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ANNALS

of Internal Medicine
SEPTEMBER 1980 • VOLUME 93 • NUMBER 3

Published Monthly by the American College of Physicians

Continuous or Nocturnal Oxygen Therapy in Hypoxemic Chronic Obstructive


Lung Disease
A Clinical Trial

NOCTURNAL OXYGEN THERAPY TRIAL GROUP*

At six centers, 2 0 3 patients with hypoxemic chronic that oxygen administration was associated with a reduced
obstructive lung disease were randomly allocated to mortality (7).
either continuous oxygen ( 0 2 ) therapy or 12-hour
nocturnal 0 2 therapy and followed for at least 12 months
Long-term oxygen administration is an expensive form
(mean, 19.3 months). The two groups were initially well of treatment, particularly when ambulatory patients are
matched in terms of physiological and neuropsychological supplied with portable units. It is not clear whether con-
function. Compliance with each oxygen regimen was good. tinuous 0 2 therapy is necessary; patients suffer their most
Overall mortality in the nocturnal 0 2 therapy group was
1.94 times that in the continuous 0 2 therapy group
severe hypoxemia while sleeping (8), and it is possible
(P = 0.01). This trend was striking in patients with carbon that hypoxemic sequelae such as erythrocytosis and pul-
dioxide retention and also present in patients with monary hypertension could be prevented by exclusively
relatively poor lung function, low mean nocturnal oxygen nocturnal oxygen administration. Indeed, there is some
saturation, more severe brain dysfunction, and prominent
evidence that pulmonary hypertension can be reduced by
mood disturbances. Continuous 0 2 therapy also appeared
to benefit patients with low mean pulmonary artery as little as 15 hours of oxygen administration per day (9,
pressure and pulmonary vascular resistance and those 10).
with relatively well-preserved exercise capacity. We On the basis of this rationale, the Division of Lung
conclude that in hypoxemic chronic obstructive lung Diseases of the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Insti-
disease, continuous 0 2 therapy is associated with a lower
mortality than is nocturnal 0 2 therapy. The reason for this tute initiated a multicenter clinical trial comparing con-
difference is not clear. tinuous 0 2 therapy with nocturnal 0 2 therapy in patients
with hypoxemic chronic obstructive lung disease (11).

PATIENTS WITH chronic obstructive lung disease and Methods


hypoxemia have a poor prognosis in spite of treatment The protocol for the trial has been published elsewhere in
regimens aimed at improving the mechanical function of detail (12) and therefore will be presented briefly here. Six treat-
the lungs (1). Because of this, such patients are often ment centers recruited 203 patients over 27 months and fol-
treated with supplementary oxygen on an outpatient ba- lowed each surviving patient at least 1 year. The number of
patients at each center varied from 26 to 44. Entry and exclu-
sis. Early studies of this treatment, which compared pa- sion criteria are shown in Table 1. The most important entry
tients before and after oxygen therapy, indicated that criterion was, of course, hypoxemia. The protocol required that
chronic 0 2 therapy resulted in improved exercise toler- this criterion be fulfilled on at least two occasions more than 1
ance, decreased pulmonary hypertension and erythrocy- week apart during a 3-week observation period while the sub-
tosis, and improved neuropsychological function (2-6). A ject was free of exacerbations and was managed without supple-
mental oxygen and with intensive bronchodilator therapy. In
trial in which oxygen was given to one group of patients practice, patients were initially identified as fitting the entry but
but withheld from a similar control group has not been not the exclusion criteria, recruited in a preliminary way, and
done in North America, but such a trial is underway in observed for 3 weeks to ensure stability. At the end of this time,
the United Kingdom, and a preliminary report indicates if the patients still met these criteria, informed consent was
obtained and the patient was hospitalized for a week of baseline
•For acknowledgment of contract support, a list of participants in the Nocturnal
studies. At the end of these studies, each patient was randomly
Oxygen Therapy Trial, and lists of other supporting personnel, see Acknowledg- allocated by the Data Center to either continuous Oz or noctur-
ments at the end of this article. nal 0 2 therapy. Randomization schedules were developed sepa-
Annals of Internal Medicine. 1 9 8 0 ; 9 3 : 3 9 1 - 3 9 8 .
391

