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Journal of Banking & Finance 35 (2011) 783–793

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Journal of Banking & Finance


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Can pure play internet banking survive the credit crisis?


Ivo J.M. Arnold a,b,⇑, Saskia E. van Ewijk a
a
Nyenrode Business Universiteit, The Netherlands
b
Erasmus School of Economics, The Netherlands

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: This paper positions the pure-play internet banking model (PPI) as a hybrid business model that com-
Available online 1 November 2010 bines features of both relationship and transaction banking. Although in terms of customer orientation
PPI banks may partly resemble relationship banks, they lack their comparative advantage in generating
JEL classification: borrower-specific information. Instead, the characteristic features of PPI banks are low costs and easy
G21 scalability. While the latter may enable PPI banks to quickly capture market share, it may also generate
G28 overexposure in risky markets. We present a case study on ING Direct, one of the leading global PPI banks
Keywords:
and address the sustainability of the PPI business model by comparing the ING Direct foreign operations.
Internet banking The findings for ING Direct are validated using data for E-Trade Bank. We conclude that managing growth
Credit crisis appears to be the prime challenge to PPI banks.
ING Direct Ó 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
E-Trade

1. Introduction (ROM) and a transaction-oriented one (TOM). Boot (2000) defines


relationship banking as financial intermediation that invests in
The unavoidable time gap in most financial transactions, where- obtaining proprietary information about its clients, evaluating
by an initial transfer of funds raises the expectation of a future pay- the profitability of its investments by engaging into multiple trans-
back, leads to potential problems of asymmetric information. actions with one client, either across product ranges, or over time.
Lenders need to screen and monitor borrowers to tackle adverse In contrast, transaction-oriented banking focuses on independent,
selection and moral hazard problems. This makes the financial sec- often impersonal transactions, whereby financial services are com-
tor an information-intensive industry, which is strongly affected by moditized and marketed (Buiter, 2008). The credit crisis has drawn
developments in information and communication technology attention to the perceived weaknesses of the transaction-oriented
(ICT). ICT has enabled financial institutions to generate, process model, such as the quality of information being generated and the
and disseminate information ‘‘better-faster-cheaper” (White, vulnerability to liquidity shocks. As a consequence, some banks
2003), allowing financial institutions to expand their reach and have renewed their focus on relationship banking.
consumers to increase their indebtedness. For example securitiza- The black-and-white distinction between relationship and trans-
tion, the process of converting bundles of non-tradable loans into action banking is not always easy to maintain. In the decade prior to
tradable securities, requires large amounts of information to be the credit crisis, an ICT-enabled pure-play (i.e. branchless) internet
collected, transmitted and analyzed. Although the credit crisis banking model (PPI) has emerged. On the surface, this model com-
has raised questions regarding the quality of the information being bines features of both relationship and transaction banking. The
generated – and, more specifically, about the disincentive to invest strategic value of PPI banking is said to stem from significantly lower
in information gathering when financial risk can easily be passed overhead costs. This enables banks to offer high deposit rates and
on (Buiter, 2008) – the ICT improvements are here to stay. low service fees, and allows them to quickly capture market share.
The credit crisis has also exposed flaws in the business models The model has often been cited in the literature as highly innovative
of some banks. The literature on financial intermediation tradition- (Dermine, 2005; Güttler and Hackethal, 2005; Verweire and De
ally distinguishes between a relationship-oriented banking model Grande, 2008). Recently, however, some doubts regarding the sus-
tainability of this new form of financial intermediation have come
⇑ Corresponding author. Address: Nyenrode Business Universiteit, P.O. Box 130, to the fore. These pertain to the stability and profitability of individ-
3620 AC Breukelen, The Netherlands. Tel.: +31 346 291270. Erasmus School of ual PPI institutions and to their impact on the savings market. The
Economics, P.O. Box 1738, 3000 DR Rotterdam, The Netherlands. Tel.: +31 10 very advantage of the PPI model, easy scalability, may also be its
4081254.
main weakness. While the deposit base of a PPI bank can be ex-
E-mail addresses: I.Arnold@nyenrode.nl (I.J.M. Arnold), S.vEwijk@nyenrode.nl
(S.E. van Ewijk).
panded quickly by offering competitive rates, the selection of the

0378-4266/$ - see front matter Ó 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.jbankfin.2010.10.010
784 I.J.M. Arnold, S.E. van Ewijk / Journal of Banking & Finance 35 (2011) 783–793

