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dAdaAdadadaddaddAdddsaddadaaa.Welcome to
What if...
- Book of =~
Alternative History: WWII
‘Sx years of fighting mote than SO milion dead, spanning thee continents
and two ofthe words gest oeans, and up to 7O nations ivolved - Wr
Wart wasthe biggest and bloodiest conflict the weed has ever seen, Weall
knowhow things tured out in the end but have yu ever stopped think
about what might have been fey battles, decisions ar events hadtaken a
ferent couse? In this special Wed War Ieition of What if. Book of
Alternative History we speak to experts to try to uncover how events may
hve unfoldedf some ofthese key moments had turned out differerty
Covering everything from the run-up tothe war to key battles, strategic
‘ecisions andthe post. ar allot read onto find out hor the world would
have looked the Ales hadlost r Stain had continued west after Belin
‘what would have becom of iter had he nt committed suicide, and howa
“Tapanese victory at Miday would have impacted the wari the Pacific We
also explore what might have happened if Churchills Operation Unthinkable
had become a reality the impact an Allied failure on D-Day might have had on
the outcome ofthe war and what might havebeen or Great Btain had Hitler
gone ahead with hisinvasion plans aswell as what might have happened if
‘the lies had’ cracked the Enigma code othe Nazishad developed the
stom bomb ist. Turn the page to explore these fascinating ard frightening
WWitathistory scenarios and many mexe.Sg amor
preterit
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A Ee ee
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captured Malta?
AE le ame pv oy
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the Atlantic?
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cracked the Enigma code?
Se ames Rey
Moscow in 1941?
eae enc
Pieire Sao Bee
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Braces
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won in North Africa?
‘What if... Stalingrad had
inane a cvacd
What if... Russia
Se Ebr’
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BUN CU LS Bitte teTHE ALLIES HAD
LOST THE WAR?
Imagine if Hitler succeeded with his dream of
turning Europe into a single Nazi superpower.
i940 etn and Faceted mise Asuvvng eprint oan What would hae been He's 2nd
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cia tieteek ey evecmiar eogcmesinas inhcierane Mietapstesat
FI 1944, withthe Allied forces boosted by device with a phtonkim core. victory in Europe would have been the
tetSanlaternaions DDgwa” —“Taeetusbeenmact dees! etn ary fe eat Sort
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Bea and armour to reinforce and repel the ‘Less certain is whether this was due Barbarossa, his invasion of the Soviet
PASE Serorcy uncngstaicrnayare toluxcfeonpeneyen ie petet_ Union nJune de eel Europe
eral decided to pursue the development, and German physicists or whether it involved —_and its thousands of years of civilisation
tseel ny ralewiveshclsorcver” ennai cls kepanucar woul hav lund ts en Depending on
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ERA ditcrentiy inorder tobring about an he would order great efforts immediately Union asa political or military threat and
‘ied detest Sasketecrnctanic ices” extn, oemmmhn 9&1 esear
Following the German defeats at El
Alamein in late 1942, Stalingrad in
early 1943, and the Allied landings
at Normandy in June 1944, the most
Credible scenario fora Hitler victory
‘would have been a nuclear device similar
to the atomic bomb dropped by the
Americans on Hiroshima. Strategically,
the most probable target for Hitler would
have been Moscow or a major East Coast
city inthe United States.
By then, Hitler possessed the long-
range capacity to deliver such a bomb
as far as New Yotk City He had three
prototypes ofan enhanced Messerschmitt,
‘Me 264 that had been developed 3s
Pod part ofan Amerkaborber pose :
Fhedivcpepe | ‘There was also a twostage V2 rocket
croatia evelopment tha cou ve esertily “aeaniingen ds Stnrschrfang in KE
‘Gonmun Mar Sute functioned as an intercontinental ballisticDy ae
THEALLES HAD LOST THE WAR?What if.
ae
et Tae
Ba a
Hy
: eacteeion
)
Sas)
THE ALLIES HAD LOST THE WAR?
‘As for Japan? It's fatto say that
(Germany and Japan were uneasy allies
at best It vas an axis of evil unlikely
to endure Hitler faulted Japan for not
‘opening afront against the Soviet Union
in the Far Bast, which would have
forced Moscow int a two front war and
relieved pressure on Germany’s Eastern
Front. There would ultimately have
‘been territorial disputes between the
tw countries, as evidenced at a Yalta
style conference in July 1942, at which
plans were discussed for dividing the
Postwar world between the German and
Japanese empires. When the Japanese
‘proposed a demarcation line along the
70th longitude, basicaly ceding most of
the Indian subeontinent to Japan, the
(Germans balked,
‘German and Japanese ambitions would
have competed, and inevitably collided
Let antecedent serve a8 evidence. The
Ribbentop Molotov Pact provided forthe
joint German-Soviet invasion of Poland
In August 1939, In less than two yeas,
GGermany was at war with Russi,
the Allies had lost, how different
‘would Europe have looked, both
‘geographically and politically?
