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Engineering Structures 147 (2017) 242–255

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Engineering Structures
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/engstruct

Use of residual drift for post-earthquake damage assessment of RC


buildings
Kaoshan Dai a,b,⇑, Jianze Wang a, Bowei Li a, H.P. Hong c
a
State Key Laboratory of Disaster Reduction in Civil Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China
b
State Key Laboratory for GeoMechanics and Deep Underground Engineering, Xuzhou 221008, China
c
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario N6A 5B9, Canada

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: Large earthquakes cause damage to buildings. The peak nonlinear inelastic responses of a building for
Received 13 April 2016 given seismic ground motions are often used as a proxy for the damage measure. However, the peak
Revised 16 April 2017 responses are rarely recorded or observed for an earthquake event. The residual drift or the permanent
Accepted 1 June 2017
deformation of the building after the seismic event can be measured and may be used to infer the degree
of sustained damage of the building. Although the use of the residual drift to infer the seismic perfor-
mance of buildings under earthquakes was explored in the literature, its validation by using full-scale
Keywords:
experimental data is unavailable. In this study, test results of a full-scale four-story Reinforced
Peak drift
Residual drift
Concrete (RC) building were used as the basis to assess the adequacy of using the residual drift to esti-
Seismic assessment mate the damage sustained by the building subjected to ground motions. The seismic performance
RC building assessment of this tested building was performed with the peak roof drift calculated from the residual
Shaking table test deformation. Analysis results indicated that the approach could be used to infer probabilistically the peak
drift of the building based on its residual drift. The degree of uncertainty in this inference is large and
should be considered as an integral part of this estimation. Additional issues of using the residual drift
as a measure of seismic performance of the building were discussed.
Ó 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction general, it is known that the residual drift has a very large scatter
(i.e., large coefficient of variation (CoV)) due to record-to-record
The assessment of the remaining capacity of a building that sus- variability [4]. The CoV value of the residual drift that is normal-
tained a large earthquake is important to ensure public safety. It is ized with respect to the linear elastic peak drift demand is up to
also critical for a sound decision-making regarding post- 2 [8,9], while the CoV of the peak ductility demand varies from
earthquake serviceability and/or reparability of buildings. The about 0.3–2.0 for ranges of values of the normalized yielding
maximum seismic peak inter-story drift or roof drift of a building strength, damping ratio, and natural vibration period [10,11].
is usually employed as one of the primary indices to assess struc- Therefore, the peak drift is widely used in guidelines to evaluate
tural performances of post-earthquake buildings (e.g., [1–3]). How- the damage states sustained by a structure. However, due to the
ever, the seismic peak drift sustained by the building can only be difficulties in directly obtaining the peak drift as aforementioned,
measured if a structural health monitoring system is already it is of interest to predict the peak drift based on the measurable
installed in place prior to the earthquake occurrence, which is residual drift for a building that sustained an earthquake.
not yet a common practice for most buildings. Often the residual One of the approaches to estimate the peak drift is to use an
drift or permanent deformation of a building is measured after empirical relation between the residual drift and the peak drift. A
strong earthquakes. simple empirical equation to estimate the median residual dis-
Statistical analyses indicated that the residual drift is signifi- placement demand was proposed in [9] by using results of
cantly affected by ground motion intensity, site condition, as well single-degree-of-freedom (SDOF) elastoplastic systems subjected
as structural properties, especially the hysteretic behavior [4–8]. In to actual ground motions. By considering nonlinear inelastic
responses of a bilinear SDOF system under 200 selected ground
motion records, a model to predict the peak displacement based
⇑ Corresponding author at: State Key Laboratory of Disaster Reduction in Civil
on the residual displacement was also proposed in [12]. This work
Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China.
E-mail address: kdai@tongji.edu.cn (K. Dai).
was further extended in [13] to multi-degree-of-freedom (MDOF)

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.engstruct.2017.06.001
0141-0296/Ó 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
K. Dai et al. / Engineering Structures 147 (2017) 242–255 243

systems considering the potential influence of higher modes. Fol- error using ‘‘the Pearson VII limit” (i.e., minimum sum of ln[(1
lowing the similar methodology, the empirical equations for SDOF + residual2)1/2]); the maximum displacements predicted by using
nonlinear inelastic systems with the Takeda and Kinematic hys- these empirical equations were significantly scattered [12,13].
teresis models were presented in [14] and [15], respectively. More- The rest of equations, which were established from extensive
over, the study [16] proposed expressions between the residual numerical analyses, intended to consider the uncertainties associ-
and peak drifts for two types of structural systems: the special ated with structural properties and seismic inputs.
moment-resisting frame (SMRF) and the buckling-restrained
braced (BRB) frame. Instead of using empirical relations to predict 2.2. Inference based on the probabilistic framework
a single value of peak displacement based on the observed residual
displacement, assessments of the probability distribution of peak By considering the uncertainty in the structural responses
displacement conditioned on the observed residual displacement caused by ground motions, a procedure based on the Bayesian the-
were considered for equivalent SDOF systems [17] and for struc- orem to estimate the damage probability using the post-
tural members that were tested on a shaking table [18]. earthquake observations was proposed in [18]. In a nutshell, the
Investigating the direct use of the residual drift or residual procedure for a building that sustained a seismic event can be
inter-story drift of structures to quantify and classify seismic dam- described as:
age can be found in the literature [19,20]. A framework of a post- (1) Assigning the prior probability density function of the peak
earthquake performance evaluation based on residual deformation drift for the building f(hmax). This assignment could be based on the
was presented in [6]. Similarly, a probabilistic framework for seis- structural analysis results of the building under the considered
mic assessment by using the combination of the maximum and seismic event. The uncertainties associated with structural proper-
residual deformations was developed in [7] to construct fragility ties and modeling errors should be considered. Ideally, actual
curves and to define various performance levels. Residual drift ground motion records at the building site should be used. If the
demands were estimated in [21] for seismic assessment of multi- record is unavailable, it is suggested to infer ground motions from
story framed buildings by implementing the probabilistic approach the records at stations close to the building site for the considered
suggested by [22] that incorporates explicitly the aleatory uncer- event or, to produce simulated ground motions based on charac-
tainty. The levels of residual inter-story drift demands were evalu- teristics that are compatible to the considered event. This, how-
ated in [23,24] for moment-resisting steel buildings designed with ever, increases the uncertainty in the assigned probability
a modern seismic code as they are subjected to narrow-band earth- distribution.
quake ground motions. Additionally, an approach to assess collapse (2) Updating the probability distribution of maximum drift,
due to the aftershock was considered in [25] by explicitly consid- hmax, based on structural damage observations and residual dis-
ering the amplitude of the maximum residual drift induced by placement/drift measurements. This can be expressed as,
the mainshock.
The methods in the aforementioned studies can generally be f ðhmax jI \ hres Þ / f ðI \ hres jhmax Þf ðhmax Þ ð10Þ
classified as the empirical relation based (deterministic) method
where I denotes all observed structural damage information, hres
and the probabilistic inference based method. None of these stud-
denotes the residual drift, and f ðhmax jI \ hres Þ is the updated proba-
ies considered full-scale building test results to confirm the ade-
bility density function of hmax, and f ðI \ hres jhmax Þ is the probability
quacy of these methods. In this paper, the use of available
density function of the observed information and residual drift con-
empirical relations and the probabilistic method for damage
ditioned on hmax.
assessment was reviewed. The peak roof drifts of a full-scale build-
Within the probabilistic framework, the residual drift measure-
ing tested in a shaking table were estimated by applying these
ment is used as one of the indications or information used to
empirical relations and the probabilistic method based on the
update the probability distribution of the maximum displacement.
observed or calculated residual drifts. The estimated values were
Unlike the deterministic approaches, Eq. (10) provides a probabilis-
compared with the shaking table test measurements. The paper
tic estimation of the peak drift which acknowledges the uncertain
further investigated seismic damage evaluation of this test build-
relation between the residual and peak drifts.
ing by using the peak drifts that were estimated based on the resid-
ual drifts as a case study.
3. Full-scale shaking table test and numerical simulation

