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SSRN Id4469586
SSRN Id4469586
ABSTRACT
Michal S. Gal is Professor and Director of the Center of Law and Technology, University of
Haifa Faculty of Law, and the President of the International Association of Competition Law
Scholars (ASCOLA). Daniel Rubinfeld is Professor of Law, NYU and Robert L. Bridges Pro-
fessor of Law and Professor of Economics Emeritus, U.C. Berkeley. Many thanks to Adi Ayal,
Doug Melamed, Thibault Schrepel and the two anonymous reviewers for superb comments,
and to Sven Botthäuser, Ido Castel, and Omer Tshuva for excellent research assistance. This
work was supported by NYU School of Law research assistance funds, as well as the Israel
Science Foundation (grant no. 2737/20). Any mistakes or omissions remain the authors’.
2 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
TABLE OF CONTENTS
ABSTRACT ............................................................................................ 1
I. INTRODUCTION.................................................................................. 2
II. A PRIMER ON ALGORITHMS ............................................................. 5
III. ALGORITHMS AND COORDINATED CONDUCT ............................ 10
1. Effects of Algorithms on Coordination .................................... 11
2. Implications for Merger Review .............................................. 17
IV. ALGORITHMS AND UNILATERAL CONDUCT ................................. 24
1. Algorithms and Market Power ................................................. 24
2. Algorithms and Unilateral Conduct ........................................ 25
A. High Prices ........................................................................ 25
B. Price Discrimination ............................................................ 26
C. Predation.............................................................................. 28
D. Supra-Competitive Selective Pricing ................................... 31
E. Exclusion by Limiting Interoperability .............................. 32
3. Implications for Merger Review ................................................. 33
V. INSTITUTIONAL RECOMMENDATIONS ........................................... 45
V. CONCLUSION .................................................................................. 48
I. INTRODUCTION
1
ORG. FOR ECON. CO-OPERATION & DEV. (OECD), Algorithms and Collusion: Competition
Policy in the Digital Age 817 (Sept. 14, 2017), https://www.oecd.org/competition/algorithms-
collusion-competition-policy-in-the-digital-age.htm ("OECD, Collusion"); Michal S. Gal, Al-
gorithms as Illegal Agreements, 34 BERKELEY TECH. L. J. 67 (2019).
2
See Part II infra.
2023 3
3
The British Competition and Markets Authority ("CMA"), for example, uses algorithms for
different regulatory tasks. COMPETITION AND MARKETS AUTHORITY, ALGORITHMS: HOW
THEY CAN REDUCE COMPETITION AND HARM CONSUMERS 35-41 (2021),
https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/algorithms-how-they-can-reduce-competition-
and-harm-consumers/algorithms-how-they-can-reduce-competition-and-harm-conwhsumers.
4
For some exceptions, most focusing on one type of conduct, see the articles and cases cited
in Parts II and III infra.
5
Egerton-Doyle and Ford point to one exceptional case in the EU, Microsoft/LinkedIn 2016,
where the remedy required interoperability of the parties’ algorithms as a condition of the
merger. Verity Egerton-Doyle & Jonathan Ford, Algorithms, Big Data, and Merger Control,
in ALGORITHMIC ANTITRUST 87 (Aurelien Portuese, ed., 2022).
6
See, e.g., Michael Coutts, Mergers, Acquisitions and Algorithms in an Algorithmic Pricing
World, J. OF COM. L. & ECON. (2022); Michal S. Gal, Limiting Algorithmic Coordination,
BERKELEY TECH. L. J. (forthcoming, 2023).
7
See Parts II and III infra.
4 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
We then set the stage for merger analysis by pointing to the poten-
tial effects of algorithms on consumer welfare. We show that, while
algorithms offer many benefits that may increase both firms' and con-
sumers' welfare, they may also exacerbate anti-competitive conduct.
Towards this end, seven scenarios are explored: collusion, conscious
parallelism, high unilateral prices, price discrimination, predation, se-
lective pricing, and reduced interoperability.8 In each scenario we ana-
lyze how the market conditions necessary for such conduct are affected
by algorithms. We also offer examples, both real and theoretical, to
show that algorithms may not only increase a firm's market power, but
also amplify its ability to create and enjoy the benefits of such power.
These findings are then translated into merger policy, which must bal-
ance the benefits of algorithms with their potentially harmful effects.
Trends in the U.S. economy over the past decade suggest that
stronger, more aggressive merger review is necessary, especially with
respect to markets involving digital technology. Indeed, leading schol-
ars, including Nancy Rose, Carl Shapiro, Joe Farrell, and Jonathan
Baker, have argued that merger enforcement should be tightened.9 In
line with these scholars, we argue that enforcement agencies should also
take a hard look at the effects of AI and algorithms in the merger con-
text.
Given that the effects of algorithms on market dynamics are still
being studied, it is too early to make across-the-board recommenda-
tions. Nonetheless, the time is ripe for antitrust authorities to utilize
merger control tools that are sensitive to the effects of algorithms. With
respect to policy, we suggest changes relating to substantive and insti-
tutional features of merger control.
The article proceeds as follows: Part II briefly describes different
roles algorithms play in the marketplace. Parts III and IV analyze the
competitive concerns raised by the use of algorithms on unilateral and
coordinated conduct, respectively. We also suggest how these concerns
should affect merger policy. Part V analyzes the use of AI by merger
regulators. Part VI concludes.
8
Other scenarios are also possible. For example, algorithms can strengthen the ability to mon-
itor resale price maintenance, or to manipulate consumers' choices. CMA, supra note 3.
9
Nancy L. Rose & Carl Shapiro, What Next for the Horizontal Merger Guidelines?
ANTITRUST (Spring 2022); Jonathan B. Baker & Joseph Farrell, Oligopoly Coordination, Eco-
nomic Analysis, and the Prophylactic Role of Horizontal Merger Enforcement, 168 PENN. L.
REV. 1985 (2020).
2023 5
10
For a review of uses of pricing algorithms see, e.g., Peter Seele et al., Mapping the Ethicality
of Algorithmic Pricing: A Review of Dynamic and Personalized Pricing, 170 J BUS.
ETHICS 697 (2021). See also OECD, Algorithmic Competition 10 (draft, April 2023)
11
Id.
12
Arnoud V. den Boer, Dynamic Pricing and Learning: Historical Origins, Current Research,
and New Directions, 20 SURVEYS IN OPERATIONS RESEARCH AND MANAGEMENT SCI. 1
(2015); Elena Donini, Collusion and Antitrust: The Dark Side of Pricing Algorithms 51
(2019), https://www.associazioneantitrustitaliana.it/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Tesi-Elena-
Donini.pdf; Andrea Guizzardi, Flavio Maria Emanuele Pons & Ercolino Ranieri, Advance
Booking and Hotel Price Variability Online: Any Opportunity for Business Customers?, 64
INT'L J. OF HOSPITALITY MANAGEMENT 85 (2017).
13
Stephanie Assad et al., Autonomous Algorithmic Collusion: Economic Research and Policy
Implications, 37 OXFORD REV. OF ECON. POL'Y 459 (2021).
14
See, e.g., THOMAS H. CORMEN ET AL., INTRODUCTION TO ALGORITHMS 5 (3rd ed. 2009).
This section builds upon Gal, Coordination, supra note 6.
15
See id., at 5, 192–93, 843–49 (3rd ed. 2009). The following four paragraphs build on Gal,
Coordination, supra note 6Error! Bookmark not defined..
16
Gal, Illegal Agreements, supra note 1, at 84–87.
17
See OECD, COLLUSION, supra note 1, at 11–12.
18
Id, at 9–11.
19
See generally TOM MITCHELL, MACHINE LEARNING (1997).
6 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
20
See, e.g., OECD, COLLUSION, supra note 1, at 14-6.
21
See, e.g., Matthew Adam Bruckner, The Promise and Perils of Algorithmic Lenders’ Use
of Big Data, 93 CHI.-KENT L. REV. 3 (2018); Ulrich Schwalbe, Algorithms, Machine Learn-
ing, and Collusion, 14 J. COMPETITION L. & ECON. 568, 591 (2018).
22
Assad et al., supra note 13, at 42.
23
Tom Simonite, AI Software Learns to Make AI Software, MIT TECH. REV., Jan. 18, 2017.
24
See, e.g., Umer Abdullah, Chat GPT can write code- here's why that's significant, PC GUIDE,
Mar. 3, 2023, https://www.pcguide.com/apps/chat-gpt-can-write-code/.
25
Ai Deng & Cristian Hernandez, Algorithmic Pricing in Horizontal Merger Review: An Ini-
tial Assessment, 36(2) ANTITRUST 36-37 (2022).
26
Compare, for example, the OECD Report from 2017 (OECD, COLLUSION, supra note 1),
to the effects noted in this article infra.
