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Environ. Res. Lett. 18 (2023) 064015 https://doi.org/10.

1088/1748-9326/acd267

LETTER

The record-breaking 2022 long-lasting marine heatwaves in the


OPEN ACCESS
East China Sea
RECEIVED
2 February 2023 Hyoeun Oh1,∗, Go-Un Kim1, Jung-Eun Chu2, Keunjong Lee1 and Jin-Yong Jeong1,∗
REVISED 1
6 April 2023
Coastal Disaster & Safety Research Department, Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology, Busan, Republic of Korea
2
Low-Carbon and Climate Impact Research Centre, School of Energy and Environment, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong,
ACCEPTED FOR PUBLICATION
People’s Republic of China
4 May 2023 ∗
Authors to whom any correspondence should be addressed.
PUBLISHED
16 May 2023 E-mail: heunoh@kiost.ac.kr and jyjeong@kiost.ac.kr

Keywords: marine heatwave, extreme events, East Asian summer monsoon, record-breaking 2022
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In 2022, record-breaking long-lasting marine heatwaves (MHWs) occurred in the East China Sea
the author(s) and the title (ECS), which persisted for 62 d during boreal summer. This exceeded the average MHWs duration
of the work, journal
citation and DOI. of 10 d by a factor of 6. In addition, 2022 was also recorded as a year of many extreme events
throughout Asia, such as summer floods in China and Pakistan, droughts and extreme heat in
Europe, raising the question of whether they were caused by a ‘triple-dip’ La Niña, which has
persisted since September 2020. Here we examine the key local and remote processes that led to the
2022 MHWs in the ECS using mixed-layer heat budget analysis. During the onset of the MHWs, a
salinity-stratified shallow mixed-layer due to the large river discharge from the Yangtze–Huaihe
River floods in June created favorable conditions for warm ocean temperature in the ECS.
Simultaneously, an anomalous anticyclone maintained by the stationary Rossby wave, which is
generated by vorticity forcings in mid-latitudes and thermal forcing in Pakistan, settled in the
corresponding region and led to the long-lasting MHWs until Typhoon Hinnamnor began to
dissipate the wave in early September. This study improves our understanding of the physical
mechanism of flood-related MHWs that have increased with recent climate change.

1. Introduction of the CDW significantly affects the physical and bio-


logical processes in the East China Sea (ECS) [4], it
The annual global mean temperature in 2022 was is crucial to understand how the CDW is affected by
the sixth highest recorded since 1880 (www.ncei. the inland hydrological cycle [5]. Thus, the effect of
noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/global/ extreme rainfall over land is not limited to the land
202213). Recently, extreme events have become more area but is extended to the oceanographic and eco-
frequent globally [1–3]. Europe and the United States logical environment [6, 7], such as through marine
experienced exacerbated drought conditions dur- heatwaves (MHWs) and loss of biodiversity. These
ing the summer, while Pakistan suffered devastat- oceanic extremes have remarkably increased and
ing floods and landslides during monsoon season, intensified, especially over most of the East Asian
killing 1739 people and destroying over 2.1 million marginal sea [8–10].
homes (https://ndma.gov.in/ and https://reliefweb. In particular, the summer of 2022 was anom-
int/). In addition, China had a large intraseasonal alously warm in East Asia, with one of the most
variation in monsoon rainfall in 2022, with heavy intense MHWs ever recorded in the ECS. MHWs are
rainfall and severe flooding in southern China in influenced by regional atmospheric processes, such as
June and severely dry and warm conditions in late enhanced incoming shortwave radiation due to high-
summer. As a result, 2022 June was ranked as the pressure system, and by oceanic processes, includ-
second-highest year of the Changjiang diluted water ing warm current advection, reduced vertical mixing,
(CDW) river discharge since 1982, and August had and ocean stratification [11–13]. Furthermore, the
the lowest (www.cjh.com.cn/). Because the intrusion interaction between the atmosphere and ocean also

