Figure SF.1.

1
SF.1.1.A. Major economies’ share of global aggregates
SF.1.1.B. Latest mobility and production growth data, by concentration of backward value a
SF.1.1.C. Latest mobility and production growth data, by concentration of forward value add
Figure SF.1.2
SF.1.2.A. Regional responses of GDP and exports to modeled COVID-19 shock
SF.1.2.B. Sectoral responses in a modeled COVID-19 shock, the case of Vietnam
ation of backward value added in trade
ation of forward value added in trade

VID-19 shock
case of Vietnam
Figure SF.1.1.A. Major economies’ share of global aggregat
Percent of total
40
GDP Trade IP

30

20

10

0
United Euro Area Chi
States top 4
Source: World Bank.
Note: Trade is the average of export and import volumes. “Euro Area top 4” is a weighted a
Germany, France, Italy, and Spain. Data for GDP and trade are 2019. Last observation is D
for industrial
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Me
 global aggregates
GDP
United States 24.5
Euro Area
top 4 14.2
ade IP China 15.3

ea China

ea top 4” is a weighted average of

019. Last observation is December 2019
Trade IP
12.7 16.9

18.3 10.6
11.9 30.1
Figure SF.1.1.B. Latest mobility and production growth data
Percent, 3-month Percent chan
moving average relative to gl
2 me

0
-2
-4
-6
Mobility IP Mobility IP
(RHS) (RHS)
Low backward High backwa
value added value added

Source: Organisation of Co-operation and Development; World Bank; World Trade Organiz
Notes:Sample includes 29 advanced economies and 22 EMDEs. Countries are considered
forward value added if the domestic value added in foreign exports as a share of gross exp
than 25 percent, and “high” if above 25 percent. The same threshold applies for backward f
added, in terms of the foreign value added share of gross exports. Last observation for indu
production is March 2020. “Mobility” is the percent change in workplace mobility relative to
production is March 2020. “Mobility” is the percent change in workplace mobility relative to
median change from baseline over February 15 and April 21 in 2019 and 2020, based on d
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ction growth data, by concentration of backward value added in tr
Percent change,
Low backward
value added

elative to global High backward

value added
median 2

0
-2
-4
-6
bility IP
HS)
igh backward
value added

nk; World Trade Organization.

Countries are considered to have “low”
s as a share of gross exports is less
old applies for backward forward value
Last observation for industrial
place mobility relative to the global
value added in trade
Mobility (RHS) -5.5
IP -4.2

Mobility (RHS) 2.0

IP 1.0
Figure SF.1.1.C. Latest mobility and production growth data
Percent, 3-month Percent ch
moving average relative to glob

1
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
Mobility IP Mobility IP
(RHS) (RHS)
Low forward High forward
value added value added

Source: Organisation of Co-operation and Development; World Bank; World Trade Organiz
Notes:Sample includes 29 advanced economies and 22 EMDEs. Countries are considered
forward value added if the domestic value added in foreign exports as a share of gross exp
than 25 percent, and “high” if above 25 percent. The same threshold applies for backward f
than 25 percent, and “high” if above 25 percent. The same threshold applies for backward f
added, in terms of the foreign value added share of gross exports. Last observation for indu
production is March 2020. “Mobility” is the percent change in workplace mobility relative to
median change from baseline over February 15 and April 21 in 2019 and 2020, based on d
Google.
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ction growth data, by concentration of forward value added in trad
Percent change, Low

tive to global me- forward

value
added Mobility (RHS) 1.0
dian IP

4 High
forward
0 value
added Mobility (RHS) -19.5
-4 IP

-8
-12
-16
-20
lity IP
S)
gh forward
alue added

nk; World Trade Organization.

Countries are considered to have “low”
s as a share of gross exports is less
old applies for backward forward value
dded in trade

-0.8

-4.4
Figure SF.1.2.A. Regional responses of GDP and exports to
Percent GDP Exports
0
-1
-2
-3
-4
-5
-6
-7
EA EC LA MN SS
P A C A A
ex.
Chi
na
Source: World Bank.
Note: “Impact on GDP” and “Exports” show the change with respect to benchmark in the CG
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P and exports to modeled COVID-19 shock
GDP
xports EAP ex.
China -4.4

ECA -4.3

LAC -3.6

MNA -3.0

SSA -3.0

SAR -4.9

N SS SA
A A R

ct to benchmark in the CGE simulation.

Exports

-5.0

-6.6

-4.7

-4.9

-4.3

-3.6
Figure SF.1.2.B. Sectoral responses in a modeled COVID-19
80
Foreign Value Added share of

E
I
J
F
exports, percent

60 K G M
D
40 B A
N Q
20

0
-8 -6 -4
Simul

Source: World Bank.

Notes: “Foreign Value Added share of exports” is the value added of inputs that were impor
B=Fishing, C=Mining and Quarrying, D=Food & Beverages, E=Textiles and Wearing Appar
Machinery, J=Transport Equipment, K=Other Manufacturing, L=Electricity, Gas and Water,
Notes: “Foreign Value Added share of exports” is the value added of inputs that were impor
B=Fishing, C=Mining and Quarrying, D=Food & Beverages, E=Textiles and Wearing Appar
Machinery, J=Transport Equipment, K=Other Manufacturing, L=Electricity, Gas and Water,
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odeled COVID-19 shock, the case of Vietnam

E H
I
J
G M

O
A
N P
Q

-4 -2 0
Simulated impact on exports, percent

of inputs that were imported in order to produce intermediate or final goods/services to be exported.
xtiles and Wearing Apparel, F=Wood and Paper, G=Petroleum, Chemical and Non-Metallic Mineral P
ectricity, Gas and Water, M=Construction, N=Wholesale Trade, O=Transport, P=Post and Telecomm
 L

0 2 4
ts, percent

/services to be exported. Sectors are as follows: A=Agriculture,

nd Non-Metallic Mineral Products, H=Metal Products, I=Electrical and
rt, P=Post and Telecommunications, and Q=Other Services.
 Sector name Foreign value
A Agriculture 38.5
B Fishing 40.2
C Mining and Quarrying 15.2
D Food & Beverages 50.7
E Textiles and Wearing Apparel 72
F Wood and Paper 60.1
G Petroleum, Chemical and Non-Metallic Mineral Products 60
H Metal Products 71.7
I Electrical and Machinery 68.3
J Transport Equipment 63.7
K Other Manufacturing 57.9
L Electricity, Gas and Water 27.9
M Construction 58.9
N Wholesale Trade 29.6
O Transport 43.8
P Post and Telecommunications 32.4
Q Other Services 26.9
Impact on exports
-5.4
-5.9
2.4
-5.7
-4.7
-6.8
-5
-3.7
-4.1
-5.4
-5.8
2
-4.6
-5
-2.8
-2.6
-4.3