2023 7
27
These functions are distinguished from algorithmic-powered products or services for con-
sumers (e.g., search services), although the two sometimes overlap. Other functions may also
exist. For example, Google Brain has trained algorithms to autonomously encrypt messages.
Martin Abadi & David G. Anderson, Learning To Protect Communications with Adversarial
Neural Cryptography (2016) (unpublished manuscript),
https://arxiv.org/pdf/1610.06918v1.pdf.
28
Michal S. Gal & Orla Lynskey, Synthetic Data: The Legal Implications of a Data Genera-
tion Revolution, IOWA L. REV (2023); Ilia Sucholutsky & Matthias Schonlau, Less Than One’-
Shot Learning: Learning N Classes From M<N Samples, 35(11) Proceedings of the AAAI
Conference on Artificial Intelligence 9739-46 (2021), arXiv:2009.08449v1 (showing that
some deep learning networks can learn N new classes given only M<N examples).
29
See, e.g., Sheng Li, Claire Chunying Xie & Claire Feyler, Algorithms & Antitrust: An Over-
view of EU and National Case Law, 102334 CONCURRENCES 3 (2021); Deng & Hernandez,
supra note 25, at 38; Julien Debussche et al., Leveraging Big Data for Managing Transport
Operations - Report on Legal Issues 270 (2018),
https://static1.squarespace.com/static/59f9cdc2692ebebde4c43010/t/5bdab3e2cd8366e9378d
02b1/1541059569380/D2.2_Report+on+Legal+Issues_LeMO+-+FINAL.pdf.
30
European Commission, Case AT.40465 – ASUS, July 24, 2018, https://ec.europa.eu/com-
petition/antitrust/cases/dec_docs/40465/40465_337_3.pdf. In the British Priceline/Kayak
merger review, Priceline submitted that it used an automated system for parity checks to en-
force its parity price agreements. Office of Fair Trading, ME/5882-12, Anticipated acquisition
by Priceline.Com Incorporated of Kayak Software Corporation, May 9, 2013, https://as-
sets.publishing.service.gov.uk/media/555de2b6e5274a7084000024/priceline.pdf, recital 83.
31
OECD, COLLUSION, supra note 1, at 11.
8 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
rithms can be used, inter alia, for determining efficient levels and loca-
tions of production and storage; for predicting the response of the mar-
ket or a sub-set thereof, to different price levels or to a merger with a
specific firm; or for assessing risk levels.32 Given sufficient data, algo-
rithms can also make it easier to differentiate between different sub-
groups, whether actual or potential suppliers, consumers, or competi-
tors, based on characteristics such as their cost and demand elasticities.
Such algorithms enable firms to more efficiently plan their business
strategies and to develop innovative and customized services that would
not be possible otherwise.33 Predictive algorithms can also be used by
competition authorities to determine the competitive effects of mer-
gers.34
The final group is decision-making algorithms, which can be
used, inter alia, for setting trade terms, such as price, quality, and ser-
vice levels, or for setting product/service variables, such as ranking,
content, and quality. Such algorithms can be expert algorithms, based
on a predetermined set of factors (such as the price of a certain input)
with given weights set by the coder. For instance, in a follow-the-leader
price scheme, an algorithm can be programmed to base the price of a
good on that set by a rival; or in cost-plus pricing, an algorithm can be
programmed to base the price on the producer's costs plus a predeter-
mined profit. Alternatively, AI algorithms can autonomously determine
trade terms based on learnings from market actions and reactions. De-
cision-making algorithms can be used to make internal decisions, or
they may be part of consumer-facing goods and services, such as search
services. The main advantages of such algorithms are the speed at
which they react, their sophistication, and the reduction in costs, espe-
cially if they are programmed to automatically execute their decisions.
Firms can employ any combination of the six types of algorithms,
depending on their needs. This range of uses also exemplifies the fact
that there is no one-type-fits-all algorithm. Rather, different types of
algorithms are needed to perform different tasks. Moreover, the same
task can be performed by completely different algorithms (e.g., expert
vs. learning; type of machine learning employed, etc.). Generally, the
more complex the task, and the more important and rapid the feedback,
the better AI-powered algorithms are suited to the task, compared to
expert algorithms.
Employing algorithms requires three main resources: relevant data,
the algorithm itself, and necessary infrastructure (such as computing
32
Id.
33
Id.
34
See sub-section IV.B infra.
2023 9
power).35 Of the three, data advantages play the most important role in
the competitive dynamics of digital markets.36 This is because data are
almost universally the raw material for the generation of information
and knowledge, which in turn enables better-informed decisions.37 In
particular, the growth in machine learning applications, especially data-
hungry deep learning techniques, is pushing the boundaries beyond
what is economically feasible and physically possible.38 In such a set-
ting, data-based advantages may not only strengthen a firm's market
power, but also make it more durable.39
Yet while data-based advantages are most useful, any of the three
resources may serve as a source of comparative advantage. In the con-
text of mergers, this means that acquiring a firm with better access to
any of these resources could create comparative advantages of a sort
not easily obtained through regular market channels.40 For example,
mergers might allow firms to benefit from synergies (e.g., applying
more efficient algorithms developed by one firm to the dataset of the
other). Alternatively, mergers can generate comparative advantages by
blocking competitors’ access to necessary resources.41 For example,
Egerton-Doyle and Ford explore the potential for a merged entity to use
35
See, e.g., Jeremy Khan, Deep Learning Pioneer Andrew Ng Says Companies Should Get
‘Data-Centric’ to Achieve A.I. Success, FORTUNE, June 21, 2022, https://for-
tune.com/2022/06/21/andrew-ng-data-centric-ai/. The centrality of data to automated deci-
sion-making is also recognized in law and ethics literature. See, e.g., Solon Barocas & Andrew
D. Selbst, Big Data's Disparate Impact, 104 CAL. L. REV. 671, 673-4 (2016); David Lehr &
Paul Ohm, Playing with the Data: What Legal Scholars Should Learn About Machine Learn-
ing, 51 U.C. DAVIS L. REV. 653, 664 (2017); Brent Daniel Mittelstadt et al., The Ethics of
Algorithms: Mapping the Debate, 3(2) BIG DATA & SOCIETY 1 (2016).
36
See, e.g., OECD, DATA-DRIVEN INNOVATION: BIG DATA FOR GROWTH AND WELL-BEING
(2015), at 391–9; JACQUES CRÉMER, YVES-ALEXANDRE DE MONTJOYE & HEIKE
SCHWEITZER, EUROPEAN COMM’N—COMPETITION, COMPETITION POLICY FOR THE DIGITAL
ERA 73 (2019), http://ec.europa.eu/competition/publications/reports/kd0419345enn.pdf.
37
Of course, this is not always the case. SERGEY I. NIKOLENKO, SYNTHETIC DATA FOR DEEP
LEARNING 10 (2021).
38
Id., at 1.
39
See, e.g., STIGLER CTR. FOR THE STUDY OF THE ECON. & THE STATE, STIGLER COMM. ON
DIGIT. PLATFORMS: FINAL REPORT 40 (2019), https://www.chicagobooth.edu/-/media/re-
search/stigler/pdfs/digital-platforms---committee-report---stigler-center.pdf.
40
Of course, not every merger involving the acquisition of algorithms or datasets will harm
competition. To illustrate, consider the Amazon/Eero merger, which was approved in 2019.
Eero is a mesh networking /wifi company. By applying machine learning to data collected
from thousands of homes, it was able to optimize its routing algorithms to ensure maximum
network coverage. The purchase was part of Amazon’s strategy to offer “frustration-free
setup” for smart home devices. Yet since the router market accommodates quite a few relevant
competitors, Eero’s dataset is not unique, despite the fact that it involved hundreds of millions
of data points.
41
See, e.g., the European Commission’s decision in the TomTom/TeleAtlas merger, which
gave TomTom direct access to TeleAtlas’s map database. The Commission found that the
merged entity would have no incentive to engage in input foreclosure. European Commission,
COMP/M 4854, TomTom/Tele Atlas, May 14, 2008, https://ec.europa.eu/competition/mer-
gers/cases/decisions/m4854_20080514_20682_en.pdf, recitals 211-230.
10 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
42
Egerton-Doyle & Ford, supra note 5.
43
See, e.g., Anca D. Chirita, Data-Driven Mergers Under EU Competition Law, in THE
FUTURE OF COMMERCIAL LAW: WAYS FORWARD FOR HARMONISATION, 147 (J. Linarelli &
O. Akseli eds., 2019); Jörg Hoffmann and Germán Oscar Johannsen, EU-Merger Control &
Big Data: On Data-specific Theories of Harm and Remedies, in EU COMPETITION LAW
REMEDIES IN THE DATA ECONOMY (Marco Botta & Josef Drexl eds., 2019); Charles A. Miller,
Big Data and the Non-Horizontal Merger Guidelines, 107 CAL. L. REV. 309 (2019)(data-
driven merges can enhance the network effects of specific firms, and influence the switching
cost imposed on customers).
