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Do fairytale weddings really mean an unhappy ending?

New research has shown that couples who have really expensive weddings are less likely to stay

together than those who do it on the cheap. But that’s not the whole story

There are some general rules around surprising surveys, such as: when a result isn’t what

you’d expect, it’s often because the question was posed in a peculiar way, or the conclusion

has taken an unreasonable leap. Then there are some specific rules, such as: if you want to

know the truth about what makes a marriage last, don’t necessarily go first to a thinktank that

is avowedly pro-marriage – maybe try a more neutral source. These rules collided, or should

have done, at the weekend, when the Marriage Foundation announced that couples who had

really expensive weddings were less likely to stay together than those who did it on the cheap.

One in 10 marriages that cost over £20,000 had ended within three years. So, some people, at

least, have escaped the sunk cost fallacy.

Marriage and divorce experts were quick to comment: it was surely down to the fairytale

expectation that £20,000 creates. After that much white tulle and the delightful country house,

the brutal reality of life in athleisure, and a not-country house, was too much to take. And it

brings a certain narratorial satisfaction: anyone who blows a fortune on a single day must

surely be shallow, and incapable of doing dreary or lasting work.

But the Marriage Foundation is missing something major, here, which is weird because it

comes from their own research: second marriages are more likely to last than the first ones,

with 31% ending in divorce against 45%. If there’s one thing all second marriages have in

common, it’s not the age and definitely not the wisdom of the participants, but rather, that

they’re definitely, positively still skint from the dissolution of the first marriage. So they can’t

have a massive, meringue-style wedding, and their no-frills, pay-bar nuptials have skewed the

data. This is how to make a marriage last – not with small economies, but by taking the

precaution of a previous, failed marriage.

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