Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Telecom Industry
Telecom Industry
Telecom Industry
Department of Finance
Assignment on
“A Case Study of Prime Finance Capital Management Limited”
Submitted To:
Dr. Shaikh Masrick Hasan
Associate Professor
Department of Finance
Jagannath University
Submitted By
Group -7
3ed year 2nd semester
Department of Finance
Jagannath University
1 Bangladesh Telecommunication Industry Risk
Group List:
No Name ID
01 Sayma Akter Mim B180203009
02 Sadia Rahman Neizum B180203029
03 Umme Habiba Doel B180203034
04 Sangida Akther B180203060
05 Maimuna Rahman B180203065
06 Shoma Islam Mim B180203075
07 Siam Hossain B180203078
08 Ayesha Siddika Mim B180203089
09 Md Parvez Hossen B180203094
Letter of transmittal
Date:18-09-2022
Dr. Shaikh Masrick Hasan
Associate professor
Jagannath university, Dhaka
Subject: Requesting for acceptance of the report on “Telecommunication
industry in Bangladesh”
Respected sir,
it is a great pleasure and opportunity to present you the report titled
“Telecommunication industry in Bangladesh” which is assigned to group 7 as
a requirement of course, Investment Banking & lease Financing(FIN-3201).We
go through various article and research paper and understand how the
telecommunication industry going on in Bangladesh’s perspective. We believe
it is a great learning for us. Throughout the study, we tried to follow every
instruction that you have suggested for which we tried our best to make this
report informative as possible and add value to the reader. Despite a few
limitations we tried our best effort to make this report meaningful to the
readers. We honestly believe that it will gratify your requirement.
We are indebted for your valuable suggestions and humble cooperation. Now
we have placed this report before you for your consideration. We enjoyed this
task and will be glad to appear any of yours inquires to clarify our point, if
necessary.
Sincerely Yours,
Member of group-7
BBA 13th Batch
3rd year, 2nd semester
Department of finance
Jagannath university, Dhaka
Finally, we thank all the persons who have directly or indirectly contributed in
preparing this report.
Table of Contents
ABSTRACT.............................................................................................................................................2
PART-1
1.1INTRODUCTION..............................................................................................................................3
LITERATURE REVIEW.................................................................................................................................4
TABLE 1: MOBILE PHONE INDUSTRY IN BANGLADESH...........................................................................10
1.2OBJECTIVE AND THE METHODOLOGY OF THE STUDY.......................................................14
PART -2
2.1 Top 10 Telecommunication industry risk...........................................................................39
2.2 SEVEN RISK DRIVER IN TELECOM INDUSTRY.......................................................40
2.3 SWOT ANALYSIS............................................................................................................42
2.4 Eight shaping trend of telecom industry.............................................................................42
PART-3
3.1 Improvement of risk control...............................................................................................44
3.3Overview of Bangladesh telecom industry..........................................................................47
PART-4
4.1 CONCLUSION....................................................................................................................48
4.2 REFERANCE.......................................................................................................................49
ABSTRACT
The aim of the study is to acknowledge about the industry risk. As we choose
work on telecommunication industry here we are going to know about the risk
of telecommunication industry. The study is based on primary and secondary
information, quantitative and qualitative analysis has been done to reach the
desired result. Consolidate evaluation of relevant data and empirical
information collected accordingly. We also going to know about top 10 risk in
telecom industry in 2021 and beyond, and the risk driver in the telecom sector,
moreover SWOT, top 8 trend of shaping telecommunication industry, risk
management process, asses and improve risk control, overview on
Bangladesh’s telecom industry, pricing strategy, systemic model for security
and risk management in telecom industry, evaluations of telecom industries
performance, Overview of 3 listed (GP, ROBI, BCCL) companies in DSE. And
lastly the profitability of leading telecom industries in Bangladesh.
Part-1
1.1INTRODUCTION
An industry is a group of companies which are similar by nature with similar
primary business activity. In this modern era there are lots of industry
classification and those are classified into grouped and the larger category is
called sector. In this dozens of sectors, we are going to work on telecom
sector. which consists of companies that transmit data in word, voice, audio, or
video across the globe. Telecommunication mesmerized our life style ever
since it was developed. Now it’s merely impossible for us to live a day without
it. As it is adaptable to rapidly changing market demand and accelerate its
innovation in order to adjust and continue its expansion, and within this
expansion comes great risk and consequences.