44
Coleen Cunningham, Florian Ederer & Song Ma, Killer Acquisitions, 129 J. OF POL. ECON.
(2021) (acquisitions in which a firm buys a unique and efficient algorithm in order to "kill"
the innovation rather than use it); SUBCOMMITTEE ON ANTITRUST, COMMERCIAL AND
ADMINISTRATIVE LAW OF THE COMMITTEE ON THE JUDICIARY, INVESTIGATION OF
COMPETITION IN DIGITAL MARKETS: MAJORITY STAFF REPORTS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
343, July 2, 2022, https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/CPRT-117HPRT47832/pdf/CPRT-
117HPRT47832.pdf.
2023 11
45
D. Daniel Sokol & Sean P. Sullivan, The Decline of Coordinated Effects Enforcement and
How to Reverse It (unpublished manuscript, 2023), part II.B. Yet since then there has been a
significant decline of coordinated effects enforcement. Id., criticizing the current trend.
46
Id; Baker & Farrell, supra note 9.
47
George J. Stigler, Theory of Oligopoly, 72 J. POLITICAL ECON. 44, 44–46 (1964). The next
three paragraphs build on Gal, Illegal Agreements, supra note 1.
48
See, e.g., William H. Page, Tacit Agreement Under Section 1 of the Sherman Act, 81
ANTITRUST L.J. 593, 593–94 (2017).
49
Id. at 619.
50
Id. at 601.
51
See, e.g., Gregory J. Werden, Economic Evidence on the Existence of Collusion: Reconcil-
ing Antitrust Law with Oligopoly Theory, 71 ANTITRUST L.J. 719, 729–30 (2004).
52
See generally ROBERT C. MARSHALL & LESLIE M. MARX, THE ECONOMICS OF
COLLUSION (2012); Edward J. Green et al., Tacit Collusion in Oligopoly, in 2 OXFORD
HANDBOOK OF INT’L ANTITRUST ECON. 464 (Roger D. Blair & D. Daniel Sokol eds.,
2015). High entry barriers exist where the costs of new entry into a market are high.
12 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
demand for new products), and (5) the “personality” of the firms oper-
ating in the market (e.g., mavericks).53 None of these variables are de-
terministic on their own. Rather, they all reflect general tendencies
subject to random deviations.
Enter algorithms. The effects of algorithms on coordination be-
tween competitors have captured the attention of academics, antitrust
authorities, and policy makers alike.54 Ezrachi and Stucke famously
identified four scenarios in which algorithms can be used to coordinate
conduct.55 In the first, algorithms are used to implement, monitor, po-
lice, or strengthen an explicit agreement between suppliers. The Top-
kins case, in which several sellers designed and shared AI-empowered
dynamic pricing algorithms that were programmed to act in accordance
with their illegal cartel, exemplifies this scenario.56 Another interesting
use of an algorithm to facilitate an existing cartelistic agreement, this
time a third-party-operated algorithm, comes from South Africa. The
case involved two competitors which sold face masks during the height
of the Covid-19 pandemic on Takealot, South Africa’s largest online
eCommerce marketplace. The South African Competition Commission
alleged that the two firms colluded to fix prices and divided the market
by ensuring that each competitor is ranked higher on allocated time pe-
riods. They did so by manipulating Takealot's ranking algorithm by
making use of the algorithm's features (such as price and stock availa-
bility) to influence their relative ranking position and visibility, in turn
impacting sale volumes.57
The second scenario involves hub-and-spoke arrangements, where
rivals rely for their decisions on the same provider of algorithmic deci-
sion-making services.58 Two recent cases exemplify allegations that the
use of such algorithms, under some circumstances, can amount to a car-
tel. In Gibson v. MGM it is claimed that hotels on the Las Vegas strip
53.
See, e.g., JEAN TIROLE, THE THEORY OF INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION (1988).
54
See, e.g., Ariel Ezrachi & Maurice E. Stucke, Artificial Intelligence & Collusion: When
Computers Inhibit Competition, 2017 U. ILL. L. REV. 1775 (2017); Ariel Ezrachi & Maurice
E. Stucke, Sustainable and Unchallenged Algorithmic Tacit Collusion, 17 NW. J. TECH. &
INTELL. PROP. 217 (2020). See also Salil K. Mehra, Antitrust and the Robo-Seller: Competi-
tion in the Time of Algorithms, 100 MINN. L. REV. 1323 (2016).
55
ARIEL EZRACHI AND MAURICE E. STUCKE, VIRTUAL COMPETITION: THE PROMISE AND
PERILS OF THE ALGORITHM-DRIVEN ECONOMY (2016).
56
Press Release, U.S. Dep’t of Just., Former E-Commerce Executive Charged with Price Fix-
ing in the Antitrust Division’s First Online Marketplace Prosecution (Apr. 6, 2015)
https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/former-e-commerce-executive-charged-price-fixing-anti-
trust-divisions-first-online-marketplace.
57
Algorithmic Coordination- Note by South Africa, DAF/COMP/WD(2023)19, at 9-10,
https://one.oecd.org/document/DAF/COMP/WD(2023)19/en/pdf.
58
EZRACHI & STUCKE, supra note 55. For their economic effects see, e.g., Joseph E. Harring-
ton Jr, The Effect of Outsourcing Pricing Algorithms on Market Competition (2021),
https://ssrn.com/abstract=3798847.
2023 13
59
Richard Gibson et al. v. MGM Resorts International et al., U.S. District Court, District of
Nevada, No. 2:23-cv-00140.
60
Heather Vogel, Department of Justice Opens Investigation into Real Estate Tech Company
Accused of Collusion with Landlords, PROPUBLICA, Nov. 23, 2022, https://www.propub-
lica.org/article/yieldstar-realpage-rent-doj-investigation-antitrust.
61
Heather Vogel, Rent Going Up? One Company’s Algorithm Could Be Why, PROPUBLICA,
Oct. 15, 2022, https://www.propublica.org/article/yieldstar-rent-increase-realpage-rent.
62
For example, the Danish Competition Council found that a digital platform for professional
services created an illegal cartel when its algorithm suggested minimum prices that service
providers should charge clients on the platform. Press Release, Danish Competition and Con-
sumer Auth., Danish Competition Council: Ageras has infringed competition law (June 30,
2020), https://www.en.kfst.dk/nyheder/kfst/english/decisions/20200630-danish-competition-
council-ageras-has-infringed-competition-law/. The EU Court of Justice found that a Latvian
travel booking software, used by most Latvian travel agencies, was employed as a tool for
limiting the price reductions on travel packages. Case C-74/14, Eturas v. Competition Council
of the Republic of Lithuania, 4 C.M.L.R. 19 (2016).
63
Algorithmic Competition - Note by Spain, DAF/COMP/WD(2023)16 (2023), at para. 5-
16, https://one.oecd.org/document/DAF/COMP/WD(2023)16/en/pdf.
64
See also Harrington, supra note 58.
14 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
to set his own price, it provides a centralized system for matching de-
mand and supply. For these reasons, the Brazilian Competition Author-
ity dismissed the cartel allegations brought against Uber.65 Other
enforcers reached different conclusions. In Meyer v. Kalanick, for ex-
ample, a U.S. judge declined to dismiss allegations that Uber's algo-
rithm enables Uber drivers to fix prices, finding that on its face, the
claims were sufficient to support an allegation of an agreement in re-
straint of trade.66 In a world where the use of third-party pricing or pric-
ing recommender systems are becoming more commonplace, we are
bound to see a stronger need to balance competing interests, and for
fashioning of appropriate remedies.
The third scenario relates to the use of an expert algorithm in a way
that can be expected to create or strengthen price coordination (e.g., a
leader–follower algorithm).67 To our knowledge, no cases were brought
based on the use of such algorithms, anywhere around the world.
In the fourth scenario, the algorithm is given a goal (e.g., profit
maximization), and independently and autonomously determines its
own pricing strategies (“algorithmic coordination”).68 While the use of
such AI-powered algorithms can alter market dynamics so as to im-
prove social welfare, there remains a real possibility that algorithms can
limit the ability of markets to otherwise generate low, competitive
prices.69 Indeed, there is a growing and well-founded consensus that
AI-powered pricing algorithms can make it easier for competitors to
coordinate and sustain increased prices in markets where such coordi-
nation was previously much more difficult.
