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Trading Stocks Using Classical Chart Patterns
Trading Stocks Using Classical Chart Patterns
BRIAN B. KIM
Copyright © 2014 Brian B. Kim
For my family.
CONTENTS
DISCLAIMER
PART I
A FRIENDLY INTRODUCTION
CHAPTER 1
Our Goal
This book teaches you how to trade stocks using classical chart patterns and
related principles.
Before moving on, let’s make sure we understand that stock trading is
speculating. Even to me, an enthusiastic student of the financial markets with
significant trading experience, speculation at times seems the opposite of thrift,
hard work, patience, and all things that build anything worthwhile. Speculation
seems nothing more than a doomed get-rich-quick scheme based on greed,
impatience, and laziness.
This characterization, unfortunately, accurately describes speculation as
done by many people. It is an especially accurate description of my early
trading and it will always reflect the truth when we deviate from good
practices and forget the fundamentals, including controlling our emotions and
being patient.
It is obvious and true that there is no easy road to wealth in the stock market
or anywhere else. I don’t say this to be condescending. When I started to trade
and experienced some beginner’s luck, I suspected trading could be the easy
road to wealth. I was wrong. But I learned that trading can be a worthy
intellectual and financial endeavor if we accept the fact that good trading
requires as much discipline and resilience as anything worth accomplishing. If
we try to wish away this truth, we will find that trading is a most effective way
to lose money. Again, informed trading that maximizes our chances of success
is built on methodical risk management, continuous patience, and never-ending
diligence. There is no other way, and we should not want it any other way.
Informed speculation should meet the following three requirements:
Ecclesiastes 1:9
My impression when I read Schabacker and Edwards & Magee’s foundational
works on classical charting was one of fascination but also disbelief. Sure,
those simple and elegant price patterns may have formed in stock charts back
in the 1930s, 1940s, 1950s, 1960s, and maybe even the 1970s and 1980s, but
surely such geometric patterns are no longer found in today’s ultra-
sophisticated markets? I doubted, despite my respect for Schabacker, Edwards,
and Magee for writing an interesting analysis of stock prices, whether books
written decades ago could be relevant today.
My doubts were reasonable but I found that the principles explained in the
classic texts continue to be very useful. The fact that this book contains
almost 100 unique chart patterns that formed in the U.S. stock market just
in the past couple of years is proof of the continuing power of classical
charting. And I did not include every pattern that I found. Also, many more
tradable classical patterns developed in every freely-traded financial
instrument, including bonds, commodities, precious metals, and foreign stocks.
The financial markets have been forming classical patterns for a long time and
will continue to do so.
Just because a chart is included in this book does not mean I traded it. I
traded many of the patterns in this book but it would have been impractical and
unwise for me to have tried to trade all of them.
When we look at the charts, we must not get impatient and decide to start
trading the next day. This caution applies especially to beginners. We must first
study. The market is not going anywhere.
This book represents an important fact that all traders must remember but
tend to forget: there will always be many more great trading opportunities.
It is crucial to remind ourselves of this fact because we will experience losing
streaks and become frustrated. When we are emotionally and financially down,
we are more likely to do foolish things, such as making large bets that place all
or most of our trading capital at risk in a desperate bid to make up our losses.
It is during challenging times that it is most important to maintain composure
and exercise strict risk management. It will be easier for us to maintain our
discipline and calm if we truly believe and know that there will be many more
chart set-ups to come.
If, instead, we get frustrated because we think we have “missed all the good
trading opportunities,” then we will try to force something in unfavorable
market conditions. Knowing that there will always be more opportunities helps
us persevere through losing streaks. And we will have losing streaks even if
we trade only ideal setups.
Again, prices of financial instruments have been forming classical chart
patterns for many years, and they will continue to do so. Beginners may have a
more difficult time accepting this fact because they are eager to start trading
and do not want to miss out on any “once-in-a-lifetime” trade setups that will
make them rich overnight. We must realize that we will not get rich overnight.
We must not think about how a single trade can make us. Instead, our goal is to
patiently and methodically build our experience and capital.
The more I trade, the more I believe that surviving and preserving my
trading capital, not making money, is my first and only goal as a trader. If we
can hang around, then we will always have the opportunity to swing at very
favorable trade setups. And they will come.