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Year: 2018
What do you understand by SML graph? How does it differ from CML? What is the relation
between CML and efficient frontier?
The SML (Security Market Line) and CML (Capital Market Line) are essential concepts in finance that help
investors understand the relationship between risk and return. Let's delve into each of them and explore their
differences and connection to the efficient frontier:
SML (Security Market Line):
Definition: The Security Market Line (SML) is a graphical representation of the Capital Asset Pricing Model
(CAPM). It shows the relationship between the expected return and the beta (systematic risk) of a security or a
portfolio.
Key Points:
1. Slope: The slope of the SML represents the market risk premium, which is the additional return investors
expect to receive for taking on additional risk beyond the risk-free rate.
2. Intercept: The SML intersects the y-axis at the risk-free rate because, according to CAPM, the risk-free
rate is the expected return for a risk-free asset (like government bonds).
3. Positioning: Securities or portfolios that lie above the SML are considered undervalued (they offer a
better return for a given level of risk), while those below are overvalued.
CML (Capital Market Line):
Definition: The Capital Market Line (CML) is a tangent line drawn from the risk-free rate to the efficient frontier
of a risky portfolio. It represents a set of portfolios that achieve the maximum expected return for a given level of
risk.
Key Points:
1. Tangent Portfolio: The point where the CML touches the efficient frontier represents the optimal
portfolio (tangent portfolio). This portfolio offers the best risk-return tradeoff.
2. Combining Risk-Free Asset: By investing in a combination of the risk-free asset and the tangent
portfolio, investors can create portfolios along the CML. The weightage of the risk-free asset and the
tangent portfolio in the mix determines the risk-return profile of the portfolio.
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Relation Between CML and Efficient Frontier:
1. Efficient Frontier: The efficient frontier is a graph representing a set of portfolios that maximize expected
return for a given level of risk or minimize risk for a given level of expected return. It comprises all the
portfolios that offer the highest expected return for a given level of risk or the lowest risk for a given level
of expected return.
2. Connection: The CML is a specific line on the efficient frontier. It represents portfolios that combine a
risk-free asset (represented by the risk-free rate) and a risky portfolio (tangent to the efficient frontier).
The tangent portfolio is the one offering the highest Sharpe ratio (a measure of risk-adjusted return),
making it the optimal portfolio.
In summary, the SML illustrates the relationship between expected return and beta for individual securities or
portfolios, while the CML represents portfolios that combine the risk-free asset and the optimal risky portfolio,
providing the best risk-return tradeoff. Both the CML and the efficient frontier are integral concepts in portfolio
theory, helping investors make informed decisions about their investments.
A key input for the Gordon Growth Model is the expended constant growth rate in dividends
over the long term. What important issues should be noted relating to this expected growth
rate?
The expected constant growth rate in dividends (often denoted as �g) is a crucial input for the Gordon Growth
Model, also known as the dividend discount model with constant growth. Here are the important issues and
considerations related to this expected growth rate:
1. Stability and Sustainability:
The growth rate should be stable and sustainable over the long term. Sudden changes in growth rates can
significantly impact the valuation. Historical trends and the company's future plans should be considered
to assess the stability of the growth rate.
2. Consistency with Historical Data:
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The expected growth rate should align with the company's historical growth patterns. If the historical
growth rate has been relatively stable, it may provide a reasonable estimate for the future. Deviations from
historical norms should be justified with solid reasoning.
3. Industry and Economic Factors:
Consideration of industry-specific and broader economic factors is crucial. Industries experiencing rapid
technological advancements or economic fluctuations might have different growth rates. Analyzing
industry trends and economic forecasts can provide insights into future growth prospects.
4. Market Saturation and Competitive Position:
Companies operating in saturated markets or facing intense competition might experience slower growth.
Assess the company's competitive position and market saturation to estimate a realistic growth rate.
