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“Kevin G. Cai’s China’s Foreign Policy since 1949: Continuity and Change is a
timely and valuable contribution at a critical juncture of relations between
the country and the outside world. Especially valuable are Cai’s illumina-
tions of the process of foreign policy making in China, the evolution of its
national security strategy, and Beijing’s exercise of its multi-dimensional
power to advance and expand its global interests. Students and analysts
of contemporary China will benefit immensely from Cai’s insights and
knowledge.”
Minxin Pei, Claremont McKenna College
Kevin G. Cai
First published 2022
by Routledge
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© 2022 Kevin G Cai
The right of Kevin G Cai to be identified as author of this work has been
asserted in accordance with sections 77 and 78 of the Copyright, Designs
and Patents Act 1988.
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or
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registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation
without intent to infringe.
British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data
A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
A catalog record has been requested for this book
1 Introduction 1
9 Conclusion 213
References219
Index242
CONTENTS
1 Introduction 1
9 Conclusion 213
References219
Index242
FIGURES
EU European Union
Eximbank China’s Export–Import Bank of China
FAC Foreign Affairs Commission
FACO Foreign Affairs Commission Office
FALSG Foreign Affairs Leading Small Group
FAO Food and Agriculture Organization
FDI foreign direct investment
FPAG Foreign Policy Advisory Group
FTA free trade agreement
G8 Group of Eight
G20 Group of Twenty
GAC General Administration of Customs
GASC General Administration of Sport of China
GATS General Agreement on Trade in Services
GATT General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade
GCC Gulf Cooperation Council
GFC Great Firewall of China
GOCC General Office of the Central Committee
GPA Government Procurement Agreement
GPL Government Procurement Law
HCOC Hague Code of Conduct
HKMAO Hong Kong and Macau Affairs Office
HTIDZ high-tech industrial development zone
IAEA International Atomic Energy Agency
ICAO International Civil Aviation Organization
ICBC Industrial and Commercial Bank of China
ICCPR International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights
ICESCR International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural
Rights
ICJ International Court of Justice
ICOLD International Commission on Large Dams
ICRC International Committee of the Red Cross
IDP investment development path
IFAD International Fund for Agricultural Development
IGPP Institute for Global Public Policy (Fudan University)
IIS Institute of International Studies (Fudan University)
IISS International Institute for Strategic Studies
IJIS Diane and Guilford Glazer Institute for Jewish and Israel
Studies (Nanjing University)
ILDCC International Liaison Department of the Central Committee
ILO International Labor Organization
IMF International Monetary Fund
IMI International Monetary Institute (Renmin University of China)
INTERPOL International Criminal Police Organization
xviii Abbreviations
With the rise of Chinese power, China’s foreign policy and external behaviors
have been bringing increasing impact on almost all major policy areas of global
affairs as well as the existing international system. Thus, it becomes imperative
for students of international affairsi, policy makers and other interested people
to have a better understanding of Chinese foreign policy. On the other hand, in
the process of teaching my course on Chinese foreign policy, I also increasingly
feel the need to have a suitable up-to-date text that would allow students to have
a systematic and comprehensive understanding of Chinese foreign policy. These
thoughts have led to this book project.
The subject of Chinese foreign policy can be addressed from different angles.
When initially designing this book project, I compared a couple of approaches
that I could adopt. The first approach was to focus only on Chinese foreign pol-
icy toward individual countries and regions, for example, China’s foreign policy
toward the US, the Soviet Union/Russia, Japan, East Asia, the ASEAN, the EU,
Africa, Latin America, etc. Another approach was to discuss Chinese foreign
policy toward individual countries and regions and at the same time explore
Chinese foreign policy on some important topics, such as China’s national secu-
rity policy, China’s international security policy, China’s foreign economic pol-
icy, China’s multilateralism policy, etc. However, I have finally decided to adopt
an approach that focuses only on Chinese foreign policy on some most important
topics, while Chinese foreign policy toward individual countries (superpowers
in particular) and regions is to be incorporated into the study of these topics of
Chinese foreign policy. By adopting this approach, I intend to provide a more
focused panorama of Chinese foreign policy rather than a relatively broken view
of Chinese foreign policy toward individual countries and/or regions, although
this is also a very important part of Chinese foreign policy.
xxii Preface
I was able to concentrate on this book project over the year of 2020, largely
thanks to the sabbatical leave from my home institution, Renison University
College of University of Waterloo. I am grateful to my home institution for this
leave, which allows me to be able to complete this book project timely.
