Professional Documents
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Acta Astronautica
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/actaastro
A R T I C L E I N F O A B S T R A C T
Keywords: The Moon is a highly valued destination for human space exploration because it is close and it contains a wide
Moon array of lunar and Solar System science targets, which include resources that could be used to sustain humans on
Lunar resources the lunar surface. These resources have the potential to enable sustainable human space exploration, develop a
Prospecting
vibrant cislunar economy, and directly benefit society here on Earth. However, recent rhetoric about the
Evaluation
Reserve potential
importance and value of these resources has used the term as if we know they are reserves. An immediate and
International campaign vital next step has not yet been realized to define the reserve potential of such resources, and that is designing
Space law and implementing a coordinated international lunar resource evaluation (prospecting) campaign. This paper
Outer Space Treaty outlines the issues that need to be addressed by such a campaign, including why it needs to be international in
nature and how the coordination can be started and evolved, as well as exploring the benefits that would come
from prospecting on the Moon.
1. Introduction Unfortunately, none of these factors have been quantified for polar
volatiles and other lunar resources. In order to obtain datasets that could
The idea promoted in this paper has been and will continue to be inform each of these issues, a coordinated resource eval
developed through community workshops and conferences (e.g. Refs. uation/prospecting campaign is required to quantify the nature, abun
[1–5]). It is essential that this is an international effort, not only from a dance, accessibility extractability, and overall reserve potential of
practical implementation viewpoint, but also to address legal and policy these potentially game-changing resources. Fortunately, independent
issues. There is international interest in lunar resources to not only efforts have formed a strong foundation for developing such a campaign
sustain humans on the Moon, but also in developing resources for export (e.g. Refs. [1–5,12–16], which include two virtual Lunar Surface Science
back to Earth (e.g. Refs. [6–8]). Workshops (numbers 17 and 18) in 2022: #17 Defining a Coordinated
Lunar resources are pivotal in enabling a sustained human presence Lunar Resource Evaluation Campaign [3], and #18 Implementing a
on the Moon and for developing a vibrant cislunar economy (e.g. Refs. Coordinated Lunar Resource Evaluation Campaign [4].
[9–11]). However, in these documents the term “resources” has been
used as if we have a good, quantitative understanding of where the re 2. Resources vs. Reserves
sources are, how much is there, what other components are also there,
how extractable the resources are, and what the commodities are worth. In reading how lunar resources have been presented (e.g. Refs.
* Corresponding author.
E-mail addresses: cneal@nd.edu (C.R. Neal), antonino@openlunar.org (A. Salmeri), aabbudma@mines.edu (A. Abbud-Madrid), james.carpenter@esa.int
(J.D. Carpenter), anthony.colaprete-1@nasa.gov (A. Colaprete), karl.hibbitts@jhuapl.edu (K.A. Hibbitts), julie.e.kleinhenz@nasa.gov (J. Kleinhenz), mathias.
link@space-agency.lu (M. Link), gerald.b.sanders@nasa.gov (G. Sanders).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.actaastro.2023.11.017
Received 28 February 2023; Received in revised form 2 November 2023; Accepted 10 November 2023
Available online 17 November 2023
0094-5765/© 2023 IAA. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
C.R. Neal et al. Acta Astronautica 214 (2024) 737–747
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models for extracting, refining, and selling lunar water (and other re consultations shall be undertaken if there are reasons to believe that
sources) with more confidence. This campaign could form the founda they would cause potentially harmful interference, and appropriate
tion of a cislunar economy and a sustained/permanent human presence measures shall be adopted to avoid the harmful contamination of
on the Moon. celestial bodies (Article IX OST).
• To the greatest extent feasible and practicable, States agree to inform
4. The legal framework the UN Secretary General, the public and the international scientific
community of the nature, conduct, locations and results of their
The exploration and use of outer space, including the Moon and other space activities (Article XI OST).
celestial bodies, is governed by international space law. The core of this
specialized body of international law, also known as Corpus Iuris Spatialis Further to the OST, the prospecting of space resources for the pur
(for a comprehensive assessment, see Refs. [26–28]), comprises of five poses of scientific investigation, as suggested in this paper, is explicitly
international treaties: the Outer Space Treaty (OST) [29], the Agreement permitted by Article 6 of the MA [33], according to which in the course
on the Rescue and Return of Astronauts (ARRA) [30] the Liability of scientific investigations States have the right to “collect on and
Convention (LIAB) [31], the Convention on Registration of Objects remove from the Moon samples of its mineral and other substances”.
