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To cite this article: Muhammad Alshurideh , Barween Al Kurdi , Said A. Salloum , Ibrahim Arpaci
& Mostafa Al-Emran (2020): Predicting the actual use of m-learning systems: a comparative
approach using PLS-SEM and machine learning algorithms, Interactive Learning Environments,
DOI: 10.1080/10494820.2020.1826982
Article views: 59
1. Introduction
Mobile learning (m-learning) is defined as “learning that occurs when learners have access to infor-
mation anytime and anywhere via mobile technologies to perform authentic activities in the context
of their learning” (Martin & Ertzberger, 2013). M-learning offers an exclusive opportunity to leverage
learners’ experiences in formal and informal learning (Joo et al., 2016). The portability and flexibility
of mobile computing devices allow learners to situate their learning in an informative way, experi-
ence learning with real-world problems, and personalize their learning (Traxler, 2009).
Since the appearance of the m-learning concept until this moment, information system (IS) and
educational scholars have examined how to incorporate m-learning in instructional practices. The
continuous insistence of those scholars stems from the fact that m-learning systems enable students
to access their learning materials at “anytime anywhere” settings using wireless networks (Al-Emran
et al., 2019; Sarrab et al., 2018). Despite this enthusiasm, the investment in m-learning systems
requires the understanding of students’ lack of motivation to use these systems for instructional
activities (Tan et al., 2014). The existence of m-learning platform does not guarantee that learners
would use it for educational practices; students need to be aware of its advantages and adopt it
in their academic lifestyle (Nguyen et al., 2015).
While several studies were conducted in the past to understand the determinants influencing the
adoption of m-learning (Al-Emran et al., 2018a), various issues still need to be discussed. First, the
employment of m-learning in the higher education context is still in its early stages, and its theor-
etical basis is not yet matured (Kumar & Chand, 2019). Second, the students’ use of m-learning
does not always meet the expectations of several educational environments (Aburub & Alnawas,
2019). This stems from the influential factors which mainly rely on the variation in the context, infra-
structure, and students’ readiness. Besides, there are several technical and non-technical issues
regarding the use of mobile computing devices in classrooms (Adegbija & Bola, 2015). Third,
there is a little debate concerning the factors influencing the continued use of m-learning
systems (Al-Emran et al., 2020). The identification of these factors would facilitate the understanding
of students’ actual use of m-learning. Fourth, by analyzing the studies published on m-learning
systems in a recent systematic review (Al-Emran et al., 2018a), it has been noticed that there is a
limited number of studies concerning the continued use of these systems. It has been also observed
that there is a knowledge gap in explaining the impact of social influence on perceived ease of use
and perceived usefulness and how this, in turn, would affect the continued use of m-learning
systems. Fifth, despite the fact that most of the relevant m-learning studies have employed structural
equation modeling (SEM) techniques in explaining the causal-effect among the theoretical model
constructs, there is a scarce of knowledge regarding the use of other analytical techniques, such
as machine learning algorithms (Arpaci, 2019) and neural networks (Al-Shihi et al., 2018).
To handle the aforementioned issues, this research aims to investigate the determinants influen-
cing the students’ continued use of m-learning systems. More specifically, the role of social influence
would be examined in relation to the perceived usefulness and perceived ease of use of m-learning.
In doing so, this study develops a theoretical model based on the integration of the Technology
Acceptance Model (TAM) (Davis, 1989) and Expectation-Confirmation Model (ECM) (Bhattacherjee,
2001). To validate the developed model, this study employs a comparative analytical approach
using the partial least squares-structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM) alongside machine learning
algorithms to develop a high-performance predictive model. PLS-SEM is a widespread multivariate
analysis technique that is used to empirically test theoretical models. On the other hand, the use of
machine learning algorithms and data mining has become an innovative technique for developing
predictive models that explain, predict, and describe the social/human behavior (Osoba & Davis,
2019). This study used the PLS-SEM approach to identify the causal relationships between the
endogenous (independent) and exogenous (dependent) variables. Further, the study employed
the classifier model to predict dependent variables based on the independent variables. Although
the presentation of the two analyses (PLS-SEM vs. machine learning algorithms) seems to produce
two separate findings regarding the operationalization of the same variables in both techniques,
it is in fact, considered a hybrid modeling approach.
theories would better explain the students’ continued use of m-learning and how that would
influence their actual use. While the integration of those two theories has been well-supported in
the previous literature (Al-Emran et al., 2020; Joo et al., 2016; Luo et al., 2017), it is believed that
adding the social influence factor would have a significant value in explaining the interrelationships
among the constructs in those theories.
