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04-10-2023

So far we have only considered private sector output.


Errol D’Souza

Macroeconomics – What is it about?


Total output in a country = Private Sector Output
Errol D’Souza + Government Output

Many things that government produces such as


defence and police services are not income
generators and they are not provided through
a market.

In practice output of government is measured by its


costs, which is the expenses it incurs on its
employees and what it pays for goods and
services.
Aggregate output of a country = Private Sector Output
+ Government Costs
Email: errol@iima.ac.in

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Errol D’Souza Errol D’Souza

Connecting Output with Income - Connecting Output with Income -

Product = Output Sold + Unsold Output + Work in Progress Product = Output Sold + Unsold Output + Work in Progress
= Output Sold + Change in Stocks (Inventory)
= Output Sold + Final demand (purchase) by producer

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Errol D’Souza Errol D’Souza

Connecting Output with Income - Product generates revenues for the firm
PRODUCT = Output Sold + Unsold Output + Work in Progress
Claims on the revenues of the firm are -
= Output Sold + Change in Stocks (Inventory)
= Output Sold + Final demand (purchase) by producer Revenues = Payments to + Payments to + Interest + Profits
Inputs from Workers Payments
Other Firms (Employees)
Output Sold in turn comprises - (Suppliers)

Output Sold = Final Purchases by Consumers (Consumer goods) = Inter-firm + Wages + Capital Incomes
+ Final Purchases by Producers (Capital goods) Purchases
+ Intermediate Input Purchases by Producers
(Inter-firm Purchases)

= Final Purchases + Inter-firm Purchases

 PRODUCT = Final Purchases + Inter-firm Purchases

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Errol D’Souza Errol D’Souza

Output generates revenues for the firm Output generates revenues for the firm

Claims on the revenues of the firm are - Claims on the revenues of the firm are -

Revenues = Payments to + Payments to + Interest + Profits Revenues = Payments to + Payments to + Interest + Profits
Inputs from Workers Payments Inputs from Workers Payments
Other Firms (Employees) Other Firms (Employees)
(Suppliers) (Suppliers)

= Inter-firm + Wages + Capital Incomes = Inter-firm + Wages + Capital Incomes


Purchases Purchases
Hence, Hence,
Interfirm + Wages + Capital Incomes = Final Purchases by Inter-firm + Wages + Capital Incomes = Final Purchases by
Purchases consumers and producers Purchases consumers and producers
+ Inter-firm Purchases + Inter-firm Purchases
Or,
Wages + Capital Incomes = Final Purchases

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Errol D’Souza Errol D’Souza

Since, Value added = Revenue – Inter-firm Purchases • Part of the revenue received by the firm is in the
= Wages + Capital Incomes form of indirect taxes levied by government
we may write over which firm has no claims.
Wages + Capital Incomes = Final Purchases
• Then part of revenues must be set aside to replace
as equipment worn out during production – dep-
Value Added = Final Demand reciation.
(Income) (Output)

However, when connecting measured output to income


we must take care to relate them appropriately.

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Errol D’Souza Errol D’Souza

• Part of the revenue received by the firm is in the Only after paying out indirect taxes to government
form of indirect taxes levied by government will firm be able to pay out to suppliers,
over which firm has no claims. employees, and owners of assets of the firm.

NDP – Indirect Taxes = Aggregate Domestic Income


• Then part of revenues must be set aside to replace
equipment worn out during production – dep-
reciation.

GDP – Depreciation = Net Domestic Product (NDP)


It is NDP that constitutes output sold to generate
revenues for the firm

From those revenues the firm must pay out indirect


taxes it collects on behalf of government.

