HOC VIEN NGAN HANG pé THI KET THUC HOC PHAN: BQ MON TOAN KINH TE LUQNG_ECO08A, DE THI SO: 03 Ti gian lam bai: 90 phi Ap ago os leg a Ca this. Nady thide..../A../20J4; Neay duyet dé: hl... 4 se mie : Nauti duyét 8... lobe. (Bé gém 03 trang) Caw 1: Nghién céu vé hegng tiéu thy thjt bd tén mot khu vue tir thing 5 nim 2016 dén thang 8 nam 2018, nguoi ta thu duge két qua sau: DS: Iuvgng tiéu thu thit bo (ngan tan); P: gia bin (LOUSD/Aan); «5%. Dependent Variable: DS a) Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-Statistic Prob. P -16.6216 c 115.2361 8.6493 Adjusted R-quared 0.5109 SE. of regression 36.5929 ‘Viét ham héi quy téng thé, ham hdi quy miu. Cae wée lugng thu duge cé phi hop voi ly thuyét kinh té khong? Tai sao? Ly chon cdc két qua ding trong céc két qua sau: A. RSS =38832.1696 BF =31.2969 —C. RSS=36154.0889D, F=29.2017 EB. Se(,)=3.0220 F. ESS = 419078222 G. TSS =76662.6143 H.R =0.5272 J. Se(fy)=3.0759 —-K. F=32.1998 —L. 6° =1339.0403 = M, F=30.2519 —O. ESS =39102.2520P. Se(f,)=2.9711 RK. S.D=52.3235 x 3, Lua chon ede két qua diing khi thyc hign yéu cdu: “Gi ban tang 17 USD/tan thi hong tiéu thy giam t6i thiéu bao nhieu?” A. Se(f,)=3.0759 —_B. Se(A,)=3.0220—C. Se(f,)=2.9711 _D. Se(B,) = 2.8866 E, Se(f,) = Gi tri khdc F. Két qua= 19.3361 G.Két qua= 19.5077. Két qua= 26.8364 J. Kétqua= 19.6651 K. Két qua = Gid tr kl 4. Nghi ngo m6 hinh thay déi ti thing 12/2017. Tién hanh u6e Ikong m6 inh tir thing 5/2016 dén thang 11/2017 thu duge Adjusted R-squared 0.6161 S.E. of regression 37.8132; voi giai doan cin Iai thu duge F-statistic 19.7985 S.D. dependent var 25.8817. Hay Iya chon ede két qui phi hgp: A. W,=(42k40) —B. F,=4.8535 — C. RSS, = 228774095. F,=54621—E. RSS = 260423252 FL R,=4.2516 — G. RSS,=24307.2476 HH. F,, = 5.8823 J. ",, = 5.5982 -K, RSS =25350.2735 M. Mé hinh khéng thay 4di-O. M6 hinh e6 thay di P. Phuong sai thay di 5. Cho két qua sau, hily dua ra két ludn phd hgp cho mé hinh [1]: @DS, = 4574.533-25.998P - 0.0178. + 0.001D8; +, SE. ofregression 29.1224 _S.D. dependent var ‘Céu 2: Déi dang mé hin, ngudi ta thu duge két qué sau: LD= InDS; LP =InP; LI InAD(-1); IN: thu nhap (USD/thang) AD(-1): chi quang edo ky trade (ngin USD); Dependent Variable: LD 21 ———$ Variable Coefficient Std. Error Statistic Prob. EO LP -1.1006 Lu 1.4939 La 0.7446 c 6.4989 Adjusted Resquared S.D. dependent var 0.1518 F-statistic 259.7935. Durbin-Watson stat XosLP; XLL; Xi=LA. Ma tran: 7399.4112 ~598.0549 89,3547 360.8941 -1_] 598.0549 50.0957 4.7202 -30.3276 89.3547 4.7202 8.4727 5.6726 360.8941 -30.3276 5.6726 36.6967, 1, Lua chon ede két qua diing khi tra loi cau hdi: “Chi phi quang cdo ky tnréc khong déi, gié bin ‘tang 3% va thu nh§p ting 1% lam cho lugng tiéu thy gidm nhiéu hon 2%?” A te 32, +B, =-2 v(t 3+ B=-2 |, eee (ey) Hy:3B,+By<-2 | H,:3P, +P,>-2 Hy :3P,+ By <2 p, (He BB +B=2 5 [Hy B=-2 5 [Hy:38,+B,=-2 Hy :-30,+ B,>2 Hy :3f, +B, <-2 Hy :32, +B, >-2 3076 Gt, =-0.9702 Ht, =0.0359 J. 1, LW = {ec} MW, ={r> 59} 0.4, =-04562 Pty = 3052 K. = 3288 Rt, =Gid tri khée 2. Cho két qua sau, hay Ira chon céc két qua diing khi dua ra két lun phi hgp cho mé hinh [2]: 732+ 0.735¢, , +0.165¢,. +¥, Adjusted R-squared 0.2635 SE. of regression A.COTTQ B.KhongesTTQ C. 73, =86454 D7, =83824 E. 73, = 8.9068 F. 72=94200 GW, =(3.42:40) H.R, =56523 1. F-61879 K. F,= 6.0086 LW, = (3440) M. F,=5.2939 0. R,=SATIT P. 73 =9.1669 R. 72 = Gid tri khde 3. Cho két qua sau: LP =-69.575+6.128LA, +0.937LI, +v, Adjusted R-squared 0.1163 SEE. of regression 2.176 @Hay dua ra két lun ph hgp cho mé hinh [2]. 4, Xe dinh gid tri trung binh tdi thiéu cia lwgng tigu thy khi gia ban thjt bd 1a 4200 USDitin, thu nhap la 720 USD/thing va chi phi quing céo ky trude la e*? ngin USD? 5. Két qua wdc lugng céc hé sé cia mé hinh [2] 6 dang tin cdy khong? Tai sao? Néu cic hau Cho bid: 12), =2.074; 13), = 2.069; 122, =2.064; this = 2.06; 17}, = 2.052; 178, = 2.048; 1% =2.045; th} 12) = 1.708; 128 =1.706; 122 =1.703; th} =1.701; Fys(l24) = 4.26; Fyos(I,25) = 4.24; Fyos(1,26)= 4.23; Fyos(L27)=4.215 Fyos(l,28)= 4.25 Fyos(1,29) = 4.18 Feos(223)=3.42; —— Fygs(224)=3.4; Fos (2,25) =3.395 Fyos(2,26 Fiygs(227)=3.35; — Foos(228)=3.34; —Fyg3(3,22)=3.053 Fyos.23} Fos(3.24)=3.01; —Fooe3,25)=2.99; Fuge (3,26) = 2.98 2.056; 5 2 SL714; Ae =L7U; =1.699; Fy o(1,23) = 4.28; Fyog(3:27)= 2.963 Fyos(3,28)= 2.95; 720) = 3.845 722 =5.99; 708) = 49; HAD =11.075 Zal =12.59; 7252 = 14.07 ; Uoaas = 1.96 ; Uoos = 1.65 n=27,k 1.496; n=28,k=2— di 328; du = 1.476; n=29,k 1,483; n= 30, k = 2 — dt = 1.352; dy = 1.489 én b6 co thi khong gi thich gi thom. Sink vién Khong dhege sic dng tai ligu Kh lam bai