It is suggested that social influence would have significant effects on both PEOU and PU of m-learn-
ing systems. Besides, it is anticipated that the expectation-confirmation would have significant effects
on PU and satisfaction. Further, it is proposed that the continuous intention to use m-learning systems
would be affected by PEOU, PU, and satisfaction. It is also assumed that continuous intention would
affect the actual use of m-learning systems. Figure 1 depicts the proposed theoretical model.
2.2. Expectation-confirmation
Expectation-confirmation refers to “users’ perceptions of the congruence between the expectation
of information system usage and its actual performance” (Bhattacherjee, 2001). Previous research
suggested that expectation-confirmation has a significant impact on satisfaction and PU of
several mobile technologies (Al-Emran et al., 2020; Le et al., 2020; Nascimento et al., 2018). Hence,
we suggest the following:
H3: Expectation-confirmation would predict the PU of m-learning systems.
2.5. Satisfaction
Satisfaction is defined as “the affective attitude towards a particular computer application by an end
user who interacts with the application directly” (Doll et al., 1998). Prior research found that satisfac-
tion has a significant effect on the continuous intention to use different mobile technologies (Le
et al., 2020; Nascimento et al., 2018; Tam et al., 2020). Accordingly, we hypothesize the following:
H7: Satisfaction would predict the continuous intention of using m-learning systems.
3. Research methodology
3.1. Context and subjects
The participants of this study are the students enrolled at the British University in Dubai and the Uni-
versity of Fujairah, in which both located in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). In both universities, the
students used the m-learning system to register their courses, receive notifications, and communi-
cate with their colleagues and instructors through the learning management system (LMS). The stu-
dents are also able to access their lectures, download and upload their assignments, and check the
similarity score of their work using the similarity checking system in each university. The data were
collected between October and November 2018 through the use of self-administrated surveys. The
participants volunteered to fill out the surveys without getting any compensation for their involve-
ment. This research uses the convenience sampling approach in gathering the data. While this
approach is commonly used in quantitative studies (Etikan et al., 2016), it also raises some issues con-
cerning the subjective nature in selecting the respondents and data bias. To handle these issues, we
have employed the common method bias (CMB) test (Podsakoff et al., 2003). Out of 500 surveys
INTERACTIVE LEARNING ENVIRONMENTS 5
distributed, a total of 448 students have successfully filled out the entire survey with a response rate
of 89.6%. Of those, there were 230 females and 218 males. 56% of the participants were aged
between 18 and 29 years old. Further, 56% of the participants were bachelor’s degree students, fol-
lowed by master’s degree students (20%), PhD students (19%), and diploma students (5%).
4. Results
4.1. Measurement model assessment
The measurement model is assessed through testing the reliability and validity (Hair et al., 2016). For
reliability testing, the Cronbach’s alpha and composite reliability (CR) measures were used. The rec-
ommended values for each of these measures should be ≥ 0.70 (Hair et al., 2016). According to the
results in Table 1, the values of both measures are considered satisfactory, and thus, the reliability is
confirmed.
Concerning validity testing, Hair et al. (2016) suggested evaluating the convergent and discrimi-
nant validities. For convergent validity, the average variance extracted (AVE) and factor loadings
were tested. The values of AVE should be ≥ 0.50 (Fornell & Larcker, 1981), whereas the values of
factor loadings should be ≥ 0.70 (Hair et al., 2010). As per the results in Table 1, the values of
both measures are accepted, and therefore, the convergent validity is ascertained. For discriminant
validity, Henseler et al. (2015) suggested testing the “Heterotrait-Monotrait ratio (HTMT)” of
6 M. ALSHURIDEH ET AL.
correlations. The values of HTMT should be < 0.85. As per the readings in Table 2, all the values are
accepted, and hence, the discriminant validity is established.
continuous intention to use m-learning systems. Therefore, H5 is supported. The sixth hypothesis
describes the correlation between PU and continuous intention (β = 0.477, t = 8.598). The result of
this hypothesis reveals that PU has a significant positive effect on the continuous intention to use
m-learning systems. Hence, H6 is supported.