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Table 1 . Entry and Exclusion Criteria tems had such timers, oxygen use was recorded accurately in
nocturnal 0 2 therapy patients but underestimated in some con-
tinuous 0 2 therapy patients who, in addition to a stationary
Entry criteria system, used a portable system such as liquid oxygen walkers or
Clinical diagnosis of chronic obstructive lung disease small tanks of compressed gas.
Hypoxemia Besides oxygen, all patients were treated with oral theophyl-
Pa0., ^ 55 mm Hg line and inhaled beta-2 agonists. Diuretics and antibiotics were
Pao2 ^ 59 plus one of the following: used as clinically indicated. Use of other drugs, such as steroids,
Edema cardiac glycosides, sedatives, tranquilizers, antidepressants and
Hematocrit ^ 55% oral beta agonists, was discouraged. Therapeutic phlebotomies
P pulmonale on ECG: 3 mm in leads II, III, aVf were not done.
Lung function* All patients were followed closely to assure compliance and
FEV,/FVC < 707c after inhaled bronchodilator to assess changes in clinical state. For the first 6 months of the
TLC ^ 80% predicted study, they were visited weekly in the home by a nurse practi-
Age > 35 tioner, and were seen each month in outpatient clinic. After the
first 6 months, they were visited at home at least once a month
Exclusion criteria
and were seen in the outpatient clinic at least every 3 months.
Previous 0 2 therapy: 12 h/d for 30 days during previous 2 months At 1-month intervals during the first 6 months and at 3-month
Other disease that might be expected to influence mortality, mor- intervals thereafter, samples of arterial blood were obtained
bidity, compliance with therapy, or ability to give informed con- while the patient breathed his prescribed dose of oxygen and the
sent dose adjusted if arterial P0 2 was not 60 to 80 mm Hg. Unsche-
duled clinic or emergency room visits were recorded. When a
* FEVi = forced expiratory volume in I second; FVC = forced vital capacity; patient became ill enough to be hospitalized, the assigned treat-
TLC = total lung capacity.
ment regimen was suspended but was resumed as soon as possi-
ble thereafter. Oxygen dose was reassessed after each hospitali-
rately for each investigative center. Treatment assignments zation. If a patient died, an attempt was made to obtain a post-
were preset in blocks of four with an equal number of patients mortem examination.
receiving nocturnal Oz therapy and continuous 0 2 therapy in All observations were made under specified conditions at pre-
each block. The order of treatment assignment was randomly
determined time intervals and recorded on standardized data
computer-generated within each block of four.
forms to assure uniform collection of data by all participants.
Baseline studies included a complete history and physical ex- Immediately after each recorded event, copies of the completed
amination, blood count, urinalysis, measurements of blood urea data forms were mailed directly to a designated Data Center for
nitrogen and electrolytes, ECG, and chest radiograph. Lung editing, analysis, and storage. All the data on the study forms
function was assessed by measuring forced expiratory volume in were subjected to an initial clerical review and were then key-
1 second (FEV,) and forced vital capacity (FVC) spirometrical-
punched and verified. All keypunched information was subject-
ly and functional residual capacity (FRC) with a plethysmo-
ed to an extensive computer edit. Errors detected in this editing
graph. Arterial blood was obtained while the patient, breathing
process were sent to the clinics for correction. Measurements
room air, rested semirecumbent and was analyzed for Po 2 , Pco 2 ,
based on analogue recordings, notably records of cardiac cathe-
and pH with appropriate electrodes. Exercise performance was
terization and sleep studies, were verified by the submission of a
studied with bicycle ergometry, using a progressive multi-stage
random sample amounting to 10% of the original records to
technique. Right heart catheterization was done with measure-
single readers. All neuropsychologic data were reviewed by ex-
ments of pulmonary artery and wedge pressures and of cardiac
output. Oxygen saturation during sleep was measured with an perts who checked them for accuracy and consistency. An Ad-
ear oximeter while the patient breathed air and 0 2 on separate visory Board including clinicians, epidemiologists, and other
nights. Neuropsychological function was assessed by study of experts periodically reviewed confidential interim data on the
neuropsychological history and administration of a modified progress of the trial. In particular, follow-up measurements and
Halstead-Reitan battery (13) of tests. These tests were evaluated other outcome criteria were examined so that the trial could be
collectively, in terms of the Russell-Neuringer average impair- terminated promptly if a clinically significant difference be-
ment index (14), and a clinical rating scale of 1 to 6 with 6 tween treatments emerged. In fact, the scheduled end of the
representing maximal impairment (15). This rating was made trial coincided with the development of a difference in mortality
by two neuropsychologists without knowledge of the treatment that would have necessitated termination of the trial.
assignment of the patient. The patient's quality of life was as- Percentage of events in the nocturnal and the continuous 0 2
sessed by the administration of the Minnesota Multiphasic Per- therapy groups as well as life tables calculated according to
sonality Inventory (16), the Sickness Impact Profile (17), and Kaplan and Meier (19) are reported. Survivorship of all patients
the Profile of Mood States (18). as of 26 May 1980, regardless of the extent of their participa-
tion, was ascertained by individual follow-up observation.
After 6 months of nocturnal or continuous 0 2 therapy, all For comparison of survival in the nocturnal O- therapy and
baseline tests except sleep studies were repeated. Thereafter, at the continuous O therapy groups, the Cox actuarial procedure
6-month intervals, all baseline studies were again repeated ex- (20) was applied. This statistical procedure, which is based on a
cept sleep studies, right heart catheterization, and neuropsycho- proportional hazard model, takes into account the ranking of
logical testing. the times of follow-up and death in the two treatment groups.
After randomization, patients were instructed in the use of Mortality data were monitored at regular intervals through-
their oxygen equipment and discharged for follow-up as outpa- out the trial to detect treatment differences as soon as possible.
tients. Oxygen was administered by nasal prongs at a measured Also, many other end points were evaluated in the final data
flow rate of 1 to 4 L/min. Each patient received the lowest flow analysis. Because of this, if nocturnal 0 : and continuous 0 :
in whole litres per minute that demonstrably increased resting,
therapy regimens were alike in every respect, by chance alone
semirecumbent arterial Po 2 at least 6 mm Hg and maintained a
5% of the secondary outcome variables would show a difference
resting arterial Po 2 of 60 to 80 mm Hg. This dose was increased
significant at the 5% level (21). It is clear that, because multiple
by 1 L/min for periods of exercise and sleep. Oxygen delivery
variables were evaluated and key variables analyzed during the
systems varied; oxygen concentrators, liquid oxygen systems,
trial, one should be cautious in assessments of statistical signifi-
and compressed gas were all used. Compliance with therapy
cance.
was checked in two ways. The patient and a family member
were required to keep written records of oxygen use, and oxy-
gen reservoirs or concentrators were fitted with timers that re- Results
corded the duration of gas flow. Because only stationary sys- T h e 203 patients w h o were recruited were selected