This consensus is based on theoretical, experimental, and empirical
studies. Theoretical studies highlight the traits of pricing algorithms
and the ecosystem in which they operate, which increase the tendency
towards coordination.70 For instance, the speed at which algorithms op-
erate suggests that when transactions are small and frequent and prices
are transparent, price reductions can be immediately detected and
65
See, e.g., Algorithmic Competition - Note by Brazil, DAF/COMP/WD(2023)18 (2023), at
7-9, https://one.oecd.org/document/DAF/COMP/WD(2023)18/en/pdf (The app operated to
optimize demand and supply for individual passenger transportation services. Furthermore,
there was no exchange of competitively sensitive information nor a collusive arrangement
between partner drivers due to Uber’s actions).
66
See, e.g., Meyer v. Kalanick, No. 1:2015cv09796, Doc. 37, Opinion on Motion to Dismiss
(S.D.N.Y. 2016)(case brought against the CEO of Uber. The case eventually headed to arbi-
tration.)
67
See EZRACHI & STUCKE, id.; Ilgin Isgenc, Competition Law in the AI ERA: Algorithmic
Collusion under EU Competition, 24 TRINITY C.L. REV. 35, 40-42 (2021).
68
Ezrachi & Stucke, Artificial Intelligence, supra note 54, at 1794-1796.
69
EZRACHI & STUCKE, supra note 55.
70
See, e.g., EZRACHI & STUCKE, supra note 55; Gal, Illegal Agreements, supra note 1;
ALGORITHMS, COLLUSION AND COMPETITION LAW (Steven Van Uytsel, Salil K. Mehra, and
Yoshiteru Uemura eds., 2023).
2023 15
71
Antonio Capobianco & Pedro Gonzaga, Algorithms and Competition: Friends or Foes?,
COMP. POL. INT'L 2 (August 2017); OECD, COLLUSION, supra note 1, at 23-24.
72
Peter Georg Picht & Benedikt Freund, Competition (Law) in the Era of Algorithms 6 (Max
Planck Inst. for Innovation & Competition, Research Paper No. 18-10, 2018).
73
See, e.g., Emilio Calvano, Giacomo Calzolari, Vincenzo Denicolò, & Sergio Pastorello,
Artificial Intelligence, Algorithmic Pricing, and Collusion, 110 AM. ECON. REV. 3267 (2020).
For work on prediction algorithms see, e.g., Jeanine Miklós-Thal & Catherine Tucker, Collu-
sion by Algorithm: Does Better Demand Prediction Facilitate Coordination Between Sellers?
65 MANAGEMENT SCI. 1552 (2019).
74
In a follow-up study Calvano et al. also show that algorithmic collusion can cope with more
complex economic environments with imperfect information and imperfect monitoring.
Emilio Calvano et al., Algorithmic Collusion with Imperfect Monitoring, 79 INT'L J. INDUS.
ORG. 79 (2021).
75
Id.
76
Assad et al., supra note 13, at 5. Interestingly, in 2022, the German competition authority
approved a merger between two large retail gasoline providers on the condition that they di-
vest several stations. The decision was partly based on the fact that "actual price setting is
usually software-supported…, which enables a very fast reaction to price changes." Bun-
deskartellamt, Acquisition of OMV petrol station network by EG Group (Esso) cleared under
the condition that 48 service stations be sold to third companies (Feb. 10, 2022),
https://www.budeskartellamt.de/SharedDocs/Meldung/EN/Pressemitteilungen/2022/11_02_
2022_EG_OMV.html?nn=3599398.
77
Assad et al., supra note 13, at 5.
78
See a discussion of remedies in Gal, Coordination, supra note 6.
16 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
79
Section 1 of the Sherman Act, including its sub-category of facilitating practices. Gal, Ille-
gal Agreements, supra note 1.
80
Louis Kaplow, On the Meaning of Horizontal Agreements in Competition Law, 99 CALIF.
L. REV. 683 (2011). Carlton et al. suggest that it can be difficult to define agreement when
examining the conduct of economic agents when no express communication has occurred.
Dennis W. Carlton, Robert H. Gertner & Andrew M. Rosenfeld, Communication Among Com-
petitors: Game Theory and Antitrust 5 GEORGE MASON L. REV. 423, 424 (1997).
81
Theatre Enter. Inc. v. Paramount Film Distrib. Corp., 346 U.S. 537, 541 (1954); E.I. Dupont
de Nemours & Co. v. FTC, 729 F.2d 128, 139 (2d Cir. 1984). Recently, however, the FTC
noted that practices which facilitate tacit coordination violate the spirit of the antitrust laws.
FTC, Policy Statement Regarding the Scope of Unfair Methods of Competition Under Section
5 of the Federal Trade Commission Act Commission, Nov. 10, 2022, at 13. For a case finding
that algorithmic coordination does not amount to an agreement see Algorithmic Competition-
Note by Brazil, DAF/COMP/WD(2023)18 (2023), at 3-4, https://one.oecd.org/docu-
ment/DAF/COMP/WD(2023)18/en/pdf (investigation of algorithmic coordination in the air-
line industry).
82
An illegal facilitating practice is an avoidable act that facilitates coordination with no other
beneficial function. Gal, Illegal agreements, supra, note 1. In addition, some countries, such
as Britain, empower their competition authorities to engage in market inquiries and design
remedies to market failures that do not otherwise involve traditional competition law prohi-
bitions. See, generally, MARKET INVESTIGATIONS (Massimo Motta, Martin Peitz & Heike
Schweitzer eds., 2021). Other solutions are being examined all over the world. For an over-
view see, e.g., Gal, Coordination, supra note 6.
2023 17
83
United States v. Topkins, No. CR-15-00201 (N.D. Cal. Apr. 6, 2015).
84
Vogel, Investigation into Real Estate, supra note 60.
85
Vogel, Rent Going Up?, supra note 61.
86
Majority Staff Report, supra note 44. This Part partially builds on Gal, Coordination, supra
note 13, at Chapter IV.
87
Ariel Ezrachi & Maurice E. Stucke, Two Artificial Neural Networks Meet in an Online Hub
and Change the Future (Of Competition, Market Dynamics and Society) (Univ. of Tenn. Coll.
of L., Legal Stud. Rsch. Paper Ser. No. 323, 2017).
88
See also Coutts, supra note 6.
18 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
89
See discussion of some of the recommendations infra.
90
Ezrachi & Stucke, Artificial Neural Networks, supra note 87, at 46; Coutts, supra note 6.
91
Clayton Act 7A, 15 USC 18a.
92
This solution was adopted in Germany to capture "killer acquisitions". Bundeskartellamt
(BKA) and Bundeswettbewerbsbehörde (BWB), Guidance on Transaction Value Thresholds
for Mandatory Pre-merger Notification (Section 35 (1a) GWB and Section 9 (4) KartG) (July,
2018); Claire Turgot, Killer Acquisitions in Digital Markets: Evaluating the Effectiveness of
the EU Merger Control Regime, 5 EUR. COMPETITION & REG. L. REV. 112, 118 (2021).
93
DEP'T JUST. & FED. TRADE COMM'N, HORIZONTAL MERGER GUIDELINES ¶ 1.5 (1997).
2023 19
94
GUIDELINES, id.
95
Ezrachi & Stucke, Artificial Neural Networks, supra note 87, at 31 (5 to 6); OECD
COLLUSION, supra, note 1, at 43 (5 to 4); Gal, Illegal Agreements, supra note 1 (sometimes
even further)
96
OECD, id, at 43.
97
Gal, Coordination, supra note 6. See also Egerton-Doyle and Ford, supra note 5 (cataloging
the various ways in which the analysis of algorithms and big data have featured in merger
control decisions).
98
Calvano et al., supra note 73.
99
The acquired firm might choose not to adopt a follow-the-leader algorithm due to trust
issues, on ensuring that the leader actually sets the best prices, on the assumption that a learn-
ing algorithm will be less prone to regulatory scrutiny, or on increasing the motivation of the
other market players to acquire it.
100
The importance of algorithms and data as parameters in merger review has already been
recognized. See, e.g., Chirita, supra note 43; MARIA, WASASTJERNA, BIG DATA AND PRIVACY
IN MERGER REVIEW - COMPETITION POLICY FOR THE 21ST CENTURY DIGITAL ECONOMY
(2020).
101
Francisco Beneke & Mark-Oliver Mackenrodt, Artificial intelligence and Collusion,
50 IIC-INT'L REV. OF INTELL. PROP. & COMPETITION L. 109, 126-7 (2017).
20 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
102
Such combinations might be subject to legal limitations, such as privacy laws.
103
Gal, Illegal Agreements, supra note 1, at 96.
104
Vogel, Investigation into Real Estate, supra note 60.
105
UK Competition and Markets Authority, Anticipated acquisition by Amazon of a minority
shareholding and certain rights in Deliveroo: Final Report, para 46 (Aug. 4, 2020).
106
Id.