Launched into Outer Space (REG) [32] and the Moon Agreement (MA) However, it is important to note that differently from the Outer Space
[33]. Over time, these treaties have been interpreted and implemented Treaty, which is a widely accepted Treaty counting 114 Parties as of
through several Resolutions from the General Assembly of the United August 2023, the Moon Agreement has only been ratified by 22 States,
Nations [34], as well as thirty-six national space laws [35,36]. In light of none of which is participating in the proposed Campaign (see the next
the fundamental role played by the OST in shaping the conduct of space section; India is only a Signatory to the Agreement, and as such is not
activities [37], and given the constraints imposed by the size of this legally bound by its provisions) [43], although Article 18 of the Vienna
article, this section will provide an overview of the most important Convention on the Law of Treaties provides that a State is obliged to
provisions of the OST and assess their applicability to space resource refrain from acts that would defeat the object and purpose of a treaty it
activities, based upon a review of the most prominent academic con has signed pending formal ratification. As this is an issue for India to
tributions addressing this complex subject [38–41]. address and does not affect other missions, we feel the Agreement is not
At the outset, it is important to note that the OST is a treaty on applicable to the conduct of the Campaign suggested in this paper and
principles. As such, its provisions can be interpreted in various ways, thus its provisions are not addressed here.
depending on preferred balancing choices and methods of interpretation In principle, space resource activities can be conducted as part of the
[42]. Thus, the considerations expressed in this section should be freedom to use celestial bodies, provided that they comply with the OST
considered as possible interpretations and not as definitive statements of provisions outlined above [42]. As mentioned, the broad formulation of
the law. Article I OST provides States with the freedom to explore and the Treaty and the need to make delicate balancing choices among its
use outer space, including the Moon and other celestial bodies, without provisions means that the legality of space resource activities will have
discrimination of any kind, on a basis of equality, in accordance with to be assessed on a case-by-case basis, depending on their goals, terms
international law, and for the benefit and interest of all Countries. This and modalities [38]. So far, existing State practice has clarified the
broad formulation has been chosen to allow for the conduct of all kinds permissibility of the recovery and use of small quantities of lunar and
of space activities, except those explicitly forbidden by Treaty, under the asteroid resources for scientific purposes [38–42,44–46]. However, the
applicable limitations defined throughout the OST. The lists below larger scale and commercial purposes of future planned space resource
provide a snapshot of the main OST provisions relevant to space activities will likely require an international framework with dedicated
resource activities. rules, such as those proposed in The Hague International Space Re
sources Governance Working Group Building Blocks [47]. To this end, in
• Outer space and celestial bodies shall be explored and use without 2021 the Legal Subcommittee of the UN Committee on the Peaceful Uses
discrimination of any kind, on a basis of equality, in accordance with of Outer Space (UNCOPUOS) established a Working Group on Legal
international law, for the benefit and interest of all Countries – and Aspects of Space Resource Activities [48]. Amongst many tasks, the
there shall be free access to all areas of celestial bodies (Article I Working Group has been mandated to develop, by the year 2027, a set of
OST). initial recommended principles for space resource activities, taking into
• Outer space and celestial bodies shall not be subject to national account the need to ensure that they are carried out in accordance with
appropriation by any means (Article II OST). international law and in a safe, sustainable, rational and peaceful
• Space activities shall be conducted in accordance with international manner [49]. Meanwhile, States retain the freedom to propose, under
law, and in the interest of maintaining international peace and se their own international responsibility, possible interpretations of
curity and promoting international cooperation and understanding applicable OST provisions [49]. This could be done through the enact
(Article III OST). ment of dedicated national legislation, as done by the U.S.A.,
• The Moon and other celestial bodies shall be used exclusively for Luxembourg, the UAE, and Japan [50–53], and/or the conclusion of
peaceful purposes (Article IV OST). multilateral agreements (whether or not legally binding), such as the
• Space activities conducted by non-governmental entities shall Artemis Accords [54] and the announced intergovernmental agreement
require authorization and continuing supervision by the appropriate governing the International Lunar Research Station [55].
State, which shall be internationally responsible for assuring that The organization of an international lunar resource prospecting
they are carried out in conformity with the OST (Article VI OST). campaign provides a great opportunity to test the applicable legal
• Each State Party to the OST that launches or procures the launching framework and be intentional about setting precedents positively
of an object into outer space, as well States from whose territory or shaping the conduct of lunar (and space) resource activities in accor
facility an object is launched, are internationally liable for any dance with the OST. To begin with, we suggest the following three
damage caused, either on Earth or in space (Article VII OST), noting features.
that different rules apply for States Parties to the Liability Conven
tion, according to which liability for damages caused by space ob 1) The global relevance of lunar resources requires the involvement of
jects in outer space or on celestial bodies shall be attributed on the all interested actors, irrespective of their degree of economic and
basis of fault. scientific development. To this end, the campaign could be organized
• Space activities shall be conducted with due regard to the corre as an international joint venture pursuing an incremental set of
sponding interest of other States, appropriate international mission goals building on one another, to allow for inclusive and
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diverse participation. The selection of contributions should be based Sanders, and VIPER – Colaprete) about coordinating data collection ef
upon objective criteria, with international cooperation being a forts on the same targets.
