the Protestants across Europe, provided
uropeans with the cash to buy up Asian goods and unleashed
known as the Price Revolution.
forces, and established foried trading posts
abroad. All ofthe northern powers had them, Tre English Bast
India Company was chartered
rears lter
indonesian possessions in
the 1650s and 1640s. Theycolonized sugar islands in the Caribbean, and founded New York
in 1624 and the Cape Colony in South Aftica in 1652.
“The English also created an empirein the 17th century. In Asia,
‘the English East India Company defeated the Portuguese in the
naval battle of Sally off Surat in 1612. Subsequently
trading posts were established at Sorat (1612), Madras (1699),
als and groups es
Vinginia, was the frst success
yd in 1620, and the much more important
1690s, Jamaica was added in 1655.
‘The English state aetively expanded its empire ~ particularly at
the expense of the Dutch. The first steps were taken by Oliver
‘Crommell, daring the Commonwealth (1640-60), snd continued
after the Restoration. Expenditure-on the nayy was greatly
increased, The first Navigation Act was passed in 1651. This
stlist measure was intended to exelude the Dutch from
lish empire. The first Anglo-Dutch War
fought for commercial advantage, but was far from
360, the
[Navigation Acts were reinstated and extended, the (now Royal)
[Naxy was expanded, and more wats were fought against the Dutch
in 1665-7 and 1672-4. New York was seized in 1664. English
rw established along the American coast from Georgia
‘to Maine. Their economies grew rapidly by exporting tobacco,
tice, wheat, and meat to England and the Caribbean. By 1770,
ish America had reached 2.8 million, or almost
English and Dutch trade with thet colonies drove their economies
forward, Cities and export-oriented manufacturing grew. The
20
Table 3. Percentage distribution of the population by sector, 1500-1750
agri
culture
nonagei
cealture
1750)
rural
urban
22K sox
23%
7
agri
culture
nonagei-
culture
1500
rural
urban,
seatest transformation
18%
‘Significant modernization
‘Netherlands
England
Belgium
sigh evolution
Germany
26
France
(continued)1750.
ural
1500
rural
nonagei-
culture
agri-
culture
‘urban
nonagri- —agri-
celture
ceulture
‘urban
a
a
ia/ Hungary
Asti
60
Poland
26
litle change
aly
Spain
w
9
and the servants of eountry hoases, In 1500, Italy
and Spain were the most advanced economies, withthe largest
«ities that produced the best manufactures. The Low Countries
By the eve of the Indastrial Rew
reaching changes. England was the:
ie ofthe population was 329% in 1750. Most
were engaged in manufacturing
their produets were shipped across Europe and, sometimes,
around the world. Artisans in Witney, Oxfordshire, fr instance,
sold blankets to the Hudson Bay Company, which swapped them
for for with the natives of Canada. The eesmomy ofthe Low
‘Countries developed along similar lines, The Netherlands were
even more urbanized than England and also hac
oriented rural industries
suman pai,atl Econmic tay
and firew
purred northwestern Europe forwat
southern Europe back,
‘or were the prineipal fuels burned in cities. Asthe cities
1d prices skyrocketed, and subst
Po
Grams of sve pee mtn BTUs
suaonyo2siqsChapter 3
The Industrial Revolution
ly 1760 to 1850) was turning,
for it inaugurated the era of sustained
wth. The Revolution was not theabrupe