© 2023 The Author(s). Published by IOP Publishing Ltd


Environ. Res. Lett. 18 (2023) 064015 H Oh et al

controls MHWs; for example, air–sea heat exchanges 2.2. Definition of MHWs
via changes in wind speed control mixed-layer and MHWs are detected when SSTs exceed the 90th per-
latent heat fluxes [14, 15]. The MHWs can be affected centile threshold and persist for longer than five con-
not only by the local environment but also by remote secutive days [33]. Here, the 90th percentile threshold
forcings [14, 16]. Possible climate factors that can varies seasonally because it is defined by an 11 d win-
change circulation pattern over East Asia include dow centered on the calendar day for the 30 years cli-
the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) [16–18], matology of the daily SST, meaning that the top 10%
North Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST) [19, 20], of the total 330 d (30 years ∗ 11 d window) for each
and land–atmosphere interaction [21]. In 2022, La calendar day are used as the 90th percentile threshold
Niña was recorded as a rare ‘triple-dip’, which had [34].
persisted since September 2020. Although multiple
extreme events for 2022 summer occurred concur- 2.3. Mixed-layer heat budget equation
rently, the relationships between the MHWs, extreme Based on a mixed-layer heat budget analysis, we
rainfall-CDW in inland China [6], and La Niña have explored the relative contributions of the oceanic and
not been addressed. atmospheric processes controlling the evolution of
Given that the ECS is a hotspot of torrential rain- 2022 MHWs in the ECS [35, 36]. The mixed-layer
fall from the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) heat budget using the GLORYS12 datasets was calcu-
and tropical cyclones (TCs) and bounded by a large lated using the following equation:
land-mass, it is an area where compound hazards can ∂Tm ∂Tm ∂Tm (Tm − Td )
occur frequently [5], resulting in costly reparation = −um − vm − wd
∂t ∂x ∂y hm
for the marine ecosystem and fishery activities. This
Qnet
study investigates the characteristics of the persistent + , (1)
MHWs in the ECS in 2022, particularly to determine ρCp hm
the dominant factors responsible for the onset, dur- where ρ is the reference density of seawater
ation, and retreat of the MHWs and how much the (1025 kg m−3 ) and Cp is the specific heat of sea-
local-driven diluted water and remote atmospheric water at a constant pressure (4000 J kg−1 K−1 ). Tm ,
teleconnection contributed to the persistent MHWs. um , and vm indicate water temperature, zonal current,
and meridional current averaged in the mixed-layer
2. Data and methods depth (hm ), respectively. In addition, wd (T d ) repres-
ent the vertical current velocity (water temperature),
2.1. Data at a depth of 10 m below the bottom of the mixed-
We used daily SSTs with 1/4 resolution for 41 years layer. The summer mixed-layer depth in the ECS (an
(1982–2022) from the National Oceanic and Atmo- average of ∼16 m) in this study was estimated by
spheric Administration optimum interpolation SST taking an area-average for the region where water
(OISST v2) dataset [22, 23]. The atmospheric vari- temperature was 0.5 ◦ C lower than the surface value
ables, including geopotential height and winds at of each grid.
200/850 hPa, surface net solar/thermal radiation, sur- The left side of equation (1) displays the mixed-
face latent/sensible heat flux, and precipitation, were layer water temperature tendency, while the right
obtained from the hourly data on a 0.25◦ × 0.25◦ grid side shows mixed-layer horizontal (zonal/meridi-
of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather onal) advection and vertical mixing, including the
Forecasts Reanalysis v5 (ERA5) [24]. To estimate the effects of upwelling/downwelling and entrainment/-
propagation of Rossby waves in section 3.3, we have detrainment. The vertical mixing term was calculated
computed wave activity flux (WAF), using the ERA5 as a residual. The last term is net surface heat flux
datasets. The WAF is useful to understand stationary (Qnet ), which is the sum of the surface net shortwave
disturbances propagating on a zonally varying basic radiation, surface net longwave radiation, latent heat
flow [25]. We also used 1993–2022 water temperature flux, and sensible heat flux. The positive (negative)
and zonal and meridional currents from GLORYS12 Qnet show downward (upward) fluxes.
[26] provided by the Copernicus Marine Environ-
ment Monitoring Service (1◦ /12◦ horizontal grids). 3. Results
The observational data collected at the Ieodo Ocean
Research Station (I-ORS), located within the north- 3.1. Unprecedented extreme events in 2022
ern basin of the ECS (32.12 ◦ N, 125.18 ◦ E), were used. Figure 1(a) shows the spatial distribution of anom-
The I-ORS platform is used to monitor atmospheric alous July SST and accumulated land precipitation
and oceanic variability across multiple timescales [27, around the Yangtze–Huaihe Rivers from June 23–27
28], such as TCs [29, 30], MHWs [14], the EASM 2022. Because heavy rainfall continues throughout
[31], and CDW [32]. We utilized daily water temper- the summer over southern China in general, the
ature and salinity, measured at 4.2, 20.5, and 38 m, by river discharge remarkably increased during mon-
taking an average from 10 min interval from June to soon season [6]. The Yangtze (Changjiang) River dis-
September for 19 years (2004–2022). charge flow in June 2022 was the second largest since