preferential factor, and ideally (for neutrality) entrusted to a non-
governmental entity. • The ongoing NASA Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter (LRO), now in
2) The variety of data that will be obtained throughout the campaign extended science mission 5, includes a focus on volatiles at the polar
allows for the possibility to provide benefits to both its participants regions. LRO datasets are featured in published assessments of polar
and the broader science community. To achieve this goal, the volatiles [13,16]. The instruments yield data with the following
campaign could adopt a multi-purpose data policy foreseeing footprints: Diviner (temperature) = 240 m/pixel; LOLA (active
different levels of access to different datasets, depending on the normal reflectance) = 500 m/pixel; Mini-RF (monostatic radar cir
contributions provided and including at least one level of open access cular polarization) = 150 and 30 m/pixel; LEND (neutron suppres
available to the broader science community. sion in wt.% water equivalent hydrogen) = ~10,000 m/pixel; LROC
3) The unprecedented level of cooperation and coordination required (narrow angle camera PSR imaging) = 10–40 m/pixel.
for the campaign can be used as a catalyst to accelerate current rule- • The Korean Pathfinder Lunar Orbiter (KPLO) is now in operation
making efforts for lunar governance. To succeed in this, the around the Moon (at the time of writing) at a nominal 100 ± 40 km
campaign could require its participants to develop and respect orbit. The extended mission has been approved and the orbit will be
shared standards for prospecting lunar resources and evaluating lowered to ~50 km. This mission contains the Korean Gamma Ray
their potential as lunar reserves, ideally with support from a tech Spectrometer that will measure surface composition and has the
nical entity managing the standards development. Depending on the ability to detect water in the low wt.% levels and during the mission
success of the campaign, these standards could be incorporated in the entire surface of the Moon will be analysed >30 times before the
domestic licensing conditions and submitted for consideration by the orbit is lowered to ~50 km for the final phase of the mission; pixel
UN Working Group on the Legal Aspects of Space Resource sizes at these two orbits will be ~70 km and ~35 km, respectively
Activities. [58]. KPLO also carries ShadowCam – the next generation of the
camera on LRO – that will allow high-resolution images to be ac
The suggested features would also promote the establishment of quired within permanently shadowed craters [59]. Data at 60
positive policy precedents for implementing the Long Term Sustain m/pixel and 240 m/pixel have been reported for Shackleton and
ability Guidelines for Outer Space Activities [56] within the context of Spudis craters at the south pole [60].
lunar activities, with regards to the exchange of technology and equip • The orbital component of the Chandrayaan-2 mission from India
ment for space activities (C.1), the avoidance of unnecessary duplication remains active. The orbiter contains the following instruments:
of function and efforts in capacity building (C.3.3), the development of Terrain Mapping Camera 2; Large Area Soft X-ray Spectrometer;
technologies maximizing the reusability or repurposing of space assets Solar X-ray Monitor; Orbiter High-Resolution Camera; Imaging
(D.1.3), and finally the encouragement of the participation of devel Infrared Spectrometer; Dual Frequency Synthetic Aperture Radar
oping countries (D.1.5). (DFSAR); Atmospheric Compositional Explorer 2; Dual Frequency
Radio Science experiment [61]. Of particular interest is the DFSAR
5. The Campaign instrument that can examine the shallow subsurface (~3 m; [62]),
and imaging with multiple viewing angles will help in estimating ice
Another reason for this campaign to be international in nature is a volume and the depth at which it is present [63]. Combining DFSAR
practical one. Brown et al. [16] used 10 orbital datasets to define the top data with other lunar radar datasets has been useful in identifying
targets for surface evaluation of polar volatiles. The surface area defined water ice in PSRs [64,65].
by the top 10 targets exceeds 6000 km2, so one nation/space agency • Lunar Trailblazer is a mission developed through NASA’s Small
would find it very difficult to implement a thorough evaluation Innovative Missions for Planetary Exploration (SIMPLEx) program.
