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Enteropathogen infection and Household Factors Associated with Linear Child

Growth in Bangladesh
Janet Johanna Sanchez Hernandez
Honours Bachelor of Science, Master of International Public Health

A thesis submitted for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy at


The University of Queensland in 2020
Faculty of Medicine
Abstract

BACKGROUND: The dual burden of enteropathogen infection and childhood malnutrition continues
to be a global health concern and a leading cause of morbidity and death among children. Despite
improvements in recent decades, Bangladesh continues to be one of the countries with the highest
burden of growth impairment. In addition, enteropathogen infection continues to be highly prevalent
in the country. An understanding of factors associated with infection and growth could contribute to
public health efforts to reduce this burden through targeted community interventions. This PhD thesis
aimed to examine the association between household factors and enteropathogen infection and
linear child growth in Bangladesh using both national surveys and study-specific data.

METHODS: The association of household-level factors with childhood growth, as measured by


length-for-age z-score (LAZ), were first analysed using data of children 1-24 months of age from two
cross-sectional national surveys in Bangladesh: the 2014 Demographic and Health Survey (DHS),
and the 2012-2013 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS). Both analyses were age-stratified (1-
12 months and 13-24 months), and then further stratified into rural vs urban households to identify
heterogeneity in associations of factors with LAZ by age and location. An analysis of longitudinal
data was then carried out of children participating in the Etiology, Risk Factors, and Interaction of
Enteric Infections and Malnutrition and Consequences for Child Health (MAL-ED) Study in Mirpur,
Bangladesh. Latent growth curve modelling (LGCM), a form of longitudinal modelling technique, was
applied to this data to evaluate the trajectories of change in LAZ and explore the effect of
enteropathogen infection and household-level factors on this growth trajectory.

RESULTS: In all three analyses, an inverse association was found between increasing age and
LAZ, consistent with previous research. In the DHS and MICS survey data, older children (13-24
months) had more household factors associated with LAZ. Maternal education was positively
associated with linear growth in both national-level datasets, as were improved toilet facilities. In the
MICS analysis, rural households had more factors associated with LAZ. Male sex, dirt flooring
material, and unimproved toilet facility, and animal ownership were negatively associated with LAZ,
while refrigerator ownership and increased maternal education were positively associated. In rural
households in the DHS analysis, an episode of diarrhea in the preceding two weeks, a shared toilet
facility and no maternal education were negatively associated with LAZ. In the LGCM analysis of
children from the MAL-ED Bangladesh site, Campylobacter infection was highly prevalent and had
an effect on growth at specific age intervals. Infection in the preceding 3-month interval was
negatively associated with LAZ between 12 and 18 months of age; similarly, infection in the
preceding 6-month interval was negatively associated with LAZ at between 15 and 21 months of
age. Maternal height and birth order were positively associated with LAZ at birth but were not
associated with infection. Duration of antibiotic use and treated drinking water were negatively

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associated with Campylobacter infection, with the strength of the latter effect increasing with
children’s age.

CONCLUSION: The results indicate that growth impairment continues to be a public health concern
in Bangladesh, and that child growth is associated with enteropathogen infection and household-
level factors that may serve as pathogen household reservoirs. Different household factors are
associated with growth in children according to different age groups and their geographical location
(urban versus rural), with older rural children having the most factors associated with growth.
Enteropathogen infection, particularly Campylobacter, was found to have a negative effect on linear
growth, with this effect being greatest at specific age intervals in the second year of life. The results
of these analyses taken together highlight the need for public health interventions to target household
factors involved in enteric pathogen transmission at specific ages of children and specific geographic
locations.

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Declaration by author

This thesis is composed of my original work, and contains no material previously published or
written by another person except where due reference has been made in the text. I have clearly
stated the contribution by others to jointly-authored works that I have included in my thesis.

I have clearly stated the contribution of others to my thesis as a whole, including statistical
assistance, survey design, data analysis, significant technical procedures, professional editorial
advice, financial support and any other original research work used or reported in my thesis. The
content of my thesis is the result of work I have carried out since the commencement of my higher
degree by research candidature and does not include a substantial part of work that has been
submitted to qualify for the award of any other degree or diploma in any university or other tertiary
institution. I have clearly stated which parts of my thesis, if any, have been submitted to qualify for
another award.

I acknowledge that an electronic copy of my thesis must be lodged with the University Library and,
subject to the policy and procedures of The University of Queensland, the thesis be made
available for research and study in accordance with the Copyright Act 1968 unless a period of
embargo has been approved by the Dean of the Graduate School.

I acknowledge that copyright of all material contained in my thesis resides with the copyright
holder(s) of that material. Where appropriate I have obtained copyright permission from the
copyright holder to reproduce material in this thesis and have sought permission from co-authors
for any jointly authored works included in the thesis.

J. Johanna Sanchez H.

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Publications included in this thesis

Sanchez JJ, Alam MA, Raihan MJ, Haque MA, Das S, Mahfuz M, Stride CB, Sly P, Roth D, Long
KZ, Tahmeed A, Campylobacter infection and household factors are associated with childhood
growth in urban Bangladesh: An analysis of the MAL-ED study. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2020; 14(5).

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Submitted manuscripts included in this thesis

Sanchez JJ, Sly PD, Long KZ. Household-Level Risk Factors Associated with Linear Growth
Among Young Children in Bangladesh: An Analysis of the Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey, 2012-
2013.

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Other publications during candidature

Oral Presentations

1. Sanchez J, Tahmeed A, Mustafa M, Sly P, and Long K (2018) Household-level factors


associated with childhood growth in Bangladesh: An analysis of the Multiple Indicator
Cluster Survey, 2012-2013 American Society for Tropical Medicine and Hygiene Annual
Meeting. New Orleans, USA.

2. Sanchez J, Tahmeed A, Mustafa M, Sly P, and Long K (2018) Household-level factors


associated with childhood growth and enteropathogen infection in Bangladesh. CCHR
Symposium, Brisbane, Australia

Poster Presentations

1. Sanchez J, Alam MA, Raihan MJ, Haque MA, Das S, Mahfuz M, Stride CB, Sly P, Long
KZ, Tahmeed A, (2018) Campylobacter infection and household-level factors associated
with childhood growth in Mirpur, Bangladesh: An analysis of the MAL-ED Study. Canadian
Conference in Global Health, Toronto, Canada, November 2018.

2. Sanchez J, Alam MA, Raihan MJ, Haque MA, Das S, Mahfuz M, Stride CB, Sly P, Long
KZ, Tahmeed A, (2018) Campylobacter jejuni infection and household-level factors are
associated with childhood growth in Mirpur, Bangladesh: An analysis of the MAL-ED Study.
American Society for Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, New Orleans, USA, October 2018.

3. Hutton EK, Hannah ME, Ross S, Joseph KS, Ohlsson A, Asztalos EV, Willan AR, Allen AC,
Armson BA, Gafni A, Mangoff K, Sanchez JJ, Barrett JF; Urinary incontinence 2 year after
cesarean or vaginal or vaginal birth for twin pregnancy: A multicenter randomized trial
AJOG. 2018 Jan;218(1):S147.

4. Shea AK, Murphy K, Asztalos E, Willan A, Sanchez J. Postpartum depression assessment


in the Multiple Courses of Antenatal Corticosteroids for Preterm Birth Study (MACS) AJOG.
2017 Jan;216(1):S462.

Peer Reviewed Articles

1. Das S*, Sanchez JJ*, Alam MA, Haque MA, Mahfuz M, Long KZ, Ahmed T. Dietary
magnesium, vitamin D and animal protein intake and their association to the linear growth
trajectory of under 2 children: results from MAL-ED birth cohort study conducted in Dhaka,
Bangladesh. Food and Nutrition Bulletin [Accepted October 2019] *Co-first authors

1. Yamamoto JM, Benham JL, Dewey D, Sanchez JJ, Murphy HR, Feig DS, Donovan LE
Neurocognitive and behavioural outcomes in offspring exposed to maternal pre-existing
diabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Diabetologia. 2019 Sep;62(9):1561-1574.

2. Murphy HR, Feig DS, Sanchez JJ, de Portu S, Sale A; CONCEPTT Collaborative Group
Modelling potential cost savings from use of real-time continuous glucose monitoring in
pregnant women with Type 1 diabetes. Diabetic Med. 2019 Dec; 36 (12):1652-1658.

3. Feig DS, Corcoy R, Donovan LE, Murphy KE, Barrett JFR, Sanchez JJ, Ruedy K, Kollman
C, Tomlinson G, Murphy HR; CONCEPTT Collaborative Group. Response to Comment on
Feig et al. Pumps or Multiple Daily Injections in Pregnancy Involving Type 1 Diabetes: A

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Prespecified Analysis of the CONCEPTT Randomized Trial. Diabetes Care. 2019
Jun;42(6): e98-e99.

4. Feig D, Corcoy R, Donovan LE, Murphy K, Barrett J, Sanchez JJ, Wysocki T, Ruedy K,
Kollman C, Tomlinson G, Murphy HR, Pumps or Multiple Daily Injections in Pregnancy
Involving Type 1 Diabetes: A Prespecified Analysis of the CONCEPTT Randomized Trial.
Diabetes Care. 2018 Oct; 41(12). doi: 10.2337/dc18-1437

5. Hutton E, Hannah ME, Willan A, Ross S, Allen A, Armson BA, Gafni A, Joseph KS,
Mangoff K, Ohlsson A, Sanchez JJ, Asztalos EV, Barrett J; Urinary stress incontinence
and other maternal outcomes two years after Caesarean or vaginal bith for twin pregnancy:
a multicentre randomised trial. BJOG. 2018 July 125 (13). doi: 10.1111/1471-0528.15407

6. Feig DS, Donovan LE, Corcoy R, Murphy KE, Amiel SA, Hunt KF, Asztalos E, Barrett JFR,
Sanchez JJ, de Leiva A, Hod M, Jovanovic L, Keely E, McManus R, Hutton EK, Meek CL,
Stewart ZA, Wysocki T, O'Brien R, Ruedy K, Kollman C, Tomlinson G, Murphy HR;
CONCEPTT Collaborative Group. Continuous glucose monitoring in pregnant women with
type 1 diabetes (CONCEPTT): a multicentre international randomised controlled trial.
Lancet. 2017 Sep 15. PMID: 28923465

7. Vilder M, Magee LA, von Dadelszen P, Rey E, Ross S, Asztalos E, Murphy KE, Menzies
JM, Sanchez J, Singer J, Gafni A, Gruslin A, Helewa M, Hutton E, Lee SK, Logan AG,
Ganzevoort JW, Welch R, Thornton JG, Moutquin JM, and the CHIPS Study Group.
Women’s views and postpartum follow-up in the CHIPS trial (Control of Hypertension in
Pregnancy Study) Eur J Obstet Gynecol Reprod Biol. 2016 Nov; 206:105-113.

8. Feig DS, Asztalos E, Corcoy R, De Leiva A, Donovan L, Hod M, Jovanovic L, Keely E,


Kollman C, McManus R, Murphy K, Ruedy K, Sanchez JJ, Tomlinson G, Murphy HR;
CONCEPTT Collaborative Group. CONCEPTT: Continuous Glucose Monitoring in Women
with Type 1 Diabetes in Pregnancy Trial: A multi-center, multi-national, randomized
controlled trial - Study protocol. BMC Pregnancy Childbirth. 2016 Jul 18;16(1):167. doi:
10.1186/s12884-016-0961-5.

9. Feig DS, Murphy K, Asztalos E, Tomlinson G, Sanchez J, Zinman B, Ohlsson A, Ryan EA,
Fantus IG, Armson AB, Lipscombe LL, Barrett JF; MiTy Collaborative Group. Metformin in
women with type 2 diabetes in pregnancy (MiTy): a multi-center randomized controlled trial.
BMC Pregnancy Childbirth. 2016 Jul 19;16 (1):173. doi: 10.1186/s12884-016-0954-4.

10. Hutton EK, Hannah ME, Ross S, Joseph KS, Ohlsson A, Asztalos E, Willan AR, Allen AC,
Armson BA, Gafni A, Mangoff K, Sanchez JJ, Barrett JF; Twin Birth Study Collaborative
Group. Re: Maternal outcomes at 3 months after planned caesarean section versus
planned vaginal birth for twin pregnancies in the Twin Birth Study: a randomised controlled
trial: Counselling is difficult when outcomes are associated with mode of delivery and not
the plan of mode of delivery. BJOG. 2016 Mar;123(4):644

11. Asztalos EV, Hannah ME, Hutton EK, Willan AR, Allen AC, Armson BA, Gafni A, Joseph
KS, Ohlsson A, Ross S, Sanchez JJ, Mangoff, K and Barrett JFR for Twin Birth Study
Collaborative Group Twin Birth Study: 2-year neurodevelopmental follow-up of the
randomized trial comparing planned cesarean vs planned vaginal delivery for twin
pregnancy. Am J Obstet Gynecol. 2016 Jan; 214(3):371.e - 371.e19.

12. Hutton EK, Hannah ME, Ross S, Joseph KS, Ohlsson A, Asztalos EV, Willan AR, Allen AC,
Armson BA, Gafni A, Mangoff K, Sanchez JJ, Barrett JF; Twin Birth Study Collaborative
Group. Maternal outcomes at 3 months after planned caesarean section versus planned
vaginal birth fortwin pregnancies in the Twin Birth Study: a randomised controlled trial.
BJOG. 2015 Nov;122(12):1653-62.

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Contributions by others to the thesis

No contributions by others

Statement of parts of the thesis submitted to qualify for the award of another degree

No works submitted towards another degree have been included in this thesis

Research Involving Human or Animal Subjects

The MAL-ED analysis was granted an Exemption to Ethics Review at the University of Queensland,
due to the negligible risk to participants and that it is a secondary analysis. [Clearance Number:
2018000676] An ethics application was also submitted to the regional ethics board in Switzerland
(Ethikkommission Nordwest- und Zentralschweiz” (EKNZ)), on behalf of the Swiss Tropical and
Public Health Institute, the institution of PhD advisor and Project Lead, which granted a Declaration
of No Objection. The DHS and MCIS analyses did not require ethics approval as this was a
secondary analysis of publicly available and de-identified data.

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Acknowledgements

I would first like to acknowledge and thank my advisory committee: Dr Kurt Long, Professor Peter
Sly, and Dr Daniel Roth, for their guidance, patience, and continued support throughout my
candidature. Their knowledge and expertise provided valuable input to the development and
completion of this thesis project. I would also like to thank Dr Christopher Stride for his patience and
statistical support in developing the complex longitudinal models. I also thank Dr Anne Bernard for
her statistical support in the MICS and DHS analyses. A special thank you to Dr Kirsten Spann and
Dr Ricardo Soares Magalhaes for participating in my milestone committee and the valuable feedback
they provided during the reviews.

I would also like to acknowledge the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, for providing funding for travel
and training in Seattle, USA and London, England, in addition to a site visit to the icddr,b in Dhaka,
Bangladesh for collaborative analysis work and a visit to the study site. I would also like to thank Dr
Karen Moritz and the Children’s Health Research Centre for providing funding to attend major
international conferences to present my research results.

I also thank the icddr,b in Dhaka for providing access to the MAL-ED dataset and for supporting my
analysis work. I would specifically like to thank Dr Tahmeed Ahmed, Dr Mustafa Mahfuz, Dr
Subhasish Das, Ashraful Alam, and Ahshanul Haque, for their collaboration and valuable insight
about the study population and local considerations.

A very special thanks to my family and friends for their support throughout the years, whether it was
by asking how it was going, encouraging me, or by watching my little one so that I had time to write.
A very special thank you to my parents for always pushing the importance of education and for
providing support in every possible way. To my husband Anthony for being a true partner and
supporting my goals, for encouraging me to persevere, and for his constant love. To my little Elena,
who was part of the final year of my PhD journey, for adding new meaning to my life and continuing
to inspire me to work for the health of children. Her existence pushes me to try to be the role model
she deserves.

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Financial support

Travel funds were provided by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation for attendance at a workshop
in Seattle, USA; statistical training in London, England; and a visit to the icddr,b for analysis work
with the study team and a visit to the study site.

Travel funds for presentation of results at the American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
Annual Meeting in New Orleans and the Canadian Conference for Global Health were provided by
the Children’s Health Research Centre.

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Keywords
linear growth, children, Bangladesh, LAZ, enteropathogens, household factors, growth impairment

Australian and New Zealand Standard Research Classifications (ANZSRC)


ANZSRC code: 111704, Community Child Health, 40%
ANZSRC code: 111706, Epidemiology, 60%

Fields of Research (FoR) Classification

FoR code: 1117, Public Health and Health Services, 100%

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

ABSTRACT ................................................................................................................................ II

LIST OF FIGURES ................................................................................................................. XVI

LIST OF TABLES .................................................................................................................. XVII

LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS .................................................................................................. XVIII

CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................... 1

CHAPTER 2 RESEARCH AIMS AND OBJECTIVES .................................................................. 6

2.1 RESEARCH AIM #1 ............................................................................................................... 6


2.1.1 Research Objectives ................................................................................................... 6
2.2 RESEARCH AIM #2 ............................................................................................................... 6
2.2.1 Research Objectives ................................................................................................... 6

CHAPTER 3 LITERATURE REVIEW .......................................................................................... 7

3.1 LINEAR GROWTH IMPAIRMENT ............................................................................................... 7


3.2 WHO CHILD GROWTH REFERENCE STANDARD ....................................................................... 8
3.3 OVERVIEW OF THE CAUSES OF LINEAR GROWTH IMPAIRMENT ................................................... 9
3.4 INFECTIOUS DISEASES ........................................................................................................ 10
3.5 ENTEROPATHOGEN INFECTION ............................................................................................ 10
3.5.1 Symptomatic Enteropathogen infection – Diarrheal Disease ...................................... 11
3.5.2 Asymptomatic Enteropathogen infection .................................................................... 11
3.5.3 Timing of Enteropathogen Infection ........................................................................... 12
3.5.4 Etiology of Enteropathogen Infection.......................................................................... 13
3.5.5 Important Enteropathogens ....................................................................................... 14
3.6 HOUSEHOLD RISK FACTORS FOR ENTEROPATHOGEN INFECTION AND LINEAR GROWTH ............. 14
3.7 IMPACT OF NUTRITION ON GROWTH AND ENTEROPATHOGEN INFECTION .................................. 19
3.8 GROWTH IMPAIRMENT IN BANGLADESH ................................................................................. 20
3.9 SUMMARY ......................................................................................................................... 21

CHAPTER 4 GENERAL METHODOLOGY ............................................................................... 30

4.1 STUDY SETTING ................................................................................................................. 30


4.2 DATA ................................................................................................................................ 31
4.3 STATISTICAL METHODS ....................................................................................................... 35
4.4 ETHICS APPROVAL ............................................................................................................. 37

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RESEARCH AIM #1 ................................................................................................................. 39

CHAPTER 5 MULTIPLE INDICATOR CLUSTER SURVEY ANALYSIS RESULTS................... 40

HOUSEHOLD-LEVEL RISK FACTORS ASSOCIATED WITH LINEAR GROWTH AMONG YOUNG CHILDREN IN
BANGLADESH: AN ANALYSIS OF THE MULTIPLE INDICATOR CLUSTER SURVEY, 2012-2013

5.1 PREAMBLE ........................................................................................................................ 40


5.2 MANUSCRIPT ..................................................................................................................... 41
Abstract ............................................................................................................................. 41
Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 42
Methods ............................................................................................................................. 43
Results............................................................................................................................... 46
Discussion ......................................................................................................................... 56
Conclusion ......................................................................................................................... 59

CHAPTER 6 DEMOGRAPHIC AND HEALTH SURVEY ANALYSIS RESULTS........................ 62

6.1 PREAMBLE ........................................................................................................................ 62


6.2 METHODS.......................................................................................................................... 63
6.2.1 Study Sample ............................................................................................................ 63
6.2.2 Study Variables ......................................................................................................... 63
6.2.3 Data Analysis ............................................................................................................ 64
6.2.4 Ethics Statement ....................................................................................................... 65
6.3 RESULTS ........................................................................................................................... 65
6.3.1 Descriptive Statistics and Bivariate Analysis .............................................................. 65
6.3.2 Multiple Linear Regression Analysis........................................................................... 69
6.3.3 Mediation Analysis..................................................................................................... 74
6.4 DISCUSSION ...................................................................................................................... 81
6.5 CONCLUSION ..................................................................................................................... 83

RESEARCH AIM #2 ................................................................................................................. 84

CHAPTER 7 MAL-ED ANALYSIS METHODS AND EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS RESULTS... 85

7.1 INTRODUCTION................................................................................................................... 85
7.2 METHODS.......................................................................................................................... 85
7.2.1 Study Sample and Site .............................................................................................. 85
7.2.2 Study Data ................................................................................................................ 86
7.2.3 Exploratory Analysis .................................................................................................. 88
7.2 4 Latent Growth Curve Analysis.................................................................................... 89
7.3 EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS RESULTS ...................................................................................... 90

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CHAPTER 8 MAL-ED CAMPYLOBACTER RESULTS ............................................................. 94

CAMPYLOBACTER INFECTION AND HOUSEHOLD FACTORS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH CHILDHOOD


GROWTH IN URBAN BANGLADESH: AN ANALYSIS OF THE MAL-ED STUDY

MANUSCRIPT ........................................................................................................................... 94
Abstract ............................................................................................................................. 94
Introduction ........................................................................................................................ 95
Methods ............................................................................................................................. 97
Results............................................................................................................................. 101
Discussion ....................................................................................................................... 107
Conclusion ....................................................................................................................... 111

CHAPTER 9 MAL-ED EPEC AND GIARDIA RESULTS ......................................................... 119

9.1 INTRODUCTION................................................................................................................. 119


9.2 METHODS........................................................................................................................ 120
9.3 RESULTS ......................................................................................................................... 121
9.4 DISCUSSION .................................................................................................................... 124
9.5 CONCLUSIONS ................................................................................................................. 126

CHAPTER 10 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS ................................................................ 128

10.1 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................... 128


10.2 SUMMARY OF FINDINGS ................................................................................................... 129
10.3 IMPLICATIONS FOR POLICY .............................................................................................. 131
10.4 STRENGTHS OF THE RESEARCH ....................................................................................... 134
10.5 LIMITATIONS .................................................................................................................. 135
10.6 FUTURE RESEARCH DIRECTION ....................................................................................... 137
10.7 CONCLUSIONS ............................................................................................................... 137

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LIST OF FIGURES

Figure 1.1 Thesis Outline ............................................................................................................ 3


Figure 3.1 Lancet Conceptual Framework .................................................................................. 9
Figure 3.2 Cyclical Relationship of Malnutrition and Infection.................................................... 10
Figure 4.1 Map of Bangladesh and the seven administrative divisions...................................... 30
Figure 4.2 Concept diagram of variables examined .................................................................. 31
Figure 5.1 MICS Study Sample Diagram .................................................................................. 44
Figure 5.2 Summary of key overall characteristics and mixed effect analysis results ................ 55
Figure 6.1 DHS Study Sample Diagram.................................................................................... 63
Figure 6.2 Summary of multiple regression analysis results...................................................... 73
Figure 6.3 Mediation Model – All Children ................................................................................ 74
Figure 6.4 Mediation Model – Children 1-12 Months ................................................................. 75
Figure 6.5 Mediation Model – Urban Children 1-12 Months ...................................................... 76
Figure 6.6 Mediation Model – Rural Children 1-12 Months ....................................................... 76
Figure 6.7 Mediation Model – Children 13-24 Months ............................................................... 77
Figure 6.8 Mediation Model – Urban Children 13-24 Months .................................................... 78
Figure 6.9 Mediation Model – Rural Children 13-24 Months ..................................................... 79
Figure 7.1 Mirpur, Dhaka, Bangladesh...................................................................................... 87
Figure 7.2 Mirpur community .................................................................................................... 87
Figure 7.3 Enteropathogen prevalence graph ........................................................................... 91
Figure 8.1 Final Latent Growth Curve Model........................................................................... 105
Figure 8.2 Relationship between Campylobacter infection and LAZ across time intervals ...... 106
Figure 9.1 EPEC Latent Growth Model ................................................................................... 122
Figure 9.2 Giardia Latent Growth Model ................................................................................. 124

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LIST OF TABLES

Table 3.1 Major Pathogens in the GEMS and MAL-ED studies................................................. 14


Table 3.2 JMP Water Source Classification .............................................................................. 17
Table 3.3 JMP Sanitation Classification .................................................................................... 17
Table 4.1 Summary of Data ...................................................................................................... 34
Table 5.1 MICS Children Characteristics ................................................................................. 49
Table 5.2 MICS Mother Characteristics .................................................................................... 49
Table 5.3 MICS Household Characteristics............................................................................... 49
Table 5.4a MICS Water, Hygiene and Sanitation ...................................................................... 50
Table 5.4b MICS Water Quality – E. coli risk level .................................................................... 50
Table 5.5 Linear mixed effects model results for all participating children ................................. 51
Table 5.6 Linear mixed effects model results for children 1-12 months from rural households .. 52
Table 5.7 Linear mixed effects model results for children 13-24 months from rural households 53
Table 5.8 Linear mixed effects model results for children 1-12 months from urban households 53
Table 5.9 Linear mixed effects model results for children 13-24 months from urban households54
Table 6.1 DHS Children Characteristics ................................................................................... 68
Table 6.2 DHS Mother Characteristics ...................................................................................... 68
Table 6.3 DHS Household Characteristics ................................................................................ 68
Table 6.4 Multiple Regression Model – All Children .................................................................. 69
Table 6.5 Multiple Regression Model - Children 1-12 Months of Age ........................................ 70
Table 6.6 Multiple Regression Model - Children 13-24 Months of Age ...................................... 71
Table 6.7 Multiple Regression Model - Rural Children .............................................................. 71
Table 6.8 Multiple Regression Model - Urban Children ............................................................. 72
Table 6.9 Mediation Model Results ........................................................................................... 80
Table 7.1 Data Collection Timeline for the MAL-ED Study ........................................................ 86
Table 7.2 Prevalence of enteropathogens across age groups................................................... 90
Table 7.3 Summary of Exploratory Bivariate Analysis Results .................................................. 92
Table 8.1 Characteristics of study participants in the final model ............................................ 102
Table 8.2 Final LGCM results for LAZ change over time and association with Campylobacter
infection .................................................................................................................................. 104

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LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS

AIC Akaike Information Criterion

BIC Bayesian Information Criterion

BMGF Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation

CFI Comparative Fit Index

DHS Demographic Health Survey

EAEC Enteroaggregative Escherichia coli

ELISA Enzyme Linked Immunosorbent Assay

EPEC Enteropathogenic Escherichia coli

ETEC Enterotoxigenic E. coli

FIC Fogarty International Centre

FNIH Foundation of National Institute of Health

GEMS Global Enteric Multicenter Study

HAZ Height for age z-score

HGBDki Human Birth, Growth, and Development Knowledge Integration


Initiative
JMP Joint Monitoring Program

LAZ Length for age z-score

LMICs Low- and middle-income countries

LGCM Latent Growth Curve Modeling

MAL-ED Etiology, Risk Factors, and Interaction of Enteric Infections and


Malnutrition and Consequences for Child Health Study
MICS Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey

NIPORT National Institute of Population Research and Training

RMSEA Root Mean Square Error Approximation

SEM Structural equation model

SD Standard deviation

SRMR Standardized Root Mean Square Residual

TLI Tucker-Lewis Index

WASH Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene

WHO World Health Organization

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CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION

Growth impairment in children continues to be a major global health concern, particularly in

low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Linear growth in early childhood is an important

indicator of health and nutritional status and is associated with both short- and long-term

negative consequences (1–4). In Bangladesh, recent decades have seen improvements in

child health and nutritional status; however, it remains one of the countries with the highest

burden of growth impairment (5). Growth impairment is a consequence of low socioeconomic

status and inadequate household conditions related to sanitation, water quality and poor

hygienic conditions, all of which contribute to greater exposure of children to infections (3).

Enteropathogen infections have been recognized as an important cause of child growth

impairment, particularly in LMICs due to the high prevalence and frequency of infection (6–8).