most interest-sensitive clients may weaken the stability of its fund- Boot (2000) defines relationship banking as financial intermedi-
ing base. Further, lacking the infrastructure to screen and monitor ation that invests in obtaining proprietary information about its
loan applicants, a PPI bank may be challenged to quickly invest its clients and evaluates the profitability of its investments by engag-
funds in ways that cover their high cost of funding but do not entail ing into multiple transactions with one client, either across prod-
excessive risks. From a micro-prudential perspective, both effects uct ranges, or over time. Relationship banking may stretch
may reduce the stability of individual PPI banks. beyond extending loans: it can involve a myriad of different finan-
On a macro-level, one concern is that internet banks tap savings cial services. The primary goal is to add value to the customer,
from traditional relationship banks. This may reduce the pool of which the bank can do by investing in costly expertise through sec-
savings available to small and medium sized enterprises that have tor specialization (Boot and Thakor, 2000). In this way banks gen-
no access to capital market funding. An additional complication in erate value and effectively achieve a competitive advantage over de
the European context is that cross-border branches of internet novo lenders. According to Boot (2000), the value-enhancing po-
banks can easily tap the European savings market. In the event of tential of a relationship over time can permit the funding of loans
failure, this may expose the home country to financial obligations that are not profitable from a short-term perspective, but may be-
which surpass its tax-bearing capacity. come so if the relationship with the borrower lasts long enough. In
In light of these observations, we believe that the credit crisis addition, the concession of continued bank funding sends a signal
calls for a reassessment of the viability of the PPI model. Pure-play of financial stability to other investors.
internet banking is a relatively new research area. The existing lit- Thus relationship banking benefits both lenders and borrowers.
erature is small and focuses on a single issue, i.e. the presumed cost But close bank–customer relationships may also have negative ef-
advantage of PPI banks (DeYoung, 2001, 2005; Delgado et al., fects. A bank may be too lenient towards the customer, causing a
2007). The contribution of this paper is to position the PPI model misallocation of funds (soft budget-constraint problem). Since
in the spectrum from relationship-oriented to transaction-oriented the bank has a monopoly on customer-specific information gath-
banking and to deduce what this implies for the sustainability and ered over the course of a client relationship, its bargaining power
stability of the business model. increases with time and it may be tempted to offer loans at non-
The paucity of high-quality data, due to the fact that most PPI competitive rates (hold-up problem). The literature is divided on
banks are small and have been in business for only a short period, relationship banking’s net contribution to overall welfare. Some
hampers empirical research. The current paper therefore uses a authors maintain that the advantages of overcoming information
case study approach by presenting the case of ING Direct, the larg- asymmetries outweigh the disadvantages and believe that the rela-
est, global internet bank. We will argue that ING Direct represents tionship banking model of financial intermediation provides a net
a critical case due to its fast growth, size and interest-rate sensitive benefit for both lenders and borrowers, contributing to Pareto-effi-
clients. For purposes of validation, we include an analysis of a sec- ciency (Diamond, 1984; Bhattacharya and Thakor, 1993; Boot,
ond pure-play internet bank: E-Trade Bank. 2000). Others point out that the costs of soft-budget constraints
Prior to the crisis, ING Direct has been the subject matter of case and hold-up problems may outweigh the positive effects of a rela-
studies emphasizing the success of its business model (Dermine, tionship-oriented banking model (Sharpe, 1990; Rajan, 1992;
2005; Heskett, 2005; Sequira et al., 2007; Verweire and Van den Weinstein and Yafeh, 1999).
Berghe, 2007). Recently, however, the bank has experienced seri- Whereas relationship banking depends on multiple, informed
ous problems, most notably in the US. We use the ING Direct case transactions with a single client, transaction-oriented banks focus
to find an answer to several questions. Can the PPI model be con- on independent, often impersonal transactions. As such, it has been
sidered as a hybrid business model, combining features of both termed finance at arm’s-length (Rajan, 1992; Boot and Thakor,
ROM and TOM, or does it primarily lean towards one of these mod- 2000). It is also referred to as the capital markets model, as trade
els? How does ING Direct cope with scalability? Is the funding base in commoditized financial instruments often takes place through
of ING Direct sufficiently stable? Does the interest rate sensitivity organized exchanges or OTC markets. In contrast to a relationship
of ING Direct clients differ from those of non-PPI banks? loan, a transaction loan is one that does not require costly invest-
Our paper is structured as follows: The next section discusses ments in sector-specific information by the bank. Securitized mort-
the literature on the traditional business models in banking. Sec- gage loans belong to this category. Whereas relationship banks
tion 3 introduces the PPI model and positions it vis-à-vis ROM typically rely on deposit-taking for funding, a transaction bank of-
and TOM. In Section 4 we justify our case study approach and ten has a large share of wholesale funding attracted via the money
introduce both ING Direct and E-Trade Bank. In Section 5, we ex- and capital markets.
plore whether the ING Direct case fits our positioning of the PPI Securitization and wholesale funding may improve marketabil-
model and examine ING Direct in terms of scalability and funding ity and liquidity, but the liquidity improvement can prove fleeting
stability. Section 6 concludes and summarizes. in times of crisis (Buiter, 2008). The originate-to-distribute model
used in transaction banking reduces a bank’s incentive to collect
information on the creditworthiness of a borrower and to monitor
2. Traditional banking models the performance of a loan. Considering this loss of information,
Buiter (2008) perceives the transactions-oriented model as a
The existence of financial intermediaries is usually explained by potentially detrimental form of financial intermediation.
emphasizing their role in mitigating problems of information Boot and Marinč (2008) conclude that a deep market penetra-
asymmetry and reducing agency costs (Diamond, 1984). Financial tion, a strong local presence and durable customer relationships
intermediaries do this by specializing in screening and monitoring still form the basis of a bank’s competitive advantage. These dura-
services. While Diamond (1984) focuses on the benefits of diversi- ble ties to local businesses may act as lifelines in times of economic
fication (multiple clients), Greenbaum and Thakor (1995) intro- crisis. Ferri et al. (2001) attest to the positive value of relationship
duce the inter-temporal reusability of information (multiple banking during the Asian crisis, by showing that relationship bank-
transactions with one client). In the traditional banking model, ing reduced the liquidity constraints and diminished the probabil-
banks use deposits to fund loans. The typically large number of de- ity of bankruptcy of many viable small and medium-sized Korean
posit holders may in turn give rise to coordination and free-rider enterprises. From an accounting perspective, relationship loans
problems, necessitating financial regulation and supervision to provide more stability to banks during a crisis. According to the
protect deposit holders from excessive risk-taking by banks. IFRS accounting rules, banks should use fair value for transaction
I.J.M. Arnold, S.E. van Ewijk / Journal of Banking & Finance 35 (2011) 783–793 785

loans but may use amortized cost valuation for non-traded rela- Investment in client-specific information
tionship loans (classified under ‘loans and receivables’).1 Large Small
The credit crisis has stimulated some transaction banks to re-
duce their reliance on wholesale funding and to compete for

Customer orientation
Consumers relationship banks PPI banks
deposits. The Icelandic banks Landsbanki and Kaupthing are a case
in point. Following advice from the rating agencies and the IMF,
these banks started to diversify their funding by taking deposits SMEs relationship banks
even before the Lehmann collapse. As they had outgrown their
home market, the deposits had to come from abroad, prompting
them to enter mature markets using internet banking websites Financial
transaction banks
and by offering better terms to depositors. In this way Landsbanki markets
was able to raise its share of deposit funding from 25% prior to the
crisis to 40% in July 2008 (Buiter and Sibert, 2008). When the Fig. 1. Positioning of PPI banking.
wholesale markets shut down following the Lehmann collapse, a
information’, which is qualitative, difficult to transfer and collected
number of small European banks also employed internet banking
in person. Any client-specific information that a PPI bank collects,
in their scramble for funding. In the end, quick access to deposit
will require little investment and generate few rents. Thus, most
funding via internet banking did not save the Icelandic banks.
mortgages originated (and often securitized) by large financial
Yet their collapse did raise questions regarding PPI.
institutions or PPI banks can be characterized as transaction loans.2
In terms of funding, the PPI business model is built on the abil-
3. Pure-play internet banking ity to quickly capture market share in mature savings markets. If
this strategy is successful, lack of funding is not an issue. In con-
For banks, as for other firms, the internet has opened up a new dis- trast to transaction banks, PPI banks therefore do not rely on
tribution channel and a new business model. The internet increases wholesale funding.
competition by enabling new entrants to compete with established Fig. 1 summarizes the preceding discussion by positioning the
banks in local markets, which can no longer be dominated simply PPI model along the dimensions customer orientation and client-
by a bank’s physical presence. In practice, a bank can choose between specific information. It suggests that the PPI model is a hybrid busi-
two internet strategies. Most banks maintain their traditional net- ness model, combining aspects of both relationship and transac-
work of branch offices while establishing a website that customers tion banking. We also conclude that PPI banks lack relationship
can use to complete transactions online. This business model (e.g. de- banks’ key source of competitive advantage, which is the invest-
scribed by Hernández-Murillo et al. (2010)) is known as a ‘click-and- ment in proprietary client information. In its place come lower
mortar’ strategy. DeYoung (2005) states that the strategic value of the costs and easy scalability.
click-and-mortar business model lies in channeling the routine, low The small literature on PPI banking focuses on the presumed
value-added transactions through the internet, while channeling cus- cost advantage and financial performance of PPI banks (DeYoung,
tomized, high value-added transactions through the more costly 2001, 2005; Delgado et al., 2007). DeYoung (2001) finds that US
branch network. The bank thus offers clients the option to conduct PPI banks do not have lower overhead costs and are significantly
their transactions online, without losing those customers who prefer less profitable than regular banks. High ICT expenditures are one
banking via branch office employees. reason why the cost advantage turns out to be illusive. PPI banks
This paper focuses on the second strategy: the pure-play inter- cannot use the excess system capacity of the mother firm for cus-
net bank (PPI). In this business model, a bank establishes a virtual, tomer support, computer networks, data processing or the under-
branchless or internet-only bank (Furst et al., 2000). The strategic writing of loans. Customers expect around-the-clock service, so
value of PPI derives from its lack of physical presence. First, the ab- operating a 24/7 call center is a basic necessity. PPI labor costs
sence of an expensive branch network may lower overhead costs are also higher. DeYoung (2001) finds that on average PPI banks
compared to traditional banks. This cost advantage can be further pay $7000 more per year than the average branch bank, as internet
increased by offering a limited range of commoditized financial banking requires a more highly educated and thus more expensive
products. Second, internet banking may increase the scalability of workforce. Finally, PPI banks’ marketing costs are higher, as they
banking operations, i.e. the ability to cope with increased business need to establish a brand without the promotional benefits of a
volumes without experiencing a negative effect on the contribu- physical branch network. For non-financial retailers, Rosen and
tion margin. Low costs and easy scalability allow internet banks Howard (2000) find that online retailers spend 10 times as much
to capture market share fast. on marketing and advertising than physical retailers do. DeYoung’s
At a first glance, PPI and relationship banks share some traits. (2001) sample contains many young banks, which have been test-
Both rely on deposit funding, are active in the retail segment and ing a relatively new business model. This holds out the possibility
may engage in multiple transactions with one client, either across that the model is viable, as banks progress along the learning
product ranges or over time (cf. Boot, 2000). However, an impor- curve. In a follow-up paper, DeYoung (2005) argues that PPI banks
tant ingredient in relationship banking – a bank’s investment in may achieve scale economies in the future. In another, more recent
obtaining proprietary or sector-specific client information – is publication, Cyree et al. (2009) argue that although their account-
not central to the PPI strategy. PPI banks do not engage in custom- ing profits are still not up to par, the profit efficiency of internet
ized corporate lending, but mostly offer commoditized loans banks is higher than that of bricks-and-mortar start-ups, thus
(mortgages) to households. In processing loan applications, PPI attesting to their potential once scale is achieved. Yet in a global
banks will typically rely on ‘hard information’, which is easy to sample, Delgado et al. (2007) find that PPI banks have been outper-
quantify, store and transmit (Petersen, 2004). The absence of a lo- formed by their traditional competitors. The failure to find conclu-
cal physical presence precludes the collection of so-called ‘soft sive empirical evidence for the profitability of the PPI banking