107
For example, in Sanofi/Google/DMI JV, the European Commission left open the possibil-
ity that there is a separate market for algorithms analyzing healthcare data. COMP/M 7813,
Sanofi/Google/DMI JV, Feb. 23, 2016, https://ec.europa.eu/competition/mergers/cases/deci-
sions/m7813_479_2.pdf, para. 45-48
108
Federico Ciliberto & Jonathan W. William, Does Multimarket Contact Facilitate Tacit
Collusion? Inference on Conduct Parameters in the Airline Industry 45(4) RAND J. ECON.
765 (2014).
2023 21
109
ELENA DONINI, COLLUSION AND ANTITRUST: THE DARK SIDE OF PRICING ALGORITHMS
105 (2019), https://www.associazioneantitrustitaliana.it/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Tesi-
Elena-Donini.pdf.
110
See also Miller, supra note 43, at 312.
111
Coutts, supra note 6, p. 28.
112
For a classification of organizational forms that differentiate between mergers, strategic
alliances, and joint ventures see George Baker, Robert Gibbons & Kevin J. Murphy, Strategic
Alliances: Bridges Between “Islands of Conscious Power,” 22(2) J. JAPANESE AND INT'L
ECON. 146 (2008).
22 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
113
See, e.g. Merger Guidelines, supra note 93, para. 7. See also, U.K. Competition & Mkts.
Auth, Merger Assessment Guidelines (2010), para 5.5.11
114
See also Coutts, supra note 6, at 15-22 (arguing, for example, that algorithms can mitigate
market complexity by determining focal points or understanding “invitations to collude” that
a human could not; by reacting more speedily; and steering firms towards pricing strategies
that take a long-term view of profitability when balancing the prospects of short term and
long-term gains. Algorithms may also help overcome asymmetry between would-be colluders
through better estimation of competitors’ otherwise private information; by reconciling com-
peting incentives and preferred equilibria; and by easing the implementation of effective re-
ward/punishment schemes between asymmetric firms).
115
See Luke Garrod & Matthew Olczak, Collusion under Imperfect Monitoring with Asym-
metric Firms, 65 J. INDUS. ECON. 654, 656 (2017).
116
Id.
117
Coutts, supra note 6.
118
Id.
119
Id.
2023 23
120
Id.
121
Michal S. Gal and Niva Elkin-Koren, Algorithmic Consumers, 30(2) HARV. J. L. & TECH.
310 (2017).
122
Id.
123
Gal, Limiting Coordination, supra note 6.
124
Id.
125
Id.
126
Gal, Coordination, supra note 6.
127
Merger Guidelines, supra note 93, at ¶ 2.12.
128
DIGIT. COMPETITION EXPERT PANEL, UNLOCKING DIGITAL COMPETITION (2019), https://
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/
785547/unlocking_digital_competition_furman_review_web.pdf.
24 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
129
See, e.g., Complaint, U.S. v. Google LLC. (Oct. 20, 2020).
130
Recent studies have shown that investments in AI in one part of a conglomerate were
associated with increased investments in other parts thereof. T. Babina et al., Artificial Intel-
ligence, Firm Growth, and Industry Concentration (2020), https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/pa-
pers.cfm?abstract_id=3651052.
131
David J. Teece, Big Tech and Strategic Management: How Management Scholars can
Inform Competition Policy, 37 ACADEMY OF MANAGEMENT PERSPECTIVES 1, 2 (2023).
132
Id, at 3.
2023 25
A. High Prices
133
See, e.g., F. Calvino, C. Criscuolo & R. Verlhac, OECD, Declining Business Dynamism:
Structural and Policy Determinants (2020), https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/science-and-tech-
nology/declining-business-dynamism_77b92072-en.
134
See, e.g., CMA, supra note 3, at 23-33 (discussing, inter alia, dark patterns, unfair ranking
and design, and self-preferencing); Noga Blickstein-Shchory & Michal S. Gal, Market Power
Parasites, 35(1) HARV. J. L. TECH. 73 (2021)(discussing the abuse of platform algorithms by
third parties, in order to increase rivals' costs); OECD, Algorithmic Competition, supra note
10, at 15-18 (citing several recent cases which sanctioned monopolistic firms for using an
algorithm for self-preferencing).
135
Such prices can be monetary or non-monetary (such as data collection terms). OECD,
Algorithmic Competition, supra note 10, at 21.
136
For example, it could affect consumers' reactions based on price fairness conceptions. Dan-
iel Kahneman, J. Knetsch, and Richard Thaler, Fairness as a Constraint on Profit Seeking:
Entitlements in the Market, 76(4) AM. ECON. REV. 728 (1986).
26 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
B. Price Discrimination
137
Of course, the use of such algorithms can also lower prices in some cases, depending on
the circumstances.
138
Terrell McSweeny and Brian O'Dea, The Implications of Algorithmic Pricing for Coordi-
nated Effects Analysis and Price Discrimination Markets in Antitrust Enforcement, 32(1)
ANTITRUST 2 (2017).
139
See, e.g., Axel Gautier, Ashwin Ittoo & Pieter Van Cleynenbreugel, AI Algorithms, Price
Discrimination and Collusion: A Technological, Economic and Legal Perspective, 50 EUR. J.
L. & ECON. 405, 406-407 (2020); Deng & Hernandez, supra note 25 (a merger between firms
with complementary data on which the algorithm can better learn, will result in higher prices
for individual consumers). Interestingly, price discrimination reduces the ability of firms to
engage in coordinated pricing. Gal, Illegal Agreements, supra note 1. Interestingly, surveys of
markets do not reveal much evidence of first-degree price discrimination. Marco Botta &
Klaus Wiedemann, To Discriminate or Not to Discriminate? Personalised Pricing in Online
Markets as Exploitative Abuse of Dominance, 50 EUR. J. OF L. & ECON. 381, 388, 400 (2020).
This might be partially explained by behavioral economics, which suggests consumers react
negatively to personalized prices. OECD, Algorithmic Competition, supra note 10, at 9. In
some markets, this can be partially overcome by slightly differentiating the offers or the prod-
ucts, to reduce comparisons. Algorithms can assist in optimizing such conduct.
140
Compare offers on different applications or websites. Ryan Calo & Alex Rosenblat, The
Taking Economy: Uber, Information, and Power, 117 COLUM. L. REV. 1623, 1657 (2017).
Multi-homing involves comparing offers on different applications or websites.
141
Le Chen, Alan Mislove & Christo Wilson, Peeking Beneath the Hood of Uber (Internet
Measurement Conference, Tokyo, 28-30 October 2015),
https://www.ccs.neu.edu/home/amislove/publications/Uber-IMC.pdf (Uber charged different
prices for customers in the same area at the same time); Christopher Leslie, Predatory Pricing
Algorithms, 97 NYU L. REV. (2023).
2023 27
142
Benjamin Klein & John Shepard Wiley, Competitive Price Discrimination as an Antitrust
Justification for Intellectual Property Refusals to Deal, 70 ANTITRUST L. J. 599, 603-604
(2003).
143
A. C. Pigou, Discriminating Monopoly, in THE ECONOMICS OF WELFARE 272 (1932); see
also R.S. PINDYCK AND D.L. RUBINFELD, MICROECONOMICS (9th ed., 2017), chapter 11.
144
Gautier, Ittoo & Van Cleynenbreugel, supra note 139.
145
United States, Note to OECD, Price Discrimination, DAF/COMP/WD(2016)69, at 3,
https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/attachments/us-submissions-oecd-2010-present-other-inter-
national-competition-fora/price_discrimination_united_states.pdf.
146
Gautier, Ittoo & Van Cleynenbreugel, supra note 139.
147
Mcsweeny & O'dea, supra note 138.
148
15 U.S.C. § 13(a)(sellers are not allowed to engage in price discrimination where its effect
"may be substantially to lessen competition or tend to create a monopoly in any line of com-
merce, or to injure, destroy, or prevent competition with any person who either grants or
knowingly receives the benefit of such discrimination, or with customers of either of them").
149
Brooke Group Ltd. v. Brown & Williamson Tobacco Corp., 509 U.S. 209. 221 (1993).
28 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
C. Predation
150
FTC v. Anheuser-Busch, Inc., 363 U.S. 536 (1960); Note, supra note 145, at 6.
151
EZRACHI & STUCKE, supra note 55, at 101.
152
Li, Xie & Feyler, supra note 29, at 3; Deng & Hernandez, supra note 25, at 38.
153
Julian Nowag & Thomas Cheng, Algorithmic Predation and Exclusion (2021),
https://ssrn.com/abstract=4003309.
154
Leslie, supra note 141; Nowag & Cheng, supra note 153, at 15.
155
Brooke Group, supra note 128.
