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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
RECOMMENDED READING
• [1] Ross, S. A., Westerfield, R. W. and Jordan, B. D. (2019) Fundamentals of Corporate Finance. 12th ed.
New York: McGraw-Hill Education.
• [2] Brealey, R. A., Myers, S. C. and Allen, F. (2020) Principles of Corporate Finance. 13th ed. New York:
McGraw-Hill Education.
• [3] Trần Nguyễn Minh Hải, Nguyễn Đức Trung và ctg. (2021) Tài chính doanh nghiệp. Trường ĐH Ngân hàng
TP Hồ Chí Minh.
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COURSE OUTLINE
Chapter 1: An Introduction to Corporate finance
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
KEY CONCEPTS AND SKILLS
1-7 Know Know the basic types of financial management decisions and the
role of the financial manager
Know Know the financial implications of the different forms of business
organization
Know Know the goal of financial management
Understand Understand the conflicts of interest that can arise between owners
and managers
Understand Understand the various types of financial markets
1-8
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
CORPORATE FINANCE
• Some important questions that are answered using finance:
• What long-term investments should the firm take on?
• Where will we get the long-term financing to pay for the investment?
• How will we manage the everyday financial activities of the firm?
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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
FINANCIAL MANAGER
• Financial managers try to answer some or all of these questions
• The top financial manager within a firm is usually the Chief Financial Officer
(CFO)
• Treasurer – oversees cash management, credit management, capital expenditures,
and financial planning
• Controller – oversees taxes, cost accounting, financial accounting and data processing
1-10
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT DECISIONS
• Capital budgeting
• What long-term investments or projects should the business take on?
• Capital structure
• How should we pay for our assets?
• Should we use debt or equity?
1-11
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
CAPITAL BUDGETING DECISION
• Capital budgeting decision (investment decision, capital expenditure-capex) is the
process of planning and managing a firm’s long-term investments.
• The financial manager tries to identify investment opportunities that the value of the
cash flow generated by that investment exceeds the cost of that investment.
• The types of investment opportunities that would typically be considered depend in
part on the nature of the firm’s business
• Evaluating the size, timing, and risk of future cash flows is the essence of capital
budgeting.
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
CAPITAL STRUCTURE DECISION
• Capital structure (or Financing decision) concerns ways in which the firm obtains and
manages the long-term financing it needs to support its long term investments. A firm’s
capital structure (or financial structure) is the specific mixture of long-term debt and
equity the firm uses to finance its operations.
• First, how much should the firm borrow? Second, what are the least expensive sources
of funds for the firm?
• Firms have a great deal of flexibility in choosing a financial structure. The question of
whether one structure is better than any other for a particular firm is the heart of the
capital structure issue.
• The financial manager has to decide exactly how and where to raise the money.
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT
• Working capital include firm’s short-term assets and liabilities, such as inventory,
money owed to suppliers.
• Managing the firm’s working capital is a day-to-day activity that ensures that the firm
has sufficient resources to continue its operations and avoid costly interruptions
• Some questions of working capital management: How much cash and inventory should
we keep on hand? (2) Should we sell on credit? If so, what terms will we offer, and to
whom will we extend them? (3) How will we obtain any needed short-term financing?
Will we purchase on credit or will we borrow in the short term and pay cash? If we
borrow in the short term, how and where should we do it?
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
CONCEPT QUESTIONS
• What is the capital budgeting decision?
• What do you call the specific mixture of long-term debt and equity that a firm chooses
to use?
• Into what category of financial management does cash management fall?
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
EXAMPLES OF RECENT INVESTMENT AND FINANCING DECISIONS BY
MAJOR PUBLIC CORPORATIONS.
Capital budgeting decision Capital structure decision
Intel (U.S.) Invests $7 billion in expanding semiconductor plant in Borrows $600 million from Chandler Industrial
Chandler, Arizona Development Authority.
Amazon (U.S.) Acquires self-driving start-up, Zoox, for over $1.2 Reinvests $33 billion that it generates from
billion operations
Amazon (U.S.) Announces construction of new plant to build the Announces plans to sell $2 billion of shares
electric Cybertruck
Shell (U.K./Holland Starts production at a deep-water development in the Cuts dividend to preserve cash
Gulf of Mexico
GlaxoSmithKline Spends $6 billion on research and development for Raises $1 billion by an issue 8-year bonds
(U.K.) new drugs.
Ørsted (Denmark) Completes a 230-MW wind farm in Nebraska Arranges a borrowing facility with 14 international
banks
Unilever Spends $8 billion on advertising and marketing Pays a dividend and completes $200 million
(U.K./Holland) program to buy back shares
Carnival Launches four new cruise ships Raises $770 million by sale of bonds; each bond can
Corporation be converted into about 19 shares
(U.S./U.K.)
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
FORMS OF BUSINESS ORGANIZATION-1
• Three major forms of business
• Sole Proprietorship
• Partnership
• General
• Limited
• Corporation
• Joint stock company
• Limited Liability Company
1-17
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
SOLE PROPRIETORSHIP
• Advantages • Disadvantages
• Easiest to start • Limited to life of owner
• Least regulated • Equity capital limited to owner’s
• Single owner keeps all the profits personal wealth
• Taxed once as personal income • Unlimited liability
• Difficult to sell ownership interest
1-18
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
PARTNERSHIP
• Advantages • Disadvantages
• Two or more owners • Unlimited liability
• More capital available • General partnership
• Relatively easy to start • Limited partnership
1-19
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
CORPORATION
• Advantages • Disadvantages
• Limited liability • Separation of ownership
• Unlimited life and management
• Separation of ownership • Double taxation (income
and management taxed at the corporate
• Transfer of ownership is rate and then dividends
easy taxed at the personal
rate)
• Easier to raise capital
1-20
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
GOAL OF FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT
• What should be the goal of a corporation?
• Maximize profit?
• Minimize costs?
• Maximize market share?
• Maximize the current value of the company’s stock?
• Does this mean we should do anything and everything to maximize owner
wealth?
1-21
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
THE AGENCY PROBLEM
• Agency relationship
• Principal hires an agent to represent his/her interests
• Stockholders (principals) hire managers (agents) to run the company
• Agency problem
• Conflict of interest between principal and agent
1-22
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
MANAGING MANAGERS
• Managerial compensation
• Incentives can be used to align management and stockholder interests
• The incentives need to be structured carefully to make sure that they achieve their
goal
• Corporate control
• The threat of a takeover may result in better management
• Other stakeholders
1-23
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
WORK THE WEB EXAMPLE
• The Internet provides a wealth of information about individual companies
• Some information providers: cafef.vn, vietstock.vn, cophieu68.vn
• Click on the web surfer to go to the site, choose a company and see what
information you can find!
1-24
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
QUICK QUIZ
• What are the three types of financial management decisions and what
questions are they designed to answer?
• What are the three major forms of business organization?
• What is the goal of financial management?
• What are agency problems and why do they exist within a corporation?
• What is the difference between a primary market and a secondary market?
1-25
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
ETHICS ISSUES
• Is it ethical for tobacco companies to sell a product that is known to be addictive and a
danger to the health of the user? Is it relevant that the product is legal?
• Should boards of directors consider only price when faced with a buyout offer?
• Is it ethical to concentrate only on shareholder wealth, or should stakeholders as a whole be
considered?
• Should firms be penalized for attempting to improve returns by stifling competition (e.g.,
Microsoft)?