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Errol D’Souza Errol D’Souza

Only after paying out indirect taxes to government


Some terminology that is used by national income
will firm be able to pay out to suppliers,
accountants -
employees, and owners of assets of the firm.
Aggregate output measured at prices at which actually
NDP – Indirect Taxes = Aggregate Domestic Income
sold is referred to as GDP at market prices.
Combine this with -
GDP at market prices – Depreciation = NDP at market
GDP – Depreciation = Net Domestic Product (NDP) prices

to obtain, NDP at market prices – Indirect taxes = NDP at factor


GDP = Aggregate Domestic Income (less subsidies) cost
+ Indirect Taxes
+ Depreciation NDP at factor cost = Aggregate domestic income earned
Or, Output = Income from output produced within the
national territory.
Macroeconomists measure Income as the sum of
aggregate domestic income, indirect taxes and
depreciation. Income measured this way equals output.

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Errol D’Souza Errol D’Souza

Year→ 2018-19 2021-22 Year→ 2018-19 2021-22

GDP (market prices) 189,996.68 234,710.12 GDP (market prices) 189,996.68 234,710.12

Depreciation 19,842.90 26,744.58 Depreciation 19,842.90 26,744.58

NDP (market prices) 169,153.78 207,965.54 NDP (market prices) 169,153.78 207,965.54

Indirect Taxes less Subsidies 17,245.40 20,321.28 Indirect Taxes less Subsidies 17,245.40 20,321.28
NDP (factor cost) = Aggregate Domestic 151,908.38 187,644.26 NDP (factor cost) = Aggregate Domestic 151,908.38 187,644.26
Income Income

GVA (basic prices) 171,751.28 214,388.84 GVA (basic prices) 171,751.28 214,388.84
2021-22:
N.B.: Figures are in Rupees Billion Per Capita Monthly GDP = Rs. 14,287.20
Per Capita Annual GDP = Rs. 171,446.40
Population = 1.369 bn.
In India the percentage of working age population was 47%.
Then, Per Capita Monthly GDP of working age population is
Note: Basic Prices = Factor Cost; GVA = GDP ₹ 30,398.30

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Errol D’Souza
Figure 1.2: Components of GDP at market prices
Indirect taxes (7.7%) Depreciation (10.3%)
GDP is decomposed in another way on the basis of
citizenship.

Some Indian citizens and their assets work for foreign


owned companies and some foreign citizens
and their assets work for Indian owned
companies.

Thus revenues from sales of output of Indian firms


do not automatically become incomes in the
Aggregate Domestic hands of Indian citizens.
Income (82 %)

We must include incomes earned by Indian factors


from abroad and exclude incomes paid to
2018-19: Depreciation = 10.4% foreign factors by Indian firms.
Indirect taxes = 9.5%

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Errol D’Souza Errol D’Souza

Net Factor Incomes from Abroad = Income paid to Payments to domestic factors
domestic factors of of production from rest of world = INR 1,919.43 billion
production by the (2021-22)
rest of the world
minus Income paid
to foreign factors of Compensation to Indian Payments in form of
production by the employees = ₹ 1,445.53 property and entrep-
domestic economy reneurial income
= ₹ 473.90
Gross National Product = GDP + Net Factor Incomes
from abroad Payments made out to factors from
rest of world by India = INR 4,697.51 billion
GDP – measure of output produced within a country’s
borders regardless of whether or not it is prod- Compensation to Employees = ₹ 228.32
uced by a country’s citizens. Payments to property & entrepreneurial income = ₹ 4,469.19
GNP – Output produced by a country’s citizens regar-
dless of where in the world they work. For 2021-22 Net Factor Incomes were ─ ₹ 2,778.08 bn.