September 1980 • Annals of Internal Medicine • Volume 93 • Number 3


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from 1043 patients who were screened for the study. Of showed resting tachycardia, modest pulmonary hyperten-
these, 809 patients never entered the stabilization phase: sion, and increased pulmonary vascular resistance. Dur-
31% of them were found to have other major disease, ing sleep, patients were hypoxemic while breathing air
15% refused, 12% were discovered to have previously but generally not while breathing their prescribed dose of
received chronic 0 2 therapy, and in 21% the arterial Po2 0 2 . Neuropsychological test results showed that the aver-
rose so that the patient was no longer eligible. The re- age patient had impaired brain function; patients on con-
mainder of these 809 patients were ineligible for a variety tinuous 0 2 therapy appeared to be slightly less impaired
of reasons, such as living too far from a study center. In than those on nocturnal 0 2 , the difference approaching
all six centers, a total of only four patients fulfilled the significance when the overall clinical rating and the Rus-
entry criteria but were judged by the investigators to be sell-Neuringer average impairment index were consid-
"too sick" to undergo 3 weeks of observation off 0 2 . ered. Quality of life measures indicated relatively low lev-
Thirty-one patients entered stabilization but did not com- el of patient self-satisfaction, reduced physical and social
plete it and were not randomized to the study. Failure of capabilities, and increased levels of depression, anxiety,
completion was chiefly due to an absence of informed and hostility. More detailed analyses of these baseline
consent or a rise in arterial Po2 during stabilization such data will be presented in other reports.
that the patient was ineligible. Compliance was assessed both by timers and by exam-
Table 2 shows selected mean baseline characteristics of ining patient logs. The former was objective but system-
both nocturnal 0 2 therapy and continuous 0 2 therapy atically underestimated 0 2 use by continuous 0 2 therapy
groups and indicates that they were comparable: The patients with portable systems. In nocturnal 0 2 therapy
randomization process was successful. The average pa- patients, timer and log data were in excellent agreement,
tient age was more than 65 years; most patients were both indicating that more than 82% of the nocturnal 0 2
male. They were hypoxemic with a slightly elevated he- therapy patients used 13 hours or less of 0 2 per day.
matocrit value and borderline C0 2 retention. Expiratory According to timers, nocturnal 0 2 therapy patients aver-
flow was severely compromised, and they were hyperin- aged 12.0 h/d (SD = 2.5 h/d) whereas continuous 0 2
flated. Maximum exercise performance, as tested by bicy- therapy patients averaged 17.7 h/d (SD = 4.8 h/d). Fig-
cle ergometry, was sharply limited. The average patient ure 1 shows data from patient logs and indicates that

Table 2 . Baseline Characteristics of Nocturnal Oa Therapy and Continuous Q2 Therapy Groups