1-26
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND KEY
FINANCIAL INDICATORS
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
• Balance sheet
• Income statement
• Cash flow statement
• Explanatory note
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
BALANCE SHEET
• The balance sheet is a snapshot of the firm’s assets and liabilities at a given
point in time
• Assets are listed in order of decreasing liquidity
• Ease of conversion to cash
• Without significant loss of value
• Balance Sheet Identity
• Assets = Liabilities + Stockholders’ Equity
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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
THE BALANCE SHEET - FIGURE 2.1
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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
NET WORKING CAPITAL AND LIQUIDITY
• Net Working Capital= Current Assets – Current Liabilities
• Positive when the cash that will be received over the next 12 months exceeds the cash
that will be paid out
• Usually positive in a healthy firm
• Liquidity
• Ability to convert to cash quickly without a significant loss in value
• Liquid firms are less likely to experience financial distress
• But liquid assets typically earn a lower return
• Trade-off to find balance between liquid and illiquid assets
2-31
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
AN EXAMPLE OF A BALANCE SHEET -TABLE 2.1 TEXTBOOK
2-32
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
MARKET VALUE VS. BOOK VALUE
• The balance sheet provides the book value of the assets, liabilities, and equity.
• Market value is the price at which the assets, liabilities ,or equity can actually be bought
or sold.
• A company's book value is the amount of money shareholders would receive if assets
were liquidated and liabilities paid off.
• Market value and book value are often very different. Why?
• Which is more important to the decision-making process?
2-33
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
EXAMPLE 2.2 KLINGON CORPORATION
KLINGON CORPORATION
Balance Sheets
Market Value versus Book Value
Book Market Book Market
Assets Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity
Market
NWC $ 400 $ 600 LTD $ 500 $ 500 capitalization=
NFA 700 1,000 SE 600 1,100 No.of shares*
Stock price
1,100 1,600 1,100 1,600
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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
INCOME STATEMENT
• The income statement is more like a video of the firm’s operations for a
specified period of time.
• You generally report revenues first and then deduct any expenses for the
period
• Matching principle – GAAP says to show revenue when it accrues and match
the expenses required to generate the revenue
2-35
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
AN EXAMPLE OF AN INCOME STATEMENT – TABLE 2.2 TEXTBOOK
2-36
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
THE CONCEPT OF CASH FLOW
• Cash flow is one of the most important pieces of information that a financial
manager can derive from financial statements
• The statement of cash flows does not provide us with the same information
that we are looking at here
• We will look at how cash is generated from utilizing assets and how it is
paid to those that finance the purchase of the assets
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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
STATEMENT OF CASH FLOWS
• Statement that summarizes the sources and uses of cash
• Changes divided into three major categories
▪ Operating Activity – includes net income and changes in most current accounts
▪ Investment Activity – includes changes in fixed assets
▪ Financing Activity – includes changes in notes payable, long-term debt, and equity
accounts, as well as dividends
3-38
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Copyright © 2016 by McGraw-Hill Global Education LLC. All
Faculty of Finance Horights reserved.
Chi Minh University of Banking
CASH FLOW FROM ASSETS
• Cash Flow From Assets (CFFA) = Cash Flow to Creditors + Cash Flow to Stockholders
• Cash Flow From Assets = Operating Cash Flow – Net Capital Spending – Changes in
NWC
2-39
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
AN EXAMPLE OF A CASH FLOW STATEMENT
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
KEY FINANICAL INDICATORS
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
FINANCIAL STATEMENTS ANALYSIS
• Common-Size Balance Sheets
• Compute all accounts as a percent of total assets
• Common-Size Income Statements
• Compute all line items as a percent of sales
• Standardized statements make it easier to compare financial information,
particularly as the company grows.
• They are also useful for comparing companies of different sizes,
particularly within the same industry.
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
3.2 RATIO ANALYSIS
• Ratios also allow for better comparison through time or between companies.
• As we look at each ratio, ask yourself:
• How is the ratio computed?
• What is the ratio trying to measure and why?
• What is the unit of measurement?
• What does the value indicate?
• How can we improve the company’s ratio?
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
CATEGORIES OF FINANCIAL RATIOS
• Short-term solvency or liquidity ratios
• Long-term solvency or financial leverage ratios
• Asset management or turnover ratios
• Profitability ratios
• Market value ratios
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
SHORT-TERM SOLVENCY OR LIQUIDITY RATIOS
• Short-term solvency ratios: provides information about a firm’s liquidity (liquidity
measures).
• Measure the firm’s ability to pay its bills over the short run without undue stress.
• These ratios focus on current assets and current liabilities
• Short-term creditors of interest.
• Book values and market values are likely to be similar
• Current assets and liabilities can change fairly rapidly
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
SOME TERMINOLOGIES
Net income− preferred stock dividend
• EPS = Earnings per Share=
Average of outstanding shares
• DPS=Dividend per share
Shareholder′ s equity−preferred stock
• BVPS= Book value per share=
Average of outstanding shares
• EBIT = Earnings Before Interest and Taxes
• EBITDA = Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization
• EBT: Earning before tax
• EAT: Earning after tax= EBT (1-t)=(EBIT-I)(1-t)
t: corporate income tax rate
I: interest payment
Example: Prufrock corporation has 33 millions outstanding stocks, calculate EPS, BVPS.
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
COMPUTING LIQUIDITY RATIOS
Prufrock corporation example:
• Current Ratio = CA / CL
• 708 / 540 = 1.31 times
• Quick Ratio = (CA – Inventory) / CL
• (708 - 422) / 540 = .53 times
• Cash Ratio = Cash / CL
• 98 / 540 = .18 times
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
COMPUTING LONG-TERM LIQUIDITY RATIO (LEVERAGE RATIOS)
Prufrock corporation example:
• Total Debt Ratio = (TA – TE) / TA
• (3588 - 2591) / 3588 = 28%
• Debt/Equity = TD / TE
• (3588 – 2591) / 2591 = 38.5%
• Equity Multiplier = TA / TE = 1 + D/E
• 1 + .385 = 1.385
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
ASSET MANAGEMENT (TURNOVER) RATIOS
Prufrock corporation example:
• Inventory Turnover = Cost of Goods
Sold / Inventory
• 1344 / 422 = 3.2 times
• Receivables Turnover = Sales /
Accounts Receivable
• 2311 / 188 = 12.3 times
• Total Asset Turnover = Sales / Total
Assets
• 2311 / 3588 = .64 times
• It is not unusual for TAT < 1, especially
if a firm has a large amount of fixed
assets.
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
COMPUTING PROFITABILITY MEASURES
• Profit Margin = Net Income / Sales
• 363 / 2311 = 15.7%
• Return on Assets (ROA) = Net Income /
Total Assets
• 363 / 3588 = 10.1%
• Return on Equity (ROE) = Net Income /
Total Equity
• 363 / 2591 = 14.0%
• EBITDA Margin = EBITDA / Sales
• 967 / 2311 = 41.8%
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
COMPUTING MARKET VALUE MEASURES
Prufrock corporation example: 33 million
share outstanding
• Market Capitalization = $88 per share x 33
million shares = 2904 million
• PE Ratio = Price per share / Earnings per share
• 88 / 11 = 8 times
• Market-to-book ratio = market value per share /
book value per share
• 88 / (2591 / 33) = 1.12 times
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
USING FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
• Ratios are not very helpful by themselves: they need to be compared to something
• Time-Trend Analysis
• Used to see how the firm’s performance is changing through time
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
POTENTIAL PROBLEMS
• There is no underlying theory, so there is no way to know which ratios are
most relevant.
• Benchmarking is difficult for diversified firms.
• Globalization and international competition makes comparison more
difficult because of differences in accounting regulations.
• Firms use varying accounting procedures.
• Firms have different fiscal years.