1
In October 2008, the IASB amended the IFRS rules to allow the reclassification of
2
some transaction loans as ‘loans and receivables’. While this may have avoided large This doesn’t imply that all mortgages are transaction loans. The recognition that
asset write-downs, it has also made it more difficult to gauge a bank’s nature from its the originate-to-distribute model may entail a loss of soft (and sometimes even hard)
balance sheet. client information, may result in a renewed interest in relationship mortgage lending.
786 I.J.M. Arnold, S.E. van Ewijk / Journal of Banking & Finance 35 (2011) 783–793

model contrasts with a number of academic case studies trumpet- due to mergers, takeovers or other strategic changes. The excep-
ing the success of ING Direct, the largest global PPI, providing low- tions are ING-Direct and E-Trade, which have followed a consistent
cost and high-interest financial services (Dermine, 2005; Heskett, PPI strategy for a lengthy period of time.
2005; Sequira et al., 2007; Verweire and Van den Berghe, 2007). Considering the poor quality of most of the data available, we
While the pre-crisis literature has focused on the presumed cost have chosen to adopt a case study approach. When little is known
advantage of PPI banks, the credit crisis has drawn attention to the about a phenomenon and existing perspectives are contradictory,
pros and cons of easy scalability in the banking industry (e.g. Foos inadequate to explain current events, or not supported by empiri-
et al., 2010). Analyzing the Northern Rock failure, Onado (2009, p. cal evidence, as is the case here, a case study can be an appropriate
102) points to aggressive growth as the fundamental cause of the research method to generate new insights (Eisenhardt, 1989; Yin,
crisis. This growth could only be maintained given an unlimited 2003). The triangulation of evidence in case study research is capa-
supply of funding to creditworthy banks in the wholesale markets. ble of studying causal mechanisms in greater detail than other re-
Due to their easy scalability in savings markets, PPI banks also have search methods and helps substantiate new constructs and
a strong potential for aggressive growth. As in the case of Northern hypotheses (Jaspers, 2007). In the following, we present a case
Rock, this raises questions concerning their financial stability. study of ING Direct, representing a critical case due to its fast
Introducing the PPI concept in a mature market can expose a growth, size and interest-rate sensitive clients.3 The bank’s global
bank to a mismatch in the scalability of assets and liabilities. The presence allows for the cross-sectional analysis of its international
loan department may find it difficult to keep up with strong depos- operations. ING Direct has consistently and successfully imple-
it growth and earn the high yield needed to satisfy its interest sen- mented a PPI strategy since 1997. Conducting a longitudinal analysis
sitive clients. As a result, either lending standards will be relaxed or of both crisis and non-crisis period, we examine whether measured
funds will be reinvested in (risky) securities, introducing further relationships change with the economic environment. The findings
financial instability on the asset side of the balance sheet. are replicated within a cross-case context using data for E-Trade
PPI banks may also suffer from a less stable funding base com- Bank to enhance both internal and external validity.
pared to traditional banks. PPI banks are likely to attract relatively
interest rate sensitive clients. DeYoung (2001) calls these the
financially savvy ‘hit-and-run’ customers, who search the web for 4.2. ING Direct
attractive deposit rates and are not interested in purchasing other
services. Most banks initially try to attract savers with high teaser ING Group NV hosts one of the largest savings banks in the
rates, which, over time, start to lag behind market rates. With hit- world, which is for a large part due to its internet banking activities
and-run customers this pricing strategy does not work. The inter- under the global ING Direct brand. The group has established PPI
est rate sensitivity of PPI customers implies that PPI banks need banks in nine countries: Canada, USA, Australia, Germany, Austria,
to keep interest rates at high levels to keep customers or be faced United Kingdom, Spain, Italy and France. In the first four countries,
with deposit outflow as well as inflow and thus a high volatility of ING Direct operates through subsidiaries, which are supervised by
its depositors-base. host authorities and fall under local deposit guarantee schemes. In
To these micro-prudential concerns about the stability of the the latter four countries ING Direct operates through branches of
individual PPI bank one can add concerns about the stability of its Dutch legal entity ING Direct NV. In the current legislative envi-
the market as a whole. By offering high rates whilst operating un- ronment, deposits attracted via such foreign branch offices fall un-
der deposit guarantee schedules, PPI banks may erode the funding der the deposits guarantee facility of the country in which the main
base of the traditional relationship banks. When their savings are firm is based, in this case the Netherlands. Austrian savers are
tapped by PPI banks, relationship banks will find it harder to ex- served through the German subsidiary. Both ING Direct NV and
tend credit to firms. Especially in an economic downturn, relation- the foreign subsidiaries are part of ING Group.
ship banks are needed to reduce SMEs liquidity constraints and Since its conception, ING Direct has often been cited as a suc-
diminish their probability of bankruptcy, as shown by Ferri et al. cessful example of strategic innovation. This section briefly sum-
(2001) for Korean businesses during the Asian financial crisis. Fi- marizes the strategy of ING Direct; the case studies by Dermine
nally, insofar as PPI banks are active as cross-border branches (2005), Heskett (2005), Sequira et al. (2007), and Verweire and
within the EU or EEA, they provide a challenge for supervisory Van den Berghe (2007) provide further details. ING Direct’s busi-
authorities and complicate the system of deposit insurance. When ness model relies on offering straightforward banking products,
the Icelandic banks failed, foreign savers had to rely on the ability aggressive pricing, strong branding, standardized processes and, fi-
of the Icelandic government to guarantee an amount of deposits nally, strong growth in order to quickly achieve cost efficiency by
which by far exceeded Icelandic GDP. means of economies of scale. Its strategy entails entering large, ma-
Summing up, PPI banking can be conceived as a hybrid business ture markets with sufficient infrastructure for direct banking;
model, positioned in between the traditional relationships-ori- launching with a simple and attractive savings account in order
ented banking model and a transactions-oriented banking model. to attain critical size as quickly as possible; and subsequently
The pre-crisis literature has raised question marks as to the profit- introducing a second product, usually mortgages, adapted to the
ability of PPI banks. The credit crisis has added further doubts re- local market. All products are marketed using local campaigns,
lated to their financial stability. Below we will address these for a large part via direct channels (the internet, telephone and
questions and doubts using the case of ING Direct. e-mail). Over time, ING Direct has expanded its range of products
with consumer investment products and payment accounts. ING
Direct’s competitive strength lies in creating simple product offer-
4. The case study approach: Methodology and background ings that meet customers’ needs; in discouraging relationship