Characteristics* Nocturnal 0 2 Continuous P Value


Therapy 0 2 Therapy

General and cardiopulmonary characteristics


Patients, no.] 102 101
Age, yrs 65.7 65.2 0.72
Male, %t 80.4 77.2 0.58
White, %t 78.4 77.2 0.84
Pao,, mm Hg 51.5 50.8 0.32
Pace, mm Hg 43.9 43.4 0.70
PH " 7.41 7.40 0.19
Hematocrit, % 47.3 47.7 0.60
FEVi, % predicted 29.9 29.5 0.82
FVC, % predicted 53.6 52.6 0.70
FRC, % predicted 177.6 175.7 0.78
Mean sleep Sao2, air, % 83.5 83.0 0.66
Mean sleep Sao«, 0 2 , % 94.0 94.1 0.83
Maximum workload, air, W 37.3 37.5 0.95
Heart rate, mirr1 92.6 93.1 0.83
Mean pulmonary artery pressure, mm Hg 29.0 30.0 0.58
Cardiac index, L/minm2 2.91 2.95 0.69
Pulmonary vascular resistance, dyne/scmb 330 333 0.91
Neuropsychiatry characteristics}:
Overall rating (3.5) 4.5 4.2 0.06
Halstead impairment index (0.63) 0.78 0.73 0.15
Russell-Neuringer average impairment index (1.8) 2.3 2.1 0.08
Brain age quotient (89) 75.4 80.4 0.11
Quality of lifej
MMPI, average scales 0.9 (54.5) 60.9 61.4 0.68
SIP
Physical scale (0.6) 20.5 19.8 0.78
Psychosocial scale (1.6) 23.9 20.5 0.22
POMS—mood disturbance (26.4) 48.4 49.7 0.76

* FEVi = forced expiratory volume in 1 second; FVC = forced vital capacity; FRC = functional residual capacity; MMPI = Minnesota Multiphasic Personality In-
ventory; SIP = Sickness Impact Profile; POMS •» Profile of Mood States,
t All values reported for the two groups are mean values except numbers of subjects, sex, and race.
X Normal values are shown in parentheses.

Trial Group • Oxygen Therapy for Obstructive Lung Disease 393

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ing to variables thought to be clinically important; the
median overall baseline values of these variables were
used to separate groups. Figure 3 shows mortality in pa-
tients with arterial Pco 2 equal to or greater than 43 mm
Hg, the median value for all patients at baseline; survival
was better in the continuous 0 2 therapy group, and this
difference was highly significant (P < 0.002). This and
other selected baseline values are related to mortality in
Table 3. In two other subgroups, those with low pH and
those who showed high levels of mood disturbance such
as depression and anxiety (Profile of Mood States test),
the continuous 0 2 therapy group demonstrated very sig-
nificantly greater survival than the nocturnal 0 2 therapy
group. Also, in a number of other subgroups mortality
differed (0.01 < P <0.05). Patients with low FVC, high
FRC, more severe nocturnal hypoxemia, low hematocrit
values, and more severe indexes of brain dysfunction all
tended to have lower mortality on continuous than on
nocturnal 0 2 therapy. The same was true of patients with
pulmonary artery pressure and pulmonary vascular re-
sistance values that were below the median and for those
whose work capacity on the cycle ergometer was above
the median.
Figure 1 . Compliance with treatment regimens as assessed by pa-
tient log, expressed as a frequency distribution of daily 0 2 use. Although patients on continuous 0 2 therapy tended to
Hatched bars represent patients on nocturnal O a therapy, open be hospitalized less often and to have fewer long hospital-
bars, those on continuous 0 2 therapy. " M i s s i n g " indicates patients
in whom data are missing.
izations than nocturnal 0 2 therapy patients, differences
were not statistically significant.
82% of nocturnal 0 2 therapy patients used 0 2 for 13 The effects of treatment on the physiological and psy-
hours or less per day and that 56% of continuous 0 2 chological variables listed in Table 2 were examined by
therapy patients used 0 2 for 19 or more hours per day. comparing baseline and follow-up data in individual pa-
The 203 patients were followed for an average of 19.3 tients. For some variables, such as those resulting from
months. Of the total group, 80 nocturnal 0 2 and 87 con- cardiac catheterization, only 6-month follow-up data
tinuous 0 2 therapy patients were followed for 12 months were available. For other indexes, such as arterial Po 2
and 29 nocturnal 0 2 and 37 continuous 0 2 therapy pa- and Pco 2 , results at 6 months, 12 months, and 18 months
tients were followed for 24 months. Two continuous 0 2 could be compared with baseline values. With the excep-
therapy patients were lost to follow-up 2 months before tion of hematocrit and pulmonary vascular resistance,
the trial was ended, one after 12 months of treatment and none of the variables listed in Table 2 showed statistically
the other after 15 months. A total of 64 patients died, 41 significant changes that were dependent on treatment
in the nocturnal 0 2 therapy group and 23 in the continu- regimen. Hematocrit values fell more in patients on con-
ous 0 2 therapy group. Life table cumulative survival
rates, shown in Figure 2, indicate the pattern of mortality
throughout the study period. Based on the Cox model,
unadjusted for baseline characteristics, this difference in
survival was significant (P = 0.01). The 12-month mor-
tality was 20.6% (SE = 4.0%) in the nocturnal 0 2 thera-
py group and 11.9% (SE = 3.2%) in the continuous 0 2
therapy group, whereas the 24-month mortality was
40.8% (SE = 5.5%) and 22.4% (SE = 4.6%), respec-
tively. Overall mortality was 31.5% for all patients and
varied from 15.4% to 41.9% among centers. At all cen-
ters, mortality for the nocturnal 0 2 therapy group ex-
ceeded that for the continuous 0 2 therapy group. The
relative risk of death for the nocturnal 0 2 therapy group
compared with the continuous 0 2 therapy group was 1.94
with 95% confidence limits ranging from 1.17 to 3.24.
The above analyses were done according to treatment Figure 2 . Overall mortality. Ordinate is fraction of patients surviv-
ing; abscissa is time f r o m randomization or duration of treatment.
assignment and did not consider compliance. However, Open circles represent continuous 0 2 therapy group; squares rep-
compliance was very good, and compliance failure could resent nocturnal O a therapy group. Of the total group, 8 0 nocturnal
not account for the difference between groups. 0 2 and 8 7 continuous 0 2 therapy patients were followed for 12
months, and 2 9 nocturnal 0 2 and 3 7 continuous 0 2 therapy pa-
Mortality was examined in subgroups defined accord- tients were followed for 2 4 months.