‘A major campaign promise of Hitler's
ding his ise to power was the
dismantling ofthe terms ofthe Treaty
of Versailles. Germany would have been
restored tits pre-Versailes borders,
‘with adaitionaltermtories annexed in
Eastern Europe for further expansion and
settlement by ethnic Germans to meet
Hitler's policy goal of more Lebensraum,
cor living space forthe German pecple
Most counties in Western Europe
would have continued to function exactly
as they did when under Naz occupation,
‘with puppet governments subservient
to the dictates ofthe Reich However,
‘much of Easter Burope would have been
transformed into administrative reions,
fon the model of Poland, which ceased
to exist asa country and was ruled as
‘General Government
‘Germany would have come to occupy
the territorial boundaries framed in
‘the I9th-century nationalistic anther,
‘Deutschland, Deutschland aber ale
along with additional annexed lands
‘This would mean tha the reconstituted
German Reich would have dwarfed every
other country on the continent,
How would different ethnic and
religious groups have been affected?
Inthe novel Fatherland, Robert Haris
provides a chillingly credible account
ofthe fate ofthe Jewish population in
'Burope if Hitler had triumphed in World
‘War I. The Holocaust would have been
‘competed. The physical evidence would
have been eradicated. The memory woud
have been erased from human memery.
A similar fate would have befallen the
Roma communities across Europe. There
‘may have been a degree of demographic
engineering though eugenics
programmes, as with the Lebensborn
chilren who were bred as pure Aryans,
but forthe most part the populations of
Western European countries would not
have changed significantly In contrast.
the Slavic peoples of Eastern Europe,
‘whom Hite classified as Untermenschen,
formembers ofan inferior race, would
have been subjugated to serve the
German master
Religious groups, especially Roman
Catholics, would have come under
Increasing persecution. Hitler fl that
religion provided an important moral
support fr many people in times of
travail and peril Hitler himself was
Catholic but fully intended to leave the
(Church in a public manner after the war
This act was fo have symbolic value
forthe world” Hitler’ private secretary,
(Christa Schréder, recalls ir telling
her. "For Germany it was intended to
represen the end of an historical epoch
and fo the Thitd Reich the beginning of
What kind of concessions could the
Allies have tried to negotiate when
faced with defeat?
As show in my new book, TAKEOVER:
Hitlers Final Rise to Power, Hitler was
a scorehed-earth politcal leader, With
ructear capacity, he would have accepted
nothing short of unconditional surrender
from the Alles. And his terms would have
ben brutal. His policies inthe East wouldhhave reflected those thatthe Morgenthau
lan proposed for Germany - region
stripped of industrial capacity and real
politcal autonomy, with a people who
were reduced to basic agrarian life at a
subsistence level existence.
As has already been mentioned, if
there had been a negotiated end to the
war, Hitler could have appealed tothe
British ~and possibly the Americans -to
Join ores forthe purpose of confronting
and driving back the Red Asmy forces
fom central Europe It was an idea that
was embraced and advocated by General
Patton, who had great respect for German
military capacities.
Hitler would certainly have welcomed
the opportunity to cooperate withthe
[sh as an imperial power and colonial
ruler He saw the British Empire as a
‘model fr the exercise of colonial power,
especially in the brutality with which it
suppressed insurrections and exploited
the natural resources and physical
labour of colonialised peoples. Beyond
reclaiming former German colonies in
[Africa which were lost after World War
1. Hitler could have sought to negotiate
the expansion ofthe German colonial
presence by annexing holdings of other
European colonial powers, especially
when it came tothe regions that were
rich in resources
ow would the global balance
of power and relationship and
reputation of the Alles be changed
Ind do you think that World War
‘rould'nave been inevitable?
Inteeplng wih that gcd very :
history iswrten by the vcor-the Wb da te
reputations and legacies ofthe individual Sst ger
Allied nations would be dependent on
their relationship tothe German Reich
And Hitlers personal procivties and
‘whims. The Soviet Union would be 3
ravaged and brutalised rump state most
likely relegated to lands beyond the
Urals. The Free France’ of Charles de
‘Gaulle would vanish in oblivion with the
fascist French state of Marshal Petain
representing the French. The United
States would have been held singuatly
responsible for driving the Europeans
into war with one another. Wold War I
‘would then come tobe remembered as
Roosevelt's war.
(Great Britain may well have fared
better. As already mentioned, Hitler
saw the British nation asa natural ally
and the British Empire as a model for
‘world domination. It is easy to imagine
parsing and parcelling of coli
holdings and their respective resources
among these two global powers
‘As fr a third world war Tfanything.
there would most likely be a German civil
‘war that would result fom a succession
for power following Hitlers eventual
death, possibly a battle between Waffen:
‘S$ divisions and Wehrmacht regulars, in
a strugze fr power between competing
Political and military interests. ler
‘nurtured no real successor Indeed, he
fostered rivalries and competition among,
his top lieutenants, and alienated much
‘ofthe professional military. The fissures
‘became evident inthe final days before
Hite’ suicide in April 1945, when senior
Hitler lieutenant, most prominently
Hermann Goring and Heinrich Himmler,
scrambled about trying to secure a
Successor role even as the Third Reich
was collapsing in ruin,
ey
ee UyTHENAZIS HAD NEVER
GAINED POWER?