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Environ. Res. Lett. 18 (2023) 064015 H Oh et al

Figure 1. (a) 2022 mean (shading) and anomaly (contour) of land accumulated precipitation from June 23–27 and July SST. The
green (brown) contours show the positive (negative) precipitation. The hatched lines indicate the significant area above one
standard deviation of each interannual variation from 1982–2022. The black star represents the Ieodo Ocean Research Station
(I-ORS). Interannual variability of (b) June mean discharges for the Yangtze River and (c) the maximum consecutive 5 d
precipitation in June averaged over [27◦ –33◦ N, 113◦ –120◦ E].

1982 (figure 1(b)). A considerable volume of freshwa- and r = 0.48∗∗ , respectively; ∗∗ means statistically sig-
ter was discharged from the river into the ECS, result- nificant at a 99% confidence level). According to their
ing in severe damage to fish farms. To determine the correlations, the river discharge relies more on its
role of extreme precipitation on the river discharge, short-term extremes [37, 38]. This implies that severe
we defined excessive rainfall as the maximum con- floods near the Yangtze–Huaihe Rivers resulting from
secutive 5 d precipitation in June (figure 1(c)). The the extreme EASM rainfall could be a factor contrib-
extreme and mean precipitation in June were strongly uting to increases in river discharge during summer
correlated with the discharge of the river (r = 0.55∗∗ [39].

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Environ. Res. Lett. 18 (2023) 064015 H Oh et al

Figure 2. Interannual variability of (a) SST and (b) frequency (green bars) and durations (lines) of the MHW in the ECS
[28◦ –34◦ N, 120◦ –128◦ E]. The black solid (blue dashed) lines show (a) SST and (b) the MHW duration from June to September
(July–August). (c) Annual cycles of the SST climatology (black dashed line), the 90th percentile threshold (red line), and 2022 SST
(pink and blue shadings) from June to September. (d) Probability distributions of MHW duration of each grid in the ECS for
climatology (black line) and 2022 (red line).

Previous studies revealed a lag of 2–4 weeks Figure 2(a) shows the interannual variation of the
between the low-salinity water from the Yangtze River summer SST in the ECS (June to September, JJAS).
and MHW in the ECS [40, 41]. With the consider- Overridden with the global warming trend [43], the
able quantity of accumulated precipitation in June, SST in 2022 exhibited the highest value during the
the salinity and temperature of the water in the ECS analysis period. The increases in SST can result in
in July would be altered by the excessive rainfall, trig- the distinctive features of MHWs. Here, the frequency
gering the CDW through changes in shallow mixed- and duration of the MHW in the ECS are shown
layer depth [14, 42]. The daily salinity at a depth (figure 2(b)). While the summer of 2021 experienced
of 4.2 m, observed at the I-ORS (figure S1(a)), can maximum MHW frequency with relatively low dur-
explain the input timing of the diluted water. The rel- ation, only one event was recorded the next summer
atively low salinity water with a value below 30 PSU that lasted for 62 d. Compared to the averaged fre-
was observed starting on June 27, and it remained quency of two times and duration of 10 d, the dur-
for over a month. Moreover, the associated warm ation of the 2022 MHW event exceeded the aver-
temperature and ocean stratification were found in age duration by a factor of 6, which was the longest
July (figure S1(b)). Therefore, we can understand that recorded since 1982. In addition, we found that most
the salinity-stratified water created favorable condi- of the MHW days were concentrated in July–August
tions for the MHWs in the ECS. (JA) owing to the warmer mean SST (blue lines in

