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Abstract – ISO 19036 is an international standard that ISO/IEC Guide 98-3 (“GUM”) defines measurement
specifies and gives guidance for the estimation and uncertainty (MU) as a parameter associated with the result
expression of measurement uncertainty (MU) of a measurement that characterises the dispersion of the
associated with quantitative results of microbial counts values that could reasonably be attributed to the
in foods. Standard describes top-down or global measurand. It is used to express and quantify the lack of
approach to MU, in which MU is calculated from accuracy (trueness and precision) of the laboratory results
experimental results with replication of the same or the other way around to indicate the degree of
analyses as part of the measurement process and confidence that can be placed on results of measurement.
expressed as a standard deviation of reproducibility of The “parameter” associated with the result can be a
the final result. In a new revision from 2019 standard standard deviation, a relative standard deviation, a
ISO 19036 considers three types of MU component: confidence interval or a range [1].
technical uncertainty, matrix uncertainty and GUM is a principal reference document on
distributional uncertainty. The aim of this study was to measurement uncertainty. According to this document the
estimate all components of MU according to standard main approach for estimation of MU is to construct a
ISO 19036:2019. Technical uncertainty was estimated mathematical measurement model that can quantitatively
for quantitative enumeration tests for coagulase- define all individual input quantities on which the quantity
positive staphylococci, Listeria monocytogenes, of measurand depends so that MU can be calculated from
Escherichia coli, Enterobacteriaceae and aerobic all the uncertainties of the input quantities. However, this
mesophilic bacteria, while matrix uncertainty was model is not feasible in food microbiology since it is not
estimated for ice cream, cheese, ready-to-eat possible to accurately quantify each input quantity because
vegetables, ready-to-eat food and cream cakes. the analyte is a living microorganism with largely variable
Technical uncertainty was estimated from a physiological states and many different
reproducibility standard deviation of the final result of strains/species/genera and for many input quantities their
measurement process while the matrix uncertainty was impact on measurand cannot be adequately quantified.
estimated from within-sample variance by examination ISO 19036 is an international standard that specifies
of multiple test portions from laboratory sample. requirements and gives guidance for the estimation and
Distributional uncertainty is estimated expression of measurement uncertainty associated with
mathematically. The study showed that technical quantitative results of microbial counts in foods. Standard
uncertainties of quantitative methods performed in our describes top-down or global approach to MU, in which
laboratory are the same magnitude and quite low. MU is calculated from experimental results with
Matrix uncertainty was the largest contributor to replication of the same analyses as part of the measurement
combined uncertainty in composite food matrices. Our process and it is expressed as a standard deviation of
results are better than or in a close agreement with reproducibility of the final result. In this case standard
results from method validation interlaboratory studies deviation of reproducibility already includes contributions
and other published data. of most input quantities. In a new revision from 2019
standard ISO 19036 considers three distinct types of MU
Keywords – Measurement uncertainty; ISO 19036; component: technical uncertainty, matrix uncertainty and
Technical uncertainty; Matrix uncertainty; distributional uncertainty [2].
Distributional uncertainty Since reference values or assigned values are usually
not available in food microbiology bias cannot be reliably
I. INTRODUCTION estimated and is not included in the estimation of
Editors: Dr. Zsolt János Viharos; Prof. Lorenzo Ciani; Prof. Piotr Bilski & Mladen Jakovcic 302
17th IMEKO TC 10 and EUROLAB Virtual Conference
“Global Trends in Testing, Diagnostics & Inspection for 2030”
October 20-22, 2020.