5. Management Quality and Strategies:
Competent management and effective strategic plans can drive growth. Evaluate the quality of the
management team and their ability to execute growth strategies. Company announcements, business plans,
and management discussions are valuable sources of information.
6. Dividend Payout Ratio:
The dividend payout ratio (dividends as a percentage of earnings) influences the growth rate. A high
payout ratio implies limited reinvestment in the business, potentially leading to slower growth.
Conversely, a lower payout ratio suggests more retained earnings for future investments, supporting higher
growth.
7. Economic and Regulatory Changes:
Changes in tax laws, regulations, or government policies can affect a company's ability to grow dividends.
Stay informed about potential legislative changes that could impact the company's financial decisions.
8. Currency and Inflation Considerations:
If analyzing companies across different countries, consider currency exchange rates and inflation rates.
These factors can affect both dividends and discount rates, impacting the growth rate calculation.
9. Sensitivity Analysis:
Perform sensitivity analysis by varying the growth rate to understand its impact on the valuation. This
helps in assessing the model's sensitivity to changes in the growth rate assumption.
10. Expert Opinions and Analyst Forecasts:
Analyst reports and expert opinions can provide valuable insights into a company's future growth
prospects. However, these should be critically evaluated and not solely relied upon.
Define some popular multiples of Comparable Method of Stock Valuation. What limitations
you find in high P/E or low P/E?
In the Comparable Company Analysis (CCA) or Comparable Method, multiples are used to compare a company's
valuation relative to similar companies in the market. Here are some popular multiples used in this method:
1. Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio:
A company has declared a dividend of Tk. 40 per share this year. The company is a rapidly
growing one and it is expected that the company will grow at 30% a year for the next two years.
In years 3 and 4 the expected growth rate is 18%. After that the growth rate will come down to
8% and it is expected to continue. The required rate of return from the company's stock is 18%.
Calculate the value of the stock.
To calculate the value of the stock with different growth rates, you can use the Gordon Growth Model (also known
as the dividend discount model with constant growth) for each period of growth, and then sum up the present
values of these future dividends. Here's how you can do it step by step for each period:
However, the cost of equity does change as leverage is increased. The cost of equity is the return required by
equity investors to compensate for the risk they bear. As leverage increases, the risk to equity investors also
increases, leading to a higher cost of equity. This is because debt introduces financial risk and increases the
volatility of equity returns.
If taxes are introduced, the answers to parts a and b would change. Taxes create a benefit for debt financing known
as the tax shield. The interest paid on debt is tax-deductible, reducing the firm's taxable income and therefore its
tax liability. As a result, the value of the firm would increase as leverage is increased because the tax shield
provides a benefit to the firm.
Similarly, the cost of capital would decrease as leverage is increased due to the tax shield. The cost of debt is
lower than the cost of equity because interest payments are tax-deductible. As the proportion of debt in the capital
structure increases, the overall cost of capital decreases, reflecting the lower cost of debt.
State the dividend policies from a firm's and its investors' viewpoints.
Dividend policies are crucial decisions made by a firm's management and are viewed differently from the
perspectives of the firm and its investors. Here's how these policies are perceived from both viewpoints:
From the Firm's Viewpoint:
**1. ** Stability and Predictability:
Firms often prefer stable and predictable dividend payments. Regular dividends can create investor
confidence, attract long-term shareholders, and stabilize the stock price.
**2. ** Profit Reinvestment:
Firms may retain earnings to reinvest in the business. This retained profit can be used for research and
development, expansion, acquisitions, or debt reduction, leading to potential future growth and increased
shareholder value.
**3. ** Tax Considerations:
Dividends are taxed differently in various jurisdictions. Firms might consider tax implications when
deciding on dividend payouts. For instance, some countries tax dividends at a higher rate than capital
gains, influencing the dividend policy.
**4. ** Cash Flow and Liquidity:
Firms need to assess their cash flow and liquidity positions. Dividends should not jeopardize the
company's ability to meet its operational and financial obligations. Prudent cash management is vital for
business stability.
