Professional Documents
Culture Documents
1
Chapter 1
Leverage and Capital Structure Policy
2
Chapter Outline
Meaning of capital structure
The capital structure question
Factors that influence capital structure decisions
Business and financial risk:
• Business risk and operating leverage
• Financial risk and financial leverage
Determining the optimal capital structure
• EBIT/EPS analysis
• The effect of capital structure on stock price and the cost of capital
Introduction to the theory of capital structure
• Modigliani and Miller Propositions, Trade-off theory, Signaling theory
• Using debt financing to constrain managers
3
Meaning of capital structure
4
Meaning of Capital Structure
6
The Capital Structure Question
1. Why should the shareholders in the firm care about maximizing the value
of the entire firm (the sum of both the debt and the equity)? Instead, why
should the shareholders not prefer the strategy that maximizes their
interests only? Why should financial managers choose the capital
structure that maximizes the value of the firm?
2. How should a firm go about choosing its debt-equity ratio? Can financing
decisions create value?
3. What is an optimal capital structure or What is the ratio of debt to equity
that maximizes the shareholders’ interests?
7
The Capital Structure Question…
• Suppose the market value of the Sprint Company is Br1,000. The company
currently has no debt, and Sprint’s 100 shares sell for Br10 each. Further suppose
that Sprint restructures itself by borrowing Br500 and then paying out the
proceeds to shareholders as an extra dividend of Br500/100 = Br5 per share.
8
The Capital Structure Question…
Change in the value of the firm is the same as the net effect on the
stockholders
The capital structure that maximizes the value of the firm is the one financial
managers should choose for the shareholders.
9
The Capital Structure Question…
• The objective of a company is to maximize the value of the company and it is
prime objective while deciding the capital structure.
• Capital structure decisions refers to deciding:
1. the forms of financing (which sources to be tapped);
2. their actual requirements (amount to be funded); and
3. their relative proportions (mix) in total capitalization.
• Capital structure decision will decide weight of debt and equity and ultimately
overall cost of capital as well as the value of the firm. So capital structure is
relevant in maximizing value of the firm and minimizing overall cost of capital.
10
Factors that influence capital structure
decisions/design – Determinants of
Capital Structure – Checklist of Items
11
Factors that influence capital structure decisions
Choice of source of funds
a firm has the choice to raise funds for financing its investment proposals from
different sources in different proportions. It can:
a) exclusively use debt (in case of existing company), or
b) exclusively use equity capital, or
c) exclusively use preference share capital (in case of existing company), or
d) use a combination of debt and equity in different proportions, or
e) use a combination of debt, equity and preference capital in different
proportions, or
f) use a combination of debt and preference capital in different proportions (in
case of existing company).
12
Factors that influence capital structure decisions
Choice of source of funds…
the choice of the combination of these sources is called capital structure
mix. But the question is which of the pattern should the firm choose?
the capital structure of a firm depends on a number of factors and these
factors are of different importance.
moreover, the influence of individual factors of a firm changes over a
period of time.
generally, the following factors should be considered while determining
the capital structure of a company.
13
Factors that influence capital structure decisions
• Sales growth and stability
a firm whose sales are relatively stable can safely take on more debt and incur
higher fixed charges than a company with unstable sales.
• Asset structure (Cash flow ability)
holding other factors constant, a company is able to take on more debt if it
has more cash on the balance sheet.
• Operating leverage/business risk
other things the same, a firm with less operating leverage is better able to
employ financial leverage because it will have less business risk.
14
Factors that influence capital structure decisions…
• Trading on equity and EBIT - EPS analysis (Financial risk)
the use of long - term debt and preference share capital, which are fixed income
- bearing securities, along with equity share capital is called financial leverage or
trading on equity.
the use of long-term debt capital increases the earnings per share (eps) as long
as the return on investment (roi) is greater than the cost of debt.
preference share capital will also result in increasing EPS. But the leverage effect
is more pronounced in case of debt because of two reasons : i) cost of debt is
usually lower than the cost of preference share capital, and ii) the interest paid
on debt is tax deductible.
15
Factors that influence capital structure decisions…
18
Factors that influence capital structure decisions…
• Taxes.
interest is a deductible expense, and deductions are most valuable to firms
with high tax rates. Therefore, the higher a firm’s tax rate, the greater the
advantage of debt.
• Management attitudes.
some managers tend to be relatively conservative and thus use less debt than
an average firm in the industry, whereas aggressive managers use a relatively
high percentage of debt in their quest for higher profits.
19
Factors that influence capital structure decisions…
• Market conditions.
in the case of depressed conditions in the share market, the firm should not
issue equity shares but go for debt capital. On the other hand, under boom
conditions, it becomes easy for the firm to mobilise funds by issuing equity
shares.
• Control
control considerations can lead to the use of debt or equity because the type
of capital that best protects management varies from situation to situation. In
any event, if management is at all insecure, it will consider the control situation
(e.g. risk of dilution, risk of bankruptcy and loss of job, risk of takeover, etc.).
20
Factors that influence capital structure decisions…
• Financial flexibility.
flexibility means the firm's ability to adapt its capital structure to the needs of the
changing conditions.
which from an operational viewpoint means maintaining adequate “reserve
borrowing capacity.”
capital structure should be flexible enough to raise additional funds whenever
required, without much delay and cost.
the capital structure of the firm must be designed in such a way that it is possible to
substitute one form of financing for another to economise the use of funds.
preference shares and debentures offer the highest flexibility in the capital structure,
as they can be redeemed at the discretion of the firm.
21
Factors that influence capital structure decisions…
• Cost of capital
an ideal pattern of capital structure is one that minimises cost of capital
structure and maximises earnings per share (EPS). The overall cost of capital
depends on the proportion in which the capital is mobilised from different
sources of finance.
• Legal requirements
the various guidelines issued by the government from time to time regarding
the issue of shares and debentures should be kept in mind while determining
the capital structure of a firm.
these legal restrictions are very significant as they give a framework within
which capital structure decisions should be made.
22
Factors that influence capital structure decisions…
• Other considerations
Other factors such as nature of industry, timing of issue and competition in the
industry should also be considered. Industries facing sever competition also
resort to more equity than debt.
23
Leverage: Business Risk and Financial Risk
24
I. Leverage
Leverage & Capital Structure
• a sound financial decision must consider the broad coverage of the financial
mix (capital structure), total amount of capital (capitalization) and cost of
capital.
• deciding the debt-equity mix plays a major role in the part of the value of the
company and market value of the shares.
• the debt equity mix of the company can be examined with the help of
leverage.
25
I. Leverage
Meaning/Definition of Leverage
• in general it refers to an increased means of accomplishing some
purpose, e.g. is used to lifting heavy objects, which may not be
otherwise possible.
• in the financial point of view, leverage refers to furnish the ability to use
fixed cost assets or funds to increase the return to its shareholders.
• “the employment of an asset or fund for which the firm pays a fixed cost
or fixed return - James Horne
• influenced by managers choice of a specific capital structure.
26
I. Leverage
Meaning/Definition of Leverage…
• refers to the effects that fixed costs have on the returns that shareholders
earn.
• a firm with higher fixed costs has greater leverage, and vice versa.
• is the use of fixed costs in an attempt to increase (or lever up) profitability, i.e.
magnifies both returns and risks.
• a firm with more leverage may earn higher returns on average than a firm
with less leverage, but the returns on the more leveraged firm will also be
more volatile.
27
I. Leverage
Types of Leverage
• Leverage can be classified into three major headings according to the nature
of the finance mix of the company.
28
I. Leverage
Fixed costs
Costs that do not rise and fall with changes in a firm’s sales.
Must be paid irrespective of whether business conditions are good or bad.
May be operating costs, such as the costs incurred by purchasing and operating
plant and equipment, or they may be financial costs, such as the fixed costs of
making debt payments.