4.1. Case study approach 3


Case study research relies on theoretical sampling, not statistical or random
sampling (Eisenhardt 1989; Yin 2003). As Eisenhardt (1989) puts it, theoretical
Following earlier studies by DeYoung (2001) and Delgado et al. sampling focuses effort on theoretically useful cases, meaning those that replicate or
extend the emerging theory by filling conceptual categories. Thus, it makes sense to
(2007), we have started gathering data for a sample of US- and Eur- choose an extreme or ‘polar’ case (with large values for X), in which the process of
ope-based PPI banks. Unfortunately, for most banks the data are interest is transparently observable (comparable to the ‘least likely case’ in Gerring
scarred by short time spans, gaps and structural breaks, often (2007)).
I.J.M. Arnold, S.E. van Ewijk / Journal of Banking & Finance 35 (2011) 783–793 787

banking and encouraging self-service; and in a strict adherence to dropped in Spain, Australia, France, Italy and Germany/Austria.
the low cost direct model. More serious still are the impairments of the securities portfolio
After the launch of the ING Direct pilot in Canada in 1997, ING of ING Direct USA, which have affected the profitability and stabil-
Direct achieved rapid growth. With over 22 million clients and ity of the ING Group as a whole. As part of a deal with the EU com-
more than €200 bln of funds entrusted, it is now the largest internet petition authorities, in October 2009 ING Group announced its
bank in the world. Of all ING Direct operations, ING-DiBa (in Ger- intention to put ING Direct USA up for sale and to separate its
many and Austria) and ING Direct USA are by far the largest (both insurance from its banking business.
with over €50 bln in funds entrusted as of June 2009). ING-DiBa is
the only non-greenfield operation of ING Direct. DiBa (Allgemeine 4.3. E-Trade Bank
Deutsche Direktbank) was founded in 1965 and has focused on
pure-play internet banking from 1994 onwards. The bank entered We have selected E-Trade Bank, the second-largest PPI bank of
into a strategic partnership with ING in 1998. In 2002 ING Group ac- the United States (ING USA is the largest, with total assets amount-
quired a majority ownership stake of 79%. With the takeover of Di- ing to US$90 bln), with US$ 45 bln in assets as at December 2009,
Ba’s competitor Entrium Direct Bankers AG in 2003, DiBa became for a cross-case study. Founded in 1992, E-Trade Financial Corpora-
the largest PPI bank in Europe. As of July 2003, DiBa became 100% tion started out as a deep-discount online brokerage services pro-
ING-owned, changing its name to ING-DiBa in June 2004. That year, vider. Today, its diversified portfolio includes traditional banking
the bank also expanded its activities to the Austrian market. Sup- services.4 Subsidiary E-Trade Bank is a federally chartered savings
ported by acquisition of Entrium, ING-DiBa rose to the No. 4 posi- bank insured by the FDIC. With products such as high-rate checking
tion in the German retail banking industry (Güttler and and savings accounts and straightforward mortgage loans, E-Trade
Hackethal, 2005). As of the end of 2007, ING-DiBa ranked No. 2 in Bank has achieved fast growth in the period 1998–2007. Since the
the savings, mortgage and funds/brokerage business. start of the credit crisis, however, the bank has suffered both deposit
In contrast to DiBa, ING Direct USA is based on a greenfield outflow and a persistent mortgage balance decline. Expecting the
operation and has experienced fast autonomous growth. Since its same causal mechanisms affecting ING Direct to be at work at E-
launch in September 2000, the US bank has achieved a total of Trade Bank, we provide an analysis of balance sheet and income
$75.1 bln in deposits and over 7.6 million customers (as at Decem- statement data on E-Trade for a sample period ranging from 1993
ber 2009), rendering it the No. 3 savings bank and No. 1 direct bank to 2009. If the findings in this cross-case study corroborate the re-
in the US. Due to its large exposure to the US mortgage market, ING sults of the ING Direct case, this will add to the robustness of our re-
Direct USA played a major role in the difficulties experienced by sults and offer some opportunity for generalization.
the ING Group during the credit crisis. Market conditions have
forced ING Direct to write down €1876 mln in impairments on
its US Alt-A RMBS portfolio in 2008, and another EUR €491 mln 5. Empirical results
in 2009 (Q1 and Q2). In January 2009, the ING Group has taken
advantage of an Illiquid Assets Back-Up Facility offered by the 5.1. Positioning the PPI business model
Dutch state. Under this facility, 80% of the risk of the $36.4 bln
US Alt-A RMBS portfolio is transferred to the Dutch government. We first look at balance sheet data of ING Direct to position its
This deal has enabled ING to shield its capital from further asset various foreign operations along the dimensions customer orienta-
write-downs, but has at the same time invited the scrutiny from tion/client specific information (cf. Fig. 1) and thus compare it to
the EU competition authorities. the traditional banking business models (ROM and TOM). In the
The remaining ING Direct subsidiaries and branches are much second and third subsections we discuss the issues of scalability
smaller (between €10 and €20 bln as at December 2009). ING Direct and funding stability.
Canada was launched in May 1997, as a pilot for the ING Direct con- We benchmark INGs foreign internet banking divisions against
cept. Since 2000, it has been the No. 1 direct bank in Canada. In May the group’s domestic retail bank. Where possible, we include data
1999, ING Direct launched a second direct bank in Spain. This is now on both foreign subsidiaries and foreign branches. As data are more
the largest direct bank in Spain, with over €14.6 bln in funds en- readily available for separate legal entities, some of the analyses be-
trusted. ING Direct Australia started operations in August 1999. low exclude branch data. Table 1 reports recent simplified balance
The bank has become Australia’s 5th largest retail savings bank. sheets for ING’s Dutch retail bank, its foreign ING Direct subsidiaries
ING Direct branched out to France in March 2000, quickly achieving and (partially) the foreign ING Direct branches. We have included E-
fast deposit growth and reaching €13 bln in deposits by the end of Trade for comparison and validation. A few observations stand out.
2007. Operational as of March 2001, ING Direct Italy enjoyed similar First, while corporate lending is a sizable activity of the Dutch retail
growth in its initial years, quickly achieving €14 bln in deposits (at bank, it is virtually absent from ING Direct’s foreign activities. Sec-
year-end 2006). ING Direct UK was launched in May 2003. After its ond, funding at ING Direct is predominantly through deposit-taking.
initial success (mid 2006 its deposits exceeded 25.5 bln), ING Direct Third, all subsidiaries are active in local mortgage lending, especially
UK witnessed a withdrawal of funds in the year 2007, as its rates in Canada and Australia. The German and US subsidiaries also invest
were lagging behind the rising base rate, hitting a low in September a relatively large share of assets in securities. Note that subsidiaries
2008, with total funds at 15 bln. In October 2008, the UK Treasury are usually required by their host supervisors to (partially) balance
announced the transfer of 2.5 bln of deposits held by British savers their assets and liabilities regionally. Fourth, not all European
with Icelandic-owned bank Kaupthing Edge to ING Direct UK. In branches of ING Direct engage in local mortgage lending. In France,
addition, ING Direct announced the acquisition of 0.5 bln of savings ING Direct is absent from the mortgage market,5 while in the UK,
held with Landsbanki-owned Heritable Bank. But as at December mortgage activity is quite low (7% of funds entrusted).6 In contrast,
2009, total deposits still amount to no more than 15.8 bln.
After its initial success, ING Direct’s growth has now slowed 4
For more information on E-Trade Financial Services and its history (see Gupta
down markedly, with total funds entrusted hovering around €200 et al., 2008).
5
In 2003, 80% of mortgage distribution in France still took place via branch offices.
bln. In addition to the difficulties it has experienced in the UK, a
Market share of the top five lenders was 83%. This may have deterred ING Direct from
failing consumer confidence since the start of the financial crisis introducing a mortgage product.
has resulted in an outflow of funds in five of the nine countries 6
ING Direct only introduced mortgages in the UK in 2006 – perhaps because the
in which ING Direct is active. Since the end of 2008, deposits UK mortgage market is one of the most developed in the EU and highly competitive.
788 I.J.M. Arnold, S.E. van Ewijk / Journal of Banking & Finance 35 (2011) 783–793