campaign for polar volatiles, let alone for other resources (e.g., metals, The mission goal is to understand the form, abundance, and distri
helium-3, etc.). bution of water on the Moon and the lunar water cycle through
An attempt to develop a coordinated international lunar resource thermal and infrared mapping of the Moon’s surface [66–68]. It is
evaluation campaign was conducted in an ad hoc fashion by the Inter due to launch in late 2023 as a secondary payload on Intuitive Ma
national Space Exploration Coordination Group (ISECG) missions to the chines second mission (IM-2) to the Moon that will also carry
south pole. This was conducted by the Lunar Exploration Analysis Group PRIME-1 (see below). Of particular interest are the mission objec
(LEAG) in the Volatiles-2 Specific Action Team [57] to coordinate the tives: detect and map water on the lunar surface at key locations to
measurements from the missions required to understand polar volatiles. determine its form (OH, H2O, ice), abundance, and distribution as a
These missions included the Russian Luna 27 lander and Luna 28 south function of latitude, soil maturity, and lithology; map the form,
pole sample return missions, the JAXA SELENE-R mission, the Chinese abundance, and distribution of water ice in the PSRs; measure sur
landers Chang’E-P1, -6, and P2 landers, with Chang’E− 6 being a robotic face temperature to quantify local gradients and search for small cold
sample return mission, the KPLO orbital mission (currently active at the traps. The spacecraft carries two science instruments that image
Moon), and The Resource Prospector rover mission from the United simultaneously: a visible/shortwave infrared imaging spectrometer,
States (which has been superseded by the Volatiles Investigating Polar the High-resolution Volatiles and Minerals Moon Mapper (HVM3),
Exploration Rover - VIPER). similar to the Moon Mineralogy Mapper (M3) but explicitly designed
to measure hydrated materials, and the Lunar Thermal Mapper
5.1. Starting the coordination (LTM), a multispectral thermal infrared imager to measure temper
ature, composition, and thermophysical properties [67]. HVM3 will
There is an opportunity to build on this through the scheduled mis have a spatial resolution of 50–90 m/pixel, and LTM 40–70 m/pixel
sions to explore polar volatiles outside of those in the LEAG-ISECG [68].
report [57]. These missions include orbital and landed missions. The • The Volatiles Investigating Polar Exploration Rover (VIPER)
orbital missions will yield important diverse and complementary data mission is a solar and battery powered rover mission designed to
sets. The latter mission category is critical for providing important operate over multiple lunar days, traversing tens of kilometers as it
ground truth observations to validate orbital data. To date, our group continuously monitors for subsurface hydrogen and other surface
has contacted each of the missions described below (noting that the volatiles at the lunar south pole [69]. VIPER’s mission area (~5 × 5
authorship contains members of the missions PRIME-1 - Kleinhenz and km) is centered at 31.6218◦ E, 85.42088◦ S near the western edge of
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Table 1
Datasets for lunar volatile resource evaluation.
Dataset Specific Data Use Measurement
Composition Concentration of the resource Evaluate potential investment needed for refining the Required Fidelity?
Concentration & composition of impurities product
Form Cement in pore space; Layers; Irregular blocks; Loose ice grains Develop efficient extraction techniques
with regolith
Distribution Horizontal Variability needs to be documented to understand the
Vertical volume of the resource
Geotechnical Torque and power required for any drills to penetrate the deposit; Understand the effort required to mine the deposit and
Energy required to move loose regolith; Hardness of the deposit investment needed in developing extraction capabilities.
Near-surface Regolith Buried and surface rock populations Will impact the extractability of the regolith resource
Stratigraphy Ice block/layer distribution
Accessibility Traverse paths; Ease of accessibility has an impact on cost of developing
robotic miners.
Nobile crater [70]. The instrument suite comprises the Neutron in 2026, to be delivered by Firefly Aerospace [81]. The process for
Spectrometer System (NSS - measuring thermal and epithermal site selection has been documented in Ref. [82].
neutrons; the Near-Infrared Volatiles Spectrometer System • The Canadian Lunar Rover Mission (LRM) will land in the South
(NIRVSS); The Regolith and Ice Drill for Exploring New Terrains Polar region in the 2026–2027 time-frame through a CLPS delivery.
(TRIDENT); and Mass Spectrometer observing lunar operations The 30 kg rover will contain 6 instruments that include a combined
(MSolo) [71]. While it will not enter a large permanently shadowed neutron and gamma ray spectrometer, the Frozen Regolith Obser
crater, it will investigate several small ones in an area where sub vation and Science Tools (FROST) suite (comprised of two multi
surface hydrogen is thought to be present, and will determine the spectral imagers and one Lyman Alpha imager to detect water ice),
composition through drilling in promising locations and analyzing the Lunar Advanced Filter Observing Radiometer for Geologic
the material brought to the surface (e.g. Ref. [72]). VIPER is due to Exploration (LAFORGE) instrument, and a Radiation Micro-
be delivered to the lunar surface at the south pole by Astrobotic in Dosimeter [83].
late 2024.
