B1 B2 B0

10.51 0.62 983.5 199.00 0.87

Response
Explanatory variables Variable
Sample Unit X1 X2 Y Y ^ ( Y CAPTOTAL
Metropolitan area Income Unemployment Debt PREDICTEDVARIATION
Washington, D.C. 103.5 6.3 1,285 1291 90,925
Seattle 81.7 8.5 1,135 1063 22,964
Baltimore 82.2 8.1 1,133 1068 22,362
Boston 89.5 7.6 1,133 1145 22,362
Denver 75.9 8.1 1,104 1002 14,530
San Francisco 93.4 9.3 1,098 1187 13,119
San Diego 75.5 10.6 1,076 999 8,563
Sacramento 73.1 12.4 1,045 975 3,787
Los Angeles 68.2 12.9 1,024 924 1,643
Chicago 75.1 9.7 1,017 994 1,125
Philadelphia 78.3 9.2 1,011 1028 758
Minneapolis 84 7 1,011 1086 758
New York 78.3 9.3 989 1028 31
Atlanta 71.8 10.3 986 960 6
Dallas 68.3 8.4 970 922 181
Phoenix 66.6 9.1 957 905 700
Portland 71.2 10.2 948 954 1,258

Cincinnati 69.5 9.3 920 935 4,027

Houston 65.1 8.7 889 889 8,923
Columbus 68.6 8.3 888 925 9,113
St. Louis 68.3 9.9 886 923 9,499
Miami 60.2 14.5 867 841 13,563
Detroit 69.8 15.7 832 942 22,941
Cleveland 64.8 9.6 812 886 29,399
Tampa 59.4 12.6 791 831 37,041
Pittsburgh 63 8.3 763 866 48,603

388,182
EXPLAINED UNEXPLAINED
VARIATION VARIATION
94,519 35
6,342 5,170
7,165 4,211 SUMMARY OUTPUT
25,945 133
339 10,429 Regression Statistics
41,259 7,847 Multiple R 0.87 CORRELATION BETWEEN ACTUAL DEBT AND PRED
248 5,895 R Square 0.75 0.75
70 4,885 Adjusted R Square 0.73
3,547 10,019 Standard Error 64.61
121 508 Observations 26
1,965 282
10,585 5,677 ANOVA
1,970 1,509 df SS MS
544 669 Regression 2 292171 146085
3,756 2,288 Residual 23 96012 4174
6,198 2,732 Total 25 388182
882 33
Standard
2,315 235 Coefficients Error t Stat
8,976 0 Intercept 199.00 156.36 1.27
3,387 1,389 Income 10.51 1.48 7.12
3,644 1,376 Unemployment 0.62 6.87 0.09
20,353 687
1,681 12,200
9,475 5,494
23,180 1,617
13,704 10,691

292,171 96,012

388,182
N BETWEEN ACTUAL DEBT AND PREDICTED DEBT
MY MODEL CAN EXPLAIN 75% OF VARIATION IN DEBT

F Significance F
35 1.05393623E-07

P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%

0.22 -124.46 522.45
0.00 7.46 13.57
0.93 -13.59 14.83
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.87 CORRELATION BETWEEN ACTUAL DEBT AND PREDICTED DEBT
R Square 0.75
Adjusted R 0.73
Standard E 64.61
Observatio 26

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 292171 146085 35 1.054E-07
Residual 23 96012 4174
Total 25 388182

Coefficien Standard Lower Upper

ts Error t Stat P-value 95% 95%
Intercept 199.00 156.36 1.27 0.22 -124.46 522.45
Income 10.51 1.48 7.12 0.00 7.46 13.57
Unemploy 0.62 6.87 0.09 0.93 -13.59 14.83
0.752663504560782