Professional Documents
Culture Documents
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This chapter introduces the concept of derivatives and to Ihis book itself. Many issues discussed here arc
elaborated upon at length throughout the work. The chapler begins with a description orwhat derivatives
arc nnd whallhcy do. It then covers the growth and evolution ofderivative markets with special reference
to the explosive growth of financial derivatives globally since the 1970s. It gives a brief overview orlhe
~. different types of derivatives lind explains how these are used by corporations, banks, investors and
individuals to manage their risks. It explains Ihe benefits of derivatives as well as the risks that they
pose. Some well known derivative disasters are discussed to point Qui the risks posed by derivatives, and
the role played by management and regulators ill mitigating thesc risks. The chapter concludes with un
overview of the book.
Futures in commodities have thus been around in various fonns for several centuries. However, the
futures exchanges set up in Chicago and elsewhere in the United States in the nineteenth century are
often regarded as the first modern futures markets. Even today, these exchanges are among the largest
and most liquid derivative exchanges in the world.
b. The spread of cheap computing power in the 1980s made these models accessible to a wide
range of financial users.
4. Financial deregulation in the meantime, led to product innovation and lower transaction costs.
These developments continue even today with newer products being designed to hedge risks that
were previously very difficult or expensive to hedge. At the same time, financial institutions have
become more sophisticated in their usc of risk management tools. New classes of investors like
hedge funds who use derivatives far more intensively have also increased liquidity in derivative
markets. Arbitrageurs armed with highly retined pricing models and vast computing resources
have improved price discovery and eliminated pricing inefficiencies in the market.
l500
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~ - 500
~ - IOOO
- 1500-'-'= - - -- -- - - - -- - - - - ------'
o 500 1000 1500 2000 2500
Price ofUnderiyiog at Maturity
Figure 1.1 The Payoff of a Long Forward at Maturity is a straight line at 45 indicating
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that a rise in the price of the underlying causes an equal gain in the forward
and a decline in price causes an equal loss.
By contrast, an option is a contract in which the option holder has a right to buy or sell without any
obligation to do so. For example, Figure).2 shows the payoffofa call option which grants the holder the
right (without any obligation) to buy the underlying at a strike price of 1500. Ifat maturity, the underly-
ing is worth less ihan 1500, the holder does not exercise t~e option and the payoff is zero. If the under-
lying is worth more than 1500 at maturity, the holder will exercise the option, and the payoff is the
difference between the price of the underlying and the strike price of 1500. The payoff diagram is no
longer a straight line. The non-linearity of the payoff is the defining characteristic ofoplion-Iikc deriva-
tive contracts.
1500-,---- - - - -- - -- - - - ,
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B 1000
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~ 500
•
~ O+---------------~
f - 500
£ - 1000
- 1500 -'-----'------'------'------'-~-'
o .500 1000 1500 2000 2500
Price of Underlying at Maturity
FiglJre 1.2 Payoff at maturity of a long call is zero belowlhe strike price. A long calls
payoff thus has the upside of a forward, without its downside.
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Exchange , Interest Ratil (;,
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. fo~modttles . ":,:,,Na~urRI phenomena
Bonds/Credit'
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Single stock futures Foreign exchange Bond futures and Futures and options Weather derivatives
forward contracts options on agricultural related to rainfall
commodities like and temperature
wheat, soyabean,
and milk
Single stock options Currency futures Forward rate agree- Energy derivatives Derivatives related
ments and interest like crude oil, to natuml calamities
rate futures natural gas, and like earthquakes and
electricity hunicanes
Stock index futures Currency options Caps, floors, Futures and options
swaps, and swap- on precious metals
tions like gold and silver
Stock index options Currency swaps Credit dcfllult Futures and options
swaps and other -on industrial metals
credit derivatives like copper and
IIluminium
This also means that the two patties assess each other 's creditworthiness and negotiate appropriate
arrangements for mitigating the credit risk.
Some important ex.amples of exchange traded and OTC derivatives arc presented in Table 1.3.
