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Jamjoom Pharma
Investment Thesis
Jamjoom pharma is one of the top pharmaceutical companies in the kingdom of Saudi Arabia to benefit from the growing healthcare care not
just only operating in Saudi Arabia but also in middle east and North Africa, with a large portfolio of 118 brands across 8 therapeutic segments.
1. strong leadership position was created by a potent sales team .
2. Outstanding R&D team that reflects the healthy product pipeline.
Pharmaceuticals: Healthcare JAMJOOMP AB:
Saudi Arabia (January 26, 2024) 3. art of timing in expansion
4. being ready for signing the public tender contracts.
39 39
43 14% company is dedicated to the comprehensive
4% 13%
4% 4%
10% 12%
12% cycle of development, manufacturing, and
11% 14%
11% 11%
12%
12% strategic marketing of a diverse spectrum of
13%
60% 53%
64% 61% high-quality branded generic pharmaceutical
31%
Jamjoom Pharma
scheduled to open in the latter half of 2023G. Expanding the geographic footprint, a manufacturing
facility in Egypt has been established, also scheduled to commence operations during the second
half of 2023G.
At the heart of innovation lies a robust R&D department, boasting over 91 professionals with the
capacity to develop 12 to 15 products annually (see Appendix B1). These new additions
complement existing therapeutic categories, introducing essential products such as anti-diabetic
medications to address crucial needs in the markets served.
Revenue generation hinges on the strategic sale of pharmaceutical products to
distributors, who play a crucial role in distributing products downstream to hospitals,
pharmacies, doctors, and various healthcare providers.
In categorizing multifaceted operations, a distinction is made between “technical”
operations, focusing on product development and manufacturing, and “commercial”
operations, centering on the strategic marketing, sales, and distribution of finished
products. This comprehensive business model encapsulates a commitment to innovation,
quality assurance, and a robust market presence.
Figure 6 JP’s largest TA to drive significant growth Figure 7 Revenue by category – FY21
55 31%
5%
43 14%
39 39 4% 19%
4% 4% 13%
10% 12%
12%
16% 17% 17%
11% 11% 14%
11%
12% 12%
13%
60% 53%
64% 61%
2019 2020 2021 2026 Ophthalmology Dermatology General Other Consumer Health
Medicine
Source: Company Data, Al Rajhi Capital Source: Company Data, Al Rajhi Capital
w ship top spot in the GIT segment and leads the categories for vitamin D3, Optha and
e position Derma in Iraq, and Vitamin D3.
in niche
h TAs: JP
a concentrat
v es on
e specialize
d
n treatment
o fields like
ti Consumer
c Health,
e
Derma,
d
and
Optha. In
o
the KSA,
n
it has a
l
high
y
ranking in
i
the fields
n
of
a consumer
health,
f dermatolo
e gy, and
w ophthalm
ology.
o These
t regions
h account
e for more
r than 50%
s of its
t sales, and
o it has a
c top-three
k market
s share
i there.
n With the
aid of
t technolog
h y and a
e
capable
sales
K
force, JP
S
has
A
increased
.
its market
L share
e significant
a ly.
d Notably,
e it now
r holds the
0
Jamjoom Pharma
Pharmaceuticals: Healthcare 26
Jan 2024
Strong R&D team and healthy product pipeline: JP invests significantly more in R&D than
its competitors do; over the past three years, it has averaged 4.3% of sales in this area. The company
boasts one of the biggest R&D teams in the
area, capable of handling everything from bio equivalency studies to patent filing and literature
reviews. It has a 94% success rate in studies pertaining to bio equivalency. Its robust pipeline of
products reflects this. Seventy-two products were pending approval at different stages as of June