Communication is a basic part of human life. From the early age people start
communicate with each other through various media in order to fulfill their
social need. As a developing country in the world Bangladesh finds a way to
grow its telecommunication sector, against various difficulties more than
160million people are comparatively low GDP has been involved in the
creation of highly competitive market. Its growing rapidly that mobile
telephone penetration was approaching 30% milestone in back 2009.It become
the major contributor in revenue, employment, and infrastructure
development. In bd telecom companies are provide cost effective and quality
service to the customer as customer satisfaction is more important issue for
the survival and success of a company. As it’s become a great part of our life
Bangladesh government granted permission to BD telecom private limited to
introduce the mobile telecommunication operations and other wireless
communication network for the first time 1989 to private investment in this
sector. Grameenphone Ltd is a public limited company and incorporated in
Bangladesh in 1996 under the companies act 1994.GP’s standard deviation for
last 10 years is 0.073111522, which indicate risk deviation of this company
which is so small and as we know the less risky company are very profitable for
investment.
Literature Review
The risk of the stock price is affected by demand and supply, economy, govt.
Policies, political scenario and dividend. The author of [1] uses some methods
and models to determine risk factor like BIAS method that measures that how
much stock price deviates from moving average. They also use output layer that
reflects the overall return of share. [1] Equity market risk is the risk of
fluctuations in market price. Capital market usually faces higher risk due to
unsound market mechanism, immature investors and excessive growth. The
scholar used variance method, Generally Autoregressive Conditional
Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) method and tail index estimation. [2]. Share price
volatility is the rate at which price of a share increase or decrease over a period.
Higher volatility means higher risk and help investors to estimate the
fluctuations. In the third paper the scholars use regression in which price
volatility was dependent Variables while earning volatility, dividend yield,
dividend payout ratio and growth in assets were independent variables. And also
determine the mean, standard deviation and correlation matrix of this variables.
This paper discusses the hypothesis of the study that this variable has significant
positive correlation and has direct effect on price volatility. [3]
The telecommunication industry has faces different type of risk due its
management and nature. The potential risk factors affect the telecommunication
companies. There are several risk factors identified for the sustainability supply
chain of the telecommunication industry. Based on diversification of factors and
occurrence, the study shows the factors of different name & title. This factors
consent by decision maker of telecommunication industry sector.
Market competition, this risk is associated with the fact that are often competing
companies on the market, each of which seeks of obtain the highest position and
consumer resting on it in order to gain maximum benefits for themselves. A
competitive risks of the business entity depend on the characteristics of it work
in the market and it functional areas activity. It also depends on the complexity
of product. Market competition is unexpected demand forecast; uncertain due to
market competition.
Quality issues of supplies, this affect the sustainability of supply chain in
telecommunication industry. This quality makes the efficiency of supply chain
Customer expectation change, the changes of customer preference, expectation
and need in the market is the another risk factor of telecommunication industry.
Social factors impact, the factor of age, income, and culture refers the benefit of
the telecommunication organization to the community.
Insufficient telecom infrastructure in semi-rural areas is major risk factor which
include power, road, skilled labor availability and resource availability.
Unethical and illegal activities are also risk factor of telecom companies.
Customer relationship management and market orientation to the approach of
building customer care initiatives and relationship marketing. It has no clear
definition in its field. The problem of using customer data in practice often
cause underestimated. There are many issues that have the function of
gathering, manipulating and using data. Due to the intangibility, variability,
there are inevitable problems related to managing CRM service and affect the
customer relationship. Data protection sector specific regulation is needed more
attention to gain companies trust and handle their relationship.
According to Jonvenpaa, there are many factors affecting intention to purchase
from internal stores. (E-Commerce)
According to lee and kim (2006), Mobility of reader device may cause privacy
threats, thus becoming a barrier for the development of telecommunication
service. Pavlov (2003), shows the perceived risk was the strongest antecedent to
intention. Trust has direct and indirect effect on intention.