Table 1
Balance sheet data ING Direct, ING domestic operations, and E-Trade.

(in millions) Germany United States Canada Australia UK Spain Italy France Netherlands E-Trade
EUR % USD % CAD % AUD % GBP EUR EUR EUR EUR % USD %
Assets
Mortgages 47,168 54 36,962 41 19,535 69 39,085 83 1188 7363 5812 - 164,111 45 18,299 41
Corporate loans 0 0 479 1 126 0 0 0 122,096 33 144 0
Consumer loans 2560 3 65 0 311 1 0 0 4972 1 5253 12
Securities 20,823 24 48,380 54 6165 22 6973 15 29,790 8 13,854 31
Other 17,195 20 4407 5 2105 7 1042 2 45,643 12 7487 17
Total assets 87,746 100 90,294 100 28,243 100 47,101 100 366,612 100 45,037 100
Liabilities
Deposits 75,279 86 75,085 83 26,026 92 27,772 59 15,850 14,926 15,588 11,320 172,730 46 30,556 68
Equity 4780 5 7860 9 1371 5 2356 5 26,478 7 5162 11
Other 7687 9 7349 8 846 3 16,972 36 178,920 47 9319 21
Total liabilities 87,746 100 90,294 100 28,243 100 47,101 100 378,128 100 45,037 100

Note: Authors’ calculations on the basis of various financial statements. All data are year-end 2009.

mortgage lending is much higher in Spain (51% of funds entrusted) and asset side fit uneasily with Boot’s definition of relationships-ori-
Italy (37% of funds entrusted). The branch format thus offers ING the ented banking, which hinges on the presence and utilization of
choice to be locally active in funding only, or in both funding and proprietary information. The case of ING Direct also exposes the
investing and seems to be more flexible than the subsidiary format. difficulty in applying this definition. In principle, it is possible
Table 1 broadly confirms the positioning of PPI in Fig. 1. ING Di- for clients to have both a savings account and a home loan with
rect targets the consumer segment by taking deposits and offering ING Direct. By engaging into multiple transactions with these cli-
mortgages, but does not engage in corporate relationship lending. ents over time, ING Direct has the opportunity to build a relation-
It is surprising, however, that the subsidiaries of ING Direct are ship and obtain proprietary information. Some ING Direct
quite active in financial markets. This holds especially for ING Di- customers will thus receive financial services that formally fit
rect USA, which invests more than 50% of assets in securities. Boot’s definition of relationship banking. But since ING Direct’s
Investing in securities is not ING Direct’s deliberate policy, but products are commoditized and there is little personal contact be-
rather a by-product of differences in scalability between assets tween customers and bank personnel, one can question the
and liabilities. It is a stop-gap solution to the problem that mort- amount and the quality of the information that is being gathered.
gage lending takes more time than deposit taking. As confirmed In addition, ING Direct hardly extends any corporate loans – one
by ING (ING Group, 2008), ING Direct USA has not able to originate of the most important sources of proprietary information. Fur-
mortgages fast enough so as to keep up with its deposit growth. thermore, it is clear from the data that ING Direct reinvests a
Being legally bound to reinvest its money in local products, the large amount of deposits in securities. There thus appears to be
bank has made considerable investments in Alternative-A Residen- a group of customers who conduct no business apart from open-
tial Mortgage-Backed Securities (Alt-A RMBS).7 Between 2000 and ing a savings account. These customers may have been attracted
2008, securities constitute on average 68% of total assets of ING USA. by a high savings rate on their internet account, but apparently
The German subsidiary, ING-DiBa, achieved a size comparable prefer to receive other financial services elsewhere. This group
to ING Direct USA not by autonomous growth, but by takeovers makes up a substantial part of the total client base. As ING does
(viz. Allgemeine Deutsche Direktbank, Entrium and Interhyp). not conduct multiple transactions with these customers, little
These businesses had time to grow a solid mortgage base. This proprietary information can be obtained from them. We conclude
shows in today’s balance sheet: ING-DiBa has a higher proportion that ING Direct fails to fit Boot’s definition of relationship banking
of mortgages and a lower share of securities than ING Direct USA. A in a stricter sense and seems to lean more towards Buiter’s defi-
large portion of the securities still on today’s balance sheet was nition of a transaction bank.
purchased in the pre-takeover years 2001 and 2002, when deposit With a large position in securities, the absence of corporate
growth was highest. loans and high reliance on deposit funding, the balance sheet com-
The other subsidiaries did not grow as fast as ING USA or ING- position of E-Trade roughly confirms the findings for ING Direct.
DiBa and exhibit a lower investment in securities. For example ING Different from the ING Direct subsidiaries and ING the Nether-
Canada’s mortgage lending has grown at about the same pace as its lands, E-Trade carries a small amount of consumer loans on its bal-
deposit funding, resulting in a smaller gap of 22% invested in secu- ance sheet. These are non-secured loans to individuals for
rities. Australia was the setting for a particularly booming housing household, family and other personal expenditures, including out-
market, while its savings market was characterized by strong com- standing credit card balances, student loans and medical expenses.
petition. Combined with a deposit outflow when the crisis started, Like ING Australia, E-Trade has made some use of money-market
this explains why mortgage lending started overtaking deposit funding (‘other liabilities’ includes advances from Federal Home
growth from 2006 onwards, forcing ING Australia to rely on Loan banks, federal funds purchased and securities sold under
money-market funding. repurchase agreements). At E-Trade, like at ING Australia, mort-
Judged from the liability side of the balance sheets in Table 1, gage growth overtook deposits growth in the period 2003–2005,
ING Direct resembles a traditional relationship bank. All branches forcing E-Trade to supplement its deposit funding by money-mar-
and subsidiaries carry a large amount of deposits, even compared ket funding. Deposits growth revived in 2006, bringing the per-
to INGs domestic activities. However, the large amounts of secu- centage of alternative funding down. Money-market funding now
rities and mortgages and the tiny share of corporate loans on the makes up approximately 21% of total liabilities (coming from a
high at 46% in 2005). The above leads us to conclude that, in terms
7 of positioning, the results for E-Trade corroborate those for ING
These securities have risk profiles in between prime and subprime and bear AAA
or AA ratings. Direct.
I.J.M. Arnold, S.E. van Ewijk / Journal of Banking & Finance 35 (2011) 783–793 789