During the interwar years, Germany faced numerous crises but it was
defined by progressive leadership and Hitler's rise was not guaranteed
ow was Germany ru after Kaser
TTT whet was overthrown’?
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Patiomenary decry.
he Socal Democrat Party the
same party hat we have toy in
Germany in allance with he bel
{German erat Fry athe
Ct Cente Pry formed the Weimar
Galton. Tht cali preva tthe
‘lection of ant ae then they
tempaneled a cnstonal convention,
‘ch pone comme, that net
In Wer because ofthe cul var ang
Inti They data constuton
tr oummer 0 ron ta ss the
Waimar Repu was created. Tis sted
Ui 30 January 933 when er was
mamed ane
nthe vat ofthe 81 What was if Ike in 920s Berlin?
Geman Rel. There was most defintely alot going on.
power was both tumultuous and eis ridden, but
atthe same time, it was one ofthe most
creative eras ofthe 20th century. Perhaps
there isa elationship betwen the two
we can never prove it~ but the fragility
ofthe political order, I think, contributed
to the kindof artistic ferment thats stil
with us today. Particularly in the cites ~
Brin ofcourse was the centre there was
Vital artistic experimentation going on.
Here we have the creation of artistic
‘modernism: expressionism in panting
and theatre: very creative film, the new
popular medium ofthe 1920s: radio,
also, Matin Heidegger’ Being and Tine,
‘Thomas Mann's Magie Mountain, Beto
Brecht and Kurt Weills The Threepenny
(Opera all ofthese incredibly innovative
and creative works emerged inthe
[Weimar Republic,
‘There was lively cabaret soene,
azn in the cities, a very lively public
life with people out in the sets. They
were having very open discussions
about sexuality
1 sometimes laugh to myself when
people in the United States say discussing
sexuality is so new, when Germans were
having them inthe 1920s.
So it was very socally progressive?
(Quite vibrantly so! There were discussions
about homosexuality and pressures
toreform Germany’ highly restrictive
abortion aw: They also set up public
Dal clink that offered counselling
about sex The Weimar constitution was
probably the most democratic constcution
anywhere inthe word in the 1920,
Proportional representation, which
‘imately contributed tothe paralysis
ofthe political system, was far more
‘democratic than the American system of
\winnertakesall The security services
sometimes responded brutally to public
demonstrations, but in general there was a
lively fee press and freedom of assembly.
“ewish life also Noursbed - another sign
of openness. There was sil prejudice andWhat if... THENAZIS HAD NEVER GAINED POWER?
R
areas lke the Officer Corps were closed off
to Jews, Butt was possible for Jews to get
"university professorships
Hoow did right-wing groups such as the
Nazi Party gain ground?
Inthe eanly 1920s, you have Iiterally
hundreds of extreme right-wing
organisations. Many of ther were
very small an local but troublesome.
‘These rightwing groups were by and
large demobiised soldiers, let go under
the armistice conditions and the final
Verses Peace Treaty.
‘These demobilised soldiers were
aghast atthe prevalence of socialists
and communists in public spaces and
leading government - 38 well a Jews in
highevel positions. in 199 the Jewish
socal democratic chancellor of Bavaria,
Kart Eisner, was assassinated, In 1922 the
Jewish banker and intellectual foreign
‘minister Walter Rathenas was killed. So
there wasa lot of rightwing terorism
soing on, carried out by these small
sr0ups. The Nazis eventually unified these
fr0ups under the Nazi Party that was
‘ne oftheir first accomplishments In 1923,
‘when hyperinflation completly disrupted
‘economic and socal life, these night wing
sroups grew in size and the Nazis made
their fist attempt to seize power fin the
failed Munich Beer Hall Puts
So after the hyperinflation in 1923, was
the Nazi Party srise inevitable?
‘Actually, between 192429, the so-called
‘golden years ofthe Weimar Republic
there was a move back to the political
‘centr. You se tin the elections of 1928
‘when both the extreme right and extreme
left lose significant support. The Nazis
in 1928 area small party, they're a police
problem, bu they're not really a politcal
‘heat. Hite has been banned from
speaking in many ofthe German states,
‘They're really nowhere until 1929 when
the Great Depression hits and that then
‘ives wind -T mean a thunderstorm, a
Tnuecane force of wind - to the Nal sll
But even inthe 1930 elections, the Nazis
‘got staughtered with only 18 per cent
‘ofthe vote It wasa shock, The highest
vot they would get in popula election
vas 374 per cent in July 192. Now that's
a lage chunk tobe sue, bu its not a
majority and that’s significant because
they never had a majoty. You know,
‘before the Third Reich, they never hada
‘majority of popular suppor.
the Nazis were polling so badly,
how did Hitler become Chancellor of
Germany in 1933?