2022. Sixty-four percent of this pipeline has been de-risked.
New capacities are state-of-the-art facilities: JP will increase its capacity by nearly 70% with
the opening of its two new facilities in Jeddah (25 million units per year) and Egypt (52 million units
per year). Commercial batches of a few products are now being produced by JP at its manufacturing
facility in Egypt, and exhibit/test batches are being produced at its Jeddah Sterile facility. It is
anticipated that commercial production will start in H2 2023. JP is unique among its peers because of
its advanced technological manufacturing capabilities. It is a leader in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
in several areas, such as unit dosage ophthalmic product production
Company Overview
Figure 1: worldwide pharmaceutical sector
Jamjoom Pharma, originating as a branch of Abdullatif Mohammed Salah Jamjoom and Brothers
Company in Jeddah, KSA, since its inception on September 22, 1994, stands out as a significant
contender in the pharmaceutical sector. With a core emphasis on the development, production, and global
distribution of a diverse range of generic pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, and consumer healthcare products,
the company has cultivated a robust presence across more than 36 countries, encompassing the GCC,
Levant, North Africa, and other regions. Dedicated to furnishing high-quality products, Jamjoom
Pharma’s expansive product portfolio and extensive distribution network position it as a leading figure in
the industry, ensuring that customers worldwide have access to a broad spectrum of top-quality
pharmaceuticals and healthcare solutions.
Source: Company data, Al Rajhi Capital Note: 1. According to IQVIA 2019-2021 ranking,
calculated as total export revenue in the main Jamjoom Pharma markets for each company on the
Jamjoom Pharma
Pharmaceuticals: Healthcare 26
Jan 2024
aggregate basis over 2019-2021; 2. #1 player in all therapeutic sub-categories where Jamjoom
Pharma operates in KSA, according to YTD May 2022 IQVIA ranking
Appendix G3:
Jamjoom Pharma
Pharmaceuticals: Healthcare 26
Jan 2024
The key pharmaceutical categories that the company are working on are Ophthalmology,
Dermatology, general medicines, Gastrointestinal Products, Nutraceuticals. in ophthalmology
Jamjoom pharma has a 20.6% market share in this industry and they ranked 1 in that industry. In
dermatology Jamjoom ranked second after Avalon Pharma Pvt Ltd with 6.7% market share with
an impressive growth space (see Appendix B3). Also in the general medicine industry their
market share is 2.1% and they are so far in that industry which make it hard to compete in it. in
Gastrointestinal Products the company came fourth with 5.5% on market share and they came
after AstraZeneca and other companies that focuses in that industry. Least but not lastly
Nutraceuticals industry. Jamjoom came third with 5% on market share and they came behind
bayer ag and Vitabiotics Ltd . And we can conclude that jamjoom focuses on one main industry
which is ophthalmology and they didn’t drop the other industries but they maintained focusing on
one sector which might affect them in the long run if the industry been crashed.
Others; 1
Optha; 12
Anti Diabetes; 17
General
Medicine; 7
CNS; 1
Dermatology; 2
CVD; 12
Consumer
Health; 15
GIT; 5
PhD 12%
Master’s Degree
80%
91
Empl
Political exposure:
Economic exposure:
The main economic issue in the countries that they sell in is the inflation. Inflation can affect that
currency and also can affect the currency exchange to SAR. Turkey inflation rate in 2022 was 72.3%
Current and Upcoming Facilities (units in million) and the currency dropped almost 30% to USD and that makes it hard to move the money with that
200 2
180 5 amount of loss. Egypt also had the same currency issue when they depleted their reserves instead of
160 5
140
120
2 counting on the USD. And the money supply last two years were very high that also affected the
100
80 currency and makes it difficult to move the money to other currencies.
60
40
20
0
113
113 Environmental, Social, Governance
The Company plans to continue to build on introducing operational efficiencies to meet the CMA
Figure 14:
exposure of Jamjoom
Environmental
JP Committed with the standers of Environment, Health, Social, through all their operations and they
responsible to deal with emissions, effluent and solid waste at the source to ensure that there is
minimum impact on environment.
Social
The company committed in the responsible and ethical management of EHS Elements in all its
activities to safe the employees and visitors and contractors. And they committed to the global
standers of ISO 14001 and ISO 45001 certified, To avoid any injury, ill-health. The EHS function
implements an hard training plan to ensure that staff have the required skills based on their training
needs assessment, to carry out routine inspections and audits to ensure EHS compliance. Employment,
the Company and its subsidiaries had 1,255 employees out of which, 401 are Saudi nationals. The
Saudization rate of the Company is
Figure 15: Jamjoom pharma product 45.7%,
Governance
The company committed to the standers that is requirements by the CMA, Governance Regulations issued by
the Capital Market Authority, to manage the relationship between the Board of Directors, executive directors,
And shareholders.