5.2. Scalability

We next examine the issue of scalability in more detail. Fig. 2


plots time-series for deposits, mortgages and securities for the four
foreign ING Direct subsidiaries. Fig. 3 shows the same time series
for E-Trade.
The graphs show that in the markets where deposit growth was
strongest – Germany and the US – funds were mainly invested in
securities (at least initially). The strong deposit growth in Germany
between 2001 and 2003 is mirrored in an equally strong growth in
securities. For the US, deposits and securities grow at the same
pace till the eve of the credit crisis. The picture is very different
for Australia, where deposits and mortgages grow hand-in-hand
and securities constitute just a small fraction of assets. The Cana-
Fig. 3. Scalability at E-Trade.
dian data show a mixed picture, where the initial predominance
of securities has been overtaken by mortgages after 2003. The vi-
sual impression from Fig. 2 suggests that strong deposit growth (assets). We perform a similar regression using the share of mort-
creates the need to park surplus funds in securities and thus leads gages in total assets, denoted mortg/assetsj,t, instead of secur/
to a high share of securities in total assets. assetsj,t.
We formally test the hypothesis that deposit growth may influ- The data are end-of-year and run from 2001 to 2009. Table 2 re-
ence PPI banks’ balance sheet composition by means of a panel ports the results of the Levin et al. (2002) panel unit root test on
analysis, using data on the five ING Direct entities that engage in
comprehensive financial reporting (these are the ING Direct
subsidiaries in the US, Germany, Canada, Australia and the Nether- Table 2
lands). The basic specification of our panel model is Panel unit root test, ING Direct.

Statistic p-Value
secur=assetsj;t ¼ bj;0 þ bt;1 þ b2 d logðdepÞj;t þ ej;t ; ð1Þ
secur/assets 1.86 0.031
where secur/assetsj,t is the share of securities in total assets for ING mortg/assets 1.74 0.041
log(assets) 10.54 0.000
entity j at time t and dlog(dep)j,t denotes deposit growth for entity j
dlog(hp) 2.31 0.011
at time t. Eq. (1) includes both cross-section and period fixed effects. dlog(dep) 7.67 0.000
To this basic specification, we add two control variables: housing
Note: Levin et al. (2002) panel unit root test; annual data 2001–2009; with auto-
price growth in market j, denoted dlog(hp), and the size of the five
matic lag selection.
different entities, measured by the log of total assets, denoted log

Fig. 2. Scalability in four ING markets.


790 I.J.M. Arnold, S.E. van Ewijk / Journal of Banking & Finance 35 (2011) 783–793

Table 3
Scalability and deposit growth, ING Direct.

secur/assets secur/assets mortg/assets mortg/assets


Coefficient t-Stat Coefficient t-Stat Coefficient t-Stat Coefficient t-Stat
Panel A: 2001–2009, five panel members
Intercept 1.146 0.896 0.452 0.751 1.580 1.601 0.321 1.595
dlog(dep) 0.127 2.774 0.184 2.602 0.307 3.950 0.271 4.422
dlog(hp) 0.063 0.515 0.067 0.411 0.228 0.812 0.041 0.046
log(assets) 0.134 1.139 0.048 0.886 0.093 1.052 0.011 0.629
Lagged dependent 0.637 14.218 0.735 10.778
N 42 42 42 42
Adj. R-squared 0.858 0.939 0.808 0.964
p-Value Bartlett test 0.465 0.567 0.576 0.051
Panel B: 2001–2007, five panel members
Intercept 1.817 1.688 0.800 1.501 2.326 3.299 0.566 1.373
dlog(dep) 0.207 2.560 0.220 3.291 0.392 4.519 0.295 4.192
dlog(hp) 0.137 0.717 0.039 0.585 0.138 2.013 0.124 1.358
log(assets) 0.199 1.988 0.079 1.662 0.167 2.534 0.031 0.885
Lagged dependent 0.671 10.809 0.675 10.739
N 32 32 32 32
Adj. R-squared 0.875 0.955 0.874 0.967
p-Value Bartlett test 0.210 0.789 0.345 0.383

Note: estimates include fixed cross-section and fixed period effects. White standard errors.