156
John S. McGee, Predatory Price Cutting: The Standard Oil (N.J.) Case, 1 J.L. & ECON.
137, 140 (1958)(“If I am selling 90 percent of all petroleum, a particular competitor is selling
1 percent, and we both sell at the same price and have the same average cost, I lose $90 for
2023 29
similar price condition); that it must be able to supply the entire market
at the predatory price, including the increased demand due to the lower
price (the capacity condition); and that entry barriers are low, so that
once the monopolist raises its price, a competitor can profitably reenter
the market (the reentry condition).157
This skepticism has led courts to adopt a high threshold for preda-
tion, requiring proof of substantial market power;158 charging of a pred-
atory price, defined by the Supreme Court as “below an appropriate
measure of its rival’s costs,”159 and largely set to be below its average
marginal costs of production; and a reasonable prospect of recoupment
of losses.160 The presumed difficulty of recoupment has led to almost
no (successful) predation cases.161
Enter algorithms. As argued by Leslie,162 as well as by Cheng and
Nowag,163 algorithms can make it easier to recoup losses from preda-
tion. They do so by enabling better price discrimination, based on more
accurate personalized digital profiles of consumers.164 Indeed, algo-
rithms can overcome two of the three main conditions that form the
core of Chicago School's arguments. First, they can overcome the sim-
ilar-price condition. Algorithms may enable the predator to engage in
first-degree price discrimination, charging the exact price needed to re-
tain each individual consumer. This will potentially reduce the extent
of the price cut to some consumers. Successful predation, however,
may require only third-degree discrimination, distinguishing between
two main groups: marginal consumers, who are most likely to be en-
ticed by a competing firm’s product or low price, and infra-marginal
consumers, who are less likely to be tempted, whether due to rational
apathy, larger switching costs, behavioral limitations, or other reasons.
Only the marginal consumers need to be targeted and offered predatory
prices, so long as the firm can successfully prevent cross-sales between
the two groups. This, in turn, also partially overcomes the capacity con-
dition (i.e., that the seller must be able to supply the entire market).
Predictive and pricing algorithms therefore enable predatory firms to
respond to competitive threats in a selective manner.
every $1 he loses.”) Losses would be even higher, given that demand will be greater under a
predatory price.
157
Leslie, supra note 141, at 8.
158
Brooke Group, supra note 149, at 232.
159
Id., at 210.
160
Id., at 210, 226. The court affirmed the above conditions and extended them to bidding
claims. Weyerhaeuser Co. v. Ross-Simmons Hardwood Lumber Co., 127 S. Ct. 1069 (2007).
161
Leslie, supra note 141.
162
Id.
163
Nowag & Cheng, supra note 153.
164
Gautier, Ittoo & Van Cleynenbreugel, supra note 139, at 406-7.
30 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
As Nowag and Cheng argue, the use of such algorithms can pro-
vide an efficient low-cost tool for predation for several reasons. First,
as just discussed, predators need only cut prices for marginal consum-
ers. Second, the use of algorithms can help firms finance their predatory
actions by allowing them to maintain a profit-maximizing pricing
scheme for inframarginal consumers.165 Finally, by inflicting precise
and direct harm on competitors, algorithmic targeting can reduce the
duration of the first stage of the predatory scheme. All in all, algorithms
can increase the potential for recoupment.166
The third Chicago-school condition, easy reentry, may also be af-
fected by the digital ecosystem in which algorithms operate. There are
several ways this may occur; we shall mention two. In the first, the
predator’s product is characterized by significant network effects,
which arise when the value of a product to the user depends on the
number of other users. Large network effects, as are common with
some platform markets, lead to high entry barriers.167 As the district
court recognized in Uber Techs, the fact that many drivers and users
were already connected to Uber’s platform created substantial network
effects, increasing barriers to entry for competing platforms and
“provid[ing] a plausible means for Uber to recoup its losses from al-
leged predatory pricing.”168
In the second case, default contractual conditions, coupled with the
privacy paradox (the discrepancy between users’ intentions to protect
their privacy and how they actually behave online), could lead to first-
mover advantages in data collection.169 Here again Uber Techs can ex-
emplify the point.170 Uber’s predatory scheme relied heavily on its first-
mover advantage, which enabled it to accumulate a large dataset on in-
dividual riders’ habits (including not only basic ride data such as tim-
ings and locations, but more arcane information, such as when a certain
user is likely to cancel a ride). Powerful algorithms were then employed
to differentiate between marginal and inframarginal users.
165
Nowag & Cheng, supra note 153, at 15-6; CMA, supra note 3, at 8-10.
166
Nowag & Cheng, id.
167
Leslie, supra note 141, I at 34-35; SC Innovations, Inc. v. Uber Techs., Case No. 18-cv-
07440-JCS (N.D. Cal. May. 1, 2020).
168
Id., at 10. See also Riley Scott, Network Gridlock: An Analysis of Competition Regulation
in the Ridesharing Economy, 26 NZBLQ 83, 106 (2020).
169
See, e.g., STIGLER CTR. FOR THE STUDY OF THE ECON. & THE STATE, STIGLER COMM. ON
DIGIT. PLATFORMS: FINAL REPORT (2019), https://www.chicagobooth.edu/-/media/research/
stigler/pdfs/digital-platforms---committee-report---stigler-center.pdf.
170
Uber Techs, supra note 167.
2023 31
171
See, e.g., Thomas Krattenmaker & Steven C. Salop, Anticompetitive Exclusion: Raising
Rivals’ Costs to Achieve Power over Price, 96 YALE L. J. 209 (1986). Personalized rebates to
consumers, made easier by pricing algorithms, might achieve a similar result. See, e.g., Nowag
& Cheng, supra note 153, at 8.
172
See, e.g., Weyerhauser, supra note 160, at 1075.
173
Id.
174
Id, at 1077.
175
Uber Tech, supra note 167.
32 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
with it, one that was strengthened by the network effects at play: the
more drivers available, the better the service to users, and the more us-
ers would prefer to use Uber.176 At the same time, Uber had an interest
in minimizing the benefits it offered to drivers (and therefore its own
costs). Uber therefore devised an algorithmic-based program, termed
"Hell," in order to entice drivers to stop working with Lyft. The pro-
gram included three stages. In the first, Uber collected data on the con-
ditions under which each driver chose to drive for Lyft. In the second,
the algorithm identified drivers who drove for Lyft or had an incentive
to do so. In the third, the algorithm targeted those drivers and enticed
them with special offers to work for Uber.177 In particular, Uber “sen[t]
more riders to double-appers than to those who drove solely for Uber.
[And] would give them special bonuses for meeting a certain number
of rides per week.”178 This way, Uber used its superior data and algo-
rithms in order to target marginal drivers. Lyft, lacking access to an
equivalently detailed database, could not engage in similar conduct.179
In essence, this scheme raises rivals’ costs. As Anchustegui and Nowag
argue, such supra-competitive bonuses could have effects on both the
upstream and downstream markets in the form of exclusionary buyer
power exertion.180 Algorithms enable firms to engage in such conduct
much more efficiently, quickly, and at a lower cost.181
176
Nowag & Cheng, supra note 153, at 5.
177
Id., at 4.
178
Moon, Uber’s ‘Hell’ program tracked and targeted Lyft drivers, ENDGAGET.COM, April
13, 2017, https://www.engadget.com/2017/04/13/uberhell-program-lyft-drivers.
179
Nowag & Cheng, supra note 153, at 4-6.
180
Ignacio Herrera Anchustegui & Julian Nowag, Buyer Power in the Big Data and Algo-
rithm-Driven World: The Uber and Lyft Example, COMP. POL'Y INT'L (2022), at 2.
181
Recently, the South Korean Fair Trade Commission sanctioned a similar result which was
achieved by a self-preferencing algorithm. The Commission imposed a corrective order and
a fine on a Korean taxi app, for designing its algorithms to assign better and more drives to
its member taxi drivers, relative to non-member drivers, in order to incentivize the latter to
join as members. OECD, Algorithmic Competition, supra note 10, at 17.
182
OECD, COMPETITION COMMITTEE DISCUSSION PAPER, DATA PORTABILITY,
INTEROPERABILITY AND DIGITAL PLATFORM COMPETITION 328, 332 (2021),
https://www.oecd.org/daf/competition/data-portability-interoperability-and-digital-platform-
competition-2021.pdf;, at 12.
2023 33
183
Id.
184
OECD, Data Interoperability, supra note 182, at 28-9; U.S. v. Microsoft Corp., Civil Ac-
tion No. 98-1232 (Antitrust), Complaint, 18 May 1998, https://www.justice.gov/atr/com-
plaint-us-v-microsoft-corp; U.S. v. Microsoft Corp., Civil Action No. 98-1232, United States
District Court for the District of Columbia, Findings of Fact, 5 November 1999,
https://www.justice.gov/atr/us-v-microsoft-courts-findings-fact#vb/. U.S. v. Microsoft Corp.,
Civil Action No. 98-1232, United States District Court for the District of Columbia, Final
Judgment, 12 November 2002, https://www.justice.gov/atr/case-document/final-judgment-
133 (finding, inter alia, that Microsoft monopolized its market by delaying provision of a
crucial application programming interface to Netscape).