Table 1.3 Classification of derivatives according to the nature of the market
in which the derivative is traded
Excha nge traded derh'alives Over Tile Counter (OTC) derivatives'
Futures contracts on stocks, cllrrencies, and Forward contracts on stocks, curreJlci~, and
commodities commodities
Exchange traded options on stocks, currencies, OTC options on stocks, currencies, llnd commodities
and commodities
Swap 'note fu tures and interest rate futures lntercst rate swaps, caps, floors, and fOlWard rate
agreements
analysis convinced him that a devaluation of that currency was imminent. He was unable to do so in the
OTC markets available at the time and this experience made him a strong supporter of financial futures
in Chicago.
Individuals who manage their own investment poltfolios might also use derivatives for the same
reasons as investment institutions. In addition, they may use derivatives to hedge their non-tradeable
assets. For example, an individual who holds non-transferable employee stock options granted by his
employer might use derivatives to hedge the risk of these options.
was that Nick Leeson had created an account numbered 88888 ostensibly as an 'error account' to net out
minor trading mistakes. Leeson ensured that the Earings software was designed so that positions in the
error account were not reported to his superiors at all.
Leeson look large, highly risky positions in the error account and most of his profits actua lly came
from these positions. When the positions startcd making a loss, Lecson hid the losses in the error ac-
count and embarked on a doubling strategy. He managed to convince his superiors that his risk-free
arbitrage business needed large amoun ts of cash to support it. The cash of course was actually needed to
finance his losses. As he continued to lose money, the positions became so large that they could no
longer be sustained. The episode ended in a loss of$I.4 billion and caused BaTings Bank to go bankrupt.
It is clear that the primmy reason for this disaster was a total failure of intemal control systems.
Leeson's ability to open an error account, change the software to hidc the error account, and draw
immense amounts of cash from the head office without anyone seriously investigating his actions, all
point to severe management failure. In a well-designed organizational structure, the functi ons performed .
by Leeson would have been divided between several ind ividuals so that one or two persons could not
hide everything.
What role did derivatives play in the disaster? First, the immense liquidity of the dcrivative market
allowed large positions to be taken very easily and quickly. It is this liquidity that makes derivatives
attractive \0 such rogue traders. Doubling strategies can be adopted only in velY liquid markets and
derivatives tend to fit the bill excellently. Second, derivatives provide enonnous amounts of leverage. It
is possible to take 11 large derivative position with relatively small initial investmcnt. Large cash flows
arise only when the position makes a loss. Finally, derivativcs are comple)( and make it easier for smart
traders to fool their superiors, especially when those superiors do not understand much about deriva-
tives. All these characteristics make it important for banks that trade derivatives to design sound internal
control systems to keep rogue traders at bay.
Hamanaka, and Sumitomo Hamanaka was a copper trader at Sumitomo who was nicknamed
'Mr 5 per cent' in recognition of the fact that his position in the world copper market was large, relative
to the tolal size of the market Over a period of 10 years, Hamanaka hid many of his trades and losses.
He refused several promotions to retain control of his copper positions . Il was only when Sumitomo
ultimately reassigned his duties that it was revealed that Hamanaka had lost Sl.8 billion. Apparently,
Hamanaka was trying to corner the global copper market to push up the priee of copper. When the
strategy failed and prices collapsed, his large long positions produced huge losses. Again, it was the
leverage, liquidity, and convenience of the derivative markets that made them so attractive to Hamanaka.
academics, LTCM pursued a strategy of bond market arbitrage with very high levels of leverage. The
arbitrage opportunities that they pursued were very small in percentage terms, but because the fixed
income markets are so large, it was possible to make huge profits by taking very large positions financed
with borrowing. The leverage and liquidity advantages of derivatives were critical to LTCM's strategy.
Tiny profits were amplified by the huge amollnt of leverage to produce stellar returns for the first few
years. When things went wrong in 1998, the collapse was equally rapid as the leverage amplified the
losses as effectively as it had amplified the profits in the past. LTCM had also ignored the possibility that
the markets could become illiquid and make it difficuil for LTCM to implement its chosen strategies.
LTCM's size at the point of its collapse was so large that regulators won'ied about the systemic effect of
its failure on the broader f1naneia l system. The US Federal Reserve Board orchestrated a partial rescue
and orderly liquidation of LTCM.
tant chapters in the book. It presents the risk-ncutral valuation methodology w hich is used in the rest
of the book 10 understand derivative valuation. Historically, Black-Scholes and other derivative valu-
ation mode ls were tirst obtained using complex arbitrage arguments. Only much later was it realized
that ri sk-neutral valuation provides a simpler and morc intuitive route to undcrstanding option valua-
tion. This book consistently uses the risk-neutral approach and Chapter 8 is, therefore, critical to the
understandi ng of the whole book. Chapter 9 uses risk-neutral valuation to understand the binomial
option pricing model, which is an importa nt model of option valuation. Chapter 10 discusses the
famous Black-Scholes model which is the most famous formula in derivative valuation.
