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ABSTRACT
Due to lack of reliable data, combined factor productivity has not yet been computed in developing countries
on non-erroneous bases. This would mislead to the identification of the determinants of Combined Factor
Productivity (CFP). The aim of this section is to identify some of the possible determinants of CFP in
Ethiopian manufacturing firms. The dynamic panel data estimation, using a system of GMM, has been a
selected approach. It has been hypothesized that, among others, insufficiency of finance (working capital)
would significantly affect the productivity of firms. Results from the analysis show that all factor intensities,
at 1% significance and energy following with 5% significance level, both were having negative influence on
combined factor productivity both in extended growth accounting model that includes Capital, Labor,
Energy and Material (KLEM) and prime growth accounting model where only capital and labor (KL) are
considered in the models. Shortage of foreign currency and working capital both as proxy of financial
insufficiency, wielded significant effect on productivity in KLEM and KL models respectively at 10% level
of significance. Export and training in their dummies have also shown positive and significant influence on
combined factor productivity. This suggested that labour quantification results in loss of combined factor
productivity gain unless accompanied by quality enhancement instruments such as training.
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dichotomy. However, no clear consensus has present and also their future market structure, by
emerged. Many early studies favoured productivity altering incentives for innovating, investing,
as the main explanation of output growth entering in the market and the possibility for
(Griliches,1996). However, Jorgenson and gaining market shares. Alchian and Kessel (1962)
Griliches (1967) famously disagreed, and their characterized regulated industries as market
alternative view finds support in subsequent works situations in which firms are either limited in their
(Young 1995) and in the New Growth literature. pursuit of efficiency or threatened by antitrust
However, in recent years, attention has turned to action, which can be also a limitation for
another issue: the slowdown in productivity that efficiency. Olley and Pakes (1996) have studied
started in the late 1960s or early 1970s. successive stages of deregulation in the U.S.
Telecommunications Equipment Industry, and they
Total Factor Productivity have found that considerable resource reallocation
followed deregulation. Deregulation affected
The TFP measures the changes in the amount less
productivity of the industry in two different ways:
of output that can be produced by a given quantity
first it changed choices of producers with respect
of combined inputs [i.e. Manna from Heaven].
to their innovative activity, the adopted inputs and
Total factor productivity (TFP) growth is the
production volumes, and second it exerted a
increase in real output once labour and capital
crowding-out effect on less efficient plants.
inputs are taken into account. TFP can be
Pozzana and Zaninotto (1989) study the effect of
measured at the firm, industry, or national level. It
the market structure on productive efficiency in a
is frequently interpreted as a proxy for technology,
sample of firms in the Italian retail industry.
but may be affected by other factors such as the
quality of management, the regulatory Management roles
environment, and, depending on precisely how it is Choices of technology, inputs, and production are
measured, economies of scale. In colloquial terms, made by management and, thus, better managers
TFP is how much output bang you get for an input may make better choices. Two lines of research
buck. Slightly more formally, the rate of growth of have been developed regarding the role of
TFP measures the rate of growth of output not management and the type of ownership with
accounted for by the rate of growth of capital and respect to firms' productivity. The first one deals
labour. with the effect of mergers on productivity growth.
Lichtenberg (1992) and McGuckin and Nguyen
Determinants of Combined Factor Productivity
(1995), exploring the issue in a large panel of U.S.
Various factors were investigated as determinants
manufacturing plants, found that establishments
of productivity differentials among firms. Among
which faced ownership change also enjoyed above
others, the following would be mentioned:
average productivity growth for several years after
Market Concentration a change: this could be due to a reduction in
It has been considered that market concentration is corporate overhead and a reduction in auxiliary
one of the potential determinants of productivity. offices. The second one deals with differences in
Given the diverse complexities that prevail in this performance of private and State-owned
type of empirical analysis, further amplified by the enterprises. Alchian (1965) backed the inferior
different limitations such as data availability and efficiency pursued by managers of the public
variable construction, we still believe that this sector enterprises, due to the looser control exerted
approach is valid and could provide some by owners with respect to owners of private
interesting conclusions (Basu and Fernald, 1997). enterprises; Pestieau and Tulkens (1993) analyzed
the difference in technical efficiency between
Capital Intensities private and State-owned enterprises, while
Industries with higher capital intensities are Bottasso and Sembenelli (2004) provided an
expected to use resources more efficiently because interesting analysis of differences in technical
they cannot afford the rental costs of unused efficiency in a representative sample of Italian
capital and thus, have the incentive to economize manufacturing enterprises, ending no difference in
the cost of capital to the possible extent efficiency between private firms and affiliates to
(Mahadevan, 2002). Following this endeavour, the national groups, while State-owned enterprises
four factor intensities were included as possible show the lowest levels of efficiency.
determinants of productivity.