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out oxygen. The only biases that operated in patient se-
lection were that the patient live near a study center, that
he or she have no serious extrapulmonary disease, and
that he or she not previously have been treated with long-
term oxygen therapy. Thus, except that they were largely
urban dwellers and did not have major disease of other
organ systems, these patients probably were representa-
tive of the type of person with obstructive disease cur-
rently thought to merit long-term low-flow oxygen thera-
py. As indicated in Table 2 the patients were randomized
successfully. At baseline, there was no significant differ-
ence between nocturnal 0 2 and continuous 0 2 therapy
groups in any of the variables listed, although in some
neuropsychological test results there were trends favoring
the continuous 0 2 therapy group. The effectiveness of the
Figure 3. Survival of patients with arterial Pco2 over 4 3 m m Hg. prescribed dose of 0 2 in relieving hypoxemia was estab-
Ordinate is fraction of patients surviving; abscissa is time f r o m lished and repeatedly checked. Therapy other than that
randomization or duration of treatment. Open circles represent
continuous O a therapy patients; squares represent nocturnal 0 2
involving 0 2 was the same in both groups and therefore
therapy patients. Of these patients, 3 5 nocturnal O a therapy pa- could not have biased the results. Finally, as indicated in
tients and 5 0 continuous 0 2 therapy patients were followed for 12 Figure 1, patients complied well with their prescribed
months, and 13 patients on nocturnal and 2 5 on continuous 0 2
therapy were followed for 2 4 months. treatment regimens; few continuous 0 2 therapy patients
used 0 2 for 13 hours or less, and few nocturnal 0 2 thera-
tinuous 0 2 therapy than in those on nocturnal 0 2 thera- py patients used it for 19 hours or more. This record of
py: This was not significant at 6 months (P = 0.06) but compliance is unusually good (22) and probably occurred
was significant at both 12 months (P = 0.005) and 18 both because the patients were followed very closely and
months (P = 0.008). At 18 months hematocrit values because they found it easy to believe that oxygen was
showed, on the average, a fall of 2.0% from baseline in 36 beneficial to them. In any event, this clinical trial ap-
nocturnal 0 2 therapy patients and had decreased an aver- peared to fulfill several important criteria: The patients
age of 9.2% in 40 patients on continuous 0 2 therapy. were representative of the general clinical population ad-
Pulmonary vascular resistance was measured in follow- dressed by the trial, the treatment groups were similar at
up only at 6 months; at that Hime 49 nocturnal 0 2 therapy the beginning of the trial, the treatment was shown to
patients showed a mean increase of 6.5% while 52 con- achieve its short-term goal, and each group generally fol-
tinuous 0 2 therapy patients showed a mean decrease of lowed its assigned treatment plan.
11.1% (P = 0.04). We believe that the trial gave a clear-cut answer in
When data for all patients were combined and baseline terms of the variable of ultimate clinical importance:
and follow-up data compared, significant changes in he- mortality. Mortality in the nocturnal 0 2 therapy group
matocrit and pulmonary vascular resistance were ob- was nearly twice that in the continuous 0 2 therapy
served. Hematocrit values fell from a mean at baseline of group. The analysis of treatment-dependent differences in
47.5% to a mean of 44.3% at 6 months. Pulmonary vas- overall mortality was the first statistic derived from the
cular resistance fell from a mean of 322 dyne/s • cm5 at trial data because it was considered the most important.
baseline to a mean of 281 dyne/s • cm5 at 6 months. No Therefore it cannot be argued that the difference in over-
significant change occurred in arterial blood gas levels, all mortality was a chance result of many tests being ap-
lung volumes or FEVj, maximum work attained, mean plied to the data. The probability was truly 1% that the
pulmonary artery pressure, or cardiac index. With the difference in mortality between the nocturnal 0 2 and the
exception of the Minnesota Multiphasic Personality In- continuous 0 2 therapy groups was due to chance. Had
ventory, all the measures of neuropsychological function the trial been prolonged, an even more impressive statis-
and quality of life listed in Table 2 improved significantly tic might have emerged; this would have reflected an even
when all patients were considered. greater differential mortality that would have been ethi-
cally unacceptable. Had the trial been scheduled to last
Discussion longer, the Advisory Board would have terminated it at
The patients studied were probably representative of the time that it did stop because of the mortality differ-
patients in general with hypoxemic chronic obstructive ence reported here.
lung disease. The study centers attempted to recruit every In analyzing mortality, we analyzed all deaths. Non-
patient who fulfilled the entry criteria and presented no respiratory factors contributed to the deaths of some pa-
reason for exclusion (Table 1). Over 1000 patients were tients: Two committed suicide, one had leukemia, four
screened for the study; a large fraction of these were not had carcinoma of the lung, and one had a cerebrovascu-
eligible for the study chiefly because of other disease and lar accident. These deaths were randomly distributed be-
failure to demonstrate persistent hypoxemia. Very few tween the nocturnal 0 2 and the continuous 0 2 therapy
patients did not enter the study because they were groups. When these patients were eliminated from con-
thought "too sick" to endure 3 weeks' observation with- sideration, survival in the continuous 0 2 therapy group
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Table 3. Mortality According to Baseline Characteristics*