‘There is popular understanding
that the German peopl le iter into
power, bu that's absolutely wrong. So
all hrough 1922 whilst the economy
keeps falling the political system has
‘completely fragmented. Thee are three
major election in the course of 193,
two parliamentary elections and one
presidental election. The biggest electoral
tumout the Nazi Party gets s 374 per
‘ent. n November 1932 they lse again
and this time are down to 32 pr ent.
“There i discontent within the Nazi Party
about Hitler's leadership, and think its
HOW WOULD IT BE DIFFERENT?
REAL TIMELINE
me reat Depression
Falenton Amero ons @ Role coe
ALTERNATE TIMELINE
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the party, iehit Germany o fast andi affects them.
However, inthe end, in January 1933 more than any other place tthe same
group of alpha men, bankers, army time, the Social Democrats were exhausted
olficers, high public servants including and the politcal system fragments and,
'y Franz Von Papen, Kurt Von Schleicher ‘becomes essentally unworkable. Even
and the presidents own son, Oskar von before the Nazis selze power. the president
Hindenburg prevail upon Hindenburg to signed emergency orders to issue budgets,
name Hitler chancellor So in the very end to pursue his deflationary plicy that only
its small group of powerful men around worsened the ecanony.
feta eee
\ ieee
9) Why did these figures want to T think World War II was inevitable
f help Hitler? ‘when the Nazis came to power, but I
1 Their motives were to destroy the dont think it would have been with a
republic and replace with some kind of conservative group in power. It would have
conservative authoritarian system and to stilbeena nasty military dictatorship
‘overthrow the Versailles Peace Treaty so probably, but they would have been far
‘that Germany could become a geat power more cautious. We know that because
again. Basically you have a coalition of the conservatives thought Hitler was too
{interests between older more traditional radical with his moves into the Rhineland
conservatives andthe Nazis.Each side in 1996, and Czechoslovakia in 1938 ~
‘susing the other, but the conservatives theyre much more cautious and don't
find that they cannot actually contain the support those measures,
Nazis, Nota al
1 the Nazis had dissolved or epics vant
Hindenburg had maintained his mie ed
‘opposition to Hitler, could the Welmar soi hae
Republic have survived? anove
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LORD HALIFAX
BECAME PRIME MINISTER?
Often named as one of the ‘architects of appeasement’, what could
his premiership have meant for Britain's role in World War II?
minister, Winston Churchills wartime
premiership is legendary and he
himself has become an almost mythical
figure. tt may come as some surprise,
then, that Churchill was not the frst
choice to be Neville Chambedains
stuoessor when he resigned in May 1940.
‘The favourite was Edward Frederick
Lindley Wood, more commonly known
as Lord Halifax. Wood was a key figure
‘uring the late 1930s a Britain geared
‘up for war with Nazi Germany. Often
considered one of the architets of,
appeasement, this has made historians
‘Wonder as to oehat could have happened
hha i been Halifax in 10 Downing Street
and not the British Bulldog himeel,
(Churchill Here, historian Joe Maiolo
discusses Halifax’ role in appeasement
as well as what his premiership could
have looked like
a any other Brsh prime
Who was Lord Halifax?
The title ‘Lor’ sa giveaway. He came
fom an aristocratic English family with a
Jong history of public service. He
‘was educated at Oxford and perhaps
should never have left Hes an intensely
cerebral character and could have been
an Oxford don, but instead became a
Conservative MP and was elected for
the first time in 1910, During World
‘War Ihe served in France. That sums
up his background but when you get
‘down to who Lord Halifax was, the
‘photographs of im rally capture the
character. He was avery tall slender
‘man with a large head, This is a picture
fof man who puts his rationality before
his emotions
‘Can you briefly explain the notion
‘of appeasement?
‘Appeasement now is commonly used
Pejratvely to describe a foreign policy
of surrendering to threats. Noone wants
tobe an appesser, nobody wants tobe
[Neville Chamberlain, everybody wants
tobe Winston Churchil. Lord Halifax s
usually associated with Chamberain 35.
one ofthe architects of appeasement in
the 1930s, At the time al the word really
‘meant was to pacify a dificult political
situation -a wish to appease Europe, to
‘ring about peace ater WWI, Now what
appeasement meant for Chamberlain
and Halifax was a sategy of diplomacy
land deterrence. In 1934 a very important
British defence committee identified
(Germany as Britains ultimate potential
‘enemy, and pt five year timeline for
armament tobe ready for war. Tere
‘was no misapprebensian tht thre might
bea warin Europe and that Germany
_might be the principal enemy. Inthe
1930s the question fr British officals
‘vas, how to deter Germany? Chamberlin,
‘hen he was chancellor ofthe exchequer
inthe early 1930s, poured money nto the
Royal Ait Force to threaten Germany. This
deterrent was meant to force Germany
to the negotiating table. Appeasement
‘ulimately filed because Adolf Hitler
‘ould not be deterred, but was
a strategy nonetheless.What if... LORD HALIFAX BECAME PRIME MINISTER?