The seventh hypothesis describes the relationship between satisfaction and continuous intention
(β = 0.396, t = 6.663). The result of this hypothesis suggests that satisfaction has a significant positive
influence on the continuous intention to use m-learning systems. Thus, H7 is supported. The eighth
hypothesis shows the correlation between continuous intention and actual use (β = 0.852, t =
58.592). The result of this hypothesis indicates that the continuous intention to use m-learning
systems has a significant positive impact on its actual usage. Therefore, H8 is supported.
Concerning the coefficient of determination (R2) results in Figure 2, it can be observed that social
influence explains 43.7% of the variance in PEOU. Moreover, social influence and expectation-confir-
mation together explain 49% of the variance in PU. Besides, expectation-confirmation explains 44.6%
of the variance in satisfaction. Further, PEOU, PU, and satisfaction together explain 39.4% of the var-
iance in continuous intention. Additionally, the continuous intention explains 32.7% of the variance
in actual use. In comparison with the proposed R2 values (Chin, 1998), the values observed in this
study are regarded to be acceptable.
predict the relationships in the proposed theoretical model (Arpaci, 2019, 2020). Weka (ver. 3.8.3)
was used to test the predictive model based on several classifiers, including Bayesian classifier
(BayesNet), meta classifier (AdaBoostM1), lazy classifier (LWL), logistic regression classifier (Logistic),
decision tree (J48), and rule learner (OneR) (Frank et al., 2009). Based on the results in Table 4, it can
be observed that J48 performs better than the other classifiers in predicting the PEOU of m-learning
systems. The J48 predicted the PEOU with an accuracy of 73.03% for the 10-fold cross-validation.
Hence, H1 is supported. This classifier had a better performance in terms of the TP rate (.730), pre-
cision (.698), and recall (.730) as compared to the other classifiers.
The results also suggested that the J48 had a better classification performance than the other
classifiers in predicting the PU, as shown in Table 5. The J48 predicted the PU by the attributes of
social influence and expectation-confirmation with an accuracy of 78.29%, and thereby, H2 and
H3 were both supported.
As demonstrated in Table 6, the results showed that both OneR and J48 classifiers performed
better than the other classifiers in predicting the satisfaction by expectation-confirmation. The
OneR and J48 classifiers predicted the satisfaction with an accuracy of 63.72%. Accordingly, H4 is
supported.
The results presented in Table 7 indicated that the J48 performed better than the other classifiers
in predicting the continuous intention by the attributes of PEOU, PU, and satisfaction. The J48 pre-
dicted the continuous intention with an accuracy of 88.31%. Therefore, H5, H6, and H7 were
supported.
The results also indicated that Logistic performed better than the other classifiers in predicting
the actual use by the continuous intention, as shown in Table 8. The Logistic classifier predicted
the actual use with an accuracy of 78.99%. Accordingly, H8 is supported.
5. Discussion
5.1. Research hypotheses findings
The present study proposed a conceptual model to examine the students’ actual use of m-learning.
To validate the proposed model, this research employed a comparative analytical approach, includ-
ing PLS-SEM and machine learning algorithms.
In terms of predicting the PEOU, the PLS-SEM results suggested that social influence has a signifi-
cant impact on the PEOU of m-learning systems. Further, the results of machine learning indicated
that the J48 classifier showed better performance than the other classifiers in predicting the PEOU of
m-learning systems with an accuracy of 73.03%. These findings seem to be consistent with those
found in the previous literature (Wamba & Queiroz, 2019; Zhang et al., 2020). This indicates that
the positive opinions and reports of other students concerning the use of m-learning systems
would significantly affect the PEOU of these systems. With respect to predicting the PU, the PLS-
SEM results showed that the PU of m-learning systems was significantly and positively affected by
social influence and expectation-confirmation together. Besides, the results of machine learning indi-
cated that the J48 showed better performance by predicting the PU with an accuracy of 78.29%.
These results also accord with the observations reported in previous literature, which suggested
INTERACTIVE LEARNING ENVIRONMENTS 9
that the PU is positively affected by social influence (Hassan et al., 2020; Nikou & Economides, 2017;
Vanduhe et al., 2020; Wamba & Queiroz, 2019; Zhang et al., 2020) and expectation-confirmation (Al-
Emran et al., 2020; Le et al., 2020; Nascimento et al., 2018). This means that the usefulness of using m-
learning systems is increased when the students perceive that these systems are socially accepted by
their colleagues. The usefulness of m-learning systems can also be increased if the students have
positive expectations that these systems would enhance their performance.