The dual burden of enteric infection and childhood undernutrition continues to be a global

health concern and a leading cause of morbidity and death among children under the age of

five. Enteric infections have immediate and long-term impact on the health of children and are

part of a vicious cycle where frequent infections contribute to poor linear growth in young

children, leading to growth impairment, which then increases the risk of further infection (9). It

is essential to develop evidence-based interventions that more effectively reduce both

infection and impaired growth to achieve the greatest impact on childhood health and survival.

Understanding the most important etiological agents that are associated with linear growth

and infection is critical in addressing this important public health problem. The Etiology, Risk

Factors, and Interaction of Enteric Infections and Malnutrition and Consequences for Child

Health (MAL-ED) Study, a longitudinal study, recently determined that the most important

pathogens associated with diarrheal infection in 8 participating sites were norovirus, rotavirus,

and Campylobacter, astrovirus, Cryptosporidium, in the first year of life; and Campylobacter,

1
norovirus, rotavirus, astrovirus, and, Shigella, in the second year of life (10). It is not clear

which of these pathogens contribute most to reduced nutrient absorption and increased

metabolic demands in children and so have the greatest impact on childhood growth.

A clearer understanding of the risk factors for enteric infection and linear growth is essential

in efforts to develop more effective infection prevention efforts. Numerous studies have

identified risk factors associated with enteric disease in different populations such as adequate

water quality, sanitation practices, maternal education, and the presence of animals.

Interventions have been carried out targeting these risk factors, but the results have been

inconsistent. This is partly due to an incomplete understanding of what role such risk factors

play in transmission pathways for enteric infection. In addition, it is important to consider

whether these factors are associated with growth in all children, or whether their effect varies

by age. Also, household characteristics in an urban versus rural setting may be different and

thus different factors may be important according to region. A greater understanding of how

to more effectively integrate environmental control strategies based on clarification of these

considerations can lead to greater reductions of diarrhea and impaired childhood growth.

Using data collected in the 2012-2013 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS) and the 2014

Demographic and Health Survey (DHS), this study will aim to identify the predictors of linear

growth in children 1-24 months of age. It will also examine whether these predictors are

modified by the age of the child and by the geographic location of the household (urban versus

rural). The second research aim will build upon information gained in the first research aim.

Using longitudinal data from the MAL-ED study Bangladesh site, the association between

enteropathogen infections and household-level predictors and linear growth in children in

urban Bangladesh will be investigated. It will also aim to identify the age intervals in the first

24 months of age where enteropathogen infection had an effect on linear growth. Using

information gained from the MICS and DHS analyses, this study will aim to identify the indirect

and direct effect of the predictors of infection and linear growth.

2
Figure 1.1 Thesis Outline

Introduction

Aims and Objectives

Literature Review

General Methodology

Results

Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey


• Background
• Methods
• Results
• Discussion
Research Aim #1
Demographic and Health Survey
• Methods
• Results
• Discussion

MAL-ED Study

Methods and Exploratory Analysis


Research Aim #2
Campylobacter Results

EPEC and Giardia Results

Discussion and Conclusions

3
REFERENCES

1. Victora CG, de Onis M, Hallal PC, Blössner M, Shrimpton R. Worldwide timing of

growth faltering: revisiting implications for interventions. Pediatrics.

2010;125(3):e473–80.

2. Mosites E, Dawson-hahn E, Walson J, Rowhani-rahbar A, Neuhouser ML, Mosites E,

et al. Paediatrics and International Child Health Piecing together the stunting puzzle :

a framework for attributable factors of child stunting Paediatr Int Child Health

[Internet]. 2016;9047(October):1–8.

3. Rogawski ET, Liu J, Platts-Mills JA, Kabir F, Lertsethtakarn P, Siguas M, et al. Use of

quantitative molecular diagnostic methods to investigate the effect of enteropathogen

infections on linear growth in children in low-resource settings: longitudinal analysis of

results from the MAL-ED cohort study. Lancet Glob Heal. 2018;6(12):e1319–28.

4. Rieger M, Trommlerová SK. Age-Specific Correlates of Child Growth. Demography.

2016;53(1):241–67.

5. Islam MM, Sanin KI, Mahfuz M, Ahmed AMS, Mondal D, Haque R, et al. Risk factors

of stunting among children living in an urban slum of Bangladesh: Findings of a

prospective cohort study. BMC Public Health. 2018;18(1):1–13.

6. Amour C, Gratz J, Mduma E, Svensen E, Rogawski ET, Mcgrath M, et al.

Epidemiology and Impact of Campylobacter Infection in Children in 8 Low-Resource

Settings : Results From the MAL-ED Study. 2016;63:1171–9.

7. Nelson, Konrad ; Williams CM. Infectious Disease Epidemiology. Third. Gartside M,

editor. Burlington, MA: Michael Brown; 2014.

8. Richard SA, Black RE, Gilman RH, Guerrant RL, Kang G, Lanata CF, et al. Catch-Up

Growth Occurs after Diarrhea in Early Childhood. J Nutr. 2014;144(6):965–71.

9. Jennifer Bryce, Denise Coitinho, Ian Darnton-Hill, David Pelletier PP-A. Maternal and

Child Nutrition- Executive Summary of The Lancet Maternal and Child Nutrition

Series. Lancet. 2013;5(1):1–11.

4
10. Platts-Mills JA, Babji S, Bodhidatta L, Gratz J, Haque R, Havt A, et al. Pathogen-
specific burdens of community diarrhoea in developing countries: A multisite birth cohort
study (MAL-ED). Lancet Glob Heal. 2015;

5
CHAPTER 2 RESEARCH AIMS AND OBJECTIVES

Research Aim #1

To identify the household-level predictors for linear growth impairment in children 1-24

months of age in Bangladesh.

Research Objectives:

a. Determine modification of the predictors for linear growth by age intervals: 1-12

and 13-24 months

b. Determine modification of the predictors for linear growth by geographic location

of the household: urban versus rural setting

Research Aim #2

To identify the association between enteropathogen infections and household-level

predictors on linear growth in children in urban Bangladesh.

Research Objectives:

a. Determine the enteropathogens that had an association with linear growth

b. Determine the age intervals where enteropathogen infection had a negative effect

on linear growth

c. Determine the indirect and direct effects of household-level factors on

enteropathogen infection and linear growth

6
CHAPTER 3 LITERATURE REVIEW

3.1 Linear Growth Impairment

Linear growth in children is one of the most important indicators of health and well-being (1).

The first two years of life have been determined to be the most critical for childhood growth

and when linear growth impairment is most likely to take place (2). The period of maximal

postnatal growth velocity takes place between birth and 6 months of age, which has also been

identified as the period critical for long-term cognitive development, while 6 to 24 months

marks a period of high nutritional demand (3,4).

Linear growth impairment, expressed as low height/length for age, is related to the other

measures of childhood malnutrition of wasting (low weight for height), or underweight (low

weight for age) (5,6). Growth impairment is usually defined using height/length for age z-

scores (HAZ/LAZ), with cut-off points for stunting specifically (7,8). A height or length lower

than two standard deviations (SD) below the World Health Organization (WHO) Child Growth

Standard median, or a LAZ <-2, is defined as stunting (7,8).

Despite global efforts to reduce growth impairment, it continues to be challenging to prevent

and treat (9–11). Using data from 141 countries, Stevens et al (12) reported that while there

was improvement of nutritional status in children under the age of 5, between 1985 and 2011,

this improvement did not achieve the WHO child growth standards. LAZ improved from -1.86

to -1.16, with prevalence of moderate-severe stunting declining from 47.2% to 29.9% (12). In

2011, 314 million under the age of 5 had a LAZ below -1, and approximately half of these

children had a LAZ below -2 (12). LAZ in children from low- and middle-income countries

(LMICs) are close to the WHO reference standard at birth, then decline rapidly until two years

of age (6,13). Growth impairment is most prevalent in Asian countries, followed by countries

in Africa and Latin America (6).

7
Poor nutritional status in early childhood is associated with both short- and long-term negative

consequences on the individual, such as mortality, chronic disease, neurodevelopmental

outcomes, and metabolic syndromes later in life (6,11,14,15). The economic impact of

undernutrition is also well described. Reduced cognitive and physical development result in a

reduction of productive capacity and therefore less schooling in childhood and poor economic

performance in adulthood (3). Conservative estimates suggest that a stunted person will make

22% less earnings than those not stunted (3). The effects of growth impairment are also

transgenerational. Women who are stunted themselves are more likely to give birth to stunted

children, resulting in an unfortunate cycle that is difficult to break (3).

3.2 WHO Child Growth Standard

Growth references are limited in that they describe the growth of a population in a specific

geographic location and time (16,17). A growth standard, in contrast, describes how a child

should grow in optimal conditions, using a healthy sample of the population as the reference.

The 2006 WHO growth reference standards, based on the Multicentre Growth Reference

Study (MGRS), are widely used in epidemiological research and by national programs

worldwide – 125 countries by April 2011 (18). The multicentre study applied a strict criteria to

define a healthy reference population and examined growth in children in six countries: Brazil,

Ghana, India, Norway, Oman and USA (17). Following the results of this study, the WHO

growth standards demonstrates that healthy breastfed children have similar patterns of growth

across the globe (17). We should therefore expect the same potential for growth in children

from any country (17). The thesis research presented here applies the 2006 WHO Growth

Standards.

3.3 Overview of the Causes of Linear Growth Impairment

The causes of linear growth impairment are multifactorial and often related to conditions of

poverty, particularly in LMICs, due to inadequate dietary intake and exposure to environmental

insults such as repeated infection, particularly diarrheal infection (3,14,19,20). A conceptual

8
framework developed by the Lancet in 2013 (21) presents the determinants of malnutrition

and describes stunting as the manifestation of chronic malnutrition (Figure 3.1). Among the

underlying causes of undernutrition are the caregiving category, which includes maternal

education; and the environmental category, which includes the factors associated with

infectious diseases, such as access to safe water, sanitation, and hygienic practices (21).

Figure 3.1 Lancet Conceptual Framework

This research project explores the household-level maternal, environmental and infectious

factors associated with growth impairment.

3.4 Infectious Disease

Infectious disease in children has a negative impact on health and growth, particularly in low-

and middle-income countries (LMICs). It is well established that the relationship between

9
nutritional status, immunity, and infection is cyclical (Figure 3.2) (22–25). A child’s nutritional

status is important for a normal functioning immune system (23). Malnutrition can decrease

immune function, thus making the person more susceptible to infection (22,23). Infection can

then lead to the loss of nutrients and fluid, redistribution of nutrients in the body, and the

reduction of absorptive capacity and so further impacting a child’s nutritional status (26).

Severe infection as well as chronic or persistent infection, accompanied by inflammation and

structural changes, can also have an impact on nutritional status (23,26,27). Further

deterioration in nutritional status can, in turn, predispose the child to prolonged duration of

infection, as well as an increased frequency (28).

Figure 3.2 Cyclical Relationship of Malnutrition and Infection (23)

Malnutrition

Decreased
Infection
Immunity

3.5 Enteropathogen Infection

Enteropathogen infection continues to be a significant cause of morbidity and mortality among

children, particularly infants, and is a risk factor for growth impairment. It is thought to lead to

impaired linear growth through reduced food intake, an increase in metabolic demands, and

a decrease in gut function which results in reduced nutrient absorption (29).

10
3.5.1 Symptomatic Enteropathogen Infection - Diarrheal Disease

Diarrheal disease is often defined in epidemiological research as three ³3 loose stools in a

24-hour period followed by at least two free days of diarrhea (30). It has a great impact on

growth due to decreased nutrient absorption, reduced appetite, changing of feeding practices,

and the high prevalence of frequent episodes in LMICs (23,31). The promotion of oral

rehydration therapy has been successful in decreasing mortality through the reduction in

diarrheal-related deaths since the 1980s; however, the burden of diarrhea continues to be

significant (22). In 2015, diarrheal disease was the fourth leading cause of death in children

and was responsible for 499,00 death among children under 5 years old, despite a 20%

decrease between 2005 and 2015 (32).

Frequent diarrheal episodes, defined as greater than five episodes before 24 months of age

account for a high proportion of stunting at 24 months, and have been identified as being the

primary cause of growth impairment in Asia and Latin America, and the second leading cause

in Africa (23,33). An analysis of nine cohort studies that collected regular diarrhea information

and longitudinal anthropometry determined that the effect of diarrhea on stunting was similar

across studies (33). Each diarrheal episode resulted in an increased odd of stunting at 24

months of age, therefore a higher diarrheal burden was associated with a higher frequency of

stunting (33). Duration of diarrheal episodes have also been determined to be important in

growth, with persistent diarrhea (single episode duration ³14 days) being associated with

growth impairment (34).

3.5.2 Asymptomatic Enteropathogen Infection

The literature often describes enteric infection in its symptomatic form, diarrheal disease, with

many studies examining linear growth in children suffering diarrheal episodes; however,

asymptomatic enteric infections may have a more important role in growth faltering and

malnutrition than has been previously appreciated (31). As described by Petri et al (22), enteric

11
infection, with or without clinical symptoms of diarrhea, can profoundly disrupt intestinal

function. Asymptomatic Campylobacter infection, for example, is associated with prolonged

excretion in many cases and is said to be an opportunistic infection as it is more common

among children who are malnourished (35). In a Peruvian birth cohort study, it was found that

asymptomatic Campylobacter was associated with reduced weight gain over a three-month

period, but interestingly, was not associated with linear growth reduction (35). In another study

in Peruvian children, Checkley et al determined that in children infected with Cryptosporidium

both symptomatic and asymptomatic infection had an impact on linear growth (36,37). They

also found that while symptomatic infection was associated with greater reductions in growth,

asymptomatic Cryptosporidium infection was twice as prevalent and thus had more overall

impact on childhood growth in the community (36,38). A recent analysis of Giardia in the MAL-

ED study found that even in the absence of diarrheal symptoms there was an association with

reduced weight and height at 2 years of age (39).

3.5.3 Timing of Enteropathogen Infection

Some studies have explored the effect of the timing of infection, in relation to children’s age,

on short term and long term linear growth impairment. An analysis conducted by Richard et al

(40) found that diarrhea in the previous 30 days had an effect on weight only, suggesting that

a diarrheal episode in a single month does not have a significant association with length in the

following 1, 2 or 3 months (40). When they explored the lagged effects of diarrheal episodes

on growth over time, they found that the cumulative burden of diarrhea resulted in a

measurable effect on growth (40). They also suggest that if there is adequate time between

diarrheal episodes that the child may experience catch-up growth (40,41). The opportunity for

catch up growth may be limited or missed if periods without diarrhea are short due to repeated

episodes (41). The study by Checkley et al (37) found that the effect of diarrhea on height was

delayed by 2 months, while a study examining symptomatic and asymptomatic Campylobacter

infections determined that infection was associated with reduced growth throughout the 9

months following infections (35).

12
3.5.4 Etiology of Enteropathogen Infection

Enteropathogen infection is due a wide variety of viral, bacterial, or parasitic pathogens

(42,43).

Viral

Viral pathogens such as rotavirus, norovirus, adenovirus, and astrovirus, invade the villous

epithelium of the small intestine mucosa (22,44). This results in the loss of mature absorptive

cells and replacement with poorly differentiated crypt cells (44). The extent of the invasion and

lesions will determine the loss of absorptive capacity of the small intestine, and therefore the

severity of diarrheal infection (22,44).

Bacterial

Bacterial pathogens include Campylobacter, Shigella, Salmonella, and diarrheal E. Coli

pathotypes (DEP or DEC) (22,23,44). Upon ingestion, bacterial enteropathogens proliferate

and colonize the large intestine (44). They then invade the intestinal mucosa through the

adherence to cells, which allows the bacteria to multiply intra-mucosally, creating an

inflammatory reaction that can result in ulceration or synthesis of vasoactive substances (44).

Other bacterial enteropathogens produce cytotoxins that cause cell death and damage (44).

Enterotoxigenic E. coli (ETEC), for example, binds to intestinal epithelial cells and decreases

absorptive capacity through the structural damages to the membrane, while Cholera toxin

binds to specific mucosal receptors to alter salt and water transport (44).

Parasitic

Common parasitic enteropathogens include Giardia lamblia and Cryptosporidium (44). While

the pathogenic mechanism of parasitic enteropathogens is not fully known and understood, it

is thought that they act as physical barriers to absorption by causing injury to the mucosal

lining, creating an immunologic reaction in the host, or altering gastrointestinal motility (44).

13
3.5.5 Important Enteropathogens

The Global Enteric Multicenter Study (GEMS), which enrolled children from four sites in Africa

and three in Asia, determined that, overall, the following pathogens were responsible for most

moderate-to-severe diarrheal episodes: Shigella, rotavirus, adenovirus Enterotoxigenic E.

coli, Cryptosporidium, and Campylobacter (Table 3.1) (45,46). The MAL-ED study enrolled

children from two sites in South America, two in Africa, and four in South Asia. The study

determined that norovirus, rotavirus, Campylobacter, astrovirus, and Cryptosporidium were

the major pathogens associated with diarrhea in the first year of life while Campylobacter,

norovirus, rotavirus, astrovirus, and Shigella were the major pathogens in the second year of

life (Table 3.1) (30). Both studies identified variability in the most important pathogens between

participating sites.

Table 3.1 Major Pathogens in the GEMS and MAL-ED studies (30,45,46)

GEMS MAL-ED
Enteropathogen Enteropathogen
Enteropathogen Type Type Type
(0-12 months) (13-24 months)
Shigella Bacterial Norovirus Viral Campylobacter Bacterial
Rotavirus Viral Rotavirus Viral Norovirus Viral
Adenovirus Viral Campylobacter Bacterial Rotavirus Viral
ETEC Bacterial Astrovirus Viral Astrovirus Viral
Cryptosporidium Parasitic Cryptosporidium Parasitic Shigella Bacterial
Campylobacter Bacterial

3.6 Household Risk factors for Enteropathogen Infection and Linear Growth

Most of the household risk factors associated with enteropathogen infection are associated

with low socioeconomic status and the associated poor household environmental conditions

(3,14). The majority of enteropathogens are transmitted through contact with feces, both

directly or indirectly through food, water, and contaminated surfaces (23,47). An analysis of

14
data from 137 countries confirmed the importance of environmental factors in not only causing

diarrheal disease but also contributing to growth impairment (19). Following fetal growth

restriction and preterm birth, environmental factors, such as water quality and sanitation, were

the second leading cause of stunting prevalence (19). The negative effect of these factors on

linear growth has been hypothesized to be partially mediated through diarrhea (48).

Food Handling and Storage

Food handling and storage practices are important in enteropathogen transmission and are

said to be one of the major contributors to infection and diarrheal disease (23).

Enteropathogen transmission can vary by food type and conditions of storage and handling

(23). Contamination sources can include unclean pots, cooking utensils and baby bottles, with

inadequate washing or storage making them unsafe (23). Cooking and storing food at

inadequate temperature, reheating more often than is recommended and consumption of cold

leftovers has been independently associated with infectious diarrheal disease (23,49).

Animals in the Household

Animals in the household compound have been found to be a potential risk factor for linear

growth and enteric infection as they can be the reservoirs for many enteropathogens (23,50).

Animals can harbor pathogens in their gastrointestinal tract and then contaminate their

environment by shedding these pathogens through their feces (50). The pathogen may remain

in the environment for long periods of time (50). Contact with domesticated and companion

animals has been associated with Campylobacter infection transmission (51). Chickens in

particular have been identified as an important reservoir for Campylobacter (51).

Maternal Factors

Maternal education has also been identified as an important risk factor for infection and

diarrheal disease. In many studies, higher maternal education has been associated with a

decreased risk of infection (5). In a study in Peru, low maternal education was associated with

15
a 34% increased odds of Shigella infection (52). A study in Ethiopia also found that maternal

primary education was protective against diarrhea in children (53). Maternal height is also a

strong predictor of birth length, as a short mother is more likely to have a child that is small for

gestational age (SGA) (54). This may be due to the physical constraints of a smaller body

frame during fetal growth (54).

Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene (WASH)

Most enteric infections are transmitted via the fecal-oral route (22). As such, improved water,

sanitation and hygiene practices have been commonly suggested as being critical in

decreasing transmission (Table 3.2) (22). Checkley et al (55) found that poor conditions of

water source, water storage and sanitation resulted in children being 1 cm shorter in stature

and suffering 54% more diarrheal episodes than healthy children. Interestingly, they also

found that the effect of water and sanitation on height was independent of the effect on

diarrheal disease (55). They suggested this may be due to the potential presence of

asymptomatic infection, which is known to impact linear growth (55). The consumption of

contaminated water as well as the use of water for cleaning and bathing, are implicated in

transmission and exposure of children to enteropathogens (23). In the study of Peruvian

children, the greatest reduction in risk of diarrheal infections was associated with better water

storage practices (55). They found that uncovered water containers were associated with

increased diarrheal incidence (55). Also, a lack of access to water can be associated with

inadequate personal hygiene, including hand washing, and an inadequate water reservoir,

one that is stagnant and infrequently cleaned, is also associated with diarrheal infection (56).

16
Table 3.2 JMP Water Source Classification (57)

Improved Unimproved
Piped water Unprotected dug well
Boreholes or tubewells Unprotected spring
Protected dug wells River, dam, lake, pond, stream, canal,
irrigation canal
Protected springs
Rainwater
Packaged or delivered water

Unsafe disposal of human and animal feces, including the practice of open defecation has

been associated with increased diarrheal infection (57). It is estimated that over one billion

people worldwide practice open defecation, which is seen more predominantly in rural areas

(57). Improved sanitation practices through the use of improved toilet facilities (Table 3.3), aim

to prevent enteropathogens from coming into contact with the environment, by preventing the

transmission of pathogens found in feces (57). The literature has consistently identified a

reduction in diarrheal disease with latrine use by 22-51% (58). A recent analysis of the

Campylobacter pathogen in the MAL-ED study found that despite heterogeneity across the

sites, there was a consistency in the reduction of infection with improved latrine facilities (60).

A cohort study in Ethiopia, India, Peru and Vietnam found that access to improved toilets was

associated with a reduced risk of growth impairment (59).

Table 3.3 JMP Sanitation Classification (57)

Improved Unimproved
Flush/pour flush to piped sewer systems Pit latrine without slab or platform
Septic tanks or pit latrines Hanging latrine
Ventilated improved pit latrines Bucket latrine
Composting toilet or pit latrine with slab Open defecation

17
Behavioural changes can also have an impact on reducing infection transmission. Hand

washing in particular has been determined to be the most cost-effective method for reducing

the incidence of diarrheal diseases (23). An analysis of 17 studies showed a significant pooled

reduction of 42-48% in the risk of diarrheal infection resulting from handwashing (61). Hand

washing with soaps has been found to be more effective than washing with water alone; and

has been found to be effective in contamination of even viruses (23). Unfortunately, global

rates for soap hand washing range from only 0-34% (23).

Recently, the WASH Benefits Bangladesh, WASH Benefits Kenya, and SHINE Zimbabwe

trials aimed to explore the effects of a WASH intervention, a nutrition intervention, and a

combined WASH and nutrition intervention on health and growth outcomes in children (48).

Interestingly, the nutrition intervention significantly increased LAZ in all three interventions, but

the WASH intervention had no effect on LAZ in all three trials (48). Similarly, the WASH

intervention had inconsistent results on incidence of diarrhea. It did not show a reduction in

diarrhea in Kenya or Zimbabwe, but it did show a reduction in the Bangladesh study (48). The

authors acknowledge that this lack of improved in LAZ and the weak diarrhea results are

inconsistent with a large body of literature that report poor household WASH conditions are

strong predictors for poor linear growth in children (48). They also found that despite high

adherence to the study intervention, the children who received WASH interventions continued

to experience very high enteropathogen infection (48). The authors therefore suggest that the

trial interventions may not have been effective enough to elicit a meaningful or large enough

reduction of transmission of enteric pathogens to support linear growth (62).

An analysis by the World Health Organization (62) of over 1000 studies conducted between

2012 and 2017 indicated a protective effect of improved sanitation on infectious disease and

outcomes of nutritional status (62). They also acknowledge; however, that there is a low quality

of the evidence, that the health improvements are lower than originally expected, and that

there is a lack of evidence on the role of animals and food contamination in disease

18
transmission pathways. In addition, the review suggest that improved health outcome would

be more likely to be achieved with entire community coverage (62).

3.7 Impact of Nutrition on Growth and Enteropathogen Infection

Infant and child feeding practices can have a major impact on both child survival and growth.

Optimal practices include the immediate initiation of breastfeeding, exclusively for the first 6

months, continued until two years of age, and the gradual introduction of safely prepared

nutritional complementary foods that will meet any nutritional requirement gaps left by breast

milk (63). As previously described, the WASH Benefits and SHINE trials in Bangladesh, Kenya

and Zimbabwe found an increased mean LAZ in the nutrition intervention arms, which they

report is consistent with a large body of research (48).

Breastfeeding

Breastfeeding is protective against diarrheal infection, particularly exclusive breastfeeding

during the first 6 months of life, as this prevents exposure to contaminated food or water (9,64).

Additionally, breast milk provides important immunological factors and antimicrobial properties

that can protect the infant as its own immune system develops (9,64). Neonatal mortality is

reduced overall by early or immediate initiation of breastfeeding. Infants that are breastfeed in

the first post-partum days receive the protective antibodies and essential nutrients provided in

colostrum, the milk produced in the first days (65). In the MAL-ED study, exclusive

breastfeeding was associated with a decreased detection of Campylobacter infection (60).

The same association was not found for non-exclusive breastfeeding (60). In Brazil, children

who were not breastfed were 14 times at greater risk of death from diarrheal disease, and

those that received powdered or cow’s milk in addition to breast milk were 4.2 times at risk of

death from diarrheal disease, compared to those exclusively breastfed (64). Weaning from

breastmilk was associated with increased diarrheal infection, which suggests children’s risk of

infection increases following cessation of breastfeeding (5,64).

19
Complementary feeding

Complementary feeding interventions contribute to small but significant gains in linear growth

in children in LMICs (66). This period is defined as the time when children begin consuming

semi-solid and solid foods in addition to breast milk and typically takes place between 6 and

24 months of age, which is when a significant portion of stunting takes place (4). In LMICs,

children may not meet the minimum dietary quality standard for complementary feeding, even

though it is reported that an estimated 58% of infants between 6-9 months of age receive

complementary foods while they continue to be breastfed (65). Timing may also be an issue,

with some children receiving complementary foods too early or too late, or an inadequate

frequency throughout the day (65). Studies have found that prolonged breastfeeding

combined with complementary foods, reduce malnutrition in children. In addition, a study by

Onyango et al (67) found that dietary diversity was positively associated with anthropometric

measurements. An analysis of the data from the Nepal site in the MAL-ED study also found

that inadequate dietary intake impacted growth velocity in the first 2 years of life and growth

status at 2 years of age (20).

3.8 Growth Impairment in Bangladesh

The largest number of stunted children resides in South Asia, where approximately 33.3% of

children under the age of 5 are affected (68). Bangladesh has been successful in reducing the

prevalence of stunting, with a sustained reduction of child undernutrition for more than twenty

years, decreasing from 43% in 2007 to 31% in 2017 (69). Suggested reasons for these

improvements are often associated with national-level efforts and programs to improved

education for women and access to prenatal care(70). There was also reduced fertility rates,

reduced open defection rates, and an increase in household assets (70). Despite this

progress, it remains one of the countries with the highest burden of stunting in the world (4).

WASH characteristics continue to be a concern in Bangladesh. While open defection has been

significantly reduced to 4% at the national level, other problems persist in the country (71).

20
Urban areas continue to lack proper human waste management, garbage management, and

clogged drainage systems (71). This problem is increasingly important as Bangladesh

continues to experience a fast rate of urbanization (4). Urban settlements are densely

populated and continue to attract the most economically disadvantaged rural population (4).

These conditions of overcrowding and poverty result in a public health challenge, as the

households and their children are more vulnerable to disease (4). Interestingly, despite the

conditions of poverty in the urban settings, a rural-urban disparity is still described in the

literature (72). Rural homes have a lower access to improved sanitation, and lower education

levels (72).