(1) Capital intensity, (2) energy intensity, (3) Technology
labour intensity, (4) material intensity. Technology provides important sources of
productivity differentials among firms. Nelson
Government regulation (1981) as cited in Pieri(2010) emphasized the
The effect of regulation policy on firm productivity importance of understanding the way in which
is not easy to be estimated (Peiri, 2010). Indeed, technology is generated and distributed through
regulation affects decisions that firms make at firms, and many empirical studies have
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Abyssinia Journal of Business and Social Sciences Vol. 2, No. 1, 2017, 19-29
purpose is to illuminate a problem in such a way as reasons and are found established four years before
to permit action to be taken to change the situation GTPii.
revealed. [Kothari, C.R., 1990]. Quantitative
Although Labour could be measured by different
research is based on the measurement of
units such as total labour hours of work, total
quantitative figures or quantity or amount. It is
number of employees, or the total wage bill. In this
applicable to phenomenon that could be expressed
study, labour hour estimated from the total
in terms of quantity. According to the positivist
employees of each firm has been used as a measure
tradition, there is an objective, external world that
of labour. Gross output and wages are deflated by
exists independently of human perception, which is
implicit sectoral GDP deflator and CPI,
amenable to quantitative measurement. The
respectively. The raw materials are deflated by
quantitative approach involves the generation of
wholesale Price Indices for imported output. The
data in quantitative form, which can be subjected
energy deflators are derived from price data series
to rigorous quantitative analysis in a formal and
for electricity. Fixed capital is deflated by using
rigid fashion. The study under question, thus, is to
implicit investment deflator.
be categorized to either of the above approaches
partly including description method and analytical The data covers all the major four-digit
approaches [Bryman, A. and Cramer, D, 1990]. manufacturing firmsiii of the above industries
The research used data from Central Statistical which are given due attention in the GTP period
Agency of Ethiopia [CSA] which provided and according to the International Standard
information on medium and large scale Industrial Classification (ISIC revision 3). For this
manufacturing firms’ annual value added , gross analysis some industries are combined for
output and cost of various types of inputs ; simplicity. Industries are grouped together based
Ministry of Finance and Economic Development on similarities in the type of activity. For example,
of Ethiopia[MoFED] and World Bank /World textile (ISIC 17) and apparel (ISIC 18) are grouped
Development Indicators [WB, 2012]. Since the as one. The concentration of firms in food and
study employed panel regression analysis, this beverage industry is due to the reason that they had
work has to combine data of time series and cross complete observation.
section. The time series covers seven observations
from the period of 2006 to 2012 (where pre-post As the above table depicts, among the industrial
groups in the study 60 percent of them are from
GTP productivity analysis have been examined),
food and beverage firms of the total manufacturing
and the cross section contains 75 manufacturing
firmsi that sums up to 525 observations. industries in the study. 14.6 percent are from
textile and apparel manufacturing firms while the
As the study used firm level data on large and same around 14.6 percent of the total
medium scale industries and the main source of manufacturing firms are from the chemical
data is the annual survey of large and medium industries followed by the least proportion of 10.6
scale manufacturing industries conducted by percent of firms from leather & leather products of
Central Statistical Authority (CSA), both raw data the manufacturing industries.