‘What exactly was Halifax's
THE ) Na role in appeasement and
(Chamberlain's government?
‘When historians look at appeasement and
atthe role of Halifax, they tend to see the
relationship with Germany in isolation
ary ‘and notin connection to his time 3s
vvceroy of India, After World War I. the
legitimacy of empire was in question. In
Pe India, there was 3 movement for india to
cet ‘become a sovereign nation. Halifax met
that challenge to British rule politically
Eee And he was praised for his negotiation
peri’ ‘with [Indian independence campaigner]
ROEM | Gandhi. Halifax understood that there
wer forces pling apart the British
eee Empire in every ditection a that
PMP 20 10 be defended though diplomacy.
In the late 1930s Halfax was in
Chamberans government a foreign
1925-29 secretary, His vis to Germany in
November 197 was an attempt 0
discover what the Nars wanted, Did
Pea E Ty Hier want to make Germany another
A co of ia iis deve seat Buropean power again? Or did he
sprees ‘want domination and the mastery ofall
Europe? At the time that as an open
Sct MMAMAN cucstion. Halifax listened to German
SEROMA rcertes, those who told him that ll
PRISMS they vanced was for Germany tobe
RRM aREI European great power again. Halifax
eny staxinosesty shinee! I
RM ARNMIMOAME Germany ino the Burpean sates
PHM syst. Dut ater the September 1938
PRCMUMRENMI Coechosovakia cil, semething changed
fundamentally nthe relationship
‘between Halifax and Chamberlain.
Halifax effectively sac No mee
Munichs forme in other words, he
agreed that appeasement as strategy
made sense there was also something,
unseemly about the Baitsh prime
minister fying to Germany to negotiate
the carve up of Crechosiovakia ith
Hit, For someone who hada deep
sense ofthe power ofthe Bish Empl.
Pea Ra this was too much. After November
1938 Halifax's version of appeasement
emphasised deterrence over negotiation
What was Halifax's view on
a potential war with Germany
and his roe in the Phoney War?
Britain and France declared war on
Germany in September 1938, Up until
the spring of 1940 you get a period of
relative military inaction called ‘the
honey War. Some have argued that
the Phoney Wat was a continuation of
appeasement. that Britain and France
‘id ite fighting because they wanted
2 peace deal with Hitler. don think
that's right. If elements inside Germany
had toppled Hitler ii possible that,
CChambedain and Halifax might have
‘made a deal with anew government,
but what that would ave meant for
Poland is dificult to imagine. However,
the key points thatthe Phoney War
‘wasn'ta continuation of appeasement
The French and British believed that
they could defeat Germany in along war
For France the campaign in May-June
1940 turned out tobe very brie. Bt
that German vitory didn't change the
fundamentals, You can knock France
fut of the war, but the Soviet Union, the
Brtish Empire, and parts ofthe French
"Empire continued to fight on. The United
States was arming and would support
Britain, What was Halifax's view ofthe
war To win lt but to win i without
destroying the Bish Empire n the end
‘that proved impossible,
How likely sit that Halifax could
hhave become prime minister instead
of Churchil?
‘Was t plausible that Halifax could have
been prime minister Absolutely. On the
Tabouir benches there were some who
wanted him to be prime minister be
seemed to be someone who could work
within the apparatus ofthe state. He also\wasnt an overpowering personality, The
{two big political personalities of this era
‘were Chamberlain, who was generally
isliked for his arrogance, and Church,
who was alargerthanlife character who
also often outraged his colleagues. As
‘prime minister, Halifax would have
been a compromise between those two
overpowering figures. He was regarded as
extremely competent and even-tempered
‘Bur even though he had his supporters
he didnt want o be prime minister,
he knew this was nota roe for him.
He knew his limitations and ths kind
of soul searching was a pattem in his
political life He had been very reluctant
tobecome viceroy of India and he wasn't
certain about becoming foreign secretary.
He knew his limits. He knew he was not
the right person to become a wartime
rime minister
Had Halifax been prime minister
‘would he have tried to negotiate
peace in May 19407
[Lets suppose for a moment that Halifax
was somehow convinced to become anove
rime minister in 1940, and events sont,
unfold as they did: a catastrophic defeat
{in France in May 1940. The German
anmies breakthrough the Ardennes, t's
& military, political and diplomatic cri,
‘What woul Halifax have done? Probably
nothing very different fom what the
Bash government in fat did do 1 think
as prime minister Halfax would have
been a bit more sensitive tothe threat of
zir power and the threat of bombing. He
‘may have investigated some diplomatic
alternatives more thoroughly in abinet
discussions, like supporting the French
{te seek negotiations with Germany, but
‘the war machine was in full swing, The
British Empire was mobilising for total
wat. The war was becoming global and
Britain could mobilise the power to win it
‘Lord Halifax, the former viceroy of India,
‘understood that,
Avoiding the war. what sort of
policies would Halifax have tried
to implement internally?