Overall, the reason why social influence is being such a key driver in affecting the PU and PEOU of
m-learning systems is that the study was conducted in the UAE, which characterized by collectivistic
culture. In collectivistic cultures, the perceptions of individuals are more likely to be affected by
others’ decisions and opinions (Zhou & Li, 2014). Hence, social influence is expected to have a
more substantial impact on m-learning acceptance in the UAE culture compared with other cultures.
Concerning the prediction of satisfaction, the PLS-SEM findings pointed out that expectation-
confirmation has a positive impact on satisfaction. The results of machine learning also indicated
that both OneR and J48 classifiers performed better than the other classifiers in predicting the sat-
isfaction by expectation-confirmation. These findings also correspond to those observed in prior
research (Al-Emran et al., 2020; Le et al., 2020; Nascimento et al., 2018). It can, therefore, be suggested
that the students would be satisfied with using the m-learning systems if they impose positive
expectations that these systems would enhance their learning performance.
With regard to predicting the continuous intention, the PLS-SEM results revealed that the con-
tinuous intention to use m-learning systems was significantly affected by PEOU, PU, and satisfaction.
Moreover, the results of machine learning revealed that the J48 showed better performance by pre-
dicting the continuous intention with an accuracy of 88.31%. Similarly, these findings match those
noticed in earlier investigations, which reported that continuous intention is positively affected by
PEOU (Al-Emran et al., 2020; Joo et al., 2016), PU (Joo et al., 2016; Le et al., 2020; Nascimento
et al., 2018), and satisfaction (Le et al., 2020; Nascimento et al., 2018; Tam et al., 2020). These
results suggest that students’ intentions will continue to use m-learning systems if these systems
keep satisfying them, specifically when the systems impose free efforts and enhance their learning
performance.
With respect to predicting the actual use, the PLS-SEM results pointed out that the actual use of
m-learning systems was significantly and positively influenced by its continued use. Further, the
results of machine learning indicated that the Logistic classifier showed better performance by pre-
dicting the actual use with an accuracy of 78.99%. These results were also in agreement with those
reported in the previous m-learning literature (Al-Emran et al., 2020; Joo et al., 2016). This indicates
that the continued use of m-learning was directly and positively associated with the students’ actual
use. This means that students who used the m-learning system with a positive or negative experi-
ence did not change their usage intentions after their initial trial. In this sense, the students either
continued to use the m-learning system in their instructional activities, or they did not use it
consistently.
and TAM at one hand, and the m-learning domain on the other hand. Second, most of the earlier
studies in m-learning have investigated the determinants affecting either the continuous intention
or actual use. To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is one of the few attempts that examined
the factors affecting the continuous intention and how that would influence the students’ actual use
of m-learning. Third, PU and PEOU have been well-perceived in the previous m-learning literature to
be the key drivers of behavioral intention. With the introduction of the proposed model, this
research shows that other essential factors need to be considered, whether directly or indirectly,
when approaching the continued use of m-learning, such as social influence, expectation-confir-
mation, and satisfaction.
6. Conclusion
While several studies were conducted in the past to examine the factors affecting the m-learning
acceptance, few have studied what impacts the actual use of m-learning from the perspective of
social influence, expectation-confirmation, and satisfaction. At the same time, most of the prior
studies have mainly relied on the SEM approach concerning the analysis of structural models. There-
fore, this study aimed to address these limitations by extending the TAM with ECM and social
influence to predict the actual use of m-learning systems. To validate the proposed model, this
research employed a comparative approach using PLS-SEM and machine learning algorithms. The
findings indicated that both techniques provided support to all the suggested hypotheses. More
interesting, the J48 classifier has performed better than the other classifiers in predicting the depen-
dent variable in most cases. It is, therefore, believed that the use of a comparative analytical
approach would add a valuable contribution to the IS literature in general, and the m-learning
domain in particular.