3.9 Summary

The causes of linear growth impairment and enteric infection in young children are

multifactorial. Bangladesh has made impressive improvement in the linear growth status of its

children; however, growth impairment continues to be a challenge that requires continued

attention. Densely populated urban centres present poor living conditions resulting from

overcrowding and lack of proper infrastructure, leaving inhabitants vulnerable to infectious

disease, particularly enteric infection, which could have an effect on linear growth in young

children. Impoverished rural communities also experience poor environmental conditions and

lack access to services and education. The first two years of life are critical in preventing and

treating growth impairment, and as such, it is important to understand the associated factors

during this time. This research therefore aims to explore the household-level factors

associated with growth in children in Bangladesh from 1-24 months of age.

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29
CHAPTER 4 GENERAL METHODOLOGY

This chapter presents general methodological details for this research project. Further details

about each specific analysis can be found in the analysis-specific chapter.

4.1 Study Setting

This research examines linear growth in children 1-24 months of age living in Bangladesh.

With a population of approximately 160 million people, Bangladesh is the most densely

populated country in the world (1). It is also one of the most urbanised countries in South Asia

with approximately 33% of the population living in urban regions (2). To address the aims and

objectives of this research project, different datasets of children in Bangladesh were analysed.

Research Aim #1

To identify the household-level factors associated with linear growth impairment in children 1-

24 months of age in Bangladesh, and then explore by age and geographic location, two

country-level datasets were used. Data from both datasets included children from households

across all seven administrative divisions across Bangladesh (Figure 4.1). This geographically

broad exploration also allowed for exploration of factors by urban vs rural location.

Figure 4.1 Map of Bangladesh and the seven administrative divisions (1)

30
Research Aim #2

To identify the enteropathogen infections and household-level risk factors associated with

childhood growth in urban Bangladesh, the data from the MAL-ED study site in Mirpur, Dhaka,

Bangladesh was used for this project. With a population size of approximately 500,000 people,

the Mirpur community, one of the 21 administrative units of Dhaka, has the conditions

representative of a densely inhabited urban settlement in South Asia, thus increasing the

generalizability of the results of this analysis to other urban centres in the region.

4.2 Data

Several data sources were used to examine linear growth in children in Bangladesh.

Household-level variables selected included maternal factors, child factors, child health

factors, household characteristics, WASH characteristics, and variables indicating enteric

infection. (Figure 4.2, Table 4.1). Variable

Figure 4.2 Concept diagram of variables examined

31
Research Aim #1

This analysis included cross-sectional data collected from two major household survey

programs: the 2014 Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) and the 2012-2013

Bangladesh Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS). The DHS and MICS survey programs

are the primary source for national-level data of child health indicators in LMICs due to the

lack of available local information systems. The DHS is supported by USAID, while the MICS

program is supported by UNICEF.

Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey

The 2012-2013 Bangladesh MICS survey was conducted by the Bangladesh Bureau of

Statistics. Data was collected from 51,895 households across the country between December

2012 and April 2013 (3). The survey provides national level estimates of child health indicators

as well as information about access to safe drinking water and improved sanitation. This is the

first Bangladesh MICS survey that assessed the quality of drinking water by collecting

information about the contamination level of arsenic and E. coli (3). This dataset provides

national-level estimates disaggregated by the seven divisions, location, sex, age, education

and wealth quintile (3). A total of 7851 children between the ages of 1 and 24 months were

included in the final analysis. Further information about the study sample is outlined in Chapter

5. Table 4.1 outlines the data variables included in the analysis.

Demographic and Health Survey

The 2014 Bangladesh DHS survey was conducted as part of a collaborative effort of the

National Institute of Population Research and Training (NIPORT), ICF International, USA and

Mitra & Associates. A total of 17,300 households were interviewed for the survey (1) The DHS

survey is similar to the MICS survey in that it also provides national level estimates of maternal

and child health indicator, as well as some household characteristics, including several WASH

factors. A total of 2633 children between the ages of 1 and 24 months of age were included in

32
the final analysis. Further information about the data can be found in Chapter 6. Table 4.1

outlines the data variables included in the analysis.

Research Aim #2

MAL-ED Bangladesh Data

The MAL-ED Study was a multicentre longitudinal study conducted at 8 sites across the world.

The analysis for this study aim and its objectives focuses on the data collected at the

Bangladesh study site in Mirpur, Dhaka. Children were enrolled between 2009 and 2012

shortly after birth and were followed regularly for 24 months. Data relevant to this analysis

also included household factors, including maternal and WASH characteristics. Table 4.1

outlines the data variables included in the analysis. The main advantages to this analysis are

the longitudinal nature of the study design and the availability of extensive enteropathogen

data collected, which allows for the exploration of the association between enteric infection

and linear growth, and which household factors are associated with both. The study identified

the pathogens found in both symptomatic and asymptomatic stools. Regular collection of

these samples provides a robust dataset from which to explore the temporal relationship

between infection and growth throughout the first 24 months. Further information about the

MAL-ED dataset is outlined in Chapters 7 and 8.

33
Table 4.1 Summary of Data

Research Aim #1 Research Aim #2

DHS MICS MAL-ED


Sample size 2633 7851 265
Location Across Bangladesh Across Bangladesh Urban Bangladesh (Dhaka)

Study design Cross-sectional survey Cross-sectional survey Longitudinal

Variables
Maternal
Age x x x
Height x X
Education x x x
Child Characteristics
Age x x
Sex x x x
Birth order x
Child health
Breastfeeding x x x
Antibiotic x
Enteric Infection
Diarrhea x x x
Parasite meds x
Pathogen data x
Household
Urban vs rural x x Urban only
Animals x x x
Flooring material
Cooking location x
Refrigerator x x x
# residents/children
WASH
Toilet facility x x x
Shared toilet x x x
Water source x x x
Water treatment x x
Stool disposal methods x x
Handwashing Presence of a station Behaviours

34
4.3 Statistical Methods

Measuring Change in Height

The 2006 WHO growth standards were developed from a sample of children from Brazil,

Ghana, India, Norway, Oman, and the United States. The study demonstrated that children in

different parts of the world have similar patterns of linear growth if all their health needs are

met, and so the new standards were determined to be acceptable as an international

reference, accounting for ethnic diversity (4). HAZ/LAZ scores derived from those growth

standards are commonly used in research and as a tool to monitor growth in early childhood.

Changes in absolute height measurements were also considered for this project; however,

they could be a limitation in exploring growth velocity and changes in height in given intervals,

as the literature indicates that smaller children gain less height in a short period (5,6). Using

LAZ would address this.

Research Aim #1

Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey Analysis

The data were stratified by age group (1-12 months and 13-24 months). Given the large

sample size, there was further stratification of the data by urban versus rural location, for a

total of four subgroups to be analysed. This allowed for the second objective of Aim #2 to be

addressed, which seeks to determine the modification of the association between household

factors and LAZ by geographic location of the household. A linear mixed effects analysis was

then conducted on each of the four subgroups. This method was selected in order to account

for a potential household effect, given that some households had more than one child 1-24

months of age participating in the survey.

35
Demographic and Health Survey Analysis

As in the MICS analysis, data were also stratified (1-12 months and 13-24 months) and

analysed using multiple regression analysis to identify the household factors significantly

associated with LAZ across the two different age groups. In addition, a moderation and

mediation analysis was conducted to explore the relationships between the household factors

and LAZ; specifically whether there was any mediation via diarrhea incidence and whether

there were any interaction effects between the household factors, the mediator, and LAZ.

Research Aim #2

There are several analytical approaches for longitudinal growth data that allow the analysis of

change through time. Repeated measures analysis of variance is a method that has been

widely used; however, a major limitation is the need for subjects to have the same number of

measurements collected, and for there to be minimal variation in the time of collection.

Generalized estimating equations are another useful approach that allow the calculation of an

average trajectory for the cohort; however, subject-specific effects are not calculated using

this method. Subject-specific effects is important in this analysis in order to allow the

examination of the effect of enteric infection on individual growth outcomes, and how they

result in between-subject differences. Mixed effects models allow for the generation of

individual growth trajectories and, have been widely used to model change in longitudinal data.

Latent growth curve modelling, a less commonly used approach outside of the social sciences,

allows the application of many predictors and determines which exert important effects on the

rate of change in growth, including both time-varying and time-invariant predictors or

covariates. This approach was used in the analysis of the MAL-ED data to address aim #2

and associated objectives. In addition to exploring the direct relationship between household

factors and LAZ, the relationship between various enteropathogen infections and LAZ was

explored, as was the association between the household factors and infection, and ultimately

their indirect effect on LAZ via infection. Further information about latent growth curve

modelling and its application in this thesis project is outlined in chapters 7 and 8.

36
4.4 Ethics Approval

DHS and MICS

Ethical approval was the responsibility of the institutions that administered the surveys. As this

was a secondary analysis of publicly available and de-identified data, additional ethical

approval was not required.

MAL-ED

The MAL-ED analysis was granted an Exemption to Ethics Review at the University of

Queensland, due to the negligible risk to participants and that it is a secondary analysis.

[Clearance Number: 2018000676] An ethics application was also submitted to the regional

ethics board in Switzerland (Ethikkommission Nordwest- und Zentralschweiz” (EKNZ)), on

behalf of the Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, the institution of PhD advisor and

Project Lead, which granted a Declaration of No Objection.

REFERENCES

1. National Institute of Population Research and Training (NIPORT), Mitra and

Associates and II. Bangladesh Demongraphic and Health Survey 2014. Rockville,

Maryland, USA; 2016.

2. Srinivasan CS, Zanello G, Shankar B. Rural-urban disparities in child nutrition in

Bangladesh and Nepal. BMC Public Health. 2013;13(1):1–15.

3. Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBS); Unicef. Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey

2012-2013. 2016.

4. de Onis M, Garza C, Onyango AW, Rolland-Cachera M-F. Les standards de

croissance de l’Organisation mondiale de la santé pour les nourrissons et les jeunes

enfants. Arch Pédiatrie. 2009;16(1):47–53.

37
5. Voss LD, Mulligan J. Normal growth in the short normal prepubertal child: The

Wessex Growth Study. J Med Screen. 1998;5(3):127–30.

6. Voss LD, Wilkin TJ, Bailey BJR, Betts PR. The reliability of height and height velocity

in the assessment of growth (the Wessex Growth Study). Arch Dis Child.

1991;66(7):833–7.

38
RESEARCH AIM #1

CHAPTER 5 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey Results


CHAPTER 6 Demographic and Health Survey Results

Interventions aimed at addressing environmental conditions associated with growth

impairment and infection have had inconsistent results. Understanding how differences in

childhood and household characteristics are associated with impaired growth in specific

geographic regions may explain such inconsistencies. This understanding can contribute to

the development of targeted interventions that more effectively reduce impairment. The first

of two research aims examines these factors across Bangladesh using cross-sectional

datasets from two national household level surveys. The analyses of these two large datasets

using different statistical methodologies provide a country level understanding of how

characteristics of children, mothers, and the household are associated with growth impairment

in children in Bangladesh. The overlap of several data points between the two datasets allows

for the comparison between the results of the two analyses, while different variables contribute

additional information for addressing the research aim.

The subsequent two chapters presents the results of these analyses. Chapter 5 presents the

results of the 2012-2013 Bangladesh Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey mixed effects analysis

which has now been submitted for publication. Chapter 6 presents the results of the 2014

Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey multiple linear regression and mediation-

moderation analyses.

39
CHAPTER 5 MULTIPLE INDICATOR CLUSTER SURVEY
ANALYSIS

5.1 Preamble

This is the first of two analyses addressing the first research aim and its objectives used data

collected in the Bangladesh Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey conducted in 2012-2013. The

large sample size provided the opportunity to conduct a stratified analysis of children to identify

differences in the characteristics of the children, the mothers, and the households as they

relate to linear growth.

The MICS survery has several overlapping data points with the DHS survey; however, the

MICS contains more WASH information, including questions on water quality. In addition,

unlike the DHS, survey respondents were the caregivers of children and not limited to the

biological mother, which allowed for the inclusion of orphans and foster children living in the

household. In this analysis a linear mixed effects approach was applied to account for a

household effect due to the number of households having more than one child enrolled in the

study.

Through the stratification of the data by geographic location and age of the children, this

analysis presents the first of two examinations of the different characteristics of participating

children and household factors as they relate to childhood growth across Bangladesh.

This chapter is in the form of a manuscript which has been submitted for publication.

40
5.2 Household-Level Risk Factors Associated with Linear Growth
Among Young Children in Bangladesh: An Analysis of the Multiple
Indicator Cluster Survey, 2012-2013

J.Johanna Sanchez, Peter Sly, and Kurt Z. Long,

Abstract

Background: Growth impairment in children continues to be a leading global health concern,

despite improvement in recent decades. Prevalence of impaired growth is particularly high in

low- and middle-income countries, including Bangladesh. The further identification of factors

associated with linear growth could contribute to public health efforts to improve childhood

growth.

Methods: This study examined the household-level factors associated with child growth using

data from the 2012-2013 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS) in Bangladesh. A total of

7851 children 1-24 months of age were included in the analysis. A linear mixed model analysis

with household as a random effect was used to examine the effect of different household

factors independently associated with length-for-age z-score (LAZ). Significant factors were

included in a stepwise regression to identify the final combination of factors influencing the

outcome. To understand age-specific and location-specific factors associated with growth, we

then conducted the analysis in four subgroups: 1) Rural children 1-12 months of age; 2) Rural

children 13-24 months of age; 3) Urban children 1-12 months of age, and; 4) Urban children

13-24 months of age.

Results: The age of the child was negatively associated with the outcome, with LAZ scores

decreasing with increasing child age. Differences were identified between the factors

associated with LAZ across the four subgroups. Children 13-24 months of age from rural

households had the highest number of factors associated with LAZ. Maternal education was

important overall and in three of the four subgroups. Male sex was important in both rural

41
subgroups. Unimproved WASH factors such as stool disposal methods were important in rural

settings and in older urban children. Interestingly, there were no factors associated with LAZ

in younger urban children.

Conclusions: The results indicate that growth impairment continues to be a public health

concern in Bangladesh, and that child growth, as measured by LAZ, is associated with

different household-level factors in different age groups and vary by rural or urban location.

Interventions should therefore not only target these factors but consider the heterogeneity

that exists.

Key words: linear growth, children, Bangladesh, LAZ

Introduction

Childhood malnutrition continues to be a major global health concern in low- and middle-

income countries (WHO 2006). The prevalence of such indicators as stunting, defined as a

length for age z-scores (LAZ) greater than two standard deviations (SD) below the World

Health Organization (WHO) Child Growth Standards median still remains high. South Asia

has the largest number of stunted children worldwide, with approximately 65 million children

under the age of 5 classified as stunted (1). Despite a sustained reduction of child

undernutrition for more than twenty years, Bangladesh continues to be among the 20 countries

in the world with the highest burden of linear growth impairment (2,3). This challenge is of

critical importance since malnutrition can result in high morbidity and mortality among children

(2). In addition, linear growth impairment has long term health and developmental

consequences, including cognitive development and future economic success in adulthood

(3).

The first 24 months of life are widely recognized as critical for preventing undernutrition. It is

a period of rapid growth of a child and as a result a period when growth faltering predominantly

42
occurs (4). Nutritional interventions can have the greatest impact among children of this age

in reducing growth impairment. Interventions beyond this period have little impact on linear

growth (5,6).

The causes of growth impairment are complex and involve multiple factors. Many of these

factors are associated with low socioeconomic status and poor household environmental

conditions. Environmental factors, specifically, may be involved, including maternal education,

water, hygiene and sanitation and household characteristics, and there is increasing research

on the relationship between socio-economic factors and linear growth (4,7,8). There is a steep

decline in LAZ that occurs between birth and 24 months of age reported in the literature but

this faltering does not occur uniformly in this period (9). As such, it is important to explore the

age-specific factors associated with growth impairment. In addition, it is important to explore

how variation in household factors between communities and across regions are differentially

associated with growth faltering. In particular, there may be key differences between urban

and rural households that would be important to consider. This understanding would contribute

to efforts develop public health interventions that more effectively reduce growth impairment.

This study therefore aims to investigate the associations of household risk factors with overall

linear growth in the first 24 months of age and explore associations by specific age groups of

children and by urban versus rural settings.

Methods

Study Sample

The analyses of child growth in the first 24 months of age was carried out using data from the

2012-2013 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS), a nationally representative cross-

sectional survey conducted in Bangladesh. Details of the MICS survey are presented in the

MICS final report, which is publicly available and can be accessed from their website (10). A

total of 8603 children less than 25 months of age were included in the 2012-2013 Bangladesh

43
Survey. Of these children, 457 were excluded from the analysis due to out-of-range or missing

LAZ values and, 257 were excluded due missing household data. A total of 7851 children

were included in the final analysis (Figure 5.1).

Figure 5.1 MICS Study Sample Diagram

8603 children
were less than 25
months of age

295 children 457 excluded due


excluded due to to out of range or
missing household missing LAZ
data values

7851 children
included in the
analysis

RURAL URBAN

1-12 Months 13-24 Months 1-12 Months 13-24 Months


3433 children 3162 children 620 children 636 children
included in the included in the included in the included in the
analysis analysis analysis analysis

Study Variables

Dependent Variable

The dependent variable in this analysis was LAZ. Per WHO recommendations, children were

included in the analysis if LAZ scores were within the -6 to 6 range.

Independent Variables

We investigated association between LAZ and various child and clinical characteristics, such

as the occurrence of an episode diarrhea in the past 2 weeks, and breastfeeding. The maternal

characteristic included in the analysis was the attained education level. Household

44
characteristics explored included location of household, numbers of household members, and

number of household members under the age of five, floor material, cooking location, and the

presence of a refrigerator. Water, hygiene, and sanitation (WASH) factors included water

source, water source location, toilet facility, whether the toilet facilities were shared, and the

presence of a handwashing station. Data collected on water source and type of toilet facility

in the household were categorized in accordance with the WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring

Program (JMP) classification of improved versus unimproved water source or toilet facilities

(11). An improved water source protects the water from external contamination, particularly

from human excreta. Unimproved water sources include unprotected dug well or spring,

surface water, and tanker truck water. Improved toilet facilities ensure a separation of human

waste from human contact (11). Unimproved toilet facilities include hanging latrines, bucket

latrines, latrines without slabs, or open defecation in fields. In addition, a select number of

household water and water source were tested for levels of Escherichia coli (E. coli). E. coli is

a recommended indicator of feces material. Bangladesh, as many other countries, has set a

standard of no E. coli being present in samples of drinking water, based on a 100 mL sample

of water (12).

Data Analysis

The data were analysed in several stages. Descriptive statistics were first generated for

characteristics of study children and their mothers, as well as select characteristics of the

households. Visualization of the data was achieved using the kernel-weighted local polynomial

smoothing algorithm in Stata, version 14. Independent bivariate associations between LAZ

and child characteristics, maternal characteristics, and the household characteristics were

then investigated using simple linear regression. A number of households had more than one

child included in the survey. Accordingly, a linear mixed effects regression analysis that

included the independent variables found to be significant in the bivariate analysis was carried

out in R, version 3.5.1, to determine whether there was a household effect on LAZ. A stepwise

45
regression method was then applied to confirm the variables to include in the model. Statistical

significance was set at P <0.05, while marginal significance was set as ≤0.20.

To explore whether factors associated with growth were different in younger or older children,

or according to rural/urban location of the household, the children were then subdivided into

four subgroups: rural children 1-12 months of age; rural children 13-24 months of age; urban

children 1-12 months of age; and urban children 13-24 months of age. The same methodology

applied to the overall group was then applied to the four subgroups.

Results

Descriptive Statistics and Bivariate Analysis

Child Characteristics

The characteristics of the children are presented in Table 5.1. The mean age of children

included in the analysis was 11.98 months. The overall mean LAZ among children 1-24

months of age was -1.45 ±1.50. Mean LAZ was lowest among children 13-24 months of age,

with urban children having a mean LAZ of -1.56±0.06 and rural children -1.86 ±0.02. Children

1-12 months of age living in urban households had the highest mean LAZ scores (-0.98 ±1.50),

followed by the rural children 1-12 months of age (-1.13 ±1.55)). As reported in previous

studies, a negative association was found between increasing age and LAZ, with LAZ

decreasing with increasing child age (Figure 5.2). Information on diarrheal episodes was

collected in the two weeks prior to the survey. A total of 493 children (6.28%) were reported

as having had a recent episode of diarrhea, but diarrhea was not significantly associated with

LAZ. Finally, most children (94.84%) of children were being breastfed at the time of the survey,

including children 13-24 months of age, although exclusive breastfeeding was not

differentiated. Breastfeeding, however, was not found to be independently associated with

LAZ.

46
Maternal Characteristics

Maternal characteristics and results of the bivariate regression analysis are reported in Table

5.2. As displayed in Figure 5.2, children of mothers with the highest level of education also

had the highest LAZ scores across all age groups. LAZ differences become more evident after

6 months of age, when the LAZ scores of children of mothers with no education is the lowest.

A simple linear regression analysis found a statistically significant relationship between LAZ

and maternal education. Information about maternal height was not collected in the MICS

survey.

Household Characteristics

Household characteristics and results of the bivariate linear regression are reported in Table

5.3. Most households (84.00%) were located in rural areas. There was an association between

the location of the household and LAZ, with higher LAZ scores among children from urban

households (Figure 5.2). The number of children under 5 years of age in the household, the

number of household members, and presence of animals were not associated with LAZ.

Overall, 21.12% of households had an outdoor cooking location, which was independently

associated with lower LAZ scores compared with cooking in the kitchen, both overall and in

rural children 13-24 months of age. Overall, 11.34% of household had a refrigerator; however,

few rural households had one (between 7.5% and 8.5%), while almost 29% of urban

households had a refrigerator. The bivariate analysis identified a positive relationship between

refrigerator presence and LAZ both overall and across all age groups and locations. Most

households overall used earth or sand as the material for flooring (78.95%); however, ceramic

tile and other flooring were positively associated with LAZ scores overall and in older rural and

urban children.

Water, Hygiene, and Sanitation

The bivariate linear regression results for WASH factors are reported in Table 5.4a. A

majority of children included in the survey lived in households with an improved source of

water (95.83%). These numbers were similar between urban and rural households. Most

47
households had their water source located outside the dwelling. Less than 2% of rural

households had a water source in the dwelling, while 6.4-7.1% of urban households had their

water source in the dwelling. The remaining households had it in the yard or elsewhere. The

location of the water source was found to be significantly associated with LAZ, with source of

water located outside the house negatively associated overall, among all urban children and

among older rural children. Few households overall treated their water (5.46%), with more

urban households reporting treating water (15.0-15.57%) while very few rural household

treated water (3.53%-3.64%). Water treatment was found to be positively associated with LAZ

overall among older urban and rural children, in the bivariate analysis. Overall, 27.84% of

households used unimproved toilets facilities, which was negatively associated with LAZ

overall, among all rural children, and older urban children. Shared toilet facilities were reported

in 32.26% of households overall, with similar percentages reported in rural and urban

household. Sharing a toilet facility was also negatively associated with LAZ scores overall,

among all rural children and older urban children. Finally, the presence of a handwashing

station was associated with improved LAZ scores.

Finally, water samples for Water Quality Survey were collected on a subset of households

(one household per 20 households per cluster), which includes 371 children under 25 months

of age included in the analysis. Results are presented in table 5.4b.A total of 61.8% of children

lived in a household with detectable E. coli in the household water sample, while 41.14%

children lived in households with detectable E. coli in the water source. Interestingly, no

statistically significant relationship was found between LAZ and presence of E.coli in the

household water samples and water source in a bivariate analysis.

48
Table 5.1: MICS Children Characteristics
Variable Overall Rural Urban
N=7851 N = 3433 N= 3162 N = 620 N = 636
1-24 months Estimate (SE) p-value 1-12 months Estimate (SE) p-value 13-24 months Estimate p-value 1-12 months Estimate p-value 13-24 months Estimate p-value
(SE) (SE) (SE)
Mean LAZ -1.45 ± 1.50 -0.05 (0.002) <0.001 -1.13 ± 1.55 -0.03 (0.007) <0.001 -1.86 ± 0.02 -0.06 (0.01) <0.001 -0.98 ± 0.06 -0.001 0.949 -1.56 ± 0.06 -0.03 (0.02) 0.054
(0.16)
Sex
Female 3875 (49.43%) ref 1711 (49.84%) ref 1512 (47.82%) ref 324 (52.26%) ref 328 (51.57%) ref
Male 3976 (50.64%) -0.13 (0.03) <0.001 1722 (50.16%) -0.12 (0.05) 0.028 1650 (52.18%) 0.16 (0.05) 0.001 296 (47.74%) -0.11 (0.12) 0.348 308 (48.43%) 0.13 (0.12) 0.285
Diarrhea 493 (6.28%) -0.07 (0.07) 0.342 173 (5.04%) -0.11 (0.12) 0.378 232 (7.34%) -0.01 (0.09 0.907 38 (6.13%) 0.33 (0.24) 0.164 50 (7.85%) 0.13 (0.22) 0.556
Currently 7394 (94.88%) 0.06 (0.08) 0.415 3342 (97.98%) 0.03 (0.19) 0.87 2899 (92.30%) -0.16 (0.09) 0.079 591 (96.57%) 0.001 (0.32) 0.997 562 (89.35%) -0.32 (0.19) 0.096
breastfeeding

Table 5.2: MICS Mother Characteristics


Variable Overall Rural Urban
N=7851 N = 3433 N= 3162 N = 620 N = 636
1-24 months Estimate p-value 1-12 months Estimate p-value 13-24 months Estimate (SE) p-value 1-12 months Estimate p- 13-24 months Estimate p-value
(SE) (SE) (SE) value (SE)
Maternal Education
No education 1640 (20.89%) ref 722 (21.03%) ref 730 (23.09%) ref 88 (14.19%) ref 100 (15.72%)
Primary incomplete 1080 (13.76%) 0.08 (0.06) 0.145 463 (13.49%) 0.12 (0.09) 0.173 465 (14.71%) 0.07 (0.08) 0.39 77 (12.42%) -0.27 (0.22) 0.217 75 (11.79%) 0.20 (0.22) 0.363
Primary complete 1244 (15.85%) 0.26 (0.06) <0.001 581 (16.92%) 0.16 (0.09) 0.059 505 (15.97%) 0.32 (0.08) <0.001 87 (14.03%) 0.14 (0.21) 0.523 71 (11.16%) 0.18 (0.22) 0.421
Secondary incomplete 2925 (37.26%) 0.41 (0.05) <0.001 1291(37.61%) 0.36 (0.07) <0.001 1184 (37.44%) 0.40 (0.06) <0.001 217 (35.00%) 0.28 (0.19) 0.113 233 (36.64%) 0.66 (0.17) <0.001
Secondary complete or 962 (12.25%) 0.85 (0.06) <0.001 376 (10.95%) 0.59 (0.10) <0.001 278 (8.79%) 0.87 (0.09) <0.001 151 (24.35%) 0.61 (0.19) 0.001 157 (24.69%) 1.3 (0.18) <0.001
higher