(2) Network effects are the questions with respect to technology adoption
decisions or why consumers purchase a given system.
It may product selection decisions. May authors have stressed the value of
network effects as technology strategy. The adoption of new technology is only
empirical study which has looked at how network effects influence in the
organization level adoption behavior. Network effects arisen when there is
inter-dependence between different components of an economic system. The
nature of inter-dependence is a change in one of the components of the
system might change in the behavior of the system. It is attractive to a firm if
there are significant economic incentives to the firm adopting the change.
The ability to set increasing returns is a primary incentive for firms adopting
new technologies in network industries. Network effects encourage business
to pursue more efficient and innovative products. It helps scale your business
by increasing your customer base, market share overall proposition of your
product. If you're wondering what a network effect is, it happens when the
product increases in value the more people use it. Network effects imply that
the business with the highest market share will be more successful in the long
run. It’s market share is likely to grow more sustainably.
Technology adoption in business refers to the acceptance and integration of
new technologies into existing systems or creating a new one.
So, Network effect and the adoption of new technology in telecommunication
is the most vital elements all the time.
The present study represents the necessity to acquire and development of the
mobile phone telecommunication industry of Bangladesh.
(7) Worldwide internet is developing day by day about corporate
responsibility. In recent year, customer satisfaction and loyalty by corporate
social responsibility. The study found the relationship between corporate
social responsibility and purchase intention. However, the significant
relationship between customer satisfaction and corporate social responsibility
of telecommunication industry of Bangladesh. In present business world,
calculate Mean Return SD, SSD, Beta, Risk free, Sharpe ratio, Sortino ratio and
Treynor Ratio.
Mean Return: Mean return is the average of the return.Mean is used to
understand the performance of a company’s stock price over a time.
SD (Standard Deviation): Standard deviation is a basic mathematical concept
that measures volatility in the market or the average amount by which
individual data points differ from the mean.
SSD (Semi Standard Deviation): semi standard deviation is used to measure
the dispersion of a stock price from an observed mean. Semi-deviation
measures only the below-mean, or negative, fluctuations in an asset's price.
Risk Free Rate of Return: The risk-free rate of return is the theoretical rate of
return of an investment with zero risk. The risk free rate represents the
interest an investor would expect from an absolutely risk-free investment over
a specified period of time.
Sharpe Ratio: The Sharpe ratio compares the return of an investment with its
risk. A higher Sharpe ratio is better when comparing similar portfolios.
Sortino Ratio: The Sortino ratio is a variation of the Sharpe ratio that
differentiates harmful risk from total overall risk by using the stock’s standard
deviation of negative portfolio returns downside deviation instead of the
total standard deviation of portfolio returns.
Treynor Ratio: The Treynor ratio is a performance metric for determining how
much excess return was generated for each unit of risk taken on by a
portfolio.
Treasury Bill
2 01 August, 2022 5.75%
3 03 July, 2022 5.13%
4 01 June, 2022 3.90%
5 05 May, 2022 3.07%