29
II. Business Risk and Operating Leverage
1. Meaning of Business Risk
is the risk a firm’s common stockholders would face if the firm had no debt or
is debt-free or unlevered.
is the risk inherent in the firm’s operations, which arises from uncertainty
about future operating profits and capital requirements.
depends on a number of factors, beginning with variability in product demand
and production costs.
is the riskiness of the firm’s assets if no debt is used.
30
II. Business Risk and Operating Leverage…
1. Meaning of Business Risk…
the equity risk that comes from the nature of the firm’s operating activities.
the variability of EBIT that has two components: variability of sales and
variability of expenses.
operating risk is an unavoidable risk.
the risk to the firm of being unable to cover its operating costs.
in general, the greater the firm’s operating leverage—the use of fixed
operating costs—the higher its business risk.
31
II. Business Risk and Operating Leverage…
2. Factors that affect Business Risk
a.Competition - other things held constant, less competition lowers business risk.
b.Demand variability - the more stable the demand for a firm’s products, other
things held constant, the lower its business risk.
c. Sales price variability - firms whose products are sold in volatile markets are
exposed to more business risk than firms whose output prices are stable, other
things held constant.
d.Input cost variability - firms whose input costs are uncertain have higher
business risk.
e. Product obsolescence - the faster its products become obsolete, the greater a
firm’s business risk.
32
II. Business Risk and Operating Leverage…
2. Factors that affect Business Risk…
e. Foreign risk exposure - firms that generate a high percentage of their earnings
overseas are subject to earnings declines due to exchange rate fluctuations.
f. Regulatory risk and legal exposure - Firms that operate in highly regulated
industries such as financial services and utilities are subject to changes in the
regulatory environment that may have a profound effect on the company’s
current and future profitability.
g. The extent to which costs are fixed: operating leverage - if a high percentage
of its costs are fixed and thus do not decline when demand falls, this
increases the firm’s business risk.
33
II. Business Risk and Operating Leverage…
3. Meaning of Operating Leverage
the extent to which fixed costs are used in a firm’s operations.
a high degree of operating leverage, other factors held constant, implies that a
relatively small change in sales results in a large change in return on invested
capital (ROIC).
other things held constant, the higher a firm’s operating leverage, the higher
its business risk.
is associated with investment activities of the company.
not affected by tax rate and interest rate.
34
II. Business Risk and Operating Leverage…
3. Meaning of Operating Leverage…
is concerned with the relationship between the firm’s sales and its earnings
before interest and taxes (EBIT) or operating profits.
when costs of operations (such as cost of goods sold and operating expenses)
are largely fixed, small changes in revenue will lead to much larger changes in
EBIT.
the use of fixed operating costs to magnify the effects of changes in sales on
the firm’s earnings before interest and taxes.
35
II. Business Risk and Operating Leverage…
4. Measuring operating breakeven point
P = average sale price per unit;
Q = sales quantity in units;
FC = fixed operating cost per period;
VC = variable operating cost per unit
• where Q is the firm’s
operating breakeven point.
• Operating breakeven point
(in dollars/birr -
multiproduct firms is: (NB.
VC% total sales)
36
II. Business Risk and Operating Leverage…
4. Measuring operating breakeven point…
Firms use breakeven analysis, also called cost-volume-profit analysis, to
1) determine the level of operations necessary to cover all costs, and
2) evaluate the profitability associated with various levels of sales.
The firm’s operating breakeven point is the level of sales necessary to cover
all operating costs. At that point, earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT)
equals zero.
37
II. Business Risk and Operating Leverage…
4. Measuring operating breakeven point…
Example
Assume that ABC Co. has fixed operating costs of Birr2,500. Its sale price is
Birr10 per unit, and its variable operating cost is Birr5 per unit.
Q = 2,500__ = 500 units
Br10 - Br5
At sales of 500 units, the firm’s EBIT should just equal Br0. The firm will have
positive EBIT for sales greater than 500 units and negative EBIT, or a loss, for
sales less than 500 units.
38
II. Business Risk and Operating Leverage…
5. Measuring the Degree of Operating Leverage (DOL)
the degree of operating leverage (DOL) is a numerical measure of the firm’s
operating leverage. It can be derived using the equation:
a more direct formula for calculating the degree of operating leverage at a base
sales level, Q, is
39
II. Business Risk and Operating Leverage…
5. Measuring the Degree of Operating Leverage…
Example
Given the data for ABC Co. (sale price, P = Birr10 per unit; variable operating
cost, VC = Birr5 per unit; fixed operating cost, FC = Birr2,500) consider the
following two cases using the 1,000-unit sales level as a reference point:
Case 1 A 50% increase in sales (from 1,000 to 1,500 units) results in a 100%
increase in earnings before interest and taxes (from Birr2,500 to Birr5,000).
Case 2 A 50% decrease in sales (from 1,000 to 500 units) results in a 100%
decrease in earnings before interest and taxes (from Birr2,500 to Birr0).
40
II. Business Risk and Operating Leverage…
5. Measuring the Degree of Operating Leverage…
41
III. Financial Risk and Financial Leverage
1. Financial risk
is the additional risk placed on the common stockholders as a result of
using debt or an increase in stockholders’ risk, over and above the firm’s
basic business risk, resulting from the use of financial leverage.
is an avoidable risk if the firm decides not to use any debt in its capital
structure, i.e. a totally equity financed firm will have no financial risk.
the variability of EPS caused by the use of financial leverage.
the equity risk that comes from the financial policy (the capital structure)
of the firm.
42
III. Financial Risk and Financial Leverage
2. Financial Leverage (Trading on Equity)
• is the use of fixed financial costs to magnify the effects of changes in earnings
before interest and taxes on the firm’s earnings per share, i.e. represents the
relationship between EBIT and EPS.
• refers to the extent to which a firm relies on debt, i.e. the more debt financing
a firm uses in its capital structure, the more financial leverage it employs.
• the two most common fixed financial costs are
1) interest on debt and
2) preferred stock dividends.
• is associated with financing activities of the company.
• will change due to tax rate and interest rate.
43
III. Financial Risk and Financial Leverage
3. Measuring the Degree of Financial Leverage (DFL)
Whenever the percentage change in EPS resulting from a given percentage change
in EBIT is greater than the percentage change in EBIT, financial leverage exists. In
other words, whenever DFL is greater than 1, there is financial leverage.
The effect of financial leverage is such that an increase in the firm’s EBIT results in a
more-than-proportional increase in the firm’s earnings per share, whereas a
decrease in the firm’s EBIT results in a more-than-proportional decrease in EPS.
44
III. Financial Risk and Financial Leverage
• Example
XYZ Co. expects EBIT of Birr10,000 in the current year. It has a Birr20,000 bond
with a 10% (annual) coupon rate of interest and an issue of 600 shares of Birr4
(annual dividend per share) preferred stock outstanding. It also has 1,000 shares
of common stock outstanding. The annual interest on the bond issue is Birr2,000
(0.10 * Birr20,000). The annual dividends on the preferred stock are Birr2,400
(Birr4.00/share * 600 shares). Consider the following two situations:
Case 1 A 40% increase in EBIT (from Birr10,000 to Birr14,000) results in a 100%
increase in earnings per share (from Birr2.40 to Birr4.80).
Case 2 A 40% decrease in EBIT (from Birr10,000 to Birr6,000) results in a 100%
decrease in earnings per share (from Birr2.40 to Birr0).
45
III. Financial Risk and Financial Leverage
These calculations show that when XYZ Foods’ EBIT changes, its EPS changes
2.5 times as fast on a percentage basis due to the firm’s financial leverage. The
higher this value is, the greater the degree of financial leverage.
46
III. Financial Risk and Financial Leverage
• A more direct formula for calculating the degree of financial leverage at a base
level of EBIT is given by • Note that in the denominator the
term 1/(1 - T) converts the after-tax
preferred stock dividend to a before-
tax amount for consistency with the
• Example other terms in the equation.