Table 5.3: MICS Household Characteristics


Variable Overall Rural Urban
N=7851 N = 3433 N= 3162 N = 620 N = 636
1-24 months Estimate p-value 1-12 months Estimate p- 13-24 months Estimate p-value 1-12 months Estimate p- 13-24 months Estimate p-
(SE) (SE) value (SE) (SE) value (SE) value
Children under five 1.36 ±0.58 1.40 ±0.01 1.31 ±0.01 1.41 ±0.03 1.32 ±0.02
1 child 5376 (68.48%) ref 2212 (64.43%) ref 2298 (72.64%) ref 411 (66.29%) ref 456 (71.70%) ref
2 children 2175 (27.70%) -0.44 (0.24) 0.244 1075 (31.31%) -0.02 (0.06) 0.224 767 (24.26%) -0.18 (0.06) 0.002 175 (28.23%) -0.17 (0.13) 0.202 158 (24.84%) -0.19 (0.14) 0.161
3+ children 300 (3.82 %) -0.04 (0.69) 0.689 146 (4.25%) -0.16 (0.13) 0.549 98 (3.10%) -0.12 (0.14) 0.389 34 (5.48) 0.31 (0.26) 0.228 22 (3.46%) -0.49 (0.32) 0.127
Household members 5.72 ±2.34 5.84 ±0.04 5.61 ±0.04 5.86 ±0.11 5.50 ±0.10
0-5 members 4402 (56.07%) ref 1840 (53.60%) ref 1828 (57.81%) ref 348 (56.13%) ref 386 (60.69%) ref
6-10 members 3094 (39.41%) -0.003 (0.04) 0.939 1434 (41.77%) -0.018 (0.05) 0.754 1195 (37.79%) -0.019 (0.05) 0.707 235 (37.90%) -0.12 (0.12) 0.312 230 (36.16%) -0.05 (0.12) 0.665
10+ members 355 (4.52%) 0.17 (0.08) 0.043 159 (4.63%) 0.175 (0.13) 0.17 139 (4.40%) 0.06 (0.11) 0.613 37 (5.97%) 0.25 (0.25) 0.308 20 (3.14%) 0.08 (0.34) 0.812
Cooking location
Kitchen (separate room) 1326 (17.92%) ref 593 (17.61%) ref 502 (16.23%) ref 109 (23.75%) ref 122 (25.36%) ref
Elsewhere in house 386 (5.22%) -0.02 (0.09) 0.793 173 (5.14%) 0.119 (0.13) 0.372 140 (4.53%) -0.317 (0.13) 0.014 35 (7.63%) 0.41 (0.28) 0.142 38 (7.90%) -0.053 (0.27) 0.844
Separate building 4126 (55.75%) 0.06 (0.05) 0.174 1881 (55.85%) 0.070 (0.07) 0.333 1768 (57.16%) 0.039 (0.68) 0.564 244 (53.16%) 0.11 (0.17) 0.497 233 (48.44%) 0.35 (0.16) 0.03
Outdoors 1563 (21.12%) -0.15 (0.06) 0.008 721 (21.41%) -0.097 (0.10) 0.254 683 (22.08%) -0.19 (0.79) 0.019 71 (15.47%) -0.05 (0.22) 0.826 88 (18.30%) -0.02 (0.20) 0.911
Refrigerator 890 (11.34%) 0.62 (0.05) <0.001 260 (7.58%) 0.411 (0.10) <0.001 268 (8.48%) 0.74 (0.09) <0.001 179 (28.87%) 0.43 (0.13) 0.001 183 (28.77%) 0.91 (0.12) <0.001
Animals in the household 5340 (68.02%) 0.03 (0.04) 0.425 2503 (73.06%) 0.099 (0.06) 0.096 2308 (72.99%) 0.11 (0.05) 0.043 262 (42.26%) -0.14 (0.12) 0.244 262 (41.19%) -0.25 (0.12) 0.033
Floor material
Earth/sand 6198 (78.95%) ref 2908 (84.73%) ref 2667 (84.37%) ref 312 (50.32%) ref 311 (48.90%) ref
Cement 1429 (18.21%) 0.50 (0.04) <0.001 446 (13.00%) 0.326 (0.08) <0.001 403 (12.75%) 0.58 (0.07) <0.001 277 (44.68%) 0.50 (0.12) <0.001 303 (47.64%) 0.75 (0.12) <0.001
Other 222 (2.83%) 0.30 (0.10) 0.003 78 (2.27%) -0.114 (0.18) 0.518 91 (2.88%) 0.43 (0.43) 0.002 31 (5.00%) 0.45 (0.27) 0.091 22 (3.46%) 1.28 (0.32) <0.001

49
Table 5.4a: MICS Water, Hygiene and Sanitation
Variable Overall Rural Urban
N=7851 N = 3433 N= 3162 N = 620 N = 636
1-24 months Estimate p-value 1-12 months Estimate p-value 13-24 months Estimate p-value 1-12 months Estimate p-value 13-24 months Estimate (SE) p-value
(SE) (SE) (SE) (SE)
Water source
Improved 7524 (95.83%) ref 3298 (96.07%) ref 3006 (95.07%) ref 603 (97.26%) ref 617 (97.01%) ref
Unimproved 327 (4.17%) -0.13 (0.08) 0.114 135 (3.93%) -0.04 (0.14) 0.743 156 (4.93%) -0.11 (0.11) 0.318 17 (2.74%) 0.14 (0.35) 0.684 19 (2.99%) -0.34 (0.35) 0.326
Water source location
In dwelling 111 (2.45%) ref 57 (1.67%) ref 55 (1.75%) ref 40 (7.09%) ref 36 (6.36%) ref
In yard/plot 5017 (65.26%) -0.42 (0.11) <0.001 2243 (65.74%) -0.098 (0.21) 0.637 2056 (65.35%) -0.35 (0.18) 0.057 354 (62.77%) -0.50 (0.24) 0.037 364 (64.31%) -0.65 (0.25) 0.011
Elsewhere 2483 (32.30%) -0.58 (0.11) <0.001 1112 (32.59%) -0.193 (0.21) 0.358 1035 (32.90%) -0.53 (0.19) 0.004 170 (30.14%) -0.75 (0.25) 0.003 166 (29.33%) -0.96 (0.27) <0.001
Water treatment
Treated 428 (5.46%) ref 121 (3.53%) ref 115 (3.64%) ref 93 (15.00%) ref 99 (15.57%) ref
Untreated 7418 (94.54%) -0.32 (0.75) <0.001 3308 (96.47%) -0.169 (0.14) 0.237 3046 (96.36%) -0.29 (0.13) 0.024 527 (85.00%) -0.15 (0.16) 0.344 537 (84.43%) -0.52 (0.16) 0.001
Toilet Facility
Improved 5665 (72.16%) ref 2434 (70.90%) ref 2225 (70.37%) ref 493 (79.52%) ref 513 (80.66%) ref
Unimproved 2186 (27.84%) -0.31 (0.04) <0.001 999 (29.10%) -0.233 (0.06) <0.001 937 (29.63%) -0.35 (0.05) <0.001 127 (20.48%) -0.22 (0.14) 0.119 123 (19.34%) -0.39 (0.15) 0.009
Shared toilet facility 2405 (32.26%) 0.21 (0.04) <0.001 1026 (31.50%) -0.166 (0.06) 0.004 973 (32.63%) -0.164 (0.05) 0.002 199 (33.00%) -0.076 (0.12) 0.543 207 (33.77%) -0.64 (0.12) <0.001
Total households sharing
facility
<10 2274 (97.14%) 986 (98.40%) ref 939 (98.32%) ref 168 (90.32%) ref 181 (91.41%) ref
>10 67 (2.86%) -0.42 (0.18) 0.017 16 (1.60%) -0.801 (0.37) 0.029 16 (1.68%) -0.56 (0.32) 0.084 18 (9.68%) -0.82 (0.35) 0.53 17 (66.23%) -0.32 (0.36) 0.372
Stool disposal
Improved 2456 (31.50%) ref 776 (22.80%) ref 1063 (33.74%) ref 268 (43.79%) ref 349 (55.22%) ref
Unimproved 5342 (68.50%) 0.30 (0.04) <0.001 2627 (77.20%) -0.370 (0.06) <0.001 2088 (66.26%) -0.25 (0.05) <0.001 344 (56.21%) -0.50 (0.11) <0.001 283 (44.78%) -0.81 (0.11) <0.001
Handwashing place
Not in dwelling/plot/yard 1487 (19.14%) ref 1646 (19.03%) ref 626 (20.03%) ref 106 (17.21%) ref 109 (17.25%) ref
Observed 6282 (80.86%) 0.17 (0.04) <0.001 2749 (80.97%) 0.129 (0.07) 0.055 2500 (79.97%) 0.135 (0.06) 0.025 510 (82.79%) 0.25 (0.15) 0.10 523 (82.75%) 0.27 (0.16) 0.079

Table 5.4b: MICS Water Quality – E. coli risk level


Variable Overall Rural Urban
N=7851 N = 3433 N= 3162 N = 620 N = 636
1-24 months Estimate p-value 1-12 months Estimate p-value 13-24 months Estimate p-value 1-12 months Estimate p- 13-24 months Estimate (SE) p-
(SE) (SE) (SE) (SE) value value
Household water sample
Risk level ≥1 cfu/100ml 233 (62.97%) 101 (60.84%) 91 (65.00%) 17 (65.38%) 24 (63.16%)
Low risk level (<1) 137 (37.03%) ref 65 (39.16%) ref 49 (35.00%) ref 9 (34.62%) ref 14 (36.84%) ref
Medium risk level (1-10) 95 (25.68%) -0.32 (0.20) 0.133 34 (20.48%) -0.432 (0.31) 0.164 42 (30.00%) 0.20 (0.30) 0.512 9 (34.62%) -0.19 (0.46) 0.685 10 (26.32%) -1.35 (0.75) 0.078
High risk level (11-100) 138 (37.30%) -0.17 (0.18) 0.36 67 (40.36%) -0.397 (0.25) 0.12 49 (35.00%) 0.14 (0.29) 0.622 8 (30.77%) 0.15 (0.47) 0.752 14 (36.84%) -0.34 (0.68) 0.616
Water Source
Risk level ≥1 cfu/100ml 151 (41.26%) 67 (40.61%) 52 (37.41%) 12 (46.15%) 20 (55.56%)
Low risk level (<1) 215 (58.74%) ref 98 (59.39%) ref 87 (62.59%) ref 14 (53.85%) ref 16 (44.44%) ref
Medium risk level (1-10) 91 (24.86%) 0.06 (0.19) 0.761 40 (24.24%) -0.094 (0.27) 0.727 33 (23.74%) 0.06 (0.29) 0.829 8 (30.77%) -0.79 (0.43) 0.855 10 (27.78%) 0.63 (0.76) 0.415
High risk level (11-100) 60 (16.39%) -0.18 (0.22) 0.409 27 (16.36%) -0.819 (0.31) 0.009 19 (13.67%) -0.003 (0.36) 0.994 4 (15.38%) 0.519 (0.52) 0.349 10 (27.78%) 0.893 (0.76) 0.247

50
Linear Mixed Effects Models

Overall Model (All children)

The overall final model of the linear mixed effects analysis contained five significant variables

associated with LAZ (Table 5.5). Having a mother who completed primary school (b=0.20

p=0.006), some secondary school (b=0.30, p=<0.001) and secondary school completed

(b=0.57, p=<0.001) were associated with improved LAZ scores, when compared to children

of women with no education. Sharing the toilet facility with other households was negatively

associated with LAZ (b=-0.098, p=0.016). Flooring material was also important, with earth and

sand flooring have a negative association (b=-0.20, p=<0.001). The presence of a refrigerator

in the home was positively associated with LAZ (b=-0.18, p=0.016).

Table 5.5: Linear mixed effects model results for all participating children
Variables Estimate (SE) p-value

Male sex -0.3 (0.36) <0.001


Breastfeeding 0.19 (0.08) 0.023
Maternal Education
No education ref
Primary incomplete 0.05 (0.06) 0.475
Primary complete 0.20 (0.06) 0.006
Secondary incomplete 0.30 (0.05) <0.001
Secondary complete or higher 0.57 (0.07) <0.001
Household members
0-5 members ref
6-10 members -0.022 (0.04) 0.571
10+ members -0.023 (0.09) 0.795
Cooking location
Elsewhere in house ref
Kitchen (separate room) -0.03 (0.09) 0.704
Separate building 0.04 (0.09) 0.674
Outdoors -0.10 (0.09) 0.29
Presence of refrigerator 0.18 (0.07) 0.016
Floor material
Cement ref
Earth/sand -0.20 (0.06) <0.001
Other 0.19 (0.16) 0.231
Water source location
Elsewhere ref
In dwelling -0.11 (0.14) 0.456
In yard/plot 0.011 (0.04) 0.806
Treated water 0.23 (0.10) 0.806
Unimproved toilet Facility -0.096 (0.04) 0.031
Shared toilet facility -0.098 (0.04) 0.016
Unimproved stool disposal -0.063 (0.05) 0.125
Handwashing place observed in dwelling 0.04 (0.05) 0.408

51
Rural Children 1-12 Months

Among children 1-12 months of age living in rural households, three factors were associated

with LAZ (Table 5.6). Being male was negatively associated with LAZ (b=-0.14, p=0.011).

Having a mother with some secondary school (b=0.27, p=<0.001) or secondary school

completed (b=0.39, p=<0.001) was associated with improved LAZ scores, when compared to

children of women with no education. Poor stool disposal methods were negatively associated

with LAZ (b=-0.25, p=<0.001).

Table 5.6: Linear mixed effects model results for children 1-12 months of age from rural households
Variables Estimate (SE) p-value

Male sex -0.14 (0.050 0.011


Breastfeeding 0.22 (0.19) 0.255
Maternal Education
No education ref
Primary incomplete 0.07 (0.10) 0.463
Primary complete 0.11 (0.09) 0.237
Secondary incomplete 0.27 (0.08) <0.001
Secondary complete or higher 0.39 (0.11) <0.001
Presence of refrigerator 0.11 (0.12) 0.34
Floor material
Cement ref
Earth/sand -0.07 (0.09) 0.421
Other 0.002 (0.23) 0.992
Unimproved toilet Facility -0.09 (0.07) 0.164
Shared toilet facility -0.09 (0.06) 0.131
Unimproved stool disposal -0.25 (0.07) <0.001

Rural Children 13-24 Months

Six factors were associated with LAZ among children 13-24 months of age from rural

households, (Table 5.7). As with the younger rural children, being male was also negatively

associated with LAZ (b=-0.11, p=0.033). Maternal education was also important among older

rural children with completed primary school (b=0.23 p=0.006), some secondary school

(b=0.25, p=<0.001) or secondary school completed (b=0.57, p=<0.001) associated with

increased LAZ scores. The presence of an animal in the household was positively associated

with LAZ (b=0.14, p=0.017). Flooring material was also important, with earth and sand flooring

have a negative association (b=-0.23, p=0.007). Finally, an unimproved toilet facility and not

having a refrigerator in the home were both negatively associated with LAZ (b=-0.121,

p=0.044 and b=-0.27, p=0.012, respectively).

52
Table 5.7: Linear mixed effects model results for children 13-24 months of age from rural households
Variables Estimate (SE) p-value

Male sex 0.11 (0.05) 0.033


Breastfeeding 0.14 (0.09) 0.121
Maternal Education
No education ref
Primary incomplete 0.04 (0.08) 0.611
Primary complete 0.23 (0.08) 0.006
Secondary incomplete 0.25 (0.07) <0.001
Secondary complete or higher 0.57 (0.11) <0.001
Children under five
1 child ref
2 children -0.11 (0.06) 0.059
3+ children 0.26 (0.15) 0.08
Cooking location
Elsewhere in house ref
Kitchen (separate room) 0.21 (0.14) 0.129
Separate building 0.18 (0.12) 0.163
Outdoors 0.13 (0.13) 0.331
Presence of refrigerator 0.27 (0.11) 0.012
Animals in the household 0.14 (0.06) 0.017
Floor material
Cement ref
Earth/sand -0.24 (0.09) 0.007
Other 0.57 (0.20) 0.006
Water source location
Elsewhere ref
In dwelling 0.08 (0.20) 0.688
In yard/plot 0.03 (0.06) 0.604
Treated water 0.024 (0.13) 0.858
Unimproved toilet Facility -0.121 (0.06) 0.044
Shared toilet facility -0.06 (0.05) 0.276
Unimproved stool disposal -0.06 (0.05) 0.274
Handwashing place observed in dwelling 0.006 (0.07) 0.932

Urban Children 1-12

There were no factors associated with LAZ in urban children 0-12 months of age (Table 5.8);

however, unimproved stool disposal methods were marginally associated. In addition, the

relationship of maternal education was positive, with increasing magnitude by education level.

Earth and other flooring material, and unimproved toilets both had a negative relationship.

Table 5.8: Linear mixed effects model results for children 1-12 months of age from rural households
Variables Estimate (SE) p-value

Breastfeeding 0.30 (0.34) 0.373


Maternal Education
No education ref
Primary incomplete -0.30 (0.34) 0.157
Primary complete 0.13 (0.23) 0.573
Secondary incomplete 0.21 (0.23) 0.27
Secondary complete or higher 0.38 (0.23) 0.097
Presence of refrigerator 0.06 (0.18) 0.728
Floor material
Cement ref
Earth/sand -0.21 (0.15) 0.175
Other -0.005 (0.34) 0.986
Water source location
Elsewhere ref
In dwelling 0.32 (0.28) 0.25
In yard/plot 0.03 (0.14) 0.811
Unimproved stool disposal -0.26 (0.14) 0.056

53
Urban Children 13-24 Months

Among children 13-24 months of age from urban households, two factors were associated

with LAZ (Table 5.9). Maternal education was again important among this age group living in

urban households. Having a mother secondary school completed (b=0.66, p=0.016) was

associated with improved LAZ scores, when compared to children of women with no

education. Poor child stool disposal methods were negatively associated with LAZ (b=-0.39,

p=0.009).

Table 5.9: Linear mixed effects model results for children 13-24 months of age
from urban households 13-24 months of age
Variables Estimate (SE) p-value

Breastfeeding -0.30 (0.24) 0.207


Maternal Education
No education ref
Primary incomplete 0.027 (0.26) 0.914
Primary complete 0.16 (0.25) 0.546
Secondary incomplete 0.24 (0.22) 0.273
Secondary complete or higher 0.66 (0.27) 0.016
Cooking location
Elsewhere in house ref
Kitchen (separate room) 0.08 (0.28) 0.781
Separate building 0.29 (0.27) 0.282
Outdoors 0.19 (0.30) 0.52
Presence of refrigerator 0.2 (0.22) 0.377
Animals in the household -0.02 (0.14) 0.866
Floor material
Cement ref
Earth/sand -0.30 (0.18) 0.101
Other -0.27 (0.73) 0.711
Water source location
Elsewhere ref
In dwelling -0.25 (0.400 0.544
In yard/plot 0.13 (0.15) 0.409
Treated water 0.13 (0.29) 0.66
Unimproved toilet Facility 0.13 (0.18) 0.481
Shared toilet facility -0.22 (0.15) 0.144
Unimproved stool disposal -0.39 (0.15) 0.009

54
Figure 5.2 Summary of key overall characteristics and mixed effect analysis results

CHILDREN CHARACTERISTICS (OVERALL) HAZ score by age HAZ score by sex

-1

-1
7851 CHILDREN INCLUDED IN ANALYSIS DIARRHEA

-1.5
HAZ

HAZ
-1.5
49.4%

-2
FEMALE MEAN LAZ

-2
-1.45

-2.5
94.9% NO DIARRHEA DIARRHEA
0 5 10 15
Age (months)
20 25 0 5 10 15
Age (Months)
20 25

BREASTFED 95% CI lpoly smooth Male Female

HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS (OVERALL) MIXED EFFECTS ANALYSIS: ASSOCIATED FACTORS


URBAN/RURAL SHARED TOILET
REFRIGERATOR TOILET FACILITY
RURAL URBAN
1-12 Months 1-12 Months

URBAN RURAL REFRIGERATOR NO REFRIGERATOR IMPROVED UNIMPROVED NOT SHARED SHARED NO


ASSOCIATED
HAZ score by urban/rural HAZ scores by presence of refrigerator HAZ score by toilet facility HAZ scores by shared toilet
FACTORS
MATERNAL
-.5

-.5

SEX OF CHILD STOOL DISPOSAL

-1
-1

EDUCATION
-1

-1

-1.5
-1.5

HAZ
HAZ

HAZ
HAZ
-1.5

-1.5

-2
-2
-2

-2

-2.5
-2.5

-2.5
-2.5

13-24 Months 13-24 Months


0 5 10 15 20 25 0 5 10 15 20 25 0 5 10 15 20 25 0 5 10 15 20 25
Age (months) Age (Months) lpoly smoothing grid lpoly smoothing grid

Urban Rural Refrigerator No refrigerator Improved Unimproved Toilet shared Toilet not shared

HAZ score by maternal education


MATERNAL EDUCATION (OVERALL)
-.5

NO EDUCATION 20.89%
-1

SEX OF CHILD MATERNAL TOILET FACILITY


HAZ
-1.5

EDUCATION
PRIMARY INCOMPLETE 13.76% MATERNAL STOOL DISPOSAL
EDUCATION
-2

PRIMARY COMPLETE 15.85%


-2.5

SECONDARY INCOMPLETE 37.26% 0 5 10 15


Age (months)
20 25

No education Primary incomplete REFRIGERATOR ANIMALS FLOOR MATERIAL


HIGHER 12.25% Primary complete
Secondary complete or higher
Secondary incomplete

55
Discussion

In this study, we examined early childhood linear growth among children 1 to 24 months of

age in Bangladesh in an effort to identify household-level risk factors associated with growth.

While it is well understood that the causes for growth impairment are multifactorial, we wanted

to explore the differences in select household factors by both age and location of the

residence. Our analysis identified an overall low mean LAZ in the children included in the

analysis, which was expected given the high prevalence of growth impairment in Bangladesh,

as is widely discussed in the literature (3). Also consistent with the literature is the negative

relationship between age and LAZ, with a pattern of decreasing LAZ as the children get older

(4). We also identified differences in the household-level factors associated with LAZ

according to age group and location of the household (Figure 3).

This study highlights some notable differences in household and WASH characteristics

between urban and rural households across Bangladesh. Only approximately 8% of rural

households had a refrigerator, while approximately 28% of urban households had one present.

Most participating rural households had dirt as the flooring material, whereas approximately

half of urban households had a dirt floor. A higher proportion of urban homes treated their

water, had improved toilet facilities and improved toilet disposal methods compared to rural

households.

An important contribution made by the study is to identify that factors associated with LAZ

differ across the age groups and by location. Younger children in both rural and urban

households had fewer factors associated with LAZ than the older children in the same location.

This may be due to their lower exposure to the factors due to limited mobility in the first year

of life. Children in the second year of life interact with their environment more, as a result of

increased mobility and so have a wider radius of exposure to their surroundings. We

hypothesized that breastfeeding could also have a protective effect on children, through the

nutritional and immunological benefits provided; however, no association was identified

between breastfeeding and LAZ. Children 13 to 24 months of age living in rural households

56
had the highest number of factors associated with LAZ out of all four subgroups. Household

and WASH characteristics of rural households demonstrate poorer living conditions than

urban households, as described above. These living conditions along with the increase

environmental exposure of older and more mobile children may explain the high number of

associated factors in the older urban group.

WASH factors negatively associated with LAZ were unimproved stool disposal methods

among younger rural children and older urban children, and unimproved toilet facilities among

older rural children. Both the type of toilet facility and stool disposal methods were associated

with LAZ in the overall model. Poor WASH characteristics have been found to increase the

risk of enteropathogen infection, which can then have a negative effect on linear growth (14).

A recent large international study found that despite heterogeneity across the participating

sites, there was a consistency in the reduction of infection with improved toilet facilities (15).

A multicentre cohort study found that access to improved sanitation was associated with

reduced stunting in children (14).

Maternal education was an important factor overall and in three of the four groups, with

increased education being positively associated with LAZ when compared to no education.

There is a clear disparity between the education levels of urban versus rural women. A higher

number of rural women had no education, while more women from urban areas completed

secondary or higher education. The linkage between maternal education and child health has

been widely reported in the literature with children of more educated women less likely to be

malnourished and growth impaired (16). Literacy skills enhance a mother’s ability to both

recognize and seek treatment for illness in her children, and also more likely to be receptive

to modern treatments (16). There is also the socioeconomic benefit of education, with more

educated women being more likely to have employment and higher income, which have an

influence on child health and growth, due to increased access to resources (16). A study

examining linear growth in Bangladesh and Nepal describe the important role of maternal

education, and also the disparity that exists between rural and urban Bangladesh (17). This

disparity was found in this analysis as well as in other studies despite national initiatives to
57
improve school enrolment of women in Bangladesh in the past few decades, particularly rural

women, (17).

The male sex was negatively associated with LAZ in both younger and older rural groups. This

same association has been identified in other studies, which suggested that this may be due

to different feeding practices for male compared to female infants (18,19). Male infants may

be more likely to receive complementary feeding at an earlier age and therefore exclusively

breastfed for a shorter duration than females (19). Previous studies have found that such

differences may result from beliefs around the nutritional needs of male infants, as they were

felt to require greater energy intake (19).

Most of these characteristics have been collected in surveys such as MICS and the DHS

survey as durable assets and used to calculate an asset index, or wealth index, to determine

the socio-economic position of the households included in the survey (13). Impaired child

growth is often the result of poor living conditions and low socioeconomic status; however, we

also aimed to explored how these predictors of socio-economic status were associated with

childhood growth, such as through the transmission of infection. Enteric infections have a

negative effect on linear growth and is more commonly seen in households and communities

living in poor conditions, particularly poor sanitary conditions. WASH factors such as

untreated water, unimproved toilet facilities, and unimproved stool disposal methods, for

example, could serve as pathogen reservoirs and be part of the infection transmission

pathway that lead to exposure of children to infection.

One of the limitations of the study was the cross-sectional nature of the data. As such, we can

determine heterogeneities across the age groups and by rural or urban location on child

growth, but it does not allow us to appropriately identify growth faltering in the children. Instead

we aimed to identify potential predictors of negative LAZ, which could then result in growth

faltering in children. The cross-sectional nature also prevents causal inferences from being

made. WASH variables included in this analysis were potentially associated with

enteropathogen infection; however, this dataset lacked the pathogen data required to explore

58
this further. However, one of the strengths of the study was the large sample size which

provided sufficient power to explore sub-grouping of the data.

Conclusion

Despite global efforts to improve nutritional status in children, growth impairment continues to

be a global health challenge (20–22). Using the 2012-2013 MICS Bangladesh survey data,

we examined household-level factors associated with linear growth in children 1-24 months of

age. We specifically aimed to explore the rural-urban and age-specific differences in these

associated factors. The results from the analyses indicate that growth impairment continues

to be a public health concern in Bangladesh, and that child growth, as measured by LAZ, is

associated with several household-level factors. The study identified heterogeneity in the

factors that were associated with linear growth according to the child’s age and location and

residence, with children 13-24 months of age living in rural Bangladesh having the most

characteristics associated with LAZ. This highlights the importance of considering the age of

children and the location of the household when designing and implementing public health

programs and interventions, particularly those targeting specific factors.

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of stunting among children living in an urban slum of Bangladesh: Findings of a

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Measuring socio-economic position for epidemiological studies in low-and middle-

income countries: A methods of measurement in epidemiology paper. Int J Epidemiol.

2012;41(3):871–86.

14. Dearden KA, Schott W, Crookston BT, Humphries DL, Penny ME, Behrman JR.

Children with access to improved sanitation but not improved water are at lower risk

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61
CHAPTER 6 BANGLADESH 2014 DEMOGRAPHIC AND
HEALTH SURVEY ANALYSIS RESULTS

6.1 Preamble

The MICS analysis identified differences in the household factors associated with linear

growth according to age and geographic location of the household through a mixed effects

analysis. The results presented in this chapter continue to address the first research aim and

its objectives with the application of different statistical methods, using data collected from the

Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey conducted in 2014. This analysis adds the

exploration of the relationships between the variables through the examination of direct and

indirect effects via mediation, while also exploring the moderating effects of other variables.

This analysis applied two statistical methods. A simple multiple linear regression model was

first applied and explored associations between household factors and LAZ overall and by

age groupings and geographic location. The identification of a statistically significant

relationship between diarrhea and linear growth provided the opportunity to develop a

mediation analysis to explore whether the household factors had an effect on LAZ that was

mediated by diarrhea. In the mediation analysis, different groupings of the participating

children allowed for the examination of heterogeneity by age and location. The groupings of

children were the same as those used for the MICS analysis, with an additional analysis also

carried out from children 1-12 months and 13-24 months of age.

The mediation analysis presents the first exploration of direct and indirect effects of household

factors on linear growth, in this research project.

62
6.2 Methods

6.2.1 Study Sample

Data from the 2014 Bangladesh Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) were used for this

analysis. To focus on the critical period for child growth, the first two years of life, only children

24 months of age and younger were included in the analyses. A total of 3283 children were

less than 25 months of age in the 2014 survey. Of these children, 120 had died, 351 were non

dejure residents, and 179 had out of range or missing data. In addition, children with length

for age (LAZ) z-scores less than -5 or great than 5 were also excluded. The remaining 2633

children were included in the analysis.

Figure 6.1 DHS Study Sample Diagram

3283 children were less


than 25 months of age

120 died
351 non dejure
residents excluded

179 excluded
due to out of
range or
missing data

2633 children
included in the
analysis

6.2.2 Study Variables

Dependent Variable

The dependent variable in this analysis was height for age (LAZ) z-score. Length for age z-

scores were calculated using the World Health Organization (WHO) 2006 international growth

standards using zanthro in Stata 14.