6 03 April, 2022 2.39%
7 01 March, 2022 2.38%
8 01 February, 2022 2.66%
9 01 January, 2022 2.74%
10 01 December, 2021 2.57%
11 01 November, 2021 1.94%
12 01 October, 2021 1.24%
13 01 September, 2021 0.82%
14 01 August, 2021 0.65%
15 01 July, 2021 0.69%
16 01 June, 2021 0.72%
17 01 May, 2021 0.64%
18 01 April, 2021 0.58%
19 01 March, 2021 0.53%
20 01 February, 2021 0.70%
21 01 January, 2021 1.04%
22 01 December, 2020 1.97%
23 01 November, 2020 3.11%
24 01 October, 2020 4.36%
25 01 September, 2020 5.56%
26 01 August, 2020 6.51%
27 01 July, 2020 7.13%
28 01 June, 2020 7.17%
29 01 May, 2020 7.06%
30 01 April, 2020 7.11%
31 01 March, 2020 7.07%
32 01 February, 2020 6.85%
33 01 January, 2020 6.76%
34 01 December, 2019 7.04%
35 01 November, 2019 7.63%
36 01 October, 2019 7.58%
37 01 September, 2019 7.13%
Grameenphone
Date Closing Return Down-side Market index MARKET
Price Return (DSEX) Return
1 October, 2012 167.4 4311.13825
1 November, 174.2 0.040621266 4136.30619 -0.040553573
2012
1 December, 167.4 -0.039035591 -0.039035591 3973.28261 -0.039412841
2012
1 January, 2013 172.6 0.031063321 3458.10185 -0.129661242
1 February , 2013 169.5 -0.017960603 -0.017960603 3438.89753 -0.005553428
1 March, 2013 141 -0.168141593 -0.168141593 3878.07027 0.127707423
1 April, 2013 146.2 0.036879433 4104.646 0.058424864
1 May, 2013 146 -0.001367989 -0.001367989 3911.75212 -0.046994036
1 June, 2013 173.9 0.19109589 4140.30469 0.058427161
1 July, 2013 187.4 0.077630822 3928.4889 -0.051159469
1 August, 2013 183.8 -0.019210245 -0.019210245 3967.72898 0.009988594
1 September, 221.3 0.204026115 4147.20938 0.045235045
2013
1 October, 2013 187.7 -0.151830095 -0.151830095 4286.15366 0.033503078
1 November, 197.5 0.052210975 4753.17024 0.108959365
2013
0.047657512 0.04779767
6
1 February, 103.1 -0.12553011 -0.12553011 4047.28611 -
2015 0.10321512
2
1 March,2015 142.5 0.382153249 4623.63092 0.14240278
4
1 April, 2015 121.8 - -0.145263158 4583.10991 -
0.145263158 0.00876389
4
1 May, 2015 110.7 - -0.091133005 4792.30659 0.04564513
0.091133005 7
1 June, 2015 159.1 0.437217706 4724.51883 -
0.01414512
2
1 July, 2015 129 - -0.189189189 4856.96557 0.02803391
0.189189189 1
1 August, 2015 135.2 0.048062016 4514.85128 -
0.07043786
6
1 September, 121.7 - -0.099852071 4621.67443 0.02366039
2015 0.099852071 2
1 October, 112.5 - -0.075595727 4629.64302 0.00172417
2015 0.075595727 8
1 November, 104.6 - -0.070222222 4560.42394 -
2015 0.070222222 0.01495127
8
1 December, 107.1 0.023900574 4484.03847 -
2015 0.01674964
2
1 January, 2016 106.9 - -0.001867414 4357.53806 -
0.001867414 0.02821126
8
1 February, 104.9 - -0.018709074 4195.69851 -
2016 0.018709074 0.03714013
5
1 March, 2016 102.8 - -0.020019066 4421.79486 0.05388765
0.020019066 4
1 April, 2016 105.7 0.028210117 4507.58048 0.01940063
3
1May, 2016 99.2 - -0.061494797 4533.71246 0.00579734
0.061494797 1
1 June, 2016 105.4 0.0625 4549.04373 0.00338161
5
1 July, 2016 109.5 0.038899431 4695.18902 0.03212659
6
1 August, 2016 107.8 - -0.015525114 4596.86451 -
0.015525114 0.02094154
5
1 September, 109.3 0.013914657 4823.02378 0.04919859
2016 4
1 October, 123.4 0.129002745 5083.89246 0.05408820
2016 1
1 November, 116.8 - -0.053484603 5473.89142 0.07671266
2016 0.053484603 9
1 December, 119.1 0.019691781 5597.21656 0.02252970
2016 2
1 January, 2017 117.7 - -0.011754828 5719.61091 0.02186700
0.011754828 3
1 February, 122.9 0.044180119 5475.55266 -
2017 0.04267042
9
1 March, 2017 123 0.00081367 0.00081367 5438.70501 -
0.00672948
5
1 April, 2017 121.4 -0.01300813 -0.01300813 5656.04928 0.03996250
4
1 May, 2017 120.2 - -0.009884679 5876.26377 0.03893433
0.009884679
1 June, 2017 116.2 -0.03327787 -0.03327787 6006.43351 0.02215178
6
1 July, 2017 121.4 0.04475043 6092.84094 0.01438581
3