A. Technical uncertainty (utech) The aim of this study was to estimate all components
Technical uncertainty arises from operational of MU according to standard ISO 19036:2019. Technical
variability and is a characteristic of the method. It includes uncertainty was estimated for quantitative tests for
the variability of the taking, mixing, preparing of initial coagulase-positive staphylococci (CPS), Listeria
dilution and subsequent serial dilutions of the test portion monocytogenes (LM), Escherichia coli colony count
from the laboratory sample, variability of inoculation, (EcCC), Enterobacteriaceae colony count (ECC) and
colony counting and confirmation, as well as the aerobic colony count (ACC), while matrix uncertainty was
variability in incubation conditions and media content and estimated for ice cream, cheese, ready-to-eat (RTE)
quality. It is estimated from the standard deviation of vegetables, ready-to-eat (RTE) food and cream cakes.
reproducibility or intralaboratory reproducibility standard
deviation (sR) on the final result of the measurement. II. RELATED RESULTS IN THE LITERATURE
According to standard ISO 19036 technical uncertainty Besides respective ISO standards for microbiological
may be estimated on a single matrix since experimental methods [3-8], which include data obtained by method
protocol is designed to exclude contributions from the validation interlaboratory studies, the main source of
matrix. related results is AFSSA/ISO Report of 2003/2004 ISO
trials about uncertainty measurement [9]. The objective of
B. Matrix uncertainty (umatrix) these trials was to estimate the component of MU linked to
In food microbiology test results can be significantly taking of test portion and the preparation of initial
affected by matrix composition and microbial distribution. suspension from laboratory (test) sample of different types
Matrix uncertainty however refers only to the effects of of matrices. 13 microorganisms were enumerated in 91
microbial distribution within a certain matrix and is a various matrices, including aerobic mesophilic count,
characteristic of that specific matrix. This uncertainty coliforms, Escherichia coli ꞵ-glucuronidase positive,
comes from the variations between results from different Staphylococcus coagulase positive, Enterobacteriaceae
test portions of the same laboratory sample and it reflects and Listeria monocytogenes in meat and meat products,
the extent to which the individual test portions are not dairy products, fruits and vegetables, seafood,
representative of the complete laboratory sample. Matrix miscellaneous and composite foods. From obtained results
uncertainty is considered as independent of the analytical standard deviations were calculated: between initial
method hence it can be applied to all quantitative tests in suspensions (sIS), between conditions (scond), residual
the same matrix. For homogenous or very well standard deviation between repetitions (sres) and total
homogenized materials, such as liquids, powders, standard deviation (stot), which is combined standard
minced/chopped solids or fluids, matrix uncertainty is deviation of all three. Trials showed that standard
usually very small. On the other hand very heterogeneous deviation between initial suspensions (matrix specific) was
and multi-component materials, such as cheeses, fresh-cut the largest contributor to total standard deviation with
vegetables and ready-to-eat foods, can have very large mean value of 0.19 log10 cfu/g (range 0.01 – 0.74 log10
matrix uncertainty. Matrix uncertainty is overestimate cfu/g, median 0.15 log10 cfu/g). Standard deviation
since it inevitably includes technical uncertainty that between conditions (intralaboratory reproducibility) was
comes from operational variations between repeated estimated lower, with mean value of 0.10 log10 cfu/g
analyses. (range 0.01 – 0.58 log10 cfu/g, median 0.07). Residual
standard deviation had even lower range (0.03 – 0.33 log10
C. Distributional uncertainty (uPoisson) cfu/g, median 0.10) but mean value was 0.11 log10 cfu/g.
Distributional uncertainty arises from intrinsic Total standard deviation ranged between 0.04 – 0.78 log10
variability associated with the distribution of cfu/g, with median 0.23 log10 cfu/g and mean value 0.26
microorganisms in the sample and its dilutions. In log10 cfu/g. In general high stot was due to high sIS results.
Editors: Dr. Zsolt János Viharos; Prof. Lorenzo Ciani; Prof. Piotr Bilski & Mladen Jakovcic 303
17th IMEKO TC 10 and EUROLAB Virtual Conference
“Global Trends in Testing, Diagnostics & Inspection for 2030”
October 20-22, 2020.