A number of important limitations need to be reported. First, the generalization of the results to
the other higher educational institutions in the UAE or other countries should be treated with
caution. This stems from two reasons: (a) the concentration on only two institutions for picking
up the samples, and (b) the employment of a convenience sampling technique for selecting the par-
ticipants. Further research needs to consider these issues to enhance the opportunity of results gen-
eralization. Second, the study focused on examining the actual use of m-learning systems by
students only. Future attempts are highly encouraged to measure the instructors’ actual use of
m-learning systems in order to get further insights into the affecting determinants and draw a com-
prehensive picture of the implementation of these systems.
12 M. ALSHURIDEH ET AL.
Acknowledgment
This is an extended version of a conference paper published by the International Conference on Advanced Intelligent
Systems and Informatics 2019.
Disclosure statement
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).
Notes on contributors
Muhammad Alshurideh is working for the College of Business Administration – University of Sharjah in UAE as a full-
time faculty member and for the School of Business – University of Jordan in Jordan. Regarding the teaching, he has the
responsibilities to teach a wide range of marketing and business topics for both undergraduate and postgraduate stu-
dents. He has more than 40 published papers in different marketing and business topics mainly CRM and Customer
Retention. He has published in good ranked journals such as Journal of Marketing Communications and International
Journal of Electronic Customer Relationship Management.
Barween Al Kurdi is an Assistant Professor in Marketing and she is working for Amman Arab University – Faculty of
Business – Marketing Department. She is a member of large number of committees and mainly the social committee.
She used to publish in good ranked journals such as Journal of Marketing Communications and International Journal of
Marketing Studies.
Said A. Salloum had graduated from The British University in Dubai with a distinction with MSc in Informatics (Knowl-
edge and Data Management). He got his bachelor’s degree in Computer Science from Yarmouk University. Currently, he
is working at the University of Sharjah “Research Institute of Sciences and Engineering (RISE)” as a researcher on
different research areas in Computer Science such as data analysis, machine learning, knowledge management, and
Arabic Language Processing. Salloum is an Oracle expert since 2013 along with various recognized international certifi-
cates that are issued by Oracle.
Ibrahim Arpaci is an Associate Professor and Chair of the Department of Computer Education and Instructional Tech-
nology at Gaziosmanpasa University, where he is also Director of the Distance Education Application and Research
Center. He was a visiting scholar at Ryerson University, Ted Rogers School of Information Technology Management,
Toronto, ON, Canada (2012-2013). He holds a BSc in Computer Education and Instructional Technology (2005) from
Anadolu University, an MSc in Information Systems (2009) and a PhD in Information Systems (2013) both from
Middle East Technical University. His research interests are in instructional systems design and technology, cyberpsy-
chology and behavior, culture, learning and technology.
Mostafa Al-Emran obtained his Ph.D. degree in Computer Science from Universiti Malaysia Pahang. He received the MSc
degree in Informatics from The British University in Dubai with a distinction level along with the top Academic Excel-
lence Award, and the BSc degree with honors in Computer Science from Al Buraimi University College. He has published
over 70 research articles in highly reputed journals such as Computers & Education, Computers in Human Behavior, Inter-
national Journal of Information Management, Telematics and Informatics, IEEE Access, Technology in Society, Interactive
Learning Environments, Journal of Educational Computing Research, and International Journal of Engineering Education,
among many others. Most of his publications were indexed under the ISI Web of Science and Scopus. He has also
edited a number of books published by Springer. He is a certified recognized reviewer by several leading journals in
Elsevier. His current research interests include mobile learning, knowledge management, technology acceptance,
and wearable technology.
ORCID
Muhammad Alshurideh http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7336-381X
Ibrahim Arpaci http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6513-4569
Mostafa Al-Emran http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5269-5380
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INTERACTIVE LEARNING ENVIRONMENTS 15
SI1: People who influence my behavior think that I should use the m-learning system.
SI2: People who are important to me think that I should use the m-learning system.
SI3: The institution management has been helpful in the use of the m-learning system.
SI4: In general, the institution has supported the use of the m-learning system.
Expectation confirmation
EXP1: My experience with using m-learning was better than what I expected.
EXP2: The service level provided by m-learning was better than what I expected.
EXP3: Overall, most of my expectations from using m-learning were confirmed.
Perceived usefulness
Satisfaction
Continuous intention
CI1: I intend to continue using m-learning rather than discontinue its use.
CI2: I intend to continue using m-learning than other alternative means.
CI3: If I could, I would like to continue my use of m-learning.
Actual use