1 August, 2017 121.5 0.000823723 0.000823723 6072.33484 -
0.00336560
6
1 September, 117.2 - -0.035390947 6306.86095 0.03862206
2017 0.035390947 5
0.132958801 0.00260174
1
1 May, 2020 78.4 - -0.153347732 4214.42998 0.05648944
0.153347732 5
1 June, 2020 81.2 0.035714286 4862.22357 0.15370847
1
1 July, 2020 81.7 0.006157635 0.006157635 4995.31992 0.02737355
6
1 August, 2020 105.5 0.29130967 4896.68573 -
0.01974532
1 129.3 0.225592417 4903.95567 0.00148466
September,202 5
0
1 October, 130.2 0.006960557 0.006960557 5402.06586 0.10157314
2020 3
1 November, 138.5 0.06374808 5599.80065 0.03660355
2020
1 December, 138.7 0.001444043 0.001444043 5426.82205 -
2020 0.03089013
5
1 January, 2021 165.8 0.195385725 5270.53103 -
0.02879973
2
1 February, 162.6 - -0.019300362 5479.61533 0.03967044
2021 0.019300362 3
1 March, 2021 161.6 - -0.006150062 5993.33355 0.09375078
0.006150062 2
1 April, 2021 160.4 - -0.007425743 6150.48392 0.02622086
0.007425743 2
1 May, 2021 169.4 0.056109726 6425.25664 0.04467497
6
1 June, 2021 179.5 0.059622196 6916.38971 0.07643789
2
1 July, 2021 173.7 - -0.032311978 7329.03694 0.05966222
0.032311978 9
1 August, 2021 180.9 0.041450777 6998.0396 -
0.04516246
1 178.9 - -0.011055832 6847.00432 -
September,202 0.011055832 0.02158251
1 3
1 October, 221.8 0.23979877 6756.6568 -
2021 0.01319519
1 November, 204.6 -0.07754734 -0.07754734 6997.6036 0.03566065
2021 4
1 December, 183.7 - -0.102150538 6753.78965 -
2021 0.102150538 0.03484249
2
1 January, 2022 205.3 0.117583016 6757.83526 0.00059901
3
1 February, 225.5 0.098392596 6655.6665 -
2022 0.01511856
3
1 March, 2022 208.6 - -0.074944568 6433.1729 -
0.074944568 0.03342919
9
1 April, 2022 210.9 0.011025887 0.011025887 6376.94392 -
0.00874047
4
1 May, 2022 223 0.057373163 6163.99432 -
0.03339367
6
1 June, 2022 217.2 - -0.026008969 6508.60736 0.05590742
0.026008969 3
1 July, 2022 222 0.022099448 6376.94392 -
0.02022912
6
1 August, 2022 221.7 - -0.001351351 6163.99432 -
0.001351351 0.03339367
6
1 September, 229.6 0.035633739 6508.60736 0.05590742
2022 3
0.56969032
7
SSD 0.061452895 Treynor Ratio 0.19267816
9
Beta -
0.181697386
Risk Free 0.048796878
2
0.013245033 2
1 May, 2021 46.2 0.033557047 6425.25664 0.04467497
6
1 June, 2021 47.4 0.025974026 6916.38971 0.07643789
2
1 July, 2021 43.6 - -0.080168776 7329.03694 0.05966222
0.080168776 9
1 August, 2021 42.9 - -0.016055046 6998.0396 -
0.016055046 0.04516246
1 42.4 - -0.011655012 6847.00432 -
September,202 0.011655012 0.02158251
1 3
1 October, 40.6 -0.04245283 -0.04245283 6756.6568 -
2021 0.01319519
1 November, 39.7 - -0.022167488 6997.6036 0.03566065
2021 0.022167488 4
1 December, 38.6 - -0.027707809 6753.78965 -
2021 0.027707809 0.03484249
2
1 January, 2022 35.3 - -0.085492228 6757.83526 0.00059901
0.085492228 3
1 February, 38.3 0.084985836 6655.6665 -
2022 0.01511856
3
1 March, 2022 35.6 - -0.070496084 6433.1729 -
0.070496084 0.03342919
9
1 April, 2022 33.8 - -0.050561798 6376.94392 -
0.050561798 0.00874047
4
1 May, 2022 32.1 - -0.050295858 6163.99432 -
0.050295858 0.03339367
6
1 June, 2022 29.2 - -0.090342679 6508.60736 0.05590742
0.090342679 3
1 July, 2022 33.1 0.133561644 6376.94392 -
0.02022912
6
1 August, 2022 30 - -0.093655589 6163.99432 -
0.093655589 0.03339367
6
1 September, 30 0 0 6508.60736 0.05590742
2022 3
GP BSCCL ROBI
Mean Return 0.007206373 0.013787759 0.003915876
Mean return: Mean return represent the average return on any investment
over a period of time. Here the mean returns are:
GRAMEENPHONE : 0.00720 or 0.72%
BSCCL: 0.0137 or 1.4%
ROBI: 0.0039 0R 0.39%
Here it is clear that BSCCL has largest mean return. After that Grameenphone
and lowest return on Robi. As mean represent return the largest return will be
preferred. According to mean BSCCL performance is better.