63
Independent Variables

This analysis investigated the associations between LAZ and various household-level factors.

Child characteristics included the occurrence of a diarrheal episode in the preceding two

weeks, taking medication for parasites, and breastfeeding. Maternal characteristics included

maternal age, height, and education level. Household characteristics explored included

location of household (urban vs rural), source of household water (improved versus

unimproved), type of toilet facility (improved versus unimproved), whether the toilet facility was

shared, the number of household members, and the number of household members under

the age of five. Data collected on source of household water was categorized in accordance

with the WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Program (JMP) classification. ‘Improved’ water

sources include piped water, boreholes, and protected springs and wells (1). Other water

sources, which included unprotected wells, unprotected springs, natural water sources, rain

water, cart with a small tank were categorized as ‘unimproved’ (1). Data collected on type of

toilet facility in the household was also categorized in accordance with the WHO/UNICEF JMP

classification. ‘Improved’ toilet facilities include a connection to a sewer system, septic tanks,

pour-flush toilets, ventilated pit latrines and pit latrines with a slab. Other toilet facilities are

categorized as ‘unimproved’ (1).

6.2.3 Data Analysis

The first stage of the analysis involved generating descriptive characteristics for the children

included in the analysis, the mothers of these children, and their households. The exploratory

stage involved investigating the independent bivariate associations between LAZ and each

independent variable using simple linear regression. In addition, simple logistic regression

analysis was undertaken to explore the association between diarrhea and selected risk

factors. To examine whether the age of the child or the location of the household has an effect

on the factors associated with LAZ the exploratory analysis was also conducted on age-

stratified data (0-12 months, 13-24 months) and by location (rural vs urban). Statistical

significance was set at <0.05, while marginal significance was at P=0.2 or less. Factors

determined to be significantly associated with LAZ in the exploratory phase were then included

64
in multiple linear regression models. Several models were generated: 1) An overall model that

included all children; 2) Children 1-12 months of age; 3) Children 13-24 months of age; 4)

Rural children; 5) Urban Children. Stata version 14.0 was used for these analyses.

Visualization of the data was achieved using the kernel-weighted local polynomial smoothing

algorithm in Stata.

Finally, using a structural equation modelling (SEM) approach, a moderation and mediation

analysis was conducted. This analysis explored whether the effect of household risk factors

on LAZ was mediated by diarrhea or moderated by household factors such as maternal

education. Different moderation-mediation models were generated to explore the differences

according to the age of the child and the location of the household: 1) All participating children;

2) Children 1-12 months; 3) Children 13-24 months 4) Urban children 1-12 months; 5) Rural

children 13-24 months; 6) Urban children 1-12 months; 7) Rural children 13-24 months. Mplus

version 8.0 was used for this SEM analysis.

6.2.4 Ethics statement

The Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) received ethical approval in participating

countries, including Bangladesh. In addition, data collection procedures were approved

by ORC Macro’s institutional review board. As this was a secondary analysis of anonymized

data, additional ethical approval was not required.

6.3 Results

6.3.1 Descriptive Statistics and Bivariate Analysis

Child Characteristics

Descriptive statistics and exploratory analysis results are presented in Table 6.1. The mean

age of children included in the analysis was 12.66 months, with an even distribution of children

across the various age categories. The average LAZ score of included children was -1.23,

which can also be described that, on average, this sample of children is 1.23 standard

deviations shorter for their age than the WHO reference population of healthy breastfed

65
children. A total of 783 (29.74%) children were stunted, with a mean LAZ score of -2.83 among

those children. Consistent with what is described in the literature, LAZ was inversely

associated with age, with scores decreasing with increasing age. LAZ scores were also lower

in rural children (-1.30 ± 1.40) when compared to urban children (-1.10 ± 1.49). A total of 170

children (6.46%) were reported as having diarrhea while 428 (16.6%) children received

medication for intestinal parasites within the past 6 months. Both diarrhea and use of

medication for parasites were negatively associated with LAZ. When exploring by age group

and by location diarrhea was significantly associated with LAZ in older children (13-24 months)

and in children from rural household. Most children (95.33%) were being breastfed at the time

of the survey, with high rates reported even in the highest age category – 22-24 months

(88.43%); however, breastfeeding was not significantly associated with LAZ.

Maternal Characteristics

Descriptive statistics and exploratory analysis results are presented in Table 6.2. Overall, the

mean of age of mothers in the analysis was 24.27 years, and their mean height was 152.35

cm. Maternal age was not associated with LAZ; however, increased maternal height was

found to be positively associated with child LAZ both overall and in the different groupings (by

age and location). A total of 362 (13.75%) women did not have any formal education, 719

(27.31%) had primary, 1254 (47.63%) had secondary, and 298 (11.32%) had higher

education. Overall, the relationship between maternal education and LAZ was positively

associated compared to no education. All education levels were positively associated with

LAZ in children 13-24 months of age and in children from rural households. As displayed in

Figure 6.2, children of mothers with the highest level of education also had the highest LAZ

scores across all age groups. LAZ differences become more evident after 6 months of age,

when the LAZ scores of children of mothers with no education are the lowest.

66
Household Characteristics

Descriptive statistics and exploratory analysis results are presented in Table 6.3. Most

participating households (68.06%) were located in rural areas. Most children lived in

households with an improved source of water (96.85%) and it was not found to be associated

with LAZ overall, but was significant in children 1-12 months and in children from rural

households. Unimproved toilet facilities (31.67%) were associated with lower LAZ scores

overall and in most of the groupings. Shared toilet facilities were also negatively associated

with LAZ. The number of children in the household and the total number of household

members did not have a statistically significant relationship with LAZ.

67
Table 6.1: DHS Children Characteristics
Variable Overall Age Categories Location
(N=2633) 1-12 Months (N = 1312) 13-24 Months (N= 1321) Rural (N = 1792) Urban (N = 841)
Estimate (SE) p-value Estimate (SE) p-value Estimate (SE) p-value Estimate p-value Estimate p-value
(SE) (SE)
Mean LAZ -1.23 ± 1.44 -0.77 ± 1.42 -0.110 <0.001 -1.71 ± 1.30 -0.063 <0.001 -1.30 ± 1.40 -0.08 <0.001 -1.10 ± 1.49 -0.07 <0.001
Sex
Female 1279 (48.48%) 0.07 (0.06) 0.240 635 (48.40%) 0.06 (0.08) 0.473 644 (48.75%) 0.08 (0.07) 0.251 874 (48.77) 0.05 (0.07) 0.437 405 (48.16%) 0.10 (0.10) 0.334
Diarrhea 170 (6.46%) -0.35 (0.11) 0.002 82 (6.25%) -0.18 (0.16) 0.278 88 (6.67%) -0.49 (0.14) 0.001 113 (6.31) -0.38 (0.14) 0.005 57 (6.78%) -0.30 (0.20) 0.146
Medication for parasites 428 (16.26%) -0.40 (0.08) <0.001 45 (3.43%) -0.04 (0.04) 0.842 383 (29.02%) 0.07 (0.08) 0.403 276 (15.42) -0.42 (0.09) <0.001 152 (18.12%) -0.39 (0.13) 0.003
Currently breastfeeding 2510 (95.33%) 0.14 (0.13) 0.289 1280 (97.56%) 0.19 (0.25) 0.446 1230 (93.11%) -0.20 (0.14) 0.152 1714 (95.65) 0.12 (0.16) 0.450 796 (94.65%) 0.20 (0.22) 0.384

Table 6.2: DHS Mother Characteristics


Variable Overall Age Categories Location
(N=2633) 1-12 Months (N = 1312) 13-24 Months (N= 1321) Rural (N = 1792) Urban (N = 841)
Estimate (SE) p-value Estimate (SE) p-value Estimate p-value Estimate (SE) p-value Estimate p
(SE) (SE)
Mean age (months) 24.27 ± 5.58 0.002 (0.005) 0.733 23.78 ± 5.56 0.02 (0.01) 0.014 24.76 ± 5.56 0.001 (0.01) 0.856 24.31 ± 5.61 0.002 (0.001) 0.696 24.19 ± 5.53 0.001 (0.01) 0.921
Mean height (cm) 152.35 ± 33.52 0.003 (0.001) <0.001 153.47 ± 47.14 0.002(0.0008) 0.012 151.23 ± 5.36 0.07 (0.01) <0.001 152.84 ± 40.47 0.003 (0.001) <0.001 151.30 ± 5.12 0.06 (0.01) <0.001
Maternal Education
No education 362 (13.75%) ref 181 (13.80%) ref 181 (13.70%) ref 270 (15.07%) ref 92 (10.94%) ref
Primary 719 (27.31%) 0.18 (0.09) 0.055 353 (26.91%) 0.10 (0.13) 0.421 366 (27.71%) 0.27 (0.11) 0.020 536 (29.91%) 0.32 (0.10) 0.002 183 (21.76%) -0.24 (0.19) 0.202
Secondary 1254 (47.63%) 0.42 (0.08) <0.001 625 (47.64%) 0.21 (0.12) 0.082 629 (47.62%) 0.63 (0.11) <0.001 855 (47.71%) 0.50 (0.10) <0.001 399 (47.44%) 0.15 (0.17) 0.383
Higher 298 (11.32%) 0.88 (0.11) <0.001 153 (11.66%) 0.64 (0.15) <0.001 145 (10.98%) 1.10 (0.14) <0.001 131 (7.31%) 0.90 (0.15) <0.001 167 (19.86%) 0.61 (0.19) 0.001

Table 6.3: DHS Household Characteristics


Variable Overall Age Categories Location
(N=2633) 1-12 Months (N = 1312) 13-24 Months (N= 1321) Rural (N = 1792) Urban (N = 841)
Estimate p-value Estimate p-value Estimate p-value Estimate p-value Estimate p-value
(SE) (SE) (SE) (SE) (SE)
Water Source
Improved 2550 (96.85%) ref 1271 (96.88%) ref 1279 (96.82%) ref
Unimproved 83 (3.15%) -0.31 (0.16) 0.057 41 (3.12%) -0.52 (0.22) 0.020 42 (3.18%) -0.09 (0.20) 0.673 65 (3.63%) -0.40 (0.18) 0.028 18 (2.14%) 0.13 (0.36) 0.707
Toilet facility
Improved 1799 (68.33%) ref 887 (67.61%) ref 912 (69.04%) ref 1135 (63.3%) ref 664 (78.95%) ref
Unimproved 834 (31.67%) -0.27 (0.06) <0.001 425 (32.39%) -0.17 (0.08) 0.038 409 (30.96%) -0.40 (0.08) <0.001 657 (36.66%) -0.28 (0.07) <0.001 177 (21.05%) -0.14 (0.13) 0.268
Shared toilet facilities 893 (34.80%) -0.22 (0.06) <0.001 435 (34.14%) -020 (0.08 0.018 458 (35.45%) -0.22 (0.07) 0.004 555 (32.08%) -0.20 (0.07) 0.005 338 (40.43%) -0.31 (0.10) 0.004
Children under five 1.46 ±0.70 0.03 (0.04) 0.496 1.52 ±0.74 -0.01 (0.05) 0.890 1.41 ±0.65 -0.05 (0.05) 0.363 1.469±0.71 0.02 (0.05) 0.712 1.41 ±0.67 0.08 (0.08) 0.317
Household members 5.99 ±2.72 6.13 ±2.78 0.001 (0.01) 0.924 5.86 ±2.64 0.009 (0.01) 0.510 6.04 ±2.73 0.02 (0.01) 0.118 5.88 ±2.67 0.004 (0.02) 0.835
2-10 members 2472 (93.89%) ref 1223 (93.22%) 1249 (94.55%) 1674 (93.4%) 798 (94.89%)
11+ members 161 (6.11%) 0.01 (0.01) 0.196 89 (1.60%) 72 (5.45%) 118 (6.58%) 43 (5.11%)

68
6.3.2 Multiple Linear Regression Analysis

Variables identified as having a significant independent relationship with LAZ overall (0-24

months of age) were included in multiple linear regression models. To explore whether age

had an effect on the factors associated with linear growth, the children were then subdivided

into two groups: 0-12 months and 13-24 months. To explore the effect of location, separate

multiple linear regression models were generated for rural children and urban children.

All children

Results for all children are presented in Table 6.4. Occurrence of diarrhea in the past two

weeks (b=-0.33, p=0.003), rural location of the household (b=-0.12, p=0.035), shared toilet

facilities (b=-0.13, p=0.032), and the use of medication for parasites in the past six months

(b=-0.39, p=<0.001) were negatively associated with LAZ. While higher level maternal

education (Secondary b=0.32, p=<0.001; Higher b=0.72, p=<0.001) and increased maternal

height (b=-0.003, p=<0.001) were associated with improved LAZ. Unimproved toilet facilities

were not associated with LAZ (b=-0.10, p=0.110).

Table 6.4 Multiple Regression Model – All Children

Variable ß (95% CI) P value

No formal education
Primary education 0.12 (-0.06, 0.30) 0.203
Secondary education 0.32 (0.15, 0.49) <0.001
Higher education 0.72 (0.49, 0.94) <0.001

Maternal height 0.003 (0.001, 0.004) <0.001

No diarrhea
Diarrhea -0.33 (-0.56, -0.11) 0.003

No parasite meds
Parasite meds given -0.39 (-0.53, -0.23) <0.001

Improved toilet facility


Unimproved toilet facility -0.10 (-0.22, 0.02) 0.110

Urban location
Rural location -0.12 (-0.25, -0.009) 0.035

Not sharing toilet facility


Sharing toilet facility -0.13 (-0.25, -0.01) 0.032

69
Children 1-12 Months

Results are presented in Table 6.5. Maternal factors were important predictors for LAZ in

younger children. The highest level of maternal education, when compared to the reference

group of no education, was associated with increased LAZ (b=0.54, p=0.001), as were

maternal age and height. Having an unimproved water source was marginally associated with

LAZ (b=-0.44, p=0.054). The type of toilet facility and whether it was shared did not have an

association with LAZ in this younger age group.

Table 6.5 Multiple Regression Model - Children 1-12 Months of Age

Variable ß (95% CI) P value


No formal education
Primary education 0.10 (-0.16, 0.36) 0.469
Secondary education 0.19 (-0.06, 0.44) 0.147
Higher education 0.54 (0.21, 0.86) 0.001

Maternal height 0.002 (0.0004, 0.003) 0.013

Maternal age 0.016 (0.002, 0.30) 0.023

Improved water source


Unimproved water source -0.44 (-0.90, -0.007) 0.054

Improved toilet facility


Unimproved toilet facility -0.03(-0.21, 0.36) 0.739

Urban location
Rural location -0.12 (-0.29, -0.04) 0.149

Not sharing toilet facility


Sharing toilet facility -0.13 (-0.29, -0.04) 0.141

Children 13-24 Months

Results are presented in Table 6.6. Diarrhea occurrence in the past two weeks (b=-0.46,

p=0.001) and unimproved toilet facility (b=-0.22, p=0.005) were negatively associated with

LAZ, while maternal education (Secondary b=0.41, p=<0.001; Higher b=0.70, p=<0.001) and

maternal height (b=0.06, p=<0.001) had a positive effect on LAZ.

70
Table 6.6 Multiple Regression Model - Children 13-24 Months of Age

Variable ß (95% CI) P value


No formal education
Primary education 0.15 (-0.08, 0.37) 0.199
Secondary education 0.41 (0.20, 0.62) <0.001
Higher education 0.70 (0.40, 0.98) <0.001

Maternal height 0.06 (0.04, 0.07) <0.001

No diarrhea
Diarrhea -0.46 (-0.72, -0.18) 0.001

Improved toilet facility


Unimproved toilet facility -0.22(-0.37, -0.37) 0.005

Urban location
Rural location -0.10 (-0.25, 0.046) 0.179

Not sharing toilet facility


Sharing toilet facility -0.10 (-0.25, -0.01) 0.171

Rural Children

Results are presented in Table 6.7. Diarrhea occurrence in the past two weeks (b=-0.34,

p=0.013) and the use of medication for parasites in the past 6 months (b=-0.37, p=<0.001)

were negatively associated with LAZ, while maternal education (Secondary b=0.40, p=<0.001;

Higher b=0.75, p=<0.001) had a positive effect on LAZ. Having an unimproved water source

and unimproved toilet facility was marginally negatively associated with LAZ (b=-0.34,

p=0.059)

Table 6.7 Multiple Regression Model - Rural Children

Rural
Variable ß (95% CI) P value
No formal education
Primary education 0.25 (0.04, 0.46) 0.019
Secondary education 0.40 (0.20, 0.60) <0.001
Higher education 0.75 (0.46, 1.06) <0.001

No diarrhea
Diarrhea -0.34 (-0.61, -0.07) 0.013

No parasite meds
Parasite meds given -0.37 (-0.55, -0.19) <0.001

Improved toilet facility


Unimproved toilet facility -0.13 (-0.27, 0.009) 0.066

Improved water source


Unimproved water source -0.34 (-0.69, 0.013) 0.059

Not sharing toilet facility


Sharing toilet facility -0.13 (-0.27, 0.008) 0.064

71
Urban Children

Results are presented in Table 6.8. The use of medication for parasites in the past 6 months

(b=-0.44, p=0.001) was negatively associated with LAZ, while higher maternal education

(b=0.58, p=0.004) had a positive association with LAZ.

Table 6.8 Multiple Regression Model - Urban Children

Urban
Variable ß (95% CI) P value
No formal education
Primary education -0.25 (-0.62, 0.12) 0.185
Secondary education 0.14 (-0.21, 0.48) 0.431
Higher education 0.58 (0.19, 0.97) 0.004

No diarrhea
Diarrhea -0.21 (-0.60, 0.19) 0.306

No parasite meds
Parasite meds given -0.44 (-0.70, -0.19) 0.001

Improved toilet facility


Unimproved toilet facility -0.02 (-0.27, 0.23) 0.874

Improved water source


Unimproved water source -0.22 (-0.47, 0.91) 0.531

Not sharing toilet facility


Sharing toilet facility -0.13 (-0.35, 0.08) 0.203

72
Figure 6.2 Summary of key overall characteristics and multiple regression analysis results

CHILDREN CHARACTERISTICS (OVERALL) HAZ Score by Child Age HAZ Score by Diarrhea

1
2633 CHILDREN INCLUDED IN ANALYSIS

-.5

0
DIARRHEA PARASITE
MEDS

HAZ
-1

HAZ
48.5%

-1
-1.5
FEMALE MEAN LAZ

-2
-1.23

-2
95.3%

-3
NO DIARRHEA NO MEDS
0 5 10 15 20 25
Age (Months) 0 5 10 15 20 25
Age (months)
DIARRHEA
BREASTFED MEDS TAKEN 95% CI lpoly smooth
kernel = epanechnikov, degree = 0, bandwidth = 1.98, pwidth = 2.96
No Diarrhea Diarrhea

HOUSEHOLD CHARACTERISTICS (OVERALL) URBANFACTORS


MULTIPLE REGRESSION ANALYSIS: ASSOCIATED
Demographic and Health Survey
LOCATION TOILET FACILITY SHARED TOILET

1-12 Months 13-24 Months

URBAN RURAL IMPROVED UNIMPROVED NOT SHARED SHARED MATERNAL MATERNAL MATERNAL

OVERALL
MATERNAL MATERNAL AGE TOILET FACILITY
EDUCATION HEIGHT EDUCATION
HEIGHT
HAZ by Location HAZ Scores by Toilet Facility HAZ scores by shared toilets
0

0
0

-.5

-.5
-.5

HAZ
-1

HAZ
HAZ

-1
-1

WATER SOURCE DIARRHEA


-1.5

MATERNAL
-1.5
-1.5

MATERNAL SHARING TOILET


HEIGHT EDUCATION FACILITY
-2

-2
-2

0 5 10 15 20 25 0 5 10 15 20 25 0 5 10 15 20 25
Age (months) Age (months) Age (months)

Urban Rural Improved Toilet Facility Unimproved Toilet Facility Not sharing toilet Shared toilet

HAZ by Maternal Education Level DIARRHEA PARASITE URBAN/RURAL

MATERNAL EDUCATION (OVERALL)


MEDICATION
RURAL URBAN
0
-.5-1

NO EDUCATION 13.75%
HAZ
-1.5

PRIMARY 27.31%
-2

MATERNAL DIARRHEA SHARING TOILET


MATERNAL SHARING TOILET
EDUCATION FACILITY
-2.5

47.63%
EDUCATION FACILITY
SECONDARY 0 5 10 15
Age (Months)
20 25

No Education Primary

HIGHER 11.32% Secondary Higher

73
6.3.3 Mediation Analysis

All Children

A mediation-moderation model of the association between the household factors on LAZ

directly or via diarrhea was generated for all participating children (Figure 6.3). Maternal

education (b=0.306, p=<0.001) and maternal height (b=0.003, p=<0.001) were positively

associated with LAZ, while diarrhea (b=-0.319, p=0.005) and the use of parasite medication

in the past six months (b=-0.377, p=<0.001) were negatively associated. Shared toilet facilities

were not significantly associated with LAZ or diarrhea but the relationship with LAZ was

significantly moderated by maternal education (b=-0.154, p=0.027). An unimproved water

source (b=1.266, p=0.027) was positively associated with diarrhea, but was not associated

with LAZ directly. When testing for indirect effects of the household factors, there no significant

effects identified.

Figure 6.3 Mediation Model – All Children

Diarrhea
-0.
3 19
(0.
0 05
4)
0.49 )
94 (
-0.0
Maternal
education
)
99 0.306
0.1 (0.000
6 3( )
Meds for 0.2
7)
parasites 02 -0.377 (0.000)
0.
6(
26
1.
Water 0.091 (0.757)
LAZ
source

)
0.003 (0.000
)
37

Maternal
5
(0.

height
26

.027)
1

(0
-0.154
-0.

Education
x toiletshr

74
Children 1-12 Months

A mediation-moderation model of the association between the household factors on LAZ

directly or via diarrhea was then generated for all children 1-12 months of age (Figure 6.4). As

in the overall model, maternal education (b=0.236, p=0.001) and maternal height (b=0.003,

p=0.021) were positively associated with LAZ. Diarrhea (b=-0.149, p=0.3955) was not

significantly associated with LAZ. Shared toilet facilities were not significantly associated with

LAZ (b=0.214, p=0.224); however, they were marginally significantly associated with diarrhea

(b=-1.105, p=0.050) and the relationship with LAZ was significantly moderated by maternal

education (b=-0.233, p=0.025). When testing for indirect effects of the household factors, there

were no significant effects identified through diarrhea.

1
Figure 6.4 Mediation Model – Children 1-12 Months

Diarrhea
-0.
1 49
(0.
3 95
)

)
.2 37
5 8(0
2
Maternal -0.
0) 0.236(0.001)
education 05
0.
0 5(
.1
-1
Shared 0.214 (0.224)
LAZ
toilet

)
0.003 (0.021
)

Maternal
.0 67

height
(0
02

.025)
-0.233 (0
0.6

Education
x toiletshr

Urban Children 1-12 Months

In the mediation-moderation model for children 13-24 months of age living in rural households

(Figure 6.5) maternal education (b=0.352, p=0.004) and height (b=0.058, p=<0.001) were the

only factors significantly associated with LAZ. As with the rural model, there were no significant

indirect effects.

Figure 6.5 Mediation Model – Urban Children 1-12 Months

75
1-

Diarrhea
0.4
34
(0.
1 83
)

)
59
0.2
2 0(
4
Maternal -0.
education 0.352(0.004)

Maternal 0.058 (0.000) LAZ


height

Rural Children 1-12 Months

A mediation-moderation model was generated for children 1-12 months of age living in rural

households (Figure 6.6). Maternal height (b=0.002, p=0.045) was the only factor significantly

associated with LAZ. There were no significant indirect effects.

Figure 6.6 Mediation Model – Rural Children 1-12 Months

Diarrhea
-0.
3 72
(0.
3 06
8)

0.002 (0.045)
Maternal
LAZ
height

All Children 13-24 Months

In a mediation-moderation model for all participating children ages 13-24 months (Figure 6.7),

maternal education (b=0.343, p=<0.001) and maternal height (b=0.004, p=<0.001) were

positively associated with LAZ, while diarrhea (b=-0.459, p=0.001) was negatively associated.

An unimproved water source (b=1.803, p=0.022) was positively associated with diarrhea, but

76
was not associated with LAZ directly. Shared toilet facilities were not significantly associated

with LAZ (b=-0.017, p=0.905); however, they were significantly associated with diarrhea

(b=0.979, p=0.024). This relationship was significantly moderated by maternal education (b=-

0.677, p=0.014). There were no significant indirect effects.


>12 a

Figure 6.7 Mediation Model – Children 13-24 Months

Diarrhea
-0.
4 59
(0.
5) 0 01
0.70 )
70 (
-0.0
Maternal
education
)
24 0.343
0.0 (0.000
7 9( )
Shared 0.9
)
toilet .0 22 -0.017 (0.905)
(0
03
1.8
Water 0.432 (0.210)
LAZ
source

)
0.004 (0.000
)
14

Maternal
.0

height
(0
77

.392)
-0.072 (0
.6
-0

Education
x toiletshr

Urban Children 13-24 Months

In a mediation-moderation model for all urban children ages 13-24 months (Figure 6.8),

maternal education (b=0.414, p=<0.001) and maternal height (b=0.057, p=<0.001) were

positively associated with LAZ, while diarrhea (b=-0.465, p=0.038) was negatively associated.

Shared toilet facilities were not significantly associated with LAZ or diarrhea; however, the

effect on diarrhea was significantly moderated by maternal education (b=-0.378, p=0.031).

There were no significant indirect effects.

77
>
Figure 6.8 Mediation Model – Urban Children 13-24 Months

Diarrhea
-0.
4 65
(0.
0
85) 38
0 (0.6 )
0.13
Maternal
education
0.414
(0.000
)

Maternal
0.057 (0.000)
height
)
45

LAZ
.2
(0
36
.5

)
-0.378 (0.031
-0

Education
x toiletfac

Rural Children 13-24 Months

In a mediation-moderation model for all rural children ages 13-24 months (Figure 6.9),

maternal education (b=0.222, p=0.001) and maternal height (b=0.003, p=0.001) were

positively associated with LAZ, while diarrhea (b=-0.474, p=0.004) and an unimproved toilet

facility (b=-0.362, p=0.023) were negatively associated. Shared toilet facilities were not

significantly associated with LAZ or diarrhea; however, the effect on diarrhea was significantly

moderated by maternal education (b=-0.873, p=0.024). Unimproved water source (b=2.278,

p=0.003) was positively associated with diarrhea, but was not associated with LAZ directly;

however, a significant indirect effect on LAZ via diarrhea was identified. In addition, the effect

was moderated by maternal education (Figure 5.8).