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Year→ 2018-19
National Income of a country comprises two compo- GDP (market prices) 190,101.64
nents -
Depreciation 19,793.18
Net Domestic Net Factor NDP (market prices)
Net National Product = 170,308.46
Product at + Incomes
at Factor Cost
Factor Cost From abroad Indirect Taxes less Subsidies 18,103.49
(Aggregate NDP (factor cost) = Aggregate Domestic
(National Income) 152,204.97
Domestic Income
Income) Net Factor Incomes from abroad -1,936.26

NNP (factor cost) = National Income 150,268.71

Per capita National Income = INR 112,984


Per Capita Monthly National Income = INR 9,415
N.B.: Figures are in Rupees Billion
Find: (1) GNPFC (2) GNPMP (3) NNPMP

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Errol D’Souza Errol D’Souza

National Income GNPMP


Components of Gross Value Added at basic prices, 2019-20
Relationships
Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing 33,940.33
Mining & Quarrying 3,558.33 20.31%
NNPMP GDPMP GNPFC
Manufacturing 27,122.69
Electricity, Gas, Water Supply & Other 4,836.44 17.31%
utilities
Services 115,155.64 62.38%
Construction 13,686.38
Hotels, transport, communication &
NDP NNP GDP services related to broadcasting 34,802.40
MP FC FC
Finance, real estate, & professional 39,158.48
services
Public Administration, Defence, & Other 27,508.37
Services
Depreciation Gross Value Added at Basic Prices 184,613.43
Net Indirect Taxes NDP GDP at Market Prices 203,510.13
FC
Net Income from Abroad

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Errol D’Souza Errol D’Souza

Share of Components of Gross Value Added at basic prices, 2021-22,


measured in constant prices Components of GDP - Shares of Sectors
Percent
70
Agriculture, Forestry & Fishing 15.6
Mining & Quarrying 2.2 17.8% 60

Manufacturing 18.7
50
Electricity, Gas, Water Supply & Other 2.3 21 %
utilities 40

Share
Services 61.2 61.2%
30
Construction 8.2
Hotels, transport, communication & 20

services related to broadcasting 18.8


10
Finance, real estate, & professional 22.4 (financial
services services = 6.0) 0
1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5 7 9 1 3 5
Public Administration, Defence, & Other 12.7 (public admin & -5 -5 -5 -5 -5 -6 -6 -6 -6 -6 -7 -7 -7 -7 -7 -8 -8 -8 -8 -8 -9 -9 -9
50 952 954 956 958 960 962 964 966 968 970 972 974 976 978 980 982 984 986 988 990 992 994 996 998 000 002 004 -07
-9 -9 -0 -0 -0 Q
E

19 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 06
Services defense = 5.7) 20
Year
Gross Value Added at Basic Prices ₹ 137,980.25
Agriculture Industry Services
GDP at Market Prices ₹ 149,258.40

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Sectoral Shares in Real Gross Value Added


Errol D’Souza Errol D’Souza

Sectoral Composition of GDP


70

60

50

40

30

20

10

Agriculture & Allied Activities Industry Services

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Incomes earned from output are usually attributed to


factor that is the source of earnings – wages of
labour, rent from land, buildings & equipment,
interest on loans, and profit to entrepreneurs.

In India a predominant number of people are self –


employed – 53% of workers in 1999-2000.

Self-employed individuals do not attribute their


incomes under pure categories like entreprene-
urship or labour and their incomes are classified
as mixed income.

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NDP by Factor Incomes


1997-98 1998-99 2004-2005 GDP of Public Sector
2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
Compensation of Employees 4,404.87 5,122.67 9,242.07

Operating Surplus Share of Public Sector GDP 26.71% 28.08% 27.19%


7,976.65 9,177.94 15,992.34
Mixed Income

GDP of Public Sector


How is income spent?
1998-99 1999-00 2005-06
By the private sector and by government (public
sector). GDP (factor cost) 15,981.27 17,865.25 32,509.32
GDP (public sector) 4,066.40 4,570.06 7,485.28
Share of Public Sector GDP 25.4% 25.6% 23.0%

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Errol D’Souza Errol D’Souza

Expenditures by the government are of three types - Transfers are redistributions of income – the govern-
ment collects taxes from some people and
• Consumption expenditure – Expenditure on redistributes to others.
current economic activities that result in
output in the current accounting period.
Transfers do not represent any additional economic
• Investment expenditure – e.g. building of roads production. By counting these we would be
and purchase of aircraft – expenditures on counting the incomes earned that were taxed
long lived capital goods and then redistributed back among citizens.