Standard Deviation: The standard deviation can help quantify how risky an
investment is and determine their minimum required return on the
investment.
GRAMEENPHONE : 7.31%
BSCCL: 15.13%
ROBI: 14.80%
Higher standard deviation represents higher risk, BSCCL has 15.13% then Robi
with 14.80% and Grameenphone has lowest risk with 7.31%.
According to SD Grameenphone performance is better
Semi- Standard deviation: Semi-deviation is an alternative measurement to
standard deviation or variance. However, unlike those measures, semi-
deviation looks only at negative price fluctuations. More accurate than
standard deviation in a point of view of investment.
GRAMEENPHONE : 4.23%
BSCCL: 6.15%
ROBI: 3.67%
Here it is clear BSCCL has highest risk with 6.15%, and then Grameenphone
with 4.23% and Robi has lowest SSD with 3.67%. Here Robi’s performance is
better
Beta: Beta represent the volatility (how securities price swing around the
mean price) of stock. Beta less than 1 is better for investment. As beta more
than 1 represents higher volatility which means higher swing of price as a
result higher return.
Here
GRAMEENPHONE : -0.11
BSCCL: -0.18
ROBI: 0.26
GP & BSCCL both of them has beta less than 1 and Robi has more than 1, GP &
BSCCL are less risky than Robi.
Sharpe Ratio: Sharp ratio tells how much return is generated by taking per
unit of risk.
GRAMEENPHONE : -0.57
BSCCL: -0.23
ROBI: -0.12
Here Robi is giving the highest return and then BSCCL and Grameenphone is
giving the lowest by taking a unit of risk.
Sort ratio: Because the Sortino ratio focuses only on the negative deviation of
a portfolio's returns from the mean, it is thought to give a better view of a
portfolio's risk-adjusted performance since positive volatility is a benefit.
GRAMEENPHONE : -0.98
BSCCL: -0.57
ROBI: -0.49
The higher Sortino ratio will be better for any investor, thus Robi will be
preferred for investor with higher sortino ratio.
Treynor Ratio:
GRAMEENPHONE : 0.37
BSCCL: 0.19
ROBI: -0.07
A higher ratio indicates a more favorable risk/return scenario. GP and BSCCL
has positive ratio and GP has the higher ratio. GP’s performance is better in
this ratio
Keep in mind that Treynor Ratio values are based on past performance that
may not be repeated in future performance.
Overall Robi’s performance is better but as both Sharpe and sortino ratio is
given negative value and Treynor ratio is given positive value GP also can be
give better performer .
Column1( Mean)
Mean 0.008303336
Standard Error 0.002902069
Median 0.007206373
Mode #N/A
Standard Deviation 0.005026531
Sample Variance 2.5266E-05
Kurtosis #DIV/0!
Skewness 0.935283845
Range 0.009871883
Minimum 0.003915876
Maximum 0.013787759
Sum 0.024910008
Count 3
Column3 (SSD)
Mean 0.046797502
Standard Error 0.007502179
Median 0.042255961
Mode #N/A
Standard Deviation 0.012994155
Sample Variance 0.000168848
Kurtosis #DIV/0!