Given: EBIT = Birr10,000, I = Birr2,000,
PD = Birr2,400, and the tax rate (T = 0.40)
47
IV. Relationship of Operating and Financial Leverage
Total (or Combined) Leverage
the use of fixed costs, both operating and financial, to magnify the effects
of changes in sales on the firm’s earnings per share.
the total impact of the fixed costs in the firm’s operating and financial
structure.
is the combined effect of operating and financial leverage.
concerned with the relationship between the firm’s sales revenue and EPS.
Relationship of Operating, Financial, and Total Leverage
the relationship between operating leverage and financial leverage is
multiplicative rather than additive.
48
IV. Relationship of Operating and Financial Leverage
Relationship of Operating, Financial, and Total Leverage…
the relationship between the degree of total leverage (DTL) and the
degrees of operating leverage (DOL) and financial leverage (DFL) is given
by:
a more direct formula for calculating the degree of total leverage at a
given base level of sales, Q, is given by the following equation.
49
IV. Relationship of Operating and Financial Leverage
Relationship of Operating, Financial, and Total Leverage…
Example
Given Q = 20,000, P = $5, VC = $2, FC = $10,000, I = $20,000, PD = $12,000, and
the tax rate (T = 0.40) yields DTL at 20,000 units is:
50
IV. Relationship of Operating and Financial Leverage
51
Determining the optimal capital structure
52
I. Definition of the Optimal Capital Structure
Designing an
Capital Structure Theories
Optimal Capital Structure
Modigliani- Miller (MM) theory
EBIT- EPS Analysis
Trade-off theory
Signaling theory
…
53
I. Definition of the Optimal Capital Structure
• Definition
an optimum capital structure may be defined as that combination of debt and
equity that maximize the total value of the firm or minimises the weighted
average cost of capital.
the value of the firm is maximized when the cost of capital is minimized, i.e. the
present value of future cash flows is at its highest when the discount rate (the
cost of capital) is at its lowest.
54
I. Definition of the Optimal Capital Structure
• Definition …
the capital structure that maximizes a stock’s intrinsic value (the present value
of future cash flows).
is the one that maximizes the price of the firm’s stock, and this generally calls
for a Debt/Capital ratio that is lower than the one that maximizes expected EPS.
55
I. Definition of the Optimal Capital Structure
• Definition…
a particular debt-equity ratio represents the optimal capital structure if it
results in the lowest possible WACC.
this optimal capital structure is sometimes called the firm’s target capital
structure as well.
many managers use the estimated relationship between capital structure and
the WACC to guide their capital structure decisions.
56
II. EBIT/EPS analysis/approach to Capital Structure
EBIT/EPS
an approach for selecting the capital structure that maximizes earnings per
share (EPS) over the expected range of earnings before interest and taxes
(EBIT).
is one important tool in the hands of the financial manager to get an insight
into the firm's capital structure planning. He can analyse the possible
fluctuations in EBIT and their impact on EPS under different financing plans.
the firm should employ debt to such an extent that financial risk does not
spoil the leverage effect since under favourable conditions, financial leverage
increases EPS, however it can also increase financial risk to shareholders.
57
II. EBIT/EPS analysis/approach to Capital Structure
EBIT/EPS…
the goal of the financial manager is to maximize owner wealth, that is, the
firm’s stock price. One of the widely followed variables affecting the firm’s stock
price is its earnings, which represents the returns earned on behalf of owners.
even though focusing on earnings ignores risk (the other key variable affecting
the firm’s stock price), earnings per share (EPS) can be conveniently used to
analyze alternative capital structures.
58
II. EBIT/EPS analysis/approach to Capital Structure
Example
ABC Company’s current capital structure is as follows:
Current capital structure
Long-term debt $0
Common stock equity (25,000 shares at $20) 500,000
Total capital (assets) $ 500,000
Let us assume that the firm is considering three alternative capital structures. If we measure
these structures using the debt ratio, they are associated with ratios of 0%, 30%, and 60%.
Assuming that (1) the firm has no current liabilities, (2) its capital structure currently contains
all equity as shown, and (3) the total amount of capital remains constant at $500,000.
59
II. EBIT/EPS analysis/approach to Capital Structure
Example…
Calculation of EPS for Selected Debt Ratios
60
II. EBIT/EPS analysis/approach to Capital Structure
Example…
Calculation of EPS for Selected Debt Ratios
61
II. EBIT/EPS analysis/approach to Capital Structure
• An algebraic technique can be used to find the indifference points between
the capital structure alternatives.
63
II. EBIT/EPS analysis/approach to Capital Structure
• Interpretation/Analysis…
When EBIT exceeds $95,500, the 60% debt ratio capital structure provides the
highest earnings per share. Again, the intuition behind this result is fairly
straightforward. When business is booming, the best thing for shareholders is for
the firm to use a great deal of debt. The firm pays lenders a relatively low rate of
return, and the shareholders keep the rest.
64
II. EBIT/EPS analysis/approach to Capital Structure
• Considering risk in EBIT–EPS analysis
Graphically, the risk of each capital structure can be viewed in light of two
measures:
1. the financial breakeven point (EBIT-axis intercept) and
2. the degree of financial leverage reflected in the slope of the capital structure
line: the higher the financial breakeven point and the steeper the slope of
the capital structure line, the greater the financial risk.
65
II. EBIT/EPS analysis/approach to Capital Structure
• Further assessment of risk can be performed by using ratios. As financial
leverage (measured by the debt ratio) increases, we expect a corresponding
decline in the firm’s ability to make scheduled interest payments (measured
by the times interest earned ratio).
• Reviewing the three capital structures plotted for ABC Co. we can see that as
the debt ratio increases, so does the financial risk of each alternative. Both
the financial breakeven point and the slope of the capital structure lines
increase with increasing debt ratios.
66
II. EBIT/EPS analysis/approach to Capital Structure
• If we use the $100,000 EBIT value, for example, the times interest earned
ratio (EBIT ÷ interest) for the zero-leverage capital structure is infinity
($100,000 4 $0); for the 30% debt case, it is 6.67 ($100,000 ÷ $15,000); and
for the 60% debt case, it is 2.02 ($100,000 ÷ $49,500). Because lower times
interest earned ratios reflect higher risk, these ratios support the conclusion
that the risk of the capital structures increases with increasing financial
leverage. The capital structure for a debt ratio of 60% is riskier than that for a
debt ratio of 30%, which in turn is riskier than the capital structure for a debt
ratio of 0%.
67
III. The effect of capital structure on stock price and
the cost of capital
• Capital structure and Stock price
Difficult to predict the effect of changes in capital structure on stock price.
Capital structure that maximizes the stock price also minimizes the WACC.
• Capital structure and Cost of Capital
Increases in the Debt/Capital ratio increases the costs of both debt and
equity. Hence,
WACC = wd*(rd)*(1-T) + wc(rs); where wd and wc represent the percentage
of debt and equity in the firm’s capital structure that sum to 1.
Bondholders recognize that if a firm has a higher Debt/Capital ratio, this
increases the risk of financial distress which leads to higher interest rates.
68
Introduction to Capital Structure Theories
&
Using debt financing to constrain managers
69
I. Introduction - Capital Structure Theories
• Capital structure theories explain the relationship between cost of capital,
capital structure and value of the firm.
• The existence of an optimum capital structure is not accepted by all. There are
two extreme views or schools of thought regarding the existence of an optimum
capital structure.
1. Capital structure relevance theory: capital structure influences the value of
the firm and cost of capital and hence there exists an optimum capital
structure.
2. Capital structure irrelevance theory: advocates that capital structure has no
relevance and it does not influence the value of the firm and cost of capital.
• Reflecting these views, different theories of capital structure have been
developed.
70
I. Introduction - Capital Structure Theories
Assumptions Underlying the Theories:
In order to have a clear understanding of these theories and the relationship
between capital structure and value of the firm or cost of capital, the following
assumptions are made :
a. Firms employ only debt and equity.
b.The total assets of the firm are given.
c. The firm's total financing remains constant. The degree of leverage can be
changed by selling debt to repurchase shares or selling shares to retire debt.
d.The firm has 100% payout ratio, i.e., it pays 100% of its earnings as dividends.
