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This paper investigates the factors that determine earnings management in emerging
countries through the example of Tunisia. The empirical analysis is conducted by dividing
the factors into two principal groups—incentive group and constraint group—and by
using data of 19 Tunisian listed companies collected from the Tunisian stock exchange
for the period 2003-2009. To estimate discretionary accruals, three models, namely,
Dechow et al. (1995) (modified Jones model), Kothari et al. (2005) and Raman and
Shahrur (2008), have been used. In order to test for determinants of earning
management, the residuals of these models (discretionary accruals) are regressed on a
set of explanatory variables that are hypothesized to have an impact on earnings
management. Empirical analysis reveals that on the whole, the results seem to depend
on the model used to estimate the discretionary accruals. In particular, six (indebtedness,
firm size, performance, cumulation of the managerial and the board chair roles,
managerial propriety, and dividend policy) of the nine variables considered are found
to significantly determine earnings management. In addition, empirical results show
that three (firm size, cumulation of the managerial and the board chair roles, and
managerial propriety) out of the six determinants do not have a sign as expected.
Introduction
Manager intervention in accounting information is named in several ways, such as ‘cosmetic
accounting’ or ‘accounting manipulation’. The most frequently used term in the empirical
literature is ‘earnings management’. Schipper (1989) defines earnings management as a
manager intervention in external financial reporting process to appropriate personal gain. This
definition shows that earnings management phenomenon results in managers’ opportunistic
behavior. In fact, earnings management is a managerial practice that has been a result of
researches in positive accounting theory and agency theory and has emerged in the context
of information asymmetry between managers and other business partners. Otherwise, earnings
management can be examined in the context of efficient market theory. In this perspective,
managers are motivated to manipulate earnings in order to publish more informative disclosure
(Watts and Zimmerman, 1986).
* Assistant Professor, College of Business Administration, Najran University, Box 1988, Alsawady, 11111 Najran,
Saudi Arabia (KSA); and is the corresponding author. E-mail: Lanouar_charf@yahoo.fr
** Ph.D. Student, Higher Institute of Management of Tunis, 41, la Liberté Road, Bouchoucha 2000, Bardo, Tunis,
Tunisia. E-mail: Rabebriahi@yahoo.fr
*** Professor, Higher Institute of Management of Tunis, 41, la Liberté Road, Bouchoucha 2000, Bardo, Tunis,
Tunisia. E-mail: abomri@yahoo.fr
The2013
© Determinants of Earnings
IUP. All Rights Management in Developing Countries:
Reserved. 35
A Study in the Tunisian Context
Nowadays, interest towards determinants of earnings management has accentuated with
the increasing number of financial scandals that have reduced investors’ trust in
information published on capital market (Fernandez and Garcia, 2007). Indeed, the extent
and causes of earnings management have important implications for regulators, analysts,
academics and practitioners (Beneish, 1999; and Kothari et al., 2005). This allows assessing
earnings quality, facilitates setting new standards and helps the SEC to enforce standards
(Stubben, 2010).
This study aims to identify the factors influencing earnings management in emerging
countries with the example of Tunisia. These factors are grouped into two categories—
incentives and constraints to earnings management. Data of 19 Tunisian listed companies were
collected from the Tunisian stock exchange for the period 2003-2009. Discretionary accruals
was used to estimate the extent of earnings management. The study relies on Dechow et al.
(1995) (modified Jones model), Kothari et al. (2005) and Raman and Shahrur (2008) models.
Subsequently, the residuals of these models are regressed on a set of explanatory variables that
are hypothesized to have impact on earnings management.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows: it presents the research hypotheses developed
on the basis of literature review, and follows it up with a description of the empirical
methodology. Subsequently, it presents the results, and finally, offers the conclusion.
Dividend Policy
In addition, earnings management takes place due to the desire to protect investors. Thus, a
negative relationship may exist between the dividend policy and earnings management. La Porta
et al. (2000) analyze dividend policy in different institutional contexts. They show that better
shareholder protection is associated with higher dividend. Hence the ninth hypothesis is:
H9: Dividend policy is negatively related to earnings management.
Empirical Methodology
The first step followed in investigating the determinants of earnings management is to
present the model used to measure discretionary accruals. Then, as a second step the data
and its sources are presented. Finally, the research model used to test the hypotheses is
presented.
Measuring Accruals
In empirical literature, a variety of models have been used to measure discretionary accruals,
(see for example, Healy, 1985; DeAngelo, 1986; Dechow and Sloan, 1991; Jones, 1991;
Aharony et al., 1993; Dechow, 1994; Dechow et al., 1995 (modified Jones model); Kothari
et al., 2005; and Raman and Shahrur, 2008). Most of the recently used models are derived
from the Jones (1991) model. Compared to the Healy (1985), DeAngelo (1986), Dechow and
Sloan (1991) and Aharony et al. (1993) models, the original Jones (1991) model takes into
account the effects of changes in a firm’s economic circumstances on non-discretionary
accruals. Some other authors, such as Teoh et al. (1998), Guidry et al. (1999), Peasnell et al.