Characteristic! Number of Deaths P Value


Patients
Total Nocturnal 0 2 Continuous
Therapy 0 2 Therapy

no. < % >


Pa 0r mm Hg
<52 89 39.3 47.7 31.1 0.06
^52 113 25.7 34.5 16.4 0.06
Paco2, mm Hg
<43 96 31.2 34.6 27.3 0.78
$>43 106 32.1 46.0 19.6 0.002
PH
<7.40 95 28.4 42.2 16.0 0.004
^7.40 107 34.6 38.6 30.0 0.46
Hematocrit, %
<47.4 99 32.3 41.5 21.7 0.03
^47.4 102 31.4 38.8 24.5 0.20
FEVu L
<0.69 97 35.0 43.4 25.0 0.07
^0.69 101 29.7 39.1 21.8 0.08
FVC,£
<1.89 99 31.3 43.5 20.8 0.01
J; 1.89 99 33.3 39.6 26.1 0.20
FRC,L
<6.06 81 30.9 40.0 22.0 0.10
^6.06 82 32.9 42.9 22.5 0.05
Sleep, mean Sa0.„ air breathing, %
<85 89 37.1 50.0 24.4 0.02
2*85 92 23.9 31.1 17.0 0.14
Maximum work load, W
<35 85 42.4 48.8 35.7 0.13
5>35 113 23.9 33.9 14.0 0.02
Resting heart rate, beats/min
<92 101 28.7 38.8 19.2 0.08
£92 102 34.3 41.5 26.5 0.06
Mean pulmonary artery pressure, mm Hg
<27 86 27.9 37.0 17.5 0.03
£27 98 31.6 39.6 24.0 0.14
Pulmonary vascular resistance, dyne/scmb
<279 84 23.8 33.3 12.8 0.03
£279 84 36.9 45.2 38.6 0.11
Neuropsychological rating
<4.5 92 25.0 31.7 19.6 0.24
£4.5 94 39.4 48.0 29.5 0.04
Russell-Neuringer average impairment index
<2.17 85 25.9 31.7 20.5 0.30
£2.17 89 37.1 45.8 26.8 0.03
Halstead impairment index
<0.75 87 26.4 34.1 19.6 0.19
£0.75 87 36.8 43.8 28.8 0.05
Mood disturbance (POMS)
<43 89 29.2 30.2 28.3 0.80
£43 92 37.0 52.2 21.7 0.005