2. Estimating peak displacement based on residual 3.1. Shaking table test


displacement
A series of shaking table tests were conducted on a full-scale,
2.1. Empirical relations for predicting the peak displacement four-story building on the National Research Institute for Earth
Science and Disaster Prevention (NIED) E-Defense shake table in
Nine existing empirical equations between the peak and resid- December 2010 [27]. This test building and test results were con-
ual displacements found in the literature were summarized in sidered in the present study. The test building was a conventional
Table 1. Eqs. (1)–(5) shown in the table are primarily applicable reinforced concrete (RC) building. The lateral-force-resisting sys-
to the SDOF systems. Among these relations, Eqs. (3) and (4) [15] tems for the test building consist of two-bay moment frames in
were developed for the SDOF systems with Takeda and Kinematic the longitudinal direction (X) and two structural walls, at each
hysteresis models, respectively. Eq. (2) [12] could be applied to a end of the building plan, in the transverse direction (Y) (see
multi-degree of freedom (MDOF) system representing a regular Fig. 1). Story heights for all floors are 3 m and the building height
multi-story structure with a symmetrical layout. Eq. (6) [16] was is 12 m.
derived for special moment-resisting frame (SMRFs) and The input ground motions during the testing are the JMA-Kobe
buckling-restrained braced (BRB) frame structures. Similarly, Eqs. ground motions (recorded in 1995) that are scaled with a scaling
(7) and (8) were used for moment resisting steel frames (MRF) factor of 25%, 50%, and 100%. The building was instrumented with
and concentrically X-braced steel frames (CBF), respectively. The accelerometers, displacement transducers and strain gauges and it
regression analyses to determine model coefficients in Eqs. (2), was subjected to ground motions along both X-axis and Y-axis
(7) and (8) were based on the minimization of absolute residual [27]. The scaled record component along the X-axis was shown
244 K. Dai et al. / Engineering Structures 147 (2017) 242–255

Table 1
Empirical relations between the maximum and residual displacements.

Equation References
  
[9,26]
uela ¼ ures = h11 þ 1 h2 ½1  expðh4 ðR  1Þh5 Þh3 ð1aÞ
41T n
n h i o
umax ¼ uela  1 þ a ðT =T Þa2  a3 ðR  1Þ
1 1
ð1bÞ
1 n s

umax ¼ ða1 þ a2 ures þ a3 u2res þ a4 T n ures Þ  ð1 þ a5 r þ a6 r 2 Þ ð2Þ (2) [12]


 n h h ii o [15]
ures ¼ 0:019
1=3 exp 10 1  r  uumax umax þ ðr  1Þumax uy  1 ð3Þ
ag y
 n h h ii o
u
ures ¼ 0:00074
5=6 exp 35 1  r umax umax þ ðr  1Þumax uy  1 ð4Þ
ag y

u u
ures ¼ ½0:069a2 þ1:164a
max y
102 rþ3:58
ð5Þ [14]
g g

ures ¼ ðumax  uela Þ  ð6Þ


DCF
2:5
[16]
jumax j ¼ ð0:053 þ 0:109 lnðNÞ þ 1:61  jures jÞð1 þ 2:0rÞ ð7Þ [13]
jumax j ¼ ð0:071 þ 0:076 lnðNÞ þ 0:865  jures jÞð1 þ 0:04rÞ ð8Þ
8 9
< 0 = umax 6 uy [2]
ures ¼ 0:3ðumax  u y Þ uy < umax 6 4uy ð9Þ
: ;
umax  3uy 4uy < umax

Note: ures and umax are the residual and the peak displacements, respectively; Tn is the fundamental vibration period of the structure; Ts is the
characteristic period of the site; r is the post-yielding stiffness ratio; R is the lateral strength ratio, defined as R = mSa/Fy, where m is the mass of
the system, Sa is the acceleration spectral, and Fy is the lateral yielding strength of the system; a1-a6 and h1-h5 are fitted parameters that depend
on site conditions; and ag is the peak ground acceleration (PGA); uela is the recoverable elastic drift; DCF is the drift concentration factor, defined
as the ratio between the peak inter-story drift and the peak roof drift; N is the number of the story for a structure.