Board of directors
The Board of Directors shall be responsible for managing the Company and doing everything to
uphold the Company’s interests, and develop and maximize its value. the Board be vested with the
broadest powers to manage the Company and in order to achieve its objectives inside and outside of
the Kingdom. The Board of Directors has overall responsibility for establishment and oversight of the
Group’s risk management framework. The executive management team is responsible for developing
and monitoring the Group’s risk management policies. The team regularly meets and any changes and
compliance issues are reported to the Board of Directors (See Appendix G2).
Executive management
The Executive Committee shall exercise all the powers vested therein, submit its reports to the Board,
and keep direct channels of communication open therewith.
The Executive Committee consists of three (3) to five (5) members appointed by the Board of
Directors for a period equal to the membership term of the Board.
The Board shall take the necessary measures to enable the Executive Committee to carry out its
functions, including informing the Executive Committee, without any restrictions, of all data,
information (See Appendix G2).
Jamjoom Pharma
Pharmaceuticals: Healthcare 26
Jan 2024
Blow fill and seal technology Soft-gel capsule technology Glatt granulation system Automated dermatology fi equip
1st in KSA to produce 1st in KSA to produce VMS 1st in KSA to use full
ophthalmic products in unit products in soft-gel capsules contain vertical
dose granulation
10%
Tender Market Size: 9% 9%
9% SAR 21bn
8%
7% 8%
7%
6%
6%
5%
5% 5%
4%
4% 4%
3% 3%
2%
1% 1%
Jamjoom Organon Roche GSK Novartis Novo Nordisk Pfize Tabuk SPIMACO Sanofi
Figure 19 Capex as % sales Source: IQVIA MAT June 2022, Al Rajhi Capital
18.4%
16.7% 87%
66%
60% 60%
55%
9.6% 9.4%
44%
4.8% 4.7%
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023E 2024E 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023E 2024E
Source: Company Data, Al Rajhi Capital Source: Company Data, Al Rajhi Capital
Strengths Weaknesses
1. Human intervention is limited in
modern factories
2. Decline in the Egyptian currency 1. Their reliance on
3. Strength in research, development and tenders in KSA
health production line
4. Large financial profile with a
sustained growth rate
5. Strong position in Saudi Arabian
domestic market
6. No debt
7. 118 brand
8. therapeutic sectors
Jamjoom Pharma
Pharmaceuticals: Healthcare 26
Jan 2024
Swot analysis
Power of supp
The company has factories, so it does not have many suppliers, except for some raw materials so
they rely on long term contracts with suppliers.
Power of buyers
The number of buyers is very high because it is a drug company located in 36 countries, so it is not
possible to negotiate prices and payment dates .
Opportunities Threats
Competitive rivalry
1. Business development strategy 1. Changes in exchange
2. faces
Jamjoom Present in 36
fierce countries in the inner range of (Spimaco and Tabuk).
competition rate
3. is
Spimaco High
the level in targeting
largest key markets
pharmaceutical to
manufacturing 2. with
company, Spimaco a very
a production capacity of
approximately 2.4 billion units annually
accelerate and prioritize growth and a 14% market share in the
strong competitor category.
general medicine
Its market share for government tenders is 9%, while Jamjoom has a market share of 1%. However,
Spimaco's lower profit margins are attributed to its lower investments in research and development
expenses. In the last 5 years, it allocated only 2% of its revenues to research and development,
while Jamjoom allocates 5%. Including in its portfolio there are strong brands such as Vivadol and
sapofen .
Tabuk is the second largest pharmaceutical factory in the Kingdom, with a production capacity
equal to 2 billion units annually. Its market share in government tenders is approximately 8%.
Tabuk focuses on manufacturing generic formulas for patented brands such as Nexium.
Jamjoom Pharma
Pharmaceuticals: Healthcare 26
Jan 2024
70%
7%
7%
7% equal to 2 billion units annually. Its market share in government tenders is approximately 8%. Tabuk
11% 16% 16%
16%
focuses on manufacturing generic formulas for patented brands such as Nexium. Jamjoom Pharma
60%
9% 12%
50% 12%
7% 10%
40%
16% finds itself strategically positioned within a burgeoning market landscape, primarily driven by the
30%
20% 57%
67% 64%
nation’s deliberate strategy to bolster its citizenry. This demographic surge offers a promising
63%
10%
0%
backdrop for pharmaceutical companies, with increased demand for healthcare products and services.
