Population 1000

Transmission Rate 0.00125502

Recovery Rate 0.5
Week 0 newly infecti 5

Week S I R NI NR
0 996 4 0 5 2
1 991 7 2 8.706074 3.5 1200
2 982.2939 12.2060743 5.5 15.04763 6.103037 1000
3 967.2463 21.1506685 11.60304 25.67508 10.57533 800
4 941.5712 36.2504167 22.17837 42.83678 18.12521
600
5 898.7344 60.9619915 40.30358 68.76084 30.481
400
6 829.9736 99.2418398 70.78458 103.3736 49.62092
7 726.6 152.994546 120.4055 139.5154 76.49727 200

8 587.0846 216.012623 196.9028 159.1587 108.0063 0

0 5 10
9 427.9259 267.165055 304.9091 143.4825 133.5825
10 284.4434 277.065004 438.4916 98.90726 138.5325
11 185.5361 237.439767 577.0241 55.28822 118.7199
12 130.2479 174.008104 695.744 28.44401 87.00405
13 101.8039 115.448066 782.748 14.75033 57.72403
14 87.05356 72.4743622 840.4721 7.918112 36.23718
15 79.13545 44.1552926 876.7093 4.385353 22.07765
16 74.7501 26.4629988 898.7869 2.48257 13.2315
17 72.26753 15.7140693 912.0184 1.425222 7.857035
18 70.8423 9.2822567 919.8754 0.825272 4.641128
19 70.01703 5.46640001 924.5166 0.480348 2.7332
20 69.53668 3.21354778 927.2498 0.280446 1.606774
21 69.25624 1.88722 928.8565 0.164033 0.94361
22 69.09221 1.10764333 929.8002 0.096046 0.553822
23 68.99616 0.64986775 930.354 0.056273 0.324934
24 68.93989 0.38120694 930.6789 0.032982 0.190603
25 68.9069 0.22358585 930.8695 0.019336 0.111793
26 68.88757 0.13112853 930.9813 0.011337 0.065564
27 68.87623 0.07690102 931.0469 0.006647 0.038451
28 68.86958 0.04509791 931.0853 0.003898 0.022549
29 68.86569 0.02644689 931.1079 0.002286 0.013223
30 68.8634 0.01550919 931.1211 0.00134 0.007755
 Initial 4
1200
1000
800
600
400
200
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35

S I R
Population 1000
Transmission Rate 0.000505
Recovery Rate 0.5
Week 0 newly infecti 5

Week S I R NI NR
0 990 10 0 5 5
1 985 10 5 4.974747 5
2 980.0253 9.974747 10 4.937123 4.987374
3 975.0881 9.924497 14.98737 4.887505 4.962249
Initial 10
4 970.2006 9.849753 19.94962 4.826382 4.924877
5 965.3742 9.751259 24.8745 4.754351 4.875629 1200
6 960.6199 9.62998 29.75013 4.672096 4.81499 1000
7 955.9478 9.487086 34.56512 4.580383 4.743543
8 951.3674 9.323926 39.30866 4.48004 4.661963 800

9 946.8874 9.142004 43.97062 4.371943 4.571002 600

10 942.5154 8.942945 48.54163 4.257002 4.471473
11 938.2584 8.728474 53.0131 4.136144 4.364237 400

12 934.1223 8.500381 57.37734 4.010301 4.25019 200

13 930.112 8.260491 61.62753 3.880395 4.130246
14 926.2316 8.01064 65.75777 3.747327 4.00532 0
0 5 10 15 20
15 922.4843 7.752648 69.76309 3.611967 3.876324
16 918.8723 7.488291 73.63942 3.475143 3.744146 S I

17 915.3971 7.219289 77.38356 3.337634 3.609644

18 912.0595 6.947279 80.99321 3.200168 3.473639
19 908.8593 6.673807 84.46685 3.06341 3.336903
20 905.7959 6.400313 87.80375 2.927969 3.200157
21 902.868 6.128125 91.00391 2.794388 3.064063
22 900.0736 5.858451 94.06797 2.66315 2.929225
23 897.4104 5.592375 96.99719 2.534675 2.796188
24 894.8758 5.330862 99.79338 2.409323 2.665431
25 892.4664 5.074754 102.4588 2.287398 2.537377
26 890.179 4.824775 104.9962 2.169148 2.412387
27 888.0099 4.581536 107.4086 2.054772 2.290768
28 885.9551 4.34554 109.6993 1.944421 2.17277
29 884.0107 4.117191 111.8721 1.838202 2.058595
30 882.1725 3.896798 113.9307 1.736186 1.948399
 Initial 10