78
Figure 6.9 Mediation Model – Rural Children 13-24 Months

>1
Maternal
education

f2
Diarrhea
f1 -0.
4 74
8) (0.
Water 2.27 8 (0.00 0 04
)
source Maternal
education

e1
)
9 94 0.407
(0. (0.27
02 2 ) g1
0.0 g2
Maternal
education 5) 0.222 (0.001
12 )
0.
5 1(
.8
-0
Toilet -0.362 (0.023)
facility LAZ

)
0.003 (0.001
24

Maternal
.0

height
(0
73
.8
-0

.569)
Education 0.059 (0
x toiletshr

f1 * e1 = -1.080 (0.050)
e1 * (f1 + f2) = -0.341 (0.321)
f1 * (e1 + g2) = -1.864 (0.051)

79
Table 6.9 Mediation Model Results

0-12 13-24

Overall All Rural Urban All Rural Urban


p- p- p- p- p- p- p-
Estimate S.E. value Estimate S.E value Estimate S.E. value Estimate S.E. value Estimate S.E. value Estimate S.E. value Estimate S.E. value

Diarrhea

Maternal education -0.094 0.138 0.494 -0.258 0.218 0.237 -0.157 0.284 0.581 -0.42 0.372 0.259 0.07 0.184 0.705 0.002 0.234 0.994 0.13 0.32 0.685

Type of toilet facility 0.072 0.329 0.828 0.56 0.514 0.275 0.77 0.624 0.218 0.083 1.088 0.939 -0.349 0.44 0.428 -0.851 0.555 0.125 1.068 0.756 0.158

Shared toilet 0.098 0.327 0.764 -1.105 0.563 0.050 1.016 0.759 0.181 -1.103 0.932 0.237 0.979 0.434 0.024 0.922 0.544 0.09 0.899 0.801 0.262

Maternal education x shared toilet -0.126 0.204 0.537 0.602 0.328 0.067 0.451 0.457 0.324 0.810 0.508 0.111 -0.677 0.275 0.014 -0.873 0.388 0.024 -0.434 0.427 0.309

Breastfeeding -0.39 0.331 0.238 9.092 64.159 0.887 8.09 45.612 0.859 8.03 72.863 0.912 -0.674 0.346 0.052 -0.798 0.438 0.068 -0.592 0.575 0.303

Parasite medication 0.263 0.205 0.199 0.66 0.637 0.301 0.90 0.66 0.173 -7.702 85.056 0.928 0.168 0.234 0.471 0.366 0.298 0.22 -0.134 0.385 0.727

Maternal education x toilet type 0.037 0.207 0.859 -0.084 0.314 0.789 -0.08 0.377 0.832 -0.303 0.726 0.676 0.173 0.275 0.53 0.487 0.356 0.172 -0.536 0.461 0.245

Water source 1.266 0.574 0.027 0.768 0.867 0.376 0.927 1.073 0.387 0.512 1.689 0.762 1.803 0.786 0.022 2.278 0.852 0.008 -7.785 44.57 0.861

Maternal education x water source -0.579 0.43 0.178 0.123 0.54 0.819 0.064 0.678 0.925 0.068 1.045 0.948 -1.48 0.807 0.067 -1.559 0.822 0.058 0.331 NA NA

LAZ

Diarrhea -0.319 0.113 0.005 -0.149 0.175 0.395 -0.372 0.204 0.068 0.434 0.326 0.183 -0.459 0.133 0.001 -0.474 0.164 0.004 -0.465 0.224 0.038

Maternal education 0.306 0.047 0.000 0.236 0.069 0.001 0.111 0.086 0.195 0.352 0.123 0.004 0.343 0.057 0.00 0.222 0.068 0.001 0.414 0.109 0.00

Type of toilet facility -0.038 0.12 0.749 0.031 0.181 0.866 -0.233 0.212 0.273 0.577 0.351 0.10 -0.155 0.143 0.277 -0.362 0.159 0.023 0.35 0.33 0.288

Shared toilet 0.105 0.119 0.376 0.214 0.176 0.224 0.046 0.223 0.836 0.559 0.314 0.075 -0.017 0.143 0.905 -0.15 0.165 0.365 0.125 0.294 0.669

Maternal education x shared toilet -0.154 0.07 0.027 -0.233 0.104 0.025 -0.186 0.135 0.169 -0.314 0.171 0.066 -0.072 0.094 0.392 0.059 0.104 0.569 -0.212 0.151 0.162
-
Breastfeeding 0.121 0.929 0.353 0.34 0.267 0.202 0.294 0.323 0.362 0.363 0.459 0.428 -0.146 0.134 0.275 -0.195 1.199 0.23 -0.174 0.228 0.447

Parasite medication -0.377 0.074 0.000 0.261 0.269 0.332 0.334 0.304 0.273 0.17 0.543 0.754 0.048 0.074 0.514 0.045 0.089 0.61 0.015 0.131 0.907

Maternal education x toilet type -0.046 0.074 0.525 -0.003 0.111 0.982 0.135 0.131 0.304 -0.216 0.216 0.318 -0.042 0.086 0.623 0.127 0.101 0.207 -0.378 0.175 0.031

Maternal height 0.003 0.001 0.000 0.003 0.001 0.021 0.002 0.001 0.045 0.058 0.015 0.00 0.004 0.001 0.00 0.003 0.001 0.001 0.057 0.012 0.00

Water source 0.091 0.294 0.757 -0.239 0.451 0.596 -0.552 0.604 0.360 -0.163 0.695 0.815 0.432 0.345 0.21 0.407 0.371 0.272 0.001 0.867 0.999

Maternal education x water source -0.215 0.176 0.223 -0.042 0.265 0.875 0.053 0.358 0.881 -0.003 0.395 0.995 -0.352 0.211 0.095 -0.344 0.20 0.117 -0.013 0.664 0.985

80
6.4 Discussion

This study used another nationally representative survey to explore the household predictors

of linear growth in children 0-24 months of age in Bangladesh and determine whether they

were modified by the age of the children and the location of the household. Two different

statistical methodologies were applied. The multiple linear regression models identified the

different factors associated with LAZ by age groups and by location. The SEM analysis further

explored this heterogeneity with the added groupings by both age and location and exploring

whether the association between the factors and LAZ were mediated by diarrhea and

moderated by any other factors.

Consistent with the MICS analysis is the difference between characteristics of children from

rural versus urban locations. In children from urban households overall, mean LAZ score was

higher and the mothers had a higher level of education; however, WASH characteristics were

better in rural households. A higher proportion of households had improved toilet facilities and

water source, and few households shared toilet facilities. Also consistent is the finding that

more factors were associated with LAZ in children older than 12 months. A unique finding

was that an episode of diarrhea in the preceding two weeks and the use of medication for

parasites in the last six months were significantly and negatively associated with LAZ overall.

Diarrhea was associated with LAZ in children 13 months or older, both in urban and rural

households; however, it wasn’t significant in younger children. Again, this could be due to the

increased mobility of older children and thus greater exposure to enteric pathogens in their

environment. Children in this age group may be more exposed to pathogen reservoirs, such

as unimproved toilet facilities through increased mobility or use.

Unimproved water sources were positively associated with diarrhea overall and in children 13

months and older in both rural and urban settings. The household water source may be a

pathogen reservoir responsible for causing diarrheal infection. It may not have been

associated in younger children due to a more limited exposure to water in the first year of life,

with older children expected to be consuming water and thus being exposed to enteric

pathogens.

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Given the relationship between diarrheal infection and linear growth, the mediation-

moderation analysis examined the relationships between the household factor and LAZ and

whether they were mediated by a diarrheal episode in the preceding two weeks. Water source

had an indirect effect on LAZ through diarrhea although it did not have a direct effect. This

suggests that household water may be an important pathogen reservoir involved in diarrheal

infection and thus affecting child growth.

Overall, several maternal factors, such as higher maternal education and increased height

were positively associated with LAZ. Maternal education has been identified as an important

risk factor for child growth (2). An analysis of DHS data across 56 countries found that the

positive association between maternal education and child LAZ increases with age, thus there

being a potential cumulative impact of education on child growth (3). Education was

associated with LAZ in several of the mediation models and moderated the indirect effect of

toilet sharing on LAZ. Maternal height has also been found to be associated with child LAZ,

with children of tall mothers being having higher stature (3). In this analysis it was found to be

associated with LAZ in all of the models.

Several limitations need to be considered in the interpretation of these results. As with the

MICS analysis, a major limitation of this analysis is the cross-sectional nature of the data,

which prevents causal inferences from being made. While growth faltering in children cannot

be properly identified, we can determine the differences that exist across age groups and

geographic locations and identify the potential predictors of linear growth faltering. Again, the

lack of pathogen data did not allow us to explore the relationship between enteric infection

and linear growth. The diarrhea variable was used as a proxy for enteric infection; however,

this variable is limited in that it only represents diarrheal episodes occurring in the preceding

two weeks of the survey. While the sample size of the dataset is not as large as the MICS

dataset, it was large enough to allow the exploration of heterogeneity by sub-groups.

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6.5 Conclusion

The results of these analyses further emphasize the need to consider the age of children and

location of the households in the development of public health programs. Using data from the

DHS survey conducted in Bangladesh, there was a consistency in the findings that household

characteristics differ between rural and urban settings and thus different factors may be further

contributing to growth faltering in children. Children of different ages are impacted by their

environment differently due to changing mobility and dietary intake that comes with age.

Diarrheal infection may be part of the pathway of the association between household factors

and growth, with water source indirectly affecting linear growth through diarrhea, thus

suggesting that enteric infection may have an important role in growth impairment. Maternal

education is an important factor across age groups and geographic location, further

suggesting the importance of education in preventing growth faltering in children. Public health

interventions aimed at addressing household characteristics as a way to promote healthy

linear growth in children should consider the heterogeneity identified in these analyses and

develop tailored interventions instead of a ‘one size fits all’ approach. Further analyses

integrating pathogen data could help identify the contributing role of enteric infection in the

linear growth.

REFERENCES

1. Brown J, Cairncross S, Ensink JHJ. Water, sanitation, hygiene and enteric infections

in children. Arch Dis Child. 2013;98(8):629–34.

2. Abuya BA, Ciera J, Kimani-Murage E. Effect of mother’s education on child’s

nutritional status in the slums of Nairobi. BMC Pediatr [Internet]. 2012;12(1):1.

Available from: BMC Pediatrics

3. Rieger M, Trommlerová SK. Age-Specific Correlates of Child Growth. Demography.

2016;53(1):241–67.

83
RESEARCH AIM #2

CHAPTER 7 MAL-ED Analysis Methods and Exploratory Analysis Results


CHAPTER 8 MAL-ED Campylobacter Results
CHAPTER 9 MAL-ED Other Pathogen Results

The MICS and DHS analyses presented the important factors associated with linear growth

and how they differ by age and location. While understanding this heterogeneity provides

important information for addressing growth impairment, the absence of pathogen data does

not allow for the role of infection to be examined. Building upon the information generated

from the first research aim, the MAL-ED analyses explored the factors identified as important

for growth with the addition of enteropathogen data, using a longitudinal dataset. Conducting

an analysis using a longitudinal dataset provides a basis for inferring causality between risk

factors, enteric infections and linear growth, which is not possible in cross-sectional studies.

It also allows the opportunity to explore the importance of asymptomatic infection. This

analysis applies a latent growth curve-modelling framework (LGCM), an advanced statistical

method, to MAL-ED data in an effort to address the second research aim. LGCM has had

limited application in epidemiological research and provides a unique approach to examining

the relationships between household risk factors, infection, and growth.

The subsequent chapters present the results of the LGCM analysis. Chapter 7 presents

methods of the LGCM analysis and the results of the exploratory analysis, which examined

the bivariate relationships between the selected household-level predictors, growth, and

infection. The selection of predictors for inclusion in the exploratory analysis were guided by

the results of the first research aim of the project. Chapter 8 is a manuscript submitted for

publication which presents the results of the Campylobacter pathogen latent growth curve

model. Chapter 9 presents the other pathogen-specific latent growth curve models.

84
CHAPTER 7 MAL-ED ANALYSIS METHODS AND
EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS RESULTS

7.1 Introduction

The ‘Etiology, Risk Factors, Interactions of Enteric Infections and Malnutrition, and the

Consequences for Child Health and Development Study’ (MAL-ED study) was an international

multi-centre longitudinal research project that examined the effect of enteric infection and a

variety of risk factors on child growth up from birth to 24 months of age. A total of 8 sites across

South Asia, Sub-Saharan Africa, and South America participated in the study (1).

The study involved extensive collection of child health data, including diarrheal and non-

diarrheal stool samples. Samples were screened for a wide variety of enteric pathogens to

estimate the pathogen-specific burden of diarrhea in participating children. The extensive

longitudinal MAL-ED dataset provides a comprehensive understanding of the cause of

enteropathogen infections and the impact on early childhood growth.

As previously described, using the data collected from the children participating in the Dhaka,

Bangladesh MAL-ED site, advanced longitudinal statistical methods were used to address the

second aim of this thesis: To investigate the association between enteropathogen infections

and household-level predictors and linear growth in children in urban Bangladesh. This data

will allow the determination of enteropathogens associations with linear growth; the age

intervals where a specific enteropathogen infection had a negative effect on linear growth and;

the indirect and direct effects of household-level factors on enteropathogen infection and linear

growth

7.2 Methods

7.2.1 Study Sample and Site

The data of 265 children enrolled in the Dhaka, Bangladesh MAL-ED study site were included

in the analyses. Newborn children (within 17 days of birth) were enrolled between 2009 and

2012 from the urban community of Mirpur (Figure 7.1, Figure 7.2), one of the 21 administrative
85
units of Dhaka. Inclusion criteria included: a birthweight or enrolment weight of greater than

1500g, a mother aged at least 16 years, and no other siblings enrolled (2). Further

methodological details are described in Chapter 8.

7.2.2 Study Data

The results of the MICS and DHS analysis in research aim #1 provided guidance in the

selection of factors to include in this exploratory analysis. Relevant data includes household

characteristics, child health status, maternal characteristics, pathogens isolated from collected

stool samples, and child anthropometry (Table 7.1). Stool samples were collected from

children every month for the first 12 months of age, and every 3 months between 12 and 24

months of age. Stool samples were also collected during diarrheal episodes. Care-givers were

interviewed every 6 months about WASH characteristics, such as water source, treatment of

drinking water, toilet facility type, whether toilets were shared, and handwashing behaviours.

Data was also collected on household assets, including the presence of a refrigerator and

animal ownership. Care-giver data included years of education, age, and anthropometric

measures, including height.

Table 7.1 Data Collection Timeline for the MAL-ED Study (3)

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Figure 7.1 Mirpur, Dhaka, Bangladesh (2)

Figure 7.2 Mirpur community (Photo taken February 7, 2018)

87
7.2.3 Exploratory Analysis

An exploratory analysis was undertaken to determine the variables to be included in the

latent growth curve models. Pathogens were individually examined for a significant or

marginal independent relationship with LAZ, while household factors were also examine for

an association with LAZ and pathogen infection. Statistical significance was set at <0.05,

while marginal significance was set at <0.2. Given their relationship with enteric infection,

duration of antibiotic use in children and duration of exclusive breastfeeding were included in

the latent growth curve models and not included in the exploratory analysis.

Exploratory analysis of pathogen data

Linear regression was first used to explore the relationship between the most prevalent

pathogens identified at the Bangladesh MAL-ED site and LAZ. Data was analysed at 3-month

intervals (0, 3, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24) to maintain consistent spacing between data collection

points and to examine changing growth rates, A total of nine pathogens were included in the

exploratory analysis: Ascaris lumbricoides, Astrovirus, Campylobacter species,

Cryptosporidium, Enteroaggregative Escherichia coli (EAEC), Enteropathogenic Escherichia

coli (EPEC), Enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli (ETEC), Giardia lamblia, and Rotavirus.

Bivariate analysis household-level factors

The independent associations between household-level factors at baseline and LAZ were also

explored. These included the WASH factors previously described. A dichotomous water

treatment variable was constructed, with improved versus unimproved treatment methods.

We only considered water treatment methods that eliminate pathogens as appropriate or

improved, such as boiling, filtering, bleaching and chlorination. Letting water stand and settle,

and cloth straining were considered inadequate or unimproved methods. Water source was

not included in the analysis as all participating households had improved water sources, either

piped into dwelling or piped to yard/plot or pubic tap/standpipe (4). The presence of a

refrigerator was also included in the analysis, as well as ownership of an animal, which

included chickens, which have been identified as a pathogen reservoir, particularly for

88
Campylobacter (5). Child characteristics examined were the sex of the child and birth order,

which other studies have found to be associated with child growth (6). Maternal factors

included in the analysis were maternal education included as total years of formal education,

height (cm) and age (at child’s birth), which were all continuous variables.

Using logistic regression, we also explored the association between these household factors

and positive Campylobacter infection across all 3-month intervals. All exploratory bivariate

analyses were undertaken using Stata, version 14.0.

7.2.4 Latent Growth Curve Analysis

Latent growth curve modelling (LGCM), a form of longitudinal analysis that uses the structural

equation modelling (SEM) framework, allows for the modelling of change in an outcome

variable and identify the factors that predict the trajectory of change, as well as have time-

specific effects. This modelling framework was used to estimate children’s growth trajectory.

Change in the outcome variable, LAZ, is modelled through the estimation of a latent variable

for the interception, or the baseline/starting LAZ, and a latent variable for the slope, or the

trajectory of change of LAZ. These are estimated using the observed repeated measure of

LAZ as indicators of the latent variable.

Time invariant covariates can be included in the model as predictors of the intercept and the

trajectory of change. In this model, these were the covariates not expected to change within

the 24 months of participation of the children, which includes the maternal, household, and

WASH characteristics. Covariates found to have an independent association with LAZ in the

exploratory analysis were included in the latent growth curve model.

To explore the changes at the individual and population level, we added enteric infection as a

time-varying covariate, as infection was expected to vary across time intervals. Separate

models were developed for the enteropathogens associated with LAZ, which included each

enteric infection as a dichotomous variable. As we expect it would take a while for enteric

89
infection to have an effect on growth, we lagged these effects by a 3- and 6-month lag. The

lagged effects of enteric infection were tested by regressing infection at a preceding time

interval with LAZ at a subsequent interval. The mediation model was then developed to test

whether the pathogen reservoirs have a direct effect on the latent growth variable for childhood

growth or was mediated by the lagged latent growth variable for enteric infections. (Note:

Pathogen-specific models described in later chapters further describe the methodology

of the latent growth curve models.) Mplus software was used for this analysis.

7.3 Exploratory Analysis Results

Enteropathogens

Six enteric pathogens were found to be significantly or marginally significantly associated with

LAZ in the Bangladesh study site (Table 7.3). These were: Campylobacter species,

Cryptosporidium, Astrovirus, EPEC, Giardia lamblia, and Ascaris lumbricoides.

Campylobacter species was the most prevalent, with prevalence increasing with age, from

18% children having positive stool samples at 3 months of age to 69% children at 24 months

of age (Table 7.2).

Table 7.2 Prevalence of enteropathogens across age groups


Pathogen 1 month* 3 months 6 months 9 months 12 months 15 months 18 months 21 months 24 months
N (%) N (%) N (%) N (%) N (%) N (%) N (%) N (%) N (%)

Campylobacter 20 (8.00) 41 (17.75) 41 (17.75) 106 (49.30) 124 (61.39) 120 (59.11) 145 (73.23) 142 (72.08) 133 (68.91)

Cryptosporidium 16 (6.40) 2 (0.87) 3 (1.38) 5 (2.33) 7(3.47) 4 (1.97) 10 (5.05) 9 (4.47) 4 (2.07)

Astrovirus 6 (2.40) 4 (1.73) 10 (4.61) 7 (3.26) 6 (2.97) 2 (0.99) 7 (3.54) 7 (3.55) 11 (5.70)

EPEC 2 (0.8) 3 (1.30) 15 (6.91) 28 (13.02) 17 (8.42) 14 (6.90) 8 (4.04) 5 (2.54) 4 (2.07)

Giardia 0 1 (0.43) 1 (0.46) 6 (2.79) 13 (6.44) 16 (7.88) 28 (14.14) 28 (14.21) 29 (15.03)

Ascaris 0 0 1 (0.46) 3 (1.40) 5 (2.48) 11 (5.42) 18 (9.09) 14 (7.11) 15 (7.77)

*Pathogen data not available at time interval 0 (enrolment)

90
Figure 7.3 Enteropathogen prevalence graph

Household-level Factors

All 265 children enrolled at the Bangladesh study site were included in the exploratory bivariate

analysis. The characteristics of participating children are presented in Chapter 8. An inverse

association was found between increasing age and LAZ, with LAZ decreasing with increasing

child age, which was also described in the MICS and DHS analyses as well as other research

(7). Visualization of the data also suggested this decline in LAZ over the study period.

Maternal height and education were found to be significantly and positively associated with

LAZ.

Data for other household characteristics were available for 242 children. WASH factors found

to be positively associated with LAZ were treatment of drinking water, improved toilet facility,

and not sharing a toilet. The presence of a refrigerator was found to be statistically and

positively associated with LAZ. Birth order was found to be marginally significant (p=>0.05),

while no significant association was identified for handwashing behaviours, or owning an

animal.

91
A logistic regression analysis identified the household and maternal factors associated with

the various enteropathogen infections (Table 7.3). All factors had a significant or marginally

significant independent relationship with Campylobacter infection.

Table 7.3 Summary of Exploratory Bivariate Analysis Results

REFERENCES

1. Platts-Mills JA, Babji S, Bodhidatta L, Gratz J, Haque R, Havt A, et al. Pathogen-

specific burdens of community diarrhoea in developing countries: A multisite birth

cohort study (MAL-ED). Lancet Glob Heal. 2015;

2. Ahmed T, Mahfuz M, Islam M, Mondal D, Hossain I, Ahmed AMS, et al. The MAL-ED

Cohort Study in Mirpur , Bangladesh. 2014;59(Suppl 4):280–6.

3. Mal-ed Network Investigators. The MAL-ED Study : A Multinational and

Multidisciplinary Approach to Understand the Relationship Between Enteric

Pathogens , Malnutrition , Gut Physiology , Physical Growth , Cognitive Development

, and Immune Responses in Infants and Children Up to 2 Yea. 2014;59(Suppl 4):193–

206.

4. World Health Organization. Progress on Drinking Water, Sanitation and Hygiene.

Geneva, Switzerland; 2017.

5. Amour C, Gratz J, Mduma E, Svensen E, Rogawski ET, Mcgrath M, et al.

Epidemiology and Impact of Campylobacter Infection in Children in 8 Low-Resource

92
Settings : Results From the MAL-ED Study. 2016;63:1171–9.

6. Wells JCK, Hallal PC, Reichert FF, Dumith SC, Menezes AM, Victora CG.

Associations of birth order with early growth and adolescent height, body composition,

and blood pressure: Prospective birth cohort from Brazil. Am J Epidemiol.

2011;174(9):1028–35.

7. Rieger M, Trommlerová SK. Age-Specific Correlates of Child Growth. Demography.

2016;53(1):241–67.

93
CHAPTER 8 CAMPYLOBACTER ANALYSIS RESULTS
6\8
Campylobacter infection and household factors are associated with
childhood growth in urban Bangladesh: An analysis of the MAL-ED
study

J.Johanna Sanchez, Md. Ashraful Alam, Christopher B. Stride, Md. Ahshanul Haque,

Subhasish Das, Mustafa Mahfuz2, Daniel E. Roth5, Peter D. Sly1, Kurt Z. Long1,3*, and

Tahmeed Ahmed

Abstract

Background

The dual burden of enteric infection and childhood malnutrition continues to be a global health

concern and a leading cause of morbidity and death among children. Campylobacter infection,

in particular, is highly prevalent in low- and middle-income countries, including Bangladesh.

We examined longitudinal data to evaluate the trajectories of change in child growth, and to

identify associations with Campylobacter infection and household factors.

Methodology/Principal Findings

The study analysed data from 265 children participating in the MAL-ED Study in Mirpur,

Bangladesh. We applied latent growth curve modelling to evaluate the trajectories of change

in children’s height, as measured by length-for-age z-score (LAZ), from age 0-24 months.

Asymptomatic and symptomatic Campylobacter infections were included as 3- and 6-month

lagged time-varying covariates, while household risk factors were included as time-invariant

covariates. Maternal height and birth order were positively associated with LAZ at birth. An

inverse association was found between increasing age and LAZ. Campylobacter infection

prevalence increased with age, with over 70% of children 18-24 months of age testing positive

for infection. In the final model, Campylobacter infection in the preceding 3-month interval was

negatively associated with LAZ at 12, 15, and 18 months of age; similarly, infection in the

preceding 6-month interval was negatively associated with LAZ at 15, 18, and 21 months of

age. Duration of antibiotic use and access to treated drinking water were negatively associated

94
with Campylobacter infection, with the strength of the latter effect increasing with children’s

age.

Conclusion

Campylobacter infection had a significant negative effect on child’s growth and this effect was

most powerful between 12 and 21 months. The treatment of drinking water and increased

antibiotic use have a positive indirect effect on linear child growth trajectory, acting via their

association with Campylobacter infection.

Introduction

Growth impairment in children continues to be a major global health concern, particularly in

low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Linear growth in early childhood is an important

indicator of nutritional status and is associated with both short- and long-term negative

consequences, such as mortality, chronic disease, neurodevelopmental outcomes, and poor

economic performance in adulthood (1–4). Linear growth impairment, expressed as low

height/length for age is partly a consequence of fetal growth restriction, preterm birth, and

intergenerational effects. It is also the result of low socioeconomic status which leads to

inadequate dietary intake and household sanitation, water quality and poor hygienic

conditions; all of which contribute to greater exposure of children to infections and clinical

disease (2,5–7). Enteric infection has been recognized as an important cause of child growth

impairment since enteric infection rates are negatively associated with child growth,

particularly in LMICs (8). This may be due to decreased nutrient absorption, inflammatory

responses, reduced appetite, changing feeding practices, and the high prevalence of frequent

episodes of infection in these settings (5,9–11).

The ‘Etiology, Risk Factors, Interactions of Enteric Infections and Malnutrition, and the

Consequences for Child Health and Development Study’ (MAL-ED) was a multi-centre

longitudinal research project designed to examine the effect of enteric infection and risk factors

on child growth. The study screened stools collected from both diarrheal episodes and non-

diarrheal stools for a wide variety of pathogens to estimate the pathogen-specific burden of
95
diarrhea in children 0-24 months of age. Campylobacter was identified as one of the most

prevalent enteric pathogens among children who participated in the study and was negatively

associated with growth attainment at 24 months of age (2,12). Asymptomatic infections in

MAL-ED study participants were negatively associated with linear growth, a finding consistent

with other studies that suggest that asymptomatic enteric infections may play a larger role in

growth faltering and malnutrition than has previously been appreciated (2,13,14). A cohort

study in Peru also identified a marginal association between both symptomatic and

asymptomatic Campylobacter infection and linear growth impairment in the 9 months following

infection (15,16). Asymptomatic Campylobacter infection is associated with prolonged

excretion in many cases and is said to be an opportunistic infection as it is more common

among children who are malnourished (17). In a recent MAL-ED analysis Rouhani et al

reported that Campylobacter infection was associated with disruptions in the gut microbiota,

which may explain the effects of asymptomatic infection on linear growth (18).

Bangladesh has one of the highest burden of growth impairment in the world despite declines

in recent decades (19). Dhaka, Bangladesh’s capital city, has become one of the world’s most

densely populated urban areas, and urbanization continues to increase (12). Urban

settlements disproportionately attract economically disadvantaged rural population, resulting

in crowded housing provision with poor environmental conditions (19). This presents a public

health challenge, as the households and their children are more vulnerable to disease.

Studying the factors associated with enteric infection and childhood linear growth in such an

urban context is crucial in addressing this public health problem.

Previous studies have explored the drivers of growth impairment in children; including

household-level factors such as water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH), child characteristics,

and maternal factors. However; few have linked these factors to both specific enteric pathogen

data and longitudinal growth trajectories. Latent growth curve modelling, a less commonly

used approach outside of the social sciences, allows the application of many predictors and

determines which exert important effects on the rate of change in growth, including both time-

96
varying and time-invariant predictors or covariates. In addition, this method allows the

opportunity to also explore the indirect effect of household factors on LAZ via infection. The

application of such a method could contribute additional detail to the growing body of

information on Campylobacter and growth.

Therefore, this analysis aims to investigate, for children in the Dhaka, Bangladesh MAL-ED

study site: 1) whether these household-level factors and Campylobacter infection are

associated with changes in LAZ across the first 24 months of life; 2) whether the effect of

Campylobacter infection on changes in LAZ is consistent across the first 24 months of a child’s

age or whether children are more susceptible to this effect at certain ages; and, 3) whether

the effects of household-level factors on LAZ operated directly, or operated indirectly via their

association with Campylobacter infection.

Methods

Study Sample

A total of 265 children were enrolled within 17 days of birth between 2010 and 2012 from the

Bauniabadh area of Mirpur, one of the 21 administrative units of Dhaka. Inclusion criteria

included a birthweight or enrolment weight of greater than 1500g, a mother aged at least 16

years, singletons, and no other siblings being enrolled. Children with congenital or severe

disease were excluded from the study (2,12,20).