(a) Plan view of test building (b) Frame elevation


Fig. 1. Plan and elevation views of the test building.

in Fig. 2a and the corresponding acceleration spectra for the scaled shown in Table 3, after the JMA-Kobe-100% test case, the perfor-
record component were presented in Fig. 2b. mance state of the test building structure was defined between
Table 2 showed the peak and residual roof displacements and the ‘‘Collapse Prevention” and ‘‘Life Safety” based on the structural
drifts for each loading scenario. In the JMA-Kobe-100% test case damage observation and the measured peak roof drift of 2.27%.
(i.e., recorded ground motions), 0.08% residual roof drift was However, with the measured residual roof drift of 0.08% and the
observed for the moment frame in the X direction. Since building maximum residual inter-story drift of 0.16% at the second floor,
damages were more evident for the JMA-Kobe-100% test case the performance state of the test building was close to the descrip-
[28], testing results from this loading scenario were used to assess tion of ‘‘Immediate Occupancy”. This conflict reflects the difficulty
the adequacy of the aforementioned empirical relations in predict- of using the residual drift alone to classify the damage or perfor-
ing the peak roof drift. mance level.
It was indicated in [28] that, after the JMA-Kobe-100% test case,
the maximum shear crack width for the interior beam-column 3.2. Structural modeling and analysis
joints reaches 2.5 mm and the maximum shear crack width at
beam ends and the exterior beam-column joints are limited to In this study, a 3D finite element (FE) model of the test building
1.1 mm. The concrete cover at the base of first story columns par- was developed with commercial software, Perform-3D [29]. Col-
tially spalled to a height of 250 mm. According to the performance umns were modeled with inelastic fiber sections. For the material
level classifications of RC structures defined in FEMA-356 [1] as properties of fibers, unconfined concrete and reinforcing steel
K. Dai et al. / Engineering Structures 147 (2017) 242–255 245

(a) Acceleration time-histories (b) Response spectra


Fig. 2. Time histories and response spectra of the scaled JMA-Kobe record.

Table 2
The maximum and residual roof drifts along the X-direction under each excitation scenario (NEES Project Warehouse, https://nees.org/warehouse/filebrowser/1005).

Case Maximum displacements, umax (mm) Residual displacements, ures (mm) Maximum drift, hmax (%) Residual drift, hres (%)
Kobe-25% 22 0 0.18 0
Kobe-50% 141 3 1.18 0.02
Kobe-100% 272 10 2.27 0.08

Table 3
Performance levels in [1].

Elements Type Structural Performance Levels


Collapse Prevention Life Safety Immediate Occupancy
Concrete frames Primary Extensive cracking and hinge formation in Extensive damage to beams. Spalling of cover Minor hairline cracking. Limited
ductile elements. Limited cracking and/or and shear cracking (<0.32 mm) for ductile yielding possible at a few locations.
splice failure in some nonductile columns. columns. Minor spalling in nonductile No crushing (strains below 0.003).
Severe damage in short columns columns. Joint cracks <0.32 mm wide.
Secondary Extensive spalling in columns and beams. Extensive cracking and hinge formation in Minor spalling in a few places in
Severe joint damage. Some reinforcing ductile elements. Limited cracking and/or ductile columns and beams. Flexural
buckled. splice failure in some nonductile columns. cracking in beams and columns. Shear
Severe damage in short columns. cracking in joints < 0.16 mm.
Drift 4% transient or permanent 2% transient 1% transient
1% permanent Negligible permanent

stress-strain relations were defined with trilinear relationships the developed FE model under the recorded JMA-Kobe ground
based on material testing results given in [27]. Parameters for motions in two horizontal orthogonal directions as well as in the
the confined concrete were defined based on the method proposed X-direction alone were carried out in this study. The obtained roof
in [30]. Girders and beams were modeled as elastic elements with drift for both cases were shown in Fig. 3. The comparison empha-
rigid end zones and moment-rotation plastic hinges at member sized that the roof drift along the X-direction for the considered
ends. The trilinear backbone curves of plastic hinges for every building was dominated by the excitations along this direction.
beam section were calculated using the XTRACT [31]. The lengths Therefore, only the testing results along the X-direction as well
of plastic hinges were estimated according to the recommenda- as the calculated responses subjected to the ground motions along
tions given in [32]. The cyclic degradation characteristics of inelas- X-direction were considered in the remaining part of this study.
tic fibers and plastic hinges were defined based on [33]. The The calculated roof drift time histories for the scaled JMA-Kobe
Rayleigh damping of 2.5% at 0.2 Tn and 1.0 Tn, where Tn is the per- ground motions were shown in Fig. 4, and compared to the full-
iod of the first vibration mode, was used for the nonlinear response scale test results. A good agreement between the test and numer-
history analyses with the recommendation in [34]. The mass, ical results presented in the figure indicated the adequacy of the FE
lumped at every beam-column joint resulting from its tributary model in capturing global responses of the building, especially for
area, was estimated based on the weight of the structures reported the JMA-Kobe-25% test case and the JMA-Kobe-50% test case. This
in [27]. validated FE model was used in the following to calculate struc-
Time history analyses were performed for the developed FE tural responses under seismic excitations.
model with the same scaled JMA-Kobe ground motions used for
the full scale test. A 5-s duration zero-amplitude acceleration time 4. Prediction of the peak drift with the residual drift
history was added at the end of each time history, allowing the
residual drift to be identified after the actual excitations. Note that 4.1. Empirical relations
the lateral-force-resisting systems for the building in the orthogo-
nal directions are different. However, the test results did not show The empirical equations between the peak displacement and
a strong coupling in [35]. Analysis of the structural responses using the residual displacement listed in Table 1 were applied to pre-
246 K. Dai et al. / Engineering Structures 147 (2017) 242–255

Fig. 3. Roof drift time-history comparison between the unidirectional and bidirectional excitations of the 100% JMA-Kobe ground motion.