• The LUnar Polar EXploration mission (LUPEX) mission [73] from As noted above, China and Russia also have planned missions to
the Japanese Space Agency (JAXA) in collaboration with the Indian investigate the south pole for volatile resources. After returning a pro
Space Agency (ISRO) to explore the Shackleton – de Gerlache ridge posed 2 kg of regolith samples from Apollo crater in the South Pole –
for volatiles [74] with a launch date TBD. This will be a landed Aitken basin with Chang’e 6 (expected to launch in 2026); Chang’e 7
mission to deploy a rover carrying seven instruments to explore the will consist of an orbiter, lander, rover, and “mini flying detector” to
surface and subsurface for volatiles. The instruments are: the explore the south polar region for resources, including PSRs (expected to
REsource Investigation Water Analyzer (REIWA); an advanced lunar launch later in 2026); Chang’e 8 (expected to launch in 2028) will be an
imaging spectrometer; a ground penetrating radar; a mid-infrared in-situ resource utilization and 3D-printing technology test mission to
imaging spectrometer; a neutron spectrometer; and an exospheric verify the utilization and development of such resources [84]. There are
mass spectrometer [74]. LUPEX also has drilling capabilities to political issues to be overcome in order for the U.S. and China to work
determine volatile compositions at depth [73,75]. cooperatively together in space exploration. The Wolf amendment,
• NASA’s Polar Resources Ice Mining Experiment-1 (PRIME-1) is a named after U.S. congressman Frank Wolf who sponsored the amend
NASA Space Technology Mission Directorate payload and will be the ment, banned NASA from engaging in bilateral agreements and coor
first in-situ resource utilization demonstration on the Moon [76]. It is dination with China. As stated under U.S. Public Law 112–10, Sec. 1340
scheduled to launch in 2023 by Intuitive Machines on their IM-2 [85]:
mission as part of the Commercial Lunar Payloads Services (CLPS)
(a) None of the funds made available by this division may be used for the
program [77]. Two components make up PRIME-1: first The Regolith
National Aeronautics and Space Administration or the Office of Science
and Ice Drill for Exploring New Terrain (TRIDENT): TRIDENT will
and Technology Policy to develop, design, plan, promulgate, implement,
drill up to three feet deep, extracting lunar regolith, or soil, up to the
or execute a bilateral policy, program, order, or contract of any kind to
surface. The instrument can drill in multiple segments, pausing and
participate, collaborate, or coordinate bilaterally in any way with China
retracting to deposit cuttings on the surface after each depth incre
or any Chinese-owned company unless such activities are specifically
ment [78,79]; and second the Mass Spectrometer observing lunar
authorized by a law enacted after the date of enactment of this division.
operations (MSolo). This modified-for-spaceflight, commercial-off-
(b) The limitation in subsection (a) shall also apply to any funds used to
the-shelf mass spectrometer will evaluate the drill cuttings for water
effectuate the hosting of official Chinese visitors at facilities belonging to
and other chemical compounds. Soil samples from multiple depths
or utilized by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration.
will be analysed. Note that both instruments will also be used on
VIPER. This amendment represents a significant roadblock in establishing
• The European Space Agency’s Package for Resource Observation cooperation in space exploration between the United States (National
and in-Situ Prospecting for Exploration, Commercial exploita Aeronautics and Space Administration) and China (China National
tion and Transportation (PROSPECT) allows subsurface (down to Space Administration) that will require enormous political effort to
~1 m) and surface volatile deposits to be evaluated. PROSPECT is repeal. However, specific exceptions can be made if it is in the national
comprised of the ProSEED drill module and the ProSPA analytical interest.
laboratory plus the Solids Inlet System (SIS), a carousel of sealable Russia successfully launched Luna 25 on August 10, 2023 and was
ovens for evolving volatiles from regolith [80]. It will access and supposed to land at Boguslawsky Crater (72.9◦ S, 43.2◦ E) on August 21,
assess potential resources on the Moon and to prepare technologies 2023. The goals of this mission were to study the regolith and the
that may be used to extract these resources in the future [7]. While exospheric dust and plasma at this location [86]. However, during a
initially planned to fly on Russia’s Luna 27 mission, it is now maneuver to place the spacecraft in a low lunar orbit before landing, an
scheduled to be a lander payload on a CLPS mission to the south pole onboard control unit failed to turn Luna-25’s thrusters off at the proper
time resulting in a high velocity impact on the lunar surface [87]. The
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next Russian robotic lunar mission will be Luna 26 (aka Luna-Glob-2 and program (e.g., the International Space Station, which has successfully
Luna-Resurs Orbiter) in 2027 - a polar orbiter and communications operated for >20 years), whereas international competition does not (e.
relay, and Luna 27 (aka Luna-Resurs Lander) in 2028 - a lander in the g., Apollo, which was canceled <4 years after Apollo 11 had landed).
South Pole–Aitken basin on the lunar far side, with Luna 26 as the Exploration of the Moon could facilitate this if all parties dedicated
communication relay. Luna 27 will also explore the region for polar themselves to go to the Moon together. The coordination of lunar
volatiles. Luna 28 (aka Luna-Grunt; a sample return mission) is sched resource prospecting represents opportunities for international diplo
uled for launch in 2030 [88]. macy in an era that desperately needs it. The avenue for collaborating
The ongoing and scheduled missions demonstrate the international with China and Russia could be through “science diplomacy” conducted
interest in the south pole region of the Moon. The missions will carry at the scientist-to-scientist level, but ensuring that laws in each country
different instruments and will have different levels of granularity (i.e., are followed.