• Extraordinary, or one-time, events
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
End of Chapter
1-56
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
CHAPTER 2
TIME VALUE OF MONEY
CHAPTER ORGANISATION
2.1 Future Value and Compounding
2.2 Present Value and Discounting
2.3 More on Present and Future Values
2.4 Present and Future Values of Multiple Cash Flows
2.5 Valuing Equal Cash Flows: Annuities and Perpetuities
2.6 Comparing Rates: The Effect of Compounding Periods
2.7 Loan Types and Loan Amortization
2.8 Applications of time value of money: Bond valuation
2.9 Applications of time value of money: Stock valuation
2.10 Applications of time value of money: Project evaluation: NPV, IRR, MIRR, DPP.
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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
CHAPTER OBJECTIVES
Distinguish Distinguish between simple and compound interest.
Calculate Calculate the present value and future value of a single amount for both
one period and multiple periods.
Calculate Calculate the present value and future value of multiple cash flows.
Compare Compare nominal interest rates (NIR) and effective annual interest rates
(EAR).
Distinguish Distinguish between the different types of loans and calculate the present
value of each type of loan.
59
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
TIME VALUE TERMINOLOGY
• Future value (FV) is the amount an investment is worth after one or more periods.
• Present value (PV) is the amount that corresponds to today’s value of a promised
future sum.
• The number of time periods between the present value and the future value is
represented by ‘t’.
• The rate of interest for discounting or compounding is
called ‘r’.
• All time value questions involve four values: PV, FV, r and t. Given three of them, it is
always possible to calculate the fourth.
60 Faculty of Finance
TIME VALUE TERMINOLOGY
• Compounding is the process of accumulating interest in an investment over time to
earn more interest.
• Interest on interest is earned on the reinvestment of previous interest payments.
• Discount rate is the interest rate that reduces a given future value to an equivalent
present value.
• Compound interest is calculated each period on the principal amount and on any
interest earned on the investment up to that point.
• Simple interest is the method of calculating interest in which, during the entire term of
the loan, interest is computed on the original sum borrowed.
61 Faculty of Finance
2.1 FUTURE VALUE OF A SINGLE CASH FLOW
• Suppose you invest $1,000 for one year at 5% per year. What is the future value in
one year?
• Interest = 1,000(.05) = 50
• Value in one year = principal + interest = 1,000 + 50 = 1,050
• Future Value (FV) = 1,000(1 + .05) = 1,050
• Suppose you leave the money in for another year. How much will you have two years
from now?
• FV = 1,000(1.05)(1.05) = 1,000(1.05)2 = 1,102.50
62 Faculty of Finance
FUTURE VALUES: GENERAL FORMULA
• FV = PV(1 + r)t
• FV = future value
• PV = present value
• r = period interest rate, expressed as a decimal
• t = number of periods
• Future value interest factor = (1 + r)t
63 5C-63
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
EFFECTS OF COMPOUNDING
• Simple interest
• Compound interest
• Consider the previous example
• FV with simple interest = 1,000 + 50 + 50 = 1,100
• FV with compound interest = 1,102.50
• The extra 2.50 comes from the interest of .05(50) = 2.50 earned on the
first interest payment
64 5C-64
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
FUTURE VALUES – EXAMPLE 2
• Suppose you invest the $1,000 from the previous example for 5 years. How much
would you have?
• 5 N; 5 I/Y; 1,000 PV
• CPT FV = -1,276.28
• The effect of compounding is small for a small number of periods, but increases as the
number of periods increases. (Simple interest would have a future value of $1,250,
for a difference of $26.28.)
65 5C-65
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
FUTURE VALUES – EXAMPLE 3
• Suppose you had a relative deposit $10 at 5.5% interest 200 years ago. How much
would the investment be worth today?
• 200 N; 5.5 I/Y; -10 PV
• CPT FV = -447,189.84
• What is the effect of compounding?
• Simple interest = 10 + 200(10)(.055) = 120.00
• Compounding added $447,069.84 to the value of the investment
66 5C-66
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
FUTURE VALUE AS A GENERAL GROWTH FORMULA
• Suppose your company expects to increase unit sales of widgets by 15%
per year for the next 5 years. If you sell 3 million widgets in the current
year, how many widgets do you expect to sell in the fifth year?
• 5 N;15 I/Y; 3,000,000 PV
• CPT FV = -6,034,072 units (remember the sign convention)
67 5C-67
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
QUICK QUIZ – PART I
• What is the difference between simple interest and compound interest?
• Suppose you have $500 to invest and you believe that you can earn 8%
per year over the next 15 years.
• How much would you have at the end of 15 years using compound interest?
• How much would you have using simple interest?
68 5C-68
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
FUTURE VALUES OF $100 AT 10%
71 Faculty of Finance
FUTURE VALUE OF $1 FOR DIFFERENT PERIODS AND RATES
73 Faculty of Finance
PRESENT VALUES
• How much do I have to invest today to have some amount in the future?
• FV = PV(1 + r)t
• Rearrange to solve for PV = FV / (1 + r)t
• When we talk about discounting, we mean finding the present value of some future
amount.
• When we talk about the “value” of something, we are talking about the present value
unless we specifically indicate that we want the future value.
74 5C-74
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
PRESENT VALUE – ONE PERIOD EXAMPLE
• Suppose you need $10,000 in one year for the down payment on a new car.
If you can earn 7% annually, how much do you need to invest today?
• PV = 10,000 / (1.07)1 = 9,345.79
75 5C-75
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
PRESENT VALUES – EXAMPLE 2
• You want to begin saving for your daughter’s college education and you
estimate that she will need $150,000 in 17 years. If you feel confident
that you can earn 8% per year, how much do you need to invest today?
• N = 17; I/Y = 8; FV = 150,000
• CPT PV = -40,540.34 (remember the sign convention)
76 5C-76
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
PRESENT VALUES – EXAMPLE 3
• Your parents set up a trust fund for you 10 years ago that is now
worth $19,671.51. If the fund earned 7% per year, how much did
your parents invest?
• N = 10; I/Y = 7; FV = 19,671.51
• CPT PV = -10,000
77 5C-77
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
PRESENT VALUE OF $1 FOR DIFFERENT PERIODS AND RATES
81 Faculty of Finance
PRESENT VALUE – IMPORTANT RELATIONSHIP I
• For a given interest rate – the longer the time period, the lower
the present value
• What is the present value of $500 to be received in 5 years? 10 years?
The discount rate is 10%
• 5 years: N = 5; I/Y = 10; FV = 500
CPT PV = -310.46
• 10 years: N = 10; I/Y = 10; FV = 500
CPT PV = -192.77
82 5C-82
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
PRESENT VALUE – IMPORTANT RELATIONSHIP II
• For a given time period – the higher the interest rate, the smaller
the present value
• What is the present value of $500 received in 5 years if the interest rate
is 10%? 15%?
• Rate = 10%: N = 5; I/Y = 10; FV = 500
CPT PV = -310.46
• Rate = 15%; N = 5; I/Y = 15; FV = 500
CPT PV = -248.59
83 5C-83
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
QUICK QUIZ – PART II
• What is the relationship between present value and future value?
• Suppose you need $15,000 in 3 years. If you can earn 6% annually, how
much do you need to invest today?
If you could invest the money at 8%, would you have to invest more or
less than at 6%? How much?
84 5C-84
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
DISCOUNT RATE
• Often we will want to know what the implied interest rate is on an
investment
• Rearrange the basic PV equation and solve for r
• FV = PV(1 + r)t
• r = (FV / PV)1/t – 1
• If you are using formulas, you will want to make use of both the yx and the
1/x keys
85 5C-85
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
2.3 DETERMINING THE DISCOUNT RATE
• You currently have $100 available for investment for a 21-year period. At what
interest rate must you invest this amount in order for it to be worth $500 at maturity?
• r can be solved in one of three ways:
• Use a financial calculator
• Take the nth root of both sides of the equation
• Use the future value tables to find a corresponding value. In this example, you
need to find the r for which the FVIF after 21 years is 5 (500/100).