**5. ** Investor Expectations:
Meeting investor expectations is important. If investors expect regular dividends, sudden changes in the
dividend policy can adversely affect the stock price. Clear communication about dividend expectations is
crucial.
From the Investors' Viewpoint:
**1. ** Income Stream:
Investors, especially income-focused ones like retirees, often rely on dividends as a stable income stream.
Regular dividend payments can provide a consistent source of cash flow, helping investors meet financial
obligations.
**2. ** Capital Gains vs. Dividends:
GL Corporation, a retail firm, is making a decision on how much it should pay out to its
Stockholders. It has $100 million in investible funds. The following information is provided
about the firm:
i) It has 100 million shares outstanding, each share selling for $15. The beta of the stock s 1.25
and the risk free rate is 8%. The expected return on the market is 16%.
ii) The firm has $ 500 million of debt outstanding. The marginal interest rate on the debt $
12%.
iii) The corporation's tax rate is 50%.
• The firm plans to finance all its investment needs at its current debt ratio.
a. Should the company return money to its stock-holders?
b. If so, how much should be returned to stock-holders?
What strategies could the target company's management adopt preventing future and ongoing
takeover?
Target companies often employ various strategies to prevent future and ongoing takeovers, aiming to protect their
interests and maintain their independence. Here are several strategies that target company management might
adopt:
1. Poison Pill Defense:
Definition: The company issues new shares to existing shareholders or rights to buy additional shares at
a significant discount if a hostile takeover is attempted.
Effect: Dilutes the ownership stake of the acquiring company, making the acquisition more expensive and
less attractive.
2. Share Buybacks:
Definition: The company buys back its own shares from the market, increasing the demand and thus the
price per share.
Effect: Raises the stock price, making the acquisition more costly for the acquiring company.
3. Staggered Board of Directors:
Definition: The board of directors is divided into multiple classes, with each class serving a different
term.
Effect: Prevents hostile acquirers from gaining control of the entire board in a single election, making it
more challenging to take over the company.
4. Supermajority Voting Provisions:
Definition: Requiring a high percentage of shareholder votes (more than a simple majority) to approve
certain decisions, such as a merger or sale of assets.
Effect: Raises the threshold for approval, making it more difficult for an acquiring company to gain
control.
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5. Golden Parachutes:
Definition: Key executives receive lucrative financial packages if the company is taken over.
Effect: Discourages executives from cooperating with potential acquirers, as they would lose these
benefits in case of a takeover.
6. Crown Jewel Defense:
Definition: The company sells its most valuable assets to another party if a hostile takeover is imminent.
Effect: Diminishes the attractiveness of the target company, making it less appealing for the acquirer.
7. White Knight Defense:
Definition: The target company seeks a more favorable merger or acquisition deal with a friendly third
party, known as the white knight, to counter the hostile takeover attempt.
Effect: Provides an alternative for shareholders, potentially leading to a merger that is more aligned with
the target company's interests.
8. Litigation:
Definition: The target company initiates legal proceedings to delay or block the hostile takeover.
Effect: Creates legal uncertainties for the acquiring company, potentially discouraging them from
pursuing the takeover further.
9. Greenmail:
Definition: The target company buys back its shares from the hostile acquirer at a premium.
Effect: Discourages the hostile acquirer by making a profit but also signals that the company is willing to
negotiate.
10. Restrictive Charter/Bylaw Provisions:
Definition: Including provisions in the company's charter or bylaws that make takeovers more
challenging, such as limiting the ability of shareholders to call special meetings.
Effect: Adds hurdles for hostile acquirers, making the process more complicated and time-consuming.
It's important to note that these strategies have their own advantages and limitations. The choice of defense tactics
depends on the specific circumstances, legal regulations in the jurisdiction, and the preferences of the target
company's management and shareholders. Often, a combination of these strategies might be employed to
maximize the chances of preventing a hostile takeover.