* Groups defined according to the median value for each characteristic. Data percentages for the continuous and nocturnal therapy groups are for deaths in each group
divided according to the criteria for "Characteristic" and are not percentages of the totals in Column 2.
t FEVi = forced expiratory volume in 1 second; FVC = forced vital capacity; FRC = functional residual capacity; POMS = Profile of Mood States.

was still significantly (P = 0.03) greater than in the noc- tients had sudden deaths—they were found dead in bed—
turnal 0 2 therapy group. We have included all patients in some with a history of increasing respiratory difficulty
our major analysis of mortality because we believe that but most without. Presumably these patients had fatal
even in the cases cited above, it is impossible to argue arrhythmias, but few would argue that their deaths were
that the patient's severe respiratory disease did not con- not primarily respiratory.
tribute to their death. An example of this complexity is In an effort to discern if certain types of patients bene-
afforded by our experience with coronary artery disease. fited from continuous 0 2 therapy, we split nocturnal 0 2
Three patients (two on nocturnal 0 2 , one on continuous and continuous 0 2 therapy patients into subgroups ac-
0 2 therapy) died of arrhythmias after documented myo- cording to median values of baseline characteristics
cardial infarctions. On the other hand, nine other pa- thought to be clinically important. Many subgroups
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showed significant survival benefit with continuous 0 2 Overall mortality (Table 3) was very similar in patients
therapy (Table 3), reflecting the reduced overall mortality with high and low hematocrit values at baseline; having a
associated with this treatment. Generally patients with low hematocrit value at baseline was not associated with
hypoventilation and relatively poor pulmonary func- increased survival. Further, though continuous 0 2 thera-
tion—high arterial Pco 2 , low pH, low nocturnal oxygen py lowered hematocrit values, it appeared to decrease
saturation, low FVC, and high FRC—showed increased mortality in patients who entered the study with low he-
survival with continuous 0 2 therapy. The same was true matocrit values (Table 3). It appears therefore that al-
of patients with more severe brain impairment of neuro- though continuous 0 2 therapy decreased hematocrit val-
psychological testing and of patients who demonstrated ues and increased survival, there is no evidence that these
high levels of mood disturbance. These results could be results are related to one another.
synthesized to reach the conclusion that the effect of con- Pulmonary vascular resistance also showed a differen-
tinuous 0 2 therapy was most striking in the sickest pa- tial effect of treatment, which is also consistent with ani-
tients. On the other hand, it was patients with the least mal studies showing that intermittent normoxia does not
disturbed pulmonary hemodynamics—relatively low reverse anatomical evidence of hypoxia-induced pulmo-
mean pulmonary artery pressure and pulmonary vascular nary hypertension whereas continuous normoxia does
resistance—and relatively well preserved exercise capaci- (23). The treatment-related change in pulmonary vascu-
ty who showed benefit from continuous 0 2 therapy. Thus lar resistance was more substantial than the hematocrit
the composite patient showing the most benefit from con- change, and the 11% decline in resistance seen in the
tinuous 0 2 therapy would have relatively severe derange- continuous 0 2 therapy group may have been partially re-
ments of life quality and brain and lung function but sponsible for its longevity. This is not supported by exam-
relatively mild disturbances of pulmonary hemodynamics ining mortality data in relation to pulmonary vascular
and exercise capacity. resistance (Table 3). Although patients who entered the
Although there was overlap between subgroups show- study with high pulmonary vascular resistances had rela-
ing benefit from continuous 0 2 therapy, this overlap was tively high overall mortality, patients with a low baseline
never total. For example, of the 95 patients with baseline pulmonary vascular resistance showed a mortality benefit
pH under 7.40, 24 also had arterial Pco 2 less than 43 mm from continuous 0 2 therapy, whereas those with high re-
Hg, and of the 107 patients with baseline pH over 7.40, sistance did not. The effect of change in pulmonary vas-
35 had arterial Pco 2 greater than 43 mm Hg. cular resistance on mortality also suggested that changes
Most of the differences in mortality noted in Table 3 in resistance were not the cause of the lower mortality in
that we have cited as significant were significant at the patients on continuous 0 2 therapy. The median change of
5% level. It might be argued that these differences are pulmonary vascular resistance for 101 patients was a de-
not impressive considering that we made many statistical crease of 20 dyne/s • cm5 at 6 months. Of patients with a
comparisons and that some therefore might attain these greater decrease 14 subsequently died, nine in the noctur-
levels of significance in the absence of a difference be- nal 0 2 therapy group and five in the continuous 0 2 thera-
tween nocturnal 0 2 and continuous 0 2 therapy groups. py group. Of patients who demonstrated a smaller de-
We do not believe that this explains the results shown. crease in pulmonary vascular resistance, nine subsequent-
Subgroups with high arterial Pco 2 , low pH, and more ly died, all from the nocturnal 0 2 therapy group. Thus,
serious mood disturbance showed differences in mortality when both groups were combined, patients with large de-
that were an order of magnitude more significant than creases in pulmonary vascular resistance tended to have a
those likely to be achieved by chance alone. Groups of greater mortality than patients with small decreases. Fur-
independent variables, such as those concerning hypo- ther, it appeared that continuous 0 2 therapy had more
ventilation and lung function, showed concordant differ- striking beneficial effect in the patients with small de-
ences in mortality that would have been unlikely had creases of pulmonary vascular resistance. These data
they been due to chance. Finally, too many of the varia- strongly suggest that although continuous 0 2 therapy re-
bles shown in Table 3 showed P < 0.05 to be due to duced both mortality and pulmonary vascular resistance,
chance; the items shown were selected from analysis of the two phenomena were not related.
the characteristics shown in Table 2, and probabilities of The present study may be compared with others in
less than 5% occurred in many more than 5% of the which the effects of oxygen therapy have been examined
subgroups tested. through testing of patients before and after some months
The reason for the decreased mortality associated with of treatment (2-6, 9, 10). Qualitatively, our results are
continuous 0 2 therapy is unclear. Of the numerous physi- similar. When nocturnal 0 2 and continuous 0 2 therapy
ological and psychological variables measured during the groups were combined, oxygen therapy apparently result-
study, only two showed a significant treatment-related ed in a fall in hematocrit value and pulmonary vascular
change with time. Hematocrit value decreased in patients resistance and improvements in neuropsychologic func-
on continuous 0 2 therapy but not in those on nocturnal tion and the patients' perceptions of their quality of life.
0 2 therapy. Although this result is in accord with the However, changes were not large, averaging about 10%
results of animal studies (23), the decline in hematocrit in all instances, and whether even these changes were in
values in the continuous 0 2 therapy group was small, fact due to oxygen is uncertain. It is entirely possible that
averaging 9.2% at 18 months, and assigning any clinical these improvements, especially those of quality of life,
significance to a change of this magnitude is difficult. were due not to oxygen but to the more intensive medical
Trial Group • Oxygen Therapy for Obstructive Lung Disease 397