Study Data Collection

Length and weight measures of children were taken every month following their enrollment,

using standard scales (Seca GmbH & Co. KG., Hamburg, Germany). LAZ scores (length-for-

age z-score), were then calculated by mapping the individual child length, standardized by

age and length/height, onto the WHO reference population distribution (21). Non-diarrheal

stool samples were collected from children every month for the first 12 months of age, and

every 3 months from children between 12 and 24 months of age. Diarrheal stool samples were

collected during a diarrheal episode or up to one day after. Diarrhea was defined as the

97
maternal report of three or more loose stools in 24 hours (12). Our analysis included the

enteropathogen data collected from the non-diarrheal stool samples. Laboratory analyses of

all stool samples were undertaken at a laboratory at icddr,b in Dhaka, Bangladesh, in

accordance with a standardized microbiology protocol. Campylobacter was identified using

Enzyme Linked Immunosorbent Assay (ELISA) ProSpecT kits, in accordance with

manufacturers procedures (12,22). The ELISA method was the preferred analysis method as

it was found to have higher sensitivity than culture (23). Campylobacter species was the most

prevalent enteropathogen in the MAL-ED Bangladesh site, with prevalence increasing with

age, from 18% children having positive stool samples at 3 months of age to 69% children at

24 months of age (Chapter 7, Table 7.2.

Household sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) characteristics were collected from caregiver

interviews at study baseline. These included water source, treatment of drinking water, toilet

facility type, whether toilets were shared, handwashing behaviours, and the presence of a

refrigerator. Maternal data, such as years of education, age, and anthropometric measures,

including height, were also collected at study baseline. Antibiotic duration was included in the

models as total duration of use throughout the 24 months. The breastfeeding variable was

dichotomized as exclusive breastfeeding yes/no in the first 3 months of life and in the first 6

months of life as none of the participating children were exclusively breastfed beyond the 6

months.

Statistical Analysis

Latent growth curve modelling (LGCM) was used to assess the overall shape of growth in

LAZ, variation in this pattern between the children studied, and antecedents of that variation.

LGCM, a form of longitudinal analysis that utilizes a structural equation modelling (SEM)

framework, models change in an outcome through estimating latent variables for the intercept

(starting point) and slope (trajectory) of change, using the observed values of the variable

across time as indicators of these underlying ‘true’ latent variables. Potential predictors of the

intercept and trajectory of change can then be included in the model, both as subject-level

98
predictors (i.e., time invariant constructs) and time-specific effects. (24)

Given the exploratory nature of part of our analyses - we did not have a clear hypothesis

regarding the shape of the change in LAZ and the temporal pattern of the relationship between

Campylobacter infection and LAZ - we split the data into random halves, generated through

the statistical software, with one half of the data used to build our model, and the other used

for testing the fit of the resulting model and the statistical significance of its parameters. This

was necessary to ensure robustness when evaluating our final model: a model built and then

tested on the same subjects would naturally be likely to achieve a higher level of fit than when

tested on any other random sample from the population to which we wish to generalize. The

longitudinal design of the study gained us the power required to conduct the analysis on halves

of the data.

Model building was initiated with the development of an ‘unconditional’ growth curve model,

which identified the trajectory of LAZ without the inclusion of any covariates. In this model LAZ

measurements at 3-month intervals (0, 3, 6, 9, 12, 15, 18, 21, 24 months) were used as

indicators of the intercept and slope latent variables, with the intercept mean describing the

population-average baseline LAZ, the (linear) slope mean representing the population

average rate of change of LAZ over time (per 3 month period), and intercept and slope

variances respectively describing how starting level and change in LAZ varied amongst our

subjects. To examine the improvement offered by a curvilinear model, an additional latent

variable representing quadratic change was added to the model. We used the model chi-

square statistics, Comparative Fit Index (CFI), Tucker-Lewis Index (TLI), Root Mean Square

Error Approximation (RMSEA) and the Standardized Root Mean Square Residual (SRMR)

Root to assess model fit (25). A CFI value of above 0.95, a TLI value above 0.95, an SRMR

value of below 0.08, and an RMSEA below 0.06 are all indicative of a good model fit (26).

Akaike Information Criterion (AIC) and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) were also used to

compare between models when assessing relative model fit.

Campylobacter infection, defined as a positive stool sample collected from children regardless
99
of clinical status, was then included as a time-varying covariate of LAZ. As such, our 3-monthly

observations of LAZ (as opposed to the latent variables representing intercept and slope for

change in LAZ) were regressed upon our dichotomous measurement of Campylobacter

presence/absence. Given that the effect of infection on linear growth is delayed by several

months, we lagged the effect of Campylobacter infection on LAZ by 3 and 6 month periods

(e.g. LAZ at 9 months was regressed upon Campylobacter infection at both 3 and 6 months;

LAZ at 12 months was regressed upon Campylobacter infection at 6 and 9 months, etc)

(13,27,28). We explored temporal variation in the effect of Campylobacter infection on LAZ by

first fitting a model in which the 3-month lag and 6-month lag effects were both free to vary

across all time points; having examined the pattern of coefficients from this model, we then

fitted a series of simpler models based on these patterns, with fixings in place to model the

effect of Campylobacter infection on LAZ being stronger/weaker at particular periods of the

child’s development.

Finally, the subject-level demographic, family, and household factors collected at study

baseline were considered as potential predictors of the latent variables for intercept, slope and

quadratic change (i.e., having a direct effect upon LAZ), and of Campylobacter infection at

each time point (therefore enabling an indirect effect on LAZ via Campylobacter infection).

Specific household factors considered were exposure to treated drinking water, type of toilet

facility, shared toilet facilities, and presence of a refrigerator; demographic factors were sex of

the child, birth order, and maternal education. While they were not included in the exploratory

analysis phase, a decision was made to include duration of antibiotic use and presence of

exclusive breastfeeding in the analysis as time-varying covariates in the model given their

importance in infection and growth (8). We examined whether the effects of these

demographic and household variables on Campylobacter infection were consistent across

time or showed variation by first fitting a model in which they were free to vary, and then

checking whether there was loss in model fit when applying temporal fixings to these

relationships: specifically, whether they were each constant across time, or whether they

would have an increasingly (or decreasingly) important effect on Campylobacter infection

100
throughout the 24 months. Again, models were compared using the fit indices listed above.

The model emerging from this building process was then tested on the other half of the data,

to obtain a robust evaluation of model fit and the statistical significance of model parameters.

Mplus version 8.0 software was used for all LGCM modelling (29). Models were estimated

using Monte Carlo integration.

Ethics Statement

The MAL-ED study was approved in Bangladesh by the icddr,b review committee. Informed

consent was obtained from the parent or guardian of every participating child in the study.

The project was granted an Exemption to Ethics Review at the University of Queensland, as

a secondary data analysis. An ethics application was also submitted to the regional ethics

board in Switzerland (Ethikkommission Nordwest- und Zentralschweiz” (EKNZ)), on behalf of

the Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, which granted a Declaration of No Objection.

Results

Characteristics of study participants included in the final model are show in Table 8.1.

Our exploratory (model building) analyses on one half of the data involved the development

of an unconditional model, which estimated the starting point and change in the outcome

variable LAZ without the inclusion of any covariates. The initial model included only the

intercept and slope as latent variables, with their means and variances freely estimated (AIC

= 1292.534, BIC = 1335.78, CFI = 0.918, TLI = 0.924, SRMR = 0.092, RMSEA = 0.162). To

investigate whether a curvilinear trajectory of LAZ offered a better fit to the data, a quadratic

term was added to the model, resulting in a substantial improvement in all model fit indices

(AIC = 1237.20, BIC = 1291.98, CFI = 0.95, TLI = 0.95, SRMR = 0.078, RMSEA = 0.128).

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Table 8.1 Characteristics of study participants in the final model

Child Characteristics (N=265) N %


Sex (female) 136 51.3

Birth order
1 108 40.8
2 94 35.5
3+ 63 23.77

Mean SD
Duration of antibiotic use (mean days) 109.6 56.7
Duration of exclusive breastfeeding (mean days) 98.64 57.4

Household Characteristics (N=242) N %


Drinking water source
Piped into dwelling 197 81.4
Piped to yard/plot, public tap/stand pipe 45 18.6
Households treating water 146 60.3
Improved toilet facility 184 76.0
Shared toilet facility 201 83.1
Presence of refrigerator 68 28.1
Maternal Characteristics (N=265) Mean SD
Maternal education (years) 4.54 3.2
Maternal height (cm) 148.9 5.2

We then explored temporal variation in the relationship between Campylobacter infection and

LAZ. A model in which these regression coefficients were free to differ across time suggested

that the effect was strongest for children over 12 months old but diminished as the children

approached 24 months of age. Therefore, we compared the free model to one in which the

effects on LAZ at 12, 15, 18, and 21 months were fixed to be equal. This was done separately

for the 3- and 6-month lag Campylobacter infection to LAZ paths to account for potential

difference in time length effect. We then separately fixed the effects on LAZ at 3, 6, 9 and 24

months to be equal. This latter model (i.e. the one with two sets of fixed equal paths (12-21

month and 3-9, 24 month) provided the best fit.

Finally, we explored the direct and indirect effect of household factors. The latent variables for

the intercept, slope and quadratic term, and Campylobacter infection at each time point were

regressed on child, maternal and household characteristics. Maternal age was not found to

improve the model and therefore completely removed. Paths from toilet facility, antibiotic use,

102
and exclusive breastfeeding to LAZ intercept, slope and quadratic terms, were likewise

removed. The relationships with Campylobacter infection were fixed across all intervals as per

exploratory results, instead of being allowed to vary freely. LAZ at each time point was

regressed on the time-lagged Campylobacter infection variables, again with the equality

restrictions across time suggested by our exploratory analysis in place.

We then tested our proposed final LGCM on the other half of the data. This model explained

69% of the variance in LAZ observed scores, through both the growth curve structure and the

time-varying covariates of Campylobacter infection and breast-feeding; likewise our subject

level predictors explained 17% of the variance in the intercept factor (i.e. initial level) of LAZ,

15% of the variance in the linear slope factor for change in LAZ, and 13% of the variance in

the quadratic slope factor for LAZ. The percentage of within-subject variance in LAZ uniquely

explained by Campylobacter was 7.1%. Model results are presented in Table 8.2 and Figure

8.1.

103
Table 8.2 Final LGCM results for LAZ change over time and association with Campylobacter

infection and household-level factors

Dependent variable Independent variable Unstandardized Standard error P-value


Path Estimate

Growth factors associations with household level risk factors

LAZ intercept Sex of child (1=male, 2=female) 0.144 0.195 0.459


Birth order (1,2,3+) 0.274 0.122 0.025
Maternal education (years) 0.011 0.037 0.772
Maternal height (cm) 0.041 0.01 0.037
Water treated (y/n) -0.007 0.203 0.973
Shared toilet (y/n) 0.044 0.275 0.872
Presence of refrigerator (y/n) 0.294 0.231 0.203
LAZ slope Sex of child (1=male, 2=female) 0.114 0.067 0.091
Birth order (1,2,3+) -0.052 0.042 0.215
Maternal education (years) 0.016 0.013 0.204
Maternal height (cm) 0.001 0.007 0.998
Water treated (y/n) 0.109 0.070 0.116
Shared toilet (y/n) -0.003 0.094 0.974
Presence of refrigerator (y/n) 0.009 0.079 0.905

Effect of Campylobacter infection and exclusive breastfeeding on LAZ intervals

LAZ 6 months Campylobacter - 3 months 0.006 0.033 0.853


Exclusive breastfeeding - 3 months (y/n) 0.080 0.043 0.065
Exclusive breastfeeding - 6 months (y/n) 0.079 0.135 0.558
LAZ 9 months Campylobacter - 3 months -0.018 0.036 0.614
Campylobacter - 6 months 0.006 0.033 0.853
Exclusive breastfeeding - 6 months (y/n) 0.000 0.115 0.999
LAZ 12 months Campylobacter - 6 months -0.018 0.036 0.592
Campylobacter - 9 months -0.115 0.030 <0.0005
LAZ 15 months Campylobacter - 9 months -0.098 0.030 0.001
Campylobacter - 12 months -0.115 0.030 <0.0005
LAZ 18 months Campylobacter - 12 months -0.098 0.030 0.001
Campylobacter - 15 months -0.115 0.030 <0.0005
LAZ 21 months Campylobacter - 15 months -0.098 0.030 0.001
Campylobacter - 18 months 0.006 0.033 0.872
LAZ 24 months Campylobacter - 18 months -0.018 0.036 0.592
Campylobacter - 21 months 0.006 0.033 0.872

Effect of household factors on Campylobacter Infection

Time-fixed covariates
Campylobacter 1- Sex of child (1=male, 2=female) 0.055 0.189 0.770
24mos
Maternal education (years) -0.011 0.030 0.722
Water treated (y/n) -0.430 0.193 0.026
Improved toilet facility (y/n) 0.141 0.208 0.499
Shared toilet (y/n) 0.135 0.240 0.574
Antibiotic duration (days) -0.048 0.009 0.000
Time-Varying covariates
Campylobacter 3mos Exclusive breastfeeding - 3 months -0.647 0.602 0.283
(days)
Campylobacter 6mos Exclusive breastfeeding - 3 months (y/n) -0.294 0.500 0.557
Exclusive breastfeeding - 6 months (y/n) 1.607 0.860 0.062
Campylobacter 9mos Exclusive breastfeeding - 6 months (y/n) -0.402 0.843 0.634

104
Figure 8.1 Final Latent Growth Curve Model

Water
Antibiotics treatment
duration

6) -0

26)

-0.4
-0
-0.0 .4

-0.048 (0.000)
02

.04
48 6) 30
0.

0.0
0.02

30(
(0.0 ( (0
)

8(
00
00) 30( 30 .0

30(
0.0
-0.4 .4 26
0.0

0.02
-0 )

00

-0.4
8(

)
.04

-0.0

6)
26) 26) 48 ( -0.048
-0

0(0.0 26) 0(0.0


0.00 -0.048 -0.048 (0.000)
-0.43 0(0.0 -0.43
0) (0.000) (0.000)
-0.43

campy1 campy3 campy6 campy9 campy12 campy15 campy18 campy21

-0 -0.098 -0
.1
-0.0
98 ( -0
.1
-0.0
98 (
.1 (0.0 15 0.00 15 0.00
15 01) 1)
(< (< (< 1)
0. 0. 0.
00 00 00
05 05 05
) ) )

HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ


HAZ 3 HAZ 6 HAZ 9 HAZ 24
12 15 18 21

i s q

)
25
(0.0
74 0.
04
0.2 1
(0
.0
37
)

Sex of Birth Maternal Maternal Water Shared


Fridge
child Order Education height treatment toilet

i Intercept

s Slope

q Quadratic term

Time invariant covariate had statistically significant association with latent variable

Time varying covariate had statistically significant association with outcome variable

Outcome variable was significantly associated with Campylobacter infection

Statistically significant relationship

105
Campylobacter infection in the previous 3-month interval was negatively associated with LAZ

at 12, 15, and 18 months (b=-0.115, p=<0.001) (Fig. 1 and Fig. 2). Infection in the previous

6-month interval was negatively associated with LAZ at 15, 18, and 21 months, (b=-0.098,

p=0.001) (Fig. 1 and Fig. 2).

Figure 8.2 Relationship between Campylobacter infection and LAZ across time intervals
Coefficient (b)

Of the demographic and household predictors, maternal height (b=0.042, p=0.033) was

unsurprisingly positively associated with the intercept factor (i.e. the initial level of LAZ). Birth

order was also significantly associated with initial LAZ (b=0.274, p=0.025). Increased duration

of antibiotic use was negatively associated with Campylobacter infection (b= -0.048,

p=<0.001). Water treatment was negatively associated with Campylobacter infection, with this

effect equally fixed across time (b=-0.430, p=0.026). Type of toilet facility, having a shared

facility, and the presence of a refrigerator were not associated with Campylobacter infection

at any time point.

Significant indirect effects, both operating via Campylobacter infection between the 12th and

21st months of the child’s life, were found between water treatment and LAZ (total indirect

effect for the 3 and 6 month Campylobacter infection-LAZ lags, indirect effect = 0.092, SE =

0.046, p = 0.047) and between antibiotic use and LAZ (total indirect effect for the 3 and 6

106
month Campylobacter infection-LAZ lags, indirect effect = 0.010, SE = 0.003, p = 0.001).

Indirect effects of water treatment and antibiotic use outside of the 12- to 21-month age range,

and of improved toilet facility and toilet sharing at any age, were not statistically significant.

Discussion

To our knowledge, this study describes the first application of LGCM to household-level risk

factors associated with enteric infection and childhood linear growth. The study population is

representative of an urban slum population in Bangladesh, where growth impairment is a

particular challenge. Stunting prevalence in children living in such urban slums is

approximately 50%, exceeding the national average of 36% (19,30).

The decrease of LAZ across the 24 months is consistent with other study findings (4,19).

Previous studies have found that such decreases may be due to increased exposure to a poor

hygienic environment and pathogen reservoirs as the child develops and mobility increases

(31,32). In addition, children may experience potential nutritional challenges and exposure to

environmental conditions as breastfeeding is reduced and complementary food are introduced

(33).

As in previous studies, we have found a high prevalence of Campylobacter infection in this

community. increasing throughout the first 24 months to reach a peak prevalence at 18 months

of age (Chapter 7, Table 7.2). Again, supporting prior research, we found that Campylobacter

infection has a negative association with linear growth; however, this study extends these

observations by identifying the age intervals in the first 24 months of life where infection is

most strongly associated with growth. Our analysis specifically identified that children between

12 and 21 months old are most likely to show a negative relationship between having a

Campylobacter episode 3 or 6 months previously and their age adjusted length (Fig. 2).

We explored the impact of Campylobacter infection on age intervals instead of total attained

height at the end of the study. This approach was applied to specifically examine the effect of

107
infection on short term growth faltering and to identify the period most critical for the

association between infection and growth impairment. A previous MAL-ED analysis across

the 8 study sites described the second year of life as being the most critical period for

Campylobacter-associated growth impairment. (8) Our findings provide further support that

the effect of exposure to potential Campylobacter pathogen reservoirs and resulting infection

on growth may have been limited in the first year of child’s life, given that we did not find an

association between infection and growth during this period. Interestingly, our analysis did not

find an association between preceding infection and LAZ in the latest time interval, specifically

at 24 months of age. This may suggest that the increasing and initial exposure to

Campylobacter has the most significant effect on the growth trajectory of children. Most

children may have already suffered an incident of Campylobacter infection by 18 to 21 months

of age, with few new incidents of infection occurring after this period; however, further analyses

would need to confirm this. In addition, children may develop protective immunity following

early infection, which may explain the reduction in infection rates in addition to the high number

of asymptomatic cases (34). As pathogen data used for this analysis was collected from

asymptomatic stool samples, this analysis further highlights the importance of asymptomatic

Campylobacter infection on child growth. Additional analyses should also compare the effect

of symptomatic stool samples.

Treatment of drinking water and increased duration of antibiotic use were important negative

predictors for Campylobacter infection. Treatment of drinking water, as an important predictor

for Campylobacter infection, may therefore be indirectly impacting positively upon growth.

These findings have important implications for the development of public health interventions

designed to reduce childhood growth failure in urban communities. Approximately 2.2 million

people in Bangladesh, and 87,000 in the Mirpur study area, live in such communities and the

numbers are expected to grow, with increasing urbanization (19,20,35). All participating

households received their water from an improved piped water source as defined by World

Health Organization Joint Monitoring Programme (36); however, treatment of drinking water

was positively associated with LAZ. Interestingly, the WASH Benefits Bangladesh study did

108
not find a benefit in water treatment to the reduction of reported diarrhea. In addition, the

integration of WASH interventions to nutrition did not have a benefit to child LAZ. (37,38). This

was in contrast to a previous intervention conducted in another community, which identified a

36% reduction in diarrhea in children from the water chlorination plus safe storage arm when

compared to controls (38). Another study reported that children from households with better

conditions had higher LAZ scores compared with household with poorer hygienic conditions

(39). This highlights a potential challenge with the quality of the water provided to households

and so provides an opportunity for central infrastructure changes that could have an impact

on Campylobacter infection and linear growth. While household-based methods are cheaper,

centralized municipal treatment of piped water provide wide health benefits for the general

population, particularly in urban and densely populated areas (40). Our analysis does identify

important relationships between water treatment and Campylobacter infection, which needs

to be explored further.

Antibiotic use was prevalent in this study population. A previous study of the MAL-ED data

reported that the Bangladesh site had one of the highest rates of antibiotic use, second to the

Pakistan site (2). They also found that antibiotic use in the previous month was associated

with a reduced risk of detection of Campylobacter in the stool samples (2). While it was

negatively associated with Campylobacter infection, there needs to be special consideration

about its long-term effects beyond the first 24 months of age, given the current global health

challenge of the increasing rate of antibiotic resistance and potential negative effects on the

gut microbiota (41).

Previous research has suggested the exposure to chickens in the home as a risk factor for

childhood impaired growth with LAZ; however, our analysis did not identify an association

between chicken ownership and LAZ (8). Interestingly, the Bangladesh site had one of the

lowest rates of reported chicken ownership of all participating MAL-ED sites, with few

households reporting the presence of chickens in the home (1.3%). However, reported

chicken and fowl ownership may not accurately reflect children’s exposure to such zoonosis

109
as Campylobacter since chickens from other households wander freely throughout the

community and so may be a source of children’s exposure.

Increased maternal education in previous research has also as being associated with

improved linear growth in young children (17,42,43). In our preliminary models, maternal

education was significantly associated with the rate of change of growth; however, after

adjusting for other covariates in our final model, the relationship was no longer present. An

analysis of the MAL-ED cohort did not find an association with breastfeeding practices and

growth in the first 24 months, and commented that duration of exclusive breastfeeding was

low among the participants (14). Similarly, we did not identify an association between

breastfeeding and LAZ and Campylobacter infection among the Bangladesh participants.

Research on the implication of birth order on child growth is inconsistent. Several studies have

reported that firstborns have lower birth weight but that they become significantly taller in later

childhood and in adulthood, while others reported that they remained shorter (44,45). In this

analysis, increased birth order was positively associated with baseline LAZ of the children;

however, it was not associated with the rate of change in LAZ. Maternal height was also

associated with the intercept, or the birth length, of the participating children. However, they

were not associated with the slope or rate of change of LAZ in the first 24 months of age.

Limitations

The small sample size limited our ability to include additional variables in this pathogen-

specific analysis, given our focus on exploring the various household predictors for growth

and Campylobacter infection. The relationship between co-infections and linear growth was

not explored in these specific models and should be considered in future analyses. Dietary

intake has widely been identified as having an effect on linear child growth and so future

statistical models should consider including data representing dietary intake in addition to

exclusive breastfeeding. Our team is currently developing such models. Also, our analysis

uses pathogen data collected from regularly-collected non-diarrheal samples; however, future

110
analyses should also consider the pathogen information collected from diarrheal samples.

Finally, the urban slum population may result in a generalizability limitation, with findings being

specific to a densely populated urban settlement. However, given rapid rate of urbanization

on the global scale, particularly in low- and middle-income countries, child health in urban

settings is an increasingly important global health concern.

Conclusion

Linear growth impairment in children is a complex public health challenge resulting from a

variety of factors associated with poor socioeconomic conditions. At the same time,

Campylobacter infection continues to be widely prevalent as part of these conditions,

particularly in the Bangladesh MAL-ED population. To our knowledge, this is the first

application of the latent growth curve modelling statistical method to explore Campylobacter

infection, childhood linear growth, and the association with household factors. The negative

association between Campylobacter infection and LAZ at 12, 15, 18 and 21 months of age

reinforces the importance of addressing and controlling Campylobacter infection. Our

household-level model also highlights the need to reduce the prevalence of infection by

addressing the factors associated with it. While water sources in the households of

participating children at the Bangladesh site were considered to be “improved” piped sources,

treatment of drinking water was identified as being negatively associated with Campylobacter

infection, highlighting an issue with the quality of the water provided to households in the

region. There is a need for government to not only provide access to improved water sources,

but to ensure access to high quality drinking water is provided to all households, eliminating

the need for treatment of drinking water at the household level.

Conflicts of interest

The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.

111
Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank the staff and participants of the MAL-ED network for their

important contributions. They acknowledge the Governments of Bangladesh, Canada,

Sweden, and the UK for providing core/unrestricted support to icddr,b. This research protocol

(MAL-ED birth cohort study) was funded by University of Virginia (UVA) with support from

MAL-ED Network Investigators in the Foundation of National Institute of Health (FNIH),

Fogarty International Centre (FIC) with overall support from the Bill & Melinda Gates

Foundation (BMGF), grant number GR-681.

Author Contributions

Conceptualization: J.Johanna Sanchez, Md. Ashraful Alam, Christopher B. Stride, Md.

Ahshanul Haque, Subhasish Das, Mustafa Mahfuz, Daniel E. Roth, Peter D. Sly, Kurt Z.

Long1, and Tahmeed Ahmed

Data curation: Md. Ashraful Alam, Md. Ahshanul Haque, Subhasish Das, Mustafa Mahfuz,

Tahmeed Ahmed

Formal analysis: J.Johanna Sanchez, Md. Ashraful Alam, Christopher B. Stride, Md.

Ahshanul Haque, Subhasish Das, Mustafa Mahfuz, Kurt Z. Long, and Tahmeed Ahmed

Funding acquisition: Tahmeed Ahmed

Investigation: J.Johanna Sanchez, Md. Ashraful Alam, Christopher B. Stride, Md. Ahshanul

Haque, Subhasish Das, Mustafa Mahfuz, Kurt Z. Long, and Tahmeed Ahmed

Methodology: J.Johanna Sanchez, Md. Ashraful Alam, Christopher B. Stride, Md. Ahshanul

Haque, Subhasish Das, Mustafa Mahfuz, Daniel E. Roth, Peter D. Sly, Kurt Z. Long, and

Tahmeed Ahmed

Project administration: Md. Ashraful Alam, Md. Ahshanul Haque, Subhasish Das, Mustafa

Mahfuz, Tahmeed Ahmed

Supervision: Kurt Z. Long, Tahmeed Ahmed, Mustafa Mahfuz

112
Validation: J.Johanna Sanchez, Md. Ashraful Alam, Christopher B. Stride, Md. Ahshanul

Haque, Subhasish Das, Mustafa Mahfuz, Kurt Z. Long, Tahmeed Ahmed

Visualization: J.Johanna Sanchez, Md. Ashraful Alam, Christopher B. Stride, Md. Ahshanul

Haque, Subhasish Das

Writing – first draft: J.Johanna Sanchez, Md. Ashraful Alam, Ahshanul Haque, Subhasish

Das,

Writing – review & editing: J.Johanna Sanchez, Md. Ashraful Alam, Christopher B. Stride,

Md. Ahshanul Haque, Subhasish Das, Mustafa Mahfuz, Daniel E. Roth, Peter D. Sly, Kurt

Z. Long, Tahmeed Ahmed

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comparison of diarrheal severity scores in the MAL-ED multisite community-based

cohort study. J Pediatr Gastroenterol Nutr. 2016;63(5):466–73.

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CHAPTER 9 EPEC AND GIARDIA RESULTS

9.1 Introduction

As described in Chapter 7, six pathogens were identified as having a significant or marginally

significant association with LAZ in the Bangladesh MAL-ED site (Table 7.2) in the exploratory

bivariate analysis. These included Campylobacter species, Cryptosporidium, Astrovirus,

EPEC, Giardia lamblia, and Ascaris lumbricoides. Results of the Campylobacter analysis, the

most prevalent pathogen, are presented in Chapter 8. This chapter presents the results of the

EPEC and Giardia latent growth curve modelling analysis. Due to the low prevalence of

Cryptosporidium, Astrovirus, and Ascaris we did not have sufficient information to develop

latent growth curve models for these outcomes.

EPEC has been described to be one of the leading causes of diarrheal disease in low-income

countries (1); however, there is limited literature on the relationship with linear growth in

children. A study by Santos et al (2) found a decrease in LAZ scores in children infected with

EPEC compared to those not infected. Kotloff et al (3) described the association between

EPEC and acute and persistent diarrhea, which leads to nutritional faltering. The Global

Enteric Multicentre Study (GEMS) identified EPEC as being significantly associated with

moderate to severe diarrhea in participating children but did not find an association between

diarrhea and Giardia, which was interestingly identified more frequently in control cases (3).

The MAL-ED study; however, found that, overall, Giardia was one of the most common

pathogens isolated in the diarrheal stools of participating children (4). Results of the

examination of the association between Giardia infection and linear growth are inconsistent.