Skewness 1.380656496
Range 0.024769245
Minimum 0.036683649
Maximum 0.061452895
Sum 0.140392505
Count 3
Column4 (Beta)
Mean -0.011605994
Standard Error 0.137603841
Median -0.113926624
Mode #N/A
Standard Deviation 0.238336844
Sample Variance 0.056804451
Kurtosis #DIV/0!
Skewness 1.575835104
Range 0.442503414
Minimum -0.181697386
Maximum 0.260806028
Sum -0.034817982
Count 3
Column5(Sharpe Ratio)
Mean -0.30758
Standard Error 0.134364
Median -0.23132
Mode #N/A
Standard Deviation 0.232726
Sample Variance 0.054161
Kurtosis #DIV/0!
Skewness -1.31622
Range 0.446318
Minimum -0.56886
Maximum -0.12255
Sum -0.92273
Count 3
PART-2
2.1 Top 10 Telecommunication industry risk
The EY global communication sector Identify 10 threats confronting the industry right now at high
level. It also need to consider new risk and opportunities across customer priorities, workforce,
supply chain, cyber security, portfolio management, eco system relationship, sustainability, and
business model innovation.
1.Cyber Incidents: Over the past three-year cyber insurance claim increase significantly.
Overall claim seen by AGCS (across all industry sector) increased from 500 in 2018 to around 1100
last year. Ransomware attack have emerged as a growing threat. In 2020 AGCS claim number of
ransomware claim which incised over by 40%. This activity is so potentially lucrative criminal are now
offering ransomware as a service for $40 per month. Telecom sector should ensure compliance with
the legislation and regulation that govern their activity in all the sector their working with. Industry
should be aware of the impact on their activity and should take step to protect their asset. Many
companies in this industry are on alert for an escalation in hacking attempts and Russian reprisal
cyberattack after the imposing sensation by western nation, which make a kick out of some country
lender from global payment system Swift.
2.Business interruption: Around 60% cost account in business interruption caused by the
value of cyber claim based on AGCS analysis. Recent pandemic become another interruption in this
industries supply chain. Supply chain interruption claim as a result of delayed component or in D&O
(director and officer) security claims if operational management is deemed inadequate. Liability for
third party risk could arise if lower quality component is used because of a shortage.
3.Pandemic outbreak: During Covid lockdown telecom industry has fared relatively. This
sector was offering much needed product and service but this isn’t the only reason that it overcome
the storm- it was buoyed by robust distribution chain.
6.Natural catastrophe: Various kind of natural catastrophe can affect the industry like
companies whose asset are in the cloud and have physical server and office building located in the
coastal area in climate change they are in a heightened risk of flood.
Nowadays telephone industries face business challenges. Last few years its revenue had declined
gradually in COVID 19 crisis. That's why to stay competitive telecommunication industry focuses
digital transformation such as MEC, Iot, 5G. The services should be improved customer efficiency
and high value margins. The providers are trying to adopt high performing network so that
customer's needs will be fulfilled. The technological trends are:
3. Artificial intelligence.
Artificial intelligence has greatly effect on telecom industries. They are virtual assistants,
chat boats, Al tools. When artificial intelligence is used in telecom industries the
improvement is growing increasingly. It is expected to grow to 70% in 2025. In fact, Al will
enable better root to deal with emerging hardware issues.
4. Internet of Things.
The adoption of iot helps telecom industries to monitor base station and ensures minimal
downtime for the network generate revenue.
5. Big data.
Big Data can help these industries to build business stronger, create more revenue.
6. RPA.
It offers high level of scalability and agility as it takes over the repetitive and rules based
tasks. It enables telecom companies to leverage a digital workforce to connect disparate
data, free team for facing opportunities.
7. Cloud computing.
Many telecom companies relay on the basic computer-based infrastructure for their
services. But nowadays, they are switching their services to cloud computing systems.
Because it not only save resources but is also good for decreasing internal cost and
Increasing revenue. The could competing systems works on a pay-per-use method. So the
telecom company has to pay for what they use. This service can reduce the cost and be
efficient in work. Most of the telecom industries including single-product telecoms also
switch to cloud computing to grow and expand their services. We can see the effect as it
reached $25.44 billion in 2020 and is projected to $74.36 billion in 2026.