III. DESCRIPTION OF THE METHOD where i is the index of the sample, i = 1 to n (n ≥ 10)
and yiA, yiB are the log10-transformed data, in log10 cfu/g,
A. Technical uncertainty from conditions A and B respectively. Microsoft® Excel®
Technical uncertainty was estimated for quantitative software was used in calculations.
methods for enumeration of coagulase-positive
staphylococci, Listeria monocytogenes, Escherichia coli, B. Matrix uncertainty
Enterobacteriaceae and aerobic mesophilic bacteria Matrix uncertainty was estimated by testing multiple
following the protocol from the standard ISO 19036, test portions of the same sample (matrix) in repeatability
shown in Figure 1. At least 10 laboratory samples conditions (same analyst, same equipment and same
(artificially contaminated) of same matrix type were culture media batches within short period of time) as
analysed on different days so that as much variability as shown in Figure 2. For this estimation naturally
possible was included in estimation. Two parallel test contaminated samples were used (cheese, ice-cream,
portions (2 x 10 g) of each laboratory sample were ready-to-eat vegetables, cream cake and ready-to-eat
analysed in reproducibility conditions as different as food). 11 test portions (11 x 10 g) were analyzed from one
possible (different analysts, different culture media laboratory sample (matrix) according to specific standards
batches, different incubators and pipettes). Artificially [3-8]. Colony counts between 30 and 250-300 cfu/plate
contaminated samples were prepared with fresh cultures were deemed as acceptable results. Reliability of results
incubated in TSB broth at 37 °C/18-20 h, from which 1 was tested according to ISO 14461-1 [8] and non-reliable
McFarland (108 cfu/mL) suspension was prepared and counts were excluded.
decimally diluted to ~ 105 cfu/mL. 1 mL of 105 cfu/mL Test results (cfu/g) were log10-transformed and within-
suspension was inoculated in each initial suspension (see sample repeatability standard deviation (sr) was calculated
Fig. 1). according to equation (2). This is equivalent to standard
Analyses of each test portion were performed as in deviation of log10-results. Microsoft® Excel® software was
routine testing according to methods specific for target used in calculations.
microorganisms [3-7]. Colony counts between 30 and 250-
300 cfu/plate were deemed as acceptable results. ∑(𝑦 −𝑦̄ ) 2
Reliability of results was tested according to ISO 14461-1 𝑠𝑟 = √ 𝑖 ()
𝑛−1
[8] and non-reliable counts were excluded. Results (colony
forming units per gram, cfu/g) were then log 10- where n = 11, yi is log10-transformed result of test
transformed. Intralaboratory reproducibility standard portion i and ȳ is an average of results in log10 cfu/g.
deviation (sR) was calculated according to equation (1).
Editors: Dr. Zsolt János Viharos; Prof. Lorenzo Ciani; Prof. Piotr Bilski & Mladen Jakovcic 304
17th IMEKO TC 10 and EUROLAB Virtual Conference
“Global Trends in Testing, Diagnostics & Inspection for 2030”
October 20-22, 2020.
Editors: Dr. Zsolt János Viharos; Prof. Lorenzo Ciani; Prof. Piotr Bilski & Mladen Jakovcic 305
17th IMEKO TC 10 and EUROLAB Virtual Conference
“Global Trends in Testing, Diagnostics & Inspection for 2030”
October 20-22, 2020.
Editors: Dr. Zsolt János Viharos; Prof. Lorenzo Ciani; Prof. Piotr Bilski & Mladen Jakovcic 306
17th IMEKO TC 10 and EUROLAB Virtual Conference
“Global Trends in Testing, Diagnostics & Inspection for 2030”
October 20-22, 2020.
Editors: Dr. Zsolt János Viharos; Prof. Lorenzo Ciani; Prof. Piotr Bilski & Mladen Jakovcic 307
17th IMEKO TC 10 and EUROLAB Virtual Conference
“Global Trends in Testing, Diagnostics & Inspection for 2030”
October 20-22, 2020.
Editors: Dr. Zsolt János Viharos; Prof. Lorenzo Ciani; Prof. Piotr Bilski & Mladen Jakovcic 308