surface and orbital missions), but there is an opportunity to integrate
these different mission datasets to derive useful products that would 5.3. Implementation of the campaign
inform both the science, exploration, and commercial stakeholders
about lunar polar volatiles. To date no intentional pre-mission coordi Since the Clementine mission in 1994, almost thirty years of lunar
nation is occurring, which represents a missed opportunity to assess orbital data define the broad regions prospectors would need to explore
similar targets using multiple datasets. Much-needed data for polar for a particular resource. However, data are lacking, especially for polar
volatile resource deposits are outlined in Table 1 and a similar table can volatiles, such as: form, amount, composition, ease of extraction (e.g.,
be produced for other lunar resources. The definition of a mineral geotechnical properties), accessibility, size of the deposit, etc. (Table 1).
reserve (Fig. 1) requires the deposit to be known such that there is So how can the coordination be initiated? The authorship has started a
confidence that a sufficient quantity can be economically extracted, grassroots approach to do exactly this, focusing on the missions high
processed, refined, and used. The economic aspect of this definition lighted in Section 5.1. By leveraging existing orbital data for planning a
comes when a price per quantity of that commodity is known (i.e., there coordinated international lunar resource evaluation campaign, we
is a demand for the products and potential customers are identified, but would obtain information about lunar resources that has direct rele
see Fig. 2) such that business models can be reliably quantified. The vance for enabling human permanence on the Moon and for commercial
current state of understanding of lunar resources is insufficient (in terms involvement in resource extraction and refinement. This has been star
of known magnitudes of specific minerals including water-ice and a ted [91]. In doing so, this would realistically inform whether or not
market or price point for any products derived from lunar resources). lunar resources could underpin a vibrant cislunar economy, which
However, as noted above, initial coordination is being developed at the would also benefit society on Earth through, for example, job creation.
grass roots community level around the missions highlighted. By fostering international cooperation, scheduled and future missions
can be integrated into a campaign to investigate these sites. Data thus
5.2. The advantages of coordination collected will be used to down select sites for pilot plant production and
tests beyond that of PRIME-1. A lunar resource evaluation campaign has
A coordinated international lunar resource evaluation campaign many benefits for human space exploration, commerce, and society here
could allow countries to participate in this exploration, regardless of on Earth that will be immediately seen in job creation.
economic status. Countries could contribute instruments, launch vehi Key leaders of the missions identified above have been contacted
cles, rovers, ideas, etc., to ensure the required datasets are obtained for regarding coordination of data gathering efforts, especially from orbital
each site identified by orbital data (e.g. Ref. [89]). Could this be done assets. The orbital missions have a variety of instruments that will return
through the Artemis Accords [54]? The Accords establish a common a wealth of data. If these multiple, diverse datasets were available for the
vision via a practical set of principles, guidelines, and best practices to same locations, surface assets could be more accurately deployed to
enhance the governance of the civil exploration and use of outer space obtain the granularity of data needed to understand the reserve potential
with the intention of advancing the Artemis Program [54]. They are at each location. We believe this is the vital next step in underpinning
intended to apply to civil space activities conducted by the civil space sustainability of human exploration of the Moon while also helping to
agencies of each signatory. At the time of writing 31 countries have establish a vibrant cislunar economy.
signed the Artemis Accords, many with little to no history of space But which sites should be targeted? The largest craters at the south
exploration but who recognize the potential positive impact of exploring pole may not be the best targets for initial surface exploration. For
the Moon. It is noted that the European Space Agency (ESA) cannot sign example, Shackleton Crater has a mean rim diameter of 21 km, with the
the accords as it does not represent one country, but NASA and ESA have floor of the crater 4.1 km below the rim with a radius of ~1.75 km, and
a strong existing bi-lateral agreement on cooperation in space and an average crater wall slope of 30.5◦ [92]. Landing on the rim in sunlight
several ESA member nations have signed the Accords. By sharing data and gaining access to the crater floor would be challenging. ShadowCam
obtained from this campaign commercial companies (and space on KPLO has the potential to map routes into and out of PSRs (see
agencies) will better understand the reserve potential of lunar resources, http://shadowcam.sese.asu.edu/ for details). VIPER has chosen a
such that a more reliable market value can be determined and the different approach by targeting smaller PSRs near the western rim of
reserve potential better evaluated. In this way, we could go to the Moon Nobile crater that have orbital data indicating the presence of water ice
together for all humanity. Such an approach requires organization, [69–72]. It is craters similar to those being explored by VIPER that
integration, and coordination at the highest level, but international and should be targeted by this coordination effort. Part of this effort will be
commercial on-ramps to the campaign need be built in from the beginning. to integrate existing datasets for the targets chosen while obtaining new
Linking this international lunar resource prospecting campaign to data from the orbital missions. This will need to happen soon in order to
the Artemis Accords is probably not the avenue to promote cooperation take advantage of the missions currently at the Moon and those
and collaboration with China and Russia, who currently have philo shorter-lived missions about to launch (e.g., TrailBlazer). We suggest
sophical and political differences with the United States, and also have a that a start can be made by integrating current datasets for the medium
collaborative effort to establish a human-tended research station at the to small PSRs at the south pole (e.g. Refs. [93–95]) around potential
south pole of the Moon(which also includes Pakistan, the United Arab Artemis landing sites. Site selection can be community driven through
Emirates, and the Asia-Pacific Space Cooperation Organization) [90]. international workshops (in-person and virtual), special sessions in
This aspect of the campaign remains one that requires careful thought established conferences (e.g., the European Planetary Science Congress;
and debate that is beyond the scope of this paper. However, history the Lunar and Planetary Science Conference; the annual LEAG meeting,
shows us that international cooperation in space leads to an enduring the Lunar Surface Innovation Consortium meetings, etc.). Data products
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Fig. 4. The Moon as an enabling asset. German-American rocket engineer and space visionary, Kraftt Ehricke said “If God wanted man to become a space-faring species,
He would have given man a Moon”. The strategic value of having an off-Earth destination in our own back yard represents an opportunity to expand humanity into the
Solar System while benefitting society on Earth (indicated by the arrow to and from the Moon) through creating a new sector of our economy in cislunar space. For a
colour version of this figure, please refer to the Web version of this article.
