1. According to the BLS’s inflation calculator, $100 in 2004
(when I was born) had the same value as $161.57 compare to recent days (2023) Based on information on the Internet: CPI in February 2004: 186.2 CPI in February 2023: 300.840 Then the value of $100 in 2004 is equal to: 𝐶𝑃𝐼 𝑖𝑛 2023 300.840 $100 x 𝐶𝑃𝐼 𝑖𝑛 2004 = $100 x 186.2 = 161.56 (CPI in February) 2. Cauliflower Broccoli Carrot
a) The price of one unit of each vegetable in: - 2016 $200 + Cauliflower: 100 = $2 $75 + Broccoli: 50 = $1.5 $50 + Carrot: 500 = $0.1 - 2017 $225 + Cauliflower: 75 = $3 $120 + Broccoli: 80 = $1.5 $100 + Carrot: 500 = $0.2 b) Using 2016 as the base year: 2016 200 + 75 + 50 - 𝐶𝑃𝐼 = 200 + 75 + 50 = 1 2017 225 + 120 + 100 - 𝐶𝑃𝐼 = 75×2 + 80×1.5 + 500×0.1 = 1.39 c) The inflation rate in 2017: 2017 2016 2017 𝐶𝑃𝐼 − 𝐶𝑃𝐼 1.39 − 1 π = 2016 × 100% = 1 × 100% = 39% 𝐶𝑃𝐼 3. a) The percentage change in the price of: - Tennis Balls: unchanged $6 − $4 - Golf Balls: increased: $4 x 100% = 50% $2 − $1 - Bottles of Gatorade: increased: $1 x 100% = 100% b) Choose the base year as 2017
Year Total cost of the basket CPI
2017 $2 × 100 + $4 × 100 + $1 × 100 = $700 100
2018 $2 × 100 + $6 × 100 + $2 × 200 = $1200 1200
× 100 = 171.43% 700
The percentage change in the overall price level:
171.43 − 100 100 × 100% = 71.43% c) That information could affect the calculation of the inflation rate. If I was to learn that a bottle of Gatorade increased in size from 2017 to 2018, that would lower my estimation of the inflation rate because the value of a bottle of Gatorade is now greater than before. The comparison should be made on a per-ounce basis rather than with bottle as the unit. d) That information couldn’t affect the calculation of the inflation rate. Greater variety enhances consumers' well-being, in effect making each dollar more valuable than it was previously. However, because a price index such as the CPI is based on a fixed basket of goods, this increase in the value of a dollar is neglected in estimations of inflation, so inflation is overstated. See Section: Problems in Measuring the Cost of Living. 4. According to the data on the CPI from the website of the BLV(https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm): - The all items index increased 6.0 percent for the 12 months ending February - The index for shelter was the largest contributor to the monthly all items increase, accounting for over 70 percent of the increase, with the indexes for food, recreation, and household furnishings and operations also contributing. 5. a) Using a method similar to the CPI, compute the percentage change in the overall price level.Use 2017 as the base year and fix the basket at 1 karaoke machine and 3 CDs. Year Total cost of the CPI basket (1 karaoke machine, 3 CDs)
2017 (base year) $40 × 1 + $10 × 3 = $70 70
× 100 = 100 70
2018 $60 × 1 + $12 × 3 = $ 96 96
× 100 = 137 70
The percentage change in total price (CPI):
137 − 100 100 × 100% = 37% b) Using a method similar to the GDP deflator, compute the percentage change in the overall price level. Also use 2017 as the base year.
135−100 100 × 100% = 35% c) The inflation rate is lower in 𝐺𝐷𝑃𝑑 since it includes all aspects of the economy while CPI focuses on one specific bundle of goods. 6. The problems in the construction of the CPI might be illustrated by a) The invention of cell phones: New item b) The introduction of air bags in cars: Quality improvement c) Increased personal computer in response to a decline in price: Substitution for more expensive stuff d) More scoops of raisins in each package: Quality increase e) Greater use of fuel efficient cars after gas price increase: Substitution 7. A dozen eggs cost $0.88 in January 1980 and $2.11 in January 2015. The average wage for production workers was $7.58 per hour in January 1980 and $19.64 in January 2015. a) The price of eggs rise: 2.11 − 0.88 0.88 × 100% = 139. 78% b) The wage rise: 19.64 − 7.58 7.58 × 100% = 159. 1% c) To earn enough to by a dozen eggs a worker have to work: 0.88×60 - 1980: 7.58 = 6. 96 (minutes) 2.11×60 - 2015: 19.64 = 6. 45 (minutes) d) Workers’purchasing power in terms of eggs rise as they have to work shorter to buy a dozen eggs. 8. The chapter explains that Social Security benefits are increased each year in proportion to the increase in the CPI, even though most economists believe that the CPI overstates actual inflation. a) If the elderly consume the same market basket as other people, Social Security would provide the elderly with an improvement in their standard of living each year because the CPI overstates inflation and Social Security payments are tied to the CPI. b) Because the elderly consume more healthcare than younger people do, and because healthcare costs have risen faster than overall inflation, it is possible that the elderly are worse off. To investigate this, we would need to put together a market basket for the elderly that would have a higher weight on healthcare then compare the rise in the cost of the "elderly" basket with that of the general basket for CPI. 9. Suppose that a borrower and a lender agree on the nominal interest rate to be paid on a loan. Then inflation turns out to be higher than they both expected. a) When inflation is lower than expected, the real interest rate is higher than expected. For example, suppose the market equilibrium has an expected real interest rate of 3% and people expect inflation to be 4%, so the nominal interest rate is 7%. If inflation turns out to be 3%, the real interest rate is 7%−3%=4% , which is higher than the 3% that was expected. b) Because the real interest rate is higher than expected, the lender gains and the borrower loses. The borrower is repaying the loan with dollars that are worth more than expected c) Homeowners in the 1970s who had fixed-rate mortgages from the 1960s benefited (with regard to their mortgages) from the unexpected higher inflation, since they were paying off their loans in dollars whose real value had declined, while the banks that made the mortgage loans were harmed.