(a) JMA-Kobe-25% test

(b) JMA-Kobe-50% test

(c) JMA-Kobe-100% test


Fig. 4. Roof drift time-history comparisons between testing and simulation results.

dict the peak response of the full-scale test building described in mass of the first mode multiplying the modal participation factor
the previous section. Structural properties required in the equa- of this mode; the spectral acceleration (Sa) of the JMA-Kobe at the
tions including the post-yielding stiffness ratio r and the yielding fundamental period of the test structure (Tn = 0.69 s), Sa, which
displacement uy were estimated through the static pushover equals 1.91 g (g is the gravitational acceleration); and the yield-
analysis by using the developed FE model. The estimation process ing lateral strength Fy = 1756 kN, which was estimated from
was illustrated in Fig. 5. The residual roof drift of 0.08% pushover analysis results shown in Fig. 5. Except for Eq. (2), the
(ures = 10 mm) after the JMA-Kobe-100% test case was considered horizontal top drift of the equivalent SDOF system for other equa-
as the measured value to estimate the peak roof drift by using tions was obtained by dividing the measured roof displacement
the equations shown in Table 1. Only Eqs. (1)–(5) were consid- by the height of the building. Eq. (2) was directly applied to
ered since they were suitable for RC structures represented as the full-scale test building since it was indicated [12] that Eq.
an equivalent SDOF system, which was mentioned previously. (2) can be applied to multi-story structures. Note that the param-
To calculate the lateral strength ratio R (R ¼ mSa =F y ) in Eq. (1), eters h1-h5, a1-a3 in Eq. (1) and a1-a6 in Eq. (2) were selected for
the test building was simplified as an equivalent SDOF system the site condition D (stiff soil) in [36], representing the site con-
with the equivalent mass m, which was obtained from the modal dition where the Kobe record was obtained.
K. Dai et al. / Engineering Structures 147 (2017) 242–255 247

probability distribution of hmax for the considered seismic event


was assigned by dividing the drift range from 0 to 4% into bins
or events Mi, i = 1, 2, . . ., 16, with the bin width equal to 0.25%,
where

Mi ¼ fmai < hmax 6 maiþ1 g ð11Þ

in which mai = 0.25%  (i  1), i = 1, 2, . . ., 17. The adoption of the


upper limit of 4% for the peak roof drift is based on the ‘‘Collapse
Prevention” drift limits in [1] (see Table 3). The consideration of
bin width of 0.25% was consistent with the value employed in [18].
Similarly, the residual drift hres was defined using the following
bins or events Rj,

Rj ¼ fraj < hres 6 rajþ1 g ð12Þ

where raj = 0.05%  (j  1), j = 1, 2, . . ., 7. By treating the peak roof


drift and the residual drift as discrete events rather than continuous
random variables, numerical analyses for the probability updating
Fig. 5. Static pushover curve. can be simplified.
For the ground motion uncertainties, Case 1.1 and Case 2.1
described below were investigated. The incorporation of structural
Table 4 modeling error can be very important. Therefore, the correspond-
Comparison between the test results and the empirical equation estimations. ing cases by including structural modeling error, denoted as Case
Empirical Calculated maximum displacement Relative 1.2 and Case 2.2, respectively, were also to be discussed in the
equation (mm) difference following.
(1) 18 94% Case 1.1: There are no ground motion time history records
(2) 72 73% available close to the site of interest after an earthquake. However,
(3) 227 20% the magnitude or intensity of the seismic event as well as the
(4) 218 25%
design spectrum for the building are available. For the testing
(5) 250 8%
building, as reported in [27], it was designed to be located in a
Note: Relativ e Difference ¼ ðuexact  uevaluated Þ=uexact  100%. region where the mapped short period and 1-s-period accelera-
tions are 1.5 g and 0.9 g, respectively, and Ts = 0.6 s for Site Class
B in [36]. The design response spectrum of the maximum consid-
Strictly speaking, a more complete comparison of the perfor- ered earthquake (MCE) for the full-scale test building was con-
mance of the empirical equations must be carried out by consider- structed following the recommendation in [36]. The Sa of the
ing the uncertainty (e.g., the standard deviation) in the predicted MCE is 1.32 g at Tn = 0.69 s and the damping ratio of 5%. Ten ground
value. Unfortunately, the statistical characterizations are not motion records for the site class B were selected from the PEER
always available for the equations listed in Table 1. Therefore, only NGA database [37]. Both ground motions with and without the
the (mean) peak roof displacements estimated by using Eqs. (1)– velocity-pulse characteristics were considered since the former
(5) were compared with the test results shown in Table 4. The can increase the residual and peak inelastic drifts [8]. The selected
comparison indicates that Eqs. (1) and (2) underestimate the peak records were listed in Table 5. Five records with pronounced
roof displacement significantly. The performance of Eq. (3) that is velocity-pulse characteristics and the remaining five records with-
based on the Takeda model was better than Eq. (4), which is based out pronounced velocity-pulse characteristics were selected in
on the Kinematic model. For the best prediction of 250 mm given order to give the same weight to pulse and non-pulse types of
by Eq. (5), the estimated peak drift was 2.08%. The relative differ- ground motions. The response spectra of the scaled records with
ence between the estimated and measurement was 8% if Eq. (5) Sa = 1.32 g at Tn = 0.69 s were presented in Fig. 6a. The Sa is the
is used. However, these observations were based on the compar- main parameter used to define the ground motion measures in this
isons between calculated and test results for a single test building study. Each of the horizontal components of a record was applied
under the JMA-Kobe ground motion. Therefore, whether the obser- along the X-direction for the following numerical analysis.
vation that Eq. (5) provides a satisfactory estimate of the peak dis- As the Sa at Tn = 0.69 s for the building site was unknown and
placement is applicable to other structures or under different uncertain for this case, it was assumed that the occurred event
earthquake excitations was unknown. Moreover, it was noted that results in that Sa can be modeled as a lognormal variate with a
although Eq. (2) applied successfully to a RC frame in [12], it did median equal to 1.32 g. The assumed excitation level (i.e., design
not provide a reliable estimation for the test building, which may spectrum level at Tn = 0.69 s) is somewhat arbitrary. It can be con-
be attributed to the fact that the pinching-effect or hysteric behav- sidered adequate for reference purpose, since a much lower excita-
ior of the RC structure in [12] are different from those of the test tion level will lead to linear elastic responses, while a significantly
building. In general, these comparisons indicate that the use of larger excitation level will cause collapse of the structures. In both
the predicting models together with observed residual displace- cases, they could not be used adequately for comparison purposes.
ment to assess the peak displacement (i.e., the post-earthquake The standard deviation of the natural logarithm of the Sa at
damage) could be associated with large variability. Tn = 0.69 s was estimated as 0.58 based on the ground motion pre-
diction equation developed in [38]. The value was within the range
4.2. Probabilistic method suggested in [39] by considering the intraevent variability only and
by considering the overall variability. Based on the above criteria,
Following the steps of the probabilistic method briefly for the analysis of this case, 20 samples of Sa values at Tn = 0.69 s
described in Section 2.2, it was assumed that the peak roof drift were simulated using the adopted probabilistic model. Each record
hmax obtained from the testing building is unavailable. A prior component was scaled to match each of the sampled target Sa val-
248 K. Dai et al. / Engineering Structures 147 (2017) 242–255