71
I. Introduction - Capital Structure Theories
Assumptions Underlying the Theories…
e. The firm has perpetual life.
f. The operating earnings (EBIT) of the firm are not expected to grow.
g. The business risk is assumed to be constant and independent of capital
structure and financial risk.
h. Investors have the same subjective probability distribution of expected
future operating earnings for a given firm.
i. There are no corporate and personal taxes. This assumption is relaxed later.
72
I. Introduction - Capital Structure Theories
1. Modigliani and Miller Approach/Propositions
• Modern capital structure theory began in 1958 with Professors Franco
Modigliani and Merton Miller (hereafter, MM).
• MM approach provides behavioural justification for constant overall cost of
capital and, therefore, total value of the firm.
MM Approach – 1958: without tax
• MM Approach
MM Approach – 1963: with tax
73
I. Introduction - Capital Structure Theories
a) MM Approach – 1958: without tax
Assumptions of the MM Approach:
There is a perfect capital market. Capital markets are perfect when i) investors are
free to buy and sell securities, ii) they can borrow funds without restriction at the
same terms as the firms do, iii) they behave rationally, iv) they are well informed (all
investors have the same/complete information as management), and v) there are no
transaction/brokerage costs
There are no bankruptcy costs/No default risk.
There are no corporate taxes. This assumption has been removed/relaxed later.
Perpetual cash flow
74
I. Introduction - Capital Structure Theories
MM Proposition I: VL = VU (the value of the levered firm equals/is the same as the
value of the unlevered firm)
Intuition: Through homemade leverage, individuals can either duplicate or undo
the effects of corporate leverage.
for the firms in the same risk class, the total market value is independent of capital
structure and is determined by capitalising net operating income by the rate
appropriate to that risk class.
MV of Firm (V) = MV of Equity (S) + MV of Debt (D) = Net Operating Income (NOI)/K0
the average cost of capital is not affected (i.e. constant) by degree of leverage and is
determined as follows: K0 = Cost of capital = NOI/V
75
I. Introduction - Capital Structure Theories
MM Proposition I…
Arbitrage process - if levered firms are priced too high, rational investors will
arbitrage by borrowing on their personal accounts to buy shares in unlevered firms.
This substitution is often called homemade leverage; or investors replicate the firm’s
proposed capital structure or debt-equity ratio (i.e. at company level) at the personal
level.
Because of this arbitrage process, the market price of securities in higher valued
market will come down and the market price of securities in the lower valued market
will go up, and this switching process is continued until the equilibrium is established
in the market values.
76
I. Introduction - Capital Structure Theories
MM Proposition I…
view the capital structure (RHS) question in terms of a “pie” model, i.e. given for two
firms with identical on the left side of the balance sheet (i.e. their assets and
operations are exactly the same); the right sides are different because the two firms
finance their operations differently; the size of the pie is the same for both firms
because the value of the assets is the same; thus the size of the pie doesn’t depend
on how it is sliced.
77
I. Introduction - Capital Structure Theories
MM Proposition II: rS = r0 + B/S (r0 - rB)
Intuition: The cost of equity rises with leverage, because the risk to
equity rises with leverage. (required return/risk to equity holders rises with
leverage).
Although changing the capital structure of the firm does not change the firm’s
total value, it does cause important changes in the firm’s debt and equity.
Proposes that a firm’s cost of equity capital is a positive linear function of the
firm’s capital structure.
78
I. Introduction - Capital Structure Theories
MM Proposition II: rS = r0 + B/S (r0 - rB)...
defines the cost of equity, for any firm in a given risk class, is equal to the
constant average cost of capital (r0) plus a premium for the financial risk, which
is equal to debt - equity ratio, times the spread between average cost and cost
of debt. Thus, cost of equity is: rS = r0 + B/S (r0 - rB) where r0 can be substituted
for rA (required return on the firm’s overall assets) producing: rS = rA + B/S (r0 -
rB). Thus the cost of equity depends on three things: 1)The required rate of
return on the firm’s assets, rA; 2)the firm’s cost of debt, rB; and 3)the firm’s
debt-equity ratio, B/S.
79
I. Introduction - Capital Structure Theories
MM Proposition II: rS = r0 + B/S (r0 - rB)...
The firm’s overall cost of capital, K, will not increase
with the increase in the leverage, because the low –
cost advantage of debt capital will be exactly offset
by the increase in the cost of equity as caused by
increased risk to equity shareholders due to
borrowing. In other words, the change in the capital
structure weights (E/V and D/V) is exactly offset by
the change in the cost of equity (rS), so the WACC
stays the same.
80
I. Introduction - Capital Structure Theories
MM Proposition II: rS = r0 + B/S (r0 - rB)...
Example:
A Co. has a weighted average cost of capital (ignoring taxes) of 12%. It can
borrow at 8%. Assuming that the Co. has a target capital structure of 80%
equity and 20% debt, what is its cost of equity? What is the cost of equity if the
target capital structure is 50% equity? Calculate the WACC using your answers
to verify that it is the same.
According to MM II, the cost of equity, RE, is: RE = RA + (RA − RD ) × (D / E )
In the first case, the debt-equity ratio is .2/.8 = .25, so the cost of the equity is:
RE = .12 + (.12 − .08) × .25 = .13, or 13%.
81
I. Introduction - Capital Structure Theories
MM Proposition II: rS = r0 + B/S (r0 - rB)...
In the second case, verify that the debt-equity ratio is 1.0, so the cost of equity is
16%. RE = .12 + (.12 − .08) × 1.0 = .16, or 16%.
Now calculate the WACC assuming that the percentage of equity financing is 80%,
the cost of equity is 13%, and the tax rate is zero: WACC = (E / V) × RE + (D / V) × RD
= .80 × .13 + .20 × .08 = .12, or 12%
In the second case, the percentage of equity financing is 50% and the cost of
equity is 16%. The WACC is: WACC = (E / V) × RE + (D / V) × RD = .50 × .16 + .50 × .08
= .12, or 12%
As calculated, the WACC is 12% in both cases.
82
I. Introduction - Capital Structure Theories
b) MM Approach – 1958: with tax
MM later recognised ,the importance of the existence of corporate taxes.
the value of the firm will increase or the cost of capital will decrease with the
use of debt due to tax deductibility of interest charges.
the optimum capital structure can be achieved by maximising debt component
in the capital structure.
MM Proposition I (with taxes)
The value of the firm levered (VL) is equal to the value of the firm unlevered
(VU) plus the present value of the interest tax shield: VL = VU + TC × D
where TC is the corporate tax rate and D is the amount of debt.
83
I. Introduction - Capital Structure Theories
MM Proposition I (with taxes)…
Implications of Proposition I: (1) Debt financing is highly advantageous, and, in
the extreme, a firm’s optimal capital structure is 100 percent debt. (2) A firm’s
weighted average cost of capital (WACC) decreases as the firm relies more
heavily on debt financing.
Given/Assume:
EBIT is expected to be Br1,000 every year forever for both firms (L & U).
Firm L has issued Br1,000 worth of perpetual bonds with 8% interest each
year (i.e. pays Br80 interest every year forever). The tax rate is 21%.
84
I. Introduction - Capital Structure Theories
MM Proposition I (with taxes)…
the net income for firms U & L is:
The cash flow from assets is equal to EBIT –
Taxes assuming that depreciation is zero;
capital spending is zero and that there are
no changes in NWC for firms U and L: the cash flow to stockholders and
bondholders is:
87
I. Introduction - Capital Structure Theories
MM Proposition II (with taxes)
The V of the firm if it has no debt is: VU = (EBIT − Taxes)/RU = (EBIT × (1 − TC))/RU
= Br100/.20= Br500
From MM Proposition I with taxes, the value of the firm with debt is: VL = VU + TC ×
D= Br500 + .21 × Br500= Br605.
Because the firm is worth Br605 total and the debt is worth Br500, the equity is
worth Br105:E = VL − D= Br605 − 500= Br105.