and data from various statistical bulletins published
by the authority are used. Since the raw data set is Model Specification
This section explains both the methodological
in terms of value at current price, it is converted to approach undertaken to estimate the production
constant price by deflating using appropriate functions and to analyse some of the determinants
deflators. An implicit sectoral deflator is used to of productivity;
deflate gross value of output, wages and salaries
and raw material and energy costs, while Cob-Douglas Production function
investment deflator is used to deflate capital (or The Solow Solution (Solow, 1957) is not, of
fixed assets). The study covered four large and course, the first to tie the aggregate production
medium scale manufacturing industrial groups function to productivity. This link goes back at
/Food and beverage, textile and apparel, leather least as far as Tinbergen (1942). However,
and Chemical/ at national level during the survey Solow’s seminal contribution lay in the simple, yet
period 2006-2012. elegant, theoretical link that he developed between
the production function and the index number
These medium and large scale industries are approach. Where earlier index number studies had
among those which received emphasis in the GTP interpreted their results in light of a production
period and started production at least three years function, Solow started with the production
before GTP. Three out of four GTP directives are function and deduced the consequences for (and
found in such industries: Labour intensiveness, restrictions on) the productivity index. Specifically,
uses of agricultural output as inputs and contribute he began with an aggregate production function
for faster technical transfer since they are easy. with a Hicksian neutral shift parameter and
Hence, among the eight industries listed in the constant returns to scale:
GTP, four of them have been chosen for the above
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Abyssinia Journal of Business and Social Sciences Vol. 2, No. 1, 2017, 19-29
= ( , ).................3.2
lnCF
In this formulation, the Hicksian At measures the = −.134 lnKI − .749lnLI − .021lnEI − .085lnMI
shift in the production function at given levels of + .697lnexper − .011sizelarge
labour and capital. It is almost always identified
− .022shrmt + .163shspr − .145shforex
with “technical change,” although this generally is
not an appropriate interpretation. Once the + .046domdd − .076shwk + .641grr
production function is written this way, it is clear + .749dummyBonus + .264dummyexport
that the Hicksian At and the ratio of output per unit + (−.010, −.118, −.224, −.169, −.309, −.149)dummyYear
input St of the preceding section are related. + .047dummyTraining 3.24 … … . (6.4)
= + + +
-5
+ + + ℎ +
G r o w th r a te
-1 0
ℎ + ℎ + ℎ + ℎ +
Fruits and Vegs in SNNP Fruits and Vegs in Addis Ababa
+ + +
5
+ + .....(6.3)
0
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Fig3:Factor and combined factor productivity growth rates of diary firms by Regs Fig7: Factor and combined factor productivity growth rates of sugar firm by Regs
Diary producing firm in Oromia Diary producing firm in Addis Ababa
10 Sugar in Amhara Sugar in Oromia
10
5
Fig11: Factro and combined factor productivity growth rates of Malt firms by Regs
0
5
Malt and Liquor firm in Amhara Malt and Liquor firm in Oromia
G r o-5w th0 r a5te G1 0ro w th ra te-5
10
0
2006 2008 2010 2012
5
-5
Diary Producing firm in Dire Dawa
G ro w th ra te
0
Malt and Liquor firm in Harare Malt and Liquor firm in Addis Ababa Sugar in Addis Ababa
10
10
2006 2008 2010 2012
5
5
Year
0
lnCFP lnLP
0
lnKP
-5
-5
Graphs
2006Factor and
2008combined
2010factor productivity
20122006 growth rates of diary
2008 2010 firms 2012
by Regs
Year 2006 2008 2010 2012
lnCFP lnLP Year
Fig5: Factor and combined factor productivity
lnKP growth rates of Animal feed firms by Regs
Animal feed firm in Amhara Animal feed firm in Oromia lnCFP lnLP
Graphs Factro and combined factor productivity growth rates of Malt firms by Regs
lnKP
5
Graphs Factor and combined factor productivity growth rates of sugar firm by Regs
0
G r o w th r a te
Fig9: Factor and combined factor productivity growth rates of food nec firms by Regs
Food nec firm in Oromia Food nec firm in SNNP
5
-5
0
-5
G ro w th ra te
-1 0
lnCFP lnLP
0
lnKP
-5
Graphs Factor and combined factor productivity growth rates of Animal feed firms by Regs
2006 2008 2010 2012
Year
lnCFP lnLP
Fig15: Factor and combined factor productivity growth rates of apparel firms by Regs
lnKP
Wearing apparel firm in Tigray Wearing apparel Firm inOromia
Graphs Factor and combined factor productivity growth rates of food nec firms by Regs
5
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Abyssinia Journal of Business and Social Sciences Vol. 2, No. 1, 2017, 19-29
the three have same direction of movement albeit such that N large and T small, dynamic panel data
the fact that capital shows faster rate. estimation, using a system of GMM. This type of
estimation is able to account for unobserved
individual specific e ects and allows for the
Fig17: Factor and Combined factor productivity growth rates of footwear firms by Regs
endogeneity of one or more of the regressors.
Footwear firm in Tigray Footwear firm in Amhara
Accordingly, the specification takes the following
10
strure:
5
= + + , & = +
0
+ .............................(6.1)
G r o w th r a te
-5
be extended as follows:
5
= + + +
0
+ ℎ + ℎ + ℎ +
-5
ℎ + ℎ + + +
2006 2008 2010 20122006 2008 2010 2012 + +
Year + ........................(6.2)
lnCFP lnLP -------------------------------------------------------------
lnKP = + + +
Graphs Factor and Combined factor productivity growth rates of footwear firms by Regs + + + ℎ +
ℎ + ℎ + ℎ + ℎ +
+ + +
Fig21: Factor and combined factor productivity growth rates of detergent firms by Regs + + .....(6.3)
Soap and detergent firm inTigray Soap and detergent firm in Oromia
are parameters and KI –capital intensity, LI-
10
term.