Table 5
Ground motion records used in Case 1.1 and Case 1.2.

No. Earthquake Name Year Station Name Mw Rjb (km) Rrup (km) Vs30 (m/s) ID
1 Loma Prieta 1989 Gilroy Array #1 6.93 8.84 9.64 1428.14 G01000
2 Northridge-01 1994 LA – Wonderland Ave 6.69 15.11 20.29 1222.52 WON095
3 Northridge-01 1994 Vasquez Rocks Park 6.69 23.1 23.64 996.43 VAS000
4 Kobe Japan 1995 Kobe University 6.9 0.9 0.92 1043 KBU000
5 Tottori Japan 2000 SMNH10 6.61 15.58 15.59 967.27 SMNH10NS
6 Tabas Iran 1978 Tabas 7.35 1.79 2.05 766.77 TAB-L1
7 Landers 1992 Lucerne 7.28 2.19 2.19 1369 LCN345
8 Kocaeli Turkey 1999 Gebze 7.51 7.57 10.92 792 GBZ000
9 Kocaeli Turkey 1999 Izmit 7.51 3.62 7.21 811 IZT180
10 Loma Prieta 1989 Los Gatos – Lexington Dam 6.93 3.22 5.02 1070.34 LEX090

(a) Case 1.1 (b) Case 2.1


Fig. 6. Acceleration response spectra (5% damping).

ues. A total of 200 time history analyses were therefore carried out It must be emphasized that in evaluating the prior probability
for this case. distributions of the peak roof drift P(Mi) shown in Fig. 7a and b,
Case 2.1: It was assumed that the ground motions (i.e., the JMA- the uncertainty in the structural modeling error was not consid-
Kobe record with the Sa shown in Fig. 2b) for the considered earth- ered. The incorporation of such an uncertainty is straight forward
quake (defined by magnitude and source to site distance) were if the ratio of full-scale test results to predicted responses of the
recorded at a site close to the building. However, the station is building are available. It is noted that although the quantification
not exactly installed at the building site. The JMA-Kobe event is of such a ratio has been conducted in the literature for structural
defined by the moment magnitude Mw = 6.9, the Joyner-Boore dis- elements or assemblies [40–43], the assessment of the ratio for
tance Rjb = 0.94 km, and the closet distance to rupture Rrup = 0.96 - the response of entire buildings is missing because of lack of full-
km. In the PEER NGA database, besides the JMA-Kobe record, no scale test results. To take into account such uncertainty approxi-
other record was found for the same magnitude and distance char- mately and as an illustration, it was assumed that the calculated
acteristics. To include more ground motion records that could structural response (i.e. hmax or hres) can be modeled as a lognormal
resemble the ground motions at the building site for the seismic variate, and the response by including the modeling error can be
event, records were selected from PEER NGA database based on: represented as the multiplication of the calculated response and
(a) Moment magnitude is within 6.0–8.0; and (b) Rjb is less than a structural modeling error represented by a lognormal variate
5 km, and Rrup ranges 0–4.38 km. This led to a set of 50 ground with the mean of 1.0 and a coefficient of variation of 0.40. This
motion records listed in Table 6. Time history analyses of the adopted value was within those suggested in [44] but for different
building were carried out for each of the two horizontal compo- reinforced concrete structures under seismic excitations. The esti-
nents of the selected records, which were scaled to have Sa at mated P(Mi) for Case 1.2 and Case 2.2 are shown in Fig. 7c and d. As
Tn = 0.69 s equal to 1.91 g, representing the Sa at Tn = 0.69 s for expected, the consideration of the modeling error increases vari-
the JMA-Kobe record. The Sa of the scaled records were shown in ability of the estimated peak roof drift, illustrating the impact of
Fig. 6b. the modeling error on P(Mi).
For the two cases (i.e., Cases 1.1 and 2.1), the prior probability It was noted in [27] that after the JMA-Kobe-100% test case, the
distributions of the peak roof drift P(Mi) were assigned based on damage state of the 1st and 2nd stories of the testing building is
the results of nonlinear inelastic time-history analyses by using between ‘‘Life Safety” and ‘‘Collapse Prevention” described in the
the test building FE model. The assigned distributions are shown FEMA-356 [1] (see also Table 3). The damages of the 3rd and 4th
in Fig. 7a and b. The distribution modes for the cases are different: stories were less severe, which should be classified as ‘‘Life Safety”.
the most likely peak roof drifts fall approximately into in the Accordingly, the inter-story drifts of first two stories were assumed
ranges of 1.5%–1.75% or 2.25%–2.5% for Cases 1.1 and 2.1, respec- in the range of 2% to 4% and the inter-story drifts of the 3rd and 4th
tively. The peak roof drift for Case 2.1 is closer to the measured stories were assumed in the range of 1% to 2%. Therefore, the peak
value (2.27%) since the reference ground motion information is roof drift of the building subjected to 100% of the JMA Kobe record
available for this case. was then assumed to be in the range of 1% to 4%.
K. Dai et al. / Engineering Structures 147 (2017) 242–255 249

Table 6
Ground motion records used in Case 2.1 and Case 2.2.