Recognizing the pivotal markets within the region, Jamjoom Pharma has prioritized its efforts to
amplify production capabilities, particularly in Saudi Arabia and Egypt.
These countries, given their expanding populations and evolving healthcare needs, present lucrative
opportunities for the company to solidify its market presence and cater to growing demands
effectively. The first six months of 2023 marked a pivotal period for Jamjoom Pharma, witnessing a
robust growth trajectory in revenue by a notable 24.52%(see Appendix E1). Such a substantial uptick
underscores the company’s strategic initiatives, market positioning, and the effectiveness of its product
offerings in meeting consumer demands.
As the year progresses, the company is poised for further expansion and growth. The imminent
establishment of two cutting-edge manufacturing facilities in the latter half of the year signifies a
significant leap. With an anticipated surge in production capacity by nearly 67%, Jamjoom Pharma is
gearing up to capitalize on this enhanced capability. This expansion not only positions the company to
cater to escalating market demands but also aims to optimize resource utilization, driving revenues and
fostering sustained growth.
Fiscal Year 2020A 2021A 2022A 2023P 2024P 2025P 2026P 2027P
Segmental Revenue
Pharmaceutical Products 805 736 917 1,086 1,382 1,491 1,593 1,627
Total 805 736 917 1,086 1,382 1,491 1,593 1,627
YoY% Growth (8.6%) 24.6% 18.5% 27.2% 7.9% 6.8% 2.2%
Overall Capacity (mn Units) 113 113 113 190 190 150 190 190
Current Facility (Old Jeddah) Capacity 113 113 113 113 113 113 113 113
New Facility (New Jeddah) Capacity 25 25 25 25 25
New Facility (Egypt) Capacity 52 52 52 52 52
Current Facility (Old Jeddah) Utilization 83% 87% 87% 92% 95% 97% 98% 98%
New Facility (New Jeddah) Utilization 50% 70% 75% 85% 90%
New Facility (Egypt) Utilization 0% 50% 75% 90% 95%
Utilization Rate% 83% 87% 94% 68% 83% 88% 93% 95%
Utilization 94 98 98 116 152 167 179 183
YoY% Utilization 5% 18% 30% 10% 7% 2%
Pharmaceutical Products
Revenue 805 736 917 1,086 1,382 1,491 1,593 1,627
Units Sold 94 98 98 116 152 167 179 183
Average Price per Unit Sold 8.6 7.5 9.3 9.3 9.1 8.9 8.9 8.9
YoY% Growth -13% 25% 0.0% -25% -2.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2-Gulf
Total 7,400 6,800 7,700 7,900 8,177 8,463 8,804 9,245 9,707
Pharmaceutical mi
YOY % -8% 13% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5%
Jamjoom 52 73 109 155 161 167 176 184
Revenues
Jamjoom Market 0.8% 1.0% 1.4% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.9%
Share
2-Iraq
Total 4,300 3,900 4,200 4,400 4,620 4,897 5,240 5,600 5,880
Pharmaceutical mi
YOY % -9% 8% 5% 5% 6% 7% 7% 5%
Jamjoom 52 65 91 96 101 109 116 122
Revenues
Jamjoom Market 1.3% 1.5% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 2.1%
Share
2-Egypt and north
africa
Total 11,10 12,500 14,500 14,700 15,435 16,361 17,506 18,900 20,41
Pharmaceutical mi 0 2
YOY % 13% 16% 1% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8%
Jamjoom 59 67 64 123 131 140 151 163
Revenues
Jamjoom Market 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
Share
x BALANCESHEET
Cash & equivalents ST & LT market. securities 113 146 159 109 191 303 432
Accounts receivable 367 352 424 535 574 610 618
Inventory 135 132 176 222 226 242 241
Deferred tax assets 0 0 t) 0 0 0 0
Other current assets (inc. non-trade receivables) 0 0 tt) 0 0 0 0
Property, plant & equipment 714 705 734 772 790 809 828
Acquired intangible assets (inc. Goodwill) 15 14 15 15 15 16 16
Appendix
Investment in Associates 4 0.3 0 0 0 0 i?) C1:
Other assets 85 63 61 64 68 72 77 Intangible
Total assets 1,432 1,413 1,568 1,717 1,865 2,051 2,212
Accounts payable 118 109 154 166 163 189 181