-5
2006 2008 2010 20122006 2008 2010 2012 Hsiao (1986) demonstrated that, omitting
Year unobserved time invariant individual e ects in a
lnCFP lnLP dynamic panel data model would cause OLS levels
lnKP estimates to be biased and inconsistent. Nickell
(1981) on the other hand, argued that the within
Graphs Factor and combined factor productivity growth rates of detergent firms by Regs
estimator would also provide biased and
inconsistent estimates in a dynamic panel model
Econometric Analysis with fixed time var. In addition, one or more
In this section, we consider the average levels for regressors could be correlated with the error term.
CFP and TFP as dependent variables. The To solve these issues and the potential persistence
explanatory variables include factor intensities (KI, of the series, commented earlier, Blundell and
LI, EI and MI) for the year 2006 - Bond (1998) argued that a system GMM is the
2012,dummyTraining-1 if the firm offers training most appropriate method. Arellano and Bond
(yes) 0 otherwise , dummyBonus-1 if the firm (1991), Arellano and Bover (1995) all the
provides bonus (yes) 0 otherwise , dummyexport-1 essentials have extensively explained the GMM
if the firm exports in the study period 0 otherwise, estimation method.
dummyYear, size as medium and large, shortage of
demand(shdd), shortage of foreign exchange ESTIMATION RESULTS
(shforex), shortage of electricity and water
(shelecwa)shortage of raw material Dynamic panel data regressions (N = 75 firms, T =
(shrmt),government rules and regulations (grr). 7 years) are estimated. We considered the
Moreover, since we are analysing level of CFP and logarithms of levels of CFP and TFP as dependent
given the characteristics of the panel dataset is variables. The explanatory variables are as
specified above. Based on the elucidated
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Abyssinia Journal of Business and Social Sciences Vol. 2, No. 1, 2017, 19-29
advantages of the system of GMM estimator, table significant only at 10% level of significance for the
6.1 shows the findings. It appeared on the table later two in KLEM and KL models respectively.
that all factor intensities have negative and This is an indication on financial constraints which
statistically significant effect at 1% and at 5% (for the firms are encountering for the expansion and
energy) level of significance on both CFP and TFP quantification of their output. On the other hand,
of KLEM and KL model. Shortage of raw there is a positive and statistically significant
materials, shortages of foreign exchange and relationship between export, training, bonus and
working capital have also similar effects though productivity. An exporting firm has 0.264 and
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Abyssinia Journal of Business and Social Sciences Vol. 2, No. 1, 2017, 19-29
The study has been devoted on the examination of Firm size and production experience though
productivity determinants based on theoretical positively influence productivity of firms, it is not
underpinnings and firm real experiences. Variables statistically significant. But the economic theories
which firms reported as their primary, secondary in this regard assert that firm size determines scale
and tertiary problems in their production of economies of the production unit which in turn,
experience have been taken as determining factors has effect on productivity. It is fortunate for
of combined factor productivity thereby to estimate Ethiopian manufacturing firms that shortage of
the potency of influence of each variable. effective demand and raw materials would not be
able to determine productivity performance that
Regardless of the model types, factor much.
intensification resulted in loss of combined factor
productivity with labour intensity taking the lead. BIBLIOGRAPHY
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Abyssinia Journal of Business and Social Sciences Vol. 2, No. 1, 2017, 19-29
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i
The ISIC/International Standard Industrial Classification of Ethiopia on a four digit base depicts this figure.
However, how many of this statistics belongs to the domain of the given study is a question to be answered
ahead. i.e manufacturing firms with employee number of ten at least and above.
ii
Daniel Gebrehiwot (2007) “Measurement and Sources of Technical Inefficiency in Ethiopian
Manufacturing Industries”, he incorporated nine industries in his study period 1998-2002 where four of them
are reconsidered in GTP period. They are: 1.food processing industry (84 firms) 2.Textile Industry (38
firms) 3.Leather industry (30 firms) 4. Chemical Industry (32 firms). The remaining five Industries not due
in GTP but existed before are:
1. Beverage 2.wood and furniture 3. Thesis and printing 4. Rubber and plastics 5. Non metallic minerals
iii
Which uses machine in their production process and employees more than 10 units of labour.
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