No. Earthquake Name Year Station Name Mw Rjb (km) Rrup (km) Vs30 (m/s) ID
1 Imperial Valley-06 1979 Aeropuerto Mexicali 6.53 0 0.34 259.86 AEP045
2 AEP315
3 Imperial Valley-06 1979 Agrarias 6.53 0 0.65 242.05 AGR003
4 AGR273
5 Imperial Valley-06 1979 El Centro – Meloland Geot. Array 6.53 0.07 0.07 264.57 EM0000
6 EM0270
7 Imperial Valley-06 1979 El Centro Array #6 6.53 0 1.35 203.22 E06140
8 E06230
9 Imperial Valley-06 1979 El Centro Array #7 6.53 0.56 0.56 210.51 E07140
10 E07230
11 N. Palm Springs 1986 North Palm Springs 6.06 0 4.04 344.67 NPS210
12 Superstition Hills-02 1987 Parachute Test Site 6.54 0.95 0.95 348.69 PTS225
13 PTS315
14 Erzican Turkey 1992 Erzincan 6.69 0 4.38 352.05 ERZ-NS
15 ERZ-EW
16 Kobe Japan 1995 Takarazuka 6.9 0 0.27 312 TAZ000
17 TAZ090
18 Kobe Japan 1995 Takatori 6.9 1.46 1.47 256 TAK000
19 TAK090
20 Dinar Turkey 1995 Dinar 6.4 0 3.36 219.75 DIN090
21 DIN180
22 Chi-Chi Taiwan 1999 TCU065 7.62 0.57 0.57 305.85 TCU065-E
23 TCU065-N
24 Denali Alaska 2002 TAPS Pump Station #10 7.9 0.18 2.74 329.4 PS010-047
25 PS10-317
26 Tottori Japan 2000 TTRH02 6.61 0.83 0.97 310.21 TTRH02NS
27 TTRH02EW
28 Morgan Hill 1984 Halls Valley 6.19 3.45 3.48 281.61 HVR150
29 HVR240
30 Parkfield-02 CA 2004 PARKFIELD – FROELICH 6 1.85 3.19 226.63 FROEL-90
31 FROEL 360
32 Parkfield-02 CA 2004 PARKFIELD – 1-STORY SCHOOL BLDG 6 0.95 2.68 269.55 36531-93
33 36531003
34 Parkfield-02 CA 2004 Parkfield – Cholame 1E 6 1.66 3 326.64 C01090
35 C01360
36 Parkfield-02 CA 2004 Parkfield – Fault Zone 6 6 0.95 2.67 297.46 Z07090
37 Z07360
38 Parkfield-02 CA 2004 Parkfield – Fault Zone 7 6 0.87 2.7 266.65 Z06090
39 Parkfield-02 CA 2004 Parkfield – Fault Zone 12 6 0.88 2.65 265.21 PRK090
40 PRK360
41 Parkfield-02 CA 2004 Parkfield – Fault Zone 15 6 0.8 2.67 307.59 Z15090
42 Z15360
43 Parkfield-02 CA 2004 Parkfield – Vineyard Cany 1W 6 1 2.75 284.21 VC1090
44 VC1360
45 Darfield New Zealand 2010 GDLC 7 1.22 1.22 344.02 GDLCN55W
46 GDLCS35W
47 Darfield New Zealand 2010 ROLC 7 0 1.54 295.74 ROLCS29E
48 ROLCS61W
49 Christchurch New Zealand 2011 Pages Road Pumping Station 6.2 1.92 1.98 206 PRPCS
50 PRPCW

Let the event I1 represent the scenario that the observed dam- interval defining Mi, mci = (mai+1 + mai)/2) and PðI2 jM i \ I1 Þ is a
age of each story is more severe than the damage state of ‘‘Imme- decreasing function of mci, which represents the probability condi-
diate Occupancy” defined in [1]. Similarly, let the event I2 represent tioned on the known peak roof drift and a identified damage sever-
the damage state in each story that is in the state or beyond the ity beyond ‘‘Immediate Occupancy”. Since there is no widely-
state of ‘‘Collapse Prevention”. The peak roof drift distribution con- accepted probability model to describe the relations between
ditioned on the observed ‘‘damage state” I, P(Mi|I), can be calcu- structural damages and the peak drift, for simplicity, it was consid-
lated by using, ered that,

PðI1 jMi ÞPðMi Þ 0; i ¼ 1; 2; 3; 4
PðM i jI1 Þ ¼ P ð13aÞ PðI1 jM i Þ ¼ ð14aÞ
j PðI1 M j ÞPðM j Þ 0:083  i  0:328; i ¼ 5; 6; 7 . . . ; 15; 16

and, and,

1; i ¼ 1; 2; 3; 4
PðI2 jMi \ I1 ÞPðMi jI1 Þ PðI2 jM i \ I1 Þ ¼ ð14bÞ
PðM i I1 \ I2 Þ ¼ P ð13bÞ 1:415  0:083  i; i ¼ 5; 6; 7 . . . ; 15; 16
j PðI2 M j \ I 1 ÞPðM j jI 1 Þ
Likewise, the residual drift measurement was used in updating
It was reasonable to consider that the damage severity of a
PðM i \ Rj jIÞ based on,
structure is an increasing function of its peak drift. In other words,
for hmax ranging from 1% to 4%, the probability of the damage PðI1 M i \ Rj ÞPðM i \ Rj Þ
PðM i \ Rj jI1 Þ ¼ P P ð15aÞ
severity conditioned on the peak drift PðI1 jM i Þ is an increasing m n PðI 1 jM m \ Rn ÞPðM m \ Rn Þ
function of the peak drift represented by the average value of the
250 K. Dai et al. / Engineering Structures 147 (2017) 242–255

Fig. 7. Probability distributions of the peak roof drifts.