1 think they would have been within the
‘norms ofthe Conservative Party ofthe
1920s, Perhaps also a return to fee trad,
the breakdown of imperial preferences
which had been introduced during the
Great Depression. But this question takes
us back to why Halifax didn't want to be
‘rime minister I chink he fel out of place
Inthe mi.20th century -he belonged to
an ealier time, 219th century word of
empire aristocracy and socal deference.
After the war, Chuteill invited him
to join his shadow cabinet, bu Halifax
tumed him down and retired from party
politics. Halifax always hada good Sense
(of is imitations and knew he was out of
step with the polite of post war Buta
‘Compared to Churchill, do you
personally think he would have
‘made a good prime minister?
[think a question thats worth asking i
from November 1937 to September 1939,
‘would Halifax have been a beste prime
minister than Chamberlain? I think yes.
(Chamberlain thinks that he can salve
every problem. including impending wat
In Europe ls arogance is what annoyed
his colleagues. Halifax understood his
limitations and had a beter sense of
British military power He probably would
not have flown to Germany in September
1638 to negotiate with Hitler. Had there
‘been no Munich Conference to stop a war,
how would history have been different?
In comparison with Churchill, wel
‘wartime leadership requires a diferent
kind of personality. Halifax would have
been an incredibly competent prime
minister and chair of the war cabinet.
He would have kept the machinery
going in ways that Churchill wasnt
very good at He would have interfered
less in military operations for instance.
But wartime leadership in this era of
charismatic leaders required charisma
Halifax was not at all charismatic -can
you imagine him sting with Rocsevel
And Stalin at Yalta in 1945? He would
have looked out of place.
iat
7)
THE BLITZ
ay
De aad hg
1945-59
CLTHITLER HAD NOT BEEN
APPEASED BY THE ALLIES?
The possibilities if Britain and France had dismissed
Hitler's promises and stood united against his plans
ET
a7
Bo
ed
Sete bunk
five happened
Jerween the end of World War Land
te ate 1930s, Europe had become a
very different place. The communist
regime in Russia brought with it images
of Stain as an evil boogeyman, preying
fon democracy and civil liberties. Fascism
had found a small foothold in Britain
{tself, with its eader Oswald Mosley
Bromoting pence rather than war with
[Nazi Germany. And the prime minister,
[Neville Chamberlain, was following a
policy of appeasement towards Hite.
‘Anything other than a repeat of 191418.
But there were voces with an opposing
view: Hitler was not to be trusted and
action needed tobe taken to curb his
ambitions. What if those voices had
‘managed to win the day?
For the Allies to stand up to Hitler,
‘what do you think would have had to
be different?
‘The big difference would be in domestic
politics. Standing up to Hitler would
have required political leadership willing,
toarticulate the danger that Hitler
presented, and a population willing to
‘think about fighting another war so soon
ater the tribe losses of World War |
‘Leadership was key. Neville Chamberlain
consistently saw communism asa threat,
as great or greater than fascism, and was,
reluctant to align withthe Soviet Union
against Nazi Germany.
‘At what point could the Allies have
taken decisive action?
‘Many people have focused on the
CCeechoslovak crisis in May 1938 and the
‘Munich Agreement later that year, and I
agree with that,
Up until Coechoslovakia, Hitlers
‘moves had been agalnst the Treaty of
Versailles, which many saw as being
unjust to Germany. He had presented his
‘goals as bringing German populations
Into Germany. In Czechoslovakia,
Hitler focused on the Sudeten German
‘minority, but that would have involved
Partitioning a sovereign state.
“The Czechs were willing to fight
rather than give in to Hite, but inthe
Munich Conference of September 1938,
Britain and France agreed to grant Hitler
Czechoslovakias Sudetenland, The
Ceochs werent invited tothe talks. Six
‘months later, Hitler absorbed the rest of
the country.
‘What i Britain and France had
chosen to makea stand and fight in
September 1938?
CCeechoslovakia would not have been 3
pushover. It was the most industrialised
state in Eastern Europe, and possessed
substantial defence industry ofits
‘own, The Czech atm was a serious
force, though not a the level of Hitler's
‘Wehrmacht. The Czechs also would have
been fighting on the defensive and using
the substantial defensive fortifications
‘they had built in the mountains that
ring Bohemia, the heartland of the
CCeechoslovak state
The German army that would have
fought in 1938 was not the same forceWhat if...
HITLER HAD NOT BEEN APPEASED BY THE ALLIES?
