Retention DAU Predictor

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Day Retention Day

1 0.24 30
3 0.19 29
7 0.14 28
15 0.07 27
30 0.02 26
25
Forecast Formula 24
0.2528e^-0.085x 0.2528 -0.085 23
22
0.3 21
20
0.25 19
f(x) = 0.252778429504162 exp( − 0.0848041737107773 x ) 18
0.2 R² = 0.999437278391314
17
Retention

0.15
16
15
0.1 14
13
0.05 12
11
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 10
9
Days 8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
Retention Day Users acquired DAU 30 days after
0.0197 1 1000 20
0.0215 2 1000 21
0.0234 3 1000 23
0.0255 4 1000 25
0.0277 5 1000 28
0.0302 6 1000 30
0.0329 7 1000 33
0.0358 8 1000 36
0.0390 9 1000 39
0.0424 10 1000 42
0.0462 11 1000 46
0.0503 12 1000 50
0.0547 13 1000 55
0.0596 14 1000 60
0.0649 15 1000 65
0.0706 16 1000 71
0.0769 17 1000 77
0.0837 18 1000 84
0.0912 19 1000 91
0.0992 20 1000 99
0.1081 21 1000 108
0.1176 22 1000 118
0.1281 23 1000 128
0.1394 24 1000 139
0.1518 25 1000 152
0.1653 26 1000 165
0.1799 27 1000 180
0.1959 28 1000 196
0.2133 29 1000 213
0.2322 30 1000 232

Total Installs DAUs after 30 days


30000 2627

% of users retained after 30 days


9%

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