assets and
Accrued expenses & def rev. (current & non-current) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PP&E:
Revolver 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
Long term debt 2 3 2 2 2 2 2
Other non-current liabilities 80 80 85 91 98 106 11S
Total liabilities 201 192 241 260 263 296 297
Common stock / additional paid in capital 100 700 700 700 700 700 700
Treasury stock 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Retained eamings / accumulated deficit 1,120 524 629 760 904 1,058 1,218
Other comprehensive income / (loss) (4) (37) (37) (37) (37) (37) (37)
Other 12 (8) (8) (8) (8) (8) (8)
Total equity 1,227 1,179 1,284 1,415 1,559 1,713 1,873
Balance check 4 42 42 42 42 42 42
Ratios (144) (156) (107) (189) (301) (430)
Net debt (111) 0.65x 0.69x 0.80x 0.80x 0.78x 0.74x
Asset tumover (Revenue / Total assets) 0,51x 18.7% 24.2% 23.7% 24.1% 24.1% 24.6%
Net profit margin 23.2% 12.1% 16.8% 19.1% 19.3% 18.7% 18.1%
Return on assets (ROA) 11.9%
Jamjoom Pharma
Pharmaceuticals: Healthcare 26
Jan 2024
Common Dividends (91) (113) (149) (158) (196) (216) (230) (240)
OA: Other Comprehensive Income/(Loss)
- Beginning of Period (37) (37) (37) (37) (37)
- Plus: Income/(Loss) 0 0 0 0 0
- End of Period (4) (37) (37) (37) (37) (37) (37) (37)
Metric Value
Normalized FCF in Last Forecast Period (t) 366
Normalized FCF +1 380
Long Term Growth Rate (g) 4.000%
Terminal Value 6,700
Present Value of Terminal Value 4,620
Present Value of Stage 1 Cash Flows 1,051
Enterprise Value 5,672
Implied TV Exit EBITDA Multiple 13.979x
Exit EBITDA Multiple Approach 18.047x
Terminal Year EBITDA 8,650
Terminal Value EBITDA Multiple 4.000%
Terminal Value 5,965
Present Value of Terminal Value 1,051
Present Value of Stage 1 Cash Flows 479
Enterprise Value 7,017
Implied TV Perpetual Growth Rate 5.027%
Metric Value
Cost of Debt 7.0%
Tax Rate 8.0%
After Tax Cost of Debt 6.4%
Risk-Free Rate 4.0%
Beta 1.00
Market Risk Premium 5.6%
Cost of Equity 9.6%
Capital Weights Amount
Market Value of Equity $9,772.0
% of Total 101.5%
Net Debt ($143.7)
% of Total (1.5%)
Cost of Capital (WACC) 9.7%
Market Tax
Company Observed Beta Share Price Cap Cash Debt Rate Delivered Beta
MSFT 0.68 $44.83 $8,260.0 $370,296 $103,217 23,473 18.0% 0.83
GOOD 1.14 $589.47 $675.9 $398,423 $65,375 8396 10.9% 1.31
AMZN 0.77 $359.76 $460.2 $165,551 $8,666 3,147 31.8% 0.79
XYZ 1.00 $105.60 $70,000 $7,392 $146 3 8.0% 1.02
Industry Average
Delivered Beta 0.99 - - - - - -
Fiscal Year 2020A 2021A 2022A 2023P 2024P 2025P 2026P 2027P
EBITDA 283 209 258 310 385 432 461 479
EBIT 240 185 233 282 352 388 414 431
Tax Rate 10.7% 9.2% 8.1% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0% 8.0%
EBIAT (NOPAT) 215 168 215 260 324 357 381 397
Depreciation and Amortization 28 33 44 47 48
Stock-Based Compensation 0 0 0 0 0
Accounts Receivable (71) (111) (39) (36) (8)
Inventory (44) (46) (4) (16) 1
Accounts Payable 45 12 (3) 25 (8)
Accrued Expenses & Def Revenues 0 0 0 0 0
Other Current Assets (Inc. Non-Trade Rec.) 0 0 0 0 0
Deferred Tax Assets (DTAs) 0 0 0 0 0
Other Assets 1 (3) (4) (4) (5)
Other Non-Current Liabilities 5 6 7 8 9
Unlevered CFO 223 215 357 406 433
Less: Capex (54) (69) (60) (64) (65)
Less: Purchases of Intangible Assets (2) (2) (2) (3) (3)
Unlevered FCF 167 144 295 339 366
% Growth -14.1% 105.6% 14.9% 7.8% 34%
Discount Factor 2% 102% 202% 302% 402%
Midperiod Adjustment Factor 0.02 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Present Value of Unlevered FCF 167 131 245 257 252
Weights
P/E 125.26 15.0% 18.79
EV/EBITDA 70.59 15.0% 10.59
DCF_Perpetuity 83.08 35.0% 29.08
DCF_EBITDA Exit 102.29 35.0% 35.8
94.26
139.6
57.7%
70%
60%
25.7%
25.1%
Jamjoom Pharma
Pharmaceuticals: Healthcare 26
Jan 2024