GONE DOW
WeyWhat if.
ae
cy
‘ROLLING OVER
Cg
Pe
HITLER HAD NOT BEEN APPEASED BY THE ALLIES?
“ Tf the Allies were going to fight, 1938 was
amuch better time than 1939"
that rolled through Poland and France in
1939 and 1940. Hitler was stil rebuilding
his forces, Many of the German tanks in
Poland and France were actually Czech,
tanks that Hitler won without fring 2
shot when he took over Czechoslovakia,
There's strong evidence that ifthe
Allies were going to fight, 1938 was a
much better time than 1939, Both sides
‘were busy rearming, but fighting n 1938,
‘Would have added Grech forces and
(Czech industry tothe Allied side, and
atthe very least not have handed over
(Czechostovakia's arsenal of weapons to
Hitler without a fight.
‘What would the Soviet reaction have
‘been to this?
The Soviet role in 1938 is pethaps the
best argument in favour of choosing
‘that moment to make a stand, The
Soviet Union had alliance treaties with
both France and Crechoslovakia, Soviet
foreign minister, Maxim Litvinoy, had
spent the 1930s promoting collective
security asthe best response to the
‘threat of Hitler and Nezism. Litvinov's
wile, Ivy, was British and Litvinov had
spent several yeas living in Britain. He
understood the West quite wel
Of course, a treaty to defend
zechoslovakia doesn't necessarily mean
thatthe Soviets would have honoured
it, bur they had signed the teaty in
the first place because ofthe danger of
Nazi Germany. And in fact, the Soviets
showed every sign in September 1938,
‘of preparing to ight fr the Czechs.
"The Soviets were mobilising their
‘western border military districts. That
‘means getting troops into their units
and moving towards the border in
preparation for war. The Red Army was
fenotmous, with 2 massive fleet of tank
and aircraft. This was a serious threat to
Hitler's plans,
Potential Soviet assistance against
Hitler was wasted when Britain and
France sold out the Czechs in the
Munich Agreement. Stalin clearly took
‘lesson that Britain and France could
not be trusted to stand up against Hitler
He had always suspected that what the
‘Wester powers really wanted was to
see the Soviet Union tangled up ina
‘war against Germany, a war tat they
‘would sit out Tha’ probably actually
pretty close to what Neville Chamberlain
‘would have preferred - Chamberlain long
keer.
believed that Stalin was. threat just as
serious as Hitler. year later, in August
1939, the alles paid the price when sail
Stalin aligned himself with Hitler. —
Stalin was obviously no saint But in
1938, he didnot see Germany grabbing
Cechoslovakia as being in line with
Soviet national interests.
How might Hitler and Germany have
reacted to non appeasement or acts
of resistance?
Here we can differentiate between Hitler
and atleast some of his military elite
Hitler's reputation was bull onthe idea
of him being a winner, moving from
Victory to victory. Add that his highly
developed sense of his own genius, and
itseems as though he likely would have
wanted to roll the dice and go ahead
with war against Czechoslovakia. If
Britain and France made it clear they
would fight, it’s ikely tht Hitler would
have gone ahead.
The German generals ae. however,
another question, They had all lived
through World War I, and saw what
happened to Germany when it tried to
fight a two-front war. We know that at
least some among the German generals
ete plotting against Hitler. rs certainly
Possible that Hitler would have faced a
Coup or assassination attempt if he tried
to get Germany into another war that
his generals thought was unwinnable.
None of them were pacifist, and they
{hare was wea ofall wete glad to see Germany breaking
‘out of te limits imposed by the Treaty
of Versailles, But that doesnt mean they
wanted to see Germany fighting against
Britain, France and Russia,
‘What would the Allies have had to do
to be successful and what role, if any,
‘would the US have played?
The big problem forthe Allis to solve,
ifthey managed to get their domestic
populations on board, was how to handle
(Czechoslovakia other neighbours
‘The Soviet Union had an alliance with
Czechoslovakia, but did not actually
share a land border. That means that
Ee
PONS
they have to crss either Polish or
Romanian territory. Both countries were
very concerned that ifthe Soviets came
in, they might not lave. In addition,
Poland was interested in some Czech
territory. Solving those problems would
require skilful diplomacy.
It's doubtful that the US would have
played much ofa role here. The US
public was slower than European publics
to see a direct threat, even if Franklin
Roosevelt did see Hille as a long-term
problem. The Ameticans sil had alot
‘of confidence inthe ability ofthe Ales
and particularly the French army, to
keep Hitler in check. That made for aloe
‘of scrambling when France fll in 1940,
‘ow do you think the threat of a
‘world war would have changed how
Europe looked?
If the Allies stood up to Hitler in 1938,
and the Soviet Union joined them as it
looked as though it was preparing tod,
i's doubtful Germany would have won.