our variables. The test statistics indicate that the null hypothesis Table 4
Panel unit root test, E-Trade.
of a unit root can be rejected for all variables. Given the limited
sample, the results of the panel unit root test should, however, be Statistic p-Value
interpreted with caution. As a robustness check, we also present secur/assets 0628 0265
estimation results including the lagged dependent variable. All mortg/assets 0665 0253
estimates are done for both the full sample period and for a sub- log(assets) 1717 0043
dlog(hp) 3861 0013
sample which excludes the credit crisis (2008–2009). One reason
dlog(dep) 1807 0035
for excluding the period 2008–2009 is that in times of financial
crisis the causality in Eq. (1) might reverse, as PPI banks which Note: Levin et al. (2002) panel unit root test, except ADF test for dlog(hp); annual
data 1993–2009; with automatic lag selection.
invested heavily in risky assets could suffer most from deposit
flight. This implies that we would expect a stronger positive rela-
tionship between deposit growth and asset composition for the
lending and investing to high deposit growth. The mono-line nat-
pre-crisis period. A separate analysis for the 2008–2009 period
ure of its asset side implies that the success in investing deposits
to test the reverse causality would yield insignificant results
profitably depends to a large extent on the state of the housing
due to a lack of observations. The estimation is done using
market. If growth in these markets slows down or turns negative,
pooled least squares and uses White standard errors to accom-
a PPI bank will find it more difficult to invest its funds and may
modate serial correlation and time-varying variances in the
need to slow down deposit growth. Second, if PPI banks select mar-
disturbances.
kets based on their growth potential (i.e. their potential to generate
The panel results are reported in Table 3. Deposit growth is pos-
deposits and mortgage investments) it may end up being overex-
itively related to the securities-to-assets ratio and negatively re-
posed to markets that experience housing bubbles, introducing
lated to the mortgages-to-assets ratio. These relationships are
further financial instability.8 A case in point is that in the only coun-
significant at a level of 5%. Interpreting the coefficient of 0.127 in
try where the housing market did not boom prior to the crisis (Ger-
panel A, a deposit growth of 40% (the average deposit growth for
many), the strong growth of ING Direct resulted from takeovers
ING Direct USA) would increase the securities-to-assets ratio by
instead of autonomous growth.
0.05 (or 5% points). The coefficient on deposit growth increases
We next try to validate the ING outcomes by applying the same
to 0.184 when we include the lagged dependent variable in our
panel model to E-Trade Bank. We use end-of-year balance sheet
model and to values above 0.2 when we exclude the period
data from the FDIC database of thrift reports. Our panel consists
2008–2009, which indeed suggests that the reverse causality effect
of two members (E-Trade versus all other FDIC insured banking
may have been at work during these years. The coefficients on the
institutions) and runs from 1993 to 2009. The specifications and
mortgages-to-assets ratio are even higher, indicating that in times
control variables are the same as in Table 3. However, the estima-
of high deposit growth, mortgage origination cannot keep up the
tion differs in two regards: the inclusion of US national housing
pace. Fast (deposit) growth, reputedly the cornerstone of a PPI
price growth (a variable which is identical for both panel mem-
bank’s success, thus seems to strengthen a PPI bank’s drift towards
bers) precludes the use of period fixed effects and the heterosced-
the transaction-oriented model. Table 3 also reports the results for
asticity across panel members necessitates the use of generalized
Bartlett test on the equality of the residual variances across panel
least squares using cross-section weights. Table 4 shows that the
members, indicating that there is no evidence of cross-sectional
results for the unit root tests are mixed: for the asset ratios the null
heterogeneity in the residuals.
hypothesis of a unit root cannot be rejected. As by definition the
The issue of scalability should also be interpreted against a
asset ratios have to lie between 0 and 1, this outcome is puzzling.
macro-economic backdrop. In the decade prior to the credit crisis,
We proceed by estimating the panel regression in levels and again
housing prices and mortgage lending saw strong growth rates in
add specifications including the lagged dependent variables as an
many markets. The buoyant macro-economic environment raises
two questions. First, the experience of ING Direct prior to the crisis
(cf. Fig. 2), may understate the problem of PPI banks to match their 8
See Koetter and Poghosyan (2010) and Büyükkarabacak and Valev (2010).
I.J.M. Arnold, S.E. van Ewijk / Journal of Banking & Finance 35 (2011) 783–793 791

Table 5
Scalability and deposit growth, E-Trade vs. US.

secur/assets secur/assets loans/assets loans/assets


Coefficient t-Stat Coefficient t-Stat Coefficient t-Stat Coefficient t-Stat
Panel A: 1993–2009, two panel members
Intercept 0.834 7.738 0.683 22.155 0.191 3.534 0.138 6.976
dlog(dep) 0.086 3.678 0.075 2.445 0.067 1.364 0.037 2.171
dlog(hp) 0.158 1.287 0.127 1.034 0.019 0.197 0.069 1.647
log(assets) 0.029 5.611 0.024 29.241 0.018 6.158 0.009 1.440
Lagged dependent 0.183 1.321 0.438 2.552
N 34 34 34 30
Adj. R-squared 0.866 0.867 0.153 0.242
Panel B: 1993–2007, two panel members
Intercept 0.822 9.218 0.709 9.038 0.095 4.513 0.049 21.150
dlog(dep) 0.071 3.015 0.072 3.732 0.065 2.523 0.269 3.053
dlog(hp) 0.225 1.032 0.213 0.928 0.179 0.804 0.061 1.758
log(assets) 0.028 7.457 0.251 20.577 0.024 13.501 0.114 0.619
Lagged dependent 0.163 0.730 0.019 6.134
N 30 30 30 30
Adj. R-squared 0.870 0.867 0.309 0.313

Note: estimates includes fixed cross-section effects and uses EGLS due to cross-sectional heteroscedasticity.

extra robustness check. Table 5 reports the results. As in Table 3, country such as the Netherlands (witness the case of Iceland).
deposit growth is positively related to the securities-to-assets ratio When fear overtakes financial markets and the public seeks safety
and negatively related to the mortgages-to-assets ratio. The coeffi- close to home, a global internet bank is vulnerable. While generally
cients on deposit growth are, however, smaller than in the case of savings were up due the precautionary savings motive, the end of
ING Direct. This could be due to the fact that the PPI weight in this 2008 witnessed the withdrawal of funds entrusted in five of nine
dataset (i.e. the weight of E-Trade vs. all FDIC-insured banking markets in which ING Direct is active (deposits in Spain dropped
institutions) is substantially smaller than the PPI weight in the €1.7 bln in Q4 2008, in Australia AUD 0.8 bln, in France €2.0 bln,
ING Direct dataset. Still, the results for E-Trade Bank confirm the in Italy €0.3 bln and in Germany/Austria €1.3 bln).
relationship between a PPI bank’s deposits growth and its balance The second source of funding instability derives from the inter-
sheet composition. est-sensitivity of customers. A common pricing strategy in the
Both the graphs and the regression results show that when de- banking industry is to attract savings through high initial ‘teaser’
posit growth slows down, the PPI banks gradually adjust their bal- rates and increase profitability later by either lowering rates or
ance sheets by reducing their reliance on securities. However, this not adjusting rates upward when market rates rise. This strategy
process can take a number of years, during which the bank is vul- works when customers are inert but may not work for PPI banks,
nerable to shocks in financial markets. So their short-term imbal- as they target interest sensitive customers. This implies that any
ance may have longer-term consequences. attempt to use interest rate setting to increase profitability may in-
voke more funding instability for PPI banks than for traditional
banks. Some anecdotic evidence that this is indeed the case comes
5.3. Funding stability
from the UK, where uncompetitive rates triggered an outflow of
funds at ING Direct UK.9
With regard to funding stability we need to distinguish between
The hypothesis that PPI banks have more interest sensitive cus-
two separate sources of instability in PPI funds. The first arises
tomers is difficult to test, as bank-specific historical interest rates
from a potential lack of confidence of deposit holders, while the
(as offered to the customer) are usually unavailable. Nonetheless,
second relates to the interest-sensitivity of PPI banks’ clientele.
we will use publicly available data to test the interest rate sensitiv-
The confidence issue applies in principle to all banks. By offering
ity hypothesis in two ways. Our first test is implicit in the sense
liquid assets that can be withdrawn on demand, banking is an
that it does not use data on the flow of deposits. The idea is that
intrinsically unstable business. This is one of the reasons why
the interest expenses of PPI banks should follow market rates more
banks traditionally have impressive premises. ‘‘‘‘Look”, these build-
closely than the interest expenses of other banks – at least in the
ings proclaim, ‘‘our institution is as solid as a mountain of stone or
upward phase of the interest rate cycle – if PPI banks indeed would
a castle of steel and glass”” (Wolf, 2009, p. 16). PPI banks lack such
be faced with a credible threat of deposit withdrawals by interest-
a visible – though often illusive – symbol of soundness. Ultimately,
sensitive customers. For the US, we have quarterly data on bank-le-
however, deposit holders’ confidence in banks is maintained
vel interest expenses from the FDIC reports. We use the FDIC data
through deposit guarantee schemes. Applied to ING Direct, the
to investigate how the interest expenses of ING Direct USA and E-
confidence issue may be exacerbated by ING’s strategy to create
Trade respond to market rates and compare this to US banking
a global savings brand and by the fact that the precise form of de-
industry as a whole (i.e. all FDIC-insured institutions). As the mar-
posit protection depends on the legal format (branch versus sub-
ket rate we choose the Fed funds rate, denoted ffr. Interest rates ex-
sidiary). While creating a global internet savings brand under the
penses are taken as a percentage of total liabilities, denoted intexp/
ING Direct label has been a highly innovative and successful mar-
liab. As unit root tests on both ffr and intexp/liab fail to reject the
keting strategy, it also exposes all operations to negative spillovers
null of a unit root (not reported), we perform our analysis in first
from local mishaps. For example, on hearing about the losses at
ING Direct USA, clients in other markets may have withdrawn
funds. In Europe, the credit crisis may have sparked closer scrutiny 9
The period in which the ING Direct UK saving rates started to lag behind the Bank
by depositors regarding their protection. Some deposit holders in of England’s base rate (starting August 2006) corresponds to a period of deposit
the British, French, Italian or Spanish branches may have preferred outflow, as total funds entrusted dropped from 25.5 bln in September 2006 to 16.8
protection from their own government to guarantees from a small bln in September 2007.
792 I.J.M. Arnold, S.E. van Ewijk / Journal of Banking & Finance 35 (2011) 783–793