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Environ. Res. Lett. 18 (2023) 064015 H Oh et al

figures 2(a) and (b)). Figure 2(c) shows the seasonal affected the onset and development of the MHWs
evolution of SST in the ECS, with its climatology in early July, and the shortwave radiation caused by
and 90th percentile threshold to illustrate the onset, the higher atmospheric pressure anomalies played a
peak, and retreat dates of the MHW event in 2022. major role in the MHWs persistency from mid-July to
The MHW in the ECS began on June 30, peaked late-August. Finally, the MHWs declined in approx-
on July 16 at maximum magnitude of over 2.84 ◦ C imately two months because Typhoon Hinnamnor
above the daily climatology, and lasted approximately blocked the sun light and intensified the wind speed
2 months, ending in early September. This unpre- on September 3 (figures 3 and 4). The TC was accom-
cedented persistence of the MHW might be biased panied by more clouds and strong winds, which
due to the area-averaged mean, since it is known that decreased the incoming shortwave radiation and the
identifying MHWs is vulnerable to resolution lim- latent heat fluxes, respectively, and disrupted the stag-
its, which might result in an overestimation of its nant high-pressure conditions that maintained warm
duration [44, 45]. Therefore, the probability distribu- water conditions in the ECS.
tion function on the duration of the MHWs for each In many cases, the MHWs in summer are mainly
grid is shown in figure 2(d). The individual MHWs attributed to atmospheric forcing [11]. Therefore,
for most grids lasted considerably longer than the cli- we conducted further investigation to identify the
matology, which proves that it was not a bias caused remote forcings that significantly influenced the per-
by averaging the area of the ECS. Still, what caused sistent high-pressure system leading to the long-
the unprecedentedly long-lasting MHWs in summer lasting MHWs in the ECS.
remains unclear.
3.3. Remote forcing contributing to duration of
3.2. What caused the long-lasting MHW? MHW
To understand the 2022 MHW in the ECS, we con- Figure 4 displays pentad-mean upper and mid-level
ducted a diagnostic analysis based on the mixed- anticyclones that represent the South Asian high and
layer heat budget equation. Figure 3(a) shows the western North Pacific subtropical high (WNPSH)
mixed-layer water temperature tendency, zonal and from June 16 to September 3. From the end of
meridional advection, and net surface heat flux, June to late-August, there were an amplified baro-
which consists of the surface net shortwave and tropic anticyclones over East Asia, together with east-
longwave radiation, and sensible and latent heat ward South Asian high and westeward WNPSH. The
flux. The residual term denotes the vertical mixing, strengthened anticyclone enhanced the downward
which includes the effects of upwelling and entrain- shortwave radiation, resulting in MHWs. After the
ment in the case of the positive sign and down- occurrence of MHWs, the two high-pressure sys-
welling and detrainment in the case of the negative tems (the South Asian high and WNPSH) retreated
sign. in early September because of approaching Typhoon
During heavy rainy days in the ECS in June, the Hinnamnor.
decrease in the shortwave radiation caused by the In 2022, La Niña redeveloped and it persisted.
increased cloud cover led to a negative SST tend- Generally, a circumglobal teleconnection (CGT) with
ency (figures 3(b) and (c)). The MHW began on a wavenumber-5 structure typically plays a signi-
1 July 2022. A positive water temperature tendency ficant role in enhancing geopotential height in La
was recorded approximately 3 d before the MHW Niña years and causes persistent weather conditions
occurred. This positive warming tendency is gen- with a thermal forcing over the northwest India and
erally related to ocean stratification caused by the Pakistan [14, 46]. Beyond its impact on East Asia, La
low-salinity water from the river at the surface. The Niña enhances the Indian monsoon precipitation and
salinity-induced barrier layer reduces vertical heat Atlantic Ocean SST through atmospheric teleconnec-
exchange between the surface and middle layers of tions and corresponding interbasin interaction [47,
the ocean. Furthermore, strong Ekman downwelling 48].
and enhanced shortwave radiation from the high- Here, we plot the regressed JA geopotential height
pressure enhance this warm tendency [14]. During at 200 hPa onto the simultaneous ENSO index to
onset of the MHWs, the ocean dynamics played a cru- find its impact on the atmospheric circulation in the
cial role in the warm water conditions for approxim- Eurasian continent (figure S3). We found that the
ately 10 d since the MHWs occurred (figure 3(a)). tropical eastern Pacific SST can change the circulation
The spatial distribution of the low-salinity water pattern over west Russia and the Kamchatka Penin-
in satellite observations also shows that a large sula. These two strong high-latitude anticyclones can
amount of the CDW was released by late-June, peaked be explained by the La Niña signal; however, a weaker
and started to disappear around mid-July in the high-pressure over East Asia compared to 2022 and
southern part of Jeju Island (figure S2). From mid- their expansion cannot be fully explained.
July, the effects of the shortwave radiation on SST From now on, we will investigate what other
warming were dominant as the anticyclonic circula- factors contributed to the persistent high-pressure
tion persisted (figure 3(b)). The low-salinity water over East Asia. Traditionally, the North Atlantic