Risk of loss at sea or other delays in delivering the products caused by transportation
problems.
Any of these points could affect the company’s operating results.
subsidies for certain materials. Changes in these factors can affect consumer spending and demand
for the Company's products. Failure to adapt to market changes can have a negative and
substantial impact on the Company's business, financial position, operating results, and prospects.
Moreover, many countries in the Middle East, including Saudi Arabia, are currently experiencing
political and security instability. The Company's oprations can be adversely affected by negative
diplomatic relations, economic and political conditions, or other factors in these countries or other
nations. Such factors can also impact the overall economy, foreign direct investment, and
financial markets in Saudi Arabia, further affecting the Company's business, operating results,
financial position, and prospects.
Any unexpected significant changes in the political, economic, or legal environment in Saudi
Arabia, other Middle Eastern countries, or countries from which the Company sources its
products, including market fluctuations, recessions, insolvency, employment weakness,
technological shifts, or other developments, can also have an adverse effect on the Company.
1% 2%
Additionally, substantial changes in tax or trade policies, tariffs, or trade relations between Saudi
7% 4%
8% 6%
6%
7% 7%
12%
7% 12% Arabia and other countries, as well as alterations in local policies such as the imposition of
10% 9% 9%
60% 7% 9% 10%
10% unilateral tariffs on imported products or negative sentiments towards Saudi Arabia due to
16%
18%
20%
increased import tariffs and changes in trade regulations, can result in increased costs for the
50% 18%
40% 19%
Company, limited access to suppliers, and reduced economic activity.
18% 18%
16%
If any of the aforementioned factors occur, they will significantly and unfavorably impact the
32%
27% Company's business, operating results, financial condition, and future prospects.
31%
Figure2019
22: Revenue mix
2020over the years by TA
2021 2022
Ophthalmology
General Medicine income. As a prominent pharmaceutical manufacturer in Saudi Arabia, the Company holds a
13%
22%
Dermatology
GIT 4%
12%
Cardiovascular
8%
Jamjoom Pharma
Pharmaceuticals: Healthcare 26
Jan 2024
noteworthy position in the market. In the ophthalmic segment (see Appendix C2), one of the five
key areas, the Company secured a market share of 20.6% in 2021G, as highlighted in a market
study report by the Market Consultant in August 2022G. Jamjoom’s market share growth is
influenced by societal and macroeconomic trends, such as the increasing prevalence of generic
medicines and the Company’s belief in the strong performance of its products due to customer
preferences. The Company’s market position is further strengthened by
Figure 23: Active Portfolio
government-led initiatives and investments in the local healthcare and manufacturing sectors,
aligning with the Vision 2030 objectives. The demand is expected to increase due to the
government’s inclination to boost the population, further contributing to the Company’s growth
prospects. This national strategy aims to enhance private sector involvement in the Kingdom of
Saudi Arabia’s economy. Pharmaceutical manufacturing holds a central role in the National
11% Industrial Development and Logistics Program, targeting a 40% domestic production of all
8%
pharmaceuticals consumed in the country, up from the current approximate 30%. This
5%
4%
governmental support serves as a significant boost for the Company as a leading domestic
3% manufacturer, positioning it to gain additional market share in the coming years.
