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e-mail a-nakayama@nagoya-1st.jrc.or.jp
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cite this article as doi: 10.1111/ped.13357
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Accepted Article
Department Department of Pediatrics
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Kainan Hospital
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Conflict of Interest
Abstract
preterm birth. In addition, the severity index of HF has not been fully investigated yet.
This study was aimed to clarify the prognostic factors of HF patients with pleural
effusion.
abnormality or complex congenital heart disease, born from 2009 to 2013 in Aichi
Prefecture in Japan were included. The prenatal, perinatal, and postnatal information
was obtained from their medical records and was retrospectively analyzed.
patients (68%) survived. The multivariate logistic stepwise analysis revealed that the
gestational birth week (OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.52–0.96, p = 0.027) and standard deviation
(SD) score of the birth weight (OR 1.74, 95% CI 1.01–2.99, p = 0.045) were significant
Conclusions:Combined with the gestational weeks data, the birth weight SD score may
Introduction
collection in two or more areas of the fetal body, such as skin edema, pleural effusion,
ascites, and pericardial effusion. It presents with various etiologies, such as,
infections.[1] Its prognosis is very poor, and the survival rate was reported to be
27%–48%.[2–4]
effusion includes heart failure due to congenital heart disease or fetal arrhythmia,
wherever the pleural effusion comes from, excessive pleural effusion may cause lung
hypoplasia or respiratory and circulatory diseases after birth. These are associated with
disease.[3, 6-8] Several studies reported that a preterm birth might be associated with a
poor prognosis, but sometimes clinicians have to consider a preterm delivery out of
for clinicians to take into consideration both the immaturity and severity of HF.
The objective of this study was to investigate the prognostic factors and the severity
preterm HF patients and the usefulness of the birth weight standard deviation (SD) score
as a severity index.
7.5 million, and there are approximately 70,000 births annually. There are 18
maternal-neonatal care centers in the area, and all complicated cases of pregnant women,
fetuses, and newborns, including HF, are managed in those facilities. We studied HF
fetuses and newborn patients who were managed in Aichi over a 5-year period (January
more areas of the fetal or newborn body, such as skin edema, pleural effusion, ascites,
and pericardial effusion. In this study we included live-born HF patients with pleural
effusion and excluded stillbirths and those who had chromosomal abnormalities or
influence death.
data included gestational age, weight, height, head circumference SD score at birth, sex,
mode of delivery, cord blood pH, and Apgar score. Postnatal data included intubation,
hypertension (systolic blood pressure >140 mmHg or diastolic blood pressure > 90
mmHg) at the gestational week of twenty or later. TPL was defined as tocolysis
excessive weight gain over a short time, lung edema, cardiac enlargement,
hypoproteinemia, placental edema, as well as skin edema. The gestational week was
early gestation. The weight, height, and head circumference SD score was calculated
based on the Japanese physical standard calculation software, which was based on
taikakubirthlongcrossv1.xlsx).
In the analysis of survival-related factors, all included cases were divided into a
survival group or a deceased group, and a univariate analysis of prenatal, perinatal, and
postnatal data compared the results between the two groups. For the significant factors,
for death, and an odds ratio was calculated. To collect information on premature HF
patient survival, we calculated the sensitivity and specificity for death according to the
gestational week and the cut-off gestational week at death. The optimal cutoff values
were defined as the point at which the value of Youden-Index (sensitivity + specificity
test and Fisher’s exact test were used for the univariate analysis, and a logistic
regression analysis (stepwise) was used for the multivariate analysis. Correlation
This study was approved by the ethical committee of Japanese Red Cross Nagoya
Daiichi Hospital.
Results
According to the demographic data of the Aichi prefecture, the total delivery number
was 350,497 over the same 5-year period; therefore, the incidence of HF was calculated
malformation (n = 1), and hypoplastic left heart syndrome (n = 1); therefore, a total of
41 cases were included in this study (Fig. 1). The primary disease of HF was idiopathic
renal disease (n = 1), abdominal disease (n = 1), lymphatic vessel dysplasia (n = 1), and
The univariate comparisons of prenatal and perinatal data between the survival and
dead groups revealed that the HF diagnosis was made earlier (26 weeks vs 30 weeks, p
= 0.004), and PROM was seen more frequently in the dead group (23% vs 0%, p =
0.029) than in the survival group (Table 1). The gestational week was earlier (30.7
weeks vs 33.8 weeks, p = 0.003), the birth weight SD score was higher (3.7 vs 2.1, p =
= 0.033) and at 5 min < 6 (92% vs 50% p = 0.014) in the non-survival group compared
with those in the survival group (Table 1). The univariate comparisons of postnatal data
showed that an inhaled nitric oxide (NO) gas treatment was applied more frequently in
the dead group than in the survival group (Table 1). The stepwise multivariate logistic
analysis of seven factors that were significant in the univariate analysis revealed that the
gestational birth week (OR 0.71, 95% CI 0.52–0.96, p = 0.027) and the birth weight SD
score (OR 1.74, 95% CI 1.01–2.99, p = 0.045) were independent factors related to
postnatal death. The cutoff values obtained from the maximum area under the curve
(AUC) for the receiver ROC curves were 31.4 weeks (AUC 0.793, 95% CI 0.635-0.95)
for the gestational week and 2.8 (AUC 0.794, 95% CI 0.635-0.953) for the birth weight
SD score.
(PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) for death after birth according to the
gestational week and birthweight SD score. In terms of the gestational week, the
sensitivity and specificity of death in patients at <32 gestational weeks was 0.77 and
0.79, respectively. The cut-off week of delivery was thought to be optimal at 32 weeks.
As for the birthweight SD score, the sensitivity and specificity of death in patients at >
3.0 SD was similar to that of > 3.5 SD. Considering a screening tool for death, a
birthweight SD score > 3.0 SD was more optimal because the sensitivity was higher
The survival rate of HF patients with pleural effusion according to both the
gestational week and birthweight SD score was 25% for < 32 weeks and > 3.0 SD, 50%
for < 32 weeks and < 3.0 SD, 63% for > 32 weeks and > 3.0 SD, and 100% for > 32
weeks and < 3.0 SD, respectively (Fig. 2). Patients with a birthweight SD score > 3.0
than those with < 3.0 SD. Although insignificant, cardiopulmonary resuscitation,
adrenalin, surfactant, and inhaled NO gas tended to be applied more frequently in > 3.0
SD group (Table 3). The birth weight SD score might show not only the degree of
edema but also the clinical severity of HF patients with pleural effusion.
Discussion
HF is a disease with a poor prognosis, and the survival rate of HF patients with
pleural effusion was reported to be from 47% to 57%.[10, 11] In this report, the survival
rate of HF infants was 68%, but the overall survival rate was 63% when chromosomal
Some studies have reported that prematurity was a poor prognostic factor of HF,
although these studies were not particularly focused on HF with pleural effusion. Huang
et al.[8] reported that premature HF infants born at less than 34 gestational weeks
reported that preterm birth was one of the most significant causes of a poor prognosis of
HF infants with pleural effusion. Similar to the previous studies, the gestational week
was an independent factor related to death after birth in this study. The mortality rate
was significantly lower at >32 gestational weeks (12%) than at < 32 gestational weeks
(62%). This showed that preterm HF infants survived in this cohort more than they used
to. The Society for Maternal Fetal Medicine reported that the preterm delivery of HF
fetuses should not be recommended except for maternal reasons.[7] However, if the
fetal edema or heart dysfunction deteriorates in mid or late pregnancy, parents and
medical staff must decide whether to proceed with delivery. This information might be
factor and that the mortality rate of patients with a birthweight SD score of > 3.0 was
4.7 times higher than those with a score of < 3.0 SD. We experienced difficulties in the
never been reported as an index of HF severity. The reason for this is unclear, but we
speculate that the HF mortality rate reported in previous studies was so high that no
disease, and the mortality rate was 32% in this cohort. This, as well as the recent HF
management progression, might result in the survival rate becoming relatively higher,
which resulted in clarifying the direct index that could be used to evaluate the severity
This enabled us to examine patients with a range of HF severity. This study was
conducted during a short period; therefore, changes in the medical environment were
relatively small. We had some limitations. Firstly, this was a retrospective study. Little
has been written about the degree of skin edema, and the judgement whether skin edema
existed might be different between facilities. We also did not unify case management;
facilities.
In addition, because the SD scores of the physical constitutions used in this study
were based on healthy Japanese infants, we cannot generalize the results to other races.
In addition, it was unclear how to estimate the birth weight SD score of each HF infant
during the fetal period. In our cohort, the fetal body weight SD score, which was
although this also could not be generalized. However, we can easily realize that
excessive fluid collection may be harmful regardless of race; therefore, we should pay
Furthermore, we could not fully evaluate the fetal therapy. The fetal therapy for pleural
beneficial for increasing the survival rate of HF fetuses.[12, 13] In this cohort, twelve
fetuses received those fetal therapies, but we found no significant differences in the
survival rate between those who received and those who did not receive fetal therapy
Conclusions
The gestational week and birth weight SD score were significantly correlated with the
prognosis of HF patients with pleural effusion. In this study, all patients who were born
at more than thirty-two gestational weeks and whose birth weight SD score was less
than 3.0 survived. These factors may become a useful index when considering whether
Disclosure
Author contribution
N.A. O.M. T.T. and H.M. designed the study; Y.Y. H.T. W.Y. H.S. K.M. T.K. H.S. I.K.
Y.H. K.M. Y.K. S.O. K.T. M.M. and T.T. collected data; N.A. analysed data and wrote
References
3 Ismail KM, Martin WL, Ghosh S, Whittle MJ, Kilby MD. Etiology and outcome
6 Castillo RA, Devoe LD, Hadi HA, Martin S, Geist D. Nonimmune hydrops
Gynecol 1986;155:812–6.
7 Society for Maternal-Fetal Medicine (SMFM), Norton ME, Chauhan SP, Dashe
8 Huang HR, Tsay PK, Chiang MC, Lien R, Chou YH. Prognostic factors and
2007;24:33–8.
Gynecol 2004;191:2047–50.
al. Perinatal outcome following fetal chest shunt insertion for pleural effusion.
Figure legends
Figure2. Prognosis of patients plotted by gestational weeks and birth weight SD score
All patients with >32 gestational weeks at birth and birth weight SD score <3.0 survived.
in hydrops fetalis.
Survivors Non-survivors
p
(n=28) (n=13)
GA; gestational weeks, HF; hydrops fetalis, PIH; pregnancy induced hypertension,
BW for death.
GA (n)
SD score of BW (n)
GA; gestational weeks, BW: birth weight, PPV; positive predictive value, NPV;
according to BW SD score
2,200 2,540
GA; gestational weeks, HF; hydrops fetalis, BW; birth weight, HC; head circumference