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Option-Trading-Session-one
Option-Trading-Session-one
Option Trading
Euan Sinclair
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Overview
• Session One: Introduction to options, pricing and
greeks.
• Session Two: General trading principles. Volatility
measurement and forecasting.
• Session Three: The variance premium. Hedging.
Expiration trading.
• Session Four: Risk management. Some examples of
trades. Trade evaluation.
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Option Trading
Lesson One: Introduction to Options
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Derivatives
• A derivative is a product that derives its value
from something else.
• Somewhat poor definition as, for examples, a
stock can be said to derive its value from the
companies earnings and bonds derive value
from credit and rates.
• But the standard definition includes futures,
forwards, swaps and options.
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Philosophy
"Before I learned the art, a punch was just a punch, and a
kick, just a kick.
After I learned the art, a punch was no longer a punch, a
kick, no longer a kick.
Now that I understand the art, a punch is just a punch and
a kick is just a kick."
-- Bruce Lee
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Philosophy
"Before I learned options, a call was just a call, and a
put, just a put.
After I learned the art, a call was no longer a call, a put,
no longer a put.
Now that I understand the art, a call is just a call and a
put is just a put."
-- Me
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Philosophy
• Math doesn’t matter intrinsically, it is just a means to an end.
• All good solutions should be (somewhat) intuitive and robust
with respect to the math used to formulate the problem.
• Our ideas will be expressed first through arbitrage
relationships, then “dirty math” and (maybe) then through
real math.
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Options
• An option gives the holder the right but not the
obligation to do something.
• A call confers the right to buy the underlying at a
certain price, the strike price.
• A put confers the right to sell the underlying at a
certain price, the strike price.
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Options
• European options can only be exercised at a single
time, the expiration date.
• American options can be exercised at a time prior to
the expiration date.
• Almost all exchange listed options are American.
• European options were basically invented by BSM
because they had an analytic solution, and weren’t
really like the ones that traded in America so they
needed a new name.
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Options
• There are also Asians, which settle to an average.
• Russians, which are eternal lookback options.
• Bermudans, which can be exercised at a set of specific
dates.
• Parisians, which are barriers that kick in when underlying
has spent a certain time beyond the barrier.
• Hawaiians, an Asian option with an American exercise
feature.
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Options
• Many other exotic options “exist”.
• But most rarely trade or have never even been traded at all.
• Mainly an example of the worst kind of financial mathematics.
• Even when they exist, their “trading” generally consists of one-
time selling to a customer (at an enormous markup).
• General rule: simplest products trade is the most complicated
ways.
• Futures: market makers use many “tricks” such as book
stacking, spoofing, flipping and stop hunting.
• Vanilla options: capturing edge is easy and traders are
differentiated by risk management.
• Exotic Options: edge comes from structuring, legal and sales.
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Disclaimer
• The types of market making techniques that are legal differ
enormously from country to country and market to market.
• What is “smart market making” in one place might be market
manipulation in another.
• Always check with your compliance officer before doing
anything that could be interpreted as manipulation.
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40
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Option Payoff
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60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140
Underlying Price
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40
35
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Option Payoff
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60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140
Underlying Price
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Combinations
• The piecewise linearity of options means it is easy to
construct combinations of puts and calls to express
any view.
• Aside: Be very careful about overusing this feature.
• Being right on a single view is hard enough.
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Example: A Straddle
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Payoff
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60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140
Underlying Price
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Call<Underlying
• If you exercise, you get the underlying.
• So if C>S just sell the call and buy the underlying.
• At expiration our profit is C-expiration value of
call + profit on stock.
• Above the strike this is C –(Sf-X)+(Sf-S0)=C+(X-S0)
• Below the strike this is C-0+(Sf-S0).
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American Put<Strike
• If you exercise, you get the strike minus the current price.
• So the highest value the option can ever have is the strike
(if S=0).
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C(X1)>Call(X2)
(if X1<X2)
There will be times when a lower strike call can be
exercised and the higher strike call cannot.
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Put/Call Parity
Long Stock S S S
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Black-Scholes-Merton
• As S (the underlying) increases, C (the call) does as well.
• So we can create a hedged portfolio by selling h shares
short. P C hS
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Black-Scholes-Merton
• Next, assume the underlying changes by a small
amount, so the portfolio changes by
C (St 1 ) C (St ) h(St 1 St )
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Black-Scholes-Merton
• Even by my low standards, how can we justify second order
price expansion and only first order in time?
• First, price changes are much more impactful.
• For example, for a one month option at 30 vol, a 1% underlying
move changes the price by 16%. This is the same as the time
change over 9 days.
• Also, time is not a random variable.
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Black-Scholes-Merton
𝜕2 𝐶 2 𝜕𝐶
𝑆𝑡+1 − 𝑆𝑡 +
𝜕𝑆 2 𝜕𝑡
• In the usual notation, the change in the portfolio value
is 1 ( S S )
t 1 t
2
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Black-Scholes-Merton
• And assuming a hedged position makes no money
(why would it?) we get
1 2 2
S 0
2
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Black-Scholes-Merton
• So far we have made no assumptions about
normality of returns (or any other distribution).
• By using only a second order Taylor expansion we
implicitly ignore distribution moments above 2nd,
but we do need a finite 2nd moment.
• But we don’t have to do this. This is just to simplify
things.