86 Faculty of Finance
DETERMINING THE DISCOUNT RATE
• To determine the discount rate (r) in this example, a financial calculator is used.
Enter:
21 100 - 500
N I/Y PV FV
Solve for → 7.97
r = 7.97%
87 Faculty of Finance
DISCOUNT RATE – EXAMPLE 3
• Suppose you have a 1-year old son and you want to provide $75,000
in 17 years towards his college education. You currently have $5,000
to invest. What interest rate must you earn to have the $75,000 when
you need it?
• N = 17; PV = -5,000; FV = 75,000
• CPT I/Y = 17.27%
89 5C-89
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
QUICK QUIZ – PART III
• What are some situations in which you might want to know the implied
interest rate?
• You are offered the following investments:
• You can invest $500 today and receive $600 in 5 years. The investment is low
risk.
• You can invest the $500 in a bank account paying 4%.
• What is the implied interest rate for the first choice, and which investment should
you choose?
90 5C-90
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
QUICK QUIZ – PART III
• What are some situations in which you might want to know the
implied interest rate?
• You are offered the following investments:
• You can invest $500 today and receive $600 in 5 years. The investment is
low risk.
• You can invest the $500 in a bank account paying 4%.
• What is the implied interest rate for the first choice, and which investment
should you choose?
91 5C-91
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
FINDING THE NUMBER OF PERIODS
• Start with the basic equation and solve for t (remember your logs)
• FV = PV(1 + r)t
• t = ln(FV / PV) / ln(1 + r)
• You can use the financial keys on the calculator as well; just remember the sign
convention.
92 5C-92
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FINDING THE NUMBER OF PERIODS
• You have been saving up to buy a new car. The total cost will be $10,000. You
currently have $8000. If you can earn 6% on your money, how long will you have to
wait?
• To determine the number of periods (t) in this example, a financial calculator is used.
Enter:
6 8000 - 10 000
N I/Y PV FV
Solve for → 3.83
t = 3.83 years
93 Faculty of Finance
NUMBER OF PERIODS – EXAMPLE 1
• You want to purchase a new car, and you are willing to pay
$20,000. If you can invest at 10% per year and you currently
have $15,000, how long will it be before you have enough
money to pay cash for the car?
• I/Y = 10; PV = -15,000; FV = 20,000
• CPT N = 3.02 years
94 5C-94
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
NUMBER OF PERIODS – EXAMPLE 2
• Suppose you want to buy a new house. You currently have $15,000, and
you figure you need to have a 10% down payment plus an additional 5%
of the loan amount for closing costs. Assume the type of house you want will
cost about $150,000 and you can earn 7.5% per year. How long will it be
before you have enough money for the down payment and closing costs?
95 5C-95
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
NUMBER OF PERIODS – EXAMPLE 2 CONTINUED
• How much do you need to have in the future?
• Down payment = .1(150,000) = 15,000
• Closing costs = .05(150,000 – 15,000) = 6,750
• Total needed = 15,000 + 6,750 = 21,750
96 5C-96
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
QUICK QUIZ – PART IV
• When might you want to compute the number of periods?
• Suppose you want to buy some new furniture for your family room. You currently have
$500, and the furniture you want costs $600. If you can earn 6%, how long will you
have to wait if you don’t add any additional money?
97 5C-97
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
SUMMARY OF TIME VALUE CALCULATIONS
98 Faculty of Finance
COMPREHENSIVE PROBLEM
• You have $10,000 to invest for five years.
• How much additional interest will you earn if the investment provides a 5%
annual return, when compared to a 4.5% annual return?
• How long will it take your $10,000 to double in value if it earns 5%
annually?
• What annual rate has been earned if $1,000 grows into $4,000 in 20
years?
99 5C-99
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
2.4 FUTURE VALUE OF MULTIPLE CASH FLOWS
• You deposit $1000 now, $1500 in one year, $2000 in two years and $2500 in three
years in an account paying 10 per cent interest per annum. How much do you have
in the account at the end of the third year?
• You can solve by either:
• compounding the accumulated balance forward one year at a time
• calculating the future value of each cash flow first and then totaling them.
• Solution 2
$1 000 (1.10)3 = $1 331
$1 500 (1.10)2 = $1 815
$2 000 (1.10)1 = $2 200
$2 500 1.00 = $2 500
Total = $7 846
0 1 2 3
Time
(years)
• Solution 2
$2500 (1.10) –3 = $1878
$2000 (1.10) –2 = $1653
$1500 (1.10) –1 = $1364
Total = $4895
PV = $1 000
1 − 1/(1.06)
10
0.06
= $1 000 7.3601
= $7 360.10
107 Faculty of Finance
• Example 2
You borrow $10 000 to buy a car and agree to repay the loan by way of equal
monthly repayments over four years. The current interest rate is 12 per cent per
annum, compounded monthly. What is the amount of each monthly repayment?
1 − 1/ (1.01)48
$10 000 = C
0.01
C = $263.33
Enter:
10 5000 0 -745.15
N I/Y PV FV PMT
Solve for → 8.00
r = 8%
• To determine the number of payments (t) in this example, a financial calculator is used.
Enter:
1 2 000 0 -40
N I/Y PV FV PMT
Solve for → 69.66
FV = C
(1 + r ) − 1
t
FV = $1 000
(1.06) 20
−1
0.06
= $1 000 36.7856
= $36 785.60
• Notice how the cash flows here are the same as those for a four-year ordinary
annuity, except that there is an extra $400 at Time 0. For practice, check to see that
the value of a four-year ordinary annuity at 10 percent is $1,267.95. If we add on
the extra $400, we get $1,667.95, which is the present value of this annuity due.
Annuity due value = Ordinary annuity value × (1 + r)
113 Faculty of Finance
PERPETUITIES
• The future value of a perpetuity cannot be calculated as the cash flows are infinite.
C
PV =
r
m
NIR
EAR = 1 + − 1
m
m = number of times the interest is compounded
• Compounding during the year can lead to a significant difference between the NIR
and the EAR, especially for higher rates.
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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
2.7 TYPES OF LOANS
• A pure discount loan is a loan where the borrower receives money today and repays
a single lump sum in the future.
• An interest-only loan requires the borrower to only pay interest each period and to
repay the entire principal at some point in the future.
• An amortised loan requires the borrower to repay parts of both the principal and
interest over time.
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
BOND TERMINOLOGY
• Coupon: The stated interest payment made on a bond.
• Face value: The principal amount of a bond that is repaid at the end of the term.
Also called par value.
• Coupon rate: The annual coupon divided by the face value of a bond.
• Maturity: The specified date on which the principal amount of a bond is paid.
• Yield to maturity (YTM): The rate required in the market on a bond.
130 Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
THE BOND PRICING FORMULA – 1
• Consider a bond paying coupons with frequency n.
• Cash flows: coupon C paid with frequency n up to year T, plus the principal M, paid at
T.
0 1 2 3 4 n
• How much is the stream of cash flows worth today? To answer this question we need to
calculate the present value of the cash flows.
• The present value (purchase price) is the price we are willing to pay today in order to
receive the stream of cash flows.
131 Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
THE BOND PRICING FORMULA-2
• Bond price is equal to present value of all the cash flows you receive if you hold to
maturity.
nT
𝑀𝐶
𝑃= y s+ y nT
s=1 (1 + 𝑛) (1 + )
𝑛
• P: bond price;
• C: coupon payment (assumed constant);
• n: number of coupon payments per year;
• T: number of years to maturity;
• y: interest rate used to discount the cash flows; yield-to-maturity (YTM) or market
required yield;
• M: par value (or face value, or maturity value) of the bond.