Based on MM Proposition II with taxes, the cost of equity is:
RE = RU + ( RU − RD) × (D / E) × (1 − TC)= .20 + (.20 − .10) × (500 / 105) × (1 − .21)=
.5762, or 57.62%
Finally, the WACC is: WACC = (105 /605) × .5762 + (500 /605) × .10 × (1 − .21)
= .1653, or 16.53%; hence this is lower than the cost of capital for the firm with no
debt (RU = 20%), so debt financing is advantageous
88
I. Introduction to the theory of capital structure
2. Trade-off theory (also called “the trade-off theory of leverage.” )
The capital structure theory that states that firms trade off the tax benefits of
debt financing against problems caused by potential bankruptcy.
89
I. Introduction to the theory of capital structure
2. Trade-off theory (also called “the trade-off theory of leverage.” )…
There is some threshold level of debt, labeled D1 below which the probability of
bankruptcy is so low as to be immaterial. Beyond D1, however, bankruptcy-related costs
become increasingly important, and they begin to offset the tax benefits of debt. In the
range from D1 to D2, bankruptcy-related costs reduce but do not completely offset the tax
benefits of debt, so the firm’s stock price continues to rise (but at a decreasing rate) as its
debt ratio increases. However, beyond D2, bankruptcy-related costs exceed the tax
benefits, so from this point on, increasing the debt ratio lowers the stock price. Therefore,
D2 is the optimal capital structure, the one where the stock price is maximized.
Another disturbing aspect of capital structure theory expressed in the foregoing figure is
the fact that many large, successful firms such as Intel and Microsoft use far less debt than
the theory suggests. This point led to the development of signaling theory.
90
I. Introduction to the theory of capital structure
3. Signaling theory
Information asymmetry - The situation where managers have different (better)
information about firms’ prospects than do investors. contrary to MM
assumption of information symmetry.
Signal - An action taken by a firm’s management that provides clues to
investors about how management views the firm’s prospects.
a firm with very favorable prospects would be expected to avoid selling stock
and instead raise any required new capital by using new debt, even if this
moved its debt ratio beyond the target level.
a firm with unfavorable prospects would want to finance with stock, which
would mean bringing in new investors to share the losses.
the announcement of a stock offering is generally taken as a signal that the
firm’s prospects as seen by its management are not bright.
91
I. Introduction to the theory of capital structure
3. Signaling theory
What are the implications of all this for capital structure decisions? Issuing
stock emits a negative signal and thus tends to depress the stock price; even if
the company’s prospects are bright, a firm should, in normal times, maintain a
reserve borrowing capacity that can be used in the event that some especially
good investment opportunity comes along. This means that firms should, in
normal times, use more equity and less debt than is suggested by the tax
benefit/bankruptcy cost trade-off model.
Firms often use less debt than specified by the MM optimal capital structure in
“normal” times to ensure that they can obtain debt capital later if necessary.
92
II. Using debt financing to constrain managers
• Conflicts of interest between managers and shareholders are particularly likely when the
firm has more cash than is needed to support its core operations.
Managers often use excess cash to finance their pet projects or for perquisites such as plush
offices, corporate jets,… all of which may do little to benefit stock prices.
By contrast, managers with more limited free cash flow are less able to make wasteful
expenditures.
• Firms can reduce excess cash flow in a variety of ways.
to funnel some of it back to shareholders through higher dividends or stock repurchases.
to tilt the target capital structure toward more debt in the hope that higher debt service
requirements will force managers to become more disciplined (i.e. if debt is not serviced
as required, the firm will be forced into bankruptcy, in which case its managers would
lose their jobs. Therefore, a manager is less likely to buy an expensive corporate jet if the
firm has large debt service requirements).
93
II. Using debt financing to constrain managers
a leveraged buyout (LBO) is a good way to reduce excess cash flow. High debt
payments after the LBO force managers to conserve cash by eliminating unnecessary
expenditures.
• Of course, increasing debt and reducing free cash flow has its downside: It increases
the risk of bankruptcy. Higher debt forces managers to be more careful with
shareholders’ money, but even well-run firms can face bankruptcy (get stabbed) if
some event beyond their control, such as a war, an earthquake, a strike, or a
recession, occurs.
• The capital structure decision comes down to deciding how big a dagger (i.e. the
analogy - adding debt to a firm’s capital structure is like putting a dagger into the
steering wheel of a car) stockholders should use to keep managers in line.
94
End of Chapter 1 – Part 1
95
CHAPTER. 02
DIVIDEND/PAYOUT POLICY
14-1
Chapter Outline
I. Dividend theories
02-2
The Basics/Elements of Payout Policy
02-3
The Basics/Elements of Payout Policy
Dividend Decision
is a choice made by management on behalf of those stockholders
about what to do with their earnings.
theoretically, there are only two alternatives:
a) Earnings can be paid out as dividends (gives stockholders
current income) or
b) retained for reinvestment/growth in the business (retaining
earnings produces deferred income). Both options benefit
stockholders, but in different ways.
is the choice between paying more or less in near-term dividends,
i.e. implying trading off between the two stockholder benefits.
it is not a question of whether the stockholder gets a dividend or
gets nothing.
02-4
The Basics/Elements of Payout Policy
02-5
The Basics/Elements of Payout Policy
02-7
Dividend Controversy/Conflicting Theories
02-8
Relevance of Payout Policy
I. Dividend Irrelevance
a) The Residual Theory of Dividends
is a school of thought that suggests that the dividend paid by a
firm should be viewed as a residual—the amount left over after
all acceptable/viable investment opportunities have been
undertaken.
using this theory, the firm would treat the dividend decision in
three steps, as follows:
1. Determine its optimal level of capital expenditures, which
would be the level that exploits all of a firm’s positive NPV
projects.
2. Using the optimal capital structure proportions, estimate the
total amount of equity financing needed to support the
expenditures generated in Step 1.
02-9
Relevance of Payout Policy
I. Dividend Irrelevance…
a) The Residual Theory…
3. Because the cost of RE, rr, is less than the cost of new
common stock, rn, use REs to meet the equity requirement
determined in Step 2. If REs are inadequate to meet this
need, sell new common stock. If the available REs are in
excess of this need, distribute the surplus amount—the
residual—as dividends.
This view of dividends suggests that the required return of
investors, rs, is not influenced by the firm’s dividend policy, a
premise that in turn implies that dividend policy is irrelevant in
the sense that it does not affect firm value.
02-10
Relevance of Payout Policy
I. Dividend Irrelevance…
b) The Miller and Modigliani Theory
in a perfect world (certainty, no taxes, no transactions costs, and
no other market imperfections), the firm’s value is determined
solely by the earning power and risk of its assets (investments)
and that the manner in which it splits its earnings stream
between dividends and internally retained (and reinvested)
funds does not affect the value of the firm.
under dividend irrelevance the value of eliminated dividends is
offset by growth created value in the future.
based on the homemade dividend argument, dividend policy is
irrelevant
02-11
Homemade dividends
• Suppose individual Investor X prefers dividends per share of $100 at
both Dates 1 and 2. Would she be disappointed if informed that the
firm’s management was adopting the alternative dividend policy
(dividends of $110 and $89 on the two dates, respectively)?
• Not necessarily; she could easily reinvest the $10 of unneeded funds
received on Date 1 by buying more Wharton stock
• At 10%, this investment would grow to $11 by Date 2; investor X would
receive her desired net cash flow of $110 − 10 = $100 at Date 1 and $89
+ 11 = $100 at Date 2
• Imagine Investor Z, preferring $110 of cash flow at Date 1 and $89 of
cash flow at Date 2, finds that management will pay dividends of $100
at both Dates 1 and 2
• This investor can sell $10 worth of stock to boost his total cash at Date 1
to $110; because this investment returns 10%, Investor Z gives up $11
at Date 2 (= $10 × 1.1), leaving $100 − 11 = $89
• Our two investors can transform the corporation’s dividend policy into a
different policy by buying or selling on their own, resulting in a
homemade dividend policy
02-12
Modigliani-Miller
02-14
Relevance of Payout Policy
I. Dividend Irrelevance…
c) The Clientele Effect…
• Investors who would have to pay higher taxes on dividends
may prefer to invest in firms that retain more earnings
rather than paying dividends.