X
and, PðRj jIÞ ¼ PðM i \ Rj jIÞ ð17bÞ
i
PðI2 M i \ Rj \ I1 ÞPðM i \ Rj jI1 Þ
PðM i \ Rj I1 \ I2 Þ ¼ P P ð15bÞ where I in the above equation represents the joint event of all
m n PðI2 jM m \ Rn \ I1 ÞPðM m \ Rn jI 1 Þ
inspection results.
Although the probabilistic model of PðI1 M i \ Rj Þ and With these equations and the residual roof drift hres = 0.08%
PðI2 M i \ Rj \ I1 Þ are not well established, the tendency is widely (ures = 10 mm) that was measured for the JMA-Kobe-100% test
case, the calculated PðM i jIÞ and PðM i jI \ hres Þ are shown in Fig. 7,
accepted that a large residual drift usually indicates more severe
structural damages under a condition of a specific peak drift. To where I in these cases represents I1 \ I2 . From the figure, it can
simplify the problem in this study, PðI M i \ Rj Þ is assumed to be be observed that for Case 1.1, after the Bayesian updating, the drift
range associated with the maximum probability (mass) shifted
given by,
X from 1.5%–1.75% to 1.75%–2%. However, the values within this
PðI1 Mi \ Rj Þ ¼PðIjMi Þ  j= j j ¼ 1; 2; :::; 6 ð16aÞ interval are still smaller than the measured peak roof drift, which
is 2.27%. Since the uncertainty in the ground motions was reduced
and, in Case 2.1 as compared to that in Case 1.1, the drift interval asso-
X ciated with the maximum PðM i jI \ hres Þ remained in the interval
PðI2 Mi \ Rj \ I1 Þ ¼PðI2 jMi \ I1 Þ  ð7  jÞ= j j ¼ 1; 2; :::; 6
2.25%–2.5%. Moreover, the mean and median values of
ð16bÞ PðM i jI \ hres Þ for Case 2.1 are 2.54% and 2.52%, respectively. The
median value is 11.0% different from the testing result. The Baye-
This assumption is made to simplify the numerical analysis to
sian updating by considering P(Mi) for Cases 1.2 and 2.2 shown
be carried out, and a better model must be developed based on sta-
in Fig. 7c and d was also carried out. The obtained results were
tistical data obtained from damage surveys for practical
included the figures, indicating again that the updating influences
applications.
the distribution of the maximum roof drift.
In addition, the probability distribution of the peak roof drift
Table 7 summarized the mean and median values of Mi based
conditioned on both the residual roof drift and the observed dam-
on the prior probability PðMi Þ and the updated probability PðM i j:Þ
age, PðM i jI \ hres Þ, can be estimated using Eq. (17) [18]:
for both cases. The difference of mean and median values between
X PðM i \ Rj jIÞ the PðMi Þ and PðM i j:Þ for the considered cases indicated that the
PðM i jI \ hres Þ ¼ PðRj jhres Þ ð17aÞ
j
PðRj jIÞ updating affected the statistics because of the consideration of
the assumptions made in Eqs. (14) and (16). Table 7 shows that,
and, the difference between the mean value of PðM i jI \ hres Þ and the
K. Dai et al. / Engineering Structures 147 (2017) 242–255 251

Table 7
Estimated median and mean of the peak roof drifts by using different probability distributions.

Considerations Distribution used Cases


Without structural modeling error Case 1.1 Case 2.1
Mean Median Mean Median
P(Mi) 1.66 1.66 2.67 2.64
P(Mi|I) 1.94 1.88 2.61 2.58
P(Mi|I \ hres) 1.95 1.89 2.54 2.52
With structural modeling error Case 1.2 Case 2.2
Mean Median Mean Median
P(Mi) 1.62 1.63 1.96 2.62
P(Mi|I) 2.09 2.01 2.44 2.41
P(Mi|I \ hres) 2.07 1.99 2.45 2.42

Fig. 8. Numerical simulation results of peak and residual roof drift results.

measured value for Case 2.1 is slightly smaller than that for Case with the value of Rj (or Mi), indicating again that Mi and Rj cannot
1.1 (i.e., 1.95%). Furthermore, in all cases, the considering of struc- be treated as independent random variables. This and a non-zero
tural modeling error narrowed the differences. However, this correlation coefficient support the use of Bayesian approach to
observation should not be generalized for other cases. Since it is update the probability distribution of peak drift, which was given
not clear on the adequacy of the adopted probabilistic model of in the following section.
structural modeling error for this considered test building, unless
otherwise indicated, the effect of the modeling error was not con-
sidered further in the following analyses. 5. Post-earthquake fragility assessment
To investigate the correlation between the peak and residual
drifts, results of peak and residual drifts from 250 time history The peak drift is a useful engineering demand parameter (EDP)
analysis were plotted on Fig. 8. It can be observed from the figure for engineers to evaluate the damage state of a building. Based on
that as the peak drift increases, the dispersion of residual drift the residual drift and other damage observations collected from
increases. For the residual drift equal to 0.08% that corresponds field investigations after an earthquake event, the peak drift distri-
to the drift ratio obtained from the shaking table test, the peak bution can be more reliably predicted by following the probabilis-
drifts obtained from numerical modeling are greater than approx- tic model aforementioned. With an integrated use of the peak drift
imately 1.1%, as shown in Fig. 8. The correlation coefficient q and in situ damage observations, engineers can perform post-
between peak and residual drifts was computed using the samples earthquake damage assessment following an event. The damage
shown in Fig. 8. The estimated q equals 0.41, indicating a weak cor- states reflected from such evaluations are classified as instructed
relation. The lower correlation coefficient indicates again that the by codes or guidelines, e.g., FEMA P-58 [45]. As one of useful tools,
use of an empirical equation to predict peak drift based on the fragility curves provide the information about the remaining seis-
residual drift is associated with large uncertainty and this uncer- mic capacity of a building in terms of the conditional collapse
tainty increases as the residual drift increases. The empirical joint probability. For instance, given a peak drift value, one is interested
probability distribution of peak and residual drifts PðM i \ Rj Þ by in assessing the probability of collapse of the structure due to an
using the samples shown in Fig. 8 is presented in Fig. 9. The results aftershock or a subsequent earthquake with a specified Sa. The col-
presented in the figure illustrate that the shape of the marginal dis- lapse limit state could be defined based on the peak drift. To
tribution of Mi conditioned on Rj (or Rj conditioned on Mi) changes explore the feasibility of assessing fragility curve (i.e., failure prob-
252 K. Dai et al. / Engineering Structures 147 (2017) 242–255