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Environ. Res. Lett. 18 (2023) 064015 H Oh et al

Figure 3. Time series from June 1 to September 15 in the ECS [28◦ –34◦ N, 120◦ –128◦ E] from 1993–2022. (a) Anomalous
mixed-layer water temperature ‘dT’, horizontal advection (zonal advection ‘ZADV’; meridional advection ‘MADV’), and net
surface heat fluxes. The pink (positive) and green (negative) shading represented by the vertical mixing term. (b) Each term in the
net surface heat fluxes in the mixed-layer heat budget equation and (c) precipitation. ‘Qnet ’, ‘SSR’, ‘STR’, ‘SH’, and ‘LH’ stand for
the net surface heat fluxes, surface shortwave radiation, surface thermal radiation, sensible heat flux, and latent heat flux,
respectively. In (c), green dots represent the significant value above one standard deviation of its interannual variation.

Ocean warms one season after the La Niña peak be attributed to both La Niña and positive phase
event, indicating a passive response to La Niña [49]. of the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation. The North
The warmer SST in the North Atlantic in 2022 can Atlantic SST was the warmest in 2022 for the last four

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Environ. Res. Lett. 18 (2023) 064015 H Oh et al

Figure 4. Pentad-mean upper and mid-level geopotential height from June 16 to September 3. Red and blue dashed lines indicate
mean 5880 gpm line for 2022 and climatology (1982–2020), respectively. Orange and light-blue solid lines show the 12 500 gpm
line for 2022 and climatology, respectively. Black contours are anomalous 200 hPa geopotential height. Shadings are SST. The
green typhoon symbol from August 30 to September 3 indicates Typhoon Hinnamnor.

decades (figure S4(b)), and it persisted from January over the North Atlantic, which can cause anomal-
to September (figure S4(a)), suggesting that it could ous high-pressure system over western Europe and
consistently affect the global atmospheric circulation excite a wave train that propagates toward East Asia
as remote forcing. The warm North Atlantic SST can [52, 53]. The upper-level WAF over East Asia in 2022
excite wave trains that propagate eastward, acting as a mainly came from the northwest and south, implying
forcing that reinforces high-pressures over the North that at least two forcings led to the stationary anti-
Atlantic, west Russia, and East Asia, including the cyclone (figure 5(a)). First, since a forcing originating
ECS (figure 5(b)). The pattern correlation between from the west seemed to be related to the long-lasting
the 2022 anomaly and the regressed anomalous atmo- strong warm SST in the North Atlantic, the associated
spheric circulation pattern in the North Hemisphere extratropical vorticity forcing over the North Atlantic
onto the North Atlantic SST was 0.85∗∗ . was imposed. Furthermore, the WAF from the west
Figure 5(a) shows anomalous land precipitation, was accelerated as it passed over west Russia, with
SST, 200 hPa geopotential height, and 500 hPa WAF a large variation of the upper-level circulation [54],
in JA, 2022. Stationary forcings such as atmospheric serving as a link to the forcing of the North Atlantic
diabatic and vorticity forcings generate the station- Ocean [55].
ary Rossby wave pattern with alternating ridges and In order to explain the northward WAF from
troughs. The 2022 wave train would be related to the the subtropics, we added the thermal forcing over
other remote forcings rather than the direct effect of Pakistan with the two vorticity forcings in the mid-
La Niña itself. To unravel the impact of stationary for- latitude. This is because precipitation over Pakistan
cing on the persistent anticyclone over the East Asia, can generate the downstream waves of the CGT,
we conducted a linear baroclinic model (LBM) exper- which, in turn, reinforces the South Asian high by
iment with prescribed thermal and vorticity forcings shifting it eastward. The Pakistan thermal forcing also
[50]. We adopted the dry version with T42 horizontal contributes to the strong, persistent anticyclone over
resolution and 20 sigma levels [51], and described the East Asia (figure S5(a)), even if the impact of ENSO is
idealized negative vorticity forcings over west Russia removed (figure S5(b)). Therefore, the negative vorti-
(45◦ N, 300◦ E), the North Atlantic (65◦ N, 60◦ E), city forcings over the North Atlantic and west Russia
and positive thermal forcing near Pakistan (20◦ N, and a thermal forcing over Pakistan were prescribed
70◦ E) (figure 5(c)) based on the regressed vorticity in the atmospheric climatologic background in JA.
and thermal forcings onto the 200 hPa geopoten- Each forcing induced the anticyclone over East Asia,
tial height over East Asia [28◦ –34◦ N, 100◦ –128◦ E]. and the three forcings combined led to the CGT-like
These forcings are linked to eddy-vorticity forcings global circulation pattern that favored the MHWs in