• Now solve this equation using the final boundary
condition of the payoff.
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Option Value
• I.T.O the equations…
𝐶 = 𝑆𝑁 𝑑1 − 𝑋𝑒𝑥𝑝 −𝑟𝑇 𝑁 𝑑2
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Option Value
• The interpolation interpretation also tell us what the
terms “mean”.
• A call is a part (𝑁 𝑑1 ) of the stock and a part
(−𝑒𝑥𝑝 −𝑟𝑇 𝑁 𝑑2 ) of the cash/bond.
• 𝑁 𝑑1 is the amount of stock we are exposed to.
• 𝑁 𝑑2 is the amount of cash we are exposed to. i.e.
what we need to deliver at expiration.
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Option Value
• 𝑁 𝑑2 is the amount of cash we are exposed to. i.e. what we
need to deliver.
• Alternatively, 𝑁 𝑑2 is the probability we need to pay out on
the option.
• 𝑁 𝑑2 is the probability of finishing in the money.
• NO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Option Value
• This interpretation is only true in a risk-neutral world; a
world that doesn’t exist.
• In the real world, the probabilities are mainly driven by
drift, something we have no interest in (as a pricing
variable) or significant ability to predict.
• Never use options to make probabilistic statements about
the real prices.
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“Greeks”
• “Greeks” is the collective term for partial derivatives (in the
mathematical sense) of the option price.
• Can be calculated either analytically or numerically.
• Volatility traders generally quantify their positions i.t.o. Greek
exposure.
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Delta
• Delta is the partial derivative of the option price w.r.t.
underlying.
Δ𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑙 = 𝑒𝑥𝑝 −𝑟𝑡 𝑁 𝑑1
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Delta
• Delta is the tangent of the option price Vs Underlying graph.
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Delta Vs Time/Vol
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Delta Misconceptions
• Delta IS the partial derivative of the option price w.r.t. the
underlying.
• Delta IS the hedge ratio.
• Delta IS NOT probability of finishing in the money. First, in risk
neutral world this is N(d2). Second, risk neutral world isn’t the
real world.
• ATM delta is close to 0.5 but calls will be slightly higher.
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Gamma
• Gamma is the partial derivative of the delta w.r.t.
the underlying.
• To manage delta, must know gamma.
𝑒𝑥𝑝 −𝑟𝑡 𝑛 𝑑1
Γ𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑙 = = Γ𝑝𝑢𝑡
𝑆𝜎 𝑡
• Gamma is highest for ATM short-dated options
(actually slightly below the actual ATM strike).
• Indeed, traders usually refer to short dated options
just as “gamma”.
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Gamma Vs Spot
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Theta
• Theta is the partial derivative of the option price w.r.t.
time.
• Normally expressed so short option premium has
negative theta, and in daily units.
𝑆𝜎𝑛 𝑑1
𝜃𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑙 = − − 𝑟𝑋𝑒𝑥𝑝 −𝑟𝑇 𝑁 𝑑2
2 𝑡
𝑆𝜎𝑛 𝑑1
𝜃𝑝𝑢𝑡 = − + 𝑟𝑋𝑒𝑥𝑝 −𝑟𝑇 𝑁 −𝑑2
2 𝑡
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Theta
• First term (same for puts and calls) is the time decay, the
amount the option declines because volatility has less time
to act.
• Second term is often misunderstood (or just ignored).
𝜃𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑙 − 𝜃𝑝𝑢𝑡 = 𝑟𝑋𝑒𝑥𝑝 −𝑟𝑇
(From P/C parity discussion)
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Theta
𝜃𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑙 − 𝜃𝑝𝑢𝑡 = 𝑟𝑋𝑒𝑥𝑝 −𝑟𝑇
• From P/C parity discussion we know a long call and short put has
no volatility exposure.
• But it does have carry, the cost of holding the strike value in cash.
• Theta just allocates this carry across calls and puts according to
the chance of each finishing in the money.
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Theta Vs Spot
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Vega
• Vega is the partial derivative of the option price w.r.t. volatility.
• Inconsistent with the assumption of constant volatility, but very
important to traders.
𝑉𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑙 = 𝑆𝑛 𝑑1 𝑡 = 𝑉𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑝𝑢𝑡
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Vega Vs Spot
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Vega Vs Time
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Secondary Greeks
• From just looking at equations or graphs it is clear that the
greeks also have derivatives.
• E.g. the derivative of delta w.r.t. volatility, the derivative of Vega
with respect to time etc.
• Many books and authors want you to think it is vital to know the
exact form of all of these.
• Not really true.
• You need to know they exist.
• But no trading or risk management ideas are dependent on
these actual equations.
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Secondary Greeks
• Any professional level trading or risk system will
show these greeks, but detailed understanding
of their characteristics isn’t really essential.
(We will return to this when we look at risk
management).
• B.T.W. There is no standard nomenclature for
these derivatives.
• E.G. The derivative of delta with respect to
volatility is variously called “vanna”,
“DdeltaDvol”, “DdelV” or even “alpha”,
depending on who the trader learned from.
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Early Exercise
• Failing to exercise correctly is just a way to leave money on the
table.
• You exercise early if what you will receive is worth more than
what you forego.
• For example, when exercising a call you get the stock but you
miss out on any remaining optionality.
• Compare the alternatives and choose the better one.
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