34 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
185
See, e.g., Press Release, FTC Closes its Investigation into Facebook's Proposed Acquisition
of Instagram, Inc, August 22, 2012; OECD, Business and Finance Outlook 2021: AI in Busi-
ness and Finance (2021), https://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/sites/3acbe1cd-en/in-
dex.html?itemId=/content/component/3acbe1cd-en.
186
See, e.g. Chirita, supra note 43, at 152, citing to COMP/M 7023, Publicis/Omnicom (Jan.
9, 2014), paras 11 and 619)(both parties had data analytics capabilities).
187
See, e.g., Case M.8124 Microsoft/LinkedIn (Dec. 6, 2016, Eur. Comm'n), https://ec.eu-
ropa.eu/competition/mergers/cases/decisions/m8124_1349_5.pdf recital 246 et seq.
(LinkedIn's data could not be qualified as important input with respect to machine learning in
consumer management relationship algorithms).
188
See, e.g., Chirita, supra note 43; Case M/5727 Microsoft/Yahoo Search Business (Feb. 18,
2010), recitals 111 and 140, https://ec.europa.eu/competition/mergers/cases/deci-
sions/M5727_20100218_20310_261202_EN.pdf (the estimated capital expenditure to enter
the market also included several billion dollars to develop and update the algorithm).
189
Facebook/Instagram, supra note 185.
2023 35
190
See, e.g., Stigler Center, supra note 39.
191
Lear, Ex-post Assessment of Merger Control Decisions in Digital Markets, Final Report
(May 9, 2019), at 88, 90, 102.
192
Leslie, supra note 141, at 31.
193
Miller, supra note 43, at 341.
194
Id., at 341-2.
36 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
195
TomTom/Tele Atlas, supra note 41, recitals 20, 99; European Commission, COMP
M. 8124, Microsoft/LinkedIn, Dec. 6, 2016, recital 250 (Uncertainty regarding the success of
the analytical service provided by LinkedIn's algorithm was used to justify approval of the
merger).
196
Evan Ackerman, Can Amazon Build a Home Robot That Is Useful and Affordable? IEEE
SPECTRUM, April 24, 2018, https://spectrum.ieee.org/amazon-home-robots.
2023 37
the merging parties from the potential use of algorithms in the fore-
seeable future. Otherwise, merging parties might wait until after the
merger to employ algorithms, or the analysis might not initially capture
all foreseeable effects.197 To illustrate, consider a twist on the proposed
Staples/Office Depot merger, which was abandoned in 2016 after a dis-
trict court granted a preliminary injunction.198 Both companies are pur-
veyors of office supplies. According to the FTC analysis, the major
competitive concern arising from the proposed merger related to a seg-
ment of the market comprising large companies that purchase office
supplies for their own use, and that contract with a single vendor to
consolidate their purchases and negotiate better terms. The merging
parties were the only two office supply vendors that could provide on
their own the nationwide distribution of the products and services in the
specific combinations required by many large customers. Accordingly,
the merger would create a B-to-B market dominated by one large sup-
plier. At the same time, the FTC found that other consumers would not
be harmed by the merger.199
Yet some of the same market dynamics that led the FTC to identify
the large customers segment as a separate consumer group might also
arise with regard to small consumers who shop online. Assume that the
newly combined dataset of the merging parties may enable pricing al-
gorithms used by the merged entity to better identify different consum-
ers' WTP. Some might prefer to assemble their preferred cluster of
office supplies from a supplier of a wide range of products that includes
specific brands. Just as for large business entities, the merged entity
would be the dominant supplier for these consumers. This concern is
strengthened where some products in the cluster are not available from
other competitors; where only some products in the cluster are priced
higher than comparable alternatives, making it more difficult for the
consumer to compare overall offers; where consumers prefer not to
multi-home; or when the online setting makes it easier for the merged
entity to charge different prices from different consumers. The same
result could arise if the merger removes from the market the only rival
that has a sufficiently large dataset to make targeted counteroffers.
The foreseeable ability of incumbent or potential rivals to use al-
gorithms to increase competition in a market dominated by a monopo-
list should also be considered. As studies have shown, algorithms can
197
In the Google/DoubleClick merger, the effects of the emerging technology of behavioral
targeting algorithms were not considered, because neither of the parties had yet developed
such technology at the time of the merger. Lear, supra note 191, at 39, analyzing Case M.4731
– Google/DoubleClick, March 11, 2008.
198
Federal Trade Commission v. Staples, Inc. and Office Depot, Inc. 190 F. Supp. 100 (2016).
199
Id.
38 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
200
OECD, Algorithmic Competition, supra note 10, at 8.
201
Id.
202
Thibault Schrepel, Competition is One Prompt Away, Network Law Review, Feb. 17,
2023, https://www.networklawreview.org/bing-chatgpt/.
203
Gal & Elkin-Koren, supra note 121.
204
For the effects of consumers' notions of fairness on their WTP see, e.g., Daniel Kahneman,
Jack L. Knetsch & Richard Thaler, Fairness as a Constraint on Profit Seeking: Entitlements
in the Market, 76(4) AM. ECON. REV. 728 (1986).
205
Blickstein-Schory & Gal, supra note 134.
2023 39
206
Currently such effects are indirectly accounted for in the WTP.
207
Verizon Communications Inc. v. Law Offices of Curtis V. Trinko, LLP, 540 U.S. 398, 407
(2004)(“[M]ere possession of monopoly power, and the concomitant charging of monopoly
prices…is an important element of the free-market system. The opportunity to charge monop-
oly prices – at least for a short period – is what attracts ‘business acumen’ in the first place; it
induces risk taking that produces innovation and economic growth”).
208
See, e.g., OECD, Roundtable on Excessive Pricing, DAF/COMP 2011 (2011). While such
prohibitions are not often used, they are applied in cases of extreme price rises, most often in
the pharmaceutical industry. OECD, Background Paper, Excessive Prices in the Pharmaceu-
tical Markets (2018). For a suggestion to regulate high prices through Section 5 of the FTC
Act see Harry First, Excessive Drug Pricing as an Antitrust Violation, 82 Antitrust L. J. 701
(2019). For a different view within the US see Gregory J. Werden, Exploitative abuse of a
dominant position: A bad idea that now should be abandoned (2021), https://pa-
pers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3790472.
209
Verizon, supra note 207, at 407 (“Charging of monopoly prices, is not only not unlawful;
it is an important element of the free-market system. The opportunity to charge monopoly
prices – at least for a short period – is what attracts ‘business acumen’ in the first place; it
induces risk taking that produces innovation and economic growth").
40 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
conduct. While merger review only kicks into action once a merger is
proposed, it may serve as the last resort against unilateral high prices.
Algorithms sharpen the need to determine when high prices should be
seen as motivating investments that increase productive and dynamic
efficiency.210 If a firm invests in an algorithm that enables it to better
predict market trends and thus meet the needs of consumers, but the
same algorithm also enables it to set higher product prices, a balancing
of such effects will be required. The potential change in the prevalence
and level of prices, brought about by algorithms, highlights the di-
lemma.
In this vein, algorithms are also likely to make the balancing be-
tween a merger's pro and anti-competitive effects more difficult. Often,
the same algorithm, or a combination of algorithms, can be used in a
manner that furthers both effects. This may be the case, for example,
where an algorithm's stronger powers to predict market trends can
strengthen a firm's ability both to meet evolving consumer demand,211
to identify which (potential) rivals it might want to target with higher
entry barriers.
Algorithms can also be expected to affect some of the economic
tests used to define relevant markets. As explained by Li, Xie, and
Feyler, many of the economic tests that are traditionally used for as-
sessing market power and defining markets are based on existing
prices. One example is the Small but Significant and Non-Transitory
Increase in Price (SSNIP) test, which measures market power and sub-
stitutability.212 Such a test might not be suitable for markets in which
prices are not homogenous and are constantly changing. Indeed, some
have suggested that antitrust authorities should thus focus on theories
of harm, rather than on precise market definitions.213
Algorithms could also affect intervention thresholds. Consider
three examples. In the first, algorithms affect the scope of the affected
market, thereby potentially reducing the efficient thresholds for merger
analysis. This argument was raised by McSweeny and O'Dea: where
sophisticated algorithms can segment a market into more granular con-
sumer groups based on different levels of WTP, the relevant antitrust
markets might be narrower.214 Accordingly, harm might be caused in
market segments that are not visible in the framework of a traditional,
non-algorithmic, setting. Deng and Hernandez suggest that as part of
the merger review it would be useful to identify categorical cases and
210
See, e.g., Michal S. Gal, The Case for Limiting Private Excessive Pricing Litigation, 15(2-
3) J. OF COMP. L. & ECON. 298 (2019).