10 15 20 25 30 35

S I R
Population 1000
Transmission Rate 0.000838
Recovery Rate 0.5
Week 0 newly infecti 5

Week S I R NI NR
0 994 6 0 5 3
1 989 8 3 6.633132 4
2 982.3669 10.63313 7 8.757241 5.316566
3 973.6096 14.07381 12.31657 11.48759 7.036903 Initial 6
4 962.122 18.52449 19.35347 14.942 9.262245 1200
5 947.18 24.20425 28.61571 19.22014 12.10212
1000
6 927.9599 31.32226 40.71784 24.36771 15.66113
7 903.5922 40.02884 56.37897 30.3234 20.01442 800
8 873.2688 50.33782 76.39339 36.85316 25.16891
600
9 836.4156 62.02206 101.5623 43.49113 31.01103
10 792.9245 74.50216 132.5733 49.52598 37.25108 400
11 743.3985 86.77706 169.8244 54.08278 43.38853 200
12 689.3157 97.47131 213.2129 56.3284 48.73566
13 632.9873 105.0641 261.9486 55.75471 52.53203 0
0 5 10 15 20
14 577.2326 108.2867 314.4806 52.40328 54.14337
15 524.8294 106.5467 368.624 46.88029 53.27333 S I R
16 477.9491 100.1536 421.8973 40.13106 50.07681
17 437.818 90.20787 471.9741 33.11086 45.10393
18 404.7071 78.21479 517.0781 26.53763 39.10739
19 378.1695 65.64502 556.1855 20.81233 32.82251
20 357.3572 53.63484 589.008 16.06874 26.81742
21 341.2884 42.88616 615.8254 12.27075 21.44308
22 329.0177 33.71383 637.2685 9.299503 16.85692
23 319.7182 26.15642 654.1254 7.010969 13.07821
24 312.7072 20.08918 667.2036 5.266626 10.04459
25 307.4406 15.31122 677.2482 3.946419 7.655608
26 303.4942 11.60203 684.9038 2.952002 5.801014
27 300.5422 8.753015 690.7048 2.205441 4.376508
28 298.3367 6.581949 695.0813 1.646242 3.290974
29 296.6905 4.937216 698.3723 1.228056 2.468608
30 295.4624 3.696664 700.8409 0.915682 1.848332
 Initial 6

10 15 20 25 30 35

S I R
Population 1000
Transmission Rate 0.00167
Recovery Rate 0.5

Week S I NI H
0 996 4 6.65328 2
1 991.34672 8.65328 14.32593 4.32664
2 981.34743 18.65257 30.56877 9.326285
3 960.10495 39.89505 63.96674 19.94753
4 916.08574 83.91426 128.3773 41.95713
5 829.66552 170.3345 236.0055 85.16724
6 678.82729 321.1727 364.0947 160.5864
7 475.31891 524.6811 416.4827 262.3405
8 321.17674 678.8233 364.0971 339.4116
9 296.49123 703.5088 348.3356 351.7544 Chart Title
10 299.91003 700.09 350.6399 350.045
1200
11 299.31513 700.6849 350.2417 350.3424
12 299.41584 700.5842 350.3092 350.2921 1000
13 299.39871 700.6013 350.2977 350.3006
800
14 299.40162 700.5984 350.2997 350.2992
15 299.40113 700.5989 350.2994 350.2994 600
16 299.40121 700.5988 350.2994 350.2994
400
17 299.4012 700.5988 350.2994 350.2994
18 299.4012 700.5988 350.2994 350.2994 200
19 299.4012 700.5988 350.2994 350.2994
0
20 299.4012 700.5988 350.2994 350.2994 0 5 10 15 20 25
21 299.4012 700.5988 350.2994 350.2994
S I
22 299.4012 700.5988 350.2994 350.2994
23 299.4012 700.5988 350.2994 350.2994
24 299.4012 700.5988 350.2994 350.2994
25 299.4012 700.5988 350.2994 350.2994
26 299.4012 700.5988 350.2994 350.2994
27 299.4012 700.5988 350.2994 350.2994
28 299.4012 700.5988 350.2994 350.2994
29 299.4012 700.5988 350.2994 350.2994
30 299.4012 700.5988 350.2994 350.2994
art Title

5 20 25 30 35

S I