• If a firm changes its payout policy, the value of the firm will
not change—what will change is the type of investor who
holds the firm’s shares.
• The clientele effect maintains that investors choose stocks
for dividend policy, so any change in payments is disruptive.
02-15
Relevance of Payout Policy
I. Dividend Irrelevance…
c) The Clientele Effect…
Companies with high payouts will attract one group, and
low-payout companies will attract another
• Some groups (e.g., wealthy individuals) have an incentive
to pursue low-payout (or zero-payout) stocks
• Other groups (e.g., corporations) have an incentive to
pursue high-payout stocks
Clientele effect argument states that stocks attract
particular groups based on dividend yield and the resulting
tax effects
02-16
Relevance of Payout Policy
II. Dividend Relevance Arguments
Dividend relevance theory is the theory, advanced by Gordon
and Lintner, that there is a direct relationship between a firm’s
dividend policy and its market value.
a) Dividend preference/Bird-in-the-hand argument/theory
is the belief, in support of dividend relevance theory which
maintains that generally stockholders prefer receiving
dividends to not receiving them.
the argument is based on the uncertainty of the future (is not
a time value of money argument).
02-17
Relevance of Payout Policy
II. Dividend Relevance Arguments…
a) Dividend preference/Bird-in-the-hand theory…
it asserts that stockholders prefer current dividends to future
capital gains, because something paid today is more certain to
be received than something expected in the future.
investors see current dividends as less risky than future
dividends or capital gains.
dividends are less risky, thus, high dividend payout ratios will
lower ke (reducing the cost of capital), and increase stock price.
Because of the desire for current income and related factors
(e.g. Resolution of uncertainty), a high-dividend policy is best.
02-18
Relevance of Payout Policy
02-21
Possible Stock Price Effects
Bird-in-Hand
40
30 Irrelevance
20
Tax preference
10
14-22
Possible Cost of Equity Effects
15 Irrelevance
10 Bird-in-Hand
14-23
Implications of 3 Theories for Managers
Theory Implication
Irrelevance Any payout OK
Bird in the hand Set high payout
Tax preference Set low payout
02-25
Factors Affecting Dividend Policy
Legal Constraints
Most states prohibit corporations from paying out as cash
dividends any portion of the firm’s “legal capital,” which is
typically measured by the par value of common stock.
These capital impairment restrictions are generally established
to provide a sufficient equity base to protect creditors’ claims.
If a firm has overdue liabilities or is legally insolvent or
bankrupt, most states prohibit its payment of cash dividends.
02-27
Factors Affecting Dividend Policy
Contractual Constraints
Often the firm’s ability to pay cash dividends is constrained by
restrictive provisions in a loan agreement.
Generally, these constraints prohibit the payment of cash
dividends until the firm achieves a certain level of earnings, or
they may limit dividends to a certain dollar amount or
percentage of earnings.
Constraints on dividends help to protect creditors from losses
due to the firm’s insolvency.
02-28
Factors Affecting Dividend Policy
Growth Prospects
A growth firm is likely to have to depend heavily on internal
financing through retained earnings, so it is likely to pay out
only a very small percentage of its earnings as dividends.
A more established firm is in a better position to pay out a
large proportion of its earnings, particularly if it has ready
sources of financing.
02-29
Factors Affecting Dividend Policy
Owner Considerations
Tax status of a firm’s owners: If a firm has a large percentage of
wealthy stockholders who have sizable incomes, it may decide
to pay out a lower percentage of its earnings to allow the
owners to delay the payment of taxes until they sell the stock.
Owners’ investment opportunities: If it appears that the
owners have better opportunities externally, the firm should
pay out a higher percentage of its earnings.
Potential dilution of ownership: If a firm pays out a high
percentage of earnings, new equity capital will have to be
raised with common stock. The result of a new stock issue may
be dilution of both control and earnings for the existing
owners.
02-30
Factors Affecting Dividend Policy
Market Considerations
Catering theory is a theory that says firms cater to the
preferences of investors, initiating or increasing dividend
payments during periods in which high-dividend stocks are
particularly appealing to investors.
02-31
Types of Dividend Policies
02-32
Types of Dividend Policies
02-33
Types of Dividend Policies
02-34
A test
02-35
CHAPTER 3
Financial Forecasting & Planning
14-1
Chapter Outline
02-3
Financial planning
02-4
Financial planning
02-5
Financial planning
02-6
Financial planning
02-8
Financial planning
02-9
Financial planning
02-10
The Percentage-of-Sales Model
02-11
The Percentage-of-Sales Model
02-12
The Percentage-of-Sales Model
02-13
The Percentage-of-Sales Model
Example
Top Company has prepared the following Balance Sheet and Income
Statement for the year ended December 31, 2005.
Assets Liabilities and Stockholders’ Equity
Cash 175,000 A/P 140,000
A/R 150,000 Accrued liabilities 150,000
Inventory 800,000 Mortgage N/P 1,410,000
Plant Assets, Net 1,500,000 Common Stock 800,000
Retained earnings 125,000
Total 2,625,000 Total 2,625,000
Sales 2500000
Costs and Expenses except depreciation 1,400,000
Depreciation 200,000
Total costs and expenses 1,600,000
Income before taxes 900,000
Taxes (40%) 360,000
Net Income 540,000
02-14
The Percentage-of-Sales Model
• Additional Information
The company plans to have dividend payout ratio of 45%
Sales are expected to increase by 25% during next year (2006).
All assets are affected by sales proportionately. Accounts Payable
and accrued liabilities are also affected by sales.
All expenses are directly proportional to sales
The firm has been operating at full capacity.
The company has no preferred stock.
Assume that additional funds needed would be financed from
bond issue and common stock in 40% and 60% respectively.
02-15
The Percentage-of-Sales Model
02-16
The Percentage-of-Sales Model
02-17
The Percentage-of-Sales Model
02-18
The Percentage-of-Sales Model
02-19
The Percentage-of-Sales Model
02-20
The Percentage-of-Sales Model
Determinants of External Capital (Fund) Requirements
1. Sales growth rate
• The higher the sales growth rate, the greater the need for external capital
and vice versa
• The financial feasibility of the expansion plans should be reconsidered if
the company expects difficulties in raising the required capital.
2. Dividend payout ratio
• The higher the payout ratio, the greater the need for external capital
requirement
• Management should balance between internally generated funds (by
reducing payout ratio) and the need for increasing stock price because
divided policy affects stock price.
3. Capital intensity
• Capital intensity refers to the amount of asset required per Birr of sales
• Capital intensity Ratio = Assets/ Sales
• The lower capital intensity ratio, the lower the need for external capital
02-21
The Percentage-of-Sales Model
Excess capacity Adjustments
The assumption of constant ratio between assets and sales may
not always hold true. In that case, the percentage of sales model
or Additional Funds Needed model is not appropriate.
What are the conditions under which constant ratios are not
maintained between asset, and sales?
1. Economies of scale
Economies of scale imply that as a plant gets larger and volume
increases, the average cost per unit of output drops. This is
particularly due to lower operating and capital cost. A piece of
equipment with twice that capacity of another piece typically
does not cost twice as much to purchase or operate. Plants also
gain efficiencies when they become large enough to fully utilize
dedicated resources for tasks such as materials handling,
computer equipment, and administrative support personnel.