Fig. 9. Empirical joint probability distribution PðM i \ Rj Þ of the peak and residual roof drifts.

ability conditioned on a given Sa) for a building that already sus- the curves shown in Fig. 10a–c. The fundamental vibration period
tained a peak drift, three predicted peak drift values were consid- of the damaged structure Td was then estimated based on the
ered: the first one was predicted by using Eq. (5) and denoted by equivalent elastic stiffness values and the vibration characteristics
hmax,d, which is 2.08%; the second one is equal to the estimated of the intact structure by using,
median value of h for Case 2.1 and is denoted by hmax,p, which sffiffiffiffiffiffi
equals 2.52%; and the third one is the measured maximum roof K
drift ratio, denoted as hmax,r, which is 2.27%. These three scenarios Td ¼ Tn ð18Þ
Kd
were referred to as DDS, PDS and RDS, respectively. Following the
procedure in [46], the evaluation steps and estimated fragility where K is the elastic stiffness values of the intact structure, Kd is
curves of the frame system of the test building were described the equivalent elastic stiffness value of the damaged structure in
below. a certain damage state obtained directly from the respective push-
(1) Perform nonlinear static pushover analyses for the intact over curves, which equals Kd,d, Kd,p, or Kd,r depending on the consid-
test building. This work was conducted in Section 4.1 as shown ered scenario.
in Fig. 5. According to [1], it was assumed that the collapse occurs (3) Determine the incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) curves of
if the roof drift ratio exceeds 4%. the building in both estimated and real damaged states. The IDA
(2) Conduct nonlinear static pushover analyses for the damaged curves were obtained in this study by using the SPO2IDA spread-
test building. To obtain the static pushover curve of the damaged sheet tool (http://users.ntua.gr/divamva/software.html). To use
building, the intact structure was first pushed to a certain roof drift the SPO2IDA spreadsheet, the static pushover curves in Fig. 10
ratio, which equals to hmax,d = 2.08% or hmax,p = 2.52% or hmax, were simplified with four straight lines following the principle that
r = 2.27%, before unloading to the zero base shear. After unloading, the inside areas covering by these straight lines and those covering
the building was loaded again to the collapse limit of 4% as shown by the static pushover curve are close. Furthermore, to compare
in Fig. 10a–c. From these pushover curves, the equivalent elastic the IDA curves for damage states derived from different methods,
stiffness of the damaged building was estimated to be Kd, the spectral accelerations at the fundamental vibration period of
d = 12868 kN/m, Kd,p = 11097 kN/m, and Kd,r = 11502 kN/m from the damaged structure, Sa(Td,d), Sa(Td,p) and Sa(Td,r), corresponding

Fig. 10. Static pushover curves: (a) DDS scenario, (b) PDS scenario, (c) RDS scenario.
K. Dai et al. / Engineering Structures 147 (2017) 242–255 253

Fig. 11. IDA and fragility curves for damaged structure for RDS, DDS, and PDS.

(a) Overall picture of the fragility curves (b) Details comparison for small Sa(Tn) values
Fig. 12. Fragility curves for the collapse of the damaged structure considering different scenarios.

to DDS, PDS and RDS, were transformed into the Sa of the intact each scenario represented the Bayesian updated fragility curve.
building at Tn = 0.69 s, which were estimated to be 1.32 g based These fragility curves were shown in Fig. 12a and compared to
on the design spectrum for the MCE. In other words, the IDA curves those obtained for scenarios RDS, DDS and PDS. To better inspect
of the damaged building were multiplied by Sa(Tn)/Sa(Td). the capacity curves for small values of Sa(Tn), the results presented
(4) Obtain fragility curves of the damaged building for the col- in Fig. 12a is replotted in Fig. 12b in the logarithmic paper. The
lapse limit state, which is defined by 4% roof drift in FEMA-356 (See plots shown in Fig. 12b indicated that the estimated values of
Table 3). Fragility curves (i.e., probability of collapse conditioned the fragility curves are insensitive to the selected scenarios. This
on Sa (Tn = 0.69 s)) were derived for the building damaged due to implies that under the considered conditions the estimated fragi-
the shaking induced by JMA-Kobe-100% ground motion, by using lity curve is not very sensitive to the considered residual drift; it
the median spectral capacity and standard deviation b = 0.27, reflects the large uncertainty in predicting the peak drift based
which takes into account the record-to-record variability. The on the residual drift.
results are shown in Fig. 11. These fragility curves are close and
the PDS curve has little difference to RDS, which encourages the 6. Conclusions
use of a reliable estimated peak drift for seismic assessment of
the damaged building with regarding to its post-earthquake A seismic assessment procedure using the residual drift, which
usability and/or reparability. is measurable in the post-earthquake investigation, for damaged
To incorporate the uncertainty in the predicted peak drift for buildings after mainshock was presented in this study. Since the
assessing the fragility curve, rather than considering a single pre- peak drift is more reliable than the residual drift as an index for
dicted drift value as shown in Fig. 11, the use of the estimated pos- evaluating building performance, this paper investigated the use
terior distribution of the drift ratio shown in Fig. 7 for Cases 1.1 and of two approaches to assess the damage state of buildings that
2.1 (i.e., P(Mi|I\hres) was also considered. These two scenarios were experienced a large earthquake: (1) predicting the peak drift from
referred to as U1-DS if P(Mi|I\hres) shown in Fig. 7a was used, and the residual drift using an empirical model; (2) evaluating the
U2-DS if P(Mi|I\hres) shown in Fig. 7b was used. Note that for the damage state based on probabilistic inference considering the
scenarios U1-DS and U2-DS, analysis following the above 4-step measured damage indications.
was carried out but considering a range of peak drift values accord- Results of a full-scale four-story RC building were used as a case
ing to the assigned P(Mi|I\hres), and the resulting fragility curve study to assess both approaches. The results showed that, only one
(i.e., the conditional fragility curves weighted by P(Mi|I\hres)) for of the five considered empirical equations provided a close predic-
254 K. Dai et al. / Engineering Structures 147 (2017) 242–255

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