‘That doesn't mean Germany ends up
‘occupied, bu Hitler is humiliated and
pethaps out of power. That also means
that the Soviet Union would have played
big oe in Eastern Europe from 1938
fn, though pethaps not as dominant as
it was after 1945. We might have seen
type of Cold War, with Germany cut
dovin to size, would the Soviet threat
have loomed larger?
iat
1838
DIN
Sa
Ty
ey
DRS at)
alWhat
BRITAIN AND FRANCE HAD NOT
DECLARED WAR ON GERMANY?
Could a decision to remain on the sidelines have given
Hitler free rein to ravage Europe for the Fatherland?
inthe speceohe hones. Aggression Fat tng fim. ether the The sit defet of Pld = coupe
Men (Westies ay Communissor ter este po-Nal with the fat hese nas subsequent
a] Ininds, the prospec ofconfonting. opponents woldshed'aterfer Poland delraton of war fom Britain ae
Gemannjet agin sasastey wo friot sndwelctine eset ily france wold have aed Hae own
ayeeenl tateestpectaieg sig meget etc a
fu atpogaccutin feng, Ha gation oe Unimagned hls bth dome
Saelekenyes | Sicetseeten taintoteereslog
Siractuwy cistron sescadinioomciccriertms, wiachieasi saan tox
ny Ince wuld etagainbesscrd, Gamaryavicory over land wold warta ier win eg echelons
Dy daenothing as nes wale ve ben even que an Heswites_ ofthe Geman Army wel hav aed
Stel burn wouilmean scoping at woullhaveconneed palo” swa.and hho wavering stats
‘weakness, breaking of promises and trust Britain and France that any sort of peace Eastem Europe, such asthe Kingdom
{nthe words ofa fanatical dictator were a with Hitler was better than conflict with a of Romania, would have been forced to
reasonable price to pay. And so, with the seemingly invincible Nazi war machine. switch thei alliance from Britain and
[Nazi war machine able to sweep through France and throw ther lt in with the
Barope unopposed, nowhere and no one What boost would it have given ‘Axis Powers of Germany, Japan and Italy
would be safe Hitler and his regime and what would much ealier than they eventually di
he have done next? Unable to rely on London and Paris. the
‘What would have happened to
domestic politics in Britain and
France if they had reneged on their
agreement with Poland after the
(German invasion?
‘ving famously promised “Peace for our
time’ after abandoning Czechoslovakia to
Hitler at Munich, confidence in Britain's
‘rime minster Neville Chamberlain,
‘would have plummeted within the UK
However, the antiwar faction inthe
ruling Conservative Farty le by the
foreign secretary Lord Halifax - would
continue to keep him safe in No 10,
fearing a repeat of the bloodbath of
World War
‘The government ofthe French
me minister, Edouard Daladie. was
already creaking under the weight
of internal division in the county
ici ‘with both communist and neo-ascist
Teegping ote, extremists battling it out in the streets
sNatsmdscren" Howeve, with the German Soviet Non
2eel
ON GERMANY
Britain’s Ultimatum
Ignored By HitlerWhat if.
ae
Ce
Dey
ae
Ca
1939
aOR
BRITAIN AND FRANCE HAD NOT DECLARED WAR ON GERMANY?
Kingdom of Yugoslavia and authoritarian
Greece would have had little choice
‘but to join the Axis a vel forming a
powerful pro-Nazi coalition that would
draw in Turkey and effectively ring
an increasingly worried Moscow with
Potentially hostile countries.
The awkward peace with Britain and
France would mean no naval blockade
closing of world markets to German
shipping. Als, southeastern Europe's
incision inthe Axis would guarantee
Hitler acess to vial raw materials such as
Romania’ ol,
His western flank secure Hitler would
have focused soley on his dream of
invading the Soviet Union and destroying
‘communism once and fo al. Fascist Italy
with no Mediterranean war to prosecute
siven the peace with Britain and France ~
‘would also look eas o build the empire
Mussolini craved so desperately,
‘What may have been the impact on
‘lobal polities and relationship with
‘the USA?
(Globally. the prestige of Britain and
France would have sufered enormous
damage from the act of abandoning an
ally they had so recently and so loudly
‘defended in public. The beleaguered
League of Nations would have lost alts
remaining credibility, given Britain and
France were its most powerful members,
as smaller states lst their faith in any
Sort of rules-based order to protect them
against an aggressor. nal likelihood
the mass of nation members would leave
the League and it would have become
moribund as a result.
“Actos the word states of al stripes
would have raced to strengthen thelr
nilitaries as the only trusted means of
national defence, wile governments
with expansionist goals would have been
hnugely emboldened, Border dispates
across South America especially would
become extremely fractious and a number
oflcalconfiets would flare up with
Paraguay, Bolivia, Colombia, and Peru
fighting each other for land and resources.
Tn the United States, Franklin
Roosevelt's growing resotion that
America would need, at some pont, to
Intervene in the conflict in Europe on
the side ofthe democracies would have
received a hammer blow at what his own
tlectorate would view as Franco-British