02-22
The Percentage-of-Sales Model
Excess capacity Adjustments …
2. Lumpy asset increments
02-25
The Percentage-of-Sales Model
02-26
The Percentage-of-Sales Model
• Increase in sales without increase in Fixed Assets (FA)
= Full capacity sales – current sales = 1,250,000 – 1,000,000 = 250,000
• Required level of FA = (TFA to sales ratio) x (projected sales)
= 0.48 x 1,400,000 = 672,000
• Additional Investment in FA = (1,400,000 – 1,250,000) x 0.48 = 72,000
• Increase in Current assets = 0.15 x 400,000 = 60,000
• Spontaneously generated funds= 0.09 x 400,000 = 36,000
• Internally generated funds = M (S1) (1-d) = 0.10(1,400,000) (1 –0.60)
= 56,000
• AFN = (72,000 + 60,000) – (36,000 + 56,000)
= 132,000 – 92,000 = 40,000
02-27
The Pro-forma Financial Statement Method
02-28
CHAPTER. 4 & 5
• Therefore,
Tracing capital and net working capital
(continued)
Activities that Increase Cash, Activities that Decrease Cash,
or Sources of Cash or Uses of Cash
• Increasing long-term debt • Decreasing long-term debt
(borrowing over the long term) (paying off a long-term debt)
• Increasing equity (selling some • Decreasing equity (repurchasing
stock) some stock)
• Increasing current liabilities • Decreasing current liabilities
(getting a 90-day loan) (paying off a 90-day loan)
• Decreasing current assets other • Increasing current assets other
than cash (selling some than cash (buying some
inventory for cash) inventory for cash)
• Decreasing fixed assets (selling • Increasing fixed assets (buying
some property) some property)
The operating cycle and The cash cycle
• Primary concern in short-term finance is the firm’s short-run operating
and financing activities
• For a typical manufacturing firm, these short-run activities might
consist of the following sequence of events and decisions:
• Operating cycle is the period between the acquisition of inventory and the
collection of cash from receivables (i.e., 105 days in our example)
• Inventory period is the time it takes to acquire and sell the inventory
(i.e., a 60-day span in our example)
• Accounts receivable period is the time between sale of inventory and
collection of the receivable (i.e., 45 days in our example)
Defining the Cash Cycle
• Notice the cash flows and other events that occur are not synchronized
• Cash cycle is the time between cash disbursement and cash collection
(i.e., 75 days in our example)
figure - cash flow time line and the short-term operating
activities of a typical manufacturing firm
The operating cycle and the firm’s
organizational chart
• Short-term financial management in a large corporation involves
several different financial and nonfinancial managers
Calculating the operating and
cash cycles
• In our earlier example, the lengths of time that made up the
different periods were obvious
• Using only financial statement information requires more work
• Balance sheet information is shown below:
• Operating and cash cycles can also be different for companies within
the same industry
The cash budget
• Cash budget is a forecast of cash receipts and disbursements for the
next planning period
• Assume all Fun Toys’ cash inflows come from the sale of toys
• Sales forecast for the coming year, by quarter:
• Even so, our plan highlights the fact that in about 90 days, Fun Toys will
need to borrow $60 million or so on a short-term basis
• Plan also illustrates that financing the firm’s short-term needs will cost
about $3.4 million in interest (before taxes) for the year
• If Fun Toys’ sales are expected to keep growing, then the deficit of $20
million-plus will probably also keep growing, and the need for
additional financing will be permanent
Reasons for Holding Cash
• John Maynard Keynes identified three motives for liquidity:
1. Speculative motive is the need to hold cash to take advantage of
additional investment opportunities, such as bargain purchases
2. Precautionary motive is the need to hold cash as a safety margin to
act as a financial reserve
3. Transaction motive is the need to hold cash to satisfy normal
disbursement and collection activities associated with a firm’s
ongoing operations
• When we talk about availability delay, how long it actually takes a check
to clear isn’t really crucial; rather, what matters is how long we must
wait before the bank grants availability—that is, use of the funds
Cost of the float
• Suppose the Lambo Corporation has average daily receipts of $1,000
and a weighted average delay of three days. The average daily float is 3
× $1,000 = $3,000. This means that, on a typical day, there is $3,000
that is not earning interest. Suppose Lambo could eliminate the float
entirely. What would be the benefit? If it costs $2,000 to eliminate the
float, what is the NPV of doing so?
Cost of the float
(continued)
• Figure - illustrates what happens if the float is eliminated entirely on
some Day t in the future
• Only change occurs the first day; on that day, as usual, Lambo collects
$1,000 from the sale made three days before. Because the float is gone,
it also collects on the sales made two days before, one day before, and
that same day, for an additional $3,000
• Total collections on Day t are $4,000 instead of $1,000
• PV of eliminating the float is equal to the total float
• If it costs $2,000 to eliminate the float, then the NPV is $3,000 − 2,000 =
$1,000; so Lambo should do it
Ethical and legal questions
• Cash manager must work with collected bank cash balances and not the
firm’s book balance (which reflects checks that have been deposited
but not collected)
• If this is not done, a cash manager could be drawing on uncollected
cash as a source of funds for short-term investing
• Most banks charge a penalty rate for the use of uncollected funds
• However, banks may not have good enough accounting and control
procedures to be fully aware of the use of uncollected funds
• Systematic overdrafting of accounts (or check kiting) is neither legal nor
ethical, but despite stiff penalties for check kiting, the practice
continues
• In May 2019, a Kansas couple was indicted for a check kiting scheme
involving more than $2 billion in checks
• Fraud involved 409 wire transfers and 7,584 checks
Electronic data interchange and check 21:
the end of float?
• Electronic data interchange (EDI) refers to the growing practice of
direct, electronic information exchange between all types of businesses
• One important use of EDI, often called financial EDI or FEDI, is to
electronically transfer financial information and funds between parties,
thereby eliminating paper invoices, paper checks, mailing, and handling
• As the use of FEDI increases, float management will evolve to focus
much more on issues surrounding computerized information exchange
and funds transfers
• One of the drawbacks of EDI (and FEDI) is that it is expensive and
complex to set up
• On October 29, 2004, the Check Clearing Act for the 21st Century, also
known as Check 21, took effect
• Now, a bank can transmit an electronic image of the check to the
customer’s bank and receive payment immediately
Cash collection and concentration
• Basic parts of cash collection process can be depicted as follows:
• In our discussion that follows, we will assume the firm has a flexible
policy
The basic idea
• If a firm tries to keep its cash
holdings too low, it will find itself
running out of cash more often
than is desirable and selling
marketable more frequently than
would be the case if the cash
balance were higher
• Trading costs will be high when
the cash balance is small, and
these costs will fall as the cash
balance becomes larger
• Opportunity costs of holding cash
are low if the firm holds little cash
• These costs increase as the cash
holdings rise because the firm is
giving up more interest that could
have been earned
The bat model
• Baumol-Allais-Tobin (BAT) model is a classic means of analyzing our
cash management problem
• In our original case, where the initial cash balance is $1.2 million, the
average balance is $600,000; interest Golden Socks could have earned on
this (at 10%) is $60,000, so this is what the firm gives up with this strategy
• Notice opportunity costs increase as initial (and average) cash balance rises
The trading costs
• Total amount of cash disbursed during the year is $600,000 per
week, so T = $600,000 × 52 weeks = $31.2 million
• If initial cash balance is set at C = $1.2 million, Golden Socks will sell
$1.2 million in marketable securities:
T/C = $31.2 million/$1.2 million = 26 times per year
• It costs F dollars each time, so trading costs are given by:
($31.2million / $1.2million) × F = 26 × F
• In general, the total trading costs will be given by:
Trading costs = (T/C) × F
• If F were $1,000 in this example, trading costs would be $26,000
The total cost
• Now that we have the opportunity costs and the trading costs, we
can calculate the total cost by adding them together:
Total cost = Opportunity costs + Trading costs
= (C/2) × R + (T/C) × F
• Notice how the total cost starts out at almost $250,000 ($246,500)
and declines to $82,000 before starting to rise again
The solution
The solution
(continued)
The BAT MODEL: AN EXAMPLE
THE MILLER-ORR MODEL:
A MORE GENERAL APPROACH
• Miller-Orr model describes a cash management system designed to