• Transfer payments – direct payments that agents Only expenditure on consumption and investment
in the economy receive without having to sell is included in expenditure by the public
anything to the government in return – e.g. sector.
welfare payments, subsidies, interest paym-
ents on borrowings by government.

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Expenditure on the private sector is subdivided into


expenditure by households and businesses.
Economic Classification of Central Govt. Expenditure
1999-00 2001-02 2005-06(BE) Most household expenditure is on consumption
whether of non-durable goods such as food
Consumption Expenditure 688.31 773.24 1,256.07
or durable goods such as t.v. sets & refrigerators
Transfers 1,615.49 2,011.88 3,001.56
Most investment expenditure such as purchase of
Capital Formation 771.29 821.04 872.32 machinery and factory space or additions to
inventory is deemed to be done by businesses
or firms
On average Transfers constitute 55.5% of Central
government expenditures in the last few years. In India due to self employment investment expen-
diture is by firms and households with house-
holds having largest share in capital formation
until recently.

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Income = Expenditure Errol D’Souza

Domestic
Household
Sector Private

Households Firms Government


Pvt Corporate
Sector
Consumption Investment Government
Expenditure
Public
Sector

Consumption Investment

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Errol D’Souza Errol D’Souza

We now account for open economies – that citizens


We now account for open economies – that citizens buy and sell goods to foreigners.
buy and sell goods to foreigners.
If Indian citizen purchases goods worth INR 100 from
If Indian citizen purchases goods worth INR 100 from another Indian citizen then,
another Indian citizen then, Indian income Indian expenditure
Indian income Indian expenditure INR 100 INR 100
INR 100 INR 100
If Indian citizen spends INR 75 on Indian goods and
spends INR 25 on foreign goods (imports)

Indian income Indian expenditure


INR 75 INR 100
To maintain equality between income and expenditure
total expenditure by Indian citizens should be reduced
by the value of imports.

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Income = Expenditure
Some goods worth INR 15 produced by Indian business
are sold abroad to foreigners or exported. Domestic Abroad

Indian income Indian expenditure Households Firms Government


INR 15 INR 0
Consumption Investment Government Exports
Expenditure less
To maintain equality between exports and imports Imports
we must add the value of exports to expenditure.

For any country then we must add the value of exports


Consumption Investment
and subtract the value of imports – exports less
imports – to the domestic expenditure to obtain
equality between aggregate income and expend-
iture.

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Errol D’Souza Errol D’Souza

Output = Income = Expenditure Output = Income = Expenditure

Output = Income = Domestic Expenditure Output = Income = Domestic Expenditure


+ (Exports – Imports) + (Exports – Imports)

Domestic Expenditure = Consumption Domestic Expenditure = Consumption


+ Investment + Investment
+ Government expenditure + Government expenditure
Income = Consumptio n + Investment + Government Exp. + (Exports - Imports )

2005-06: Y = C + I + G +  X − M 
( 20 , 646 ) (8,828 ) ( 6, 689 )  ( −1, 056 ) 
( 35 , 672 )

Y : country' s output or income or GDP G : government expenditur e on consumptio n


C : private consumptio n expenditur e and capital formation
I : private investment expenditur e X − M : exports less imports

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Y = C + I + G +  X − M  Y = C + I + G +  X − M 
2010-11: ( 45 , 030 ) ( 27 ,383 ) ( 9, 067 )  ( −2,554 ) 
( 78 , 756 ) 2013-14: Provisional
( 64 ,850 ) ( 6, 785 ) (13 , 413 )  ( −4, 083 ) 
(113 ,552 )