I would also like to thank Helen Yue and Andrew Jin for their helpful assis-
tance in various ways for this project.
By the time this book project is completed, the worldwide rampant COVID-19
pandemic still remains unchecked. My salute is given to all the medical and
research staff around the world for fighting hard against this disease to protect
the well-being of the peoples of the world.
Kevin G. Cai
September 5, 2021
1
INTRODUCTION
This work is a study of the foreign policy of the People’s Republic of China (PRC)
(thereafter China) since 1949. Chinese foreign policy has long been a widely stud-
ied subject in academia. Today, the study of Chinese foreign policy becomes all
the more important in the context of the rise of China. This is because the for-
eign policy and external behaviors of a rising China inevitably exert increasing
influence on almost all the major areas of the world today, including international
security, geopolitics, global economy, development, environment, global public
health, various nontraditional security issues and so on with a substantial impact
on the existing international system. It is even speculated by some analysts that
with its continuing rise, China will eventually replace the US as a new global
superpower within this century. As such, it is all the more imperative today to
have more and better understanding of China’s foreign policy.
This book is intended to provide a systematic and comprehensive study of
Chinese foreign policy. Through an analytical framework that is constructed
on the basis Waltz’s three-level international relations theory, realism and con-
structivism, this study shows that Chinese foreign policy since 1949 has been
influenced jointly by a number of factors at the international, state and individual
levels, each of which shapes Chinese foreign policy in its own way. Some of them
are conditioning factors, which include the nation’s geographical and geopoliti-
cal environment, the country’s power (physical, economic and military), China’s
philosophical traditions, long historical experience and communist ideology of
the state; the others are determining factors, which involve the national/core
interests as identified by the Chinese communist state and the personality traits
and leadership styles of individual communist leaders. While the conditioning
factors provide physical conditions, power foundation and parameters, and the
historical, philosophical and ideological sources of Chinese foreign policy, the
determining factors directly set the direction and specific objectives of Chinese
DOI: 10.4324/9780429260926-1
2 Introduction
foreign policy and the ways in which the nation’s foreign policy objectives are
pursued and achieved.
On the basis of this analytical framework, a major theme that runs throughout
this work is that China’s foreign policy over the past seven decades has revealed a
persistent pattern of continuity and change. On the one hand, there is clear continu-
ity in China’s foreign policy since 1949, which is most notably reflected in Beijing’s
major foreign policy objectives, the important approaches adopted to achieve the
nation’s foreign policy goals, the key elements and principles in China’s foreign
policy, the major driving forces of Chinese foreign policy and the nation’s foreign
policy primarily defined by the nature of the country’s relations with superpowers.
On the other hand, however, there is also dramatic change in China’s foreign policy
over time, reflecting changed conditions in both domestic and external settings.
Change in China’s foreign policy is particularly reflected in the nation’s specific
missions of foreign policy and specific substance of China’s national security policy,
foreign economic policy, international security policy, policy toward great pow-
ers and the region and policy toward multilateralism. Apparently, many important
aspects of China’s foreign policy since 1949 can be better interpreted and under-
stood by referring to this pattern of continuity and change in China’s foreign policy.