(2000), and Klein (2002), suggest that the Dechow et al. (1995) (modified Jones model) is more
powerful at detecting sales-based manipulations than the original Jones (1991) model. Recent
models include additional conditioning variables (see for instance, Kothari et al., 2005; and
Raman and Shahrur, 2008 models). In all these models, the discretionary accruals are the
estimated residual obtained from the linear function of change in revenues and gross
property, plant, and equipment of the firm.
This paper uses three models: Dechow et al. (1995) (modified Jones model), Kothari et al.
(2005) and Raman and Shahrur (2008). In fact, to guarantee consistent results, Peasnell et al.
(2000) recommend the use of more than one model in estimating discretionary accruals, since
the quality of models varies according to the nature of earnings management practice and bias
that can affect the estimation.
3
Deloitte, Ernst & Young, KPMG and PricewaterhouseCoopers.
where for sample firm i at time t, TAit represents the total accruals, Ait–1 the total assets,
REVit – ARit the change in cash-basis revenue, PPEit is the gross property, plant, and
equipment, the ROAit–1 is the return on equity ratio, BTMit the book-to-market ratio and it
represents the error term which serves as our proxy for discretionary accruals in
year t. Finally, 1, 2, 3 and 4 are parameters to be estimated.
Expected
Variables Definition Measure
Sign
Incentive Variables
DEBT + Indebtedness of company i at time t Debt-to-equity ratio
SIZE – Size of company i at time t Logarithm of total assets
PERF – Stock market returns of company Variation in stock price of company
i at time t i at time t
Constraint Variables
BOARD – The size of the board administration Logarithm of the number of board
of company i at time t administration members
CUM + Cumulation of the CEO and chairman 1 if the CEO is the chairman of the
of the board functions board, 0 otherwise
MANAG – Managerial ownership Percentage of manager’s ownership
OWN – Majority ownership Percentage of common shares owned
by the top three shareholders
AUDIT – External audit quality 1 if company i is audited at year t by
a ‘Big four’ auditor, 0 otherwise
DIV – Dividend policy Dividend in year t/average stock
price at time t
Research Model
In order to test the hypotheses H1 to H9 proposed earlier in the paper, the following multivariate
regression is estimated:
Dis_Accrualsit = f(DEBT, SIZE, PERF, BOARD, CUM, MANAG, OWN, AUDIT, DIV)
where the dependent (Dis_Accruals) and independent variables are as described in the previous
section.
Multivariate Analysis
Table 3 reports the estimation results of the basic model (Equation 1). Three different models
have been used to estimate the discretionary accruals. The results show that all the three models
are globally significant at 1% level (see the Fischer-statistics in Table 3).
The results show that the variable DEBT has a positive coefficient as expected by theory.
Nevertheless, it is only significant when Raman and Shahrur (2008) model is used at 5% level
of significance. This result is consistent with the first hypothesis suggesting that indebted firms
use earnings management practice in order to avoid the violation of debt clauses. In addition,
Table 3 also shows that the variable SIZE is significant at 1% level in all the models. However,
contrary to our expectation, this relation is positive. This can be explained by market efficiency
and signaling theories which suggest that earnings management can be used from an
Surprisingly, the variable BOARD is not found to be significant for any of the models
measuring discretionary accruals, suggesting that the board size does not influence earnings
management practice. This finding can be explained by the fact that a majority of Tunisian firms
are family owned or controlled. This is consistent with the findings of Omri (2001), which show
that managerial ownership can limit the role of the board in controlling managers.
The variable CUM is significant at 10% level with Dechow et al. (1995) (modified Jones model)
and Kothari et al. (2005) model. According to the results, this relation is negative. This
contradicts the hypothesis that cumulation of managerial and board chair roles positively
influences earnings management.
Moreover, empirical results show that the variable MANAG is significant at 5% level in all
models used to estimate discretionary accruals. However, contrary to our expectations, MANAG
is positively related to discretionary accruals. Contrary to agency theory and convergence-of-
interest hypothesis and consistent with entrenchment hypothesis, this finding suggests that
Conclusion
This paper investigated the determinants of earnings management in the Tunisian context.
Several factors supposed to have a significant impact on the earnings management have
been tested on the basis of accounting theories. These factors have been mainly divided
into two principal groups—incentive group and constraint group. In addition, three models
that estimate discretionary accruals (dependent variable) have been considered. Empirical
analysis reveals that the results depend on the model used to estimate discretionary
accruals. In all, six of the nine variables considered are found to significantly determine
earnings management, while only three of the six determinants are simultaneously
significant in the three models considered in the study. The DEBT and DIV variables are only
significant for Raman and Shahrur (2008) model, while the CUM variable is significant for
the other two models. In addition, empirical results show that three out of the six
determinants do not have a sign as expected. These variables are SIZE, CUM and MANAG
variables. This contradiction to agency theory is an interesting result because it identifies
some specific characteristics of developing countries, especially in the Tunisian context
(Tunisian firms are family owned or controlled) as compared to the existing literature.
Indeed, the findings show that some control mechanisms such as the board size, the
external audit quality and the ownership structure are inefficient in the studied context.
This suggests that these mechanisms are operated in order to facilitate managers’
entrenchment strategy.
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Reference # 04J-2013-01-02-01