2010-11 2010-11 2013-14 2013-14


(Rupees (% to (Rupees (% to
Billion) GDP) Billion) GDP)
Private Final Consumption Private Final Consumption
Expenditure 45,029.74 57.2 Expenditure 64,850.37 57.1
Government Final Consumption Government Final Consumption
Expenditure 9,066.65 11.5 Expenditure 13,413.41 11.8
Gross Capital Formation 27,383.06 34.8 Gross Capital Formation 35,684.59 31.4
Exports less Imports -2,554.42 -3.2 Exports less Imports -4,083.16 -3.6
Discrepancies -168.77 -0.3 Discrepancies 3,685.52 3.2
GDP at market prices 78,756.26 GDP at market prices 113,550.73

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2018-19: Y = C + I + G + (X – M) 2021-22: Y = C + I + G + (X – M)

2018-19 2018-19 2021-22 2021-22


(Rupees (% to (Rupees (% to
Billion) GDP) Billion) GDP)
Private Final Consumption Private Final Consumption
Expenditure 112,900.29 59.4 Expenditure 143,443.36 61.12
Government Final Consumption Government Final Consumption
Expenditure 21,346.15 11.2 Expenditure 26,253.61 11.18
Gross Capital Formation 59,516.61 31.3 Gross Capital Formation 73,289.41 31.23
Exports less Imports -7,417.03 -3.9 Exports less Imports -6,193.78 -2.64
Discrepancies 3,755.62 2.0 Discrepancies -2,082.47 -0.89
GDP at market prices 190,101.64 GDP at market prices 234,710.12

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2017-18 2021-22

Private Final Consumption Expenditure 100,831.21 143,443.36

Govt. Final Consumption Expenditure 21,346.15 26,253.61


Gross Capital Formation 55,268.53 73,289.41

(a) Households 17,679.34 30,763.91

(b) Private Corporate Sector 20,677.71 25,721.00

(c) Public Sector 16,911.48 16,804.50


Exports Less Imports of Goods/Services -5,479.72 -6,193.78
Discrepancies 3,848.35 -1,005.98
GDP 170,950.05 234,710.12
Dimension: Billions of Indian Rupees

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(US Dollars Billion) 2020-21


Components of Net Exports -
Exports 296.30
• Balance of Merchandise Trade -
Agriculture 33.17
Value of exported goods minus value of Gems & Jewellery 26.02
imported goods. This measure of the
balance does not include services of Drugs & Pharma Products 24.44
any kind. Engineering Goods 76.73
Textiles & Carpets 29.47
Petroleum, Plastics & Linoleum 33.25 (78% petroleum)
Imports 398.45
Pearls, precious
Petrol, Crude & Products 82.68 & semi-precious
stones: 18.89
Coal, Coke & Briquettes etc. 16.28
Organic & Inorganic chemicals & products 28.27 Gold & Silver:
Machinery & Transport equipment 49.67 35.39

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Errol D’Souza Errol D’Souza

Components of Net Exports -


• Balance of Merchandise Trade -

• Balance of Trade in Goods & Services includes - Current Account Balance = Balance of Merchandise
Trade
• Non-factor incomes – such as travel, trans- + Net receipts from Non
port, insurance & software exports. Factor Incomes
+ Net receipts from Net
Broader measure (Current Account)which includes -
Factor Incomes
from abroad
• Net factor incomes from abroad – compen- + Net receipts from
sation of employees and investment Transfers
income
• Transfers – Official transfers between gover-
nments + private transfers such as
remittances (99.2% of Transfers)

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(US Dollars Billion) Year → 2020-21

Trade Balance -102.15


Invisibles (Net) 126.07
Current Account Balance = Balance of Merchandise
Trade Foreign Travel -3.02
+ Net receipts from Non
Factor Incomes Transport 2.10
The sum of these + Net receipts from Net
3 components is Insurance 0.32
Factor Incomes
referred to as from abroad
Invisibles
Investment Income -41.37 Comp of Employees
+ Net receipts from = 3.19
Transfers Private Transfers 73.32
Private transfers and software exports have in the past Telecom Computer & Information Services 90.80
turned a negative balance of trade into a positive
current account balance. Current Account Balance 23.92

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