8. Cyber security.
There are much opportunities for malicious attacks to gain unauthorized access in
telecommunication sectors. It affects the whole country, government, businesses,
consumers. Taking up preventive measures, detection threats etc. can be done by adoption
holistic approach such as mesh. It treats all the data systems and equipment securely of
their location or outside of the location.
How i link digital help telecom to deliver the right benefit: I link digital identity the significant
challenges in delivering services to customers. It helps telecommunications providers to
achieve organizational growth and increase quality of services.
PART-3
Findings
t: resilience phase
qualitative, (e.g., overall
quantitative frequency,
absorption,
response, recovery)
7 Joint risk Sample risk and System risk and
and resilience evaluation resilience
resilience matrix evaluation matrix
acceptance for single/ overall
evaluation combinations of
threats vs. system
(non) performance
functions resolve
per resilience
dimension
8 Risk Improvement System- Assessment matrix Evaluation matrix
control and measures per specific of risk of risk
resilience resilience cycle improveme control and resilience control and
phase; per nt issues resilience
improveme resilience capabilities measure (critical combinations improvement
nt or list of measures
options abilities system performance
selection functions and
threats) vs.
improvement
measures
9 List of domain- System- Assessment matrix of Pre-evaluation
Improveme specific system specific table of
nt
options development, list of improvement improvement
design, implementation, measures and options;
developme maintenance, and approache procedures vs. pre- Iteration of overall
nt control s implementation process
implementa standards; List of ad assessment criteria; to assess
tion hoc assessment as well as vs. results secondary and
operation options before of second and third higher order
and implementation iterations of overall effects
maintenanc (e.g., resources and process
e time needed,
acceptance,
acceptability)
3.2
Under this sector DSE has listed 3 company they are Grameenphone, Robi Axiata LTD and BSCCL.
We calculate their industry risk. We have work with their closing prices, market index(DSEX) and
market return.GP and BSCCL have 10 year closing price but ROBI has listed for 2 year so it has closing
price for 2 year. By using closing prices we calculate Mean Return SD, SSD, Beta, Risk free, Sharpe
ratio , Sortino ratio and Treynor Ratio.
GP BCCL ROBI
Mean Return 0.007206373 0.013787759 0.003915876
Recommendation
Part-4
4.1 Conclusion
Here we have calculated risk of telecommunication industries in Bangladesh.
There are three company under DSE. Though these companies face different
types of risk ,the benefits of these companies have increasing day by day. As a
country like Bangladesh,the significance of these sectors are many. Different
types of factors are described above which are affected this sector's risks like
poor management, lack of efficient security, lack of proper data. Internal
development, network effect , quantum technology, environment risk,
operational risk, customer satisfaction are major concern of
telecommunication industry. Robi has the lowest risk according to our analysis.
The major analysis have taken from secondary data. That's why Robi is in
strong position. If all telecom operators come in one platform for giving better
services to all subscribers telecommunication industry will gain more profit.
From above it can say that telecommunication has lot of chances to
improve.There are some threats and opportunities across cyber security,
portfolio management, business development model innovation, customer
priorities etc. Some industry risk of these sectors are failure to ensure
infrastructure, ineffective engagement with external ecosystem, inability to
adapt to changing regulatory landscape, failure to mitigate supply chain
disruption. Pandemic outbreak, new technology, change in legislation and
regulations, natural catastrophe, shortage of skilled workforce are risks in this
sector. Nowadays telecommunication industries face business challenges.
That's why to stay competitive telecommunication industries, they are trying
to adopt high performing network. Some technological trends such as 5G
network, Wifi 6, artifical intelligence, RPA, big data, cyber security, cloud
computing. The incentives both from government and private sectors have
helped the industry to grow. Bangladesh Telecommunications Regulatory
Commission (BTRC) is the regulatory authority for this sector, overseeing,
licensing, policy. It is now one of the biggest industries in Bangladesh and its
huge market has attracted many foreign investors.
According to risk analysis, we have concluded that Robi has the lowest risk. In
point of risk , Robi performance is better than others.
4.2 REFERANCE
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Pictures: Adobe Stock,
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