mission directorate can take full ownership (i.e., science and exploration • The global relevance of lunar resources requires the involvement of
are usually separated – VIPER is a science mission, not a resource all interested actors, irrespective of their degree of economic and
evaluation/prospecting/exploration mission). Hence international scientific development.
cooperation and coordination would allow science missions to also • The variety of data that will be obtained throughout the campaign
inform exploration and commerce, commercial missions to also inform allows for the possibility to provide benefits to both its participants
science and exploration, and exploration missions to also inform com and the broader science community.
merce and science (Fig. 3). • The unprecedented level of cooperation and coordination required
The LEAG Commercial Advisory Board (set up in 2018 as a forum for for the campaign can be used as a catalyst to accelerate current
members from the commercial space sector to advise on the planning rulemaking efforts for lunar governance.
and prioritization of NASA-funded lunar science and exploration activ
ities [100]) has demonstrated that its CLPS providers saw unprece Results from this campaign will inform multiple stakeholders (Fig. 3)
dented job growth in 2019 (>100 %) and even during a pandemic, job and herald the beginning of a new era of international cooperation in
growth was >65 %. It is evident that on-ramping commercial companies space exploration. It is noted that we promote the inclusion of science,
into the campaign in the United States (e.g., data-buys, CLPS deliveries, exploration, and commercial interests in such a campaign, not preferring
etc.) and elsewhere would be a great addition to the development of a one stakeholder over the other two. We should go back to the Moon
thriving cislunar economy. together.
If the reserve potential is proven, the benefits to society on Earth
6. Summary and conclusions would be immense, initially realized through job growth in new space
industries, but new technologies developed for sending humans off-
In order for lunar resources to be in the critical path for sustaining world and commodities made from lunar resources could have untold
human exploration to the Moon, and also in sustaining human life on the important benefits for society back here.
lunar surface, the resource potential must be quantitatively evaluated. An immediate next step is to remove the roadblocks depicted in
To achieve this, a dedicated coordinated campaign of lunar missions is Fig. 2. This could begin with a collective commitment of nations to
required. If one focuses on polar volatiles, the magnitude of the achieving a permanent human presence on the Moon. This is where our
campaign becomes apparent. By using available orbital data to deter implementation of the coordination (see Section 5.3) could lead, once
mine the top ten best sites (cf. [16]) to target surface evaluation, over the reserve potential of lunar resources has been quantified, and this is
6000 km2 will need to be investigated. Therefore, any lunar resource achieved by obtaining the data needed for this evaluation as outlined in
evaluation/prospecting campaign will need to be international in na Table 1. At the same time, space agencies could create a market for
ture, as no one space agency will have the budget or mandate to conduct commodities derived from lunar resources by committing to purchase
it alone. increasing quantities per year over the next one to two decades, thus
Coordinating this campaign will not be easy, but if it is international creating markets and demand, such that credible business models can be
in nature, it provides a great opportunity to test and refine the applicable developed. This would be unprecedented in human space exploration
legal framework while being intentional in setting precedents that because it requires a long-term commitment at the Moon and a high
positively shape the conduct of lunar (and space) resource activities in level of international cooperation. However, if we cannot make the
accordance with the OST. As such, we propose as a beginning three Moon sustainable, we definitely will not do that at Mars. The Moon,
foundational features. therefore, becomes a blueprint for sustainability in human space
exploration, and an enabling asset to allow humanity to move out into
the Solar System (Fig. 4), while at the same time improving society here
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[98] NASA, The Apollo-Soyuz Mission, 2010. https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages Dr. Antony (Tony) Colaprete is a planetary scientist based at NASA Ames. Hired as a civil
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https://www.lpi.usra.edu/leag/cab/documents.shtml. Volatile Spectrometer Subsystem (NIRVSS) and leads the Ames Flight Instrument Group.