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Environ. Res. Lett. 18 (2023) 064015 H Oh et al

Figure 5. (a) Anomalous land precipitation (brown to green shading), SST (blue to red shading), 200 hPa geopotential height
(Z200, black contour), and 500 hPa wave activity flux (blue vectors) during JA in 2022. (b) Same as (a) but for regressed variables
onto the North Atlantic SST [40◦ –50◦ N, 290◦ –340◦ E]. (c) The simulated Z200 anomaly in response to tropical-subtropical
forcings. The idealized negative vorticity sources [45◦ N, 300◦ E] and [65◦ N, 60◦ E] and thermal forcing [20◦ N, 70◦ E] are
shown in three different locations.

the ECS, causing the long-lasting extreme event in northwestward WNPSH and the eastward upper-
2022. level anticyclone anomaly persisted for almost two
months, maintaing a vertical quasi-barotropic struc-
4. Conclusion and discussion ture. Finally, the typhoon-induced ocean and atmo-
spheric dynamics retreated the MHWs through neg-
This study aimed to determine the characteristics ative latent heat flux caused by strong surface winds
and physical mechanisms of the 2022 long-lasting and less incoming solar radiation due to the increased
MHWs in the ECS. The schematic summaries are cloud cover. We further identified that the stationary
shown in figure 6. The onset of the MHWs in the wave pattern with the strong high-pressure over the
ECS was primarily driven by the reduced vertical ECS was led by the warm SST in the North Atlantic
transfer of heat due to increased ocean stratification and Pakistan precipitation rather than a ‘triple-dip’
caused by a large discharge of surface freshwater from La Niña. Namely, after the La Niña-related variations
the Yangtze–Huaihe River floodings. These large river from each forcing were removed based on a linear
discharges are closely linked to a stronger than nor- regression method [56], each remote forcing still sig-
mal EASM system. Simultaneously, a persistent anti- nificantly maintained a strong East Asian anticyc-
cyclonic circulation increasing incoming solar radi- lone. Through the LBM experiment, we found that
ation was co-located over the ECS, leading to the the negative vorticity forcings in the mid-latitude
long-lasting MHWs. During the evolution stage, the and positive thermal forcing over Pakistan can play a

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Environ. Res. Lett. 18 (2023) 064015 H Oh et al

Figure 6. Schematic summary of the record-breaking 2022 MHWs.

significant role in maintaining the strong anticyclone funded by the Korea government (MSIT) (No.
over East Asia, inducing the record-breaking long- 2021R1C1C2005002) and Korea Institute of Marine
lasting MHWs. Science & Technology Promotion (KIMST) funded
MHWs do not always occur when the river dis- by the Ministry of Oceans and Fisheries (20210607,
charge flow lowers salinity in the ECS. In 1995, there Establishment of the Ocean Research Station in the
was a large river discharge into the ECS, but no Jurisdiction Zone and Convergence Research).
MHWs occurred. In 2007, although it was one of
the lowest years, MHWs lasted for 6 d. Therefore,
low-salinity water discharged and the corresponding References
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