132 Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
THE BOND PRICING FOMULA-3
• Bond Price is equal to Present Value of all the cash flows you receive if you hold to
maturity
(2.2)
133 Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
ZERO COUPON BONDS
• Make no periodic interest payments (coupon rate = 0%)
• The entire yield-to-maturity comes from the difference between the purchase price
and the par value
• Cannot sell for more than par value
• Sometimes called zeroes, deep discount bonds, or original issue discount bonds (OIDs)
• Treasury Bills and principal-only Treasury strips are good examples of zeroes
• A zero-coupon bond:
135 Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
EXAMPLE
• Suppose the Xanth (pronounced “zanth”) Co. were to issue a bond with 10 years to
maturity. The Xanth bond has an annual coupon of $80. Similar bonds have a yield to
maturity of 8 percent. Based on our preceding discussion, the Xanth bond will pay $80
per year for the next 10 years in coupon interest. In 10 years, Xanth will pay $1,000 to
the owner of the bond. What would this bond sell for?
136
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BOND PRICES: RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN COUPON AND YIELD
137 7-137
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
COMPUTING YIELD TO MATURITY
• Yield to Maturity (YTM) is the rate implied by the current bond price
• Finding the YTM requires trial and error if you do not have a financial
calculator and is similar to the process for finding r with an annuity
• If you have a financial calculator, enter N, PV, PMT, and FV, remembering
the sign convention (PMT and FV need to have the same sign, PV the
opposite sign)
140 7-140
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
YTM WITH ANNUAL COUPONS
• Consider a bond with a 10% annual coupon rate, 15 years to maturity and
a par value of $1,000. The current price is $928.09.
• Will the yield be more or less than 10%?
• N = 15; PV = -928.09; FV = 1,000; PMT = 100
• CPT I/Y = 11%
141 7-141
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
YTM WITH SEMIANNUAL COUPONS
• Suppose a bond with a 10% coupon rate and semiannual coupons, has a
face value of $1,000, 20 years to maturity and is selling for $1,197.93.
• Is the YTM more or less than 10%?
• What is the semiannual coupon payment?
• How many periods are there?
• N = 40; PV = -1,197.93; PMT = 50; FV = 1,000; CPT I/Y = 4% (Is this the YTM?)
• YTM = 4%*2 = 8%
142 7-142
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
TABLE 7.1
143 7-143
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CURRENT YIELD VS. YIELD TO MATURITY
• Current Yield = annual coupon / price
• Yield to maturity = current yield + capital gains yield
• Example: 10% coupon bond, with semiannual coupons, face value of 1,000, 20 years to
maturity, $1,197.93 price
• Current yield = 100 / 1,197.93 = .0835 = 8.35%
• Price in one year, assuming no change in YTM = 1,193.68
• Capital gain yield = (1,193.68 – 1,197.93) / 1,197.93 = -.0035 = -.35%
• YTM = 8.35 - .35 = 8%, which is the same YTM computed earlier
144 7-144
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
GRAPHICAL RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN PRICE AND YIELD-TO-MATURITY (YTM)
1500
1400
1300
1200
Bond Price
1100
1000
900
800
700
600
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14%
YTM
Yield-to-maturity (YTM)
7-145 Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
BOND CHARACTERISTICS AND REQUIRED RETURNS
• The coupon rate depends on the risk characteristics of the bond
when issued
• Which bonds will have the higher coupon, all else equal?
• Secured debt versus a debenture
• Subordinated debenture versus senior debt
• A bond with a sinking fund versus one without
• A callable bond versus a non-callable bond
146 7-146
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
INFLATION AND INTEREST RATES
• Real rate of interest – change in purchasing power
• Nominal rate of interest – quoted rate of interest, change in
actual number of dollars
• The ex ante nominal rate of interest includes our desired real rate
of return plus an adjustment for expected inflation
147 7-147
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THE FISHER EFFECT
• The Fisher Effect defines the relationship between real rates, nominal rates,
and inflation
• (1 + R) = (1 + r)(1 + h), where
• R = nominal rate
• r = real rate
• h = expected inflation rate
• Approximation
• R=r+h
148 7-148
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EXAMPLE 7.5
• If we require a 10% real return and we expect inflation to be
8%, what is the nominal rate?
• R = (1.1)(1.08) – 1 = .188 = 18.8%
• Approximation: R = 10% + 8% = 18%
• Because the real return and expected inflation are relatively
high, there is significant difference between the actual Fisher
Effect and the approximation.
149 7-149
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
COMPREHENSIVE PROBLEM
• What is the price of a $1,000 par value bond with a 6% coupon rate paid
semiannually, if the bond is priced to yield 5% and it has 9 years to
maturity?
• What would be the price of the bond if the yield rose to 7%.
• What is the current yield on the bond if the YTM is 7%?
150 7-150
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2.9 APPLICATION OF TIME VALUE OF MONEY:
STOCK VALUATION
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
COMMON STOCK-VALUE
• Face value (par value)
• Book value: The net asset value of a company, calculated by total assets minus
intangible assets (patents, goodwill) and liabilities. It is the total value of the company's
assets that shareholders would theoretically receive if a company were liquidated
• Market value: The current quoted price at which investors buy or sell a share of common
stock at a given time
• Intrinsic value: The actual value of a company or an asset based on an underlying
perception of its true value including all aspects of the business, in terms of both tangible
and intangible factors. This value may or may not be the same as the current market
value
1 Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
5
STOCK CHARACTERISTICS
• Cash Flows for Stockholders
• If you buy a share of stock, you can receive cash in two ways
• The company pays dividends
• You sell your shares, either to another investor in the market or back to the
company
• As with bonds, the price of the stock is the present value of these expected cash
flows
• Preferred stock: receive a fix dividend over time.
n Dt Pn
V0 = t + (1 + r) n
t =1 (1 + r)
Example: For the next five years, the annual dividends of a stock are expected to be $2.00, $2.10,
$2.20, $3.50, and $3.75. In addition, the stock price is expected to be $40.00 in five years. If the
required return on equity is 10 percent, what is the value of this stock?
• The present values of the expected future cash flows can be written out as:
V0=
• Calculating and summing these present values gives a stock value of Po 1.818 +1.736 +1.653 +2.391
+2.328 +24.837 = $34.76.
• The five dividends have a total present value of $9.926 and the terminal stock value has a present
value of $24.837, for a total stock value of $34.76.
1
5 Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
The Dividend discount model (DDM)
Dt :dividend of period t
Vo: Present value of a stock
r: required rate of return on the stock
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DIVIDEND CONSTANT GROWTH MODEL (GORDON MODEL)
• Dividends are expected to grow at a constant percent per period.
• P0 = D1 /(1+R) + D2 /(1+R)2 + D3 /(1+R)3 + …
• P0 = D0(1+g)/(1+R) + D0(1+g)2/(1+R)2 + D0(1+g)3/(1+R)3 + …
• With a little algebra and some series work, this reduces to:
D 0 (1 + g) D1
P0 = =
R -g R -g
1
6 Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
FEATURES OF PREFERRED STOCK
• Dividends
• Stated dividend that must be paid before dividends can be paid to common
stockholders
• Dividends are not a liability of the firm, and preferred dividends can be
deferred indefinitely
• Most preferred dividends are cumulative – any missed preferred dividends
have to be paid before common dividends can be paid
• Preferred stock generally does not carry voting rights
161 8-161
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GORDON GROWTH MODEL- NO GROWTH (PREFERRED STOCK)
• If dividends are expected at regular intervals forever, then this is a
perpetuity and the present value of expected future dividends can be
found using the perpetuity formula
Po=D/r
• Stocks that have earnings and dividends that are expected to remain
constant → Preferred Stock
• Example: Suppose stock is expected to pay a $0.50 dividend every
quarter and the required return is 10% with quarterly compounding.