Some studies have identified an effect on linear growth delay, while others have found no

association (5). A recent analysis of the MAL-ED data found that EPEC and Giardia infection

resulted in a tendency towards lower growth velocity; however, they did not find a consistent

and long term relationship with child growth, although this may have been due to the low

prevalence in the sample (6).

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As with the Campylobacter analysis, this analysis aims to investigate, for children in the

Dhaka, Bangladesh MAL-ED study site: 1) whether specific household-level factors and EPEC

and Giardia infection are associated with changes in LAZ across the first 24 months of life; 2)

whether the effect of infection on changes in LAZ is consistent across the first 24 months of a

child’ age or whether children are more susceptible to this effect at certain ages; and, 3)

whether the effects of household-level factors on LAZ operated directly, or operated indirectly

via their association with EPEC and Giardia infection.

9.2 Methods

Exploratory bivariate analysis methods and results are presented in Chapter 7.

As with the Campylobacter model we did not have a clear hypothesis regarding the temporal

pattern of the relationship between EPEC, Giardia and LAZ; therefore, the data was also split

into random halves, the first half to build a model for relationships between these variables,

and the second half to test the fit of the model and the statistical results of the parameters. As

is described in Chapter 8, this splitting of the data ensures robustness in the evaluation of the

final model.

EPEC and Giardia infection were defined as a positive stool sample regardless of clinical

status. The dichotomous measurement of the presence/absence of EPEC or Giardia infection

was added to the unconditional model (described in Chapter 8) as time-varying covariates, to

the respective pathogen models. LAZ every 3 months was then regressed upon this infection

covariate. As we would also expect a lagged effect of infection on linear growth, we lagged

the effects by 3- and 6-month intervals, as with the Campylobacter models. The temporal

variation in the effect of each infection on LAZ were explored by first fitting a model that

allowed the 3- and 6-month lag effects to vary freely across time points. The coefficients were

then examined to determine whether there was a pattern that could be fitted in a simpler

model, for example, whether EPEC or Giardia had a stronger or weaker effect for particular

periods in the first 24 months, or even if the effects remained constant, as opposed to varying

each month.

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Household factors determined to be independently associated with EPEC and Giardia (Table

7.3) were included in the model. To examine whether the effects of these demographic and

household variables on infection were consistent across time or showed variation, they were

first allowed to vary freely. Coefficients were then examined for patterns and the model was

then reviewed when temporal fixings were applied to the relationships, either constant across

time or to have an increasingly or decreasingly important effect on infection. Using fit indices

described in Chapter 8, we check whether there was a loss in model fit after these fixings were

applied.

The final model was then tested on the second half of the data. Mplus version 8.0 software

was used for all LGCM modelling (7). Models were estimated using Monte Carlo integration.

9.3 Results

EPEC

The final model included LAZ intervals starting at 6 months as there were very few children

with EPEC infection at 1 month (2; 0.8%) or 3 months of age (3; 1.30%: see Chapter 7, Table

7.2). The exploration of temporal variation in the relationship between EPEC infection and

LAZ, did not reveal a pattern in the regression coefficients when they were free to differ across

time. This suggested that there wasn’t a specific period where the effect of infection was the

strongest. As it was expected that there could be a difference in time length effect, the 3- and

6-month lag of EPEC infection to LAZ paths were separately fixed to be equal across time.

The model with two sets of fixed equal paths (3-month lag and 6-month lag) provided the best

fit.

The direct and indirect effects of household factors on LAZ were then explored. The latent

variables for the intercept, slope and quadratic term, and EPEC infection at each time point

were regressed on child, maternal, and household characteristics. Characteristics not found

to improve the model were completely removed. Birth order, maternal height, water treatment,

improved toilet facility and shared toilet facility remained in the model and were regressed on

the latent variables. EPEC infections across time points, starting at 6 months, were regressed
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on sex of the child, maternal education, water treatment, shared toilet, antibiotic use, and

exclusive breastfeeding. The relationships with EPEC infection were fixed across all intervals

as per exploratory results, instead of being allowed to vary freely. LAZ at each time point was

regressed on the time-lagged EPEC infection variables, again with the equality restrictions

across time suggested by our exploratory analysis in place.

The proposed final LGCM (see figure 9.1) was then tested on the other half of the data. As in

the Campylobacter model, maternal height (b=0.052, p=0.005) was positively associated with

the intercept factor (the baseline value of LAZ). There were no other variables associated with

the latent variables. EPEC infection was not associated with LAZ at any of the time intervals.
MAL-
None of the child, maternal, and household characteristics were significantly associated with

EPEC infection across the time points.


EP

Figure 9.1 EPEC Latent Growth Model

epec6 epec9 epec12 epec15 epec18 epec21

LAZ LAZ LAZ LAZ LAZ LAZ LAZ


6 9 12 15 18 21 24

i s q

Birth Maternal Maternal Water Shared


Order Education Height Treatment toilet Fridge

Covariate had statistically significant association with latent variable

Statistically significant relationship

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Giardia

Giardia infection prevalence increased with age, with very few children presenting with Giardia

infection in the first 12 months – 0 at 1 month, 1 (0.43%) at 3 months, 1 (0.43%) at 6 months,

and 6 (2.79%) at 9 months (see Chapter 7, Table 7.2). Therefore, the final model explored the

impacts of infection on LAZ from 12 to 24 months of age and excluded LAZ intervals before

12 months. The exploration of temporal variation in the relationship between Giardia infection

and LAZ, did not identify a pattern in the regression coefficients when they were free to differ

across time. This suggested that there wasn’t a specific period where the effect of infection

was the strongest. As with the EPEC and Campylobacter models, the 3- and 6-month lags

were separately fixed to be equal.

The latent variables for the intercept, slope and quadratic term, and Giardia infection at each

time point were then regressed on child, maternal and household characteristics.

Characteristics not found to improve the model were completely removed. Birth order,

maternal education, maternal height, water treatment, shared toilet facility and presence of a

refrigerator remained in the model and were regressed on the latent variables. Giardia

infections across time points, starting at 12 months, were regressed on maternal education,

water treatment, shared toilet, shared toilet, and exclusive breastfeeding. The regression

coefficients of maternal education, water treatment, and shared toilet followed a pattern of

increasing value, thus the relationship between those household factors and Giardia were

fixed with increasing value to reflect that pattern instead of being allowed to vary freely or to

being fixed equally across time. LAZ at each time point was regressed on the time-lagged

Giardia infection variables, again with the equality restrictions across time suggested by our

exploratory analysis in place.

The final proposed LGCM model was then tested on the other half of the data. Male sex

(b=0.340, p=0.049) and maternal height (b=0.050, p=0.003) were positively associated with

the intercept factor. Exclusive breastfeeding for 6 months was paradoxically negatively related

to LAZ at 12 (b=-0.861, p=0.013), 15 (b=-0.693, p=0.040) and 18 (b=-0.688, p=0.041) months

123
of age. Maternal education was positively associated with Giardia infection at 12 months of

age (b=0.139, p=0.030) and negatively associated in later time intervals – 18 months (b=-
MA
0.161, p=0.012) and 21 months (b=-0.311, p=<0.001). Gi

Figure 9.2 Giardia Latent Growth Model

Maternal Maternal Maternal


Education education education

Exclusive Exclusive Exclusive


Breastfeed Breastfeed Breastfeed

giard12 giard15 giard18 giard21

LAZ LAZ LAZ LAZ LAZ


12 15 18 21 24

i s q

Birth Maternal Maternal Water Shared


Child sex Education Height Treatment Fridge
Order toilet

Covariate had statistically significant association with latent variable

Statistically significant relationship

9.4 Discussion

This analysis applied a novel statistical method to explore the relationship between EPEC

infection and Giardia infection and linear growth (LAZ) using the longitudinal dataset from the

MAL-ED Bangladesh site. It also examined the household predictors of linear growth and

infection. EPEC and Giardia lamblia infection were among the most prevalent pathogens

identified in the MAL-ED study. EPEC was also marginally significantly associated with LAZ

in the exploratory bivariate analysis, while Giardia was significantly associated.

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EPEC infection increased during the first few months of life peaking in prevalence at 9 months

of age and then decreasing to a few cases by 24 months of age (Table 7.2). The low

prevalence in the first few months results in the exclusion of the data from the 1 to 6-month

time intervals. There was no association between infection and linear growth (LAZ) in the final

model. Maternal height was associated with the intercept, or the starting length, of the

participating children. However, it was not associated with the slope (i.e. rate of change) in

LAZ between 6 and 24 months of age. This association is consistent with the Campylobacter

analysis, DHS analysis, and other studies. Those subjects with short maternal height were

more likely to have had a smaller birth size and childhood stunting (8). This relationship may

be due to the physical constraints of a smaller frame during the fetal growth period limiting the

growth of the fetus (8).

Few children had Giardia infection in the first 12 months. Prevalence increased throughout the

first 24 months, with the highest prevalence at 24 months of age. This analysis only included

data from the 12- to 24-month time intervals, due to the low prevalence in the first years. While

there was no association found between Giardia infection and LAZ, the analysis identified a

few predictors of the growth curve and infection. Again, maternal height was associated with

the starting length of the child, as was the sex of the child. Maternal education was negatively

associated with Giardia infection at 18 and 21 months, but interestingly was positively

associated with Giardia at 12 months. The relationship between breastfeeding and LAZ was

paradoxical as it was negative. Breastfeeding has been considered to potentially be protective

against enteropathogen infection, thus indirectly promoting healthy growth (9). In addition,

longer exclusive breastfeeding would be expected to provide the nutritional benefits required

for infants, and therefore directly promoting adequate linear growth (9,10).

An important limitation to consider in the interpretation of these results is the sample size. The

low prevalence of EPEC and Giardia made it harder to achieve a robust examination of the

relationship between infection and linear growth. Other limitations of this MAL-ED latent

growth curve analysis are presented in Chapter 8.

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9.5 Conclusions

Enteropathogen infection among children continues to be a challenge in low- and middle-

income countries, including Bangladesh. The latent growth curve modelling methodology

allows for a flexible approach to exploring longitudinal growth and infection data. This method

has not been frequently applied to epidemiology research but, through the ease of estimating,

and then regressing latent variables for rate and shape of change upon potential covariates,

could provide additional insight into the temporal relationship between enteropathogen

infection and linear growth while also allowing the addition of direct and indirect predictors.

Studies examining the effect of Giardia infection on linear growth in children have provided

inconsistent results. While the exploratory bivariate analysis found a statistically significant

relationship between Giardia and LAZ, the final LGCM model did not present a significant

association. Similarly, there were no significant associations between EPEC and growth, or

any predictors for infection identified. Studies exploring the effect of EPEC on growth are very

limited. It is unclear whether these insignificant findings in both the EPEC and Giardia models

were due to a true lack of association or due to insufficient power to properly address this

question. Future studies are needed to continue to explore the role of EPEC and Giardia on

child growth faltering, as well as the predictors of infection. This information is critical for the

development of appropriate public health interventions. The statistical approach presented

provides the opportunity to explore this; however, larger sample sizes are essential for a more

robust analysis.

REFERENCES

1. Afset JE, Bevanger L, Romundstad P, Bergh K. Association of atypical

enteropathogenic Escherichia coli (EPEC) with prolonged diarrhoea. J Med Microbiol.

2004;53(11):1137–44.

2. Santos AKS, De Medeiros PHQS, Bona MD, Prata MMG, Amaral MSMG, Veras HN,

et al. Virulence-related genes and coenteropathogens associated with clinical

126
outcomes of enteropathogenic Escherichia coli infections in children from the Brazilian

semiarid region: A case-control study of diarrhea. J Clin Microbiol. 2018;57(4):1–12.

3. Kotloff KL, Nataro JP, Blackwelder WC, Nasrin D, Farag TH, Panchalingam S, et al.

Burden and aetiology of diarrhoeal disease in infants and young children in

developing countries (the Global Enteric Multicenter Study, GEMS): A prospective,

case-control study. Lancet. 2013;

4. Platts-Mills JA, Babji S, Bodhidatta L, Gratz J, Haque R, Havt A, et al. Pathogen-

specific burdens of community diarrhoea in developing countries: A multisite birth

cohort study (MAL-ED). Lancet Glob Heal. 2015;

5. Donowitz JR, Alam M, Kabir M, Ma JZ, Nazib F, Platts-Mills JA, et al. A Prospective

Longitudinal Cohort to Investigate the Effects of Early Life Giardiasis on Growth and

All Cause Diarrhea. Clin Infect Dis. 2016;63(6):792–7.

6. Caulfield LE. Relationship between growth and illness, enteropathogens and dietary

intakes in the first 2 years of life: findings from the MAL-ED birth cohort study. BMJ

Glob Heal [Internet]. 2017;2(4):e000370. Available from:

http://gh.bmj.com/lookup/doi/10.1136/bmjgh-2017-000370

7. Muthen LK, Muthén BO. MPlus User’s Guide. Eighth. Los Angeles, CA: Muthen &

Muthen;

8. Addo OY, Stein AD, Fall CH, Gigante DP, Guntupalli AM, Horta BL, et al. Maternal

height and child growth patterns. J Pediatr [Internet]. 2013;163(2):549–554.e1.

Available from: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpeds.2013.02.002

9. Amour C, Gratz J, Mduma E, Svensen E, Rogawski ET, Mcgrath M, et al.

Epidemiology and Impact of Campylobacter Infection in Children in 8 Low-Resource

Settings : Results From the MAL-ED Study. 2016;63:1171–9.

10. WHO. Diarrhoeal disease. WHO Factsheet [Internet]. 2013;1–4. Available from:

http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs330/en/

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CHAPTER 10 DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSIONS

10.1 Introduction

Bangladesh presents an interesting opportunity to examine linear growth in children. This

country of relatively small geographic size and one of the densest populations in the world has

made child health a priority in recent years. Investments in health and education have resulted

in marked improved in the health status and linear growth in children (2). As a result, stunting

rates have been on the decline for several decades, in contrast to the neighbouring countries

in South Asia. Despite these impressive improvements in child growth, Bangladesh continues

to be among the countries with the highest burden of growth impairment in children in the

world.

My PhD research examined household-level predictors of linear growth faltering in young

children in Bangladesh. The first aim presented an across country examination of the

household-level factors associated with childhood growth, with a particular focus on WASH

factors, given their association with enteric infection. As previously discussed, the burden of

infection in low- and middle- income countries remains high. Enteric infection in particular is

involved in a vicious cycle with undernutrition. The second aim of this research examined the

associations of most prevalent enteropathogens associated with growth in the MAL-ED study.

Studies often focus on the effect of diarrheal infection on growth; however, due to the

increasing evidence of the role of asymptomatic infection on growth, this research did not

distinguish between types of infection and instead considered all positive cases of infection.

Household-level predictors were incorporated into the models, to determine their effects on

growth, either directly or via infection.

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10.2 Summary of findings

Research Aim #1

The first research aim investigated the household-level predictors for linear growth impairment

in Bangladesh among children 0-24 months of age. This was achieved through the analysis

of two national surveys: the 2012-2013 Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey and the 2014

Demographic and Health survey using different methodological approaches. In the MICS

analysis, a mixed effects analysis accounted for a potential household effect, as this dataset

included many households with more than one enrolled child. In the DHS analysis, a multiple

linear regression analysis found an association between diarrheal infection and LAZ. A

mediation analysis was then carried out to determine whether the effects of household

predictors of LAZ were both direct and indirect, mediated through the presence of diarrhea. In

addition, the models explored the moderating effects of factors on each other. Both survey

analyses were carried out overall and then by age interval and geographic location, to address

the research objectives.

Both analyses identified a negative association between age of the child and LAZ. In addition,

they also identified differences in the household characteristics in the different groups with

LAZ. In the rural setting, a higher proportion of households had unimproved water source,

unimproved toilet facility, and a lower level of maternal education. The MICS analysis also

identified a higher proportion of unimproved stool disposal methods in rural households, and

a higher amount of untreated water. Breastfeeding was consistently high across the different

groups.

The MICS analysis identified differences in the factors associated with LAZ across four

subgroups defined by age and setting – rural children 0-12 months; rural children 13-24

months; urban children 0-12 months, and; urban children 13-24 months. Interestingly, there

were no factors associated with growth in younger (0-12 months) children from urban

households. Older children (13-24 months) from rural households had the highest number of

129
factors associated with growth. Maternal education was an important factor overall, and in

three of the four subgroups. Finally, boys from rural households had significantly lower LAZ

than girls.

In the DHS analysis, the same groupings as the MICS analysis were created in the mediation

analysis. As in MICS, older rural children had the most factors associated with LAZ. An

episode of diarrhea in the past two weeks was negatively associated with LAZ in children

overall, but not in younger children from both rural and urban households. Increased maternal

height and education were positively associated with LAZ in most groups. In older rural

children, toilet facility was associated with higher LAZ, while unimproved water source had no

direct effect. It was positively associated with diarrhea and therefore had an indirect effect on

LAZ.

In summary, the two analyses identified heterogeneity not only in the characteristics of the

children, mothers and households between urban and rural population, but also in the

predictors of linear growth. Additionally, heterogeneity was not only regional, but by age

groups, with older children having more predictors associated with growth. Both analyses

determined that more factors were associated with LAZ in older children from rural households

that younger children or children from urban households.

Research Aim #2

The second research aim investigated the associations between enteropathogen infection,

household-level predictors and linear growth in children in urban Bangladesh. This was

achieved through the analyses of the data from the Mirpur, Dhaka site of the longitudinal MAL-

ED study. Latent growth curve modelling, an advanced statistical modelling approach, was

applied to determine the slope of change of linear growth in participating children during the

first 24 months of life, and determine the predictors of this growth curve, including the positive

Campylobacter, EPEC, and Giardia infection.

130
As in research aim #1, an inverse association between age and LAZ was identified.

Campylobacter was the most prevalent pathogen among participating children. Maternal

height and birth order were positively associated with the baseline length or birth length.

Campylobacter infection had a negative and lagged effect on LAZ. Infection in the preceding

3-month interval had a negative effect on growth between 12 and 18 months of age, while

infection in the preceding 6-month interval had a negative effect between 15 and 21 months

of age. Antibiotic use and the treatment of water were negatively associated with infection,

with the strength of the effect of drinking treated water increasing with age. In the EPEC model,

the only statistically significant association was between maternal height and birth LAZ. In the

Giardia model, maternal height and male sex were positively associated with birth length, and

maternal education was negatively associated with Giardia infection in older children. The low

prevalence of these two pathogens may have limited the strength of associations found in

these models.

The results of the Campylobacter analysis complement a mounting body of research on the

association between this pathogen and early childhood growth. In addition to a consistent

finding of increased effect of infection in the second year of life, the latent growth curve model

presents the age intervals most affected by a preceding episode of infection. In addition, it

highlights the importance of water quality issues by identifying a negative relationship between

treated water and infection that strengthens with age, and an indirect effect on growth.

10.3 Implications for Policy

The results of this research presents information for consideration in the design of health

policies, public health interventions and strategies in Bangladesh:

Heterogeneity

Characteristics between urban and rural households were found to be different, as were the

predictors for linear growth. As previously described, rural households had poorer

socioeconomic indicators, including WASH characteristics and maternal education. Older

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children from rural households had the highest number of predictors of associated growth,

likely due to a combination of exposure to poorer environmental conditions and the increase

in mobility and access to their surroundings. The disparities between rural and urban

communities are not unique to Bangladesh and are well documented in the literature (3).

Access to basic services such as water and sanitation in rural communities in LMICs are

generally lower than in urban communities (3). Interventions may therefore achieve more

success by considering these differences and develop region-specific and age-specific

approaches.

Age of Children

Older children (13-24 months) may benefit more from environmental interventions, particularly

WASH interventions, given their increased interaction with their environment and resulting

higher prevalence of growth impairment in the second year of life. Fewer household predictors

were associated with growth in children during the first year of life. In addition, enteric infection

by several pathogens had the highest prevalence in older children. Campylobacter infection,

in particular, peaked in prevalence between 18 and 24 months of age and was negatively

associated with growth between 12 and 21 months of age.

Maternal Factors

Maternal education should continue to be a priority in Bangladesh given the positive

association with growth identified in both survey analyses and in the MAL-ED exploratory

analysis. These findings are consistent with a large body of research (4–6). Maternal height

was also an important predictor of length in children. In the DHS analysis increased maternal

height was positively associated with length, while in the MAL-ED analysis it was associated

with birth length. This association suggests the need to address intergenerational effects of

growth impairment.

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Enteric Infection Reduction

Pathogen-specific programs to reduce infection prevalence in Bangladesh should prioritize

Campylobacter infection given its high prevalence in an urban sample and its negative

association with linear growth. The lagged approach of the analysis identified when positive

infection would have an effect on growth in the subsequent interval. As discussed above,

interventions and strategies may achieve more success or be more cost-effective by targeting

the second year of life for infection reduction, given the impact on growth and the prevalence

of infection in that time period.

Effect of WASH Factors

A number of WASH factors were important predictors for linear growth consistent with a large

body of research. Special consideration should be given to the quality of water provided to

households as it may be beneficial in reducing Campylobacter infection and therefore

indirectly impact growth and overall health. Household-based treatment of water was found to

be negatively associated with infection; however, centralized municipal treatment of piped

water may have a wider impact in the urban population given most households have access

to piped water and not all households were treating their water.

As previously discussed; the recent WASH Benefits trial only demonstrated improved linear

growth in children in the nutrition arm with no improvements found among children in the

WASH intervention arms (7). These findings contrasted with a number studies suggesting that

improving WASH factors is associated with improved linear growth. While it is the intent of

most research and public health interventions to see an improvement in linear growth, it is

possible to positively impact the health and well-being of children without linear growth

improvement. For example, in a mass nutrition campaign in Bangladesh, there was marked

improvement in complementary feeding practices but not in linear growth, which can have a

positive long-term health impact on the children (1). Similarly, a breastfeeding and

supplementation program had a positive impact on health through a reduction in morbidity and

mortality, but it did not improve linear growth (1). The elimination of linear growth impairment

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in populations is one component that contributes to the health of children (1). Improvements

in the area of WASH could have an impact on infection and other health indicators that may

not become evident until later in life.

10.4 Strengths of the research

LAZ as the outcome of interest

This research explored linear growth through the relationship of predictors with linear growth,

as measured by LAZ, instead of stunting. Stunting is widely used in the literature to describe

growth impairment; and while there are benefits to comparing stunting prevalence between

populations, there are several limitations to its use as the primary measure for growth

impairment (1). Stunting is defined by a cut-off of a HAZ/LAZ of less than -2 SD, yet this is an

arbitrary cut-off without a biological basis (1,8). In addition, examining the number of stunted

children may underestimate the number of children affected by an inadequate environment

since it has been demonstrated that in populations with a stunting prevalence greater than

2.5%, the entire distribution of LAZ is shifted (1). As discussed in Chapter 4, changes in

absolute height measurements were also considered for this project; however, a significant

limitation when exploring changes in height in given intervals is that smaller children gain less

height in a short period (9,10).

Combination of cross-country analyses and pathogen-specific analyses

This thesis includes analyses using three different data sources. Cross-country analyses

examined the heterogeneity of predictors of growth between rural and urban households and

by age group using two survey datasets. Similar data variables between the two datasets

allowed for a comparison between the results, while some differences provided added

information. The use of a longitudinal dataset containing pathogen data provided the

opportunity to explore the temporal relationships of infection and growth, using information

gained about important household factors associated with growth in the analyses of the survey

datasets. This study thereby provides both a general overview of the predictors of growth in

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children in Bangladesh, how they are modified by location and age, and then specifically

explores several predictors and their relationship with specific pathogens.

Use of an advanced and novel statistical method

Given the highly multifactorial nature of infant growth, there are limitations to regression

modelling. Latent growth curve modelling has had limited application in epidemiological

research may provide an approach that addresses this limitation. The models developed in

the MAL-ED analysis provide an alternative approach to identifying the time intervals most

affected by Campylobacter infection, while also identifying the predictors of the change in

growth either directly, or indirectly via infection. These results complement other recent studies

on Campylobacter infection.

10.5 Limitations

There are several limitations of this research project that need to be considered when

interpreting the results.

Limited Enteric Pathogen Data

Enteric pathogen data was limited to the MAL-ED dataset, which represents an urban sample

of children from Dhaka. The national level survey data did not contain pathogen data, and

instead included proxies for enteric infection, such as recent diarrheal episode or use of

parasite medication in the past six months. The limited pathogen data did not allow for the

examination of the relationship between infection, growth, and associated household factors,

and to compare the differences in urban versus rural communities.

Cross-sectional Data

As previously discussed, the MICS and DHS analyses were limited by the cross-sectional

nature of the datasets. This prevents the proper identification of growth faltering in children or

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allow causal inferences from being made; however, the large sample size allowed us to

examine heterogeneity of predictors associated with LAZ by subgroups.

Inconsistent Variables in Survey Datasets

The variables included in the models developed in the MICS and DHS analyses as part of the

first research aim were inconsistent due to different data collection points between the two

surveys. This did not allow for a direct comparison between the results of the two analyses;

however, they both contributed information that guided the development of models for the

MAL-ED dataset.

Small Sample Size of MAL-ED Dataset

The small sample size of the Bangladesh MAL-ED site did not allow the development of

models for some of the pathogens associated with LAZ, given the low prevalence of infection.

Despite sample size limitations, interesting findings related to Campylobacter infection have

emerged from this study.

Single Pathogen Models

Single pathogen latent growth curve models were developed and did not account for co-

infection by multiple enteric pathogens. As discussed below in Section 10.6, future models

should account for multiple pathogens given the expected high prevalence.

Nutrition Data

While breastfeeding information was included in all analyses, complementary feeding

information was not included. Given the important role of nutrition and linear growth, future

analyses of household-level factors may benefit from the inclusion of dietary information.

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10.6 Future Research Direction

Future research in the environmental predictors of growth and infection should consist of or

include the following:

• Large longitudinal cross-country studies: A longitudinal research design would

provide an opportunity to explore the temporal relationship between infection,

predictors and linear growth. A larger sample size would provide the opportunity to

apply advanced statistical methods for the examination of many enteric pathogens.

The collection of enteric pathogen data with a broader sampling across several

communities within a country would capture urban and rural participants and provide

the opportunity to examine the heterogeneity of predictors and pathogens.

• Co-Infection Analysis: Infection by multiple groups of enteric pathogens have been

demonstrated to be highly prevalent, an understanding of the role of co-infection by

several pathogens instead of just a single pathogen should be a research priority.

• Models Incorporating Nutrition Data: Given the important role of nutrition in linear

growth, latent growth models using nutrition covariates are currently under

development. Additional models will integrate the pathogen and nutrition models.

10.7 Conclusions

This study provides an understanding of the household predictors associated with linear

growth in children in Bangladesh. Different analytic methodologies were applied to cross-

sectional national survey datasets and a longitudinal dataset containing pathogen information

to identify these predictors and also explore some of the interrelations. The survey data

analysis identified the associated factors overall and by subgroups using a large sample size

of children from across Bangladesh. The results highlight the necessity to recognize the

heterogeneity of factors associated with growth between rural and urban regions, and by the

age of the children, in Bangladesh. These identified differences provide opportunities for the

design of interventions that take this into consideration. The advanced statistical methods

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applied to the MAL-ED urban Bangladesh data provided a new approach for exploring

Campylobacter and growth. The specific intervals affected where growth is affected were

identified and suggest the age children may benefit most from infection reducing interventions.

The identification of the treatment of water as an important factor for predicting infection and

growth, despite all households using an improved water source, highlights the need for

government to improve the quality of water, not just the water source.

Addressing linear growth impairment is complex and requires consideration of the

multifactorial nature of this public health problem. The factors identified in this research

project, both at the national level and in the smaller urban sample, provide information that

can contribute to addressing this problem. The methodological approach applied to the MAL-

ED data provides an alternative or complementary approach to examining growth that has

rarely been applied to epidemiological research. The application of a mediation analysis and

the latent growth curve modelling provide some insight into the relationships between the

factors and growth, through direct and indirect effects. An improved understanding of the

environmental conditions that contribute to growth impairment and their complex relationships

provides an opportunity to address some of the causes of linear growth impairment in targeted

public health programs.

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