trimestre Xt Prévision de XRésidu : et = T S

1 293 294.3 -1.3 -1.82 289.88

2 209 288.06 -79.06 -14.72 275.16
3 205 260.44 -55.44 -2.256 272.904
4 273 270.648 2.352 1.824 274.728
5 220 276.552 -56.552 -12.4048 262.3232
6 290 249.9184 40.0816 15.4592 277.7824
7 243 293.2416 -50.2416 -19.32384 258.45856
8 203 239.13472 -36.13472 4.36736 262.82592
9 390 267.19328 122.80672 21.940928 284.766848
10 360 306.707776 53.292224 -2.506112 282.260736
11 353 279.754624 73.245376 16.1527424 298.413478
12 343 314.566221 28.4337792 -4.0048896 294.408589
13 364 290.403699 73.5963008 17.1221939 311.530783
14 330 328.652977 1.34702336 -10.0039117 301.526871
15 377 291.522959 85.4770406 23.0977551 324.624626
16 332 347.722381 -15.7223813 -17.0031293 307.621497
136 4785 Total
T0 2.6
S0 291.7
α 0.2
β 1

20.75