211
See, e.g., OECD, Outlook 2021, supra note 185, section 4.2.2.
212
Li, Xie & Feyler, supra note 29, at 3.
213
CRÉMER ET AL., supra note 36, at 45.
214
McSweeny & O'dea, supra note 138.
2023 41
215
Deng & Hernandez, supra note 25, at 37.
216
AUTORIDADE DA CONCORRENCIA, DIGITAL ECOSYSTEMS, BIG DATA AND ALGORITHMS,
87 (2019), https://www.concorrencia.pt/sites/default/files/processos/epr/Digital%20Ecosy
tems%2C%20Big%20Data%20and%20Algorithms%20-%20Issues%20Paper.pdf; Federal
Trade Commission v. Facebook, Inc., Complaint for Injunctive and Other Equitable Relief
(Case No. 1:20-cv-03590. D.C. Cir.), https://www.ftc.gov/system/files/docu-
ments/cases/051_2021.01.21_revised_partially_redacted_complaint.pdf .
217
Robert Zev Mahari, Sandro Claudio Lera & Alex Pentland, Time for a New Antitrust Era:
Refocusing Antitrust Law to Invigorate Competition in the 21 st Century, 1 STANFORD
COMPUTATIONAL ANTITRUST 52, 54 (2021).
218
Mahari, Lera and Petland take this one step further, arguing for per se presumptions of
anticompetitive effects. Id.
219
Deng & Hernandez, supra note 25, at 38 (it might be necessary to modify the algorithm to
maximize the joint post-merger payoff).
220
UK Office of Fair Trading, ME/5085/11, Anticipated Acquisition by Amazon.com Inc. of
the Book Depository Intl. Ltd. (14 Dec. 2011), https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/me-
dia/555de319e5274a708400006e/Amazon.pdf,, recitals 51-72.
221
Id., recital 72.
42 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
222
Deng & Hernandez, supra note 25, at 39.
223
Id., at 38.
224
Id. For such as example, see Pauline Affeldt, EU Merger Policy Predictability Using Ran-
dom Forests (DWI Berlin Discussion Paper, 2019), https://d-nb.info/1185490302/34.
225
The Portuguese Competition Authority acknowledged such a use: AUTORIDADE DA
CONCORRENCIA, supra note 216, para. 162.
226
For essential algorithms see Michal S. Gal and Nicolas Petit, Radical Remedies for the
Digital Economy, 36(2) BERKELEY TECH. L. J. 617 (2022)
2023 43
227
Id.
228
Id.
229
Contribution from Singapore, OECD, Merger Control in Dynamic Markets, Nov. 27, 2019,
DAF/COMP/GF/WD(2019)29, section 3.
230
Id.
231
EU Commission, COMP/M 7337, IMS Health/Cegedim Business, 19 Dec. 2014, paras. 9
– 24, 26, 49, 99, 105.
232
Id., recital 21.
233
Id., recital 245-6, 255, 257
44 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
234
Id., recital 267.
235
Priceline/Kayak, supra note 30; Lear, supra note 191, at 87.
236
Lear, id., at 88.
237
Id.
238
A machine learning technique that allows insights to be drawn from data without access to
the raw data itself. See generally Keith Bonawitz et al., Towards Federated Learning at Scale:
System Design (2019), https://arxiv.org/pdf/1902.01046.pdf
239
Mahari, Lera, and Pentland, supra note 217, at 10-1.
240
Gal, Illegal Agreements, supra note 1.
2023 45
V. INSTITUTIONAL RECOMMENDATIONS
241
OECD, Algorithmic Competition, supra note 10, at 30.
242
See, e.g., CMA Report, supra note 3, at 42-50.
243
See, e.g., Stanford Computational Antitrust, The Adoption of Computational Antitrust by
Agencies: 2021 Report (Thibault Schrepel & Teodora Groza ed., 2022); Anthony J. Casey
&Anthony Niblett, Micro-Directives and Computational Merger Review, 1 STANFORD
46 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
relevant for an analysis, making data collection more focused and more
efficient.244 AI simulations can also assist regulators in predicting how
market participants are likely to react to changes in the focus of regula-
tion.245 Given the growing sophistication of AI tools, they can be used
to create more complicated yet realistic models of long-term market
dynamics. The cross-border nature of many cases involving algorithms,
as well as the commonality of issues where algorithms are involved,
imply that antitrust authorities can benefit from collaboration and shar-
ing of expertise with other regulators (including financial regulators
and antitrust authorities in other jurisdictions) that are grappling with
similar issues.246
From a procedural point of view, conditional on the protection of
privacy and trade secrets, it might be useful to require the merging ap-
plicants to provide information relating to their datasets, algo-
rithms, and the infrastructure necessary to use them, in order to make
auditing more effective. To illustrate, when investigating claims of col-
lusion through algorithms by four major airlines, the Brazilian compe-
tition authority requested companies to provide information about
whether they collected data on prices and quantities offered from other
competitors, used machine learning to process the collected data, dele-
gated their pricing process to some degree, and had a team specialized
in data analysis.247 This is another benefit of merger review over ex-
post regulation.248 While some auditing techniques can be applied with-
out access to the algorithm or the data on which it was trained or used,
in many cases it would make it impossible or much more difficult.249 In
such cases, algorithmic and dataset transparency to antitrust authorities
could be useful. The analysis of such resources by computer and data
scientists – whether by manually inspecting the code, testing it with
different datasets, or testing how the alteration of a certain feature af-
fects its outcome – would allow regulators to gain more information
COMPUTATIONAL REVIEW 133, 133 (2021)(using AI to correct for both over and under inclu-
siveness in merger review).
244
Id.
245
For an overview of some computational tools see, e.g., Nicolas Petit and Thibault Schrepel,
Complexity-Minded Antitrust, JOURNAL OF EVOLUTIONARY ECONOMICS (forthcoming,
2023), https://ssrn.com/abstract=4050536.
246
Id., at 5.
247
Algorithmic Competition- Note by Brazil, DAF/COMP/WD(2023)18 (2023), at 4,
https://one.oecd.org/document/DAF/COMP/WD(2023)18/en/pdf.
248
For the difficulties involved in reverse engineering of algorithms, emulating web applica-
tions, or intercepting algorithmic output, see, e.g., Chen, Mislove, & Wilson, supra note 141.
249
OECD, Algorithmic Competition, supra note 10, at 27. The investigation of the Danish
competition authority into the use of Google's algorithm was not based on the algorithm's
source code, but rather on click and use data. Algorithmic Competition - Note by Denmark,
DAF/COMP/WD(2023)8 at para. 29-37, https://one.oecd.org/docu-
ment/DAF/COMP/WD(2023)8/en/pdf.
2023 47
250
Algorithmic Competition - Note by Germany, DAF/COMP/WD(2023)61 at para. 40-57,
https://one.oecd.org/document/DAF/COMP/WD(2023)61/en/pdf
251
Chirita, supra note 43.
252
Elizabeth Warren et al., Letter to Lina Kahn, Sep. 28, 2022, https://www.warren.sen-
ate.gov/imo/media/doc/Letter%20to%20FTC%20on%20Amazon%20-
%20iRobot%20Merger.pdf, p. 4
253
Sanofi /Google/DMI JV, supra note 107, recitals 68-9. The Joint venture raised the concern
that it could lock in patients by limiting or preventing the portability of their data to alternative
platforms. However, the Commission concluded that the parties lacked the ability to lock-in
patients given that users would have the right to ask for data portability in accordance with
the GDPR. For a critique of this decision see Michal S. Gal & Oshrit Aviv, The Competitive
Effects of the GDPR, 16(3) J. OF COM. L. & ECON. 349 (2020).
254
For some of the wider societal harms of algorithmic conduct see, e.g., OECD, Collusion,
supra note 1, at 44-5.
48 Algorithms. AI and Merger Control
V. CONCLUSION
255
We leave for future work whether such laws are welfare-enhancing, and whether new,
potentially more interventionist, regulatory tools might be more effective than merger policy.
256
H.R. 3611, 117th Cong. (2021-2).
257
Id., sections 3-5.
258
Id., section 4.
259
European Commission, COM/2021/206, Final Proposal for a Regulation of the European
Parliament and of the Council Laying Down Harmonized Rules on Artificial Intelligence and
Amending Certain Union Legislative Acts (Apr. 21, 2021).
2023 49
260
Our findings and suggestions also have relevance for joint venture regulation.