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and nursing care the patients received as study partici- Boylen, M.D.*; John Mohler, M.D.; Hugo Chiodi, M.D.; Daniel Kanada,
M.D.; Elaine Layne, R.N.; Sylviane Herzog, M.S.; and Peggy Pegg, R.N.
pants. Further, mean pulmonary artery pressure did not Data Center: University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan: George W.
change significantly, falling from 28.0 mm Hg to 26.4 Williams, Ph.D.; and Sandy M. Snedecor, B.S.
mm Hg in 6 months, and exercise tolerance as tested by Neuropsychology Centers: Veterans Administration Medical Center and
University of California, San Diego: Igor Grant, M.D.; Robert Reed, M.S.
maximum work achieved on a bicycle ergometer did not University of Colorado, Denver, Colorado: Robert H. Heaton, Ph.D.; and
improve, findings that differ from those of others. The Susan Heaton, B.A.
reasons are not clear for the relatively small impact of Quality of Life Assessment: University of West Virginia, Morgantown,
West Virginia: A. John McSweeny, Ph.D.
oxygen therapy on the physiological and neuropsycholog- Pathology Center: University of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Manitoba: William
ical functions that we measured. Our study had many M. Thurlbeck, M.D.
more patients than did previous ones and may have con- Advisory Board: Marvin A. Sackner, M.D. (Chairman); Stephen M.
Ayres, M.D.; B. William Brown, Ph.D.; Millicent Higgins, M.D., Dr. P.H.;
tained subgroups that showed greater benefits, but the Philip Kimbel, M.D.; Jeanne K. Malchon; Harold Menkes, M.D.; William
nature of our mean results indicates that were there such F. Miller, M.D.; and Louis Vachon, M.D.
National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute: Lynn H. Blake, Ph.D.; David
subgroups, there must have been others showing nearly DeMets, Ph.D.; Claude Lenfant, M.D.; Hannah Peavy, M.D.; and Richard
equal deterioration. As has been discussed above, there is Sohn, Ph.D.
no reason to believe that our patient sample was biased so •Principal Investigators
as to minimize the effects of oxygen therapy. A more
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3 9 8 September 1980 • Annals of Internal Medicine • Volume 93 • Number 3

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