deal with cash inflows and outflows that fluctuate randomly from
day to day
• Unlike the situation with the BAT model, we assume this balance
fluctuates up and down randomly and the average change is zero
Using the model
• Management sets the lower limit (L), essentially defining a safety
stock; where it is set depends on how much risk of a cash shortfall
the firm is willing to tolerate
• As with BAT model, optimal cash balance depends on trading costs
and opportunity costs
• Cost per transaction of buying and selling marketable securities, F, is
assumed to be fixed
• Opportunity cost of holding cash is R, the interest rate per period on
marketable securities
• σ2 is the variance of the net cash flow per period
• Given L, which is set by the firm, Miller and Orr show that the cash
balance target, C*, and the upper limit, U*, that minimize the total
costs of holding cash are:
C* = L + (3/4 × F × σ2/R)(1/3)
U* = 3 × C* − 2 × L
Average cash balance = (4 × C* − L)/3
Using the model
(continued)
• Suppose F = $10, the interest rate is 1% per month, and the standard
deviation of the monthly net cash flows is $200
• The variance of the monthly net cash flows is:
σ2 = $2002 = $40,000
• If L = $100, the cash balance target, C*, is:
C * = L + (3/4 × F × σ2/R)1/3
= $100 + (3/4 × $10 × $4 0,000/.01 )1/3
= $100 + 30,000,0001/3 = $100 + 311 = $411
• The upper limit, U*, is:
U * = 3 × C* − 2 × L
= 3 × $411 − 2 × $100 = $1,032
• Finally, the average cash balance will be:
Average cash balance = (4 × C* − L)/3
= (4 × $411 − $100)/3 = $514
Implications of the bat
and MILLER-ORR models
• In both models, all other things being equal, we see that:
• The greater the interest rate, the lower is the target cash balance
• The greater the order cost, the higher is the target cash balance
• Miller-Orr model shows that the greater the uncertainty (the higher
σ2 is), the greater the difference between the target balance and the
minimum balance will be
• Similarly, the greater the uncertainty, the higher the upper limit and
the average cash balance will be
Other factors influencing the target cash balance
• In our discussion of cash management, we assume cash is invested in
marketable securities (e.g., Treasury bills), and the firm obtains cash by
selling these securities
• Another alternative is to borrow cash, but borrowing introduces
additional considerations to cash management:
1. Borrowing is likely to be more expensive than selling marketable
securities because the interest rate is likely to be higher
2. The need to borrow will depend on management’s desire to hold low
cash balances
• For large firms, the trading costs of buying and selling securities are
small when compared to the opportunity costs of holding cash
• A large firm will buy and sell securities very often before it will opt to
leave substantial amounts of cash idle
Credit and receivables
• When a firm sells goods and services, it can demand cash on or before
the delivery date, or it can extend credit to customers and allow some
delay in payment
• If Locust does switch to net 30 days on sales, the quantity sold will rise
to Q′ = 110. Monthly revenues will increase to P × Q′, and costs will be v
× Q′. The monthly cash flow under the new policy will be:
NPV of switching policies…
• Relevant incremental cash flow is the difference between the new and
old cash flows:
Incremental cash inflow = (P − v)(Q′ − Q)
= ($49 − 20) × (110 − 100) = $290
• Present value of the future incremental cash flows is:
• When the customer files for bankruptcy, the credit-granting firm is just
another unsecured creditor
• The firm can wait, or it can sell its receivable
Inventory management
• Financial manager of a firm will not normally have primary control over
inventory management
• Other functional areas (e.g., purchasing, production, and marketing)
will usually share decision-making authority regarding inventory
• For a manufacturer, inventory is normally classified into one of three
categories:
1. Raw material is whatever the firm uses as a starting point in its
production process.
2. Work-in-progress is unfinished products
3. Finished goods are products ready to ship or sell
• Keep in mind three things concerning inventory types:
• Names for different types of inventory can be misleading because one
company’s raw materials can be another’s finished goods
• Various types of inventory can be different in terms of liquidity
• Derived (or dependent demand) items versus independent items
Inventory costs
• Carrying costs represent all the direct and opportunity costs of keeping
inventory on hand and include:
1. Storage and tracking costs
2. Insurance and taxes
3. Losses due to obsolescence, deterioration, or theft
4. The opportunity cost of capital on the invested amount
• Shortage costs are associated with having inventory on hand and
consist of two components:
1. Restocking or order costs are either the costs of placing an order
with suppliers or the costs of setting up a production run
2. Costs related to safety reserves are opportunity costs such as lost
sales and loss of customer goodwill that result from having
inadequate inventory
• Basic trade-off exists in inventory management because carrying costs
increase with inventory levels, whereas shortage or restocking costs
decline with inventory levels
Inventory management techniques:
ABC approach
• Basic idea is to divide inventory into
three (or more) groups
• Underlying rationale is that a small
portion of inventory in terms of
quantity might represent a large
portion in terms of inventory value
• As Figure 20.2 shows, A Group
comprises only 10% of inventory by
item count, but represents more than
half of the value of inventory
• Items monitored closely; inventory
levels are kept relatively low
• C Group are basic inventory items
(e.g., nuts and bolds); crucial and
inexpensive, so large quantities are
ordered and kept on hand
• B Group consists of in-between items
Inventory management techniques:
economic order quantity (EOQ) model
• Best-known approach for explicitly
establishing an optimal inventory
level
• Basic idea illustrated in Figure
20.3, which plots various costs
associated with holding inventory
against inventory levels
• With the EOQ model, we will
attempt to specifically locate the
minimum total cost point, Q*
• Keep in mind is the cost of the
inventory itself is not included
• This is because the total amount
of inventory the firm needs in a
given year is dictated by sales
EOQ model: inventory depletion
• To develop the EOQ, we will assume that the firm’s inventory is sold at
a steady rate until it hits zero
• At that point, firm restocks its inventory back to some optimal level
• Suppose the Eyssell Corporation starts out today with 3,600 units of a
particular item in inventory. Annual sales of this item are 46,800 units,
which is about 900 per week.
• If Eyssell sells off 900 units of inventory each week, then all the
available inventory will be sold after four weeks, and Eyssell will restock
by ordering (or manufacturing) another 3,600 units and start over
• This selling and restocking process produces a sawtooth pattern for
inventory holdings
• Eyssell always starts with 3,600 units and ends up at zero
• On average, then, inventory is half of 3,600, or 1,800 units
EOQ model: the carrying costs
• Carrying costs are normally assumed to be directly proportional to
inventory levels
• If we let CC be the carrying cost per unit per year, Eyssell’s total carrying
costs will be:
Total carrying costs = Average inventory × Carrying cost per unit
= (Q/2) × CC
• In Eyssell’s case, if carrying costs were $.75 per unit per year, total
carrying costs would be the average inventory of 1,800 units multiplied
by $.75, or $1,350 per year
EOQ model: the restocking costs
• Restocking costs are normally assumed to be fixed
• For Eyssell, order costs might be $50 per order, so the total restocking
cost for 13 orders would be $50 × 13 = $650 per year
EOQ model: the total costs
• Total costs associated with holding inventory are the sum of the
carrying costs and the restocking costs:
Total costs = Carrying costs + Restocking costs
= (Q/2) × CC + F × (T/Q)
• Our goal is to find the value of Q, the restocking quantity, that
minimizes this cost
• For Eyssell, carrying costs (CC) were $.75 per unit per year, fixed costs
(F) were $50 per order, and total unit sales (T) were 46,800 units
• With these numbers, here are some possible total costs:
EOQ model: the total costs (continued)
• We can find the minimum point by setting carrying costs equal
restocking costs and solving for Q*:
Carrying costs = Restocking costs
(Q*/2) × CC = F × (T/Q*
• With a little algebra, we get:
Q*2 = (2T×F)/CC
• Economic order quantity (EOQ) is the restocking quantity that
minimizes the total inventory costs
Carrying costs and restocking costs
The EOQ
Extensions to the EOQ model
• We have assumed a company will let its inventory run down to zero and
then reorder, but a company will wish to reorder before its inventory
goes to zero for two reasons:
1. By always having some inventory on hand, firm minimizes risk of a
stockout (and resulting losses of sales and customers)
2. When a firm does reorder, there will be some time lag before the
inventory arrives