differences. Table 6 reports the outcome for the following panel Table 7
regression model: Deposit funding sensitivity: ING Direct and E-Trade.

Dependent variable: dlog(dep)  dlog(dep_ai)


dðintexp=liabÞj;t ¼ bj;0 þ bj;2 dðffrÞt þ ej;t ; ð2Þ
2001Q3–2009Q4 2001Q3–2007Q4
where panel members j are E-Trade (ETR), ING Direct USA (ING) and Coefficient t-Stat Coefficient t-Stat
all FDIC-insured institutions (AI). As Eq. (2) includes both cross-sec-
Intercept 0.673 1.921 0.679 1.225
tion fixed effects and cross-section specific coefficients, running d(intexp/liab  intexp/ 13.054 2.677 16.536 2.356
separate regressions for the panel members would have produced liab_ai)(1)
the same results. Table 6 shows that for the complete sample, the dlog(dep)(1)  dlog(dep_ai)(1) 0.336 2.662 0.383 2.504
differences in bj,2 are small and, judged by the Wald test statistic, d(ffr)(1) 0.034 1.532 0.035 0.884
log(dep) 0.038 1.860 0.038 1.175
insignificant. So, for the complete sample no difference can be dis- dlog(hp_us) 0.584 1.176 0.495 0.629
cerned between the way in which interest expenses of ING Direct, N 68 52
E-Trade and the US banking industry respond to changes in the Adj. R-squared 0.433 0.377
Fed funds rate. Yet this conclusion changes when we differentiate Note: panel estimation with two panel members and fixed cross-section effects.
between upward and downward movements in the Fed funds rate.
Table 6 reports a strong response of PPI interest expenses to a mon-
etary tightening (an upward change in ffr). The coefficients for E- lated to interest expenses, the panel regressions are executed for
Trade and ING are between 0.69 and 0.90 and differ significantly both the full sample period and a sub-period excluding the credit
from the coefficient of 0.299 for all institutions. This finding shows crisis. Table 7 shows that b1 is positive and significant: a one per-
that PPI banks need to follow upward movements in market rates centage point above-average interest expense ratio would result
more closely than traditional banks and thus supports the hypoth- in above average deposit growth between 10% and 20%. Ideally,
esis that PPI banks have more interest-sensitive customers. our funding stability hypothesis should be tested using product le-
Although in the downward phase the coefficient is highest for all vel data on rates and flows, which unfortunately are confidential.
institutions, implying that PPI banks reduce rates less quickly than Nonetheless, our findings in Tables 6 and 7 offer some evidence in
traditional banks, these differences are not statistically significant. support of the hypothesis that PPI banks have more interest sensi-
Our final test relates deposit growth to interest expenses. The tive clients.
empirical analysis is again hampered by the fact that we do not
have data on the historical interest rates and money flows on a
product level. In addition, deposit growth can be influenced by 6. Conclusion
many other factors besides interest rates. We try to deal with this
problem by measuring both deposit growth and interest expenses Prior to the credit crisis, the literature on PPI banks focused on
of ING and E-Trade relative to the market as a whole. This results in their financial performance compared to traditional banks. While
the following basic specification: some authors have stressed PPI’s positive prospects, the evidence
that their low-cost business model enabled them to reap superior
d logðdepÞ  d logðdep aiÞj;t ¼ bj;0 þ b1 dðint exp=liab profits was mixed at best. During the credit crisis, doubts regarding
 int exp=liab aiÞð1Þj;t þ ej;t ; ð3Þ the stability of this new form of financial intermediation have
come to light. This paper discusses a number of stability issues
where dlog(dep)  dlog(dep_ai)j,t measures the difference between with regard to the PPI model.
the deposit growth of panel member j (either ING or E-Trade) and PPI banking is a hybrid business model that, on the surface,
the market as a whole (all institutions) and d(intexp/liab  intexp/ combines features of both relationship and transaction banking.
liab_ai)j,t denotes the change in the interest expense ratio of panel Although in terms of customer-orientation PPI banks may partly
member j compared to the market. Our null hypothesis is that b1 resemble relationship banks, they lack their comparative advan-
is positive, implying that when ING and/or E-Trade pay higher inter- tage in generating borrower-specific information. Instead, the
est expenses – and thus become more attractive to interest-sensi- characteristic features of PPI banks are low costs and easy
tive savers – their deposit growth will outperform the market. Eq. scalability.
(3) is further expanded by four control variables: the change in Easy scalability appears to be a mixed blessing. While it enables
the fed funds rate, housing price growth, the log of deposits and PPI banks to quickly capture market share in the savings market, it
the lagged dependent variable. The first two control variables cap- also raises the problem of what to do with the acquired funds. The
ture changes in the economic environment, while the latter two case of ING Direct shows that the faster deposit growth, the more
control variables capture deposit growth dynamics for both panel difficult it is for lending to keep up. Differences in scalability be-
members. As the crisis may have triggered deposit (out)flows unre- tween the assets and liabilities sides of the balance sheet are at

Table 6
Interest rate sensitivity: ING Direct, E-Trade and US Banks.

Dependent variable: d(intexp/liab)


2001Q2–2009Q4 Complete sample Upward change in ffr Downward change in ffr
Coefficient t-Stat Coefficient t-Stat Coefficient t-Stat
Intercept 0.00014 2.781 0.00025 2.660 0.00030 3.299
d(ffr) – AI 0.394 6.525 0.299 1.795 0.334 3.565
d(ffr) – ING 0.430 7.122 0.694 4.170 0.311 3.323
d(ffr) – ETR 0.314 5.202 0.885 5.316 0.218 2.325
N 105 39 66
Adj. R-squared 0.531 0.580 0.275
p-Value Wald test 0.381 0.039 0.649

Note: pooled least squares with fixed cross-section effects; Wald test for null of equality of d(ffr) coefficients.
I.J.M. Arnold, S.E. van Ewijk / Journal of Banking & Finance 35 (2011) 783–793 793

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