3%
1%
2% While our expectation is not for a substantial increase in the company’s market share, there is an
2%
expectation of significant overall growth in the sector’s value. On the other hand JP was building
two factories in the same time and that will burn more cash that ever before. Due to that we expect
that the next 3 years they wont generate a lot of cash, but in
the long run they will have more and more than previous years. Also inventory will rise due to the
two new facilities and that will help delivering products fast and recognizing the revenue faster
than before. In term of payables the company sees that they don’t expect any surprises and they
are trying to maintain these numbers without taking it further much more. But the receivables in
2023 were significantly higher than previous years and according to the financial statements of
Jamjoom, they faced an increasing in account receivable with approximately 40m SAR, due to the
sales growth, seasonal variations which they had experience fluctuations in sales level during the
year, and the finished goods that have not yet been exported from Egypt to Saudi Arabia, which
we can consider it as a customer delays. in Perpetuity and exit EBITDA multiple approaches we
used a 4.5% (see Appendix B2) risk free rate because of the expectations of deducting the interest
rates starting from Q1 2024. Beta was taken from the largest companies in the world to have more
accurate close beta that we can rely on. And the cost of debt after tax that is because the debt was
taken from Egypt and there average tax rate is 8%. The industry average P/E ratio in 22.52 so we
used that multiple in the P/E valuation. After having all of these results and because the DCF
model is more accurate to evaluate JP we gave it the highest weights and the multiples were
lower. Our target price is 94.26 SAR (see Appendix F3) and for now the company is sell.
Metric Value
EBITDA 2023 2024
Enterprise Value SAR SAR 7,017
5,672
Less: Net Debt SAR 144 SAR 144
Less: Trapped Cash SAR 0 SAR 0
Equity Value SAR SAR 7160
5,815
Diluted Shares SAR SAR
70.000 70.000
Equity Value per Share SAR SAR
83.08 102.29
Market 68.00% 36.50%
Premium/(Discount) to
Fair Value
Appendix F2: Fair Value per Share:
Jamjoom Pharma
Pharmaceuticals: Healthcare 26
Jan 2024
Jamjoom Pharma
Pharmaceuticals: Healthcare 26
Jan 2024
Financials in Charts
100% 1% 2% 4%
8% 7% 6% 6%
90% 7% 7% 7% Consumer Ophthalmology
12% Health 22%
80% 10% 12% 9%
7% 10% 9% 26%
70% 9%
10%
60% 18% 16%
20%
50% 18%
40% 18% 19%
18% 16%
30%
20% Dermatology
10% 32% 27% 31% 26%
OTC 12%
0% 8%
2019 2020 2021 2022
GIT
CNS 7% 4%
Ophthalmic Dermal General Medicine Consumer General
Cardiovascular
Medicine
Health GIT OTC CVD CNS 8%
13%
Source: Company Data, Al Rajhi Capital Source: Company Data, Al Rajhi Capital
60.0% 57.7%
11%
50.0
%
8%
33.8%
Top 10
Source: Company Data, Al Rajhi Capital Source: Company Data, Al Rajhi Capital
20.0% 100% 8% 9% 7%
18.4% 11% 6% 9% 10%
900.0 18.0% 90%
16.7% 916.7 9% 7% 7%
800.0 16.0% 80% 9%
7%
700.0 805.3 14.0% 70% 12% 12%
731.7 10%
735. 16%
600.0 701.3 60%
7 12.0%
500.0 50%
9.6% 10.0%
400.0 9.4% 40%
8.0% 67% 64%
300.0 6.7% 30% 57% 63%
5.0 6.0%
200.0 20%
4.5% %
100.0 3.3% 3.4% 3.6% 4.0% 10%
2.0%
0.0 0%
2018 2019 0.0% 2019 2020
2020 2022 2021 2022 2022
2021 KSA Gulf Egypt
Iraq North Africa
Jamjoom Pharma
Pharmaceuticals: Healthcare 26
Jan 2024