Prof. Clive R. Neal is a Professor of Planetary Geology at the University of Notre Dame, Dr. Karl A. Hibbitts is a planetary scientist at the Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics
USA. He is currently a member of the National Academies Committee on Astrobiology and Laboratory active in planetary missions, instrument development, and laboratory exper
Planetary Science and ESA’s Human Spaceflight and Exploration Science Advisory Com iments. He is deputy-PI of the Europa Clipper Mapping Imaging Spectrometer for Europa
mittee. He served two non-consecutive terms as chair of NASA’s Lunar Exploration and is the technical lead of the Lunar Surface Innovation Initiative in-situ resource utili
Analysis Group and in 2015, he received the NASA Wargo Award for contributions to the zation focus group. Dr. Hibbitts leads an active planetary laboratory environmental facility
integration of planetary exploration and science throughout his career. He is passionate that couples ultraviolet through mid-infrared spectral reflectance capabilities with an
about returning humans to the Moon permanently and in a way that is sustainable and ultra-high vacuum and cryogenic system capable of simulating relevant radiation envi
benefits society on Earth. ronments on the Moon and in the Jovian system.
Dr. Antonino Salmeri is a space lawyer specialized in the governance of lunar and space Dr. Julie Kleinhenz is the deputy lead for the NASA’s ISRU System Capability Leadership
resource activities. He holds four advanced degrees in law and currently works as Director Team, which coordinates ISRU strategy across NASA. She has been working ISRU since
of the Lunar Policy Platform Initiative. In this position, Dr. Salmeri works with govern 2006, with a primary focus on developing methods of extracting water and oxygen from
ments, space agencies, companies and civil society at large on the identifcation of priority lunar and Martian regolith. She helped developed one of the largest dirty thermal vacuum
areas to be addressed for safe and sustainable lunar activities, and on the development of chambers at NASA and lead test campaigns in the facility for 10 years. She has led and
voluntary norms of behavior thereby. Dr. Salmeri also holds various leadership positions in participated in numerous study teams focused on lunar and Mars ISRU architecture, sys
key space organizations, such as Co-Chair of the Space Generation Advisory Council and tem modelling, and ISRU measurement needs. Dr. Kleinhenz is currently working as
Governing Member of the International Space University. In light of his contributions to integration engineer for the PRIME-1 mission, is a Co–I on the VIPER mission science team,
the advancement of space law and astronautics, Dr. Salmeri has been awarded as Young and is a member of the NASA simulant advisory group.
Space Leader by the International Astronautical Federation and presented with the
Diederiks-Verschoor Award by the International Institute of Space Law.
Dr. Mathias Link is Director & Member of the Executive Committee at the Luxembourg
Space Agency (LSA). He works on the definition and implementation of Luxembourg’s
Dr. Angel Abbud-Madrid is the Director of the Center for Space Resources at the Colorado space sector development policy and has represented Luxembourg in space-related boards
School of Mines, where he leads a research program focused on the human and robotic and committees at the European Space Agency, the European Union, and the United Na
exploration of space and the utilization of its resources. He has more than 30 years of tions. He coordinates the SpaceResources.lu initiative that aims to promote the exploration
experience in space projects on NASA’s microgravity facilities, including the Space Shuttle and utilization of space resources. He is also the chairman of the steering committee of the
and the International Space Station, and received the NASA Astronauts’ Personal European Space Resources Innovation Centre (ESRIC) and served as its first Director be
Achievement Award in 2004. He is currently the President of the Space Resources tween 2020 and 2022.
Roundtable and member of the Committee on Planetary Protection of The National
Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine.
Mr. Gerald Sanders has worked at the NASA Johnson Space Center full time for 35 years in
the Propulsion and Power Division of the Engineering Directorate, and has extensive
Dr. James D. Carpenter is Lead for Moon and Mars Science for ESA’s Directorate of Human experience in propulsion, fluid systems, and In Situ Resource Utilization (ISRU). Mr.
and Robotic Exploration. James is a physicist by training with a background in instru Sanders has worked in the area of ISRU for over 27 years. Mr. Sanders currently serves as
mentation for space astrophysics and planetary science. While with ESA James has worked the NASA ISRU System Capability Lead, and Co-Investigator for Human Mission Extensi
as a scientist on Moon and Mars mission activities and has led strategy development for bility for Mars OXygen Isru Experiment (MOXIE) on the Mars Perseverance rover. He
science at the Moon and space resources. In his current role James leads the establishment received his B.S. degree in Aerospace Engineering from the University of Cincinnati in
of new research activities for the Moon and Mars in the decade to come and beyond. 1987.
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