With this general pattern of Chinese foreign policy in mind, it can be found
that Chinese foreign policy since 1949 has been evolving through three major
phases, that is, the first phase of the Mao era (1949–1979), the second phase of
Deng’s influence (1979–2009) and the third phase that is primarily under Xi’s lead-
ership (2009–present). In each of these three phases, Chinese foreign policy was/is
pursued in different domestic and international settings and tasked with different
missions. Hence, while some basic tenets and objectives of Chinese foreign policy
have remained unchanged, the specific substance of Chinese foreign policy dif-
fers one phase from the other. In this process, some major trends of the evolution
of Chinese foreign policy are clearly visible. Specifically, over the past 70 years,
Chinese foreign policy has been moving from (1) primarily driven by ideology to
basically driven by practical motivations, (2) from isolationist to actively engag-
ing, (3) from antagonistic and confrontational to conciliatory and cooperative, (4)
from basically one-dimensional (concerned primarily about national security) to
multidimensional (concerned about a whole range of foreign policy issues, includ-
ing national and international security, global economy, development, environ-
ment and many others) and (5) from unilateral to multilateral.
Despite the evolution of Chinese foreign policy, Beijing’s major foreign policy
objectives remain unchanged, although the sequence of importance and spe-
cific elements of each of these objectives have been modified over time. Set to
promote China’s national interests/core interests, these foreign policy objectives
are closely related to each other and ranked on the basis of the Chinese commu-
nist leadership’s prioritization of the country’s national interests/core interests.
Generally speaking, the Chinese communist leadership has been pursuing seven
major foreign policy objectives since 1949, which include: (1) securing China’s
existing political system of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP)’s one-party
Introduction 3
rule; (2) maintaining state sovereignty; (3) safeguarding the country’s national
security; (4) preserving the nation’s territorial integrity; (5) achieving national
unification with Taiwan and keeping Hong Kong, Xinjiang and Tibet as inte-
gral parts of China; (6) ensuring the nation’s sustained economic development
and modernization; and (7) enhancing the nation’s international position and
restoring its great power status. Of these foreign policy objectives, securing the
existing political system dominated by the CCP takes precedence over all the
other foreign policy objectives. While the other foreign policy objectives are
subordinated to the top objective of preserving China’s communist regime, the
effective implementation of these other foreign policy objectives can logically
help enhance the legitimacy of the CCP’s rule and to secure its one-party domi-
nant political system in China. It is in this sense that the interests of the CCP and
the interests of the Chinese nation as such are overlapped in some way.
While Chinese foreign policy has been evolving over time, the process of
Chinese foreign policy making has also been gradually transformed. During the
Mao era, foreign policy decision was primarily made by Mao in person on the
basis of his personal intuition and ideological orientation. In the post-Mao era,
however, the process of foreign policy making has gradually been institutional-
ized, particularly since the 1990s, which involves a growing number of actors,
although final decisions of foreign policy, particularly those of strategic impor-
tance, are still made by the top communist leaders. In the meantime, think tanks
have been playing an increasingly important role in foreign policy making by pro-
viding the communist leaders and foreign policy making bodies with professional
advice and foreign policy analysis and suggestion reports. Moreover, as Chinese
society becomes increasingly pluralistic and liberalized as a result of economic
reforms, Chinese foreign policy has also been growingly subject to the influence
of domestic interest groups, media and public opinion to some extent in the
post-Mao era. As a result, Chinese foreign policy making in the post-Mao era
has become a much more complex process than what it was during the Mao era.
Moreover, as the country has rapidly integrated into the mainstream interna-
tional system as a result of dramatic economic reforms and opening policy in the
post-Mao era, China now engages in almost all major areas of international affairs.
Consequently, Chinese foreign policy has become highly complex today. Hence,
the study of Chinese foreign policy accordingly becomes much more comprehen-
sive and complex than ever before, covering a wide range of foreign policy issues,
including national and international security, geopolitics, global economy, devel-
opment, environment, global public health, various nontraditional security issues,
multilateralism and many others. As such, it indeed poses a challenge for scholars
who intend to pursue a comprehensive study of China’s overall foreign policy today.
This study focuses on some most important specific topics of Chinese for-
eign policy rather than on Chinese foreign policy toward individual countries
or groups of countries or regions. However, when relevant, individual coun-
tries (particularly superpowers) and regions will be duly and fully addressed in
the process of exploring each of these specific topics of Chinese foreign policy.
4 Introduction