What is the price?
• P0 = .50 / (.1 / 4) = $20
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
QUICK QUIZ – PART I
• What is the value of a stock that is expected to pay a constant dividend of $2 per
year if the required return is 15%?
• What if the company starts increasing dividends by 3% per year, beginning with the
next dividend? The required return stays at 15%.
D 0 (1 + g) D1
P0 = =
R -g R -g
D 0 (1 + g) D1
R= +g= +g
P0 P0
164 8-164
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
FINDING THE REQUIRED RETURN - EXAMPLE
• Suppose a firm’s stock is selling for $10.50. It just paid a $1
dividend, and dividends are expected to grow at 5% per year.
What is the required return?
• R = [1(1.05)/10.50] + .05 = 15%
• What is the dividend yield?
• 1(1.05) / 10.50 = 10%
• What is the capital gains yield?
• g =5%
165 8-165
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TABLE 8.1 - STOCK VALUATION SUMMARY
166 8-166
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DIVIDEND AND CAPITAL GAIN
• Dividend:
• Common stockholders have the right to receive dividends if the board
of directors declares them.
• Dividends are usually paid in cash (cash dividends), but sometimes may
be paid in additional shares (stock dividends).
• Capital gains:
• Investors buy stock is to receive dividends; they may sell their stock for
more than they paid→ capital gain.
• When a stock is sold after having been held for 12 months or less, the
profit or loss is known as a short-term gain or loss. For stocks held
longer than 12 months, any gain or loss is long-term. Long-term gains
provide the greatest tax advantage
1 Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
6
DIVIDEND CHARACTERISTICS
• Dividends are not a liability of the firm until a dividend has been declared by
the Board
• Consequently, a firm cannot go bankrupt for not declaring dividends
• Dividends and Taxes
• Dividend payments are not considered a business expense; therefore, they are not
tax deductible
• The taxation of dividends received by individuals depends on the holding period
• Dividends received by corporations have a minimum 70% exclusion from taxable
income
168 8-168
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DIVIDEND
• Dividend payout ratio: The
percentage of earnings paid to
shareholders in dividends.Calculated
as:
1 Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
6
COMPREHENSIVE PROBLEM
• XYZ stock currently sells for $50 per share. The next
expected annual dividend is $2, and the growth rate is 6%.
What is the expected rate of return on this stock?
• If the required rate of return on this stock were 12%, what
would the stock price be, and what would the dividend yield
be?
170 8-170
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2.10 PROJECT EVALUATION-NPV, IRR, MIRR,
DPP
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NET PRESENT VALUE (NPV)
• Net present value is the difference between an investment’s market value (in today’s
dollars) and its cost (also in today’s dollars).
• Estimation of the future cash flows and the discount rate are important in the
calculation of the NPV.
0 1 2
– $1100.00
1
$500 x
1.10
+454.55
1
$1000 x
1.102
+826.45
+$181.00 NPV
• NPV is a direct measure of how well the investment meets the goal of financial
management—to increase owners’ wealth.
• A positive NPV means that the investment is expected to add value to the firm.
Accumulated
Year Cash flow
1 $200
2 600
3 1200
• Easy to understand.
• The length of time required for an investment’s discounted cash flows to equal its
initial cost.
• Ordinary payback?
• Discounted payback?
$105 + $30 + $0
Average net profit =
3
= $45
• Uses profit and book value instead of cash flow and market value.
• The discount rate that equates the present value of the future cash flows with the
initial cost.
• The IRR on an investment is the required return that results in a zero NPV when it is
used as the discount rate.
191 Faculty of Finance
EXAMPLE—IRR
Initial investment = –$200
Year Cash flow
1 $ 50
2 100
3 150
50 100 150
0 = –200 + + +
(1+IRR)1 (1+IRR)2 (1+IRR)3
50 100 150
200 = + +
(1+IRR)1 (1+IRR)2 (1+IRR)3
40
20
– 20
– 40 Discount rate
2% 6% 10% 14% 18% 22%
IRR
• More than one negative cash flow → multiple internal rates of return.
• Project is not independent → mutually exclusive investments. Highest IRR does not
indicate the best project.
Advantages of IRR
• Popular in practice
• Does not require a discount rate
0 –$252
1 1431
2 –3035
3 2850
4 –1000
at 25.00%: NPV = 0
at 33.33%: NPV = 0
at 42.86%: NPV = 0
at 66.67%: NPV = 0
n Two questions:
u 1. What’s going on here?
u 2. How many IRRs can there be?
$0.04
IRR = 25%
$0.02
$0.00
IRR = 42.86%
($0.04)
($0.06)
($0.08)
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IRR, NPV AND MUTUALLY-EXCLUSIVE PROJECTS
Net present value
Year
160 0 1 2 3 4
140 Project A: – $350 50 100 150 200
120
100 Project B: – $250 125 100 75 50
80
60
40
Crossover Point
20
0
– 20
– 40
– 60
– 80
– 100 Discount rate
0 2% 6% 10% 14% 18% 22% 26%
IRR A IRRB
PV of inflows
PI =
Initial cost
• Accept a project with a PI > 1.0.
= $181
181 + 1100
PI =
1100
= 1.1645 Net Present Value Index
= 181
1100
= 0.1645
• This is a good project because the present value of the inflows exceeds the outlay.
• Easy to understand.
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CAPITAL BUDGETING IN PRACTICE
• We should consider several investment criteria when making decisions.
• NPV and IRR are the most commonly used primary investment criteria.
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EXPECTED LEARNING OUTCOMES
Know how to calculate the return on an investment
Understand the historical returns on various types of investments
Understand the historical risks on various types of investments
Know how to calculate expected returns, variance, covariance,correlation of a
single asset and a portfolio
Understand the impact of diversification
Understand the systematic risk principle
Understand the security market line
Understand the risk-return trade-off
Be able to use the Capital Asset Pricing Model
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SIX FUNDAMENTAL PRINCIPLES OF FINANCE
P1: There Is No Such Thing As A Free Lunch
P2: Other Things Equal, Individuals :
Prefer more money to less (non-satiation)
Prefer money now to later (impatience)
Prefer to avoid risk (risk aversion)
P3: All Agents Act To Further Their Own Self-Interest
P4: Financial Market Prices Shift to Equalize Supply and Demand
P5: Financial Markets Are Highly Adaptive and Competitive
P6: Risk-Sharing and Frictions Are Central to Financial Innovation
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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
DOLLAR RETURNS
• Total dollar return = income from investment + capital gain (loss) due to
change in price
• Example 1:
▪ You bought a bond for $1000 one year ago. You have received two coupons of $30
each. You can sell the bond for $1025 today. What is your total dollar return?
• Income = 30 + 30 = 60
• Capital gain = 1025 – 1000 = 25
• Total dollar return = 60 + 25 = $85
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PERCENTAGE RETURNS
• It is generally more intuitive to think in terms of percentage, rather than dollar, returns
• Dividend yield (or income yield) = income / beginning price
• Capital gains yield = (ending price – beginning price) / beginning price
• Total percentage return = dividend yield + capital gains yield
Example 1 (Cont.):
Dividend yield (income yield)=60/1000=6%
Capital gains yield= (1025-1000)/1000=2.5%
Total percentage return= 6%+2.5%=8.5%
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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
EXAMPLE 2: CALCULATING RETURNS
• You bought a stock for $35, and you received dividends of $1.25. The stock
is now selling for $40.