Chapter 11 and 13 present various trading and hedging strategies using options. Chapter II deals
with simple strategies that are designed to take a directional view 0 11 the underlying and involve only
one 01' two options. Chapter 13 discusses more complex strategies that involve more than two options,
or are dcsigned to take a view on the volatility of the asset rather than the direction of its price
movements.
Chapter 12 deals w ith the Greeks of the Black-Scholes model. The Greeks represent the sensitivi-
ties of the option price to various pricing parameters and arc critica l for hedging the option, and
understandi ng its risk profile.
Chapters 14 and 15 deal with volatility which is the only unobserved pricing parameter in the
Black-Scholes mode l. Chapter 14 discusses the estimation of volatil ity using historical data as well as
the implied volati lity of other traded options. Chapter IS deals with the use of the volatil ity smile to
adjust the volatil ity input into the 8laek·Scholes model so that the formula can be used evcn when
there arc modest departures from the assumptions of the Black-Scholes model.
Chapter 16 describes exotic options like binary, barrier, and Asian options. The valuation of these
options as well as their hedging are discussed . Chapter 17 discusses warrants and convertible bonds
which arc important examples of e mbedded options. The use of the binomial option pricing model to
handle the complexity of some of these option structu res is high lighted. A couple of cases illustrate
the issues involved.
C hapter 18 and 19 discuss some of the basic fixed income or interesl rate derivatives. This a
complex subject and specialized books have been written exclusively on interest rate derivatives.
Thi s book deals w ith only the elementary theory of these derivatives. Chapter 18 discusses interest
mte swaps and currency swaps while Chapter 19 covers the standard market models for caps, floors,
and swaptions.
Chapter 20 presents an overview of derivative accounting w hich is important for most users of
derivatives. Most of the time, whe n companies use derivatives to hedgc risk, they are concerned about
the accounting treatment of the derivatives. The availability of hedge accounting is oftcn a critical
consideration while using derivatives. The chapter includes a ease that highlights some of the com-
plexities invol ved.
The fi nal two chapters, 21 and 22, deal with risk management. Chapter 21 which continues from
where Chapter 5 ends, discusses corporate risk management. The discussion in this chapter links
hedging decisions and capital structure decisions, and brings out the importance of cash flow hedges.
The chapter includes a comprehensive case that explores all aspects of risk management, and the
design of a complex hedging strategy. Chapter 22 is about risk managemcnt in financial institutions.
This chapter is largely about Value at Risk (VaR) and strcss testing.
Int roduction to Derivatives I 1.13
Chapter Summary
A derivative is an instrument whose value is 'derived' from some other security or economic variable. The depen-
dence of the derivative's value on other prices or variables makes it an excellent vehicle for transferring and man-
aging risk. Derivatives bring greater liquidity to the market, improve price discovery, broaden the range of partiei-
pams, lind reduce volatility.
While some foons of derivatives are severnlthousands of years old, modem organized derivative exchanges
date back to the nineteenth old century. Modem financial derivatives have dcveloped largely since the 1970s and
have grown to dominate the global derivative markets.
The relationship of the derivative with the underlying can be linear as ill the case of forward cOlllmcts or non-
linear as in the case of options. The underlying can be a stock or a stock index , bonds or interest rates, exchange
rates, commodities or natural phenomenll like weather. The derivative can be traded in an exchange or Over the
Counter (OTC) betwccn two counterparties.
There have been several derivative disasters in recell! years. Many of these are because of rogue traders who
exploited the fai lure of internal eOnlrol systems to supervise them adequately. Son.e disasters were due 10 deficien-
cies in the design of the hedging strategies while others were simply the result of aggressive investors pursuing
high-risk high-retum strategies.
Managements, boards, and regulators must understand the liquidity and leverage characteristics of derivatives
and ensure that there are well-designed internal control systems to ensure that derivatives arc used approprilltcly.