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FIGURE 12.4: A $1 INVESTMENT IN DIFFERENT TYPES OF PORTFOLIOS OVER 1925-2013
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FIGURE A: YEAR-BY-YEAR TOTAL RETURNS ON FIGURE B: YEAR-BY-YEAR TOTAL RETURNS
SMALL-COMPANY STOCKS ON LONG-TERM GOVERNMENT BONDS
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AVERAGE RETURN: ARITHMETIC VS. GEOMETRIC
• Arithmetic Mean Return (AM)
AM = Ri / T
where Ri = the sum of all the annual return, i=1,2….,T.
T = number of years
• Geometric Mean Return (GM)
Example: Year Beginning Value Ending Value Ri
1 100 115 ?
2 115 138 ?
3 138 110.4 ?
• The risk premium is the return over and above the risk-free rate
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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
TABLE 12.3: AVERAGE ANNUAL RETURNS AND RISK PREMIUMS
Investment Average Return Risk Premium
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VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OVER A PERIOD
• Variance and standard deviation measure the volatility of asset returns
• The greater the volatility, the greater the uncertainty
• Historical variance = sum of squared deviations from the mean / (number of observations
– 1)
where R1, R2,…RT is return at time 1, 2, …,T; 𝑅 is the average return over the whole period.
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EXAMPLE: VARIANCE AND STANDARD DEVIATION OVER A PERIOD
Year Actual Average Deviation from the Mean Squared Deviation
Return Return
1 .15 .105 .045 .002025
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EXPECTED RETURNS OF A SINGLE ASSET OVER SCENARIOS
• Expected returns are based on the probabilities of possible outcomes
• In this context, “expected” means average if the process is repeated
many times
• Expected return is equal to the sum of the potential returns 𝑅𝑖 multiplied
with the corresponding probability of the returns 𝑃𝑖
𝑛
n
or E ( R ) = pi Ri
i =1
228 Faculty of Finance
EXAMPLE: EXPECTED RETURNS OF A SINGLE ASSET
• Suppose you have predicted the following returns for stocks C and T in
three possible states of the economy. What are the expected returns?
State Probability C T
Boom 0.3 15 25
Normal 0.5 10 20
Recession ??? 2 1
𝑖=1
n
Or σ 2 = pi ( Ri − E ( R )) 2
i =1
𝑉𝑎𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑟𝑒𝑡𝑢𝑟𝑛 𝑜𝑓 𝑝𝑜𝑟𝑡𝑓𝑜𝑙𝑖𝑜: 𝑉𝑎𝑟 𝑅𝑝𝑜𝑟𝑡 = 𝑤𝑖2 𝜎𝑖2 + 𝑤𝑗2 𝜎𝑗2 + 2𝑤𝑖 𝑤𝑗 𝐶𝑜𝑣𝑖𝑗
• Note: when applying to sample data, we divide the values by (n – 1) rather than by n to
avoid statistical bias.
235 Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
PORTFOLIO EXPECTED RETURNS AND VARIANCE-CORRELATION
• The correlation coefficient is obtained by standardizing (dividing) the covariance
by the product of the individual standard deviations
Where:
𝐶𝑜𝑣𝑖𝑗
𝜌𝑖𝑗 = ρij = correlation coefficient of returns
𝜎𝑖 𝜎𝑗 σi = standard deviation of Ri
σj = standard deviation of Rj
Note: when sample data is used, σ is divided by (n – 1) to avoid statistical bias.
• The coefficient can vary only in the range +1 to −1
• A value of +1 would indicate perfect positive correlation. This means that returns for
the two assets move together in a positively and completely linear manner
• A value of −1 would indicate perfect negative correlation. This means that the returns
for two assets move together in a completely linear manner, but in opposite directions
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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
EXAMPLE: COVARIANCE, CORRELATION BETWEEN TWO RISKY ASSETS
Price return [Ri-E(Ri)]^2 [Ri-E(Ri)]*[Rj-E(Rj]
time index GMD MBB index GMD MBB index GMD MBB Index-GMD Index-MBB
1 710 16,450 13,786
2 783 18,000 13,743 10.3% 9.4% -0.3% 0.13% 0.08% 0.48% 0.01% -0.36%
3 854 19,400 14,906 9.2% 7.8% 8.5% 0.07% 0.01% 0.03% -0.03% -0.03%
4 791 17,800 13,484 -7.4% -8.2% -9.5% 1.98% 2.21% 2.61% 2.44% 2.70%
5 889 23,800 15,337 12.4% 33.7% 13.7% 0.33% 7.34% 0.51% 1.42% 0.24%
6 950 23,450 18,628 6.9% -1.5% 21.5% 0.00% 0.65% 2.20% -0.03% 0.03%
7 1,020 29,500 20,808 7.4% 25.8% 11.7% 0.01% 3.68% 0.26% 0.12% 0.02%
8 1,194 35,750 26,750 17.1% 21.2% 28.6% 1.10% 2.12% 4.81% 1.26% 1.98%
9 1,169 32,700 27,350 -2.1% -8.5% 2.2% 0.77% 2.30% 0.19% 1.55% 0.65%
10 1,239 33,500 30,200 6.0% 2.4% 10.4% 0.00% 0.17% 0.14% 0.04% 0.00%
Mean of return 6.6% 9.1% 9.6%
Variance of return 0.55% 2.25% 1.30%
Covariance 0.85% 0.65%
Correlation 0.76 0.77
237 Faculty of Finance
EXAMPLE: COVARIANCE, CORRELATION BETWEEN TWO RISKY ASSETS
Price return [Ri-E(Ri)]^2 [Ri-E(Ri)]*[Rj-E(Rj]
time index GMD MBB index GMD MBB index GMD MBB Index-GMD Index-MBB
1 710 16,450 13,786
2 783 18,000 13,743 10.3% 9.4% -0.3% 0.13% 0.08% 0.48% 0.01% -0.36%
3 854 19,400 14,906 9.2% 7.8% 8.5% 0.07% 0.01% 0.03% -0.03% -0.03%
4 791 17,800 13,484 -7.4% -8.2% -9.5% 1.98% 2.21% 2.61% 2.44% 2.70%
5 889 23,800 15,337 12.4% 33.7% 13.7% 0.33% 7.34% 0.51% 1.42% 0.24%
6 950 23,450 18,628 6.9% -1.5% 21.5% 0.00% 0.65% 2.20% -0.03% 0.03%
7 1,020 29,500 20,808 7.4% 25.8% 11.7% 0.01% 3.68% 0.26% 0.12% 0.02%
8 1,194 35,750 26,750 17.1% 21.2% 28.6% 1.10% 2.12% 4.81% 1.26% 1.98%
9 1,169 32,700 27,350 -2.1% -8.5% 2.2% 0.77% 2.30% 0.19% 1.55% 0.65%
10 1,239 33,500 30,200 6.0% 2.4% 10.4% 0.00% 0.17% 0.14% 0.04% 0.00%
Mean of return 6.6% 9.1% 9.6%
Variance of return 0.55% 2.25% 1.30%
Covariance 0.85% 0.65%
Correlation 0.76 0.77
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PORTFOLIO OF TWO RISKY ASSETS -EXAMPLE
• Example: From 2018-2021, Gemadept had an average monthly return of 9.1%
and a std dev of 15%. Military bank had an average return of 9.6% and a std
dev of 11.41%. Their correlation is 0.51.How would a portfolio of the two
stocks perform, given the weight in the following table?
Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
PORTFOLIO OF TWO RISKY ASSETS -MEAN/STANDARD DEVIATION TRADE-OFF
MBB
Faculty of Finance
PORTFOLIO DIVERSIFICATION
• Portfolio diversification is the investment in several different asset classes or sectors
• Diversification is not just holding a lot of assets
• For example, if you own 50 Internet stocks, you are not diversified
• However, if you own 50 stocks that span 20 different industries, then you are
diversified
The Principle of Diversification:
• Diversification can substantially reduce the variability of returns without an equivalent
reduction in expected returns
• This reduction in risk arises because worse than expected returns from one asset are
offset by better than expected returns from another
• However, there is a minimum level of risk that cannot be diversified away and that is
the systematic portion
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TOTAL RISK
• Total risk = systematic risk + unsystematic risk
• The standard deviation of returns is a measure of total risk
• For well-diversified portfolios, unsystematic risk is very small
• Consequently, the total risk for a diversified portfolio is essentially
equivalent to the systematic risk
25%
Expected Return
20%
E(RA)
15%
10%
5%
0% Rf
0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3
Beta
A
• What if an asset has a reward-to-risk ratio of 8 (implying that the asset plots above
the line)?
• What if an asset has a reward-to-risk ratio of 7 (implying that the asset plots below
the line)?
E ( RA ) − R f E ( RM − R f )
=
A M
• The market risk premium is 8 percent, and the risk-free rate is 4 percent. Which stock has the most systematic
risk? Which one has the most unsystematic risk? Which stock is “riskier”? Explain.
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LEARNING OBJECTIVES
Determine Determine a firm’s cost of equity capital.
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1. WHY COST OF CAPITAL IS IMPORTANT
• We know that the return earned on assets depends on the risk of those
assets
• The return to an investor is the same as the cost to the company
• Our cost of capital provides us with an indication of how the market
views the risk of our assets
• Knowing our cost of capital can also help us determine our required
return for capital budgeting projects
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2. COST OF EQUITY
• The cost of equity is the return required by equity investors given the risk of the cash
flows from the firm
• Business risk: The equity risk that comes from the nature of the firm’s operating activities
• Financial risk: The equity risk that comes from the financial policy (the capital structure)
of the firm
• There are two major methods for determining the cost of equity
• Dividend growth model
• SML, or CAPM
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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
THE DIVIDEND GROWTH MODEL APPROACH
• Start with the dividend growth model formula and rearrange to solve for RE
D1
P0 =
RE − g
D1
RE = +g
P0
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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
DIVIDEND GROWTH MODEL EXAMPLE
• Suppose that your company is expected to pay a dividend of $1.50 per
share next year. There has been a steady growth in dividends of 5.1%
per year and the market expects that to continue. The current price is
$25. What is the cost of equity?
1.50
RE = + .051 = .111 = 11.1%
25
RE = R f + E ( E ( RM ) − R f )
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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
EXAMPLE - SML
• Suppose your company has an equity beta of .58, and the current risk-
free rate is 6.1%. If the expected market risk premium is 8.6%, what is
your cost of equity capital?
• RE = 6.1 + .58(8.6) = 11.1%
• Since we came up with similar numbers using both the dividend growth
model and the SML approach, we should feel good about our estimate
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EXAMPLE – COST OF EQUITY
• Suppose our company has a beta of 1.5. The market risk premium is expected to be
9%, and the current risk-free rate is 6%. We have used analysts’ estimates to
determine that the market believes our dividends will grow at 6% per year and our
last dividend was $2. Our stock is currently selling for $15.65. What is our cost of
equity?
1
1 -
(1 + r) t FV
Bond Value = C +
r (1 + r) t
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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
EXAMPLE: COST OF PREFERRED STOCK
• Your company has preferred stock that has an annual dividend of $3. If the current price
is $25, what is the cost of preferred stock?
• RP = 3 / 25 = 12%
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COST OF RETAINED EARNINGS (1)
• New common equity is raised in two ways: (1) by retaining some of the current year’s
earnings and (2) by issuing new common stock.
• Retained earnings refers to that part of the current year’s earnings not paid as dividends
(hence, available for reinvestment in the business this year)
• Cost of Retained Earnings (rs) The rate of return required by stockholders on a firm’s
common stock.
• Cost of New Common Stock (re) The cost of external equity; based on the cost of retained
earnings, but increased for flotation costs necessary to issue new common stock
• The firm needs to earn at least as much on any earnings retained as the stockholders could
earn on alternative investments of comparable risk.
• If the firm cannot invest retained earnings to earn at least rs , it should pay those funds to
its stockholders and let them invest directly in stocks or other assets that will provide that
return
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COST OF RETAINED EARNINGS (2)- MEASURES
• CAPM APPROACH
• BOND-YIELD-PLUS-RISK-PREMIUM APPROACH
• DIVIDEND-YIELD-PLUS-GROWTH-RATE, OR DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW (DCF),
APPROACH
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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
COST OF RETAINED EARNINGS (2)- MEASURES-CAPM APPROACH
• Step 1: Estimate the risk-free rate, rRF. We generally use the 10-year Treasury bond rate
as the measure of the risk-free rate, but some analysts use the short-term Treasury bill
rate.
• Step 2: Estimate the stock’s beta coefficient, bi , and use it as an index of the stock’s risk.
• Step 3: Estimate the market risk premium. Recall that the market risk premium is the
difference between the return that investors require on an average stock and the risk-
free rate.
• Step 4: Substitute the preceding values in the CAPM equation to estimate the required
rate of return :
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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
COST OF RETAINED EARNINGS (2)- MEASURES-CAPM APPROACH
• Example: Assume that in today’s market, rRF 5 5.6%, the market risk premium is RPM
55.0%, and Allied’s beta is 1.48. Using the CAPM approach, Allied’s cost of equity is
estimated to be 13.0%:
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COST OF RETAINED EARNINGS (3)- MEASURES
BOND-YIELD-PLUS-RISK-PREMIUM APPROACH
• This measure is usually used when reliable inputs for the CAPM approach are not
available
• Empirical studies suggest that the risk premium on a firm’s stock over its own bonds
generally ranges from 3 to 5 percentage points (evidence from Roger G. Ibbotson for
US stock market)
rs=bond yield + risk premium
Example: Allied’s bonds yield 10%, its cost of equity might be estimated as follows
rs= Bond yield + Risk premium= 10.0% + 4.0% =14.0%
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Dr. Duong Thị Thuy An Faculty of Finance Ho Chi Minh University of Banking
COST OF RETAINED EARNINGS (2)- MEASURES-DIVIDEND-YIELD-PLUS-GROWTH-RATE, OR DISCOUNTED CASH FLOW (DCF), APPROACH
• According to DCF model, assume P0 is the current stock price, Dt is the dividend expected to
be paid at the end of Year t,rs is the required rate of return. Current stock price is→
If dividends are expected to grow at a constant rate, the above equation reduces to:
solve for rs :
→investors expect to receive a dividend yield, D1/P0, plus a capital gain, g, for a total
expected return of rs
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4. THE WEIGHTED AVERAGE COST OF CAPITAL
• We can use the individual costs of capital that we have computed to get
our “average” cost of capital for the firm.
• This “average” is the required return on the firm’s assets, based on the
market’s perception of the risk of those assets
• The weights are determined by how much of each type of financing is
used
• Dividends are not tax deductible, so there is no tax impact on the cost of equity
• WACC = wERE + wDRD(1-TC)
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EXTENDED EXAMPLE – WACC - I
• Equity Information • Debt Information
• 50 million shares • $1 billion in outstanding debt
(face value)
• $80 per share
• Current quote = 110
• Beta = 1.15
• Coupon rate = 9%,
• Market risk premium = 9% semiannual coupons
• Risk-free rate = 5% • 15 years to maturity
• Under analysts estimates, you can find analysts estimates of earnings growth (use as
a proxy for dividend growth)
• The Bonds section at Yahoo Finance can provide the T-bill rate
• Use this information, along with the CAPM and DGM to estimate the cost of equity
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EXAMPLE: WORK THE WEB
• Find estimates of WACC at www.valuepro.net
• Look at the assumptions
• How do the assumptions impact the estimate of WACC?